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Cornell Big Red v Wagner Seahawks — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 24 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Cornell Big Red win
79.4%
Draw
0.0%
Wagner Seahawks win
20.6%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 58.89–49.26 59-49 0% 58% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wagner Seahawks to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.71× 283.36
Wagner Seahawks to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Wagner Seahawks to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Wagner Seahawks to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
Cornell Big Red to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.36
Cornell Big Red to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Cornell Big Red to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Cornell Big Red to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cornell Big Red to win H1 66.0% 68.3% 56.4% 1.21× 1.47
Wagner Seahawks to win H1 29.8% 26.6% 39.9% 0.67× 3.76
H1 tied 4.2% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 41.5 89.7% 87.7% 97.5% 0.90× 1.14
H1 under 65.5 89.7% 87.7% 63.9% 1.37× 1.14
H1 under 61.5 80.4% 82.5% 49.8% 1.66× 1.21
H1 over 45.5 79.6% 77.4% 93.5% 0.83× 1.29
H1 under 58.5 70.7% 73.5% 38.6% 1.90× 1.36
H1 over 48.5 69.4% 67.4% 88.8% 0.76× 1.48
H1 under 56.5 63.2% 62.7% 31.8% 1.97× 1.59
H1 over 50.5 61.5% 62.7% 84.5% 0.74× 1.59
H1 under 54.5 55.1% 58.2% 26.0% 2.24× 1.72
H1 over 52.5 53.2% 52.6% 79.6% 0.66× 1.90
H1 under 53.5 51.0% 52.6% 23.2% 2.27× 1.90
H1 over 53.5 49.0% 47.4% 76.8% 0.62× 2.11
H1 under 52.5 46.8% 47.4% 20.4% 2.32× 2.11
H1 over 54.5 44.9% 41.8% 74.0% 0.57× 2.39
H1 under 50.5 38.5% 37.3% 15.5% 2.41× 2.68
H1 over 56.5 36.8% 37.3% 68.2% 0.55× 2.68
H1 under 48.5 30.6% 32.6% 11.2% 2.92× 3.07
H1 over 58.5 29.3% 26.5% 61.4% 0.43× 3.77
H1 under 45.5 20.4% 22.6% 6.5% 3.47× 4.43
H1 over 61.5 19.6% 17.5% 50.2% 0.35× 5.72
H1 under 41.5 10.3% 12.3% 2.5% 4.85× 8.14
H1 over 65.5 10.3% 12.3% 36.1% 0.34× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cornell Big Red to win H2 67.2% 62.8% 56.0% 1.12× 1.59
Wagner Seahawks to win H2 28.9% 31.3% 40.6% 0.77× 3.20
H2 tied 4.0% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.36
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 46.5 88.9% 85.2% 97.2% 0.88× 1.17
H2 under 70.5 88.6% 85.2% 57.8% 1.47× 1.17
H2 under 66.5 79.2% 75.8% 44.6% 1.70× 1.32
H2 over 50.5 78.9% 75.8% 94.0% 0.81× 1.32
H2 under 63.5 69.8% 66.4% 34.7% 1.91× 1.51
H2 over 53.5 68.8% 66.4% 89.7% 0.74× 1.51
H2 under 61.5 62.5% 61.6% 28.7% 2.14× 1.62
H2 over 55.5 61.3% 61.6% 86.1% 0.72× 1.62
H2 under 59.5 54.7% 52.4% 23.0% 2.28× 1.91
H2 over 57.5 53.3% 52.4% 82.2% 0.64× 1.91
H2 under 58.5 50.7% 52.4% 20.4% 2.57× 1.91
H2 over 58.5 49.3% 47.6% 79.6% 0.60× 2.10
H2 under 57.5 46.7% 47.6% 17.8% 2.67× 2.10
H2 over 59.5 45.3% 47.6% 77.0% 0.62× 2.10
H2 under 55.5 38.7% 38.4% 13.9% 2.76× 2.61
H2 over 61.5 37.5% 38.4% 71.3% 0.54× 2.61
H2 under 53.5 31.2% 33.6% 10.3% 3.26× 2.97
H2 over 63.5 30.2% 33.6% 65.3% 0.51× 2.97
H2 under 50.5 21.1% 24.2% 6.0% 4.01× 4.13
H2 over 66.5 20.8% 24.2% 55.4% 0.44× 4.13
H2 under 46.5 11.1% 14.8% 2.8% 5.22× 6.76
H2 over 70.5 11.4% 14.8% 42.2% 0.35× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cornell Big Red leading at half time 66.0% 68.4% 56.4% 1.21× 1.46
Wagner Seahawks leading at half time 29.8% 26.5% 39.9% 0.66× 3.77
Level at half time 4.2% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cornell Big Red +18.5 99.5% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
Cornell Big Red +20.5 99.7% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
Cornell Big Red +9.5 95.5% 97.4% 78.7% 1.24× 1.03
Cornell Big Red +10.5 96.4% 97.4% 80.4% 1.21× 1.03
Cornell Big Red +12.5 97.7% 97.4% 83.8% 1.16× 1.03
Cornell Big Red +14.5 98.6% 97.4% 86.7% 1.12× 1.03
Cornell Big Red +16.5 99.1% 97.4% 89.1% 1.09× 1.03
Cornell Big Red +8.5 94.5% 91.1% 76.5% 1.19× 1.10
Cornell Big Red +7.5 93.4% 91.1% 74.5% 1.22× 1.10
Cornell Big Red +5.5 90.5% 91.1% 70.1% 1.30× 1.10
Cornell Big Red +6.5 92.0% 91.1% 72.3% 1.26× 1.10
Cornell Big Red +4.5 88.7% 85.9% 67.8% 1.27× 1.16
Cornell Big Red +3.5 86.8% 85.9% 65.7% 1.31× 1.16
Wagner Seahawks +20.5 88.0% 85.9% 82.0% 1.05× 1.16
Cornell Big Red +2.5 84.5% 81.1% 63.3% 1.28× 1.23
Wagner Seahawks +18.5 83.6% 81.1% 79.3% 1.02× 1.23
Cornell Big Red +1.5 82.1% 81.1% 61.2% 1.32× 1.23
Wagner Seahawks +16.5 78.3% 76.5% 75.7% 1.01× 1.31
Cornell Big Red −1.5 76.3% 76.5% 58.7% 1.30× 1.31
Cornell Big Red −2.5 72.9% 71.6% 56.7% 1.26× 1.40
Wagner Seahawks +14.5 72.1% 71.6% 72.1% 0.99× 1.40
Cornell Big Red −3.5 69.4% 66.7% 54.2% 1.23× 1.50
Cornell Big Red −4.5 65.8% 66.7% 52.2% 1.28× 1.50
Wagner Seahawks +12.5 65.1% 66.7% 67.9% 0.98× 1.50
Cornell Big Red −5.5 62.0% 61.9% 49.7% 1.25× 1.62
Cornell Big Red −6.5 58.2% 57.1% 47.6% 1.20× 1.75
Wagner Seahawks +10.5 57.5% 57.1% 63.2% 0.90× 1.75
Cornell Big Red −7.5 54.2% 52.4% 44.8% 1.17× 1.91
Wagner Seahawks +9.5 53.6% 52.4% 60.7% 0.86× 1.91
Cornell Big Red −8.5 50.3% 52.4% 42.0% 1.25× 1.91
Wagner Seahawks +8.5 49.7% 47.6% 58.0% 0.82× 2.10
Cornell Big Red −9.5 46.4% 47.6% 39.3% 1.21× 2.10
Wagner Seahawks +7.5 45.8% 47.6% 55.2% 0.86× 2.10
Cornell Big Red −10.5 42.5% 42.9% 36.8% 1.17× 2.33
Wagner Seahawks +6.5 41.8% 42.9% 52.4% 0.82× 2.33
Wagner Seahawks +5.5 38.0% 38.1% 50.3% 0.76× 2.63
Wagner Seahawks +4.5 34.2% 33.3% 47.8% 0.70× 3.01
Cornell Big Red −12.5 34.9% 33.3% 32.1% 1.04× 3.01
Wagner Seahawks +3.5 30.6% 33.3% 45.8% 0.73× 3.01
Cornell Big Red −14.5 27.9% 28.4% 27.9% 1.02× 3.53
Wagner Seahawks +2.5 27.1% 28.4% 43.3% 0.66× 3.53
Wagner Seahawks +1.5 23.7% 23.5% 41.3% 0.57× 4.25
Cornell Big Red −16.5 21.7% 23.5% 24.3% 0.97× 4.25
Wagner Seahawks −1.5 17.9% 18.9% 38.8% 0.49× 5.29
Wagner Seahawks −2.5 15.5% 18.9% 36.7% 0.52× 5.30
Cornell Big Red −18.5 16.4% 18.9% 20.7% 0.91× 5.30
Wagner Seahawks −3.5 13.2% 14.1% 34.3% 0.41× 7.09
Cornell Big Red −20.5 12.0% 14.1% 18.0% 0.78× 7.09
Wagner Seahawks −4.5 11.3% 14.1% 32.2% 0.44× 7.09
Wagner Seahawks −5.5 9.5% 8.9% 29.9% 0.30× 11.25
Wagner Seahawks −6.5 8.0% 8.9% 27.7% 0.32× 11.25
Wagner Seahawks −7.5 6.6% 8.9% 25.5% 0.35× 11.25
Wagner Seahawks −8.5 5.5% 8.9% 23.5% 0.38× 11.25
Wagner Seahawks −9.5 4.5% 2.6% 21.3% 0.12× 38.72
Wagner Seahawks −10.5 3.6% 2.6% 19.6% 0.13× 38.73
Wagner Seahawks −12.5 2.3% 2.6% 16.2% 0.16× 38.73
Wagner Seahawks −14.5 1.4% 2.6% 13.3% 0.19× 38.73
Wagner Seahawks −16.5 0.9% 2.6% 10.9% 0.24× 38.74
Wagner Seahawks −18.5 0.5% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.74
Wagner Seahawks −20.5 0.3% 2.6% 7.3% 0.35× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 69.3% 71.6% 66.7% 1.07× 1.40
1st half highest scoring 30.7% 28.4% 33.3% 0.85× 3.52
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 33.2% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 31.5% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 18.4% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 16.9% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cornell Big Red at HT / Cornell Big Red at FT 59.5% 56.8% 48.3% 1.18× 1.76
Wagner Seahawks at HT / Cornell Big Red at FT 16.8% 15.5% 9.8% 1.58× 6.47
Wagner Seahawks at HT / Wagner Seahawks at FT 13.0% 12.2% 30.1% 0.41× 8.17
Cornell Big Red at HT / Wagner Seahawks at FT 6.6% 8.3% 8.2% 1.01× 12.09
Level at HT / Cornell Big Red at FT 3.1% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.74
Level at HT / Wagner Seahawks at FT 1.0% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.77
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cornell Big Red to win 79.4% 75.1% 59.9% 1.25× 1.33
Wagner Seahawks to win 20.6% 24.9% 40.1% 0.62× 4.02
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.5% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Cornell Big Red even 50.1% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Wagner Seahawks even 50.7% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Cornell Big Red odd 49.9% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Wagner Seahawks odd 49.3% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 48.5% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 94.9% 94.0% 95.6% 0.98× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 5.1% 6.0% 4.4% 1.35× 16.66
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cornell Big Red to win Q1 59.4% 57.3% 54.7% 1.05× 1.75
Wagner Seahawks to win Q1 34.7% 30.4% 40.4% 0.75× 3.29
Q1 tied 5.9% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.32
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 35.5 90.7% 91.1% 73.2% 1.24× 1.10
Q1 over 19.5 87.0% 87.4% 95.4% 0.92× 1.14
Q1 under 32.5 80.7% 82.8% 59.1% 1.40× 1.21
Q1 over 22.5 74.6% 72.7% 88.8% 0.82× 1.38
Q1 under 30.5 71.3% 72.7% 48.8% 1.49× 1.38
Q1 over 24.5 63.9% 61.7% 81.8% 0.75× 1.62
Q1 under 28.5 60.2% 61.7% 37.3% 1.65× 1.62
Q1 under 27.5 54.2% 52.7% 32.3% 1.63× 1.90
Q1 over 26.5 51.9% 52.7% 72.9% 0.72× 1.90
Q1 under 26.5 48.1% 47.3% 27.1% 1.75× 2.11
Q1 over 27.5 45.8% 47.3% 67.7% 0.70× 2.11
Q1 over 28.5 39.8% 38.3% 62.7% 0.61× 2.61
Q1 under 24.5 36.2% 38.3% 18.2% 2.10× 2.61
Q1 over 30.5 28.7% 27.3% 51.2% 0.53× 3.66
Q1 under 22.5 25.4% 27.3% 11.2% 2.43× 3.67
Q1 over 32.5 19.3% 17.2% 40.9% 0.42× 5.83
Q1 under 19.5 13.0% 12.6% 4.6% 2.75× 7.95
Q1 over 35.5 9.3% 8.9% 26.8% 0.33× 11.21
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cornell Big Red to win Q2 59.1% 59.4% 52.9% 1.12× 1.68
Wagner Seahawks to win Q2 35.1% 35.7% 41.5% 0.86× 2.80
Q2 tied 5.8% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.49
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 over 18.5 89.2% 87.3% 96.1% 0.91× 1.15
Q2 under 34.5 88.7% 87.3% 70.1% 1.25× 1.15
Q2 over 21.5 78.0% 76.8% 90.2% 0.85× 1.30
Q2 under 31.5 77.6% 76.8% 55.7% 1.38× 1.30
Q2 over 23.5 67.9% 67.4% 84.6% 0.80× 1.49
Q2 under 29.5 67.5% 67.4% 44.2% 1.53× 1.49
Q2 over 25.5 56.3% 58.2% 76.2% 0.76× 1.72
Q2 under 27.5 55.9% 58.2% 33.3% 1.75× 1.72
Q2 over 26.5 50.2% 52.7% 71.6% 0.74× 1.90
Q2 under 26.5 49.8% 47.3% 28.4% 1.67× 2.11
Q2 over 27.5 44.1% 41.8% 66.7% 0.63× 2.39
Q2 under 25.5 43.7% 41.8% 23.8% 1.76× 2.39
Q2 over 29.5 32.5% 32.6% 55.8% 0.58× 3.06
Q2 under 23.5 32.1% 32.6% 15.4% 2.12× 3.06
Q2 over 31.5 22.4% 23.2% 44.3% 0.52× 4.31
Q2 under 21.5 22.0% 23.2% 9.8% 2.37× 4.31
Q2 over 34.5 11.3% 12.7% 29.9% 0.42× 7.90
Q2 under 18.5 10.8% 12.7% 3.9% 3.22× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cornell Big Red to win Q3 60.2% 60.8% 53.3% 1.14× 1.64
Wagner Seahawks to win Q3 34.1% 33.8% 41.8% 0.81× 2.96
Q3 tied 5.7% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.97
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 37.5 89.2% 87.2% 69.7% 1.25× 1.15
Q3 over 21.5 87.7% 87.2% 95.8% 0.91× 1.15
Q3 under 34.5 78.6% 77.3% 54.6% 1.41× 1.29
Q3 over 24.5 75.9% 77.3% 89.9% 0.86× 1.29
Q3 under 32.5 69.0% 67.8% 43.9% 1.54× 1.48
Q3 over 26.5 65.6% 67.8% 83.8% 0.81× 1.48
Q3 under 30.5 57.9% 58.4% 33.2% 1.76× 1.71
Q3 over 28.5 54.0% 52.3% 76.4% 0.68× 1.91
Q3 under 29.5 52.0% 52.3% 28.2% 1.86× 1.91
Q3 over 29.5 48.0% 47.7% 71.8% 0.66× 2.10
Q3 under 28.5 46.0% 47.7% 23.6% 2.02× 2.10
Q3 over 30.5 42.1% 41.6% 66.8% 0.62× 2.40
Q3 under 26.5 34.4% 32.2% 16.2% 1.99× 3.10
Q3 over 32.5 31.0% 32.2% 56.1% 0.57× 3.11
Q3 under 24.5 24.1% 22.7% 10.1% 2.26× 4.40
Q3 over 34.5 21.4% 22.7% 45.4% 0.50× 4.40
Q3 under 21.5 12.3% 12.8% 4.2% 3.01× 7.83
Q3 over 37.5 10.8% 12.8% 30.3% 0.42× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cornell Big Red to win Q4 60.0% 57.8% 52.8% 1.09× 1.73
Wagner Seahawks to win Q4 34.4% 37.4% 41.5% 0.90× 2.67
Q4 tied 5.6% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.25
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 37.5 87.6% 85.6% 68.8% 1.24× 1.17
Q4 over 21.5 86.4% 85.6% 95.0% 0.90× 1.17
Q4 under 34.5 77.0% 76.9% 54.4% 1.41× 1.30
Q4 over 24.5 74.8% 71.5% 89.0% 0.80× 1.40
Q4 under 32.5 67.7% 67.4% 44.6% 1.51× 1.48
Q4 over 26.5 65.0% 67.4% 82.6% 0.82× 1.48
Q4 under 30.5 57.1% 58.4% 33.7% 1.73× 1.71
Q4 over 28.5 54.1% 52.5% 75.1% 0.70× 1.91
Q4 under 29.5 51.5% 52.5% 29.2% 1.80× 1.91
Q4 over 29.5 48.5% 47.5% 70.8% 0.67× 2.11
Q4 under 28.5 45.9% 47.5% 24.9% 1.91× 2.11
Q4 over 30.5 42.9% 41.6% 66.3% 0.63× 2.40
Q4 under 26.5 35.0% 32.6% 17.4% 1.88× 3.07
Q4 over 32.5 32.3% 32.6% 55.4% 0.59× 3.07
Q4 under 24.5 25.2% 28.5% 11.0% 2.59× 3.51
Q4 over 34.5 23.0% 23.1% 45.6% 0.51× 4.33
Q4 under 21.5 13.6% 14.4% 5.0% 2.90× 6.95
Q4 over 37.5 12.4% 14.4% 31.2% 0.46× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wagner Seahawks over 41.5 93.5% 86.5% 95.6% 0.91× 1.16
Wagner Seahawks under 61.5 89.0% 83.9% 47.9% 1.75× 1.19
Cornell Big Red under 70.5 87.1% 83.9% 60.3% 1.39× 1.19
Cornell Big Red over 50.5 85.2% 83.9% 90.8% 0.92× 1.19
Wagner Seahawks over 44.5 81.5% 80.7% 92.5% 0.87× 1.24
Wagner Seahawks under 58.5 81.3% 80.7% 37.9% 2.13× 1.24
Cornell Big Red under 67.5 79.1% 75.1% 51.3% 1.46× 1.33
Cornell Big Red over 53.5 76.1% 75.1% 85.8% 0.88× 1.33
Wagner Seahawks under 56.5 74.6% 70.7% 32.0% 2.21× 1.41
Wagner Seahawks over 46.5 72.2% 70.7% 89.7% 0.79× 1.41
Cornell Big Red under 65.5 72.4% 70.7% 44.7% 1.58× 1.41
Cornell Big Red over 55.5 68.7% 66.4% 81.6% 0.81× 1.51
Wagner Seahawks under 54.5 66.6% 66.4% 26.5% 2.51× 1.51
Cornell Big Red under 63.5 64.8% 61.2% 38.5% 1.59× 1.63
Wagner Seahawks over 48.5 62.3% 61.2% 86.7% 0.71× 1.63
Cornell Big Red over 57.5 60.6% 61.2% 77.2% 0.79× 1.63
Wagner Seahawks under 52.5 57.5% 57.1% 21.5% 2.65× 1.75
Cornell Big Red under 61.5 56.5% 57.1% 33.1% 1.73× 1.75
Wagner Seahawks over 50.5 52.2% 52.3% 83.1% 0.63× 1.91
Wagner Seahawks under 51.5 52.7% 52.3% 19.0% 2.75× 1.91
Cornell Big Red over 59.5 52.1% 52.3% 72.2% 0.72× 1.91
Cornell Big Red under 60.5 52.2% 52.3% 30.5% 1.71× 1.91
Wagner Seahawks under 50.5 47.8% 47.7% 16.9% 2.83× 2.09
Wagner Seahawks over 51.5 47.3% 47.7% 81.0% 0.59× 2.09
Cornell Big Red under 59.5 47.9% 47.7% 27.8% 1.72× 2.09
Cornell Big Red over 60.5 47.8% 47.7% 69.5% 0.69× 2.09
Cornell Big Red over 61.5 43.5% 42.9% 66.9% 0.64× 2.33
Wagner Seahawks over 52.5 42.5% 42.9% 78.5% 0.55× 2.33
Cornell Big Red under 57.5 39.4% 38.8% 22.8% 1.70× 2.58
Wagner Seahawks under 48.5 37.7% 38.8% 13.3% 2.92× 2.58
Cornell Big Red over 63.5 35.2% 38.8% 61.5% 0.63× 2.58
Wagner Seahawks over 54.5 33.4% 33.6% 73.5% 0.46× 2.98
Cornell Big Red under 55.5 31.3% 33.6% 18.5% 1.82× 2.98
Wagner Seahawks under 46.5 27.8% 29.3% 10.3% 2.84× 3.42
Cornell Big Red over 65.5 27.6% 29.3% 55.3% 0.53× 3.42
Wagner Seahawks over 56.5 25.4% 29.3% 68.0% 0.43× 3.42
Cornell Big Red under 53.5 23.9% 24.9% 14.2% 1.75× 4.02
Cornell Big Red over 67.5 20.9% 24.9% 48.7% 0.51× 4.02
Wagner Seahawks under 44.5 18.5% 19.3% 7.5% 2.58× 5.18
Wagner Seahawks over 58.5 18.7% 19.3% 62.1% 0.31× 5.18
Cornell Big Red under 50.5 14.8% 16.1% 9.2% 1.75× 6.21
Cornell Big Red over 70.5 12.9% 16.1% 39.7% 0.41× 6.21
Wagner Seahawks over 61.5 11.0% 16.1% 52.1% 0.31× 6.21
Wagner Seahawks under 41.5 6.5% 13.5% 4.4% 3.06× 7.41
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 92.5 points 94.5% 88.8% 98.7% 0.90× 1.13
Under 132.5 points 93.6% 88.8% 56.0% 1.59× 1.13
Under 127.5 points 88.1% 85.0% 44.9% 1.89× 1.18
Over 97.5 points 86.8% 85.0% 96.9% 0.88× 1.18
Under 122.5 points 79.5% 75.6% 34.4% 2.20× 1.32
Over 102.5 points 75.4% 75.6% 94.3% 0.80× 1.32
Under 119.5 points 73.0% 70.8% 28.4% 2.50× 1.41
Under 117.5 points 68.0% 65.9% 24.7% 2.67× 1.52
Over 105.5 points 67.0% 65.9% 91.9% 0.72× 1.52
Under 115.5 points 62.7% 61.5% 21.2% 2.91× 1.63
Over 107.5 points 61.1% 61.5% 90.2% 0.68× 1.63
Under 113.5 points 56.9% 56.5% 18.1% 3.12× 1.77
Over 109.5 points 55.1% 56.5% 87.6% 0.65× 1.77
Under 112.5 points 53.9% 52.3% 16.4% 3.20× 1.91
Under 111.5 points 51.0% 52.3% 14.9% 3.50× 1.91
Over 111.5 points 49.0% 47.7% 85.1% 0.56× 2.10
Over 112.5 points 46.1% 47.7% 83.6% 0.57× 2.10
Under 109.5 points 44.9% 43.5% 12.4% 3.51× 2.30
Over 113.5 points 43.1% 43.5% 81.9% 0.53× 2.30
Under 107.5 points 38.9% 38.5% 9.8% 3.92× 2.60
Over 115.5 points 37.3% 38.5% 78.8% 0.49× 2.60
Under 105.5 points 33.0% 34.1% 8.1% 4.23× 2.93
Over 117.5 points 32.0% 34.1% 75.3% 0.45× 2.93
Over 119.5 points 27.0% 29.2% 71.6% 0.41× 3.43
Under 102.5 points 24.6% 24.4% 5.7% 4.25× 4.10
Over 122.5 points 20.5% 24.4% 65.6% 0.37× 4.10
Under 97.5 points 13.2% 15.0% 3.1% 4.88× 6.69
Over 127.5 points 11.9% 15.0% 55.1% 0.27× 6.69
Over 132.5 points 6.4% 11.2% 44.0% 0.25× 8.97
Under 92.5 points 5.5% 11.2% 1.3% 8.49× 8.97
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cornell Big Red to win both halves 40.9% 40.6% 36.0% 1.13× 2.46
Wagner Seahawks to win both halves 5.7% 8.8% 20.4% 0.43× 11.33
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cornell Big Red by 6-10 19.6% 16.8% 12.9% 1.30× 5.97
Cornell Big Red by 11-15 17.7% 16.8% 10.8% 1.55× 5.97
Cornell Big Red by 1-5 17.4% 16.8% 10.2% 1.64× 5.97
Cornell Big Red by 16-20 12.8% 12.3% 8.0% 1.53× 8.11
Wagner Seahawks by 1-5 11.1% 12.3% 10.2% 1.21× 8.11
Cornell Big Red by 21-25 7.3% 7.5% 5.4% 1.39× 13.40
Wagner Seahawks by 6-10 5.9% 7.5% 10.3% 0.72× 13.40
Cornell Big Red by 26+ 4.7% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.29
Wagner Seahawks by 11-15 2.5% 2.0% 7.6% 0.27× 49.31
Wagner Seahawks by 16-20 0.8% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.32
Wagner Seahawks by 21-25 0.2% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.33
Wagner Seahawks by 26+ 0.1% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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