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Clemson Tigers v UNC Asheville Bulldogs — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 20 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Clemson Tigers win
99.7%
Draw
0.0%
UNC Asheville Bulldogs win
0.3%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 75.02–42.58 75-43 0% 72% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clemson Tigers to score 100+ 0.7% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.21
Clemson Tigers to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.35
Clemson Tigers to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Clemson Tigers to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
UNC Asheville Bulldogs to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.71× 283.36
UNC Asheville Bulldogs to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
UNC Asheville Bulldogs to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
UNC Asheville Bulldogs to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clemson Tigers to win H1 93.9% 93.5% 56.4% 1.66× 1.07
UNC Asheville Bulldogs to win H1 4.8% 3.9% 39.9% 0.10× 25.85
H1 tied 1.3% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.88
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 47.5 90.5% 90.8% 90.6% 1.00× 1.10
H1 under 71.5 90.0% 90.8% 81.4% 1.11× 1.10
H1 over 51.5 80.8% 82.5% 82.0% 1.01× 1.21
H1 under 67.5 80.5% 82.5% 70.4% 1.17× 1.21
H1 over 54.5 70.6% 73.5% 74.0% 0.99× 1.36
H1 under 64.5 70.5% 73.5% 60.7% 1.21× 1.36
H1 over 56.5 62.7% 62.7% 68.2% 0.92× 1.59
H1 under 62.5 62.8% 62.7% 53.7% 1.17× 1.59
H1 over 58.5 54.2% 52.6% 61.4% 0.86× 1.90
H1 under 60.5 54.4% 52.6% 46.1% 1.14× 1.90
H1 under 59.5 50.1% 52.6% 42.2% 1.25× 1.90
H1 over 59.5 49.9% 47.4% 57.8% 0.82× 2.11
H1 under 58.5 45.8% 47.4% 38.6% 1.23× 2.11
H1 over 60.5 45.6% 47.4% 53.9% 0.88× 2.11
H1 under 56.5 37.3% 37.3% 31.8% 1.17× 2.68
H1 over 62.5 37.2% 37.3% 46.3% 0.80× 2.68
H1 under 54.5 29.4% 26.5% 26.0% 1.02× 3.77
H1 over 64.5 29.5% 26.5% 39.3% 0.68× 3.77
H1 over 67.5 19.5% 17.5% 29.6% 0.59× 5.72
H1 under 51.5 19.2% 17.5% 18.0% 0.97× 5.72
H1 over 71.5 10.0% 9.2% 18.6% 0.50× 10.86
H1 under 47.5 9.5% 9.2% 9.4% 0.98× 10.88
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clemson Tigers to win H2 95.0% 89.5% 56.0% 1.60× 1.12
UNC Asheville Bulldogs to win H2 3.9% 3.9% 40.6% 0.10× 25.36
H2 tied 1.1% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.38
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 53.5 89.0% 85.2% 89.7% 0.95× 1.17
H2 under 77.5 89.8% 85.2% 77.9% 1.09× 1.17
H2 under 73.5 80.6% 81.8% 67.1% 1.22× 1.22
H2 over 57.5 78.9% 75.8% 82.2% 0.92× 1.32
H2 under 70.5 71.1% 72.2% 57.8% 1.25× 1.39
H2 over 60.5 68.6% 66.4% 74.5% 0.89× 1.51
H2 under 68.5 63.7% 61.6% 51.3% 1.20× 1.62
H2 over 62.5 60.8% 61.6% 68.3% 0.90× 1.62
H2 under 66.5 55.7% 57.3% 44.6% 1.29× 1.74
H2 over 64.5 52.6% 52.4% 62.1% 0.84× 1.91
H2 under 65.5 51.6% 52.4% 41.2% 1.27× 1.91
H2 under 64.5 47.4% 47.6% 37.9% 1.26× 2.10
H2 over 65.5 48.4% 47.6% 58.8% 0.81× 2.10
H2 over 66.5 44.3% 42.7% 55.4% 0.77× 2.34
H2 under 62.5 39.2% 38.4% 31.7% 1.21× 2.61
H2 over 68.5 36.3% 38.4% 48.7% 0.79× 2.61
H2 under 60.5 31.4% 33.6% 25.5% 1.32× 2.97
H2 over 70.5 28.9% 27.8% 42.2% 0.66× 3.59
H2 under 57.5 21.1% 24.2% 17.8% 1.36× 4.13
H2 over 73.5 19.4% 18.2% 32.9% 0.55× 5.50
H2 under 53.5 11.0% 14.8% 10.3% 1.43× 6.76
H2 over 77.5 10.2% 14.8% 22.1% 0.67× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clemson Tigers leading at half time 93.9% 94.1% 56.4% 1.67× 1.06
UNC Asheville Bulldogs leading at half time 4.8% 3.8% 39.9% 0.10× 26.39
Level at half time 1.3% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.44
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clemson Tigers −1.5 99.6% 97.4% 58.7% 1.66× 1.03
Clemson Tigers +1.5 99.8% 97.4% 61.2% 1.59× 1.03
Clemson Tigers −2.5 99.5% 97.4% 56.7% 1.72× 1.03
Clemson Tigers +2.5 99.9% 97.4% 63.3% 1.54× 1.03
Clemson Tigers +3.5 99.9% 97.4% 65.7% 1.48× 1.03
Clemson Tigers +4.5 99.9% 97.4% 67.8% 1.44× 1.03
Clemson Tigers +5.5 99.9% 97.4% 70.1% 1.39× 1.03
Clemson Tigers +6.5 100.0% 97.4% 72.3% 1.35× 1.03
Clemson Tigers +7.5 100.0% 97.4% 74.5% 1.31× 1.03
Clemson Tigers +8.5 100.0% 97.4% 76.5% 1.27× 1.03
Clemson Tigers +9.5 100.0% 97.4% 78.7% 1.24× 1.03
Clemson Tigers +10.5 100.0% 97.4% 80.4% 1.21× 1.03
Clemson Tigers +12.5 100.0% 97.4% 83.8% 1.16× 1.03
Clemson Tigers +14.5 100.0% 97.4% 86.7% 1.12× 1.03
Clemson Tigers +16.5 100.0% 97.4% 89.1% 1.09× 1.03
Clemson Tigers +18.5 100.0% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
Clemson Tigers +20.5 100.0% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
Clemson Tigers −3.5 99.3% 97.4% 54.2% 1.80× 1.03
Clemson Tigers −4.5 99.1% 97.4% 52.2% 1.87× 1.03
Clemson Tigers −5.5 98.8% 97.4% 49.7% 1.96× 1.03
Clemson Tigers −6.5 98.4% 97.4% 47.6% 2.05× 1.03
Clemson Tigers −7.5 98.0% 97.4% 44.8% 2.18× 1.03
Clemson Tigers −8.5 97.5% 97.4% 42.0% 2.32× 1.03
Clemson Tigers −9.5 96.9% 97.4% 39.3% 2.48× 1.03
Clemson Tigers −10.5 96.1% 97.4% 36.8% 2.65× 1.03
Clemson Tigers −12.5 94.2% 91.1% 32.1% 2.84× 1.10
Clemson Tigers −14.5 91.6% 91.1% 27.9% 3.27× 1.10
Clemson Tigers −16.5 88.2% 85.9% 24.3% 3.54× 1.16
Clemson Tigers −18.5 84.0% 81.1% 20.7% 3.92× 1.23
Clemson Tigers −20.5 78.8% 76.5% 18.0% 4.25× 1.31
UNC Asheville Bulldogs +20.5 21.2% 23.5% 82.0% 0.29× 4.25
UNC Asheville Bulldogs +18.5 16.0% 18.9% 79.3% 0.24× 5.30
UNC Asheville Bulldogs +16.5 11.8% 14.1% 75.7% 0.19× 7.09
UNC Asheville Bulldogs +14.5 8.4% 8.9% 72.1% 0.12× 11.25
UNC Asheville Bulldogs +12.5 5.8% 8.9% 67.9% 0.13× 11.25
UNC Asheville Bulldogs +3.5 0.7% 2.6% 45.8% 0.06× 38.74
UNC Asheville Bulldogs +4.5 0.9% 2.6% 47.8% 0.05× 38.74
UNC Asheville Bulldogs +5.5 1.2% 2.6% 50.3% 0.05× 38.74
UNC Asheville Bulldogs +6.5 1.6% 2.6% 52.4% 0.05× 38.73
UNC Asheville Bulldogs +7.5 2.0% 2.6% 55.2% 0.05× 38.73
UNC Asheville Bulldogs +8.5 2.5% 2.6% 58.0% 0.04× 38.73
UNC Asheville Bulldogs +9.5 3.1% 2.6% 60.7% 0.04× 38.73
UNC Asheville Bulldogs +10.5 3.9% 2.6% 63.2% 0.04× 38.73
UNC Asheville Bulldogs +1.5 0.4% 2.6% 41.3% 0.06× 38.74
UNC Asheville Bulldogs −1.5 0.2% 2.6% 38.8% 0.07× 38.74
UNC Asheville Bulldogs +2.5 0.5% 2.6% 43.3% 0.06× 38.74
UNC Asheville Bulldogs −2.5 0.1% 2.6% 36.7% 0.07× 38.74
UNC Asheville Bulldogs −3.5 0.1% 2.6% 34.3% 0.08× 38.74
UNC Asheville Bulldogs −4.5 0.1% 2.6% 32.2% 0.08× 38.74
UNC Asheville Bulldogs −5.5 0.1% 2.6% 29.9% 0.09× 38.74
UNC Asheville Bulldogs −6.5 0.0% 2.6% 27.7% 0.09× 38.74
UNC Asheville Bulldogs −7.5 0.0% 2.6% 25.5% 0.10× 38.74
UNC Asheville Bulldogs −8.5 0.0% 2.6% 23.5% 0.11× 38.74
UNC Asheville Bulldogs −9.5 0.0% 2.6% 21.3% 0.12× 38.74
UNC Asheville Bulldogs −10.5 0.0% 2.6% 19.6% 0.13× 38.74
UNC Asheville Bulldogs −12.5 0.0% 2.6% 16.2% 0.16× 38.74
UNC Asheville Bulldogs −14.5 0.0% 2.6% 13.3% 0.19× 38.74
UNC Asheville Bulldogs −16.5 0.0% 2.6% 10.9% 0.24× 38.74
UNC Asheville Bulldogs −18.5 0.0% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.74
UNC Asheville Bulldogs −20.5 0.0% 2.6% 7.3% 0.35× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 71.1% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 28.9% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 34.1% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.3% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.5% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 16.1% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clemson Tigers at HT / Clemson Tigers at FT 93.8% 94.1% 48.3% 1.95× 1.06
UNC Asheville Bulldogs at HT / Clemson Tigers at FT 4.7% 2.1% 9.8% 0.21× 47.71
Clemson Tigers at HT / UNC Asheville Bulldogs at FT 0.1% 2.1% 8.2% 0.26× 47.79
Level at HT / Clemson Tigers at FT 1.3% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.77
UNC Asheville Bulldogs at HT / UNC Asheville Bulldogs at FT 0.2% 2.1% 30.1% 0.07× 47.79
Level at HT / UNC Asheville Bulldogs at FT 0.0% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.79
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clemson Tigers to win 99.7% 97.5% 59.9% 1.63× 1.03
UNC Asheville Bulldogs to win 0.3% 2.5% 40.1% 0.06× 39.91
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UNC Asheville Bulldogs even 51.6% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Clemson Tigers even 50.0% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Total points odd 50.0% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Clemson Tigers odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Total points even 50.0% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
UNC Asheville Bulldogs odd 48.4% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 99.2% 97.0% 95.6% 1.02× 1.03
Match to go to overtime 0.8% 3.0% 4.4% 0.67× 33.61
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clemson Tigers to win Q1 83.9% 85.9% 54.7% 1.57× 1.16
UNC Asheville Bulldogs to win Q1 12.5% 11.3% 40.4% 0.28× 8.83
Q1 tied 3.5% 4.2% 4.9% 0.85× 23.99
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 38.5 90.7% 91.1% 84.8% 1.07× 1.10
Q1 over 22.5 87.6% 87.4% 88.8% 0.98× 1.14
Q1 under 35.5 80.6% 82.8% 73.2% 1.13× 1.21
Q1 over 25.5 75.4% 76.9% 77.6% 0.99× 1.30
Q1 under 33.5 71.0% 72.7% 64.0% 1.14× 1.38
Q1 over 27.5 64.7% 61.7% 67.7% 0.91× 1.62
Q1 under 31.5 59.7% 58.6% 54.0% 1.09× 1.71
Q1 under 30.5 53.6% 52.7% 48.8% 1.08× 1.90
Q1 over 29.5 52.6% 52.7% 56.9% 0.93× 1.90
Q1 under 29.5 47.4% 47.3% 43.1% 1.10× 2.11
Q1 over 30.5 46.4% 47.3% 51.2% 0.92× 2.11
Q1 over 31.5 40.3% 41.4% 46.0% 0.90× 2.42
Q1 under 27.5 35.3% 38.3% 32.3% 1.18× 2.61
Q1 over 33.5 29.0% 27.3% 36.0% 0.76× 3.66
Q1 under 25.5 24.6% 23.1% 22.4% 1.03× 4.33
Q1 over 35.5 19.4% 17.2% 26.8% 0.64× 5.83
Q1 under 22.5 12.4% 12.6% 11.2% 1.12× 7.95
Q1 over 38.5 9.3% 8.9% 15.2% 0.59× 11.21
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clemson Tigers to win Q2 83.2% 85.1% 52.9% 1.61× 1.18
UNC Asheville Bulldogs to win Q2 13.2% 7.7% 41.5% 0.19× 13.01
Q2 tied 3.6% 4.4% 5.7% 0.77× 22.92
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 over 21.5 89.7% 87.3% 90.2% 0.97× 1.15
Q2 under 37.5 88.8% 87.3% 82.3% 1.06× 1.15
Q2 over 24.5 78.6% 76.8% 80.7% 0.95× 1.30
Q2 under 34.5 77.5% 76.8% 70.1% 1.10× 1.30
Q2 over 26.5 68.5% 67.4% 71.6% 0.94× 1.49
Q2 under 32.5 67.3% 67.4% 60.8% 1.11× 1.49
Q2 over 28.5 56.8% 58.2% 61.2% 0.95× 1.72
Q2 under 30.5 55.5% 58.2% 50.1% 1.16× 1.72
Q2 over 29.5 50.7% 52.7% 55.8% 0.94× 1.90
Q2 under 29.5 49.3% 47.3% 44.2% 1.07× 2.11
Q2 over 30.5 44.5% 41.8% 49.9% 0.84× 2.39
Q2 under 28.5 43.2% 41.8% 38.8% 1.08× 2.39
Q2 over 32.5 32.7% 32.6% 39.2% 0.83× 3.06
Q2 under 26.5 31.5% 32.6% 28.4% 1.15× 3.06
Q2 over 34.5 22.5% 23.2% 29.9% 0.78× 4.31
Q2 under 24.5 21.4% 23.2% 19.3% 1.20× 4.31
Q2 over 37.5 11.2% 12.7% 17.7% 0.72× 7.90
Q2 under 21.5 10.3% 12.7% 9.8% 1.30× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clemson Tigers to win Q3 85.5% 87.0% 53.3% 1.63× 1.15
UNC Asheville Bulldogs to win Q3 11.3% 11.2% 41.8% 0.27× 8.91
Q3 tied 3.2% 4.3% 4.9% 0.86× 23.48
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 over 24.5 89.1% 87.2% 89.9% 0.97× 1.15
Q3 under 40.5 88.5% 87.2% 81.9% 1.07× 1.15
Q3 over 27.5 78.0% 77.3% 80.0% 0.97× 1.29
Q3 under 37.5 77.3% 77.3% 69.7% 1.11× 1.29
Q3 over 29.5 67.9% 67.8% 71.8% 0.94× 1.48
Q3 under 35.5 67.2% 67.8% 59.7% 1.14× 1.48
Q3 over 31.5 56.4% 58.4% 61.6% 0.95× 1.71
Q3 under 33.5 55.7% 58.4% 49.1% 1.19× 1.71
Q3 over 32.5 50.4% 52.3% 56.1% 0.93× 1.91
Q3 under 32.5 49.6% 47.7% 43.9% 1.09× 2.10
Q3 over 33.5 44.3% 41.6% 50.9% 0.82× 2.40
Q3 under 31.5 43.6% 41.6% 38.4% 1.08× 2.40
Q3 over 35.5 32.8% 32.2% 40.3% 0.80× 3.10
Q3 under 29.5 32.1% 32.2% 28.2% 1.14× 3.10
Q3 over 37.5 22.7% 22.7% 30.3% 0.75× 4.40
Q3 under 27.5 22.0% 22.7% 20.0% 1.14× 4.40
Q3 over 40.5 11.5% 12.8% 18.1% 0.70× 7.83
Q3 under 24.5 10.9% 12.8% 10.1% 1.27× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clemson Tigers to win Q4 85.0% 83.1% 52.8% 1.57× 1.20
UNC Asheville Bulldogs to win Q4 11.8% 17.6% 41.5% 0.43× 5.67
Q4 tied 3.2% 5.2% 5.7% 0.91× 19.32
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 over 24.5 87.8% 85.6% 89.0% 0.96× 1.17
Q4 under 40.5 86.8% 85.6% 80.6% 1.06× 1.17
Q4 over 27.5 76.8% 76.9% 78.9% 0.97× 1.30
Q4 under 37.5 75.6% 76.9% 68.8% 1.12× 1.30
Q4 over 29.5 67.2% 67.4% 70.8% 0.95× 1.48
Q4 under 35.5 65.9% 67.4% 59.4% 1.14× 1.48
Q4 over 31.5 56.4% 58.4% 61.1% 0.96× 1.71
Q4 under 33.5 55.0% 52.5% 49.6% 1.06× 1.91
Q4 over 32.5 50.7% 52.5% 55.4% 0.95× 1.91
Q4 under 32.5 49.3% 47.5% 44.6% 1.07× 2.11
Q4 over 33.5 45.0% 47.5% 50.4% 0.94× 2.11
Q4 under 31.5 43.6% 41.6% 38.9% 1.07× 2.40
Q4 over 35.5 34.1% 32.6% 40.6% 0.80× 3.07
Q4 under 29.5 32.8% 32.6% 29.2% 1.12× 3.07
Q4 over 37.5 24.4% 23.1% 31.2% 0.74× 4.33
Q4 under 27.5 23.2% 23.1% 21.1% 1.09× 4.33
Q4 over 40.5 13.2% 14.4% 19.4% 0.74× 6.95
Q4 under 24.5 12.2% 14.4% 11.0% 1.31× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UNC Asheville Bulldogs under 58.5 93.2% 86.5% 37.9% 2.28× 1.16
Clemson Tigers over 66.5 86.3% 83.9% 51.8% 1.62× 1.19
UNC Asheville Bulldogs over 41.5 86.7% 83.9% 95.6% 0.88× 1.19
UNC Asheville Bulldogs under 55.5 87.0% 83.9% 29.2% 2.87× 1.19
Clemson Tigers under 86.5 85.4% 83.9% 91.2% 0.92× 1.19
UNC Asheville Bulldogs under 53.5 81.0% 80.7% 23.7% 3.40× 1.24
UNC Asheville Bulldogs over 38.5 100.0% 75.6% 97.6% 0.77× 1.32
Clemson Tigers over 69.5 77.9% 75.1% 42.6% 1.76× 1.33
Clemson Tigers under 83.5 76.9% 75.1% 87.7% 0.86× 1.33
UNC Asheville Bulldogs under 51.5 73.3% 70.7% 19.0% 3.72× 1.41
UNC Asheville Bulldogs over 43.5 73.1% 70.7% 93.7% 0.76× 1.41
Clemson Tigers over 71.5 71.0% 70.7% 37.0% 1.91× 1.41
Clemson Tigers under 81.5 69.8% 66.4% 84.6% 0.79× 1.51
UNC Asheville Bulldogs under 49.5 63.8% 61.2% 14.9% 4.10× 1.63
Clemson Tigers over 73.5 63.3% 61.2% 31.5% 1.94× 1.63
Clemson Tigers under 79.5 62.0% 61.2% 81.3% 0.75× 1.63
UNC Asheville Bulldogs over 45.5 59.7% 57.1% 91.3% 0.63× 1.75
UNC Asheville Bulldogs under 48.5 58.5% 57.1% 13.3% 4.30× 1.75
Clemson Tigers over 75.5 54.9% 52.3% 26.8% 1.95× 1.91
Clemson Tigers under 77.5 53.6% 52.3% 77.4% 0.68× 1.91
UNC Asheville Bulldogs under 47.5 52.7% 52.3% 11.6% 4.50× 1.91
Clemson Tigers over 76.5 50.7% 52.3% 24.6% 2.13× 1.91
Clemson Tigers under 76.5 49.3% 47.7% 75.4% 0.63× 2.09
UNC Asheville Bulldogs over 47.5 47.3% 47.7% 88.4% 0.54× 2.09
Clemson Tigers under 75.5 45.1% 47.7% 73.2% 0.65× 2.09
Clemson Tigers over 77.5 46.4% 47.7% 22.6% 2.11× 2.09
UNC Asheville Bulldogs over 48.5 41.5% 42.9% 86.7% 0.49× 2.33
UNC Asheville Bulldogs under 45.5 40.3% 42.9% 8.7% 4.95× 2.33
Clemson Tigers over 79.5 38.0% 38.8% 18.7% 2.07× 2.58
Clemson Tigers under 73.5 36.7% 38.8% 68.5% 0.57× 2.58
UNC Asheville Bulldogs over 49.5 36.2% 38.8% 85.1% 0.46× 2.58
Clemson Tigers over 81.5 30.2% 33.6% 15.4% 2.18× 2.98
Clemson Tigers under 71.5 29.0% 29.3% 63.0% 0.46× 3.42
UNC Asheville Bulldogs under 43.5 26.9% 29.3% 6.3% 4.63× 3.42
UNC Asheville Bulldogs over 51.5 26.7% 29.3% 81.0% 0.36× 3.42
Clemson Tigers over 83.5 23.1% 24.9% 12.3% 2.02× 4.02
Clemson Tigers under 69.5 22.1% 24.9% 57.4% 0.43× 4.02
UNC Asheville Bulldogs under 38.5 0.0% 24.4% 2.4% 10.24× 4.09
UNC Asheville Bulldogs over 53.5 19.0% 19.3% 76.3% 0.25× 5.18
Clemson Tigers over 86.5 14.6% 16.1% 8.8% 1.83× 6.21
Clemson Tigers under 66.5 13.7% 16.1% 48.2% 0.33× 6.21
UNC Asheville Bulldogs under 41.5 13.3% 16.1% 4.4% 3.65× 6.21
UNC Asheville Bulldogs over 55.5 13.0% 16.1% 70.8% 0.23× 6.21
UNC Asheville Bulldogs over 58.5 6.8% 13.5% 62.1% 0.22× 7.40
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 105.5 points 95.3% 92.1% 91.9% 1.00× 1.09
Under 145.5 points 94.9% 88.8% 79.5% 1.12× 1.13
Under 140.5 points 89.7% 85.0% 71.8% 1.19× 1.18
Over 110.5 points 88.6% 85.0% 86.4% 0.98× 1.18
Under 135.5 points 81.4% 80.6% 62.4% 1.29× 1.24
Over 115.5 points 77.5% 75.6% 78.8% 0.96× 1.32
Under 132.5 points 74.6% 70.8% 56.0% 1.27× 1.41
Over 118.5 points 68.8% 65.9% 73.6% 0.90× 1.52
Under 130.5 points 69.3% 65.9% 51.7% 1.28× 1.52
Under 128.5 points 63.5% 61.5% 47.2% 1.30× 1.63
Over 120.5 points 62.5% 61.5% 69.8% 0.88× 1.63
Under 126.5 points 57.3% 56.5% 42.6% 1.33× 1.77
Over 122.5 points 55.9% 56.5% 65.6% 0.86× 1.77
Under 125.5 points 54.0% 52.3% 40.5% 1.29× 1.91
Under 124.5 points 50.8% 52.3% 38.5% 1.36× 1.91
Over 124.5 points 49.3% 47.7% 61.5% 0.78× 2.10
Over 125.5 points 46.0% 47.7% 59.5% 0.80× 2.10
Under 122.5 points 44.1% 43.5% 34.4% 1.26× 2.30
Over 126.5 points 42.7% 43.5% 57.4% 0.76× 2.30
Under 120.5 points 37.5% 38.5% 30.2% 1.28× 2.60
Over 128.5 points 36.5% 38.5% 52.8% 0.73× 2.60
Under 118.5 points 31.2% 34.1% 26.4% 1.29× 2.93
Over 130.5 points 30.7% 34.1% 48.3% 0.71× 2.93
Over 132.5 points 25.4% 29.2% 44.0% 0.66× 3.43
Under 115.5 points 22.5% 24.4% 21.2% 1.15× 4.10
Over 135.5 points 18.6% 19.4% 37.6% 0.52× 5.15
Under 110.5 points 11.4% 15.0% 13.6% 1.10× 6.69
Over 140.5 points 10.3% 15.0% 28.2% 0.53× 6.69
Over 145.5 points 5.1% 11.2% 20.5% 0.54× 8.97
Under 105.5 points 4.7% 7.9% 8.1% 0.98× 12.65
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clemson Tigers to win both halves 88.9% 86.4% 36.0% 2.40× 1.16
UNC Asheville Bulldogs to win both halves 0.0% 3.0% 20.4% 0.15× 33.85
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clemson Tigers by 26+ 62.2% 67.7% 12.6% 5.36× 1.48
Clemson Tigers by 21-25 16.6% 16.8% 5.4% 3.11× 5.97
Clemson Tigers by 16-20 11.2% 12.3% 8.0% 1.53× 8.11
Clemson Tigers by 11-15 6.1% 7.5% 10.8% 0.69× 13.40
Clemson Tigers by 1-5 1.0% 2.0% 10.2% 0.20× 49.32
Clemson Tigers by 6-10 2.7% 2.0% 12.9% 0.16× 49.30
UNC Asheville Bulldogs by 1-5 0.2% 2.0% 10.2% 0.20× 49.33
UNC Asheville Bulldogs by 6-10 0.0% 2.0% 10.3% 0.20× 49.33
UNC Asheville Bulldogs by 11-15 0.0% 2.0% 7.6% 0.27× 49.33
UNC Asheville Bulldogs by 16-20 0.0% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.33
UNC Asheville Bulldogs by 21-25 0.0% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.33
UNC Asheville Bulldogs by 26+ 0.0% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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