Dallas Mavericks v Utah Jazz — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 7 November 2026 · NBA · 2027

NBA results-only Prediction generated 4 Sep 2026, 03:45 UTC

Dallas Mavericks

01:00 UTC

Utah Jazz

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Dallas Mavericks win

63.2%

Draw

0.0%

Utah Jazz win

36.8%

63037

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	63037	126.36–121.61	126-122 0%	49%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dallas Mavericks to score 100+	98.9%	94.9%	89.3%	1.06×	1.05
Utah Jazz to score 100+	97.0%	94.9%	85.9%	1.11×	1.05
Both sides to score 100+	96.0%	94.9%	77.5%	1.22×	1.05
Dallas Mavericks to score 110+	92.4%	90.3%	67.0%	1.35×	1.11
Utah Jazz to score 110+	84.8%	79.3%	60.9%	1.30×	1.26
Dallas Mavericks to score 120+	72.1%	72.3%	36.5%	1.98×	1.38
Utah Jazz to score 120+	56.9%	56.3%	29.7%	1.90×	1.78
Dallas Mavericks to score 130+	39.8%	36.1%	12.8%	2.81×	2.77
Utah Jazz to score 130+	24.9%	22.1%	10.0%	2.21×	4.54

H1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dallas Mavericks to win H1	56.9%	57.3%	52.8%	1.08×	1.75
Utah Jazz to win H1	39.7%	37.8%	44.1%	0.86×	2.64
H1 tied	3.4%	3.9%	3.1%	1.25×	25.86

H1 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 under 137.5	82.9%	82.5%	96.3%	0.86×	1.21
H1 over 113.5	81.5%	82.5%	52.4%	1.57×	1.21
H1 under 133.5	74.0%	73.5%	93.1%	0.79×	1.36
H1 over 117.5	72.2%	73.5%	40.4%	1.82×	1.36
H1 under 130.5	66.0%	67.4%	89.6%	0.75×	1.48
H1 over 120.5	64.0%	62.7%	31.6%	1.99×	1.59
H1 under 128.5	60.2%	62.7%	86.7%	0.72×	1.59
H1 over 122.5	58.1%	58.2%	26.0%	2.24×	1.72
H1 under 126.5	54.1%	52.6%	82.8%	0.64×	1.90
H1 over 124.5	52.0%	52.6%	21.7%	2.43×	1.90
H1 under 125.5	51.1%	52.6%	80.7%	0.65×	1.90
H1 over 125.5	48.9%	47.4%	19.3%	2.45×	2.11
H1 under 124.5	48.0%	47.4%	78.4%	0.60×	2.11
H1 over 126.5	45.9%	47.4%	17.2%	2.75×	2.11
H1 under 122.5	41.9%	41.8%	74.0%	0.56×	2.39
H1 over 128.5	39.8%	37.3%	13.3%	2.80×	2.68
H1 under 120.5	36.0%	37.3%	68.4%	0.54×	2.68
H1 over 130.5	34.0%	32.6%	10.4%	3.14×	3.07
H1 under 117.5	27.8%	26.5%	59.6%	0.44×	3.77
H1 over 133.5	26.0%	26.5%	6.9%	3.85×	3.77
H1 under 113.5	18.5%	17.5%	47.6%	0.37×	5.72
H1 over 137.5	17.1%	17.5%	3.7%	4.76×	5.73

H2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dallas Mavericks to win H2	56.8%	55.0%	51.6%	1.07×	1.82
Utah Jazz to win H2	39.7%	41.2%	44.7%	0.92×	2.43
H2 tied	3.4%	3.9%	3.7%	1.06×	25.36

H2 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 under 135.5	83.8%	81.8%	93.5%	0.87×	1.22
H2 over 111.5	81.0%	81.8%	55.3%	1.48×	1.22
H2 under 131.5	75.0%	72.2%	90.1%	0.80×	1.39
H2 over 115.5	71.5%	72.2%	44.6%	1.62×	1.39
H2 under 128.5	67.0%	66.4%	86.3%	0.77×	1.51
H2 over 118.5	63.1%	61.6%	36.4%	1.69×	1.62
H2 under 126.5	61.2%	61.6%	83.2%	0.74×	1.62
H2 over 120.5	57.1%	57.3%	30.7%	1.87×	1.74
H2 under 124.5	55.2%	57.3%	79.1%	0.72×	1.74
H2 under 123.5	52.1%	52.4%	76.9%	0.68×	1.91
H2 over 122.5	51.0%	52.4%	25.6%	2.05×	1.91
H2 under 122.5	49.0%	47.6%	74.4%	0.64×	2.10
H2 over 123.5	47.9%	47.6%	23.1%	2.06×	2.10
H2 over 124.5	44.8%	42.7%	20.9%	2.05×	2.34
H2 under 120.5	42.9%	42.7%	69.3%	0.62×	2.34
H2 over 126.5	38.8%	38.4%	16.8%	2.29×	2.61
H2 under 118.5	36.9%	38.4%	63.6%	0.60×	2.61
H2 over 128.5	33.0%	33.6%	13.7%	2.45×	2.97
H2 under 115.5	28.5%	27.8%	55.4%	0.50×	3.59
H2 over 131.5	25.0%	27.8%	9.9%	2.80×	3.59
H2 under 111.5	19.0%	18.2%	44.7%	0.41×	5.50
H2 over 135.5	16.2%	18.2%	6.5%	2.81×	5.50

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dallas Mavericks leading at half time	56.9%	56.9%	52.8%	1.08×	1.76
Utah Jazz leading at half time	39.7%	37.9%	44.1%	0.86×	2.64
Level at half time	3.4%	3.8%	3.1%	1.22×	26.41

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dallas Mavericks +20.5	95.8%	97.4%	93.1%	1.05×	1.03
Dallas Mavericks +18.5	94.4%	91.1%	91.5%	1.00×	1.10
Dallas Mavericks +16.5	92.7%	91.1%	89.7%	1.02×	1.10
Dallas Mavericks +14.5	90.5%	91.1%	87.0%	1.05×	1.10
Dallas Mavericks +12.5	88.0%	85.9%	83.9%	1.02×	1.16
Utah Jazz +20.5	85.8%	85.9%	89.1%	0.96×	1.16
Dallas Mavericks +10.5	85.0%	81.1%	80.3%	1.01×	1.23
Dallas Mavericks +9.5	83.3%	81.1%	78.1%	1.04×	1.23
Utah Jazz +18.5	82.4%	81.1%	86.4%	0.94×	1.23
Dallas Mavericks +8.5	81.5%	81.1%	75.7%	1.07×	1.23
Dallas Mavericks +7.5	79.6%	76.5%	73.0%	1.05×	1.31
Dallas Mavericks +6.5	77.5%	76.5%	70.6%	1.08×	1.31
Utah Jazz +16.5	78.5%	76.5%	83.5%	0.92×	1.31
Dallas Mavericks +5.5	75.4%	76.5%	68.0%	1.13×	1.31
Utah Jazz +14.5	74.3%	71.6%	80.1%	0.89×	1.40
Dallas Mavericks +4.5	73.1%	71.6%	65.7%	1.09×	1.40
Dallas Mavericks +3.5	70.8%	71.6%	63.1%	1.14×	1.40
Utah Jazz +12.5	69.5%	66.7%	76.0%	0.88×	1.50
Dallas Mavericks +2.5	68.3%	66.7%	60.5%	1.10×	1.50
Dallas Mavericks +1.5	65.8%	66.7%	57.9%	1.15×	1.50
Utah Jazz +10.5	64.5%	61.9%	71.0%	0.87×	1.62
Utah Jazz +9.5	61.8%	61.9%	68.7%	0.90×	1.62
Dallas Mavericks −1.5	60.5%	61.9%	53.7%	1.15×	1.62
Utah Jazz +8.5	59.1%	57.1%	65.9%	0.87×	1.75
Dallas Mavericks −2.5	57.7%	57.1%	50.9%	1.12×	1.75
Utah Jazz +7.5	56.4%	57.1%	63.0%	0.91×	1.75
Dallas Mavericks −3.5	54.9%	52.4%	48.4%	1.08×	1.91
Utah Jazz +6.5	53.6%	52.4%	60.0%	0.87×	1.91
Dallas Mavericks −4.5	52.1%	52.4%	46.0%	1.14×	1.91
Utah Jazz +5.5	50.8%	52.4%	57.1%	0.92×	1.91
Dallas Mavericks −5.5	49.2%	47.6%	42.9%	1.11×	2.10
Utah Jazz +4.5	47.9%	47.6%	54.1%	0.88×	2.10
Dallas Mavericks −6.5	46.4%	47.6%	40.0%	1.19×	2.10
Utah Jazz +3.5	45.1%	47.6%	51.6%	0.92×	2.10
Dallas Mavericks −7.5	43.6%	42.9%	37.0%	1.16×	2.33
Utah Jazz +2.5	42.3%	42.9%	49.1%	0.88×	2.33
Dallas Mavericks −8.5	40.9%	42.9%	34.1%	1.26×	2.33
Utah Jazz +1.5	39.5%	38.1%	46.3%	0.82×	2.63
Dallas Mavericks −9.5	38.2%	38.1%	31.3%	1.22×	2.63
Dallas Mavericks −10.5	35.5%	38.1%	29.0%	1.31×	2.63
Utah Jazz −1.5	34.2%	33.3%	42.1%	0.79×	3.01
Utah Jazz −2.5	31.7%	33.3%	39.5%	0.84×	3.01
Dallas Mavericks −12.5	30.5%	33.3%	24.0%	1.38×	3.01
Utah Jazz −3.5	29.2%	28.4%	36.9%	0.77×	3.53
Utah Jazz −4.5	26.9%	28.4%	34.3%	0.83×	3.53
Dallas Mavericks −14.5	25.7%	28.4%	19.9%	1.43×	3.53
Utah Jazz −5.5	24.6%	23.5%	32.0%	0.73×	4.25
Utah Jazz −6.5	22.5%	23.5%	29.4%	0.80×	4.25
Dallas Mavericks −16.5	21.5%	23.5%	16.5%	1.43×	4.25
Utah Jazz −7.5	20.4%	23.5%	27.0%	0.87×	4.25
Utah Jazz −8.5	18.5%	18.9%	24.3%	0.78×	5.29
Utah Jazz −9.5	16.7%	18.9%	21.9%	0.86×	5.29
Dallas Mavericks −18.5	17.6%	18.9%	13.6%	1.39×	5.29
Utah Jazz −10.5	15.0%	18.9%	19.7%	0.96×	5.30
Dallas Mavericks −20.5	14.2%	14.1%	10.9%	1.30×	7.09
Utah Jazz −12.5	12.0%	14.1%	16.1%	0.87×	7.09
Utah Jazz −14.5	9.5%	8.9%	13.0%	0.68×	11.25
Utah Jazz −16.5	7.3%	8.9%	10.3%	0.86×	11.25
Utah Jazz −18.5	5.6%	8.9%	8.5%	1.04×	11.25
Utah Jazz −20.5	4.2%	2.6%	6.9%	0.37×	38.72

Highest scoring half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1st half highest scoring	57.2%	52.6%	53.5%	0.98×	1.90
2nd half highest scoring	42.8%	47.4%	46.5%	1.02×	2.11

Highest scoring quarter 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 highest scoring	28.5%	27.4%	29.2%	0.94×	3.65
Q3 highest scoring	28.3%	27.4%	27.5%	1.00×	3.65
Q2 highest scoring	26.6%	27.4%	26.3%	1.04×	3.65
Q4 highest scoring	16.6%	18.3%	17.0%	1.08×	5.46

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dallas Mavericks at HT / Dallas Mavericks at FT	46.8%	46.6%	40.8%	1.14×	2.15
Utah Jazz at HT / Utah Jazz at FT	25.3%	29.5%	30.9%	0.96×	3.38
Utah Jazz at HT / Dallas Mavericks at FT	14.3%	12.2%	13.3%	0.92×	8.17
Dallas Mavericks at HT / Utah Jazz at FT	10.1%	12.2%	12.0%	1.02×	8.18
Level at HT / Dallas Mavericks at FT	2.1%	2.1%	1.7%	1.22×	47.76
Level at HT / Utah Jazz at FT	1.4%	2.1%	1.4%	1.49×	47.77

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dallas Mavericks to win	63.2%	60.7%	55.7%	1.09×	1.65
Utah Jazz to win	36.8%	39.3%	44.3%	0.89×	2.54

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Total points odd	51.3%	50.5%	51.0%	0.99×	1.98
Dallas Mavericks odd	50.0%	50.5%	50.3%	1.00×	1.98
Utah Jazz even	50.0%	50.5%	50.3%	1.00×	1.98
Dallas Mavericks even	50.0%	49.5%	49.7%	1.00×	2.02
Utah Jazz odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.7%	1.00×	2.02
Total points even	48.7%	49.5%	49.0%	1.01×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	93.2%	94.0%	94.8%	0.99×	1.06
Match to go to overtime	6.8%	6.0%	5.2%	1.16×	16.65

Q1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dallas Mavericks to win Q1	53.5%	52.6%	51.3%	1.03×	1.90
Utah Jazz to win Q1	41.7%	42.9%	44.1%	0.97×	2.33
Q1 tied	4.7%	4.2%	4.6%	0.90×	23.94

Q1 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 over 54.5	83.4%	82.8%	63.3%	1.31×	1.21
Q1 under 70.5	82.0%	82.8%	94.0%	0.88×	1.21
Q1 over 57.5	73.1%	72.7%	49.6%	1.47×	1.38
Q1 under 67.5	71.2%	72.7%	88.8%	0.82×	1.38
Q1 over 59.5	64.8%	61.7%	40.0%	1.54×	1.62
Q1 under 65.5	62.8%	61.7%	83.2%	0.74×	1.62
Q1 over 61.5	55.8%	58.6%	31.5%	1.86×	1.71
Q1 under 63.5	53.6%	52.7%	76.8%	0.69×	1.90
Q1 over 62.5	51.1%	52.7%	27.1%	1.94×	1.90
Q1 under 62.5	48.9%	47.3%	72.9%	0.65×	2.11
Q1 over 63.5	46.4%	47.3%	23.2%	2.04×	2.11
Q1 under 61.5	44.2%	41.4%	68.5%	0.60×	2.42
Q1 over 65.5	37.3%	38.3%	16.8%	2.28×	2.61
Q1 under 59.5	35.2%	38.3%	60.0%	0.64×	2.61
Q1 over 67.5	28.8%	27.3%	11.2%	2.43×	3.66
Q1 under 57.5	26.9%	27.3%	50.4%	0.54×	3.66
Q1 over 70.5	18.0%	17.2%	6.0%	2.86×	5.83
Q1 under 54.5	16.6%	17.2%	36.7%	0.47×	5.83

Q2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dallas Mavericks to win Q2	53.5%	51.4%	49.3%	1.04×	1.95
Utah Jazz to win Q2	41.8%	43.9%	46.2%	0.95×	2.28
Q2 tied	4.7%	4.4%	4.5%	0.98×	22.88

Q2 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q2 under 70.5	82.8%	83.0%	94.0%	0.88×	1.21
Q2 over 54.5	82.3%	83.0%	61.1%	1.36×	1.21
Q2 under 67.5	72.4%	72.0%	88.7%	0.81×	1.39
Q2 over 57.5	71.7%	72.0%	47.3%	1.52×	1.39
Q2 under 65.5	64.1%	60.7%	83.6%	0.73×	1.65
Q2 over 59.5	63.3%	60.7%	38.1%	1.59×	1.65
Q2 under 63.5	55.1%	58.2%	77.5%	0.75×	1.72
Q2 over 61.5	54.3%	52.7%	29.6%	1.78×	1.90
Q2 under 62.5	50.4%	52.7%	74.4%	0.71×	1.90
Q2 over 62.5	49.6%	47.3%	25.6%	1.85×	2.11
Q2 under 61.5	45.7%	47.3%	70.4%	0.67×	2.11
Q2 over 63.5	44.9%	41.8%	22.5%	1.86×	2.39
Q2 under 59.5	36.7%	39.3%	61.9%	0.63×	2.55
Q2 over 65.5	35.9%	39.3%	16.4%	2.40×	2.55
Q2 under 57.5	28.3%	28.0%	52.7%	0.53×	3.57
Q2 over 67.5	27.6%	28.0%	11.3%	2.48×	3.57
Q2 under 54.5	17.7%	17.0%	38.9%	0.44×	5.88
Q2 over 70.5	17.2%	17.0%	6.0%	2.82×	5.88

Q3 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dallas Mavericks to win Q3	53.5%	52.7%	50.9%	1.04×	1.90
Utah Jazz to win Q3	41.8%	42.3%	44.3%	0.95×	2.37
Q3 tied	4.7%	4.3%	4.9%	0.88×	23.43

Q3 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 under 71.5	84.6%	82.3%	94.4%	0.87×	1.22
Q3 over 55.5	81.1%	82.3%	59.9%	1.37×	1.22
Q3 under 68.5	74.7%	71.8%	89.3%	0.80×	1.39
Q3 over 58.5	70.0%	71.8%	45.2%	1.59×	1.39
Q3 under 66.5	66.5%	67.8%	84.7%	0.80×	1.48
Q3 over 60.5	61.3%	61.9%	36.5%	1.70×	1.61
Q3 under 64.5	57.5%	58.4%	79.2%	0.74×	1.71
Q3 under 63.5	52.8%	52.3%	75.9%	0.69×	1.91
Q3 over 62.5	51.9%	52.3%	28.1%	1.86×	1.91
Q3 under 62.5	48.1%	47.7%	71.9%	0.66×	2.10
Q3 over 63.5	47.2%	47.7%	24.1%	1.98×	2.10
Q3 over 64.5	42.5%	41.6%	20.8%	2.00×	2.40
Q3 under 60.5	38.7%	38.1%	63.5%	0.60×	2.63
Q3 over 66.5	33.5%	32.2%	15.3%	2.11×	3.10
Q3 under 58.5	30.0%	28.2%	54.8%	0.51×	3.55
Q3 over 68.5	25.3%	28.2%	10.7%	2.64×	3.55
Q3 under 55.5	18.9%	17.7%	40.1%	0.44×	5.66
Q3 over 71.5	15.4%	17.7%	5.6%	3.16×	5.66

Q4 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dallas Mavericks to win Q4	53.3%	51.4%	48.3%	1.06×	1.94
Utah Jazz to win Q4	41.8%	43.1%	46.4%	0.93×	2.32
Q4 tied	4.8%	5.2%	5.3%	0.98×	19.28

Q4 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 under 68.5	83.9%	82.0%	93.0%	0.88×	1.22
Q4 over 52.5	80.3%	82.0%	60.4%	1.36×	1.22
Q4 under 65.5	74.0%	71.5%	88.4%	0.81×	1.40
Q4 over 55.5	69.4%	67.4%	47.1%	1.43×	1.48
Q4 under 63.5	66.0%	67.4%	83.7%	0.81×	1.48
Q4 over 57.5	60.9%	61.4%	38.1%	1.61×	1.63
Q4 under 61.5	57.3%	58.4%	77.5%	0.75×	1.71
Q4 under 60.5	52.7%	52.5%	74.2%	0.71×	1.91
Q4 over 59.5	51.9%	52.5%	29.8%	1.76×	1.91
Q4 under 59.5	48.1%	47.5%	70.2%	0.68×	2.11
Q4 over 60.5	47.3%	47.5%	25.8%	1.84×	2.11
Q4 over 61.5	42.7%	41.6%	22.5%	1.85×	2.40
Q4 under 57.5	39.1%	38.6%	61.9%	0.62×	2.59
Q4 over 63.5	34.0%	32.6%	16.3%	2.00×	3.07
Q4 under 55.5	30.6%	32.6%	52.9%	0.62×	3.07
Q4 over 65.5	26.0%	28.5%	11.6%	2.46×	3.51
Q4 under 52.5	19.7%	18.0%	39.6%	0.45×	5.56
Q4 over 68.5	16.1%	18.0%	7.0%	2.57×	5.56

Team total 44

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dallas Mavericks under 136.5	80.3%	80.7%	95.3%	0.85×	1.24
Utah Jazz over 111.5	80.4%	80.7%	54.6%	1.48×	1.24
Utah Jazz under 131.5	80.2%	80.7%	92.6%	0.87×	1.24
Dallas Mavericks over 116.5	79.9%	75.1%	45.3%	1.66×	1.33
Dallas Mavericks over 119.5	72.1%	70.7%	36.5%	1.94×	1.41
Dallas Mavericks under 133.5	72.5%	70.7%	92.3%	0.77×	1.41
Utah Jazz over 114.5	72.6%	70.7%	44.5%	1.59×	1.41
Utah Jazz under 128.5	72.4%	70.7%	88.6%	0.80×	1.41
Dallas Mavericks over 121.5	66.2%	66.4%	30.4%	2.18×	1.51
Dallas Mavericks under 131.5	66.5%	66.4%	89.8%	0.74×	1.51
Utah Jazz over 116.5	66.6%	66.4%	38.5%	1.72×	1.51
Utah Jazz under 126.5	66.4%	66.4%	85.3%	0.78×	1.51
Dallas Mavericks under 129.5	60.2%	61.2%	87.2%	0.70×	1.63
Utah Jazz over 118.5	60.2%	61.2%	32.6%	1.88×	1.63
Dallas Mavericks over 123.5	59.8%	57.1%	25.6%	2.23×	1.75
Utah Jazz under 124.5	60.0%	57.1%	81.4%	0.70×	1.75
Dallas Mavericks over 125.5	53.2%	52.3%	20.9%	2.50×	1.91
Dallas Mavericks under 127.5	53.6%	52.3%	83.5%	0.63×	1.91
Utah Jazz over 120.5	53.5%	52.3%	27.3%	1.91×	1.91
Utah Jazz under 122.5	53.3%	52.3%	77.4%	0.68×	1.91
Dallas Mavericks under 126.5	50.2%	52.3%	81.5%	0.64×	1.91
Utah Jazz over 121.5	50.1%	52.3%	25.3%	2.07×	1.91
Dallas Mavericks over 126.5	49.8%	47.7%	18.5%	2.59×	2.09
Utah Jazz under 121.5	49.9%	47.7%	74.7%	0.64×	2.09
Dallas Mavericks under 125.5	46.8%	47.7%	79.1%	0.60×	2.09
Dallas Mavericks over 127.5	46.4%	47.7%	16.5%	2.90×	2.09
Utah Jazz under 120.5	46.5%	47.7%	72.7%	0.66×	2.09
Utah Jazz over 122.5	46.7%	47.7%	22.6%	2.11×	2.09
Dallas Mavericks under 123.5	40.2%	42.9%	74.4%	0.58×	2.33
Utah Jazz over 124.5	40.0%	42.9%	18.6%	2.31×	2.33
Dallas Mavericks over 129.5	39.8%	38.8%	12.8%	3.02×	2.58
Utah Jazz under 118.5	39.8%	38.8%	67.4%	0.58×	2.58
Dallas Mavericks under 121.5	33.8%	33.6%	69.6%	0.48×	2.98
Dallas Mavericks over 131.5	33.5%	33.6%	10.2%	3.29×	2.98
Utah Jazz under 116.5	33.4%	33.6%	61.5%	0.55×	2.98
Utah Jazz over 126.5	33.6%	33.6%	14.7%	2.29×	2.98
Dallas Mavericks under 119.5	27.9%	29.3%	63.5%	0.46×	3.42
Dallas Mavericks over 133.5	27.5%	29.3%	7.7%	3.78×	3.42
Utah Jazz under 114.5	27.4%	29.3%	55.5%	0.53×	3.42
Utah Jazz over 128.5	27.6%	29.3%	11.5%	2.56×	3.42
Dallas Mavericks under 116.5	20.1%	24.9%	54.7%	0.45×	4.02
Utah Jazz over 131.5	19.8%	19.3%	7.4%	2.60×	5.18
Dallas Mavericks over 136.5	19.7%	19.3%	4.8%	4.06×	5.18
Utah Jazz under 111.5	19.6%	19.3%	45.4%	0.42×	5.18

Total points 30

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 268.5 points	86.8%	85.0%	97.4%	0.87×	1.18
Over 228.5 points	85.5%	85.0%	48.7%	1.75×	1.18
Under 263.5 points	80.1%	80.6%	95.9%	0.84×	1.24
Over 233.5 points	78.4%	75.6%	38.6%	1.96×	1.32
Under 258.5 points	71.6%	70.8%	93.0%	0.76×	1.41
Over 238.5 points	69.7%	65.9%	29.1%	2.26×	1.52
Under 255.5 points	65.9%	65.9%	90.8%	0.73×	1.52
Over 241.5 points	63.7%	61.5%	24.5%	2.51×	1.63
Under 253.5 points	61.8%	61.5%	89.1%	0.69×	1.63
Over 243.5 points	59.6%	56.5%	21.8%	2.59×	1.77
Under 251.5 points	57.6%	56.5%	87.2%	0.65×	1.77
Over 245.5 points	55.3%	56.5%	19.1%	2.95×	1.77
Under 249.5 points	53.3%	52.3%	85.3%	0.61×	1.91
Over 247.5 points	51.0%	52.3%	16.7%	3.13×	1.91
Under 248.5 points	51.1%	52.3%	84.4%	0.62×	1.91
Under 247.5 points	49.0%	47.7%	83.3%	0.57×	2.10
Over 248.5 points	48.9%	47.7%	15.6%	3.06×	2.10
Over 249.5 points	46.7%	47.7%	14.7%	3.25×	2.10
Under 245.5 points	44.7%	43.5%	80.9%	0.54×	2.30
Over 251.5 points	42.4%	43.5%	12.8%	3.39×	2.30
Under 243.5 points	40.4%	43.5%	78.2%	0.56×	2.30
Over 253.5 points	38.2%	38.5%	10.9%	3.55×	2.60
Under 241.5 points	36.3%	38.5%	75.5%	0.51×	2.60
Over 255.5 points	34.1%	34.1%	9.2%	3.71×	2.93
Under 238.5 points	30.3%	34.1%	70.9%	0.48×	2.93
Over 258.5 points	28.4%	29.2%	7.0%	4.16×	3.43
Under 233.5 points	21.6%	24.4%	61.4%	0.40×	4.10
Over 263.5 points	19.9%	19.4%	4.1%	4.71×	5.15
Under 228.5 points	14.5%	15.0%	51.3%	0.29×	6.68
Over 268.5 points	13.2%	15.0%	2.6%	5.69×	6.69

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dallas Mavericks to win both halves	30.2%	31.2%	25.2%	1.24×	3.20
Utah Jazz to win both halves	13.7%	14.1%	17.8%	0.79×	7.12

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dallas Mavericks by 6-10	13.7%	12.3%	13.9%	0.88×	8.11
Dallas Mavericks by 1-5	14.0%	12.3%	12.8%	0.96×	8.11
Utah Jazz by 1-5	12.2%	12.3%	12.3%	1.01×	8.11
Dallas Mavericks by 11-15	12.0%	12.3%	10.8%	1.14×	8.11
Utah Jazz by 6-10	9.6%	7.5%	12.3%	0.61×	13.40
Dallas Mavericks by 16-20	9.3%	7.5%	7.3%	1.02×	13.40
Dallas Mavericks by 26+	7.8%	7.5%	6.2%	1.21×	13.40
Utah Jazz by 11-15	6.7%	7.5%	8.0%	0.93×	13.40
Dallas Mavericks by 21-25	6.4%	7.5%	4.7%	1.58×	13.40
Utah Jazz by 16-20	4.2%	2.0%	4.9%	0.42×	49.29
Utah Jazz by 21-25	2.3%	2.0%	3.0%	0.67×	49.31
Utah Jazz by 26+	1.9%	2.0%	3.9%	0.53×	49.31

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