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Delaware Blue Hens v Richmond Spiders — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 19 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Delaware Blue Hens win
3.7%
Draw
0.0%
Richmond Spiders win
96.3%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 55.81–75.67 56-76 0% 52% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Delaware Blue Hens to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.36
Delaware Blue Hens to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Delaware Blue Hens to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Delaware Blue Hens to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Richmond Spiders to score 100+ 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 0.72× 283.25
Richmond Spiders to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.35
Richmond Spiders to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Richmond Spiders to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Richmond Spiders to win H1 84.3% 83.7% 39.9% 2.10× 1.20
Delaware Blue Hens to win H1 13.1% 10.8% 56.4% 0.19× 9.25
H1 tied 2.6% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.87
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 75.5 88.9% 87.7% 88.8% 0.99× 1.14
H1 over 51.5 88.4% 87.7% 82.0% 1.07× 1.14
H1 under 71.5 79.6% 77.4% 81.4% 0.95× 1.29
H1 over 55.5 78.4% 77.4% 71.0% 1.09× 1.29
H1 under 68.5 70.1% 73.5% 73.5% 1.00× 1.36
H1 over 58.5 68.4% 67.4% 61.4% 1.10× 1.48
H1 under 66.5 62.8% 62.7% 67.1% 0.93× 1.59
H1 over 60.5 60.9% 62.7% 53.9% 1.16× 1.59
H1 under 64.5 55.0% 58.2% 60.7% 0.96× 1.72
H1 over 62.5 53.0% 52.6% 46.3% 1.14× 1.90
H1 under 63.5 51.0% 52.6% 57.1% 0.92× 1.90
H1 over 63.5 49.0% 47.4% 42.9% 1.10× 2.11
H1 under 62.5 47.0% 47.4% 53.7% 0.88× 2.11
H1 over 64.5 45.0% 41.8% 39.3% 1.06× 2.39
H1 under 60.5 39.1% 37.3% 46.1% 0.81× 2.68
H1 over 66.5 37.2% 37.3% 32.9% 1.13× 2.68
H1 under 58.5 31.6% 32.6% 38.6% 0.84× 3.07
H1 over 68.5 29.9% 26.5% 26.5% 1.00× 3.77
H1 under 55.5 21.6% 22.6% 29.0% 0.78× 4.43
H1 over 71.5 20.4% 22.6% 18.6% 1.22× 4.43
H1 over 75.5 11.1% 12.3% 11.2% 1.10× 8.14
H1 under 51.5 11.6% 12.3% 18.0% 0.68× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Richmond Spiders to win H2 85.8% 84.1% 40.6% 2.07× 1.19
Delaware Blue Hens to win H2 11.8% 14.7% 56.0% 0.26× 6.78
H2 tied 2.3% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.37
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 57.5 87.4% 85.2% 82.2% 1.04× 1.17
H2 under 81.5 87.8% 85.2% 85.8% 0.99× 1.17
H2 under 77.5 78.5% 75.8% 77.9% 0.97× 1.32
H2 over 61.5 77.4% 75.8% 71.3% 1.06× 1.32
H2 under 74.5 69.2% 66.4% 69.9% 0.95× 1.51
H2 over 64.5 67.7% 66.4% 62.1% 1.07× 1.51
H2 under 72.5 62.2% 61.6% 64.1% 0.96× 1.62
H2 over 66.5 60.4% 61.6% 55.4% 1.11× 1.62
H2 under 70.5 54.8% 52.4% 57.8% 0.91× 1.91
H2 over 68.5 52.9% 52.4% 48.7% 1.08× 1.91
H2 under 69.5 51.0% 52.4% 54.8% 0.96× 1.91
H2 over 69.5 49.0% 47.6% 45.2% 1.05× 2.10
H2 under 68.5 47.1% 47.6% 51.3% 0.93× 2.10
H2 over 70.5 45.2% 47.6% 42.2% 1.13× 2.10
H2 under 66.5 39.6% 38.4% 44.6% 0.86× 2.61
H2 over 72.5 37.8% 38.4% 36.0% 1.07× 2.61
H2 under 64.5 32.3% 33.6% 37.9% 0.89× 2.97
H2 over 74.5 30.8% 33.6% 30.1% 1.12× 2.97
H2 under 61.5 22.6% 24.2% 28.7% 0.84× 4.13
H2 over 77.5 21.5% 24.2% 22.1% 1.10× 4.13
H2 under 57.5 12.6% 14.8% 17.8% 0.83× 6.76
H2 over 81.5 12.2% 14.8% 14.2% 1.04× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Richmond Spiders leading at half time 84.3% 83.4% 39.9% 2.09× 1.20
Delaware Blue Hens leading at half time 13.1% 10.3% 56.4% 0.18× 9.68
Level at half time 2.6% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.42
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Richmond Spiders +8.5 99.4% 97.4% 58.0% 1.68× 1.03
Richmond Spiders +9.5 99.5% 97.4% 60.7% 1.61× 1.03
Richmond Spiders +10.5 99.6% 97.4% 63.2% 1.54× 1.03
Richmond Spiders +12.5 99.8% 97.4% 67.9% 1.44× 1.03
Richmond Spiders +14.5 99.9% 97.4% 72.1% 1.35× 1.03
Richmond Spiders +16.5 99.9% 97.4% 75.7% 1.29× 1.03
Richmond Spiders +18.5 100.0% 97.4% 79.3% 1.23× 1.03
Richmond Spiders +20.5 100.0% 97.4% 82.0% 1.19× 1.03
Richmond Spiders +6.5 99.0% 97.4% 52.4% 1.86× 1.03
Richmond Spiders +7.5 99.2% 97.4% 55.2% 1.76× 1.03
Richmond Spiders +1.5 97.0% 97.4% 41.3% 2.36× 1.03
Richmond Spiders +2.5 97.5% 97.4% 43.3% 2.25× 1.03
Richmond Spiders +3.5 98.0% 97.4% 45.8% 2.13× 1.03
Richmond Spiders +4.5 98.4% 97.4% 47.8% 2.04× 1.03
Richmond Spiders +5.5 98.7% 97.4% 50.3% 1.94× 1.03
Richmond Spiders −1.5 95.4% 97.4% 38.8% 2.51× 1.03
Richmond Spiders −2.5 94.3% 91.1% 36.7% 2.49× 1.10
Richmond Spiders −3.5 93.1% 91.1% 34.3% 2.66× 1.10
Richmond Spiders −4.5 91.7% 91.1% 32.2% 2.83× 1.10
Richmond Spiders −5.5 90.2% 91.1% 29.9% 3.05× 1.10
Richmond Spiders −6.5 88.4% 85.9% 27.7% 3.10× 1.16
Richmond Spiders −7.5 86.5% 85.9% 25.5% 3.37× 1.16
Richmond Spiders −8.5 84.3% 81.1% 23.5% 3.45× 1.23
Richmond Spiders −9.5 82.0% 81.1% 21.3% 3.80× 1.23
Richmond Spiders −10.5 79.5% 76.5% 19.6% 3.90× 1.31
Richmond Spiders −12.5 73.8% 71.6% 16.2% 4.41× 1.40
Richmond Spiders −14.5 67.5% 66.7% 13.3% 5.03× 1.50
Richmond Spiders −16.5 60.6% 61.9% 10.9% 5.70× 1.62
Richmond Spiders −18.5 53.4% 52.4% 8.9% 5.87× 1.91
Delaware Blue Hens +20.5 54.0% 52.4% 92.7% 0.57× 1.91
Delaware Blue Hens +18.5 46.6% 47.6% 91.1% 0.52× 2.10
Richmond Spiders −20.5 46.0% 47.6% 7.3% 6.54× 2.10
Delaware Blue Hens +16.5 39.4% 38.1% 89.1% 0.43× 2.63
Delaware Blue Hens +14.5 32.5% 33.3% 86.7% 0.38× 3.01
Delaware Blue Hens +12.5 26.2% 28.4% 83.8% 0.34× 3.53
Delaware Blue Hens +10.5 20.5% 23.5% 80.4% 0.29× 4.25
Delaware Blue Hens +9.5 18.0% 18.9% 78.7% 0.24× 5.29
Delaware Blue Hens +8.5 15.7% 18.9% 76.5% 0.25× 5.30
Delaware Blue Hens +7.5 13.5% 14.1% 74.5% 0.19× 7.09
Delaware Blue Hens +6.5 11.6% 14.1% 72.3% 0.20× 7.09
Delaware Blue Hens +4.5 8.3% 8.9% 67.8% 0.13× 11.25
Delaware Blue Hens +5.5 9.8% 8.9% 70.1% 0.13× 11.25
Delaware Blue Hens +3.5 6.9% 8.9% 65.7% 0.14× 11.25
Delaware Blue Hens +2.5 5.7% 8.9% 63.3% 0.14× 11.25
Delaware Blue Hens +1.5 4.6% 2.6% 61.2% 0.04× 38.72
Delaware Blue Hens −6.5 1.0% 2.6% 47.6% 0.05× 38.74
Delaware Blue Hens −7.5 0.8% 2.6% 44.8% 0.06× 38.74
Delaware Blue Hens −1.5 3.0% 2.6% 58.7% 0.04× 38.73
Delaware Blue Hens −2.5 2.5% 2.6% 56.7% 0.05× 38.73
Delaware Blue Hens −3.5 2.0% 2.6% 54.2% 0.05× 38.73
Delaware Blue Hens −4.5 1.6% 2.6% 52.2% 0.05× 38.73
Delaware Blue Hens −5.5 1.3% 2.6% 49.7% 0.05× 38.74
Delaware Blue Hens −8.5 0.6% 2.6% 42.0% 0.06× 38.74
Delaware Blue Hens −9.5 0.5% 2.6% 39.3% 0.07× 38.74
Delaware Blue Hens −10.5 0.4% 2.6% 36.8% 0.07× 38.74
Delaware Blue Hens −12.5 0.2% 2.6% 32.1% 0.08× 38.74
Delaware Blue Hens −14.5 0.1% 2.6% 27.9% 0.09× 38.74
Delaware Blue Hens −16.5 0.1% 2.6% 24.3% 0.11× 38.74
Delaware Blue Hens −18.5 0.0% 2.6% 20.7% 0.12× 38.74
Delaware Blue Hens −20.5 0.0% 2.6% 18.0% 0.14× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 72.4% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 27.6% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 34.6% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.8% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.1% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 15.5% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Richmond Spiders at HT / Richmond Spiders at FT 83.0% 84.6% 30.1% 2.80× 1.18
Delaware Blue Hens at HT / Richmond Spiders at FT 10.9% 12.2% 8.2% 1.49× 8.18
Delaware Blue Hens at HT / Delaware Blue Hens at FT 2.2% 2.1% 48.3% 0.04× 47.75
Level at HT / Richmond Spiders at FT 2.4% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.75
Level at HT / Delaware Blue Hens at FT 0.2% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.79
Richmond Spiders at HT / Delaware Blue Hens at FT 1.3% 2.1% 9.8% 0.21× 47.77
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Richmond Spiders to win 96.3% 97.4% 40.1% 2.43× 1.03
Delaware Blue Hens to win 3.7% 2.6% 59.9% 0.04× 38.92
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Delaware Blue Hens even 50.3% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Richmond Spiders even 50.0% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Total points odd 50.4% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Delaware Blue Hens odd 49.7% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Richmond Spiders odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 49.6% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 97.6% 97.0% 95.6% 1.02× 1.03
Match to go to overtime 2.4% 3.0% 4.4% 0.67× 33.50
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Richmond Spiders to win Q1 73.9% 73.9% 40.4% 1.83× 1.35
Delaware Blue Hens to win Q1 21.3% 22.0% 54.7% 0.40× 4.54
Q1 tied 4.8% 4.2% 4.9% 0.85× 23.94
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 40.5 90.2% 91.1% 89.9% 1.01× 1.10
Q1 over 24.5 86.4% 87.4% 81.8% 1.07× 1.14
Q1 under 37.5 80.2% 82.8% 81.6% 1.02× 1.21
Q1 over 27.5 74.0% 72.7% 67.7% 1.07× 1.38
Q1 under 35.5 70.9% 72.7% 73.2% 0.99× 1.38
Q1 over 29.5 63.5% 61.7% 56.9% 1.09× 1.62
Q1 under 33.5 60.0% 58.6% 64.0% 0.92× 1.71
Q1 under 32.5 54.1% 52.7% 59.1% 0.89× 1.90
Q1 over 31.5 51.8% 52.7% 46.0% 1.14× 1.90
Q1 under 31.5 48.2% 47.3% 54.0% 0.88× 2.11
Q1 over 32.5 45.9% 47.3% 40.9% 1.16× 2.11
Q1 over 33.5 40.0% 41.4% 36.0% 1.15× 2.42
Q1 under 29.5 36.5% 38.3% 43.1% 0.89× 2.61
Q1 over 35.5 29.1% 27.3% 26.8% 1.02× 3.66
Q1 under 27.5 26.0% 27.3% 32.3% 0.84× 3.66
Q1 over 37.5 19.8% 17.2% 18.4% 0.93× 5.82
Q1 under 24.5 13.6% 12.6% 18.2% 0.69× 7.95
Q1 over 40.5 9.8% 8.9% 10.1% 0.88× 11.19
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Richmond Spiders to win Q2 73.3% 75.2% 41.5% 1.81× 1.33
Delaware Blue Hens to win Q2 22.0% 20.0% 52.9% 0.38× 5.00
Q2 tied 4.7% 4.4% 5.7% 0.77× 22.88
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 over 23.5 88.4% 87.3% 84.6% 1.03× 1.15
Q2 under 39.5 88.4% 87.3% 88.4% 0.99× 1.15
Q2 over 26.5 77.2% 76.8% 71.6% 1.07× 1.30
Q2 under 36.5 77.3% 76.8% 78.7% 0.98× 1.30
Q2 over 28.5 67.2% 67.4% 61.2% 1.10× 1.49
Q2 under 34.5 67.4% 67.4% 70.1% 0.96× 1.49
Q2 over 30.5 55.8% 58.2% 49.9% 1.17× 1.72
Q2 under 32.5 56.1% 58.2% 60.8% 0.96× 1.72
Q2 under 31.5 50.2% 52.7% 55.7% 0.95× 1.90
Q2 over 31.5 49.8% 47.3% 44.3% 1.07× 2.11
Q2 under 30.5 44.2% 41.8% 50.1% 0.84× 2.39
Q2 over 32.5 43.9% 41.8% 39.2% 1.07× 2.39
Q2 under 28.5 32.8% 32.6% 38.8% 0.84× 3.06
Q2 over 34.5 32.6% 32.6% 29.9% 1.09× 3.06
Q2 under 26.5 22.8% 23.2% 28.4% 0.82× 4.31
Q2 over 36.5 22.7% 23.2% 21.3% 1.09× 4.31
Q2 under 23.5 11.6% 12.7% 15.4% 0.82× 7.89
Q2 over 39.5 11.6% 12.7% 11.6% 1.09× 7.89
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Richmond Spiders to win Q3 75.4% 81.4% 41.8% 1.95× 1.23
Delaware Blue Hens to win Q3 20.1% 22.3% 53.3% 0.42× 4.48
Q3 tied 4.5% 4.3% 4.9% 0.86× 23.43
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 over 26.5 88.3% 87.2% 83.8% 1.04× 1.15
Q3 under 42.5 87.4% 87.2% 87.8% 0.99× 1.15
Q3 over 29.5 77.2% 77.3% 71.8% 1.08× 1.29
Q3 under 39.5 76.1% 77.3% 77.9% 0.99× 1.29
Q3 over 31.5 67.5% 67.8% 61.6% 1.10× 1.48
Q3 under 37.5 66.3% 67.8% 69.7% 0.97× 1.48
Q3 over 33.5 56.4% 58.4% 50.9% 1.15× 1.71
Q3 under 35.5 55.1% 58.4% 59.7% 0.98× 1.71
Q3 over 34.5 50.6% 52.3% 45.4% 1.15× 1.91
Q3 under 34.5 49.4% 47.7% 54.6% 0.87× 2.10
Q3 over 35.5 44.9% 41.6% 40.3% 1.03× 2.40
Q3 under 33.5 43.6% 41.6% 49.1% 0.85× 2.40
Q3 over 37.5 33.7% 32.2% 30.3% 1.06× 3.10
Q3 under 31.5 32.5% 32.2% 38.4% 0.84× 3.10
Q3 over 39.5 23.9% 22.7% 22.1% 1.03× 4.40
Q3 under 29.5 22.8% 22.7% 28.2% 0.81× 4.40
Q3 over 42.5 12.6% 12.8% 12.2% 1.05× 7.83
Q3 under 26.5 11.7% 12.8% 16.2% 0.79× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Richmond Spiders to win Q4 75.0% 66.4% 41.5% 1.60× 1.51
Delaware Blue Hens to win Q4 20.6% 28.9% 52.8% 0.55× 3.46
Q4 tied 4.4% 5.2% 5.7% 0.91× 19.29
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 over 26.5 87.1% 85.6% 82.6% 1.04× 1.17
Q4 under 42.5 85.8% 85.6% 86.2% 0.99× 1.17
Q4 over 29.5 76.2% 76.9% 70.8% 1.09× 1.30
Q4 under 39.5 74.6% 71.5% 77.0% 0.93× 1.40
Q4 over 31.5 66.9% 67.4% 61.1% 1.10× 1.48
Q4 under 37.5 65.1% 67.4% 68.8% 0.98× 1.48
Q4 over 33.5 56.4% 58.4% 50.4% 1.16× 1.71
Q4 under 35.5 54.5% 52.5% 59.4% 0.88× 1.91
Q4 over 34.5 51.0% 52.5% 45.6% 1.15× 1.91
Q4 under 34.5 49.0% 47.5% 54.4% 0.87× 2.11
Q4 over 35.5 45.5% 47.5% 40.6% 1.17× 2.11
Q4 under 33.5 43.6% 41.6% 49.6% 0.84× 2.40
Q4 over 37.5 34.9% 32.6% 31.2% 1.04× 3.07
Q4 under 31.5 33.1% 32.6% 38.9% 0.84× 3.07
Q4 over 39.5 25.4% 28.5% 23.0% 1.24× 3.51
Q4 under 29.5 23.8% 23.1% 29.2% 0.79× 4.33
Q4 over 42.5 14.2% 14.4% 13.8% 1.04× 6.95
Q4 under 26.5 12.9% 14.4% 17.4% 0.83× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Delaware Blue Hens over 46.5 87.3% 83.9% 95.2% 0.88× 1.19
Delaware Blue Hens under 66.5 86.6% 83.9% 48.2% 1.74× 1.19
Richmond Spiders under 86.5 87.3% 83.9% 96.1% 0.87× 1.19
Richmond Spiders over 66.5 85.0% 80.7% 37.3% 2.17× 1.24
Delaware Blue Hens over 49.5 77.8% 75.1% 92.1% 0.82× 1.33
Delaware Blue Hens under 63.5 78.4% 75.1% 38.5% 1.95× 1.33
Richmond Spiders under 83.5 79.3% 75.1% 93.9% 0.80× 1.33
Richmond Spiders over 69.5 76.0% 75.1% 28.8% 2.61× 1.33
Delaware Blue Hens under 61.5 71.6% 70.7% 33.1% 2.14× 1.41
Richmond Spiders under 81.5 72.5% 70.7% 92.0% 0.77× 1.41
Delaware Blue Hens over 51.5 70.3% 70.7% 89.3% 0.79× 1.41
Richmond Spiders over 71.5 68.8% 66.4% 23.9% 2.77× 1.51
Delaware Blue Hens under 59.5 63.8% 61.2% 27.8% 2.20× 1.63
Richmond Spiders under 79.5 64.9% 61.2% 89.7% 0.68× 1.63
Delaware Blue Hens over 53.5 62.0% 61.2% 85.8% 0.71× 1.63
Richmond Spiders over 73.5 60.7% 61.2% 19.8% 3.09× 1.63
Richmond Spiders under 77.5 56.5% 57.1% 87.2% 0.65× 1.75
Delaware Blue Hens under 57.5 55.4% 57.1% 22.8% 2.50× 1.75
Delaware Blue Hens over 55.5 53.3% 52.3% 81.6% 0.64× 1.91
Delaware Blue Hens under 56.5 51.1% 52.3% 20.5% 2.55× 1.91
Richmond Spiders over 75.5 52.1% 52.3% 15.9% 3.29× 1.91
Richmond Spiders under 76.5 52.2% 52.3% 85.8% 0.61× 1.91
Delaware Blue Hens under 55.5 46.7% 47.7% 18.5% 2.59× 2.09
Delaware Blue Hens over 56.5 48.9% 47.7% 79.5% 0.60× 2.09
Richmond Spiders under 75.5 47.9% 47.7% 84.1% 0.57× 2.09
Richmond Spiders over 76.5 47.8% 47.7% 14.2% 3.36× 2.09
Delaware Blue Hens over 57.5 44.6% 42.9% 77.2% 0.56× 2.33
Richmond Spiders over 77.5 43.5% 42.9% 12.8% 3.35× 2.33
Delaware Blue Hens under 53.5 38.0% 38.8% 14.2% 2.73× 2.58
Richmond Spiders under 73.5 39.3% 38.8% 80.2% 0.48× 2.58
Delaware Blue Hens over 59.5 36.2% 38.8% 72.2% 0.54× 2.58
Richmond Spiders over 79.5 35.1% 38.8% 10.3% 3.75× 2.58
Richmond Spiders under 71.5 31.2% 33.6% 76.1% 0.44× 2.98
Delaware Blue Hens under 51.5 29.7% 29.3% 10.7% 2.72× 3.42
Delaware Blue Hens over 61.5 28.4% 29.3% 66.9% 0.44× 3.42
Richmond Spiders over 81.5 27.5% 29.3% 8.0% 3.65× 3.42
Richmond Spiders under 69.5 24.0% 24.9% 71.2% 0.35× 4.02
Delaware Blue Hens under 49.5 22.2% 24.9% 7.9% 3.15× 4.02
Delaware Blue Hens over 63.5 21.6% 24.9% 61.5% 0.40× 4.02
Richmond Spiders over 83.5 20.7% 24.9% 6.1% 4.11× 4.02
Richmond Spiders under 66.5 15.0% 19.3% 62.7% 0.31× 5.18
Delaware Blue Hens under 46.5 12.7% 16.1% 4.8% 3.36× 6.21
Delaware Blue Hens over 66.5 13.4% 16.1% 51.8% 0.31× 6.21
Richmond Spiders over 86.5 12.7% 16.1% 3.9% 4.10× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 112.5 points 92.5% 88.8% 83.6% 1.06× 1.13
Under 152.5 points 91.4% 88.8% 88.1% 1.01× 1.13
Over 117.5 points 85.5% 85.0% 75.3% 1.13× 1.18
Under 147.5 points 84.9% 80.6% 82.3% 0.98× 1.24
Over 122.5 points 75.5% 75.6% 65.6% 1.15× 1.32
Under 142.5 points 75.7% 75.6% 75.1% 1.01× 1.32
Under 139.5 points 68.9% 65.9% 69.9% 0.94× 1.52
Over 125.5 points 68.3% 65.9% 59.5% 1.11× 1.52
Under 137.5 points 63.9% 61.5% 66.2% 0.93× 1.63
Over 127.5 points 63.1% 61.5% 55.1% 1.12× 1.63
Under 135.5 points 58.7% 56.5% 62.4% 0.91× 1.77
Over 129.5 points 57.7% 56.5% 50.5% 1.12× 1.77
Under 133.5 points 53.3% 52.3% 58.0% 0.90× 1.91
Over 131.5 points 52.2% 52.3% 46.1% 1.14× 1.91
Under 132.5 points 50.5% 52.3% 56.0% 0.94× 1.91
Over 132.5 points 49.5% 47.7% 44.0% 1.08× 2.10
Under 131.5 points 47.8% 47.7% 53.9% 0.88× 2.10
Over 133.5 points 46.7% 47.7% 42.0% 1.14× 2.10
Under 129.5 points 42.3% 43.5% 49.5% 0.88× 2.30
Over 135.5 points 41.3% 43.5% 37.6% 1.16× 2.30
Under 127.5 points 36.9% 38.5% 44.9% 0.86× 2.60
Over 137.5 points 36.1% 38.5% 33.8% 1.14× 2.60
Under 125.5 points 31.7% 34.1% 40.5% 0.84× 2.93
Over 139.5 points 31.1% 34.1% 30.1% 1.13× 2.93
Under 122.5 points 24.5% 24.4% 34.4% 0.71× 4.10
Over 142.5 points 24.3% 24.4% 24.9% 0.98× 4.10
Over 147.5 points 15.1% 19.4% 17.7% 1.10× 5.15
Under 117.5 points 14.5% 15.0% 24.7% 0.61× 6.68
Over 152.5 points 8.6% 11.2% 11.9% 0.94× 8.96
Under 112.5 points 7.5% 11.2% 16.4% 0.68× 8.97
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Richmond Spiders to win both halves 71.3% 71.9% 20.4% 3.53× 1.39
Delaware Blue Hens to win both halves 0.8% 3.0% 36.0% 0.08× 33.80
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Richmond Spiders by 26+ 28.6% 30.8% 4.6% 6.68× 3.25
Richmond Spiders by 16-20 18.1% 16.8% 4.8% 3.53× 5.97
Richmond Spiders by 21-25 17.4% 16.8% 2.7% 6.27× 5.97
Richmond Spiders by 11-15 15.4% 16.8% 7.6% 2.20× 5.97
Richmond Spiders by 6-10 10.7% 12.3% 10.3% 1.20× 8.11
Richmond Spiders by 1-5 6.1% 7.5% 10.2% 0.73× 13.40
Delaware Blue Hens by 1-5 2.4% 2.0% 10.2% 0.20× 49.31
Delaware Blue Hens by 6-10 0.9% 2.0% 12.9% 0.16× 49.32
Delaware Blue Hens by 11-15 0.3% 2.0% 10.8% 0.19× 49.33
Delaware Blue Hens by 16-20 0.1% 2.0% 8.0% 0.25× 49.33
Delaware Blue Hens by 21-25 0.0% 2.0% 5.4% 0.38× 49.33
Delaware Blue Hens by 26+ 0.0% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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