Cornell Big Red v Mercyhurst Lakers — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Wednesday 18 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027
NCAAW results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 68.47–60.82 | 69-61 0% | 50% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cornell Big Red to score 100+ | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.20× | 283.34 |
| Cornell Big Red to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.64× | 283.36 |
| Cornell Big Red to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 2.91× | 283.36 |
| Cornell Big Red to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 7.58× | 283.36 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.72× | 283.36 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.74× | 283.36 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 18.95× | 283.36 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 37.89× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 6.32× | 283.36 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cornell Big Red to win H1 | 64.2% | 62.3% | 56.4% | 1.10× | 1.61 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers to win H1 | 31.7% | 33.1% | 39.9% | 0.83× | 3.02 |
| H1 tied | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.05× | 25.86 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 74.5 | 89.4% | 87.7% | 87.2% | 1.01× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 50.5 | 87.1% | 87.7% | 84.5% | 1.04× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 70.5 | 80.3% | 82.5% | 78.9% | 1.05× | 1.21 |
| H1 over 54.5 | 76.7% | 77.4% | 74.0% | 1.05× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 67.5 | 71.1% | 73.5% | 70.4% | 1.04× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 57.5 | 66.7% | 67.4% | 64.8% | 1.04× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 65.5 | 64.0% | 62.7% | 63.9% | 0.98× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 59.5 | 59.2% | 58.2% | 57.8% | 1.01× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 63.5 | 56.4% | 58.2% | 57.1% | 1.02× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 62.5 | 52.5% | 52.6% | 53.7% | 0.98× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 61.5 | 51.4% | 52.6% | 50.2% | 1.05× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 61.5 | 48.6% | 47.4% | 49.8% | 0.95× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 62.5 | 47.5% | 47.4% | 46.3% | 1.02× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 63.5 | 43.6% | 41.8% | 42.9% | 0.97× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 59.5 | 40.8% | 41.8% | 42.2% | 0.99× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 65.5 | 36.0% | 37.3% | 36.1% | 1.03× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 57.5 | 33.3% | 32.6% | 35.2% | 0.93× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 67.5 | 28.9% | 26.5% | 29.6% | 0.90× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 54.5 | 23.3% | 22.6% | 26.0% | 0.87× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 70.5 | 19.7% | 17.5% | 21.1% | 0.83× | 5.72 |
| H1 under 50.5 | 12.9% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 0.80× | 8.14 |
| H1 over 74.5 | 10.6% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 0.96× | 8.14 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cornell Big Red to win H2 | 65.2% | 62.7% | 56.0% | 1.12× | 1.59 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers to win H2 | 30.9% | 36.3% | 40.6% | 0.89× | 2.76 |
| H2 tied | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.16× | 25.36 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 80.5 | 88.5% | 85.2% | 84.0% | 1.01× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 56.5 | 85.7% | 85.2% | 84.1% | 1.01× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 76.5 | 79.5% | 75.8% | 75.6% | 1.00× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 60.5 | 75.4% | 75.8% | 74.5% | 1.02× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 73.5 | 70.6% | 72.2% | 67.1% | 1.08× | 1.39 |
| H2 over 63.5 | 65.6% | 66.4% | 65.3% | 1.02× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 71.5 | 63.9% | 61.6% | 61.1% | 1.01× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 65.5 | 58.4% | 57.3% | 58.8% | 0.98× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 69.5 | 56.6% | 57.3% | 54.8% | 1.05× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 68.5 | 52.9% | 52.4% | 51.3% | 1.02× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 67.5 | 50.9% | 52.4% | 52.1% | 1.00× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 67.5 | 49.1% | 47.6% | 47.9% | 1.00× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 68.5 | 47.1% | 47.6% | 48.7% | 0.98× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 69.5 | 43.4% | 42.7% | 45.2% | 0.94× | 2.34 |
| H2 under 65.5 | 41.6% | 42.7% | 41.2% | 1.03× | 2.34 |
| H2 over 71.5 | 36.1% | 38.4% | 38.9% | 0.99× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 63.5 | 34.4% | 33.6% | 34.7% | 0.97× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 73.5 | 29.4% | 27.8% | 32.9% | 0.85× | 3.59 |
| H2 under 60.5 | 24.6% | 24.2% | 25.5% | 0.95× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 76.5 | 20.5% | 24.2% | 24.4% | 0.99× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 56.5 | 14.3% | 14.8% | 15.9% | 0.93× | 6.76 |
| H2 over 80.5 | 11.5% | 14.8% | 16.0% | 0.93× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cornell Big Red leading at half time | 64.2% | 62.5% | 56.4% | 1.11× | 1.60 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers leading at half time | 31.7% | 32.7% | 39.9% | 0.82× | 3.06 |
| Level at half time | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.03× | 26.40 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cornell Big Red +20.5 | 99.4% | 97.4% | 92.7% | 1.05× | 1.03 |
| Cornell Big Red +12.5 | 96.3% | 97.4% | 83.8% | 1.16× | 1.03 |
| Cornell Big Red +14.5 | 97.5% | 97.4% | 86.7% | 1.12× | 1.03 |
| Cornell Big Red +16.5 | 98.4% | 97.4% | 89.1% | 1.09× | 1.03 |
| Cornell Big Red +18.5 | 99.0% | 97.4% | 91.1% | 1.07× | 1.03 |
| Cornell Big Red +10.5 | 94.5% | 91.1% | 80.4% | 1.13× | 1.10 |
| Cornell Big Red +8.5 | 92.2% | 91.1% | 76.5% | 1.19× | 1.10 |
| Cornell Big Red +9.5 | 93.5% | 91.1% | 78.7% | 1.16× | 1.10 |
| Cornell Big Red +7.5 | 90.8% | 91.1% | 74.5% | 1.22× | 1.10 |
| Cornell Big Red +6.5 | 89.2% | 85.9% | 72.3% | 1.19× | 1.16 |
| Cornell Big Red +5.5 | 87.5% | 85.9% | 70.1% | 1.23× | 1.16 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers +20.5 | 87.6% | 85.9% | 82.0% | 1.05× | 1.16 |
| Cornell Big Red +4.5 | 85.5% | 85.9% | 67.8% | 1.27× | 1.16 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers +18.5 | 83.4% | 81.1% | 79.3% | 1.02× | 1.23 |
| Cornell Big Red +3.5 | 83.4% | 81.1% | 65.7% | 1.23× | 1.23 |
| Cornell Big Red +2.5 | 81.0% | 81.1% | 63.3% | 1.28× | 1.23 |
| Cornell Big Red +1.5 | 78.4% | 76.5% | 61.2% | 1.25× | 1.31 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers +16.5 | 78.5% | 76.5% | 75.7% | 1.01× | 1.31 |
| Cornell Big Red −1.5 | 72.6% | 71.6% | 58.7% | 1.22× | 1.40 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers +14.5 | 72.7% | 71.6% | 72.1% | 0.99× | 1.40 |
| Cornell Big Red −2.5 | 69.3% | 66.7% | 56.7% | 1.18× | 1.50 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers +12.5 | 66.3% | 66.7% | 67.9% | 0.98× | 1.50 |
| Cornell Big Red −3.5 | 66.0% | 66.7% | 54.2% | 1.23× | 1.50 |
| Cornell Big Red −4.5 | 62.5% | 61.9% | 52.2% | 1.19× | 1.62 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers +10.5 | 59.4% | 57.1% | 63.2% | 0.90× | 1.75 |
| Cornell Big Red −5.5 | 58.9% | 57.1% | 49.7% | 1.15× | 1.75 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers +9.5 | 55.8% | 57.1% | 60.7% | 0.94× | 1.75 |
| Cornell Big Red −6.5 | 55.2% | 57.1% | 47.6% | 1.20× | 1.75 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers +8.5 | 52.1% | 52.4% | 58.0% | 0.90× | 1.91 |
| Cornell Big Red −7.5 | 51.5% | 52.4% | 44.8% | 1.17× | 1.91 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers +7.5 | 48.5% | 47.6% | 55.2% | 0.86× | 2.10 |
| Cornell Big Red −8.5 | 47.9% | 47.6% | 42.0% | 1.13× | 2.10 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers +6.5 | 44.8% | 42.9% | 52.4% | 0.82× | 2.33 |
| Cornell Big Red −9.5 | 44.2% | 42.9% | 39.3% | 1.09× | 2.33 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers +5.5 | 41.1% | 42.9% | 50.3% | 0.85× | 2.33 |
| Cornell Big Red −10.5 | 40.6% | 42.9% | 36.8% | 1.17× | 2.33 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers +4.5 | 37.5% | 38.1% | 47.8% | 0.80× | 2.63 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers +3.5 | 34.1% | 33.3% | 45.8% | 0.73× | 3.01 |
| Cornell Big Red −12.5 | 33.7% | 33.3% | 32.1% | 1.04× | 3.01 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers +2.5 | 30.7% | 33.3% | 43.3% | 0.77× | 3.01 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers +1.5 | 27.4% | 28.4% | 41.3% | 0.69× | 3.53 |
| Cornell Big Red −14.5 | 27.3% | 28.4% | 27.9% | 1.02× | 3.53 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers −1.5 | 21.6% | 23.5% | 38.8% | 0.61× | 4.25 |
| Cornell Big Red −16.5 | 21.5% | 23.5% | 24.3% | 0.97× | 4.25 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers −2.5 | 19.0% | 18.9% | 36.7% | 0.52× | 5.29 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers −3.5 | 16.6% | 18.9% | 34.3% | 0.55× | 5.30 |
| Cornell Big Red −18.5 | 16.6% | 18.9% | 20.7% | 0.91× | 5.30 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers −4.5 | 14.5% | 14.1% | 32.2% | 0.44× | 7.09 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers −5.5 | 12.5% | 14.1% | 29.9% | 0.47× | 7.09 |
| Cornell Big Red −20.5 | 12.4% | 14.1% | 18.0% | 0.78× | 7.09 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers −6.5 | 10.8% | 14.1% | 27.7% | 0.51× | 7.09 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers −7.5 | 9.2% | 8.9% | 25.5% | 0.35× | 11.25 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers −8.5 | 7.8% | 8.9% | 23.5% | 0.38× | 11.25 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers −9.5 | 6.5% | 8.9% | 21.3% | 0.42× | 11.25 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers −10.5 | 5.5% | 8.9% | 19.6% | 0.45× | 11.25 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers −12.5 | 3.7% | 2.6% | 16.2% | 0.16× | 38.73 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers −14.5 | 2.5% | 2.6% | 13.3% | 0.19× | 38.73 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers −16.5 | 1.6% | 2.6% | 10.9% | 0.24× | 38.73 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers −18.5 | 1.0% | 2.6% | 8.9% | 0.29× | 38.74 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers −20.5 | 0.6% | 2.6% | 7.3% | 0.35× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 72.0% | 67.1% | 66.7% | 1.01× | 1.49 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 28.0% | 32.9% | 33.3% | 0.99× | 3.04 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 highest scoring | 34.4% | 31.9% | 31.2% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 32.6% | 31.9% | 31.3% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q1 highest scoring | 17.2% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 0.94× | 5.46 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 15.7% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 1.02× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cornell Big Red at HT / Cornell Big Red at FT | 56.8% | 56.8% | 48.3% | 1.18× | 1.76 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers at HT / Cornell Big Red at FT | 15.9% | 15.4% | 9.8% | 1.58× | 6.47 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers at HT / Mercyhurst Lakers at FT | 15.7% | 15.4% | 30.1% | 0.51× | 6.47 |
| Cornell Big Red at HT / Mercyhurst Lakers at FT | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 1.01× | 12.09 |
| Level at HT / Cornell Big Red at FT | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.09× | 47.74 |
| Level at HT / Mercyhurst Lakers at FT | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.20× | 47.77 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cornell Big Red to win | 75.7% | 75.1% | 59.9% | 1.25× | 1.33 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers to win | 24.3% | 24.9% | 40.1% | 0.62× | 4.01 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total points odd | 51.5% | 50.5% | 51.5% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| Cornell Big Red even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.4% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers even | 50.1% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Cornell Big Red odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.6% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers odd | 49.9% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 48.5% | 49.5% | 48.5% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 94.7% | 94.0% | 95.6% | 0.98× | 1.06 |
| Match to go to overtime | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.35× | 16.66 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cornell Big Red to win Q1 | 58.3% | 57.3% | 54.7% | 1.05× | 1.75 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers to win Q1 | 35.9% | 38.2% | 40.4% | 0.95× | 2.62 |
| Q1 tied | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 1.11× | 18.32 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 under 39.5 | 89.3% | 87.4% | 87.5% | 1.00× | 1.14 |
| Q1 over 23.5 | 87.0% | 87.4% | 85.4% | 1.02× | 1.14 |
| Q1 under 36.5 | 78.8% | 76.9% | 77.4% | 0.99× | 1.30 |
| Q1 over 26.5 | 75.2% | 76.9% | 72.9% | 1.06× | 1.30 |
| Q1 under 34.5 | 69.2% | 67.6% | 68.5% | 0.99× | 1.48 |
| Q1 over 28.5 | 65.0% | 67.6% | 62.7% | 1.08× | 1.48 |
| Q1 under 32.5 | 58.2% | 58.6% | 59.1% | 0.99× | 1.71 |
| Q1 over 30.5 | 53.5% | 52.7% | 51.2% | 1.03× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 31.5 | 52.4% | 52.7% | 54.0% | 0.98× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 31.5 | 47.6% | 47.3% | 46.0% | 1.03× | 2.11 |
| Q1 under 30.5 | 46.5% | 47.3% | 48.8% | 0.97× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 32.5 | 41.8% | 41.4% | 40.9% | 1.01× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 28.5 | 35.0% | 32.4% | 37.3% | 0.87× | 3.08 |
| Q1 over 34.5 | 30.8% | 32.4% | 31.5% | 1.03× | 3.08 |
| Q1 under 26.5 | 24.8% | 23.1% | 27.1% | 0.85× | 4.33 |
| Q1 over 36.5 | 21.2% | 23.1% | 22.6% | 1.02× | 4.33 |
| Q1 under 23.5 | 13.0% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 0.86× | 7.95 |
| Q1 over 39.5 | 10.7% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 1.00× | 7.95 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cornell Big Red to win Q2 | 58.0% | 59.4% | 52.9% | 1.12× | 1.68 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers to win Q2 | 36.2% | 35.7% | 41.5% | 0.86× | 2.80 |
| Q2 tied | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 1.07× | 16.50 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 under 39.5 | 90.1% | 90.8% | 88.4% | 1.03× | 1.10 |
| Q2 over 23.5 | 86.0% | 87.3% | 84.6% | 1.03× | 1.15 |
| Q2 under 36.5 | 80.1% | 83.0% | 78.7% | 1.05× | 1.21 |
| Q2 over 26.5 | 73.7% | 72.0% | 71.6% | 1.01× | 1.39 |
| Q2 under 34.5 | 70.9% | 72.0% | 70.1% | 1.03× | 1.39 |
| Q2 over 28.5 | 63.2% | 60.7% | 61.2% | 0.99× | 1.65 |
| Q2 under 32.5 | 60.1% | 60.7% | 60.8% | 1.00× | 1.65 |
| Q2 under 31.5 | 54.3% | 52.7% | 55.7% | 0.95× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 30.5 | 51.6% | 52.7% | 49.9% | 1.06× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 30.5 | 48.4% | 47.3% | 50.1% | 0.95× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 31.5 | 45.7% | 47.3% | 44.3% | 1.07× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 32.5 | 39.9% | 39.3% | 39.2% | 1.00× | 2.54 |
| Q2 under 28.5 | 36.8% | 39.3% | 38.8% | 1.01× | 2.55 |
| Q2 over 34.5 | 29.1% | 28.0% | 29.9% | 0.94× | 3.57 |
| Q2 under 26.5 | 26.3% | 28.0% | 28.4% | 0.99× | 3.57 |
| Q2 over 36.5 | 19.9% | 17.0% | 21.3% | 0.80× | 5.88 |
| Q2 under 23.5 | 14.0% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 0.82× | 7.89 |
| Q2 over 39.5 | 9.9% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 0.80× | 10.82 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cornell Big Red to win Q3 | 59.0% | 56.8% | 53.3% | 1.07× | 1.76 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers to win Q3 | 35.3% | 38.7% | 41.8% | 0.93× | 2.58 |
| Q3 tied | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 1.07× | 18.97 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 under 42.5 | 89.3% | 87.2% | 87.8% | 0.99× | 1.15 |
| Q3 over 26.5 | 85.6% | 87.2% | 83.8% | 1.04× | 1.15 |
| Q3 under 39.5 | 79.2% | 77.3% | 77.9% | 0.99× | 1.29 |
| Q3 over 29.5 | 73.5% | 71.8% | 71.8% | 1.00× | 1.39 |
| Q3 under 37.5 | 70.0% | 71.8% | 69.7% | 1.03× | 1.39 |
| Q3 over 31.5 | 63.2% | 62.0% | 61.6% | 1.01× | 1.61 |
| Q3 under 35.5 | 59.4% | 58.4% | 59.7% | 0.98× | 1.71 |
| Q3 under 34.5 | 53.7% | 52.3% | 54.6% | 0.96× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 33.5 | 52.0% | 52.3% | 50.9% | 1.03× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 33.5 | 48.0% | 47.7% | 49.1% | 0.97× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 34.5 | 46.3% | 47.7% | 45.4% | 1.05× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 35.5 | 40.6% | 41.6% | 40.3% | 1.03× | 2.40 |
| Q3 under 31.5 | 36.8% | 38.1% | 38.4% | 0.99× | 2.63 |
| Q3 over 37.5 | 30.0% | 28.2% | 30.3% | 0.93× | 3.55 |
| Q3 under 29.5 | 26.5% | 28.2% | 28.2% | 1.00× | 3.55 |
| Q3 over 39.5 | 20.8% | 22.7% | 22.1% | 1.03× | 4.40 |
| Q3 under 26.5 | 14.4% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 0.79× | 7.83 |
| Q3 over 42.5 | 10.7% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 1.05× | 7.83 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cornell Big Red to win Q4 | 58.8% | 52.1% | 52.8% | 0.99× | 1.92 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers to win Q4 | 35.6% | 42.4% | 41.5% | 1.02× | 2.36 |
| Q4 tied | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.02× | 17.25 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 under 42.5 | 87.8% | 85.6% | 86.2% | 0.99× | 1.17 |
| Q4 over 26.5 | 84.4% | 82.0% | 82.6% | 0.99× | 1.22 |
| Q4 under 39.5 | 77.6% | 76.9% | 77.0% | 1.00× | 1.30 |
| Q4 over 29.5 | 72.6% | 71.5% | 70.8% | 1.01× | 1.40 |
| Q4 under 37.5 | 68.7% | 67.4% | 68.8% | 0.98× | 1.48 |
| Q4 over 31.5 | 62.9% | 61.4% | 61.1% | 1.01× | 1.63 |
| Q4 under 35.5 | 58.5% | 58.4% | 59.4% | 0.98× | 1.71 |
| Q4 under 34.5 | 53.2% | 52.5% | 54.4% | 0.96× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 33.5 | 52.2% | 52.5% | 50.4% | 1.04× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 33.5 | 47.8% | 47.5% | 49.6% | 0.96× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 34.5 | 46.8% | 47.5% | 45.6% | 1.04× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 35.5 | 41.5% | 41.6% | 40.6% | 1.02× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 31.5 | 37.1% | 38.6% | 38.9% | 0.99× | 2.59 |
| Q4 over 37.5 | 31.3% | 32.6% | 31.2% | 1.04× | 3.07 |
| Q4 under 29.5 | 27.4% | 28.5% | 29.2% | 0.98× | 3.51 |
| Q4 over 39.5 | 22.4% | 23.1% | 23.0% | 1.00× | 4.33 |
| Q4 under 26.5 | 15.6% | 18.0% | 17.4% | 1.04× | 5.56 |
| Q4 over 42.5 | 12.2% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 1.04× | 6.95 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercyhurst Lakers under 71.5 | 87.5% | 83.9% | 76.1% | 1.10× | 1.19 |
| Cornell Big Red over 58.5 | 85.7% | 83.9% | 74.7% | 1.12× | 1.19 |
| Cornell Big Red under 78.5 | 84.9% | 80.7% | 79.4% | 1.02× | 1.24 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers over 51.5 | 84.9% | 80.7% | 81.0% | 1.00× | 1.24 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers under 68.5 | 79.6% | 75.1% | 68.6% | 1.10× | 1.33 |
| Cornell Big Red over 61.5 | 77.5% | 75.1% | 66.9% | 1.12× | 1.33 |
| Cornell Big Red under 75.5 | 76.3% | 75.1% | 73.2% | 1.03× | 1.33 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers over 54.5 | 75.6% | 75.1% | 73.5% | 1.02× | 1.33 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers under 66.5 | 73.0% | 70.7% | 62.7% | 1.13× | 1.41 |
| Cornell Big Red over 63.5 | 70.7% | 70.7% | 61.5% | 1.15× | 1.41 |
| Cornell Big Red under 73.5 | 69.3% | 66.4% | 68.5% | 0.97× | 1.51 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers over 56.5 | 68.2% | 66.4% | 68.0% | 0.98× | 1.51 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers under 64.5 | 65.4% | 66.4% | 56.9% | 1.17× | 1.51 |
| Cornell Big Red over 65.5 | 63.1% | 61.2% | 55.3% | 1.11× | 1.63 |
| Cornell Big Red under 71.5 | 61.6% | 61.2% | 63.0% | 0.97× | 1.63 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers over 58.5 | 60.0% | 61.2% | 62.1% | 0.98× | 1.63 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers under 62.5 | 57.2% | 57.1% | 51.0% | 1.12× | 1.75 |
| Cornell Big Red over 67.5 | 55.0% | 57.1% | 48.7% | 1.17× | 1.75 |
| Cornell Big Red under 69.5 | 53.4% | 52.3% | 57.4% | 0.91× | 1.91 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers over 60.5 | 51.4% | 52.3% | 55.6% | 0.94× | 1.91 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers under 61.5 | 52.9% | 52.3% | 47.9% | 1.09× | 1.91 |
| Cornell Big Red over 68.5 | 50.8% | 52.3% | 45.6% | 1.15× | 1.91 |
| Cornell Big Red under 68.5 | 49.2% | 47.7% | 54.4% | 0.88× | 2.09 |
| Cornell Big Red over 69.5 | 46.6% | 47.7% | 42.6% | 1.12× | 2.09 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers under 60.5 | 48.6% | 47.7% | 44.4% | 1.08× | 2.09 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers over 61.5 | 47.1% | 47.7% | 52.1% | 0.92× | 2.09 |
| Cornell Big Red under 67.5 | 45.0% | 42.9% | 51.3% | 0.84× | 2.33 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers over 62.5 | 42.8% | 42.9% | 49.0% | 0.87× | 2.33 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers under 58.5 | 40.0% | 38.8% | 37.9% | 1.03× | 2.58 |
| Cornell Big Red over 71.5 | 38.4% | 38.8% | 37.0% | 1.05× | 2.58 |
| Cornell Big Red under 65.5 | 36.9% | 38.8% | 44.7% | 0.87× | 2.58 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers over 64.5 | 34.6% | 33.6% | 43.2% | 0.78× | 2.98 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers under 56.5 | 31.8% | 33.6% | 32.0% | 1.05× | 2.98 |
| Cornell Big Red over 73.5 | 30.7% | 33.6% | 31.5% | 1.07× | 2.98 |
| Cornell Big Red under 63.5 | 29.3% | 29.3% | 38.5% | 0.76× | 3.42 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers over 66.5 | 27.0% | 29.3% | 37.3% | 0.79× | 3.42 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers under 54.5 | 24.4% | 24.9% | 26.5% | 0.94× | 4.02 |
| Cornell Big Red under 61.5 | 22.5% | 24.9% | 33.1% | 0.75× | 4.02 |
| Cornell Big Red over 75.5 | 23.7% | 24.9% | 26.8% | 0.93× | 4.02 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers over 68.5 | 20.4% | 24.9% | 31.4% | 0.79× | 4.02 |
| Cornell Big Red over 78.5 | 15.1% | 19.3% | 20.6% | 0.94× | 5.18 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers under 51.5 | 15.1% | 19.3% | 19.0% | 1.01× | 5.18 |
| Cornell Big Red under 58.5 | 14.3% | 16.1% | 25.3% | 0.64× | 6.21 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers over 71.5 | 12.5% | 16.1% | 23.9% | 0.67× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 109.5 points | 91.5% | 88.8% | 87.6% | 1.01× | 1.13 |
| Under 149.5 points | 90.9% | 88.8% | 84.9% | 1.05× | 1.13 |
| Over 114.5 points | 84.7% | 80.6% | 80.4% | 1.00× | 1.24 |
| Under 144.5 points | 84.1% | 80.6% | 78.1% | 1.03× | 1.24 |
| Over 119.5 points | 75.0% | 75.6% | 71.6% | 1.06× | 1.32 |
| Under 139.5 points | 74.8% | 70.8% | 69.9% | 1.01× | 1.41 |
| Over 122.5 points | 68.2% | 65.9% | 65.6% | 1.00× | 1.52 |
| Under 136.5 points | 67.9% | 65.9% | 64.2% | 1.03× | 1.52 |
| Over 124.5 points | 63.3% | 61.5% | 61.5% | 1.00× | 1.63 |
| Under 134.5 points | 63.0% | 61.5% | 60.2% | 1.02× | 1.63 |
| Over 126.5 points | 58.1% | 56.5% | 57.4% | 0.99× | 1.77 |
| Under 132.5 points | 57.9% | 56.5% | 56.0% | 1.01× | 1.77 |
| Over 128.5 points | 52.8% | 52.3% | 52.8% | 0.99× | 1.91 |
| Under 130.5 points | 52.6% | 52.3% | 51.7% | 1.01× | 1.91 |
| Over 129.5 points | 50.0% | 52.3% | 50.5% | 1.04× | 1.91 |
| Under 129.5 points | 50.0% | 47.7% | 49.5% | 0.96× | 2.10 |
| Under 128.5 points | 47.2% | 47.7% | 47.2% | 1.01× | 2.10 |
| Over 130.5 points | 47.4% | 47.7% | 48.3% | 0.99× | 2.10 |
| Under 126.5 points | 41.9% | 43.5% | 42.6% | 1.02× | 2.30 |
| Over 132.5 points | 42.2% | 43.5% | 44.0% | 0.99× | 2.30 |
| Over 134.5 points | 37.0% | 38.5% | 39.8% | 0.97× | 2.60 |
| Under 124.5 points | 36.7% | 38.5% | 38.5% | 1.00× | 2.60 |
| Under 122.5 points | 31.8% | 34.1% | 34.4% | 0.99× | 2.93 |
| Over 136.5 points | 32.1% | 34.1% | 35.8% | 0.95× | 2.93 |
| Over 139.5 points | 25.2% | 29.2% | 30.1% | 0.97× | 3.43 |
| Under 119.5 points | 25.0% | 24.4% | 28.4% | 0.86× | 4.10 |
| Over 144.5 points | 15.9% | 19.4% | 21.9% | 0.89× | 5.15 |
| Under 114.5 points | 15.3% | 19.4% | 19.6% | 0.99× | 5.15 |
| Over 149.5 points | 9.1% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 0.74× | 8.96 |
| Under 109.5 points | 8.5% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 0.90× | 8.96 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cornell Big Red to win both halves | 39.2% | 36.3% | 36.0% | 1.01× | 2.75 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers to win both halves | 7.5% | 8.8% | 20.4% | 0.43× | 11.32 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cornell Big Red by 6-10 | 18.3% | 16.8% | 12.9% | 1.30× | 5.97 |
| Cornell Big Red by 1-5 | 16.8% | 16.8% | 10.2% | 1.64× | 5.97 |
| Cornell Big Red by 11-15 | 16.3% | 16.8% | 10.8% | 1.55× | 5.97 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers by 1-5 | 11.8% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 1.21× | 8.11 |
| Cornell Big Red by 16-20 | 11.9% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 1.53× | 8.11 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers by 6-10 | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 0.72× | 13.40 |
| Cornell Big Red by 21-25 | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 1.39× | 13.40 |
| Cornell Big Red by 26+ | 5.3% | 7.5% | 12.6% | 0.59× | 13.40 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers by 11-15 | 3.5% | 2.0% | 7.6% | 0.27× | 49.30 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers by 16-20 | 1.4% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 0.43× | 49.32 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers by 21-25 | 0.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 0.76× | 49.32 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers by 26+ | 0.2% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 0.44× | 49.33 |