Dallas Mavericks v Indiana Pacers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 10 November 2026 · NBA · 2027

NBA results-only Prediction generated 4 Sep 2026, 03:45 UTC

Dallas Mavericks

01:00 UTC

Indiana Pacers

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Dallas Mavericks win

56.2%

Draw

0.0%

Indiana Pacers win

43.8%

56044

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	56044	121.24–119.02	121-119 0%	50%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dallas Mavericks to score 100+	96.7%	94.9%	89.3%	1.06×	1.05
Indiana Pacers to score 100+	95.2%	94.8%	85.9%	1.10×	1.05
Both sides to score 100+	92.3%	90.3%	77.5%	1.16×	1.11
Dallas Mavericks to score 110+	84.0%	79.3%	67.0%	1.18×	1.26
Indiana Pacers to score 110+	79.1%	77.0%	60.9%	1.26×	1.30
Dallas Mavericks to score 120+	56.0%	56.3%	36.5%	1.54×	1.78
Indiana Pacers to score 120+	48.2%	47.0%	29.7%	1.58×	2.13
Dallas Mavericks to score 130+	24.4%	22.0%	12.8%	1.72×	4.54
Indiana Pacers to score 130+	18.5%	17.6%	10.0%	1.76×	5.69

H1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dallas Mavericks to win H1	52.3%	51.9%	52.8%	0.98×	1.93
Indiana Pacers to win H1	44.2%	42.7%	44.1%	0.97×	2.34
H1 tied	3.5%	3.9%	3.1%	1.25×	25.86

H1 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 under 133.5	82.7%	82.5%	93.1%	0.89×	1.21
H1 over 109.5	81.7%	82.5%	65.0%	1.27×	1.21
H1 under 129.5	73.7%	73.5%	88.1%	0.83×	1.36
H1 over 113.5	72.5%	73.5%	52.4%	1.40×	1.36
H1 under 126.5	65.6%	67.4%	82.8%	0.81×	1.48
H1 over 116.5	64.3%	62.7%	43.4%	1.44×	1.59
H1 under 124.5	59.8%	58.2%	78.4%	0.74×	1.72
H1 over 118.5	58.4%	58.2%	37.1%	1.57×	1.72
H1 under 122.5	53.8%	52.6%	74.0%	0.71×	1.90
H1 over 120.5	52.3%	52.6%	31.6%	1.67×	1.90
H1 under 121.5	50.7%	52.6%	71.2%	0.74×	1.90
H1 over 121.5	49.3%	47.4%	28.8%	1.64×	2.11
H1 under 120.5	47.7%	47.4%	68.4%	0.69×	2.11
H1 over 122.5	46.2%	47.4%	26.0%	1.82×	2.11
H1 under 118.5	41.6%	41.8%	62.9%	0.66×	2.39
H1 over 124.5	40.2%	41.8%	21.7%	1.93×	2.39
H1 under 116.5	35.7%	37.3%	56.6%	0.66×	2.68
H1 over 126.5	34.4%	32.6%	17.2%	1.89×	3.07
H1 under 113.5	27.5%	26.5%	47.6%	0.56×	3.77
H1 over 129.5	26.3%	26.5%	11.9%	2.24×	3.77
H1 under 109.5	18.3%	17.5%	35.0%	0.50×	5.72
H1 over 133.5	17.3%	17.5%	6.9%	2.54×	5.73

H2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dallas Mavericks to win H2	52.3%	51.2%	51.6%	0.99×	1.95
Indiana Pacers to win H2	44.2%	43.6%	44.7%	0.97×	2.30
H2 tied	3.5%	3.9%	3.7%	1.06×	25.36

H2 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 under 131.5	83.4%	81.8%	90.1%	0.91×	1.22
H2 over 107.5	81.4%	81.8%	66.2%	1.24×	1.22
H2 under 127.5	74.5%	72.2%	84.9%	0.85×	1.39
H2 over 111.5	72.0%	72.2%	55.3%	1.30×	1.39
H2 under 124.5	66.5%	66.4%	79.1%	0.84×	1.51
H2 over 114.5	63.7%	61.6%	47.5%	1.30×	1.62
H2 under 122.5	60.7%	61.6%	74.4%	0.83×	1.62
H2 over 116.5	57.7%	57.3%	41.9%	1.37×	1.74
H2 under 120.5	54.6%	52.4%	69.3%	0.76×	1.91
H2 over 118.5	51.6%	52.4%	36.4%	1.44×	1.91
H2 under 119.5	51.5%	52.4%	66.4%	0.79×	1.91
H2 under 118.5	48.4%	47.6%	63.6%	0.75×	2.10
H2 over 119.5	48.5%	47.6%	33.6%	1.42×	2.10
H2 over 120.5	45.4%	47.6%	30.7%	1.55×	2.10
H2 under 116.5	42.3%	42.7%	58.1%	0.73×	2.34
H2 over 122.5	39.3%	38.4%	25.6%	1.50×	2.61
H2 under 114.5	36.3%	38.4%	52.5%	0.73×	2.61
H2 over 124.5	33.5%	33.6%	20.9%	1.61×	2.97
H2 under 111.5	28.0%	27.8%	44.7%	0.62×	3.59
H2 over 127.5	25.5%	27.8%	15.1%	1.84×	3.59
H2 under 107.5	18.6%	18.2%	33.8%	0.54×	5.50
H2 over 131.5	16.6%	18.2%	9.9%	1.83×	5.50

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dallas Mavericks leading at half time	52.3%	51.9%	52.8%	0.98×	1.93
Indiana Pacers leading at half time	44.2%	42.9%	44.1%	0.97×	2.33
Level at half time	3.5%	3.8%	3.1%	1.22×	26.41

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dallas Mavericks +18.5	92.1%	91.1%	91.5%	1.00×	1.10
Dallas Mavericks +20.5	94.0%	91.1%	93.1%	0.98×	1.10
Dallas Mavericks +16.5	89.9%	85.9%	89.7%	0.96×	1.16
Indiana Pacers +20.5	89.3%	85.9%	89.1%	0.96×	1.16
Dallas Mavericks +14.5	87.2%	85.9%	87.0%	0.99×	1.16
Indiana Pacers +18.5	86.6%	85.9%	86.4%	0.99×	1.16
Dallas Mavericks +12.5	84.1%	81.1%	83.9%	0.97×	1.23
Indiana Pacers +16.5	83.3%	81.1%	83.5%	0.97×	1.23
Dallas Mavericks +10.5	80.4%	81.1%	80.3%	1.01×	1.23
Indiana Pacers +14.5	79.6%	76.5%	80.1%	0.95×	1.31
Dallas Mavericks +9.5	78.5%	76.5%	78.1%	0.98×	1.31
Dallas Mavericks +8.5	76.4%	76.5%	75.7%	1.01×	1.31
Indiana Pacers +12.5	75.4%	76.5%	76.0%	1.01×	1.31
Dallas Mavericks +7.5	74.2%	71.6%	73.0%	0.98×	1.40
Dallas Mavericks +6.5	71.8%	71.6%	70.6%	1.01×	1.40
Indiana Pacers +10.5	70.8%	71.6%	71.0%	1.01×	1.40
Dallas Mavericks +5.5	69.4%	66.7%	68.0%	0.98×	1.50
Indiana Pacers +9.5	68.4%	66.7%	68.7%	0.97×	1.50
Dallas Mavericks +4.5	66.9%	66.7%	65.7%	1.02×	1.50
Indiana Pacers +8.5	65.8%	66.7%	65.9%	1.01×	1.50
Dallas Mavericks +3.5	64.4%	61.9%	63.1%	0.98×	1.62
Indiana Pacers +7.5	63.2%	61.9%	63.0%	0.98×	1.62
Dallas Mavericks +2.5	61.7%	61.9%	60.5%	1.02×	1.62
Indiana Pacers +6.5	60.5%	61.9%	60.0%	1.03×	1.62
Dallas Mavericks +1.5	59.0%	57.1%	57.9%	0.99×	1.75
Indiana Pacers +5.5	57.8%	57.1%	57.1%	1.00×	1.75
Indiana Pacers +4.5	55.0%	57.1%	54.1%	1.06×	1.75
Dallas Mavericks −1.5	53.4%	52.4%	53.7%	0.98×	1.91
Indiana Pacers +3.5	52.2%	52.4%	51.6%	1.02×	1.91
Dallas Mavericks −2.5	50.6%	52.4%	50.9%	1.03×	1.91
Indiana Pacers +2.5	49.4%	47.6%	49.1%	0.97×	2.10
Dallas Mavericks −3.5	47.8%	47.6%	48.4%	0.98×	2.10
Indiana Pacers +1.5	46.6%	47.6%	46.3%	1.03×	2.10
Dallas Mavericks −4.5	45.0%	42.9%	46.0%	0.93×	2.33
Dallas Mavericks −5.5	42.2%	42.9%	42.9%	1.00×	2.33
Indiana Pacers −1.5	41.0%	42.9%	42.1%	1.02×	2.33
Dallas Mavericks −6.5	39.5%	38.1%	40.0%	0.95×	2.63
Indiana Pacers −2.5	38.3%	38.1%	39.5%	0.96×	2.63
Dallas Mavericks −7.5	36.8%	38.1%	37.0%	1.03×	2.63
Indiana Pacers −3.5	35.6%	38.1%	36.9%	1.03×	2.63
Dallas Mavericks −8.5	34.2%	33.3%	34.1%	0.98×	3.01
Indiana Pacers −4.5	33.1%	33.3%	34.3%	0.97×	3.01
Dallas Mavericks −9.5	31.6%	33.3%	31.3%	1.06×	3.01
Indiana Pacers −5.5	30.6%	33.3%	32.0%	1.04×	3.01
Dallas Mavericks −10.5	29.2%	28.4%	29.0%	0.98×	3.53
Indiana Pacers −6.5	28.2%	28.4%	29.4%	0.96×	3.53
Indiana Pacers −7.5	25.8%	28.4%	27.0%	1.05×	3.53
Dallas Mavericks −12.5	24.6%	23.5%	24.0%	0.98×	4.25
Indiana Pacers −8.5	23.6%	23.5%	24.3%	0.97×	4.25
Indiana Pacers −9.5	21.5%	23.5%	21.9%	1.08×	4.25
Dallas Mavericks −14.5	20.4%	23.5%	19.9%	1.19×	4.25
Indiana Pacers −10.5	19.6%	18.9%	19.7%	0.96×	5.29
Dallas Mavericks −16.5	16.7%	18.9%	16.5%	1.15×	5.29
Indiana Pacers −12.5	15.9%	18.9%	16.1%	1.17×	5.30
Dallas Mavericks −18.5	13.4%	14.1%	13.6%	1.04×	7.09
Indiana Pacers −14.5	12.8%	14.1%	13.0%	1.09×	7.09
Indiana Pacers −16.5	10.1%	14.1%	10.3%	1.37×	7.09
Dallas Mavericks −20.5	10.7%	14.1%	10.9%	1.30×	7.09
Indiana Pacers −18.5	7.9%	8.9%	8.5%	1.04×	11.25
Indiana Pacers −20.5	6.0%	8.9%	6.9%	1.29×	11.25

Highest scoring half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1st half highest scoring	57.0%	52.6%	53.5%	0.98×	1.90
2nd half highest scoring	43.0%	47.4%	46.5%	1.02×	2.11

Highest scoring quarter 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 highest scoring	28.4%	27.4%	29.2%	0.94×	3.65
Q3 highest scoring	28.1%	27.4%	27.5%	1.00×	3.65
Q2 highest scoring	26.6%	27.4%	26.3%	1.04×	3.65
Q4 highest scoring	16.9%	18.3%	17.0%	1.08×	5.46

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dallas Mavericks at HT / Dallas Mavericks at FT	40.8%	41.0%	40.8%	1.01×	2.44
Indiana Pacers at HT / Indiana Pacers at FT	30.7%	33.2%	30.9%	1.08×	3.01
Indiana Pacers at HT / Dallas Mavericks at FT	13.5%	12.2%	13.3%	0.92×	8.17
Dallas Mavericks at HT / Indiana Pacers at FT	11.5%	12.2%	12.0%	1.02×	8.18
Level at HT / Dallas Mavericks at FT	1.9%	2.1%	1.7%	1.22×	47.76
Level at HT / Indiana Pacers at FT	1.6%	2.1%	1.4%	1.50×	47.76

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dallas Mavericks to win	56.2%	55.2%	55.7%	0.99×	1.81
Indiana Pacers to win	43.8%	44.8%	44.3%	1.01×	2.23

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Total points odd	51.4%	50.5%	51.0%	0.99×	1.98
Dallas Mavericks even	50.0%	50.5%	49.7%	1.02×	1.98
Indiana Pacers even	50.0%	50.5%	50.3%	1.00×	1.98
Dallas Mavericks odd	50.0%	49.5%	50.3%	0.98×	2.02
Indiana Pacers odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.7%	1.00×	2.02
Total points even	48.6%	49.5%	49.0%	1.01×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	92.9%	94.0%	94.8%	0.99×	1.06
Match to go to overtime	7.1%	6.0%	5.2%	1.16×	16.65

Q1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dallas Mavericks to win Q1	50.4%	52.6%	51.3%	1.02×	1.90
Indiana Pacers to win Q1	44.9%	43.0%	44.1%	0.98×	2.33
Q1 tied	4.8%	4.2%	4.6%	0.90×	23.94

Q1 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 under 69.5	84.7%	82.8%	92.7%	0.89×	1.21
Q1 over 53.5	80.4%	82.8%	68.2%	1.21×	1.21
Q1 under 66.5	74.9%	72.7%	86.1%	0.84×	1.38
Q1 over 56.5	69.3%	67.6%	54.6%	1.24×	1.48
Q1 under 64.5	66.9%	67.6%	80.1%	0.84×	1.48
Q1 over 58.5	60.6%	61.7%	44.3%	1.39×	1.62
Q1 under 62.5	58.0%	58.6%	72.9%	0.80×	1.71
Q1 under 61.5	53.3%	52.7%	68.5%	0.77×	1.90
Q1 over 60.5	51.3%	52.7%	35.5%	1.48×	1.90
Q1 under 60.5	48.7%	47.3%	64.5%	0.73×	2.11
Q1 over 61.5	46.7%	47.3%	31.5%	1.50×	2.11
Q1 over 62.5	42.0%	41.4%	27.1%	1.53×	2.42
Q1 under 58.5	39.4%	38.3%	55.7%	0.69×	2.61
Q1 over 64.5	33.1%	32.4%	19.9%	1.63×	3.08
Q1 under 56.5	30.7%	32.4%	45.4%	0.71×	3.08
Q1 over 66.5	25.1%	27.3%	13.9%	1.96×	3.67
Q1 under 53.5	19.6%	17.2%	31.8%	0.54×	5.83
Q1 over 69.5	15.3%	17.2%	7.3%	2.34×	5.83

Q2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dallas Mavericks to win Q2	50.4%	51.3%	49.3%	1.04×	1.95
Indiana Pacers to win Q2	44.9%	43.9%	46.2%	0.95×	2.28
Q2 tied	4.7%	4.4%	4.5%	0.98×	22.88

Q2 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q2 over 52.5	82.5%	83.0%	70.3%	1.18×	1.21
Q2 under 68.5	82.6%	83.0%	90.6%	0.92×	1.21
Q2 under 65.5	72.2%	72.0%	83.6%	0.86×	1.39
Q2 over 55.5	72.0%	72.0%	56.3%	1.28×	1.39
Q2 under 63.5	63.8%	60.7%	77.5%	0.78×	1.65
Q2 over 57.5	63.6%	60.7%	47.3%	1.28×	1.65
Q2 over 59.5	54.5%	52.7%	38.1%	1.38×	1.90
Q2 under 61.5	54.8%	52.7%	70.4%	0.75×	1.90
Q2 under 60.5	50.1%	52.7%	65.7%	0.80×	1.90
Q2 over 60.5	49.9%	47.3%	34.3%	1.38×	2.11
Q2 under 59.5	45.5%	47.3%	61.9%	0.76×	2.11
Q2 over 61.5	45.2%	47.3%	29.6%	1.60×	2.11
Q2 under 57.5	36.4%	39.3%	52.7%	0.75×	2.55
Q2 over 63.5	36.2%	39.3%	22.5%	1.75×	2.55
Q2 under 55.5	28.0%	28.0%	43.7%	0.64×	3.57
Q2 over 65.5	27.8%	28.0%	16.4%	1.71×	3.57
Q2 under 52.5	17.5%	17.0%	29.7%	0.57×	5.88
Q2 over 68.5	17.4%	17.0%	9.4%	1.80×	5.88

Q3 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dallas Mavericks to win Q3	50.4%	52.6%	50.9%	1.04×	1.90
Indiana Pacers to win Q3	44.9%	42.3%	44.3%	0.95×	2.36
Q3 tied	4.7%	4.3%	4.9%	0.88×	23.43

Q3 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 under 69.5	84.5%	82.3%	91.4%	0.90×	1.22
Q3 over 53.5	81.2%	82.3%	68.3%	1.20×	1.22
Q3 under 66.5	74.5%	71.8%	84.7%	0.85×	1.39
Q3 over 56.5	70.2%	71.8%	55.0%	1.30×	1.39
Q3 under 64.5	66.3%	67.8%	79.2%	0.86×	1.48
Q3 over 58.5	61.5%	61.9%	45.2%	1.37×	1.61
Q3 under 62.5	57.3%	58.4%	71.9%	0.81×	1.71
Q3 over 60.5	52.2%	52.3%	36.5%	1.43×	1.91
Q3 under 61.5	52.6%	52.3%	67.7%	0.77×	1.91
Q3 under 60.5	47.8%	47.7%	63.5%	0.75×	2.10
Q3 over 61.5	47.4%	47.7%	32.3%	1.48×	2.10
Q3 over 62.5	42.7%	41.6%	28.1%	1.48×	2.40
Q3 under 58.5	38.5%	38.1%	54.8%	0.69×	2.63
Q3 over 64.5	33.7%	32.2%	20.8%	1.55×	3.10
Q3 under 56.5	29.8%	28.2%	45.0%	0.63×	3.55
Q3 over 66.5	25.5%	28.2%	15.3%	1.85×	3.55
Q3 under 53.5	18.8%	17.7%	31.7%	0.56×	5.66
Q3 over 69.5	15.5%	17.7%	8.6%	2.05×	5.66

Q4 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dallas Mavericks to win Q4	50.3%	51.4%	48.3%	1.06×	1.95
Indiana Pacers to win Q4	44.9%	43.1%	46.4%	0.93×	2.32
Q4 tied	4.9%	5.2%	5.3%	0.98×	19.28

Q4 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 under 66.5	83.5%	82.0%	90.4%	0.91×	1.22
Q4 over 50.5	80.8%	82.0%	68.5%	1.20×	1.22
Q4 under 63.5	73.5%	71.5%	83.7%	0.85×	1.40
Q4 over 53.5	70.0%	67.4%	55.7%	1.21×	1.48
Q4 under 61.5	65.5%	67.4%	77.5%	0.87×	1.48
Q4 over 55.5	61.5%	61.4%	47.1%	1.30×	1.63
Q4 under 59.5	56.6%	58.4%	70.2%	0.83×	1.71
Q4 over 57.5	52.5%	52.5%	38.1%	1.38×	1.91
Q4 under 58.5	52.1%	52.5%	66.2%	0.79×	1.91
Q4 over 58.5	47.9%	47.5%	33.8%	1.41×	2.11
Q4 under 57.5	47.5%	47.5%	61.9%	0.77×	2.11
Q4 over 59.5	43.4%	41.6%	29.8%	1.40×	2.40
Q4 under 55.5	38.5%	38.6%	52.9%	0.73×	2.59
Q4 over 61.5	34.5%	32.6%	22.5%	1.45×	3.07
Q4 under 53.5	30.0%	32.6%	44.3%	0.73×	3.07
Q4 over 63.5	26.5%	28.5%	16.3%	1.75×	3.51
Q4 under 50.5	19.2%	18.0%	31.5%	0.57×	5.56
Q4 over 66.5	16.5%	18.0%	9.6%	1.88×	5.56

Team total 44

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Indiana Pacers under 129.5	81.5%	80.7%	90.0%	0.90×	1.24
Dallas Mavericks under 131.5	80.6%	80.7%	89.8%	0.90×	1.24
Dallas Mavericks over 111.5	79.5%	75.1%	61.1%	1.23×	1.33
Indiana Pacers over 109.5	79.1%	75.1%	60.9%	1.23×	1.33
Indiana Pacers under 126.5	73.9%	70.7%	85.3%	0.83×	1.41
Dallas Mavericks over 114.5	71.6%	70.7%	51.4%	1.38×	1.41
Dallas Mavericks under 128.5	72.9%	70.7%	85.5%	0.83×	1.41
Indiana Pacers over 112.5	71.0%	70.7%	51.5%	1.37×	1.41
Indiana Pacers under 124.5	68.1%	66.4%	81.4%	0.82×	1.51
Dallas Mavericks under 126.5	67.0%	66.4%	81.5%	0.81×	1.51
Dallas Mavericks over 116.5	65.7%	66.4%	45.3%	1.47×	1.51
Indiana Pacers over 114.5	64.9%	61.2%	44.5%	1.38×	1.63
Dallas Mavericks under 124.5	60.7%	61.2%	76.8%	0.80×	1.63
Indiana Pacers under 122.5	61.8%	61.2%	77.4%	0.79×	1.63
Dallas Mavericks over 118.5	59.3%	57.1%	39.7%	1.44×	1.75
Indiana Pacers over 116.5	58.4%	57.1%	38.5%	1.48×	1.75
Indiana Pacers under 120.5	55.1%	57.1%	72.7%	0.79×	1.75
Dallas Mavericks under 122.5	54.1%	52.3%	71.8%	0.73×	1.91
Dallas Mavericks over 120.5	52.6%	52.3%	33.7%	1.55×	1.91
Indiana Pacers over 118.5	51.6%	52.3%	32.6%	1.60×	1.91
Indiana Pacers under 119.5	51.8%	52.3%	70.3%	0.74×	1.91
Dallas Mavericks under 121.5	50.7%	52.3%	69.6%	0.75×	1.91
Dallas Mavericks over 121.5	49.3%	47.7%	30.4%	1.57×	2.09
Dallas Mavericks under 120.5	47.4%	47.7%	66.3%	0.72×	2.09
Indiana Pacers under 118.5	48.4%	47.7%	67.4%	0.71×	2.09
Indiana Pacers over 119.5	48.2%	47.7%	29.7%	1.61×	2.09
Dallas Mavericks over 122.5	45.9%	47.7%	28.2%	1.69×	2.09
Indiana Pacers over 120.5	44.9%	42.9%	27.3%	1.57×	2.33
Indiana Pacers under 116.5	41.6%	42.9%	61.5%	0.70×	2.33
Dallas Mavericks under 118.5	40.7%	42.9%	60.3%	0.71×	2.33
Dallas Mavericks over 124.5	39.3%	38.8%	23.2%	1.67×	2.58
Indiana Pacers over 122.5	38.2%	38.8%	22.6%	1.71×	2.58
Indiana Pacers under 114.5	35.1%	38.8%	55.5%	0.70×	2.58
Dallas Mavericks under 116.5	34.3%	33.6%	54.7%	0.61×	2.98
Dallas Mavericks over 126.5	33.0%	33.6%	18.5%	1.82×	2.98
Indiana Pacers over 124.5	31.9%	33.6%	18.6%	1.81×	2.98
Indiana Pacers under 112.5	29.0%	29.3%	48.5%	0.60×	3.42
Dallas Mavericks under 114.5	28.4%	29.3%	48.6%	0.60×	3.42
Dallas Mavericks over 128.5	27.1%	29.3%	14.5%	2.02×	3.42
Indiana Pacers over 126.5	26.1%	29.3%	14.7%	1.99×	3.42
Indiana Pacers under 109.5	20.9%	24.9%	39.1%	0.64×	4.02
Dallas Mavericks under 111.5	20.5%	24.9%	38.9%	0.64×	4.02
Dallas Mavericks over 131.5	19.4%	19.3%	10.2%	1.89×	5.18
Indiana Pacers over 129.5	18.5%	19.3%	10.0%	1.94×	5.18

Total points 30

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 260.5 points	86.4%	85.0%	94.1%	0.90×	1.18
Over 220.5 points	85.9%	85.0%	64.2%	1.33×	1.18
Under 255.5 points	79.6%	75.6%	90.8%	0.83×	1.32
Over 225.5 points	78.9%	75.6%	54.7%	1.38×	1.32
Under 250.5 points	71.1%	70.8%	86.1%	0.82×	1.41
Over 230.5 points	70.2%	70.8%	44.6%	1.59×	1.41
Under 247.5 points	65.3%	65.9%	83.3%	0.79×	1.52
Over 233.5 points	64.3%	61.5%	38.6%	1.59×	1.63
Under 245.5 points	61.2%	61.5%	80.9%	0.76×	1.63
Over 235.5 points	60.2%	61.5%	34.7%	1.77×	1.63
Under 243.5 points	57.0%	56.5%	78.2%	0.72×	1.77
Over 237.5 points	55.9%	56.5%	30.7%	1.84×	1.77
Over 239.5 points	51.6%	52.3%	27.5%	1.90×	1.91
Under 241.5 points	52.7%	52.3%	75.5%	0.69×	1.91
Under 240.5 points	50.5%	52.3%	74.0%	0.71×	1.91
Over 240.5 points	49.5%	47.7%	26.0%	1.84×	2.10
Under 239.5 points	48.4%	47.7%	72.5%	0.66×	2.10
Over 241.5 points	47.3%	47.7%	24.5%	1.95×	2.10
Under 237.5 points	44.1%	43.5%	69.3%	0.63×	2.30
Over 243.5 points	43.0%	43.5%	21.8%	1.99×	2.30
Under 235.5 points	39.8%	38.5%	65.3%	0.59×	2.60
Over 245.5 points	38.8%	38.5%	19.1%	2.01×	2.60
Under 233.5 points	35.7%	38.5%	61.4%	0.63×	2.60
Over 247.5 points	34.7%	34.1%	16.7%	2.04×	2.93
Under 230.5 points	29.8%	29.2%	55.4%	0.53×	3.43
Over 250.5 points	28.9%	29.2%	13.9%	2.11×	3.43
Under 225.5 points	21.1%	24.4%	45.3%	0.54×	4.10
Over 255.5 points	20.4%	24.4%	9.2%	2.65×	4.10
Under 220.5 points	14.1%	15.0%	35.8%	0.42×	6.68
Over 260.5 points	13.6%	15.0%	5.9%	2.55×	6.68

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dallas Mavericks to win both halves	25.2%	27.2%	25.2%	1.08×	3.68
Indiana Pacers to win both halves	17.4%	18.9%	17.8%	1.06×	5.30

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dallas Mavericks by 1-5	14.1%	12.3%	12.8%	0.96×	8.11
Indiana Pacers by 1-5	13.2%	12.3%	12.3%	1.01×	8.11
Dallas Mavericks by 6-10	13.0%	12.3%	13.9%	0.88×	8.11
Indiana Pacers by 6-10	11.0%	12.3%	12.3%	1.00×	8.11
Dallas Mavericks by 11-15	10.7%	12.3%	10.8%	1.14×	8.11
Indiana Pacers by 11-15	8.2%	7.5%	8.0%	0.93×	13.40
Dallas Mavericks by 16-20	7.8%	7.5%	7.3%	1.02×	13.40
Indiana Pacers by 16-20	5.4%	7.5%	4.9%	1.53×	13.40
Dallas Mavericks by 21-25	5.1%	7.5%	4.7%	1.58×	13.41
Dallas Mavericks by 26+	5.6%	7.5%	6.2%	1.21×	13.40
Indiana Pacers by 21-25	3.1%	2.0%	3.0%	0.67×	49.30
Indiana Pacers by 26+	2.9%	2.0%	3.9%	0.53×	49.30

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