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Creighton Bluejays v Nebraska Cornhuskers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 21 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Creighton Bluejays win
23.9%
Draw
0.0%
Nebraska Cornhuskers win
76.1%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 69.22–76.95 69-77 0% 49% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Creighton Bluejays to score 100+ 0.1% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.34
Creighton Bluejays to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Creighton Bluejays to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Creighton Bluejays to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Nebraska Cornhuskers to score 100+ 0.8% 0.4% 0.5% 0.72× 283.20
Nebraska Cornhuskers to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.35
Nebraska Cornhuskers to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Nebraska Cornhuskers to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Nebraska Cornhuskers to win H1 64.6% 62.3% 39.9% 1.56× 1.61
Creighton Bluejays to win H1 31.3% 33.1% 56.4% 0.59× 3.02
H1 tied 4.1% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 82.5 89.4% 87.7% 96.2% 0.91× 1.14
H1 over 58.5 86.6% 87.7% 61.4% 1.43× 1.14
H1 under 78.5 80.4% 82.5% 92.8% 0.89× 1.21
H1 over 62.5 76.2% 77.4% 46.3% 1.67× 1.29
H1 under 75.5 71.3% 73.5% 88.8% 0.83× 1.36
H1 over 65.5 66.2% 67.4% 36.1% 1.87× 1.48
H1 under 73.5 64.3% 62.7% 85.6% 0.73× 1.59
H1 over 67.5 58.8% 58.2% 29.6% 1.97× 1.72
H1 under 71.5 56.7% 58.2% 81.4% 0.71× 1.72
H1 under 70.5 52.8% 52.6% 78.9% 0.67× 1.90
H1 over 69.5 51.1% 52.6% 23.8% 2.21× 1.90
H1 under 69.5 48.9% 47.4% 76.2% 0.62× 2.11
H1 over 70.5 47.2% 47.4% 21.1% 2.25× 2.11
H1 over 71.5 43.3% 41.8% 18.6% 2.25× 2.39
H1 under 67.5 41.2% 41.8% 70.4% 0.59× 2.39
H1 over 73.5 35.7% 37.3% 14.4% 2.59× 2.68
H1 under 65.5 33.8% 32.6% 63.9% 0.51× 3.07
H1 over 75.5 28.7% 26.5% 11.2% 2.37× 3.77
H1 under 62.5 23.8% 22.6% 53.7% 0.42× 4.43
H1 over 78.5 19.6% 17.5% 7.2% 2.42× 5.72
H1 under 58.5 13.4% 12.3% 38.6% 0.32× 8.14
H1 over 82.5 10.6% 12.3% 3.8% 3.26× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Nebraska Cornhuskers to win H2 65.6% 62.7% 40.6% 1.55× 1.59
Creighton Bluejays to win H2 30.5% 36.3% 56.0% 0.65× 2.76
H2 tied 3.9% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.36
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 64.5 86.8% 85.2% 62.1% 1.37× 1.17
H2 under 88.5 87.1% 85.2% 94.1% 0.91× 1.17
H2 over 68.5 77.0% 75.8% 48.7% 1.56× 1.32
H2 under 84.5 77.5% 75.8% 90.3% 0.84× 1.32
H2 over 71.5 67.7% 66.4% 38.9% 1.71× 1.51
H2 under 81.5 68.3% 66.4% 85.8% 0.77× 1.51
H2 under 79.5 61.4% 61.6% 82.0% 0.75× 1.62
H2 over 73.5 60.7% 61.6% 32.9% 1.87× 1.62
H2 over 75.5 53.4% 52.4% 27.0% 1.94× 1.91
H2 under 77.5 54.1% 52.4% 77.9% 0.67× 1.91
H2 under 76.5 50.3% 52.4% 75.6% 0.69× 1.91
H2 over 76.5 49.7% 47.6% 24.4% 1.96× 2.10
H2 under 75.5 46.6% 47.6% 73.0% 0.65× 2.10
H2 over 77.5 45.9% 47.6% 22.1% 2.16× 2.10
H2 under 73.5 39.3% 38.4% 67.1% 0.57× 2.61
H2 over 79.5 38.6% 38.4% 18.0% 2.13× 2.61
H2 under 71.5 32.3% 33.6% 61.1% 0.55× 2.97
H2 over 81.5 31.7% 33.6% 14.2% 2.37× 2.97
H2 under 68.5 23.0% 24.2% 51.3% 0.47× 4.13
H2 over 84.5 22.5% 24.2% 9.7% 2.49× 4.13
H2 under 64.5 13.2% 14.8% 37.9% 0.39× 6.76
H2 over 88.5 12.9% 14.8% 5.9% 2.51× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Nebraska Cornhuskers leading at half time 64.6% 62.5% 39.9% 1.57× 1.60
Creighton Bluejays leading at half time 31.3% 32.7% 56.4% 0.58× 3.06
Level at half time 4.1% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Nebraska Cornhuskers +20.5 99.4% 97.4% 82.0% 1.19× 1.03
Nebraska Cornhuskers +12.5 96.3% 97.4% 67.9% 1.44× 1.03
Nebraska Cornhuskers +14.5 97.5% 97.4% 72.1% 1.35× 1.03
Nebraska Cornhuskers +16.5 98.4% 97.4% 75.7% 1.29× 1.03
Nebraska Cornhuskers +18.5 99.0% 97.4% 79.3% 1.23× 1.03
Nebraska Cornhuskers +10.5 94.6% 91.1% 63.2% 1.44× 1.10
Nebraska Cornhuskers +8.5 92.3% 91.1% 58.0% 1.57× 1.10
Nebraska Cornhuskers +9.5 93.5% 91.1% 60.7% 1.50× 1.10
Nebraska Cornhuskers +7.5 90.9% 91.1% 55.2% 1.65× 1.10
Nebraska Cornhuskers +6.5 89.4% 85.9% 52.4% 1.64× 1.16
Nebraska Cornhuskers +5.5 87.7% 85.9% 50.3% 1.71× 1.16
Creighton Bluejays +20.5 86.9% 85.9% 92.7% 0.93× 1.16
Nebraska Cornhuskers +4.5 85.7% 85.9% 47.8% 1.80× 1.16
Nebraska Cornhuskers +3.5 83.6% 81.1% 45.8% 1.77× 1.23
Creighton Bluejays +18.5 82.7% 81.1% 91.1% 0.89× 1.23
Nebraska Cornhuskers +2.5 81.3% 81.1% 43.3% 1.87× 1.23
Nebraska Cornhuskers +1.5 78.8% 76.5% 41.3% 1.85× 1.31
Creighton Bluejays +16.5 77.7% 76.5% 89.1% 0.86× 1.31
Nebraska Cornhuskers −1.5 73.0% 71.6% 38.8% 1.85× 1.40
Creighton Bluejays +14.5 71.9% 71.6% 86.7% 0.83× 1.40
Nebraska Cornhuskers −2.5 69.8% 66.7% 36.7% 1.82× 1.50
Nebraska Cornhuskers −3.5 66.5% 66.7% 34.3% 1.95× 1.50
Creighton Bluejays +12.5 65.5% 66.7% 83.8% 0.80× 1.50
Nebraska Cornhuskers −4.5 63.0% 61.9% 32.2% 1.92× 1.62
Nebraska Cornhuskers −5.5 59.5% 57.1% 29.9% 1.91× 1.75
Creighton Bluejays +10.5 58.6% 57.1% 80.4% 0.71× 1.75
Nebraska Cornhuskers −6.5 55.9% 57.1% 27.7% 2.06× 1.75
Creighton Bluejays +9.5 55.1% 57.1% 78.7% 0.73× 1.75
Nebraska Cornhuskers −7.5 52.2% 52.4% 25.5% 2.06× 1.91
Creighton Bluejays +8.5 51.4% 52.4% 76.5% 0.69× 1.91
Nebraska Cornhuskers −8.5 48.6% 47.6% 23.5% 2.02× 2.10
Creighton Bluejays +7.5 47.8% 47.6% 74.5% 0.64× 2.10
Nebraska Cornhuskers −9.5 44.9% 42.9% 21.3% 2.01× 2.33
Creighton Bluejays +6.5 44.1% 42.9% 72.3% 0.59× 2.33
Nebraska Cornhuskers −10.5 41.4% 42.9% 19.6% 2.19× 2.33
Creighton Bluejays +5.5 40.5% 42.9% 70.1% 0.61× 2.33
Creighton Bluejays +4.5 37.0% 38.1% 67.8% 0.56× 2.63
Nebraska Cornhuskers −12.5 34.5% 33.3% 16.2% 2.05× 3.01
Creighton Bluejays +3.5 33.5% 33.3% 65.7% 0.51× 3.01
Creighton Bluejays +2.5 30.2% 33.3% 63.3% 0.53× 3.01
Nebraska Cornhuskers −14.5 28.1% 28.4% 13.3% 2.14× 3.53
Creighton Bluejays +1.5 27.0% 28.4% 61.2% 0.46× 3.53
Nebraska Cornhuskers −16.5 22.3% 23.5% 10.9% 2.16× 4.25
Creighton Bluejays −1.5 21.2% 23.5% 58.7% 0.40× 4.25
Creighton Bluejays −2.5 18.7% 18.9% 56.7% 0.33× 5.29
Nebraska Cornhuskers −18.5 17.3% 18.9% 8.9% 2.12× 5.29
Creighton Bluejays −3.5 16.4% 18.9% 54.2% 0.35× 5.30
Creighton Bluejays −4.5 14.3% 14.1% 52.2% 0.27× 7.09
Creighton Bluejays −5.5 12.3% 14.1% 49.7% 0.28× 7.09
Nebraska Cornhuskers −20.5 13.1% 14.1% 7.3% 1.94× 7.09
Creighton Bluejays −6.5 10.6% 14.1% 47.6% 0.30× 7.09
Creighton Bluejays −7.5 9.1% 8.9% 44.8% 0.20× 11.25
Creighton Bluejays −8.5 7.7% 8.9% 42.0% 0.21× 11.25
Creighton Bluejays −9.5 6.5% 8.9% 39.3% 0.23× 11.25
Creighton Bluejays −10.5 5.4% 8.9% 36.8% 0.24× 11.25
Creighton Bluejays −12.5 3.7% 2.6% 32.1% 0.08× 38.73
Creighton Bluejays −14.5 2.5% 2.6% 27.9% 0.09× 38.73
Creighton Bluejays −16.5 1.6% 2.6% 24.3% 0.11× 38.73
Creighton Bluejays −18.5 1.0% 2.6% 20.7% 0.12× 38.74
Creighton Bluejays −20.5 0.6% 2.6% 18.0% 0.14× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 74.3% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 25.7% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 highest scoring 33.5% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q4 highest scoring 35.3% 28.6% 31.2% 0.92× 3.50
Q2 highest scoring 14.8% 18.3% 17.9% 1.03× 5.45
Q1 highest scoring 16.4% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Nebraska Cornhuskers at HT / Nebraska Cornhuskers at FT 57.3% 56.8% 30.1% 1.88× 1.76
Creighton Bluejays at HT / Nebraska Cornhuskers at FT 15.8% 15.4% 8.2% 1.88× 6.47
Creighton Bluejays at HT / Creighton Bluejays at FT 15.5% 15.4% 48.3% 0.32× 6.47
Nebraska Cornhuskers at HT / Creighton Bluejays at FT 7.3% 8.3% 9.8% 0.85× 12.09
Level at HT / Nebraska Cornhuskers at FT 2.9% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.74
Level at HT / Creighton Bluejays at FT 1.2% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.77
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Nebraska Cornhuskers to win 76.1% 75.1% 40.1% 1.87× 1.33
Creighton Bluejays to win 23.9% 24.9% 59.9% 0.42× 4.01
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.4% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Creighton Bluejays even 50.0% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Nebraska Cornhuskers even 50.0% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Creighton Bluejays odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Nebraska Cornhuskers odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 48.6% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 94.8% 94.0% 95.6% 0.98× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 5.2% 6.0% 4.4% 1.35× 16.66
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Nebraska Cornhuskers to win Q1 58.5% 57.3% 40.4% 1.42× 1.75
Creighton Bluejays to win Q1 35.6% 38.2% 54.7% 0.70× 2.62
Q1 tied 5.9% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.32
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 43.5 89.3% 87.4% 95.0% 0.92× 1.14
Q1 over 27.5 86.8% 87.4% 67.7% 1.29× 1.14
Q1 under 40.5 78.8% 76.9% 89.9% 0.86× 1.30
Q1 over 30.5 75.0% 72.7% 51.2% 1.42× 1.38
Q1 under 38.5 69.3% 67.6% 84.8% 0.80× 1.48
Q1 over 32.5 64.7% 61.7% 40.9% 1.51× 1.62
Q1 under 36.5 58.3% 58.6% 77.4% 0.76× 1.71
Q1 over 34.5 53.3% 52.7% 31.5% 1.67× 1.90
Q1 under 35.5 52.5% 52.7% 73.2% 0.72× 1.90
Q1 over 35.5 47.5% 47.3% 26.8% 1.76× 2.11
Q1 under 34.5 46.7% 47.3% 68.5% 0.69× 2.11
Q1 over 36.5 41.7% 41.4% 22.6% 1.83× 2.42
Q1 under 32.5 35.3% 38.3% 59.1% 0.65× 2.61
Q1 over 38.5 30.7% 32.4% 15.2% 2.13× 3.08
Q1 under 30.5 25.0% 27.3% 48.8% 0.56× 3.67
Q1 over 40.5 21.2% 23.1% 10.1% 2.28× 4.33
Q1 under 27.5 13.2% 12.6% 32.3% 0.39× 7.95
Q1 over 43.5 10.7% 12.6% 5.0% 2.52× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Nebraska Cornhuskers to win Q2 58.3% 59.4% 41.5% 1.43× 1.68
Creighton Bluejays to win Q2 36.0% 35.7% 52.9% 0.68× 2.80
Q2 tied 5.8% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.50
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 over 26.5 88.7% 87.3% 71.6% 1.22× 1.15
Q2 under 42.5 87.4% 87.3% 94.3% 0.93× 1.15
Q2 over 29.5 77.8% 76.8% 55.8% 1.38× 1.30
Q2 under 39.5 76.0% 76.8% 88.4% 0.87× 1.30
Q2 over 31.5 68.2% 67.4% 44.3% 1.52× 1.49
Q2 under 37.5 66.0% 67.4% 82.3% 0.82× 1.49
Q2 over 33.5 57.0% 58.2% 34.4% 1.69× 1.72
Q2 under 35.5 54.7% 52.7% 74.6% 0.71× 1.90
Q2 over 34.5 51.2% 52.7% 29.9% 1.76× 1.90
Q2 under 34.5 48.8% 47.3% 70.1% 0.68× 2.11
Q2 over 35.5 45.3% 47.3% 25.4% 1.86× 2.11
Q2 under 33.5 43.0% 41.8% 65.6% 0.64× 2.39
Q2 over 37.5 34.0% 32.6% 17.7% 1.85× 3.06
Q2 under 31.5 31.8% 32.6% 55.7% 0.59× 3.06
Q2 over 39.5 24.0% 23.2% 11.6% 2.00× 4.31
Q2 under 29.5 22.2% 23.2% 44.2% 0.53× 4.31
Q2 over 42.5 12.6% 12.7% 5.7% 2.23× 7.89
Q2 under 26.5 11.3% 12.7% 28.4% 0.45× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Nebraska Cornhuskers to win Q3 59.3% 56.8% 41.8% 1.36× 1.76
Creighton Bluejays to win Q3 35.0% 38.7% 53.3% 0.73× 2.58
Q3 tied 5.7% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.97
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 46.5 88.3% 87.2% 95.3% 0.92× 1.15
Q3 over 30.5 86.4% 87.2% 66.8% 1.30× 1.15
Q3 under 43.5 77.7% 77.3% 90.2% 0.86× 1.29
Q3 over 33.5 74.8% 71.8% 50.9% 1.41× 1.39
Q3 under 41.5 68.3% 67.8% 85.1% 0.80× 1.48
Q3 over 35.5 64.9% 62.0% 40.3% 1.54× 1.61
Q3 under 39.5 57.6% 58.4% 77.9% 0.75× 1.71
Q3 over 37.5 53.8% 52.3% 30.3% 1.73× 1.91
Q3 under 38.5 51.9% 52.3% 73.9% 0.71× 1.91
Q3 over 38.5 48.1% 47.7% 26.1% 1.83× 2.10
Q3 under 37.5 46.2% 47.7% 69.7% 0.68× 2.10
Q3 over 39.5 42.4% 41.6% 22.1% 1.88× 2.40
Q3 under 35.5 35.1% 38.0% 59.7% 0.64× 2.63
Q3 over 41.5 31.7% 32.2% 14.9% 2.16× 3.11
Q3 under 33.5 25.2% 28.2% 49.1% 0.57× 3.55
Q3 over 43.5 22.3% 22.7% 9.8% 2.31× 4.40
Q3 under 30.5 13.6% 12.8% 33.2% 0.39× 7.83
Q3 over 46.5 11.7% 12.8% 4.7% 2.73× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Nebraska Cornhuskers to win Q4 59.1% 52.1% 41.5% 1.25× 1.92
Creighton Bluejays to win Q4 35.3% 42.4% 52.8% 0.80× 2.36
Q4 tied 5.6% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.25
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 46.5 86.8% 85.6% 93.9% 0.91× 1.17
Q4 over 30.5 85.3% 85.6% 66.3% 1.29× 1.17
Q4 under 43.5 76.2% 76.9% 88.6% 0.87× 1.30
Q4 over 33.5 74.0% 71.5% 50.4% 1.42× 1.40
Q4 under 41.5 67.0% 67.4% 83.6% 0.81× 1.48
Q4 over 35.5 64.5% 61.4% 40.6% 1.51× 1.63
Q4 under 39.5 56.8% 58.4% 77.0% 0.76× 1.71
Q4 over 37.5 54.0% 52.5% 31.2% 1.68× 1.91
Q4 under 38.5 51.4% 52.5% 73.1% 0.72× 1.91
Q4 over 38.5 48.6% 47.5% 26.9% 1.77× 2.11
Q4 under 37.5 46.0% 47.5% 68.8% 0.69× 2.11
Q4 over 39.5 43.2% 41.6% 23.0% 1.81× 2.40
Q4 under 35.5 35.5% 38.6% 59.4% 0.65× 2.59
Q4 over 41.5 33.0% 32.6% 16.4% 1.99× 3.07
Q4 under 33.5 26.0% 28.5% 49.6% 0.57× 3.51
Q4 over 43.5 23.8% 23.1% 11.4% 2.03× 4.33
Q4 under 30.5 14.7% 14.4% 33.7% 0.43× 6.95
Q4 over 46.5 13.2% 14.4% 6.1% 2.37× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Creighton Bluejays under 79.5 86.1% 83.9% 81.3% 1.03× 1.19
Nebraska Cornhuskers under 87.5 86.9% 83.9% 96.6% 0.87× 1.19
Nebraska Cornhuskers over 67.5 84.8% 80.7% 34.4% 2.35× 1.24
Creighton Bluejays over 59.5 84.3% 80.7% 72.2% 1.12× 1.24
Creighton Bluejays under 76.5 78.0% 75.1% 75.4% 1.00× 1.33
Nebraska Cornhuskers under 84.5 78.8% 75.1% 94.7% 0.79× 1.33
Nebraska Cornhuskers over 70.5 76.0% 75.1% 26.3% 2.86× 1.33
Creighton Bluejays over 62.5 75.6% 75.1% 64.3% 1.17× 1.33
Nebraska Cornhuskers under 82.5 72.0% 70.7% 93.0% 0.76× 1.41
Creighton Bluejays under 74.5 71.4% 70.7% 70.7% 1.00× 1.41
Creighton Bluejays over 64.5 68.5% 66.4% 58.4% 1.14× 1.51
Nebraska Cornhuskers over 72.5 68.9% 66.4% 21.8% 3.05× 1.51
Creighton Bluejays under 72.5 63.9% 61.2% 65.7% 0.93× 1.63
Nebraska Cornhuskers under 80.5 64.3% 61.2% 91.0% 0.67× 1.63
Creighton Bluejays over 66.5 60.7% 61.2% 51.8% 1.18× 1.63
Nebraska Cornhuskers over 74.5 60.9% 61.2% 17.7% 3.45× 1.63
Creighton Bluejays under 70.5 55.9% 57.1% 60.3% 0.95× 1.75
Nebraska Cornhuskers under 78.5 56.1% 57.1% 88.3% 0.65× 1.75
Creighton Bluejays over 68.5 52.5% 52.3% 45.6% 1.15× 1.91
Creighton Bluejays under 69.5 51.7% 52.3% 57.4% 0.91× 1.91
Nebraska Cornhuskers over 76.5 52.5% 52.3% 14.2% 3.68× 1.91
Nebraska Cornhuskers under 77.5 51.8% 52.3% 87.2% 0.60× 1.91
Creighton Bluejays under 68.5 47.5% 47.7% 54.4% 0.88× 2.09
Creighton Bluejays over 69.5 48.3% 47.7% 42.6% 1.12× 2.09
Nebraska Cornhuskers under 76.5 47.5% 47.7% 85.8% 0.56× 2.09
Nebraska Cornhuskers over 77.5 48.2% 47.7% 12.8% 3.73× 2.09
Creighton Bluejays over 70.5 44.1% 42.9% 39.7% 1.08× 2.33
Nebraska Cornhuskers over 78.5 43.9% 42.9% 11.7% 3.68× 2.33
Creighton Bluejays under 66.5 39.3% 38.8% 48.2% 0.81× 2.58
Nebraska Cornhuskers under 74.5 39.1% 38.8% 82.3% 0.47× 2.58
Creighton Bluejays over 72.5 36.1% 38.8% 34.3% 1.13× 2.58
Nebraska Cornhuskers over 80.5 35.7% 38.8% 9.0% 4.31× 2.58
Creighton Bluejays under 64.5 31.5% 33.6% 41.6% 0.81× 2.98
Nebraska Cornhuskers under 72.5 31.2% 33.6% 78.2% 0.43× 2.98
Creighton Bluejays over 74.5 28.6% 29.3% 29.3% 1.00× 3.42
Nebraska Cornhuskers over 82.5 28.0% 29.3% 7.0% 4.20× 3.42
Creighton Bluejays under 62.5 24.5% 24.9% 35.7% 0.70× 4.02
Nebraska Cornhuskers under 70.5 24.0% 24.9% 73.7% 0.34× 4.02
Creighton Bluejays over 76.5 22.0% 24.9% 24.6% 1.01× 4.02
Nebraska Cornhuskers over 84.5 21.2% 24.9% 5.3% 4.67× 4.02
Creighton Bluejays under 59.5 15.7% 19.3% 27.8% 0.69× 5.18
Nebraska Cornhuskers under 67.5 15.2% 19.3% 65.6% 0.29× 5.18
Creighton Bluejays over 79.5 13.9% 16.1% 18.7% 0.86× 6.21
Nebraska Cornhuskers over 87.5 13.1% 16.1% 3.4% 4.80× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 166.5 points 91.1% 88.8% 96.6% 0.92× 1.13
Over 126.5 points 90.5% 88.8% 57.4% 1.55× 1.13
Under 161.5 points 84.5% 80.6% 94.4% 0.85× 1.24
Over 131.5 points 83.5% 80.6% 46.1% 1.75× 1.24
Under 156.5 points 75.3% 75.6% 91.3% 0.83× 1.32
Over 136.5 points 74.0% 70.8% 35.8% 1.98× 1.41
Under 153.5 points 68.7% 65.9% 89.0% 0.74× 1.52
Over 139.5 points 67.1% 65.9% 30.1% 2.19× 1.52
Under 151.5 points 63.8% 61.5% 87.3% 0.70× 1.63
Over 141.5 points 62.1% 61.5% 26.6% 2.31× 1.63
Under 149.5 points 58.8% 56.5% 84.9% 0.67× 1.77
Over 143.5 points 57.0% 56.5% 23.3% 2.42× 1.77
Under 147.5 points 53.5% 52.3% 82.3% 0.64× 1.91
Over 145.5 points 51.8% 52.3% 20.5% 2.56× 1.91
Under 146.5 points 50.8% 52.3% 80.9% 0.65× 1.91
Over 146.5 points 49.2% 47.7% 19.1% 2.50× 2.10
Under 145.5 points 48.2% 47.7% 79.5% 0.60× 2.10
Over 147.5 points 46.5% 47.7% 17.7% 2.69× 2.10
Under 143.5 points 43.0% 43.5% 76.7% 0.57× 2.30
Over 149.5 points 41.2% 43.5% 15.1% 2.89× 2.30
Under 141.5 points 37.9% 38.5% 73.4% 0.52× 2.60
Over 151.5 points 36.2% 38.5% 12.8% 3.02× 2.60
Under 139.5 points 32.9% 34.1% 69.9% 0.49× 2.93
Over 153.5 points 31.3% 34.1% 11.0% 3.11× 2.93
Under 136.5 points 26.0% 29.2% 64.2% 0.45× 3.43
Over 156.5 points 24.7% 24.4% 8.7% 2.81× 4.10
Under 131.5 points 16.5% 19.4% 53.9% 0.36× 5.15
Over 161.5 points 15.5% 19.4% 5.6% 3.48× 5.15
Under 126.5 points 9.5% 11.2% 42.6% 0.26× 8.96
Over 166.5 points 8.9% 11.2% 3.4% 3.28× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Nebraska Cornhuskers to win both halves 39.9% 36.3% 20.4% 1.78× 2.75
Creighton Bluejays to win both halves 7.4% 8.8% 36.0% 0.25× 11.32
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Nebraska Cornhuskers by 6-10 18.1% 16.8% 10.3% 1.63× 5.97
Nebraska Cornhuskers by 1-5 16.6% 16.8% 10.2% 1.65× 5.97
Nebraska Cornhuskers by 11-15 16.2% 16.8% 7.6% 2.20× 5.97
Nebraska Cornhuskers by 16-20 12.0% 12.3% 4.8% 2.60× 8.11
Creighton Bluejays by 1-5 11.6% 12.3% 10.2% 1.21× 8.11
Creighton Bluejays by 6-10 6.9% 7.5% 12.9% 0.58× 13.40
Nebraska Cornhuskers by 21-25 7.3% 7.5% 2.7% 2.79× 13.40
Nebraska Cornhuskers by 26+ 5.8% 7.5% 4.6% 1.62× 13.40
Creighton Bluejays by 11-15 3.4% 2.0% 10.8% 0.19× 49.30
Creighton Bluejays by 16-20 1.4% 2.0% 8.0% 0.25× 49.32
Creighton Bluejays by 21-25 0.5% 2.0% 5.4% 0.38× 49.32
Creighton Bluejays by 26+ 0.2% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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