Denver Nuggets v Toronto Raptors — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Thursday 5 November 2026 · NBA · 2027
NBA results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Denver Nuggets win
58.8%
Draw
0.0%
Toronto Raptors win
41.2%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 118.04–114.89 | 118-115 0% | 49% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Nuggets to score 100+ | 94.2% | 90.3% | 89.3% | 1.01× | 1.11 |
| Toronto Raptors to score 100+ | 90.5% | 90.3% | 85.9% | 1.05× | 1.11 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 85.7% | 85.0% | 77.5% | 1.10× | 1.18 |
| Denver Nuggets to score 110+ | 76.6% | 76.9% | 67.0% | 1.15× | 1.30 |
| Toronto Raptors to score 110+ | 67.6% | 63.8% | 60.9% | 1.05× | 1.57 |
| Denver Nuggets to score 120+ | 45.3% | 46.9% | 36.5% | 1.28× | 2.13 |
| Toronto Raptors to score 120+ | 34.6% | 31.4% | 29.7% | 1.06× | 3.18 |
| Denver Nuggets to score 130+ | 16.7% | 17.5% | 12.8% | 1.37× | 5.70 |
| Toronto Raptors to score 130+ | 10.6% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 1.38× | 7.25 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Nuggets to win H1 | 54.0% | 51.9% | 52.8% | 0.98× | 1.93 |
| Toronto Raptors to win H1 | 42.5% | 42.7% | 44.1% | 0.97× | 2.34 |
| H1 tied | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.25× | 25.86 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 over 105.5 | 82.3% | 82.5% | 75.8% | 1.09× | 1.21 |
| H1 under 129.5 | 82.1% | 82.5% | 88.1% | 0.94× | 1.21 |
| H1 over 109.5 | 73.2% | 73.5% | 65.0% | 1.13× | 1.36 |
| H1 under 125.5 | 72.9% | 73.5% | 80.7% | 0.91× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 112.5 | 65.2% | 67.4% | 55.8% | 1.21× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 122.5 | 64.8% | 62.7% | 74.0% | 0.85× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 114.5 | 59.3% | 58.2% | 49.6% | 1.17× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 120.5 | 58.9% | 58.2% | 68.4% | 0.85× | 1.72 |
| H1 over 116.5 | 53.3% | 52.6% | 43.4% | 1.21× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 118.5 | 52.9% | 52.6% | 62.9% | 0.84× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 117.5 | 50.2% | 52.6% | 40.4% | 1.30× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 117.5 | 49.8% | 47.4% | 59.6% | 0.79× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 116.5 | 46.7% | 47.4% | 56.6% | 0.84× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 118.5 | 47.1% | 47.4% | 37.1% | 1.28× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 114.5 | 40.7% | 41.8% | 50.4% | 0.83× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 120.5 | 41.1% | 41.8% | 31.6% | 1.32× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 122.5 | 35.2% | 37.3% | 26.0% | 1.43× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 112.5 | 34.9% | 32.6% | 44.2% | 0.74× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 125.5 | 27.1% | 26.5% | 19.3% | 1.37× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 109.5 | 26.8% | 26.5% | 35.0% | 0.76× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 105.5 | 17.7% | 17.5% | 24.2% | 0.72× | 5.73 |
| H1 over 129.5 | 17.9% | 17.5% | 11.9% | 1.47× | 5.73 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Nuggets to win H2 | 53.9% | 51.2% | 51.6% | 0.99× | 1.95 |
| Toronto Raptors to win H2 | 42.6% | 43.5% | 44.7% | 0.97× | 2.30 |
| H2 tied | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.06× | 25.36 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 127.5 | 82.7% | 81.8% | 84.9% | 0.96× | 1.22 |
| H2 over 103.5 | 82.2% | 81.8% | 76.2% | 1.07× | 1.22 |
| H2 under 123.5 | 73.6% | 72.2% | 76.9% | 0.94× | 1.39 |
| H2 over 107.5 | 72.9% | 72.2% | 66.2% | 1.09× | 1.39 |
| H2 under 120.5 | 65.5% | 66.4% | 69.3% | 0.96× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 110.5 | 64.7% | 61.6% | 58.1% | 1.06× | 1.62 |
| H2 under 118.5 | 59.6% | 57.3% | 63.6% | 0.90× | 1.74 |
| H2 over 112.5 | 58.8% | 57.3% | 52.6% | 1.09× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 116.5 | 53.5% | 52.4% | 58.1% | 0.90× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 114.5 | 52.7% | 52.4% | 47.5% | 1.10× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 115.5 | 50.4% | 52.4% | 55.4% | 0.95× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 115.5 | 49.6% | 47.6% | 44.6% | 1.07× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 114.5 | 47.3% | 47.6% | 52.5% | 0.91× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 116.5 | 46.5% | 47.6% | 41.9% | 1.14× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 112.5 | 41.2% | 42.7% | 47.4% | 0.90× | 2.34 |
| H2 over 118.5 | 40.4% | 42.7% | 36.4% | 1.17× | 2.35 |
| H2 under 110.5 | 35.3% | 38.4% | 41.9% | 0.92× | 2.61 |
| H2 over 120.5 | 34.5% | 33.6% | 30.7% | 1.10× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 107.5 | 27.1% | 27.8% | 33.8% | 0.82× | 3.59 |
| H2 over 123.5 | 26.4% | 27.8% | 23.1% | 1.20× | 3.59 |
| H2 under 103.5 | 17.8% | 18.2% | 23.8% | 0.76× | 5.50 |
| H2 over 127.5 | 17.3% | 18.2% | 15.1% | 1.20× | 5.50 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Nuggets leading at half time | 54.0% | 51.9% | 52.8% | 0.98× | 1.93 |
| Toronto Raptors leading at half time | 42.5% | 42.8% | 44.1% | 0.97× | 2.33 |
| Level at half time | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.22× | 26.41 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Nuggets +20.5 | 94.7% | 91.1% | 93.1% | 0.98× | 1.10 |
| Denver Nuggets +18.5 | 93.0% | 91.1% | 91.5% | 1.00× | 1.10 |
| Denver Nuggets +16.5 | 91.0% | 91.1% | 89.7% | 1.02× | 1.10 |
| Denver Nuggets +14.5 | 88.5% | 85.9% | 87.0% | 0.99× | 1.16 |
| Toronto Raptors +20.5 | 88.1% | 85.9% | 89.1% | 0.96× | 1.16 |
| Denver Nuggets +12.5 | 85.6% | 85.9% | 83.9% | 1.02× | 1.16 |
| Toronto Raptors +18.5 | 85.1% | 85.9% | 86.4% | 0.99× | 1.16 |
| Denver Nuggets +10.5 | 82.2% | 81.1% | 80.3% | 1.01× | 1.23 |
| Toronto Raptors +16.5 | 81.6% | 81.1% | 83.5% | 0.97× | 1.23 |
| Denver Nuggets +9.5 | 80.3% | 81.1% | 78.1% | 1.04× | 1.23 |
| Denver Nuggets +8.5 | 78.3% | 76.5% | 75.7% | 1.01× | 1.31 |
| Toronto Raptors +14.5 | 77.7% | 76.5% | 80.1% | 0.95× | 1.31 |
| Denver Nuggets +7.5 | 76.2% | 76.5% | 73.0% | 1.05× | 1.31 |
| Denver Nuggets +6.5 | 74.0% | 71.6% | 70.6% | 1.01× | 1.40 |
| Toronto Raptors +12.5 | 73.3% | 71.6% | 76.0% | 0.94× | 1.40 |
| Denver Nuggets +5.5 | 71.7% | 71.6% | 68.0% | 1.05× | 1.40 |
| Denver Nuggets +4.5 | 69.3% | 66.7% | 65.7% | 1.02× | 1.50 |
| Toronto Raptors +10.5 | 68.5% | 66.7% | 71.0% | 0.94× | 1.50 |
| Denver Nuggets +3.5 | 66.8% | 66.7% | 63.1% | 1.06× | 1.50 |
| Toronto Raptors +9.5 | 66.0% | 66.7% | 68.7% | 0.97× | 1.50 |
| Denver Nuggets +2.5 | 64.2% | 61.9% | 60.5% | 1.02× | 1.62 |
| Toronto Raptors +8.5 | 63.4% | 61.9% | 65.9% | 0.94× | 1.62 |
| Denver Nuggets +1.5 | 61.5% | 61.9% | 57.9% | 1.07× | 1.62 |
| Toronto Raptors +7.5 | 60.7% | 61.9% | 63.0% | 0.98× | 1.62 |
| Toronto Raptors +6.5 | 58.0% | 57.1% | 60.0% | 0.95× | 1.75 |
| Denver Nuggets −1.5 | 56.0% | 57.1% | 53.7% | 1.06× | 1.75 |
| Toronto Raptors +5.5 | 55.2% | 57.1% | 57.1% | 1.00× | 1.75 |
| Denver Nuggets −2.5 | 53.2% | 52.4% | 50.9% | 1.03× | 1.91 |
| Toronto Raptors +4.5 | 52.4% | 52.4% | 54.1% | 0.97× | 1.91 |
| Denver Nuggets −3.5 | 50.4% | 52.4% | 48.4% | 1.08× | 1.91 |
| Toronto Raptors +3.5 | 49.6% | 47.6% | 51.6% | 0.92× | 2.10 |
| Denver Nuggets −4.5 | 47.6% | 47.6% | 46.0% | 1.04× | 2.10 |
| Toronto Raptors +2.5 | 46.8% | 47.6% | 49.1% | 0.97× | 2.10 |
| Denver Nuggets −5.5 | 44.8% | 42.9% | 42.9% | 1.00× | 2.33 |
| Toronto Raptors +1.5 | 44.0% | 42.9% | 46.3% | 0.93× | 2.33 |
| Denver Nuggets −6.5 | 42.0% | 42.9% | 40.0% | 1.07× | 2.33 |
| Denver Nuggets −7.5 | 39.3% | 38.1% | 37.0% | 1.03× | 2.63 |
| Toronto Raptors −1.5 | 38.5% | 38.1% | 42.1% | 0.90× | 2.63 |
| Denver Nuggets −8.5 | 36.6% | 38.1% | 34.1% | 1.12× | 2.63 |
| Toronto Raptors −2.5 | 35.8% | 38.1% | 39.5% | 0.96× | 2.63 |
| Denver Nuggets −9.5 | 34.0% | 33.3% | 31.3% | 1.06× | 3.01 |
| Toronto Raptors −3.5 | 33.2% | 33.3% | 36.9% | 0.90× | 3.01 |
| Denver Nuggets −10.5 | 31.5% | 33.3% | 29.0% | 1.15× | 3.01 |
| Toronto Raptors −4.5 | 30.7% | 33.3% | 34.3% | 0.97× | 3.01 |
| Toronto Raptors −5.5 | 28.3% | 28.4% | 32.0% | 0.89× | 3.53 |
| Denver Nuggets −12.5 | 26.7% | 28.4% | 24.0% | 1.18× | 3.53 |
| Toronto Raptors −6.5 | 26.0% | 28.4% | 29.4% | 0.96× | 3.53 |
| Toronto Raptors −7.5 | 23.8% | 23.5% | 27.0% | 0.87× | 4.25 |
| Toronto Raptors −8.5 | 21.7% | 23.5% | 24.3% | 0.97× | 4.25 |
| Denver Nuggets −14.5 | 22.3% | 23.5% | 19.9% | 1.19× | 4.25 |
| Toronto Raptors −9.5 | 19.7% | 18.9% | 21.9% | 0.86× | 5.29 |
| Denver Nuggets −16.5 | 18.4% | 18.9% | 16.5% | 1.15× | 5.29 |
| Toronto Raptors −10.5 | 17.8% | 18.9% | 19.7% | 0.96× | 5.29 |
| Toronto Raptors −12.5 | 14.4% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 0.87× | 7.09 |
| Denver Nuggets −18.5 | 14.9% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 1.04× | 7.09 |
| Denver Nuggets −20.5 | 11.9% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 1.30× | 7.09 |
| Toronto Raptors −14.5 | 11.5% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 1.09× | 7.09 |
| Toronto Raptors −16.5 | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 0.86× | 11.25 |
| Toronto Raptors −18.5 | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 1.04× | 11.25 |
| Toronto Raptors −20.5 | 5.3% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 1.29× | 11.25 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half highest scoring | 56.8% | 52.6% | 53.5% | 0.98× | 1.90 |
| 2nd half highest scoring | 43.2% | 47.4% | 46.5% | 1.02× | 2.11 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 highest scoring | 28.3% | 27.4% | 29.2% | 0.94× | 3.65 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 28.0% | 27.4% | 27.5% | 1.00× | 3.65 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 26.6% | 27.4% | 26.3% | 1.04× | 3.65 |
| Q4 highest scoring | 17.1% | 18.3% | 17.0% | 1.08× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Nuggets at HT / Denver Nuggets at FT | 43.0% | 41.0% | 40.8% | 1.01× | 2.44 |
| Toronto Raptors at HT / Toronto Raptors at FT | 28.7% | 29.6% | 30.9% | 0.96× | 3.38 |
| Toronto Raptors at HT / Denver Nuggets at FT | 13.9% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 0.92× | 8.17 |
| Denver Nuggets at HT / Toronto Raptors at FT | 11.0% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 1.02× | 8.18 |
| Level at HT / Denver Nuggets at FT | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.22× | 47.76 |
| Level at HT / Toronto Raptors at FT | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.49× | 47.77 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Nuggets to win | 58.8% | 55.2% | 55.7% | 0.99× | 1.81 |
| Toronto Raptors to win | 41.2% | 44.8% | 44.3% | 1.01× | 2.23 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total points odd | 51.4% | 50.5% | 51.0% | 0.99× | 1.98 |
| Denver Nuggets even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.7% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Toronto Raptors even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.3% | 1.00× | 1.98 |
| Denver Nuggets odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.3% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| Toronto Raptors odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.7% | 1.00× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 48.6% | 49.5% | 49.0% | 1.01× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 93.0% | 94.0% | 94.8% | 0.99× | 1.06 |
| Match to go to overtime | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 1.16× | 16.65 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Nuggets to win Q1 | 51.5% | 52.6% | 51.3% | 1.02× | 1.90 |
| Toronto Raptors to win Q1 | 43.7% | 42.9% | 44.1% | 0.97× | 2.33 |
| Q1 tied | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 0.90× | 23.94 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 under 67.5 | 84.3% | 82.8% | 88.8% | 0.93× | 1.21 |
| Q1 over 51.5 | 80.9% | 82.8% | 76.0% | 1.09× | 1.21 |
| Q1 under 64.5 | 74.4% | 72.7% | 80.1% | 0.91× | 1.38 |
| Q1 over 54.5 | 69.9% | 67.6% | 63.3% | 1.07× | 1.48 |
| Q1 under 62.5 | 66.3% | 67.6% | 72.9% | 0.93× | 1.48 |
| Q1 over 56.5 | 61.3% | 61.7% | 54.6% | 1.13× | 1.62 |
| Q1 under 60.5 | 57.3% | 58.6% | 64.5% | 0.91× | 1.71 |
| Q1 under 59.5 | 52.7% | 52.7% | 60.0% | 0.88× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 58.5 | 52.0% | 52.7% | 44.3% | 1.19× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 58.5 | 48.0% | 47.3% | 55.7% | 0.85× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 59.5 | 47.3% | 47.3% | 40.0% | 1.18× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 60.5 | 42.7% | 41.4% | 35.5% | 1.17× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 56.5 | 38.7% | 38.3% | 45.4% | 0.84× | 2.61 |
| Q1 over 62.5 | 33.7% | 32.4% | 27.1% | 1.20× | 3.08 |
| Q1 under 54.5 | 30.1% | 32.4% | 36.7% | 0.88× | 3.08 |
| Q1 over 64.5 | 25.6% | 27.3% | 19.9% | 1.37× | 3.66 |
| Q1 under 51.5 | 19.1% | 17.2% | 24.0% | 0.71× | 5.83 |
| Q1 over 67.5 | 15.7% | 17.2% | 11.2% | 1.53× | 5.83 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Nuggets to win Q2 | 51.5% | 51.4% | 49.3% | 1.04× | 1.95 |
| Toronto Raptors to win Q2 | 43.8% | 43.9% | 46.2% | 0.95× | 2.28 |
| Q2 tied | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 0.98× | 22.88 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 over 50.5 | 82.9% | 83.0% | 78.1% | 1.06× | 1.21 |
| Q2 under 66.5 | 82.1% | 83.0% | 86.5% | 0.96× | 1.21 |
| Q2 over 53.5 | 72.6% | 72.0% | 65.8% | 1.09× | 1.39 |
| Q2 under 63.5 | 71.6% | 72.0% | 77.5% | 0.93× | 1.39 |
| Q2 over 55.5 | 64.3% | 60.7% | 56.3% | 1.08× | 1.65 |
| Q2 under 61.5 | 63.1% | 60.7% | 70.4% | 0.86× | 1.65 |
| Q2 over 57.5 | 55.3% | 58.2% | 47.3% | 1.23× | 1.72 |
| Q2 under 59.5 | 54.1% | 52.7% | 61.9% | 0.85× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 58.5 | 50.6% | 52.7% | 42.7% | 1.23× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 58.5 | 49.4% | 47.3% | 57.3% | 0.83× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 59.5 | 45.9% | 47.3% | 38.1% | 1.24× | 2.11 |
| Q2 under 57.5 | 44.7% | 41.8% | 52.7% | 0.79× | 2.39 |
| Q2 over 61.5 | 36.9% | 39.3% | 29.6% | 1.33× | 2.55 |
| Q2 under 55.5 | 35.7% | 39.3% | 43.7% | 0.90× | 2.55 |
| Q2 over 63.5 | 28.4% | 28.0% | 22.5% | 1.25× | 3.57 |
| Q2 under 53.5 | 27.4% | 28.0% | 34.2% | 0.82× | 3.57 |
| Q2 over 66.5 | 17.9% | 17.0% | 13.5% | 1.26× | 5.88 |
| Q2 under 50.5 | 17.1% | 17.0% | 21.9% | 0.78× | 5.88 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Nuggets to win Q3 | 51.5% | 52.7% | 50.9% | 1.04× | 1.90 |
| Toronto Raptors to win Q3 | 43.8% | 42.3% | 44.3% | 0.95× | 2.37 |
| Q3 tied | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 0.88× | 23.43 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 under 67.5 | 84.1% | 82.3% | 87.0% | 0.95× | 1.22 |
| Q3 over 51.5 | 81.7% | 82.3% | 76.1% | 1.08× | 1.22 |
| Q3 under 64.5 | 74.0% | 71.8% | 79.2% | 0.91× | 1.39 |
| Q3 over 54.5 | 70.8% | 71.8% | 63.9% | 1.12× | 1.39 |
| Q3 under 62.5 | 65.7% | 67.8% | 71.9% | 0.94× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 56.5 | 62.1% | 61.9% | 55.0% | 1.13× | 1.61 |
| Q3 under 60.5 | 56.6% | 58.4% | 63.5% | 0.92× | 1.71 |
| Q3 over 58.5 | 52.8% | 52.3% | 45.2% | 1.16× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 59.5 | 51.9% | 52.3% | 59.0% | 0.89× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 59.5 | 48.1% | 47.7% | 41.0% | 1.16× | 2.10 |
| Q3 under 58.5 | 47.2% | 47.7% | 54.8% | 0.87× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 60.5 | 43.4% | 41.6% | 36.5% | 1.14× | 2.40 |
| Q3 under 56.5 | 37.9% | 38.1% | 45.0% | 0.85× | 2.63 |
| Q3 over 62.5 | 34.3% | 32.2% | 28.1% | 1.15× | 3.10 |
| Q3 under 54.5 | 29.2% | 28.2% | 36.1% | 0.78× | 3.55 |
| Q3 over 64.5 | 26.0% | 28.2% | 20.8% | 1.35× | 3.55 |
| Q3 under 51.5 | 18.3% | 17.7% | 23.9% | 0.74× | 5.66 |
| Q3 over 67.5 | 15.9% | 17.7% | 13.0% | 1.36× | 5.66 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Nuggets to win Q4 | 51.4% | 51.4% | 48.3% | 1.06× | 1.95 |
| Toronto Raptors to win Q4 | 43.7% | 43.1% | 46.4% | 0.93× | 2.32 |
| Q4 tied | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 0.98× | 19.28 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 under 64.5 | 82.8% | 82.0% | 86.3% | 0.95× | 1.22 |
| Q4 over 48.5 | 81.5% | 82.0% | 75.5% | 1.09× | 1.22 |
| Q4 under 61.5 | 72.6% | 71.5% | 77.5% | 0.92× | 1.40 |
| Q4 over 51.5 | 70.9% | 71.5% | 64.7% | 1.11× | 1.40 |
| Q4 under 59.5 | 64.5% | 61.4% | 70.2% | 0.87× | 1.63 |
| Q4 over 53.5 | 62.6% | 61.4% | 55.7% | 1.10× | 1.63 |
| Q4 under 57.5 | 55.6% | 58.4% | 61.9% | 0.94× | 1.71 |
| Q4 over 55.5 | 53.6% | 52.5% | 47.1% | 1.11× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 56.5 | 51.0% | 52.5% | 57.2% | 0.92× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 56.5 | 49.0% | 47.5% | 42.8% | 1.11× | 2.11 |
| Q4 under 55.5 | 46.4% | 47.5% | 52.9% | 0.90× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 57.5 | 44.4% | 41.6% | 38.1% | 1.09× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 53.5 | 37.4% | 38.6% | 44.3% | 0.87× | 2.59 |
| Q4 over 59.5 | 35.5% | 38.6% | 29.8% | 1.30× | 2.59 |
| Q4 under 51.5 | 29.1% | 28.5% | 35.3% | 0.81× | 3.51 |
| Q4 over 61.5 | 27.4% | 28.5% | 22.5% | 1.27× | 3.51 |
| Q4 under 48.5 | 18.5% | 18.0% | 24.5% | 0.73× | 5.56 |
| Q4 over 64.5 | 17.2% | 18.0% | 13.7% | 1.31× | 5.56 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Raptors under 125.5 | 81.8% | 80.7% | 83.4% | 0.97× | 1.24 |
| Denver Nuggets under 128.5 | 81.0% | 80.7% | 85.5% | 0.94× | 1.24 |
| Denver Nuggets over 108.5 | 79.1% | 75.1% | 69.9% | 1.08× | 1.33 |
| Toronto Raptors over 105.5 | 78.7% | 75.1% | 71.9% | 1.05× | 1.33 |
| Denver Nuggets under 125.5 | 73.4% | 70.7% | 79.1% | 0.89× | 1.41 |
| Toronto Raptors under 122.5 | 74.3% | 70.7% | 77.4% | 0.91× | 1.41 |
| Denver Nuggets over 111.5 | 71.1% | 70.7% | 61.1% | 1.16× | 1.41 |
| Toronto Raptors over 108.5 | 70.6% | 70.7% | 64.0% | 1.11× | 1.41 |
| Toronto Raptors under 120.5 | 68.5% | 66.4% | 72.7% | 0.91× | 1.51 |
| Denver Nuggets under 123.5 | 67.6% | 66.4% | 74.4% | 0.89× | 1.51 |
| Denver Nuggets over 113.5 | 65.1% | 66.4% | 54.3% | 1.22× | 1.51 |
| Toronto Raptors over 110.5 | 64.4% | 61.2% | 57.9% | 1.06× | 1.63 |
| Toronto Raptors under 118.5 | 62.2% | 61.2% | 67.4% | 0.91× | 1.63 |
| Denver Nuggets under 121.5 | 61.3% | 61.2% | 69.6% | 0.88× | 1.63 |
| Denver Nuggets over 115.5 | 58.7% | 57.1% | 48.4% | 1.18× | 1.75 |
| Toronto Raptors over 112.5 | 57.9% | 57.1% | 51.5% | 1.11× | 1.75 |
| Toronto Raptors under 116.5 | 55.6% | 57.1% | 61.5% | 0.93× | 1.75 |
| Denver Nuggets under 119.5 | 54.7% | 52.3% | 63.5% | 0.82× | 1.91 |
| Denver Nuggets over 117.5 | 52.0% | 52.3% | 42.2% | 1.24× | 1.91 |
| Denver Nuggets under 118.5 | 51.3% | 52.3% | 60.3% | 0.87× | 1.91 |
| Toronto Raptors over 114.5 | 51.2% | 52.3% | 44.5% | 1.18× | 1.91 |
| Toronto Raptors under 115.5 | 52.2% | 52.3% | 58.6% | 0.89× | 1.91 |
| Denver Nuggets under 117.5 | 48.0% | 47.7% | 57.8% | 0.83× | 2.09 |
| Denver Nuggets over 118.5 | 48.7% | 47.7% | 39.7% | 1.20× | 2.09 |
| Toronto Raptors under 114.5 | 48.9% | 47.7% | 55.5% | 0.86× | 2.09 |
| Toronto Raptors over 115.5 | 47.8% | 47.7% | 41.4% | 1.15× | 2.09 |
| Denver Nuggets over 119.5 | 45.3% | 47.7% | 36.5% | 1.31× | 2.09 |
| Toronto Raptors over 116.5 | 44.4% | 42.9% | 38.5% | 1.11× | 2.33 |
| Toronto Raptors under 112.5 | 42.1% | 42.9% | 48.5% | 0.88× | 2.33 |
| Denver Nuggets under 115.5 | 41.3% | 42.9% | 51.6% | 0.83× | 2.33 |
| Denver Nuggets over 121.5 | 38.7% | 38.8% | 30.4% | 1.28× | 2.58 |
| Toronto Raptors over 118.5 | 37.8% | 38.8% | 32.6% | 1.19× | 2.58 |
| Toronto Raptors under 110.5 | 35.6% | 38.8% | 42.1% | 0.92× | 2.58 |
| Denver Nuggets under 113.5 | 34.9% | 33.6% | 45.7% | 0.73× | 2.98 |
| Denver Nuggets over 123.5 | 32.4% | 33.6% | 25.6% | 1.31× | 2.98 |
| Toronto Raptors over 120.5 | 31.5% | 33.6% | 27.3% | 1.23× | 2.98 |
| Denver Nuggets under 111.5 | 28.9% | 29.3% | 38.9% | 0.75× | 3.42 |
| Toronto Raptors under 108.5 | 29.4% | 29.3% | 36.0% | 0.81× | 3.42 |
| Denver Nuggets over 125.5 | 26.6% | 29.3% | 20.9% | 1.40× | 3.42 |
| Toronto Raptors over 122.5 | 25.7% | 29.3% | 22.6% | 1.29× | 3.42 |
| Denver Nuggets under 108.5 | 20.9% | 24.9% | 30.1% | 0.83× | 4.02 |
| Toronto Raptors under 105.5 | 21.3% | 24.9% | 28.1% | 0.88× | 4.02 |
| Denver Nuggets over 128.5 | 19.0% | 19.3% | 14.5% | 1.33× | 5.18 |
| Toronto Raptors over 125.5 | 18.2% | 19.3% | 16.6% | 1.16× | 5.18 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 253.5 points | 86.8% | 85.0% | 89.1% | 0.95× | 1.18 |
| Over 213.5 points | 85.4% | 85.0% | 76.4% | 1.11× | 1.18 |
| Under 248.5 points | 80.1% | 80.6% | 84.4% | 0.95× | 1.24 |
| Over 218.5 points | 78.4% | 75.6% | 67.8% | 1.12× | 1.32 |
| Under 243.5 points | 71.7% | 70.8% | 78.2% | 0.91× | 1.41 |
| Over 223.5 points | 69.6% | 65.9% | 58.3% | 1.13× | 1.52 |
| Under 240.5 points | 65.9% | 65.9% | 74.0% | 0.89× | 1.52 |
| Over 226.5 points | 63.7% | 61.5% | 52.7% | 1.17× | 1.63 |
| Under 238.5 points | 61.9% | 61.5% | 70.9% | 0.87× | 1.63 |
| Over 228.5 points | 59.6% | 56.5% | 48.7% | 1.16× | 1.77 |
| Under 236.5 points | 57.6% | 56.5% | 67.3% | 0.84× | 1.77 |
| Over 230.5 points | 55.3% | 56.5% | 44.6% | 1.27× | 1.77 |
| Under 234.5 points | 53.4% | 52.3% | 63.3% | 0.83× | 1.91 |
| Over 232.5 points | 51.0% | 52.3% | 40.6% | 1.29× | 1.91 |
| Under 233.5 points | 51.3% | 52.3% | 61.4% | 0.85× | 1.91 |
| Under 232.5 points | 49.0% | 47.7% | 59.4% | 0.80× | 2.10 |
| Over 233.5 points | 48.8% | 47.7% | 38.6% | 1.23× | 2.10 |
| Over 234.5 points | 46.6% | 47.7% | 36.7% | 1.30× | 2.10 |
| Under 230.5 points | 44.7% | 43.5% | 55.4% | 0.79× | 2.30 |
| Over 236.5 points | 42.4% | 43.5% | 32.7% | 1.33× | 2.30 |
| Under 228.5 points | 40.4% | 43.5% | 51.3% | 0.85× | 2.30 |
| Over 238.5 points | 38.1% | 38.5% | 29.1% | 1.32× | 2.60 |
| Under 226.5 points | 36.3% | 38.5% | 47.3% | 0.82× | 2.60 |
| Over 240.5 points | 34.1% | 34.1% | 26.0% | 1.31× | 2.93 |
| Under 223.5 points | 30.4% | 34.1% | 41.7% | 0.82× | 2.93 |
| Over 243.5 points | 28.3% | 29.2% | 21.8% | 1.34× | 3.43 |
| Under 218.5 points | 21.6% | 24.4% | 32.2% | 0.76× | 4.10 |
| Over 248.5 points | 19.9% | 19.4% | 15.6% | 1.25× | 5.15 |
| Under 213.5 points | 14.6% | 15.0% | 23.6% | 0.64× | 6.68 |
| Over 253.5 points | 13.2% | 15.0% | 10.9% | 1.38× | 6.69 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Nuggets to win both halves | 27.0% | 27.2% | 25.2% | 1.08× | 3.68 |
| Toronto Raptors to win both halves | 16.0% | 18.9% | 17.8% | 1.06× | 5.30 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Nuggets by 1-5 | 14.1% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 0.96× | 8.11 |
| Denver Nuggets by 6-10 | 13.3% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 0.88× | 8.11 |
| Toronto Raptors by 1-5 | 12.9% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 1.01× | 8.11 |
| Toronto Raptors by 6-10 | 10.5% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 1.00× | 8.11 |
| Denver Nuggets by 11-15 | 11.2% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 1.14× | 8.11 |
| Denver Nuggets by 16-20 | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 1.02× | 13.40 |
| Toronto Raptors by 11-15 | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 0.93× | 13.40 |
| Denver Nuggets by 26+ | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 1.21× | 13.40 |
| Denver Nuggets by 21-25 | 5.6% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 1.58× | 13.40 |
| Toronto Raptors by 16-20 | 4.9% | 2.0% | 4.9% | 0.42× | 49.28 |
| Toronto Raptors by 21-25 | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 0.67× | 49.30 |
| Toronto Raptors by 26+ | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 0.53× | 49.31 |