Cleveland Cavaliers v Washington Wizards — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 28 October 2026 · NBA · 2027

NBA results-only Prediction generated 3 Sep 2026, 23:45

Cleveland Cavaliers

19:00

Washington Wizards

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Cleveland Cavaliers win

88.6%

Draw

0.0%

Washington Wizards win

11.4%

89011

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	89011	128.24–111.17	128-111 0%	50%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cleveland Cavaliers to score 100+	99.3%	94.9%	89.3%	1.06×	1.05
Cleveland Cavaliers to score 110+	94.6%	90.3%	67.0%	1.35×	1.11
Washington Wizards to score 100+	84.0%	79.3%	85.9%	0.92×	1.26
Both sides to score 100+	83.5%	79.3%	77.5%	1.02×	1.26
Cleveland Cavaliers to score 120+	77.5%	76.9%	36.5%	2.11×	1.30
Washington Wizards to score 110+	55.3%	56.3%	60.9%	0.92×	1.78
Cleveland Cavaliers to score 130+	46.2%	46.9%	12.8%	3.66×	2.13
Washington Wizards to score 120+	23.4%	22.0%	29.7%	0.74×	4.54
Washington Wizards to score 130+	5.7%	8.8%	10.0%	0.88×	11.39

H1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cleveland Cavaliers to win H1	76.8%	79.2%	52.8%	1.50×	1.26
Washington Wizards to win H1	20.6%	21.4%	44.1%	0.48×	4.68
H1 tied	2.6%	3.9%	3.1%	1.25×	25.87

H1 total 36

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 over 106.5	82.1%	83.2%	73.3%	1.14×	1.20
H1 under 130.5	81.8%	83.2%	89.6%	0.93×	1.20
H1 under 133.5	83.5%	82.5%	93.1%	0.89×	1.21
H1 over 109.5	80.8%	82.5%	65.0%	1.27×	1.21
H1 over 110.5	73.1%	74.0%	61.9%	1.19×	1.35
H1 under 129.5	74.8%	73.5%	88.1%	0.83×	1.36
H1 over 113.5	71.4%	73.5%	52.4%	1.40×	1.36
H1 under 126.5	66.9%	67.4%	82.8%	0.81×	1.48
H1 under 123.5	64.6%	63.3%	76.0%	0.83×	1.58
H1 over 116.5	63.0%	62.7%	43.4%	1.44×	1.59
H1 under 124.5	61.1%	62.7%	78.4%	0.80×	1.59
H1 over 118.5	57.1%	58.2%	37.1%	1.57×	1.72
H1 under 122.5	55.1%	58.2%	74.0%	0.79×	1.72
H1 over 115.5	59.2%	58.2%	46.4%	1.25×	1.72
H1 under 121.5	52.1%	52.6%	71.2%	0.74×	1.90
H1 over 120.5	51.0%	52.6%	31.6%	1.67×	1.90
H1 over 117.5	53.3%	52.5%	40.4%	1.30×	1.90
H1 under 119.5	52.8%	52.5%	65.9%	0.80×	1.90
H1 over 119.5	47.2%	47.5%	34.1%	1.39×	2.11
H1 under 117.5	46.7%	47.5%	59.6%	0.80×	2.11
H1 under 120.5	49.0%	47.4%	68.4%	0.69×	2.11
H1 over 121.5	47.9%	47.4%	28.8%	1.64×	2.11
H1 under 115.5	40.8%	41.8%	53.6%	0.78×	2.39
H1 over 122.5	44.9%	41.8%	26.0%	1.60×	2.39
H1 under 118.5	42.9%	41.8%	62.9%	0.66×	2.39
H1 over 124.5	38.9%	37.3%	21.7%	1.72×	2.68
H1 under 116.5	37.0%	37.3%	56.6%	0.66×	2.68
H1 over 123.5	35.4%	36.7%	24.0%	1.53×	2.72
H1 over 126.5	33.1%	32.6%	17.2%	1.89×	3.07
H1 under 113.5	28.6%	26.5%	47.6%	0.56×	3.77
H1 over 129.5	25.2%	26.5%	11.9%	2.24×	3.77
H1 under 110.5	26.9%	26.0%	38.1%	0.68×	3.84
H1 under 109.5	19.2%	17.5%	35.0%	0.50×	5.72
H1 over 133.5	16.5%	17.5%	6.9%	2.54×	5.73
H1 over 130.5	18.2%	16.8%	10.4%	1.62×	5.96
H1 under 106.5	17.9%	16.8%	26.7%	0.63×	5.96

H2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cleveland Cavaliers to win H2	76.5%	73.9%	51.6%	1.43×	1.35
Washington Wizards to win H2	20.9%	26.8%	44.7%	0.60×	3.73
H2 tied	2.6%	3.9%	3.7%	1.06×	25.37

H2 total 34

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 over 106.5	82.6%	81.8%	68.8%	1.19×	1.22
H2 under 130.5	82.3%	81.8%	88.9%	0.92×	1.22
H2 under 128.5	82.4%	81.5%	86.3%	0.95×	1.23
H2 over 104.5	81.9%	81.5%	73.9%	1.10×	1.23
H2 under 124.5	73.4%	72.5%	79.1%	0.92×	1.38
H2 over 108.5	72.7%	72.5%	63.8%	1.14×	1.38
H2 over 110.5	73.5%	72.2%	58.1%	1.24×	1.39
H2 under 126.5	73.1%	72.2%	83.2%	0.87×	1.39
H2 over 113.5	65.3%	66.4%	49.9%	1.33×	1.51
H2 over 111.5	64.6%	62.6%	55.3%	1.13×	1.60
H2 under 123.5	64.9%	61.6%	76.9%	0.80×	1.62
H2 over 115.5	59.4%	57.3%	44.6%	1.29×	1.74
H2 under 121.5	59.0%	57.3%	72.0%	0.80×	1.74
H2 over 117.5	53.3%	52.4%	38.9%	1.34×	1.91
H2 under 119.5	52.8%	52.4%	66.4%	0.79×	1.91
H2 over 118.5	50.2%	52.4%	36.4%	1.44×	1.91
H2 under 116.5	50.4%	52.0%	58.1%	0.90×	1.92
H2 over 116.5	49.6%	48.0%	41.9%	1.14×	2.09
H2 under 118.5	49.8%	47.6%	63.6%	0.75×	2.10
H2 under 117.5	46.7%	47.6%	61.1%	0.78×	2.10
H2 over 119.5	47.2%	47.6%	33.6%	1.42×	2.10
H2 over 121.5	41.0%	42.7%	28.0%	1.52×	2.35
H2 under 115.5	40.6%	42.7%	55.4%	0.77×	2.35
H2 over 123.5	35.1%	38.4%	23.1%	1.66×	2.61
H2 under 111.5	35.4%	37.4%	44.7%	0.84×	2.67
H2 under 113.5	34.7%	33.6%	50.1%	0.67×	2.97
H2 over 126.5	26.9%	27.8%	16.8%	1.66×	3.59
H2 under 110.5	26.5%	27.8%	41.9%	0.66×	3.59
H2 under 108.5	27.3%	27.5%	36.2%	0.76×	3.63
H2 over 124.5	26.6%	27.5%	20.9%	1.32×	3.63
H2 under 104.5	18.1%	18.5%	26.1%	0.71×	5.41
H2 over 128.5	17.6%	18.5%	13.7%	1.35×	5.41
H2 over 130.5	17.7%	18.2%	11.1%	1.64×	5.50
H2 under 106.5	17.4%	18.2%	31.2%	0.58×	5.50

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cleveland Cavaliers leading at half time	76.8%	79.7%	52.8%	1.51×	1.26
Washington Wizards leading at half time	20.6%	20.9%	44.1%	0.47×	4.78
Level at half time	2.6%	3.8%	3.1%	1.22×	26.42

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cleveland Cavaliers +20.5	99.5%	97.4%	93.1%	1.05×	1.03
Cleveland Cavaliers +8.5	96.1%	97.4%	75.7%	1.29×	1.03
Cleveland Cavaliers +9.5	96.6%	97.4%	78.1%	1.25×	1.03
Cleveland Cavaliers +10.5	97.1%	97.4%	80.3%	1.21×	1.03
Cleveland Cavaliers +12.5	97.9%	97.4%	83.9%	1.16×	1.03
Cleveland Cavaliers +14.5	98.5%	97.4%	87.0%	1.12×	1.03
Cleveland Cavaliers +16.5	99.0%	97.4%	89.7%	1.09×	1.03
Cleveland Cavaliers +18.5	99.3%	97.4%	91.5%	1.06×	1.03
Cleveland Cavaliers +7.5	95.4%	97.4%	73.0%	1.33×	1.03
Cleveland Cavaliers +6.5	94.7%	91.1%	70.6%	1.29×	1.10
Cleveland Cavaliers +4.5	93.1%	91.1%	65.7%	1.39×	1.10
Cleveland Cavaliers +5.5	93.9%	91.1%	68.0%	1.34×	1.10
Cleveland Cavaliers +2.5	91.0%	91.1%	60.5%	1.51×	1.10
Cleveland Cavaliers +3.5	92.1%	91.1%	63.1%	1.44×	1.10
Cleveland Cavaliers +1.5	89.8%	85.9%	57.9%	1.48×	1.16
Cleveland Cavaliers −1.5	87.1%	85.9%	53.7%	1.60×	1.16
Cleveland Cavaliers −2.5	85.4%	85.9%	50.9%	1.69×	1.16
Cleveland Cavaliers −3.5	83.7%	81.1%	48.4%	1.68×	1.23
Cleveland Cavaliers −4.5	81.8%	81.1%	46.0%	1.77×	1.23
Cleveland Cavaliers −5.5	79.9%	76.5%	42.9%	1.78×	1.31
Cleveland Cavaliers −6.5	77.8%	76.5%	40.0%	1.91×	1.31
Cleveland Cavaliers −7.5	75.6%	76.5%	37.0%	2.06×	1.31
Cleveland Cavaliers −8.5	73.3%	71.6%	34.1%	2.10×	1.40
Cleveland Cavaliers −9.5	70.9%	71.6%	31.3%	2.29×	1.40
Cleveland Cavaliers −10.5	68.4%	66.7%	29.0%	2.30×	1.50
Cleveland Cavaliers −12.5	63.2%	61.9%	24.0%	2.58×	1.62
Cleveland Cavaliers −14.5	57.8%	57.1%	19.9%	2.87×	1.75
Washington Wizards +20.5	58.8%	57.1%	89.1%	0.64×	1.75
Washington Wizards +18.5	53.3%	52.4%	86.4%	0.61×	1.91
Cleveland Cavaliers −16.5	52.3%	52.4%	16.5%	3.18×	1.91
Washington Wizards +16.5	47.7%	47.6%	83.5%	0.57×	2.10
Cleveland Cavaliers −18.5	46.7%	47.6%	13.6%	3.49×	2.10
Washington Wizards +14.5	42.2%	42.9%	80.1%	0.54×	2.33
Cleveland Cavaliers −20.5	41.2%	42.9%	10.9%	3.95×	2.33
Washington Wizards +12.5	36.8%	38.1%	76.0%	0.50×	2.63
Washington Wizards +10.5	31.6%	33.3%	71.0%	0.47×	3.01
Washington Wizards +9.5	29.1%	28.4%	68.7%	0.41×	3.53
Washington Wizards +8.5	26.7%	28.4%	65.9%	0.43×	3.53
Washington Wizards +7.5	24.4%	23.5%	63.0%	0.37×	4.25
Washington Wizards +6.5	22.2%	23.5%	60.0%	0.39×	4.25
Washington Wizards +5.5	20.1%	23.5%	57.1%	0.41×	4.25
Washington Wizards +4.5	18.2%	18.9%	54.1%	0.35×	5.29
Washington Wizards +3.5	16.3%	18.9%	51.6%	0.37×	5.30
Washington Wizards +2.5	14.6%	14.1%	49.1%	0.29×	7.09
Washington Wizards +1.5	12.9%	14.1%	46.3%	0.30×	7.09
Washington Wizards −1.5	10.2%	14.1%	42.1%	0.33×	7.09
Washington Wizards −2.5	9.0%	8.9%	39.5%	0.22×	11.25
Washington Wizards −3.5	7.9%	8.9%	36.9%	0.24×	11.25
Washington Wizards −4.5	6.9%	8.9%	34.3%	0.26×	11.25
Washington Wizards −5.5	6.1%	8.9%	32.0%	0.28×	11.25
Washington Wizards −6.5	5.3%	8.9%	29.4%	0.30×	11.25
Washington Wizards −7.5	4.6%	2.6%	27.0%	0.10×	38.72
Washington Wizards −8.5	3.9%	2.6%	24.3%	0.11×	38.72
Washington Wizards −9.5	3.4%	2.6%	21.9%	0.12×	38.73
Washington Wizards −10.5	2.9%	2.6%	19.7%	0.13×	38.73
Washington Wizards −12.5	2.1%	2.6%	16.1%	0.16×	38.73
Washington Wizards −14.5	1.5%	2.6%	13.0%	0.20×	38.73
Washington Wizards −16.5	1.0%	2.6%	10.3%	0.25×	38.74
Washington Wizards −18.5	0.7%	2.6%	8.5%	0.30×	38.74
Washington Wizards −20.5	0.5%	2.6%	6.9%	0.37×	38.74

Highest scoring half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1st half highest scoring	56.9%	52.6%	53.5%	0.98×	1.90
2nd half highest scoring	43.1%	47.4%	46.5%	1.02×	2.11

Highest scoring quarter 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 highest scoring	28.4%	27.4%	29.2%	0.94×	3.65
Q3 highest scoring	28.1%	27.4%	27.5%	1.00×	3.65
Q2 highest scoring	26.6%	27.4%	26.3%	1.04×	3.65
Q4 highest scoring	16.9%	18.3%	17.0%	1.08×	5.46

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cleveland Cavaliers at HT / Cleveland Cavaliers at FT	73.1%	73.2%	40.8%	1.80×	1.37
Washington Wizards at HT / Cleveland Cavaliers at FT	13.3%	12.2%	13.3%	0.92×	8.17
Washington Wizards at HT / Washington Wizards at FT	7.3%	8.3%	30.9%	0.27×	12.09
Cleveland Cavaliers at HT / Washington Wizards at FT	3.7%	2.1%	12.0%	0.17×	47.73
Level at HT / Cleveland Cavaliers at FT	2.1%	2.1%	1.7%	1.22×	47.76
Level at HT / Washington Wizards at FT	0.5%	2.1%	1.4%	1.49×	47.78

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cleveland Cavaliers to win	88.6%	85.6%	55.7%	1.54×	1.17
Washington Wizards to win	11.4%	14.4%	44.3%	0.33×	6.92

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cleveland Cavaliers odd	50.0%	50.5%	50.3%	1.00×	1.98
Washington Wizards even	50.0%	50.5%	50.3%	1.00×	1.98
Total points odd	50.7%	50.5%	51.0%	0.99×	1.98
Cleveland Cavaliers even	50.0%	49.5%	49.7%	1.00×	2.02
Washington Wizards odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.7%	1.00×	2.02
Total points even	49.3%	49.5%	49.0%	1.01×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	96.7%	97.0%	94.8%	1.02×	1.03
Match to go to overtime	3.4%	3.0%	5.2%	0.58×	33.43

Q1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cleveland Cavaliers to win Q1	68.0%	72.3%	51.3%	1.41×	1.38
Washington Wizards to win Q1	27.8%	22.4%	44.1%	0.51×	4.46
Q1 tied	4.2%	4.2%	4.6%	0.90×	23.96

Q1 total 32

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 under 67.5	82.7%	83.2%	88.8%	0.94×	1.20
Q1 over 51.5	82.3%	83.2%	76.0%	1.10×	1.20
Q1 over 52.5	82.9%	82.8%	72.4%	1.14×	1.21
Q1 under 68.5	82.5%	82.8%	90.7%	0.91×	1.21
Q1 under 64.5	72.3%	73.1%	80.1%	0.91×	1.37
Q1 over 54.5	71.8%	73.1%	63.3%	1.16×	1.37
Q1 over 55.5	72.5%	72.7%	59.2%	1.23×	1.38
Q1 under 65.5	71.9%	72.7%	83.2%	0.87×	1.38
Q1 under 62.5	64.0%	62.3%	72.9%	0.85×	1.61
Q1 over 56.5	63.5%	62.3%	54.6%	1.14×	1.61
Q1 over 57.5	64.1%	61.7%	49.6%	1.25×	1.62
Q1 under 63.5	63.5%	61.7%	76.8%	0.80×	1.62
Q1 over 59.5	55.0%	58.6%	40.0%	1.47×	1.71
Q1 over 58.5	54.4%	52.7%	44.3%	1.19×	1.90
Q1 under 61.5	54.4%	52.7%	68.5%	0.77×	1.90
Q1 over 60.5	50.3%	52.7%	35.5%	1.48×	1.90
Q1 under 60.5	49.7%	47.3%	64.5%	0.73×	2.11
Q1 over 61.5	45.6%	47.3%	31.5%	1.50×	2.11
Q1 under 58.5	45.6%	47.3%	55.7%	0.85×	2.11
Q1 under 59.5	45.0%	41.4%	60.0%	0.69×	2.42
Q1 over 63.5	36.5%	38.3%	23.2%	1.65×	2.61
Q1 under 57.5	35.9%	38.3%	50.4%	0.76×	2.61
Q1 under 56.5	36.5%	37.7%	45.4%	0.83×	2.65
Q1 over 62.5	36.0%	37.7%	27.1%	1.39×	2.65
Q1 over 65.5	28.1%	27.3%	16.8%	1.62×	3.66
Q1 under 55.5	27.5%	27.3%	40.8%	0.67×	3.66
Q1 under 54.5	28.2%	26.9%	36.7%	0.73×	3.72
Q1 over 64.5	27.7%	26.9%	19.9%	1.35×	3.72
Q1 over 68.5	17.5%	17.2%	9.3%	1.84×	5.83
Q1 under 52.5	17.1%	17.2%	27.6%	0.62×	5.83
Q1 under 51.5	17.7%	16.8%	24.0%	0.70×	5.95
Q1 over 67.5	17.3%	16.8%	11.2%	1.49×	5.95

Q2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cleveland Cavaliers to win Q2	67.8%	68.4%	49.3%	1.39×	1.46
Washington Wizards to win Q2	28.1%	27.7%	46.2%	0.60×	3.61
Q2 tied	4.2%	4.4%	4.5%	0.98×	22.90

Q2 total 32

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q2 under 67.5	83.5%	83.1%	88.7%	0.94×	1.20
Q2 over 51.5	81.3%	83.1%	74.2%	1.12×	1.20
Q2 under 68.5	83.3%	83.0%	90.6%	0.92×	1.21
Q2 over 52.5	81.8%	83.0%	70.3%	1.18×	1.21
Q2 under 64.5	73.4%	73.0%	80.9%	0.90×	1.37
Q2 over 54.5	70.5%	73.0%	61.1%	1.20×	1.37
Q2 under 65.5	73.0%	72.0%	83.6%	0.86×	1.39
Q2 over 55.5	71.1%	72.0%	56.3%	1.28×	1.39
Q2 under 62.5	65.2%	67.6%	74.4%	0.91×	1.48
Q2 over 56.5	62.0%	62.0%	51.7%	1.20×	1.61
Q2 under 63.5	64.8%	60.7%	77.5%	0.78×	1.65
Q2 over 57.5	62.7%	60.7%	47.3%	1.28×	1.65
Q2 under 61.5	55.8%	58.2%	70.4%	0.83×	1.72
Q2 over 59.5	53.5%	52.7%	38.1%	1.38×	1.90
Q2 under 60.5	51.1%	52.7%	65.7%	0.80×	1.90
Q2 over 58.5	52.9%	52.2%	42.7%	1.22×	1.92
Q2 under 58.5	47.1%	47.8%	57.3%	0.83×	2.09
Q2 over 60.5	48.9%	47.3%	34.3%	1.38×	2.11
Q2 under 59.5	46.5%	47.3%	61.9%	0.76×	2.11
Q2 over 61.5	44.2%	41.8%	29.6%	1.41×	2.39
Q2 under 57.5	37.3%	39.3%	52.7%	0.75×	2.55
Q2 over 63.5	35.2%	39.3%	22.5%	1.75×	2.55
Q2 under 56.5	38.0%	38.0%	48.3%	0.79×	2.63
Q2 over 62.5	34.8%	32.4%	25.6%	1.26×	3.09
Q2 under 55.5	28.9%	28.0%	43.7%	0.64×	3.57
Q2 over 65.5	27.0%	28.0%	16.4%	1.71×	3.57
Q2 under 54.5	29.5%	27.0%	38.9%	0.69×	3.71
Q2 over 64.5	26.6%	27.0%	19.1%	1.41×	3.71
Q2 under 52.5	18.2%	17.0%	29.7%	0.57×	5.88
Q2 over 68.5	16.7%	17.0%	9.4%	1.80×	5.88
Q2 under 51.5	18.7%	16.9%	25.8%	0.65×	5.93
Q2 over 67.5	16.5%	16.9%	11.3%	1.49×	5.93

Q3 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cleveland Cavaliers to win Q3	67.8%	66.7%	50.9%	1.31×	1.50
Washington Wizards to win Q3	28.0%	28.8%	44.3%	0.65×	3.47
Q3 tied	4.1%	4.3%	4.9%	0.88×	23.45

Q3 total 32

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 over 52.5	83.6%	82.3%	72.2%	1.14×	1.22
Q3 under 68.5	82.2%	82.3%	89.3%	0.92×	1.22
Q3 over 51.5	83.1%	82.2%	76.1%	1.08×	1.22
Q3 under 67.5	82.5%	82.2%	87.0%	0.94×	1.22
Q3 over 54.5	72.7%	72.5%	63.9%	1.14×	1.38
Q3 under 64.5	71.9%	72.5%	79.2%	0.92×	1.38
Q3 over 55.5	73.3%	71.8%	59.9%	1.20×	1.39
Q3 under 65.5	71.4%	71.8%	82.2%	0.87×	1.39
Q3 over 56.5	64.3%	62.6%	55.0%	1.14×	1.60
Q3 under 62.5	63.4%	62.6%	71.9%	0.87×	1.60
Q3 over 57.5	65.0%	62.0%	50.2%	1.23×	1.61
Q3 under 63.5	62.9%	61.9%	75.9%	0.82×	1.61
Q3 over 59.5	55.9%	58.4%	41.0%	1.42×	1.71
Q3 over 58.5	55.2%	57.8%	45.2%	1.28×	1.73
Q3 under 61.5	53.6%	52.3%	67.7%	0.77×	1.91
Q3 over 60.5	51.1%	52.3%	36.5%	1.43×	1.91
Q3 under 60.5	48.9%	47.7%	63.5%	0.75×	2.10
Q3 over 61.5	46.4%	47.7%	32.3%	1.48×	2.10
Q3 under 58.5	44.8%	42.2%	54.8%	0.77×	2.37
Q3 under 59.5	44.1%	41.6%	59.0%	0.71×	2.40
Q3 over 63.5	37.1%	38.1%	24.1%	1.58×	2.63
Q3 under 57.5	35.0%	38.0%	49.8%	0.76×	2.63
Q3 over 62.5	36.6%	37.4%	28.1%	1.33×	2.67
Q3 under 56.5	35.7%	37.4%	45.0%	0.83×	2.67
Q3 over 65.5	28.6%	28.2%	17.8%	1.58×	3.55
Q3 under 55.5	26.7%	28.2%	40.1%	0.70×	3.55
Q3 over 64.5	28.2%	27.5%	20.8%	1.32×	3.64
Q3 under 54.5	27.3%	27.5%	36.1%	0.76×	3.64
Q3 over 67.5	17.5%	17.8%	13.0%	1.37×	5.62
Q3 under 51.5	16.9%	17.8%	23.9%	0.74×	5.63
Q3 over 68.5	17.8%	17.7%	10.7%	1.65×	5.66
Q3 under 52.5	16.4%	17.7%	27.8%	0.64×	5.66

Q4 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cleveland Cavaliers to win Q4	67.5%	60.6%	48.3%	1.26×	1.65
Washington Wizards to win Q4	28.2%	33.4%	46.4%	0.72×	3.00
Q4 tied	4.3%	5.2%	5.3%	0.97×	19.29

Q4 total 32

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 under 66.5	84.1%	82.0%	90.4%	0.91×	1.22
Q4 over 50.5	80.1%	82.0%	68.5%	1.20×	1.22
Q4 under 65.5	84.2%	81.9%	88.4%	0.93×	1.22
Q4 over 49.5	79.7%	78.3%	72.3%	1.08×	1.28
Q4 under 62.5	74.5%	72.3%	80.4%	0.90×	1.38
Q4 under 63.5	74.3%	71.5%	83.7%	0.85×	1.40
Q4 over 53.5	69.2%	67.4%	55.7%	1.21×	1.48
Q4 under 61.5	66.3%	67.4%	77.5%	0.87×	1.48
Q4 over 52.5	68.7%	66.7%	60.4%	1.10×	1.50
Q4 under 60.5	66.6%	66.6%	74.2%	0.90×	1.50
Q4 over 54.5	60.2%	61.6%	51.4%	1.20×	1.62
Q4 over 55.5	60.6%	61.4%	47.1%	1.30×	1.63
Q4 under 59.5	57.6%	58.4%	70.2%	0.83×	1.71
Q4 under 58.5	53.0%	52.5%	66.2%	0.79×	1.91
Q4 over 57.5	51.6%	52.5%	38.1%	1.38×	1.91
Q4 over 56.5	51.2%	52.3%	42.8%	1.22×	1.91
Q4 under 56.5	48.8%	47.7%	57.2%	0.83×	2.10
Q4 under 57.5	48.4%	47.5%	61.9%	0.77×	2.11
Q4 over 58.5	47.0%	47.5%	33.8%	1.41×	2.11
Q4 over 59.5	42.4%	41.6%	29.8%	1.40×	2.40
Q4 under 55.5	39.4%	38.6%	52.9%	0.73×	2.59
Q4 under 54.5	39.8%	38.4%	48.6%	0.79×	2.61
Q4 over 60.5	33.4%	33.4%	25.8%	1.30×	3.00
Q4 under 52.5	31.3%	33.3%	39.6%	0.84×	3.00
Q4 over 61.5	33.7%	32.6%	22.5%	1.45×	3.07
Q4 under 53.5	30.8%	32.6%	44.3%	0.73×	3.07
Q4 over 63.5	25.7%	28.5%	16.3%	1.75×	3.51
Q4 over 62.5	25.5%	27.7%	19.6%	1.41×	3.61
Q4 under 49.5	20.3%	21.7%	27.7%	0.78×	4.61
Q4 over 65.5	15.8%	18.1%	11.6%	1.56×	5.54
Q4 under 50.5	19.9%	18.0%	31.5%	0.57×	5.56
Q4 over 66.5	15.9%	18.0%	9.6%	1.88×	5.56

Team total 76

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Wizards under 121.5	81.6%	80.7%	74.7%	1.08×	1.24
Cleveland Cavaliers under 138.5	80.6%	80.7%	96.4%	0.84×	1.24
Washington Wizards under 122.5	80.5%	80.3%	77.4%	1.04×	1.25
Washington Wizards over 102.5	78.9%	78.3%	79.7%	0.98×	1.28
Cleveland Cavaliers over 113.5	77.9%	78.3%	54.3%	1.44×	1.28
Cleveland Cavaliers over 118.5	80.0%	75.1%	39.7%	1.89×	1.33
Washington Wizards over 101.5	79.4%	75.1%	82.0%	0.92×	1.33
Cleveland Cavaliers under 130.5	73.9%	71.9%	88.6%	0.81×	1.39
Washington Wizards under 119.5	72.9%	71.9%	70.3%	1.02×	1.39
Washington Wizards over 105.5	71.0%	71.8%	71.9%	1.00×	1.39
Washington Wizards under 118.5	73.9%	70.7%	67.4%	1.05×	1.41
Cleveland Cavaliers over 121.5	72.1%	70.7%	30.4%	2.32×	1.41
Cleveland Cavaliers under 135.5	72.8%	70.7%	94.4%	0.75×	1.41
Washington Wizards over 104.5	71.3%	70.7%	75.0%	0.94×	1.41
Cleveland Cavaliers over 116.5	69.9%	66.6%	45.3%	1.47×	1.50
Washington Wizards under 117.5	67.2%	66.6%	64.4%	1.03×	1.50
Washington Wizards over 107.5	65.0%	66.6%	66.6%	1.00×	1.50
Washington Wizards under 116.5	68.1%	66.4%	61.5%	1.08×	1.51
Cleveland Cavaliers over 123.5	66.1%	66.4%	25.6%	2.59×	1.51
Cleveland Cavaliers under 133.5	66.9%	66.4%	92.3%	0.72×	1.51
Washington Wizards over 106.5	65.2%	66.4%	68.9%	0.96×	1.51
Cleveland Cavaliers under 131.5	60.5%	61.2%	89.8%	0.68×	1.63
Washington Wizards under 114.5	61.7%	61.2%	55.5%	1.10×	1.63
Cleveland Cavaliers under 126.5	62.1%	61.2%	81.5%	0.75×	1.64
Washington Wizards under 115.5	61.0%	61.2%	58.6%	1.04×	1.64
Washington Wizards over 109.5	58.7%	57.9%	60.9%	0.95×	1.73
Cleveland Cavaliers over 120.5	57.6%	57.9%	33.7%	1.72×	1.73
Cleveland Cavaliers under 124.5	55.6%	57.9%	76.8%	0.75×	1.73
Cleveland Cavaliers over 125.5	59.7%	57.1%	20.9%	2.73×	1.75
Washington Wizards over 108.5	58.6%	57.1%	64.0%	0.89×	1.75
Washington Wizards under 112.5	55.0%	57.1%	48.5%	1.18×	1.75
Cleveland Cavaliers under 129.5	53.8%	52.3%	87.2%	0.60×	1.91
Cleveland Cavaliers over 127.5	53.0%	52.3%	16.5%	3.17×	1.91
Washington Wizards under 111.5	51.6%	52.3%	45.4%	1.15×	1.91
Washington Wizards over 110.5	51.8%	52.3%	57.9%	0.90×	1.91
Cleveland Cavaliers under 128.5	50.4%	52.3%	85.5%	0.61×	1.91
Washington Wizards under 113.5	54.5%	52.2%	52.0%	1.00×	1.91
Cleveland Cavaliers over 122.5	51.0%	52.2%	28.2%	1.85×	1.91
Cleveland Cavaliers under 122.5	49.0%	47.8%	71.8%	0.67×	2.09
Washington Wizards over 113.5	45.5%	47.8%	48.0%	1.00×	2.09
Cleveland Cavaliers over 128.5	49.6%	47.7%	14.5%	3.29×	2.09
Cleveland Cavaliers under 127.5	47.0%	47.7%	83.5%	0.57×	2.09
Washington Wizards over 111.5	48.4%	47.7%	54.6%	0.88×	2.09
Washington Wizards under 110.5	48.2%	47.7%	42.1%	1.13×	2.09
Cleveland Cavaliers over 129.5	46.2%	47.7%	12.8%	3.72×	2.09
Washington Wizards over 112.5	45.0%	42.9%	51.5%	0.83×	2.33
Washington Wizards under 108.5	41.4%	42.9%	36.0%	1.19×	2.33
Cleveland Cavaliers under 125.5	40.3%	42.9%	79.1%	0.54×	2.33
Cleveland Cavaliers over 124.5	44.4%	42.1%	23.2%	1.81×	2.38
Cleveland Cavaliers under 120.5	42.4%	42.1%	66.3%	0.63×	2.38
Washington Wizards under 109.5	41.3%	42.1%	39.1%	1.08×	2.38
Washington Wizards over 115.5	39.0%	38.8%	41.4%	0.94×	2.58
Cleveland Cavaliers over 126.5	37.9%	38.8%	18.5%	2.10×	2.58
Cleveland Cavaliers over 131.5	39.5%	38.8%	10.2%	3.80×	2.58
Washington Wizards over 114.5	38.3%	38.8%	44.5%	0.87×	2.58
Washington Wizards under 106.5	34.8%	33.6%	31.1%	1.08×	2.98
Cleveland Cavaliers under 123.5	33.9%	33.6%	74.4%	0.45×	2.98
Cleveland Cavaliers over 133.5	33.1%	33.6%	7.7%	4.34×	2.98
Washington Wizards over 116.5	31.9%	33.6%	38.5%	0.87×	2.98
Washington Wizards under 107.5	35.0%	33.4%	33.4%	1.00×	2.99
Washington Wizards over 117.5	32.8%	33.4%	35.6%	0.94×	3.00
Cleveland Cavaliers under 116.5	30.1%	33.4%	54.7%	0.61×	3.00
Washington Wizards under 104.5	28.7%	29.3%	25.0%	1.17×	3.42
Cleveland Cavaliers under 121.5	27.9%	29.3%	69.6%	0.42×	3.42
Cleveland Cavaliers over 135.5	27.2%	29.3%	5.6%	5.26×	3.42
Washington Wizards over 118.5	26.1%	29.3%	32.6%	0.90×	3.42
Washington Wizards under 105.5	29.0%	28.2%	28.1%	1.00×	3.55
Washington Wizards over 119.5	27.1%	28.1%	29.7%	0.95×	3.55
Cleveland Cavaliers over 130.5	26.1%	28.1%	11.4%	2.47×	3.55
Cleveland Cavaliers under 118.5	20.0%	24.9%	60.3%	0.41×	4.02
Washington Wizards under 101.5	20.6%	24.9%	18.0%	1.38×	4.02
Cleveland Cavaliers under 113.5	22.1%	21.7%	45.7%	0.48×	4.60
Washington Wizards under 102.5	21.1%	21.7%	20.3%	1.07×	4.60
Washington Wizards over 122.5	19.5%	19.7%	22.6%	0.87×	5.07
Cleveland Cavaliers over 138.5	19.4%	19.3%	3.6%	5.34×	5.18
Washington Wizards over 121.5	18.4%	19.3%	25.3%	0.76×	5.18

Total points 48

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 255.5 points	86.3%	85.5%	90.8%	0.94×	1.17
Under 259.5 points	86.3%	85.0%	93.6%	0.91×	1.18
Over 219.5 points	86.0%	85.0%	66.1%	1.29×	1.18
Over 215.5 points	85.0%	81.9%	73.4%	1.12×	1.22
Under 250.5 points	79.6%	78.1%	86.1%	0.91×	1.28
Over 220.5 points	77.9%	78.1%	64.2%	1.22×	1.28
Under 254.5 points	79.4%	75.6%	89.9%	0.84×	1.32
Over 224.5 points	79.1%	75.6%	56.5%	1.34×	1.32
Under 245.5 points	71.3%	71.0%	80.9%	0.88×	1.41
Over 229.5 points	70.5%	70.8%	46.7%	1.52×	1.41
Under 249.5 points	70.8%	70.8%	85.3%	0.83×	1.41
Over 225.5 points	69.2%	66.6%	54.7%	1.22×	1.50
Over 228.5 points	63.4%	61.8%	48.7%	1.27×	1.62
Over 232.5 points	64.7%	61.5%	40.6%	1.51×	1.63
Under 246.5 points	65.0%	61.5%	82.0%	0.75×	1.63
Over 234.5 points	60.5%	61.5%	36.7%	1.68×	1.63
Under 244.5 points	60.9%	61.5%	79.5%	0.77×	1.63
Over 236.5 points	56.3%	56.5%	32.7%	1.73×	1.77
Under 242.5 points	56.7%	56.5%	76.8%	0.74×	1.77
Over 230.5 points	59.4%	56.0%	44.6%	1.26×	1.79
Over 238.5 points	52.0%	52.3%	29.1%	1.80×	1.91
Under 240.5 points	52.4%	52.3%	74.0%	0.71×	1.91
Under 239.5 points	50.2%	52.3%	72.5%	0.72×	1.91
Under 235.5 points	51.2%	52.2%	65.3%	0.80×	1.92
Over 235.5 points	48.8%	47.8%	34.7%	1.37×	2.09
Over 239.5 points	49.8%	47.7%	27.5%	1.73×	2.10
Under 238.5 points	48.0%	47.7%	70.9%	0.67×	2.10
Over 240.5 points	47.7%	47.7%	26.0%	1.84×	2.10
Under 230.5 points	40.6%	44.0%	55.4%	0.79×	2.27
Under 236.5 points	43.7%	43.5%	67.3%	0.65×	2.30
Over 242.5 points	43.3%	43.5%	23.2%	1.88×	2.30
Under 234.5 points	39.5%	38.5%	63.3%	0.61×	2.60
Over 244.5 points	39.1%	38.5%	20.5%	1.88×	2.60
Under 232.5 points	35.3%	38.5%	59.4%	0.65×	2.60
Over 246.5 points	35.0%	38.5%	18.0%	2.14×	2.60
Under 228.5 points	36.6%	38.3%	51.3%	0.75×	2.61
Under 225.5 points	30.8%	33.4%	45.3%	0.74×	3.00
Under 229.5 points	29.5%	29.2%	53.3%	0.55×	3.43
Over 249.5 points	29.2%	29.2%	14.7%	1.99×	3.43
Over 245.5 points	28.7%	29.0%	19.1%	1.51×	3.45
Under 224.5 points	20.9%	24.4%	43.5%	0.56×	4.10
Over 254.5 points	20.6%	24.4%	10.1%	2.42×	4.10
Under 220.5 points	22.1%	21.9%	35.8%	0.61×	4.57
Over 250.5 points	20.4%	21.9%	13.9%	1.58×	4.57
Under 215.5 points	15.0%	18.1%	26.6%	0.68×	5.53
Under 219.5 points	14.0%	15.0%	33.9%	0.44×	6.68
Over 259.5 points	13.7%	15.0%	6.4%	2.35×	6.68
Over 255.5 points	13.7%	14.5%	9.2%	1.58×	6.88

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cleveland Cavaliers to win both halves	57.3%	57.8%	25.2%	2.29×	1.73
Washington Wizards to win both halves	3.1%	3.0%	17.8%	0.17×	33.65

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cleveland Cavaliers by 26+	28.4%	30.8%	6.2%	4.98×	3.25
Cleveland Cavaliers by 11-15	13.3%	12.3%	10.8%	1.14×	8.11
Cleveland Cavaliers by 16-20	13.9%	12.3%	7.3%	1.68×	8.11
Cleveland Cavaliers by 21-25	12.8%	12.3%	4.7%	2.62×	8.11
Cleveland Cavaliers by 6-10	11.4%	12.3%	13.9%	0.88×	8.11
Cleveland Cavaliers by 1-5	8.7%	7.5%	12.8%	0.58×	13.40
Washington Wizards by 1-5	5.4%	7.5%	12.3%	0.61×	13.40
Washington Wizards by 6-10	3.2%	2.0%	12.3%	0.16×	49.30
Washington Wizards by 11-15	1.7%	2.0%	8.0%	0.25×	49.31
Washington Wizards by 16-20	0.8%	2.0%	4.9%	0.42×	49.32
Washington Wizards by 21-25	0.3%	2.0%	3.0%	0.67×	49.33
Washington Wizards by 26+	0.2%	2.0%	3.9%	0.53×	49.33

Cleveland Cavaliers v Washington Wizards — Prediction, Odds & Stats

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