Creighton Bluejays v Iowa Hawkeyes — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 15 November 2026 · NCAAB · 2027

NCAAB results-only Prediction generated 4 Sep 2026, 03:45 UTC

Creighton Bluejays

05:00 UTC

Iowa Hawkeyes

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Creighton Bluejays win

29.2%

Draw

0.0%

Iowa Hawkeyes win

70.8%

29071

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	29071	69.37–75.05	69-75 0%	50%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Creighton Bluejays to score 100+	0.1%	0.4%	3.4%	0.10×	283.34
Creighton Bluejays to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	0.7%	0.52×	283.36
Creighton Bluejays to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	4.87×	283.36
Creighton Bluejays to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	19.47×	283.36
Iowa Hawkeyes to score 100+	0.5%	0.4%	1.1%	0.33×	283.25
Iowa Hawkeyes to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	0.2%	1.95×	283.35
Iowa Hawkeyes to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	12.98×	283.36
Iowa Hawkeyes to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	38.95×	283.36
Both sides to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	0.4%	0.87×	283.35

H1 result 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iowa Hawkeyes to win H1	60.3%	62.2%	38.2%	1.63×	1.61
Iowa Hawkeyes to win H1	60.3%	62.2%	38.2%	1.63×	1.61
Creighton Bluejays to win H1	35.3%	37.8%	57.9%	0.65×	2.65
Creighton Bluejays to win H1	35.4%	37.8%	57.9%	0.65×	2.65
H1 tied	4.3%	3.9%	3.9%	0.99×	25.86
H1 tied	4.3%	3.9%	3.9%	0.99×	25.86

H1 total 40

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 under 80.5	87.4%	87.7%	85.2%	1.03×	1.14
H1 over 56.5	86.7%	87.7%	87.5%	1.00×	1.14
H1 under 76.5	78.7%	77.4%	75.5%	1.03×	1.29
H1 over 60.5	77.6%	77.4%	77.9%	0.99×	1.29
H1 over 60.5	76.9%	77.4%	77.9%	0.99×	1.29
H1 under 76.5	77.9%	77.4%	75.5%	1.03×	1.29
H1 under 73.5	69.3%	67.4%	66.6%	1.01×	1.48
H1 under 73.5	68.7%	67.4%	66.6%	1.01×	1.48
H1 over 63.5	68.0%	67.4%	69.0%	0.98×	1.48
H1 over 63.5	67.5%	67.4%	69.0%	0.98×	1.48
H1 under 71.5	62.2%	62.7%	60.0%	1.04×	1.59
H1 under 71.5	61.8%	62.7%	60.0%	1.04×	1.59
H1 over 65.5	60.8%	62.7%	61.9%	1.01×	1.59
H1 over 65.5	60.4%	62.7%	61.9%	1.01×	1.59
H1 under 69.5	54.6%	52.6%	53.1%	0.99×	1.90
H1 under 69.5	54.5%	52.6%	53.1%	0.99×	1.90
H1 over 67.5	53.1%	52.6%	54.4%	0.97×	1.90
H1 over 67.5	53.0%	52.6%	54.4%	0.97×	1.90
H1 under 68.5	50.7%	52.6%	49.3%	1.07×	1.90
H1 under 68.5	50.7%	52.6%	49.3%	1.07×	1.90
H1 over 68.5	49.3%	47.4%	50.7%	0.93×	2.11
H1 over 68.5	49.3%	47.4%	50.7%	0.93×	2.11
H1 under 67.5	46.9%	47.4%	45.6%	1.04×	2.11
H1 under 67.5	47.0%	47.4%	45.6%	1.04×	2.11
H1 over 69.5	45.4%	47.4%	46.9%	1.01×	2.11
H1 over 69.5	45.5%	47.4%	46.9%	1.01×	2.11
H1 under 65.5	39.2%	37.3%	38.1%	0.98×	2.68
H1 under 65.5	39.6%	37.3%	38.1%	0.98×	2.68
H1 over 71.5	38.2%	37.3%	40.0%	0.93×	2.68
H1 over 71.5	37.8%	37.3%	40.0%	0.93×	2.68
H1 under 63.5	32.0%	32.6%	31.0%	1.05×	3.07
H1 under 63.5	32.5%	32.6%	31.0%	1.05×	3.07
H1 over 73.5	31.3%	32.6%	33.4%	0.98×	3.07
H1 over 73.5	30.7%	32.6%	33.4%	0.98×	3.07
H1 under 60.5	22.4%	22.6%	22.1%	1.02×	4.43
H1 under 60.5	23.1%	22.6%	22.1%	1.02×	4.43
H1 over 76.5	22.1%	22.6%	24.5%	0.92×	4.43
H1 over 76.5	21.3%	22.6%	24.5%	0.92×	4.43
H1 under 56.5	13.3%	12.3%	12.5%	0.98×	8.14
H1 over 80.5	12.6%	12.3%	14.8%	0.83×	8.14

H2 result 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iowa Hawkeyes to win H2	61.3%	58.8%	38.9%	1.51×	1.70
Iowa Hawkeyes to win H2	61.3%	58.8%	38.5%	1.53×	1.70
Creighton Bluejays to win H2	34.6%	36.3%	57.5%	0.63×	2.75
Creighton Bluejays to win H2	34.6%	36.3%	56.9%	0.64×	2.75
H2 tied	4.1%	3.9%	4.2%	0.95×	25.35
H2 tied	4.1%	3.9%	4.1%	0.97×	25.35

H2 total 40

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 under 88.5	86.4%	85.2%	79.8%	1.07×	1.17
H2 over 64.5	85.0%	81.8%	86.5%	0.95×	1.22
H2 under 84.5	77.7%	75.8%	74.1%	1.02×	1.32
H2 under 84.5	77.1%	75.8%	70.5%	1.07×	1.32
H2 over 68.5	75.7%	75.8%	75.7%	1.00×	1.32
H2 over 68.5	75.1%	75.8%	77.5%	0.98×	1.32
H2 under 81.5	68.8%	66.4%	65.8%	1.01×	1.51
H2 under 81.5	68.3%	66.4%	62.2%	1.07×	1.51
H2 over 71.5	66.4%	66.4%	66.4%	1.00×	1.51
H2 over 71.5	66.0%	66.4%	68.8%	0.97×	1.51
H2 under 79.5	62.1%	61.6%	59.8%	1.03×	1.62
H2 under 79.5	61.7%	61.6%	56.2%	1.10×	1.62
H2 over 73.5	59.5%	57.3%	60.4%	0.95×	1.74
H2 over 73.5	59.3%	57.3%	63.1%	0.91×	1.74
H2 under 77.5	55.0%	52.4%	53.0%	0.99×	1.91
H2 under 77.5	54.8%	52.4%	49.8%	1.05×	1.91
H2 over 75.5	52.3%	52.4%	53.4%	0.98×	1.91
H2 over 75.5	52.3%	52.4%	56.4%	0.93×	1.91
H2 under 76.5	51.3%	52.4%	49.7%	1.05×	1.91
H2 under 76.5	51.3%	52.4%	46.6%	1.12×	1.91
H2 over 76.5	48.7%	47.6%	50.3%	0.95×	2.10
H2 over 76.5	48.7%	47.6%	53.4%	0.89×	2.10
H2 under 75.5	47.7%	47.6%	46.6%	1.02×	2.10
H2 under 75.5	47.7%	47.6%	43.6%	1.09×	2.10
H2 over 77.5	45.0%	47.6%	47.0%	1.01×	2.10
H2 over 77.5	45.2%	47.6%	50.2%	0.95×	2.10
H2 under 73.5	40.7%	42.7%	36.9%	1.16×	2.35
H2 under 73.5	40.5%	42.7%	39.6%	1.08×	2.35
H2 over 79.5	37.9%	38.4%	40.3%	0.95×	2.61
H2 over 79.5	38.3%	38.4%	43.8%	0.88×	2.61
H2 under 71.5	33.6%	33.6%	33.6%	1.00×	2.97
H2 under 71.5	34.0%	33.6%	31.2%	1.08×	2.97
H2 over 81.5	31.7%	33.6%	37.8%	0.89×	2.97
H2 over 81.5	31.2%	33.6%	34.2%	0.98×	2.97
H2 under 68.5	24.9%	24.2%	22.5%	1.08×	4.13
H2 under 68.5	24.3%	24.2%	24.3%	1.00×	4.13
H2 over 84.5	22.9%	24.2%	29.5%	0.82×	4.13
H2 over 84.5	22.3%	24.2%	25.9%	0.94×	4.13
H2 under 64.5	15.0%	18.2%	13.5%	1.34×	5.50
H2 over 88.5	13.6%	14.8%	20.2%	0.73×	6.76

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iowa Hawkeyes leading at half time	60.3%	62.5%	38.2%	1.64×	1.60
Creighton Bluejays leading at half time	35.4%	37.8%	57.9%	0.65×	2.64
Level at half time	4.3%	3.8%	3.9%	0.97×	26.40

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iowa Hawkeyes +14.5	96.9%	97.4%	77.2%	1.26×	1.03
Iowa Hawkeyes +16.5	98.0%	97.4%	80.7%	1.21×	1.03
Iowa Hawkeyes +18.5	98.8%	97.4%	83.9%	1.16×	1.03
Iowa Hawkeyes +20.5	99.2%	97.4%	86.5%	1.13×	1.03
Iowa Hawkeyes +12.5	95.3%	97.4%	72.4%	1.35×	1.03
Iowa Hawkeyes +10.5	93.2%	91.1%	67.4%	1.35×	1.10
Iowa Hawkeyes +8.5	90.4%	91.1%	61.5%	1.48×	1.10
Iowa Hawkeyes +9.5	91.9%	91.1%	64.5%	1.41×	1.10
Creighton Bluejays +20.5	91.4%	91.1%	96.5%	0.94×	1.10
Iowa Hawkeyes +7.5	88.7%	85.9%	58.7%	1.46×	1.16
Iowa Hawkeyes +6.5	86.7%	85.9%	55.7%	1.54×	1.16
Creighton Bluejays +18.5	88.1%	85.9%	95.4%	0.90×	1.16
Iowa Hawkeyes +5.5	84.6%	81.1%	53.0%	1.53×	1.23
Creighton Bluejays +16.5	83.9%	81.1%	94.0%	0.86×	1.23
Iowa Hawkeyes +4.5	82.3%	81.1%	49.3%	1.64×	1.23
Iowa Hawkeyes +3.5	79.7%	76.5%	45.9%	1.67×	1.31
Creighton Bluejays +14.5	78.8%	76.5%	92.2%	0.83×	1.31
Iowa Hawkeyes +2.5	76.9%	76.5%	42.3%	1.81×	1.31
Iowa Hawkeyes +1.5	74.0%	71.6%	39.2%	1.83×	1.40
Creighton Bluejays +12.5	72.9%	71.6%	89.9%	0.80×	1.40
Iowa Hawkeyes −1.5	67.3%	66.7%	34.6%	1.93×	1.50
Creighton Bluejays +10.5	66.3%	66.7%	87.2%	0.77×	1.50
Iowa Hawkeyes −2.5	63.7%	61.9%	32.0%	1.93×	1.62
Creighton Bluejays +9.5	62.8%	61.9%	85.3%	0.73×	1.62
Iowa Hawkeyes −3.5	59.9%	57.1%	29.3%	1.95×	1.75
Creighton Bluejays +8.5	59.1%	57.1%	83.3%	0.68×	1.75
Iowa Hawkeyes −4.5	56.1%	57.1%	26.3%	2.17×	1.75
Creighton Bluejays +7.5	55.3%	57.1%	81.0%	0.70×	1.75
Iowa Hawkeyes −5.5	52.3%	52.4%	23.6%	2.22×	1.91
Creighton Bluejays +6.5	51.5%	52.4%	78.8%	0.67×	1.91
Iowa Hawkeyes −6.5	48.5%	47.6%	21.2%	2.24×	2.10
Creighton Bluejays +5.5	47.7%	47.6%	76.4%	0.62×	2.10
Creighton Bluejays +4.5	43.9%	42.9%	73.7%	0.58×	2.33
Iowa Hawkeyes −7.5	44.7%	42.9%	19.0%	2.26×	2.33
Creighton Bluejays +3.5	40.1%	42.9%	70.8%	0.61×	2.33
Iowa Hawkeyes −8.5	40.9%	42.9%	16.7%	2.58×	2.33
Creighton Bluejays +2.5	36.3%	38.1%	68.0%	0.56×	2.63
Iowa Hawkeyes −9.5	37.2%	38.1%	14.7%	2.60×	2.63
Creighton Bluejays +1.5	32.7%	33.3%	65.4%	0.51×	3.01
Iowa Hawkeyes −10.5	33.7%	33.3%	12.8%	2.59×	3.01
Iowa Hawkeyes −12.5	27.1%	28.4%	10.1%	2.81×	3.53
Creighton Bluejays −1.5	26.0%	28.4%	60.8%	0.47×	3.53
Creighton Bluejays −2.5	23.1%	23.5%	57.7%	0.41×	4.25
Creighton Bluejays −3.5	20.3%	23.5%	54.1%	0.43×	4.25
Iowa Hawkeyes −14.5	21.2%	23.5%	7.8%	3.01×	4.25
Creighton Bluejays −4.5	17.7%	18.9%	50.7%	0.37×	5.29
Creighton Bluejays −5.5	15.4%	18.9%	47.0%	0.40×	5.30
Iowa Hawkeyes −16.5	16.1%	18.9%	6.0%	3.17×	5.30
Creighton Bluejays −6.5	13.3%	14.1%	44.3%	0.32×	7.09
Iowa Hawkeyes −18.5	11.9%	14.1%	4.6%	3.09×	7.09
Creighton Bluejays −7.5	11.3%	14.1%	41.3%	0.34×	7.09
Creighton Bluejays −8.5	9.6%	8.9%	38.5%	0.23×	11.25
Creighton Bluejays −9.5	8.1%	8.9%	35.5%	0.25×	11.25
Iowa Hawkeyes −20.5	8.6%	8.9%	3.5%	2.57×	11.25
Creighton Bluejays −10.5	6.8%	8.9%	32.6%	0.27×	11.25
Creighton Bluejays −12.5	4.7%	2.6%	27.6%	0.09×	38.72
Creighton Bluejays −14.5	3.1%	2.6%	22.8%	0.11×	38.73
Creighton Bluejays −16.5	2.0%	2.6%	19.3%	0.13×	38.73
Creighton Bluejays −18.5	1.2%	2.6%	16.1%	0.16×	38.74
Creighton Bluejays −20.5	0.8%	2.6%	13.5%	0.19×	38.74

Highest scoring half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 highest scoring	78.7%	71.6%	70.4%	1.02×	1.40
2nd half highest scoring	77.1%	71.6%	72.5%	0.99×	1.40
1st half highest scoring	22.9%	28.4%	27.5%	1.03×	3.53
H1 highest scoring	21.3%	28.4%	29.6%	0.96×	3.53

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iowa Hawkeyes at HT / Iowa Hawkeyes at FT	51.4%	51.1%	25.8%	1.98×	1.96
Creighton Bluejays at HT / Creighton Bluejays at FT	18.9%	15.5%	48.6%	0.32×	6.47
Creighton Bluejays at HT / Iowa Hawkeyes at FT	16.4%	15.5%	9.3%	1.66×	6.47
Iowa Hawkeyes at HT / Creighton Bluejays at FT	8.9%	8.3%	12.4%	0.67×	12.08
Level at HT / Iowa Hawkeyes at FT	2.9%	2.1%	1.6%	1.28×	47.74
Level at HT / Creighton Bluejays at FT	1.4%	2.1%	2.3%	0.92×	47.77

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iowa Hawkeyes to win	70.8%	68.7%	36.8%	1.87×	1.46
Creighton Bluejays to win	29.2%	31.3%	63.2%	0.50×	3.20

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Total points odd	51.7%	50.5%	51.6%	0.98×	1.98
Creighton Bluejays even	50.0%	50.5%	50.1%	1.01×	1.98
Iowa Hawkeyes even	50.0%	50.5%	50.4%	1.00×	1.98
Creighton Bluejays odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.9%	0.99×	2.02
Iowa Hawkeyes odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.6%	1.00×	2.02
Total points even	48.3%	49.5%	48.4%	1.02×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	92.7%	94.0%	94.2%	1.00×	1.06
Match to go to overtime	7.3%	6.0%	5.8%	1.04×	16.65

Team total 44

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iowa Hawkeyes under 85.5	86.0%	83.9%	88.8%	0.94×	1.19
Creighton Bluejays under 79.5	85.2%	83.9%	61.6%	1.36×	1.19
Creighton Bluejays over 59.5	84.2%	80.7%	92.0%	0.88×	1.24
Iowa Hawkeyes over 65.5	84.4%	80.7%	67.8%	1.19×	1.24
Iowa Hawkeyes under 82.5	77.8%	75.1%	83.3%	0.90×	1.33
Creighton Bluejays under 76.5	77.0%	75.1%	52.3%	1.44×	1.33
Creighton Bluejays over 62.5	75.6%	75.1%	87.3%	0.86×	1.33
Iowa Hawkeyes over 68.5	75.7%	75.1%	58.4%	1.29×	1.33
Creighton Bluejays under 74.5	70.4%	70.7%	45.9%	1.54×	1.41
Iowa Hawkeyes under 80.5	71.1%	70.7%	78.8%	0.90×	1.41
Creighton Bluejays over 64.5	68.8%	66.4%	83.3%	0.80×	1.51
Iowa Hawkeyes over 70.5	68.7%	66.4%	51.4%	1.29×	1.51
Creighton Bluejays under 72.5	62.9%	61.2%	39.2%	1.56×	1.63
Iowa Hawkeyes under 78.5	63.6%	61.2%	73.7%	0.83×	1.63
Creighton Bluejays over 66.5	61.2%	61.2%	78.7%	0.78×	1.63
Iowa Hawkeyes over 72.5	61.0%	61.2%	44.7%	1.37×	1.63
Creighton Bluejays under 70.5	55.0%	57.1%	33.3%	1.71×	1.75
Iowa Hawkeyes under 76.5	55.5%	57.1%	67.9%	0.84×	1.75
Creighton Bluejays over 68.5	53.1%	52.3%	72.7%	0.72×	1.91
Creighton Bluejays under 69.5	50.9%	52.3%	30.4%	1.72×	1.91
Iowa Hawkeyes over 74.5	52.8%	52.3%	38.3%	1.36×	1.91
Iowa Hawkeyes under 75.5	51.4%	52.3%	64.7%	0.81×	1.91
Creighton Bluejays under 68.5	46.9%	47.7%	27.3%	1.75×	2.09
Creighton Bluejays over 69.5	49.1%	47.7%	69.6%	0.69×	2.09
Iowa Hawkeyes under 74.5	47.2%	47.7%	61.7%	0.77×	2.09
Iowa Hawkeyes over 75.5	48.6%	47.7%	35.3%	1.35×	2.09
Creighton Bluejays over 70.5	45.0%	42.9%	66.7%	0.64×	2.33
Iowa Hawkeyes over 76.5	44.5%	42.9%	32.1%	1.34×	2.33
Creighton Bluejays under 66.5	38.8%	38.8%	21.3%	1.82×	2.58
Iowa Hawkeyes under 72.5	39.0%	38.8%	55.3%	0.70×	2.58
Creighton Bluejays over 72.5	37.1%	38.8%	60.8%	0.64×	2.58
Iowa Hawkeyes over 78.5	36.4%	38.8%	26.3%	1.48×	2.58
Creighton Bluejays under 64.5	31.2%	33.6%	16.7%	2.01×	2.98
Iowa Hawkeyes under 70.5	31.3%	33.6%	48.7%	0.69×	2.98
Creighton Bluejays over 74.5	29.7%	29.3%	54.1%	0.54×	3.42
Iowa Hawkeyes over 80.5	28.9%	29.3%	21.2%	1.38×	3.42
Creighton Bluejays under 62.5	24.4%	24.9%	12.7%	1.96×	4.02
Iowa Hawkeyes under 68.5	24.3%	24.9%	41.6%	0.60×	4.02
Creighton Bluejays over 76.5	23.0%	24.9%	47.7%	0.52×	4.02
Iowa Hawkeyes over 82.5	22.2%	24.9%	16.7%	1.49×	4.02
Creighton Bluejays under 59.5	15.8%	19.3%	8.0%	2.40×	5.18
Iowa Hawkeyes under 65.5	15.6%	19.3%	32.2%	0.60×	5.18
Creighton Bluejays over 79.5	14.8%	16.1%	38.4%	0.42×	6.21
Iowa Hawkeyes over 85.5	14.0%	16.1%	11.2%	1.44×	6.21

Total points 30

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 124.5 points	89.4%	85.0%	89.3%	0.95×	1.18
Under 164.5 points	89.5%	85.0%	82.3%	1.03×	1.18
Over 129.5 points	82.5%	80.6%	83.3%	0.97×	1.24
Under 159.5 points	82.7%	80.6%	75.0%	1.07×	1.24
Over 134.5 points	73.3%	70.8%	74.7%	0.95×	1.41
Under 154.5 points	73.5%	70.8%	66.4%	1.07×	1.41
Over 137.5 points	66.7%	65.9%	69.0%	0.95×	1.52
Under 151.5 points	67.1%	65.9%	60.6%	1.09×	1.52
Over 139.5 points	62.1%	61.5%	64.6%	0.95×	1.63
Under 149.5 points	62.4%	61.5%	56.3%	1.09×	1.63
Over 141.5 points	57.2%	56.5%	60.4%	0.94×	1.77
Under 147.5 points	57.6%	56.5%	52.2%	1.08×	1.77
Over 143.5 points	52.3%	52.3%	56.3%	0.93×	1.91
Under 145.5 points	52.7%	52.3%	48.2%	1.09×	1.91
Under 144.5 points	50.1%	52.3%	45.9%	1.14×	1.91
Over 144.5 points	49.9%	47.7%	54.1%	0.88×	2.10
Under 143.5 points	47.7%	47.7%	43.7%	1.09×	2.10
Over 145.5 points	47.3%	47.7%	51.8%	0.92×	2.10
Under 141.5 points	42.8%	43.5%	39.6%	1.10×	2.30
Over 147.5 points	42.4%	43.5%	47.8%	0.91×	2.30
Under 139.5 points	37.9%	38.5%	35.4%	1.09×	2.60
Over 149.5 points	37.6%	38.5%	43.7%	0.88×	2.60
Under 137.5 points	33.3%	34.1%	31.0%	1.10×	2.93
Over 151.5 points	32.9%	34.1%	39.4%	0.87×	2.93
Under 134.5 points	26.7%	29.2%	25.3%	1.15×	3.43
Over 154.5 points	26.5%	29.2%	33.6%	0.87×	3.43
Under 129.5 points	17.5%	19.4%	16.7%	1.16×	5.15
Over 159.5 points	17.3%	19.4%	25.0%	0.78×	5.15
Under 124.5 points	10.6%	15.0%	10.7%	1.39×	6.69
Over 164.5 points	10.5%	15.0%	17.7%	0.84×	6.69

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iowa Hawkeyes to win both halves	33.5%	31.3%	14.5%	2.15×	3.20
Creighton Bluejays to win both halves	9.1%	8.8%	33.2%	0.27×	11.30

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iowa Hawkeyes by 1-5	18.5%	16.8%	13.2%	1.27×	5.97
Iowa Hawkeyes by 6-10	18.6%	16.8%	10.8%	1.55×	5.97
Iowa Hawkeyes by 11-15	15.2%	16.8%	6.1%	2.77×	5.97
Creighton Bluejays by 1-5	13.8%	12.3%	16.2%	0.76×	8.11
Iowa Hawkeyes by 16-20	10.0%	7.5%	3.3%	2.24×	13.40
Creighton Bluejays by 6-10	8.6%	7.5%	14.4%	0.52×	13.40
Iowa Hawkeyes by 21-25	5.3%	7.5%	1.9%	3.90×	13.40
Creighton Bluejays by 11-15	4.3%	2.0%	11.6%	0.18×	49.29
Creighton Bluejays by 16-20	1.7%	2.0%	7.6%	0.27×	49.31
Iowa Hawkeyes by 26+	3.3%	2.0%	1.6%	1.30×	49.30
Creighton Bluejays by 21-25	0.6%	2.0%	5.6%	0.36×	49.32
Creighton Bluejays by 26+	0.2%	2.0%	7.9%	0.26×	49.33

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