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Dartmouth Big Green v New Hampshire Wildcats — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 11 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Dartmouth Big Green win
38.3%
Draw
0.0%
New Hampshire Wildcats win
61.7%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 55.91–59.33 56-59 0% 52% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dartmouth Big Green to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.36
Dartmouth Big Green to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Dartmouth Big Green to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Dartmouth Big Green to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
New Hampshire Wildcats to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.71× 283.36
New Hampshire Wildcats to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
New Hampshire Wildcats to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
New Hampshire Wildcats to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
New Hampshire Wildcats to win H1 54.7% 51.9% 39.9% 1.30× 1.93
Dartmouth Big Green to win H1 40.8% 42.7% 56.4% 0.76× 2.34
H1 tied 4.5% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 68.5 90.1% 90.8% 73.5% 1.24× 1.10
H1 over 44.5 87.6% 87.7% 94.7% 0.93× 1.14
H1 under 64.5 81.3% 82.5% 60.7% 1.36× 1.21
H1 over 48.5 76.9% 77.4% 88.8% 0.87× 1.29
H1 under 61.5 72.2% 73.5% 49.8% 1.48× 1.36
H1 over 51.5 66.5% 67.4% 82.0% 0.82× 1.48
H1 under 59.5 65.1% 67.4% 42.2% 1.60× 1.48
H1 over 53.5 58.7% 58.2% 76.8% 0.76× 1.72
H1 under 57.5 57.4% 58.2% 35.2% 1.66× 1.72
H1 under 56.5 53.4% 52.6% 31.8% 1.66× 1.90
H1 over 55.5 50.6% 52.6% 71.0% 0.74× 1.90
H1 under 55.5 49.4% 47.4% 29.0% 1.63× 2.11
H1 over 56.5 46.6% 47.4% 68.2% 0.69× 2.11
H1 over 57.5 42.6% 41.8% 64.8% 0.64× 2.39
H1 under 53.5 41.3% 41.8% 23.2% 1.80× 2.39
H1 over 59.5 34.9% 32.6% 57.8% 0.56× 3.07
H1 under 51.5 33.5% 32.6% 18.0% 1.81× 3.07
H1 over 61.5 27.8% 26.5% 50.2% 0.53× 3.77
H1 under 48.5 23.1% 22.6% 11.2% 2.02× 4.43
H1 over 64.5 18.7% 17.5% 39.3% 0.44× 5.72
H1 under 44.5 12.4% 12.3% 5.3% 2.34× 8.14
H1 over 68.5 9.9% 9.2% 26.5% 0.35× 10.86
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
New Hampshire Wildcats to win H2 55.2% 55.0% 40.6% 1.36× 1.82
Dartmouth Big Green to win H2 40.5% 43.5% 56.0% 0.78× 2.30
H2 tied 4.3% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.35
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 73.5 88.6% 85.2% 67.1% 1.27× 1.17
H2 over 49.5 87.2% 85.2% 95.0% 0.90× 1.17
H2 under 69.5 79.5% 75.8% 54.8% 1.38× 1.32
H2 over 53.5 76.8% 75.8% 89.7% 0.85× 1.32
H2 under 66.5 70.4% 72.2% 44.6% 1.62× 1.39
H2 over 56.5 66.8% 66.4% 84.1% 0.79× 1.51
H2 under 64.5 63.5% 61.6% 37.9% 1.63× 1.62
H2 over 58.5 59.4% 57.3% 79.6% 0.72× 1.74
H2 under 62.5 56.0% 57.3% 31.7% 1.81× 1.74
H2 over 60.5 51.7% 52.4% 74.5% 0.70× 1.91
H2 under 61.5 52.2% 52.4% 28.7% 1.82× 1.91
H2 under 60.5 48.3% 47.6% 25.5% 1.87× 2.10
H2 over 61.5 47.8% 47.6% 71.3% 0.67× 2.10
H2 over 62.5 44.0% 42.7% 68.3% 0.62× 2.34
H2 under 58.5 40.6% 42.7% 20.4% 2.09× 2.35
H2 over 64.5 36.5% 38.4% 62.1% 0.62× 2.61
H2 under 56.5 33.2% 33.6% 15.9% 2.12× 2.97
H2 over 66.5 29.6% 27.8% 55.4% 0.50× 3.59
H2 under 53.5 23.2% 24.2% 10.3% 2.34× 4.13
H2 over 69.5 20.5% 24.2% 45.2% 0.54× 4.13
H2 under 49.5 12.8% 14.8% 5.0% 2.94× 6.76
H2 over 73.5 11.4% 14.8% 32.9% 0.45× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
New Hampshire Wildcats leading at half time 54.7% 51.9% 39.9% 1.30× 1.93
Dartmouth Big Green leading at half time 40.8% 42.8% 56.4% 0.76× 2.34
Level at half time 4.5% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
New Hampshire Wildcats +16.5 96.4% 97.4% 75.7% 1.29× 1.03
New Hampshire Wildcats +18.5 97.7% 97.4% 79.3% 1.23× 1.03
New Hampshire Wildcats +20.5 98.5% 97.4% 82.0% 1.19× 1.03
New Hampshire Wildcats +14.5 94.7% 91.1% 72.1% 1.26× 1.10
Dartmouth Big Green +20.5 94.8% 91.1% 92.7% 0.98× 1.10
New Hampshire Wildcats +12.5 92.3% 91.1% 67.9% 1.34× 1.10
Dartmouth Big Green +18.5 92.3% 91.1% 91.1% 1.00× 1.10
New Hampshire Wildcats +10.5 89.2% 85.9% 63.2% 1.36× 1.16
Dartmouth Big Green +16.5 89.2% 85.9% 89.1% 0.96× 1.16
New Hampshire Wildcats +9.5 87.4% 85.9% 60.7% 1.42× 1.16
New Hampshire Wildcats +8.5 85.3% 85.9% 58.0% 1.48× 1.16
Dartmouth Big Green +14.5 85.2% 85.9% 86.7% 0.99× 1.16
New Hampshire Wildcats +7.5 83.1% 81.1% 55.2% 1.47× 1.23
New Hampshire Wildcats +6.5 80.6% 81.1% 52.4% 1.55× 1.23
Dartmouth Big Green +12.5 80.3% 81.1% 83.8% 0.97× 1.23
New Hampshire Wildcats +5.5 77.9% 76.5% 50.3% 1.52× 1.31
New Hampshire Wildcats +4.5 75.0% 76.5% 47.8% 1.60× 1.31
Dartmouth Big Green +10.5 74.6% 71.6% 80.4% 0.89× 1.40
New Hampshire Wildcats +3.5 71.9% 71.6% 45.8% 1.56× 1.40
Dartmouth Big Green +9.5 71.5% 71.6% 78.7% 0.91× 1.40
New Hampshire Wildcats +2.5 68.7% 66.7% 43.3% 1.54× 1.50
Dartmouth Big Green +8.5 68.2% 66.7% 76.5% 0.87× 1.50
New Hampshire Wildcats +1.5 65.2% 66.7% 41.3% 1.62× 1.50
Dartmouth Big Green +7.5 64.7% 61.9% 74.5% 0.83× 1.62
Dartmouth Big Green +6.5 61.1% 61.9% 72.3% 0.86× 1.62
New Hampshire Wildcats −1.5 57.9% 57.1% 38.8% 1.47× 1.75
Dartmouth Big Green +5.5 57.4% 57.1% 70.1% 0.81× 1.75
New Hampshire Wildcats −2.5 54.1% 52.4% 36.7% 1.43× 1.91
Dartmouth Big Green +4.5 53.6% 52.4% 67.8% 0.77× 1.91
New Hampshire Wildcats −3.5 50.2% 52.4% 34.3% 1.53× 1.91
Dartmouth Big Green +3.5 49.8% 47.6% 65.7% 0.72× 2.10
Dartmouth Big Green +2.5 45.9% 47.6% 63.3% 0.75× 2.10
New Hampshire Wildcats −4.5 46.4% 47.6% 32.2% 1.48× 2.10
New Hampshire Wildcats −5.5 42.6% 42.9% 29.9% 1.44× 2.33
Dartmouth Big Green +1.5 42.1% 42.9% 61.2% 0.70× 2.33
New Hampshire Wildcats −6.5 38.9% 38.1% 27.7% 1.37× 2.63
New Hampshire Wildcats −7.5 35.3% 38.1% 25.5% 1.50× 2.63
Dartmouth Big Green −1.5 34.8% 33.3% 58.7% 0.57× 3.01
New Hampshire Wildcats −8.5 31.8% 33.3% 23.5% 1.41× 3.01
Dartmouth Big Green −2.5 31.3% 33.3% 56.7% 0.59× 3.01
Dartmouth Big Green −3.5 28.1% 28.4% 54.2% 0.52× 3.53
New Hampshire Wildcats −9.5 28.5% 28.4% 21.3% 1.33× 3.53
New Hampshire Wildcats −10.5 25.4% 28.4% 19.6% 1.45× 3.53
Dartmouth Big Green −4.5 25.0% 23.5% 52.2% 0.45× 4.25
Dartmouth Big Green −5.5 22.1% 23.5% 49.7% 0.47× 4.25
New Hampshire Wildcats −12.5 19.7% 18.9% 16.2% 1.16× 5.29
Dartmouth Big Green −6.5 19.4% 18.9% 47.6% 0.40× 5.29
Dartmouth Big Green −7.5 16.9% 18.9% 44.8% 0.42× 5.29
Dartmouth Big Green −8.5 14.7% 14.1% 42.0% 0.34× 7.09
New Hampshire Wildcats −14.5 14.8% 14.1% 13.3% 1.06× 7.09
Dartmouth Big Green −9.5 12.6% 14.1% 39.3% 0.36× 7.09
Dartmouth Big Green −10.5 10.8% 14.1% 36.8% 0.38× 7.09
New Hampshire Wildcats −16.5 10.8% 14.1% 10.9% 1.30× 7.09
Dartmouth Big Green −12.5 7.7% 8.9% 32.1% 0.28× 11.25
New Hampshire Wildcats −18.5 7.7% 8.9% 8.9% 1.00× 11.25
Dartmouth Big Green −14.5 5.3% 8.9% 27.9% 0.32× 11.25
New Hampshire Wildcats −20.5 5.2% 8.9% 7.3% 1.22× 11.25
Dartmouth Big Green −16.5 3.6% 2.6% 24.3% 0.11× 38.73
Dartmouth Big Green −18.5 2.3% 2.6% 20.7% 0.12× 38.73
Dartmouth Big Green −20.5 1.5% 2.6% 18.0% 0.14× 38.73
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 69.9% 71.6% 66.7% 1.07× 1.40
1st half highest scoring 30.1% 28.4% 33.3% 0.85× 3.52
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 33.5% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 31.8% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 18.1% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 16.6% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
New Hampshire Wildcats at HT / New Hampshire Wildcats at FT 43.7% 41.0% 30.1% 1.36× 2.44
Dartmouth Big Green at HT / Dartmouth Big Green at FT 25.6% 29.6% 48.3% 0.61× 3.38
Dartmouth Big Green at HT / New Hampshire Wildcats at FT 15.3% 15.4% 8.2% 1.88× 6.47
New Hampshire Wildcats at HT / Dartmouth Big Green at FT 11.0% 12.2% 9.8% 1.25× 8.18
Level at HT / Dartmouth Big Green at FT 1.8% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.76
Level at HT / New Hampshire Wildcats at FT 2.7% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.75
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
New Hampshire Wildcats to win 61.7% 60.6% 40.1% 1.51× 1.65
Dartmouth Big Green to win 38.3% 39.4% 59.9% 0.66× 2.54
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.8% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Dartmouth Big Green even 50.2% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
New Hampshire Wildcats even 50.1% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Dartmouth Big Green odd 49.8% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
New Hampshire Wildcats odd 49.9% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 48.2% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 94.0% 94.0% 95.6% 0.98× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 6.0% 6.0% 4.4% 1.35× 16.66
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
New Hampshire Wildcats to win Q1 51.6% 52.6% 40.4% 1.30× 1.90
Dartmouth Big Green to win Q1 42.3% 42.9% 54.7% 0.78× 2.33
Q1 tied 6.1% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.31
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 36.5 89.8% 87.4% 77.4% 1.13× 1.14
Q1 over 20.5 87.2% 87.4% 93.7% 0.93× 1.14
Q1 under 33.5 79.5% 76.9% 64.0% 1.20× 1.30
Q1 over 23.5 75.2% 76.9% 85.4% 0.90× 1.30
Q1 under 31.5 70.0% 72.7% 54.0% 1.35× 1.38
Q1 over 25.5 64.7% 61.7% 77.6% 0.80× 1.62
Q1 under 29.5 58.9% 58.6% 43.1% 1.36× 1.71
Q1 over 27.5 53.0% 52.7% 67.7% 0.78× 1.90
Q1 under 28.5 53.0% 52.7% 37.3% 1.41× 1.90
Q1 under 27.5 47.0% 47.3% 32.3% 1.47× 2.11
Q1 over 28.5 47.0% 47.3% 62.7% 0.76× 2.11
Q1 over 29.5 41.1% 41.4% 56.9% 0.73× 2.42
Q1 under 25.5 35.3% 38.3% 22.4% 1.71× 2.61
Q1 over 31.5 30.0% 27.3% 46.0% 0.59× 3.66
Q1 under 23.5 24.8% 23.1% 14.6% 1.58× 4.33
Q1 over 33.5 20.5% 23.1% 36.0% 0.64× 4.33
Q1 under 20.5 12.8% 12.6% 6.3% 1.99× 7.95
Q1 over 36.5 10.2% 12.6% 22.6% 0.56× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
New Hampshire Wildcats to win Q2 51.5% 51.4% 41.5% 1.24× 1.95
Dartmouth Big Green to win Q2 42.5% 43.9% 52.9% 0.83× 2.28
Q2 tied 6.0% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.49
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 over 19.5 89.3% 87.3% 94.6% 0.92× 1.15
Q2 under 35.5 87.8% 87.3% 74.6% 1.17× 1.15
Q2 over 22.5 78.4% 76.8% 87.4% 0.88× 1.30
Q2 under 32.5 76.3% 76.8% 60.8% 1.26× 1.30
Q2 over 24.5 68.6% 67.4% 80.7% 0.83× 1.49
Q2 under 30.5 66.2% 67.4% 50.1% 1.34× 1.49
Q2 over 26.5 57.2% 58.2% 71.6% 0.81× 1.72
Q2 under 28.5 54.7% 52.7% 38.8% 1.36× 1.90
Q2 over 27.5 51.3% 52.7% 66.7% 0.79× 1.90
Q2 under 27.5 48.7% 47.3% 33.3% 1.42× 2.11
Q2 over 28.5 45.3% 47.3% 61.2% 0.77× 2.11
Q2 under 26.5 42.8% 41.8% 28.4% 1.47× 2.39
Q2 over 30.5 33.8% 32.6% 49.9% 0.65× 3.06
Q2 under 24.5 31.4% 32.6% 19.3% 1.70× 3.06
Q2 over 32.5 23.7% 23.2% 39.2% 0.59× 4.31
Q2 under 22.5 21.6% 23.2% 12.6% 1.84× 4.31
Q2 over 35.5 12.2% 12.7% 25.4% 0.50× 7.89
Q2 under 19.5 10.7% 12.7% 5.4% 2.37× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
New Hampshire Wildcats to win Q3 52.0% 52.7% 41.8% 1.26× 1.90
Dartmouth Big Green to win Q3 42.1% 42.3% 53.3% 0.79× 2.37
Q3 tied 5.9% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.96
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 over 22.5 88.1% 87.2% 94.1% 0.93× 1.15
Q3 under 38.5 87.9% 87.2% 73.9% 1.18× 1.15
Q3 over 25.5 76.8% 77.3% 86.9% 0.89× 1.29
Q3 under 35.5 76.9% 77.3% 59.7% 1.30× 1.29
Q3 over 27.5 66.9% 67.8% 80.0% 0.85× 1.48
Q3 under 33.5 67.1% 67.8% 49.1% 1.38× 1.48
Q3 under 31.5 56.0% 58.4% 38.4% 1.52× 1.71
Q3 over 29.5 55.7% 58.4% 71.8% 0.81× 1.71
Q3 under 30.5 50.2% 52.3% 33.2% 1.58× 1.91
Q3 over 30.5 49.8% 47.7% 66.8% 0.71× 2.10
Q3 under 29.5 44.3% 41.6% 28.2% 1.48× 2.40
Q3 over 31.5 44.0% 41.6% 61.6% 0.68× 2.40
Q3 under 27.5 33.1% 32.2% 20.0% 1.61× 3.10
Q3 over 33.5 32.9% 32.2% 50.9% 0.63× 3.10
Q3 under 25.5 23.2% 22.7% 13.1% 1.74× 4.40
Q3 over 35.5 23.1% 22.7% 40.3% 0.56× 4.40
Q3 over 38.5 12.1% 12.8% 26.1% 0.49× 7.83
Q3 under 22.5 11.9% 12.8% 5.9% 2.18× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
New Hampshire Wildcats to win Q4 51.9% 51.4% 41.5% 1.24× 1.95
Dartmouth Big Green to win Q4 42.3% 43.1% 52.8% 0.82× 2.32
Q4 tied 5.8% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.25
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 over 22.5 86.8% 85.6% 93.3% 0.92× 1.17
Q4 under 38.5 86.3% 85.6% 73.1% 1.17× 1.17
Q4 over 25.5 75.8% 76.9% 86.1% 0.89× 1.30
Q4 under 35.5 75.3% 76.9% 59.4% 1.29× 1.30
Q4 over 27.5 66.3% 67.4% 78.9% 0.85× 1.48
Q4 under 33.5 65.9% 67.4% 49.6% 1.36× 1.48
Q4 over 29.5 55.7% 58.4% 70.8% 0.82× 1.71
Q4 under 31.5 55.3% 58.4% 38.9% 1.50× 1.71
Q4 over 30.5 50.2% 52.5% 66.3% 0.79× 1.91
Q4 under 30.5 49.8% 47.5% 33.7% 1.41× 2.11
Q4 over 31.5 44.7% 41.6% 61.1% 0.68× 2.40
Q4 under 29.5 44.3% 41.6% 29.2% 1.43× 2.40
Q4 over 33.5 34.1% 32.6% 50.4% 0.65× 3.07
Q4 under 27.5 33.7% 32.6% 21.1% 1.54× 3.07
Q4 over 35.5 24.7% 23.1% 40.6% 0.57× 4.33
Q4 under 25.5 24.2% 23.1% 13.9% 1.66× 4.33
Q4 over 38.5 13.7% 14.4% 26.9% 0.53× 6.95
Q4 under 22.5 13.2% 14.4% 6.7% 2.13× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dartmouth Big Green under 67.5 88.1% 83.9% 51.3% 1.63× 1.19
New Hampshire Wildcats under 70.5 87.7% 83.9% 73.7% 1.14× 1.19
New Hampshire Wildcats over 50.5 85.1% 83.9% 83.1% 1.01× 1.19
Dartmouth Big Green over 47.5 84.7% 80.7% 94.4% 0.86× 1.24
Dartmouth Big Green under 64.5 80.5% 80.7% 41.6% 1.94× 1.24
New Hampshire Wildcats under 67.5 79.8% 75.1% 65.6% 1.15× 1.33
New Hampshire Wildcats over 53.5 75.8% 75.1% 76.3% 0.98× 1.33
Dartmouth Big Green over 50.5 74.7% 70.7% 90.8% 0.78× 1.41
Dartmouth Big Green under 62.5 74.2% 70.7% 35.7% 1.98× 1.41
New Hampshire Wildcats under 65.5 73.2% 70.7% 59.8% 1.18× 1.41
New Hampshire Wildcats over 55.5 68.3% 66.4% 70.8% 0.94× 1.51
Dartmouth Big Green over 52.5 66.9% 66.4% 87.7% 0.76× 1.51
Dartmouth Big Green under 60.5 66.9% 66.4% 30.5% 2.17× 1.51
New Hampshire Wildcats under 63.5 65.5% 66.4% 53.9% 1.23× 1.51
New Hampshire Wildcats over 57.5 60.1% 61.2% 65.1% 0.94× 1.63
Dartmouth Big Green under 58.5 58.8% 57.1% 25.3% 2.26× 1.75
Dartmouth Big Green over 54.5 58.5% 57.1% 83.8% 0.68× 1.75
New Hampshire Wildcats under 61.5 57.2% 57.1% 47.9% 1.19× 1.75
Dartmouth Big Green under 57.5 54.5% 52.3% 22.8% 2.29× 1.91
New Hampshire Wildcats over 59.5 51.4% 52.3% 58.8% 0.89× 1.91
New Hampshire Wildcats under 60.5 52.9% 52.3% 44.4% 1.18× 1.91
Dartmouth Big Green under 56.5 50.2% 52.3% 20.5% 2.55× 1.91
Dartmouth Big Green over 56.5 49.8% 47.7% 79.5% 0.60× 2.09
New Hampshire Wildcats under 59.5 48.6% 47.7% 41.2% 1.16× 2.09
New Hampshire Wildcats over 60.5 47.1% 47.7% 55.6% 0.86× 2.09
Dartmouth Big Green over 57.5 45.5% 47.7% 77.2% 0.62× 2.09
New Hampshire Wildcats over 61.5 42.8% 42.9% 52.1% 0.82× 2.33
Dartmouth Big Green under 54.5 41.6% 42.9% 16.2% 2.65× 2.33
Dartmouth Big Green over 58.5 41.2% 42.9% 74.7% 0.57× 2.33
New Hampshire Wildcats under 57.5 39.9% 38.8% 34.9% 1.11× 2.58
New Hampshire Wildcats over 63.5 34.5% 33.6% 46.1% 0.73× 2.98
Dartmouth Big Green under 52.5 33.1% 33.6% 12.3% 2.72× 2.98
Dartmouth Big Green over 60.5 33.1% 33.6% 69.5% 0.48× 2.98
New Hampshire Wildcats under 55.5 31.7% 33.6% 29.2% 1.15× 2.98
Dartmouth Big Green over 62.5 25.8% 29.3% 64.3% 0.46× 3.42
New Hampshire Wildcats over 65.5 26.8% 29.3% 40.2% 0.73× 3.42
Dartmouth Big Green under 50.5 25.3% 29.3% 9.2% 3.19× 3.42
New Hampshire Wildcats under 53.5 24.2% 24.9% 23.7% 1.05× 4.02
New Hampshire Wildcats over 67.5 20.2% 24.9% 34.4% 0.72× 4.02
Dartmouth Big Green over 64.5 19.5% 19.3% 58.4% 0.33× 5.18
Dartmouth Big Green under 47.5 15.3% 19.3% 5.6% 3.42× 5.18
New Hampshire Wildcats under 50.5 14.9% 16.1% 16.9% 0.95× 6.21
Dartmouth Big Green over 67.5 11.9% 16.1% 48.7% 0.33× 6.21
New Hampshire Wildcats over 70.5 12.3% 16.1% 26.3% 0.61× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 97.5 points 92.3% 88.8% 96.9% 0.92× 1.13
Under 137.5 points 92.6% 88.8% 66.2% 1.34× 1.13
Under 132.5 points 86.5% 85.0% 56.0% 1.52× 1.18
Over 102.5 points 84.6% 80.6% 94.3% 0.85× 1.24
Under 127.5 points 77.9% 75.6% 44.9% 1.69× 1.32
Over 107.5 points 73.7% 70.8% 90.2% 0.79× 1.41
Under 124.5 points 71.3% 70.8% 38.5% 1.84× 1.41
Under 122.5 points 66.5% 65.9% 34.4% 1.91× 1.52
Over 110.5 points 66.1% 65.9% 86.4% 0.76× 1.52
Under 120.5 points 61.3% 61.5% 30.2% 2.04× 1.63
Over 112.5 points 60.7% 61.5% 83.6% 0.74× 1.63
Over 114.5 points 55.2% 56.5% 80.4% 0.70× 1.77
Under 118.5 points 55.9% 56.5% 26.4% 2.14× 1.77
Under 117.5 points 53.3% 52.3% 24.7% 2.12× 1.91
Under 116.5 points 50.4% 52.3% 22.8% 2.29× 1.91
Over 116.5 points 49.6% 47.7% 77.2% 0.62× 2.10
Over 117.5 points 46.7% 47.7% 75.3% 0.63× 2.10
Under 114.5 points 44.8% 43.5% 19.6% 2.22× 2.30
Over 118.5 points 44.1% 43.5% 73.6% 0.59× 2.30
Under 112.5 points 39.3% 38.5% 16.4% 2.35× 2.60
Over 120.5 points 38.7% 38.5% 69.8% 0.55× 2.60
Under 110.5 points 33.9% 34.1% 13.6% 2.52× 2.93
Over 122.5 points 33.5% 34.1% 65.6% 0.52× 2.93
Over 124.5 points 28.7% 29.2% 61.5% 0.47× 3.43
Under 107.5 points 26.3% 29.2% 9.8% 2.97× 3.43
Over 127.5 points 22.1% 24.4% 55.1% 0.44× 4.10
Under 102.5 points 15.4% 19.4% 5.7% 3.39× 5.15
Over 132.5 points 13.5% 15.0% 44.0% 0.34× 6.69
Under 97.5 points 7.7% 11.2% 3.1% 3.64× 8.97
Over 137.5 points 7.4% 11.2% 33.8% 0.33× 8.97
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
New Hampshire Wildcats to win both halves 26.7% 27.2% 20.4% 1.34× 3.68
Dartmouth Big Green to win both halves 13.3% 14.1% 36.0% 0.39× 7.12
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
New Hampshire Wildcats by 1-5 19.0% 16.8% 10.2% 1.65× 5.97
Dartmouth Big Green by 1-5 16.2% 16.8% 10.2% 1.64× 5.97
New Hampshire Wildcats by 6-10 17.3% 16.8% 10.3% 1.63× 5.97
New Hampshire Wildcats by 11-15 12.7% 12.3% 7.6% 1.62× 8.11
Dartmouth Big Green by 6-10 11.3% 12.3% 12.9% 0.95× 8.11
New Hampshire Wildcats by 16-20 7.5% 7.5% 4.8% 1.57× 13.40
Dartmouth Big Green by 11-15 6.4% 7.5% 10.8% 0.69× 13.40
New Hampshire Wildcats by 21-25 3.5% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.30
Dartmouth Big Green by 16-20 2.9% 2.0% 8.0% 0.25× 49.30
Dartmouth Big Green by 21-25 1.1% 2.0% 5.4% 0.38× 49.32
New Hampshire Wildcats by 26+ 1.7% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.31
Dartmouth Big Green by 26+ 0.4% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.32
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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