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DePaul Blue Demons v Purdue Boilermakers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 24 November 2026 · NCAAB · 2027

NCAAB results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
DePaul Blue Demons win
11.8%
Draw
0.0%
Purdue Boilermakers win
88.2%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 63.43–75.82 64-76 0% 50% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
DePaul Blue Demons to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 3.4% 0.10× 283.35
DePaul Blue Demons to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.7% 0.52× 283.36
DePaul Blue Demons to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.87× 283.36
DePaul Blue Demons to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 19.47× 283.36
Purdue Boilermakers to score 100+ 0.7% 0.4% 1.1% 0.33× 283.22
Purdue Boilermakers to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.2% 1.95× 283.35
Purdue Boilermakers to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 12.98× 283.36
Purdue Boilermakers to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 38.95× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.4% 0.87× 283.36
H1 result 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Purdue Boilermakers to win H1 73.5% 73.0% 38.2% 1.91× 1.37
Purdue Boilermakers to win H1 73.5% 73.0% 38.2% 1.91× 1.37
DePaul Blue Demons to win H1 22.9% 21.4% 57.9% 0.37× 4.68
DePaul Blue Demons to win H1 22.8% 21.4% 57.9% 0.37× 4.68
H1 tied 3.6% 3.9% 3.9% 0.99× 25.86
H1 tied 3.6% 3.9% 3.9% 0.99× 25.86
H1 total 40
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 78.5 88.2% 87.7% 80.7% 1.09× 1.14
H1 over 54.5 86.1% 87.7% 91.0% 0.96× 1.14
H1 under 74.5 79.8% 77.4% 69.6% 1.11× 1.29
H1 under 74.5 79.0% 77.4% 69.6% 1.11× 1.29
H1 over 58.5 76.7% 77.4% 83.3% 0.93× 1.29
H1 over 58.5 76.0% 77.4% 83.3% 0.93× 1.29
H1 under 71.5 70.6% 73.5% 60.0% 1.22× 1.36
H1 under 71.5 70.0% 73.5% 60.0% 1.22× 1.36
H1 over 61.5 66.8% 67.4% 74.9% 0.90× 1.48
H1 over 61.5 66.3% 67.4% 74.9% 0.90× 1.48
H1 under 69.5 63.6% 62.7% 53.1% 1.18× 1.59
H1 under 69.5 63.2% 62.7% 53.1% 1.18× 1.59
H1 over 63.5 59.4% 58.2% 69.0% 0.84× 1.72
H1 over 63.5 59.1% 58.2% 69.0% 0.84× 1.72
H1 under 67.5 56.1% 58.2% 45.6% 1.28× 1.72
H1 under 67.5 55.9% 58.2% 45.6% 1.28× 1.72
H1 over 65.5 51.7% 52.6% 61.9% 0.85× 1.90
H1 under 66.5 52.2% 52.6% 41.8% 1.26× 1.90
H1 under 66.5 52.1% 52.6% 41.8% 1.26× 1.90
H1 over 65.5 51.6% 52.6% 61.9% 0.85× 1.90
H1 under 65.5 48.4% 47.4% 38.1% 1.24× 2.11
H1 under 65.5 48.3% 47.4% 38.1% 1.24× 2.11
H1 over 66.5 47.8% 47.4% 58.2% 0.81× 2.11
H1 over 66.5 47.9% 47.4% 58.2% 0.81× 2.11
H1 over 67.5 43.9% 41.8% 54.4% 0.77× 2.39
H1 over 67.5 44.1% 41.8% 54.4% 0.77× 2.39
H1 under 63.5 40.9% 41.8% 31.0% 1.35× 2.39
H1 under 63.5 40.6% 41.8% 31.0% 1.35× 2.39
H1 over 69.5 36.8% 37.3% 46.9% 0.80× 2.68
H1 over 69.5 36.4% 37.3% 46.9% 0.80× 2.68
H1 under 61.5 33.2% 32.6% 25.1% 1.30× 3.07
H1 under 61.5 33.7% 32.6% 25.1% 1.30× 3.07
H1 over 71.5 30.0% 26.5% 40.0% 0.66× 3.77
H1 over 71.5 29.4% 26.5% 40.0% 0.66× 3.77
H1 under 58.5 23.3% 22.6% 16.7% 1.35× 4.43
H1 under 58.5 24.0% 22.6% 16.7% 1.35× 4.43
H1 over 74.5 21.0% 22.6% 30.4% 0.74× 4.43
H1 over 74.5 20.2% 22.6% 30.4% 0.74× 4.43
H1 under 54.5 13.9% 12.3% 9.0% 1.37× 8.13
H1 over 78.5 11.8% 12.3% 19.3% 0.64× 8.14
H2 result 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Purdue Boilermakers to win H2 75.2% 73.9% 38.9% 1.90× 1.35
Purdue Boilermakers to win H2 75.1% 73.9% 38.5% 1.92× 1.35
DePaul Blue Demons to win H2 21.5% 26.8% 57.5% 0.47× 3.73
DePaul Blue Demons to win H2 21.4% 26.8% 56.9% 0.47× 3.73
H2 tied 3.4% 3.9% 4.2% 0.95× 25.36
H2 tied 3.4% 3.9% 4.1% 0.97× 25.36
H2 total 40
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 61.5 85.9% 85.2% 91.4% 0.93× 1.17
H2 under 85.5 85.7% 85.2% 73.3% 1.16× 1.17
H2 over 65.5 76.9% 75.8% 83.1% 0.91× 1.32
H2 under 81.5 76.9% 75.8% 65.8% 1.15× 1.32
H2 over 65.5 76.3% 75.8% 84.5% 0.90× 1.32
H2 under 81.5 76.2% 75.8% 62.2% 1.22× 1.32
H2 over 68.5 67.7% 66.4% 75.7% 0.88× 1.51
H2 under 78.5 67.7% 66.4% 56.4% 1.18× 1.51
H2 over 68.5 67.2% 66.4% 77.5% 0.86× 1.51
H2 under 78.5 67.2% 66.4% 53.0% 1.25× 1.51
H2 over 70.5 60.8% 61.6% 69.8% 0.88× 1.62
H2 under 76.5 60.9% 61.6% 49.7% 1.24× 1.62
H2 over 70.5 60.5% 61.6% 71.9% 0.86× 1.62
H2 under 76.5 60.6% 61.6% 46.6% 1.32× 1.62
H2 over 72.5 53.6% 52.4% 63.4% 0.83× 1.91
H2 under 74.5 53.7% 52.4% 43.0% 1.22× 1.91
H2 over 72.5 53.5% 52.4% 65.9% 0.79× 1.91
H2 under 74.5 53.6% 52.4% 40.0% 1.31× 1.91
H2 under 73.5 50.0% 52.4% 39.6% 1.32× 1.91
H2 under 73.5 50.0% 52.4% 36.9% 1.42× 1.91
H2 over 73.5 50.0% 47.6% 60.4% 0.79× 2.10
H2 over 73.5 50.0% 47.6% 63.1% 0.76× 2.10
H2 under 72.5 46.4% 47.6% 36.6% 1.30× 2.10
H2 over 74.5 46.3% 47.6% 57.0% 0.84× 2.10
H2 under 72.5 46.5% 47.6% 34.1% 1.40× 2.10
H2 over 74.5 46.4% 47.6% 60.0% 0.79× 2.10
H2 under 70.5 39.2% 38.4% 30.2% 1.27× 2.61
H2 over 76.5 39.1% 38.4% 50.3% 0.76× 2.61
H2 under 70.5 39.5% 38.4% 28.1% 1.37× 2.61
H2 over 76.5 39.4% 38.4% 53.4% 0.72× 2.61
H2 under 68.5 32.3% 33.6% 24.3% 1.38× 2.97
H2 over 78.5 32.3% 33.6% 43.6% 0.77× 2.97
H2 under 68.5 32.8% 33.6% 22.5% 1.50× 2.97
H2 over 78.5 32.8% 33.6% 47.0% 0.71× 2.97
H2 under 65.5 23.7% 24.2% 15.5% 1.56× 4.13
H2 over 81.5 23.8% 24.2% 37.8% 0.64× 4.13
H2 under 65.5 23.1% 24.2% 16.9% 1.44× 4.13
H2 over 81.5 23.1% 24.2% 34.2% 0.71× 4.13
H2 under 61.5 14.1% 14.8% 8.6% 1.71× 6.76
H2 over 85.5 14.3% 14.8% 26.7% 0.55× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Purdue Boilermakers leading at half time 73.5% 73.5% 38.2% 1.92× 1.36
DePaul Blue Demons leading at half time 22.9% 21.0% 57.9% 0.36× 4.77
Level at half time 3.6% 3.8% 3.9% 0.97× 26.41
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Purdue Boilermakers +14.5 99.4% 97.4% 77.2% 1.26× 1.03
Purdue Boilermakers +16.5 99.6% 97.4% 80.7% 1.21× 1.03
Purdue Boilermakers +18.5 99.8% 97.4% 83.9% 1.16× 1.03
Purdue Boilermakers +20.5 99.9% 97.4% 86.5% 1.13× 1.03
Purdue Boilermakers +8.5 97.4% 97.4% 61.5% 1.58× 1.03
Purdue Boilermakers +9.5 97.9% 97.4% 64.5% 1.51× 1.03
Purdue Boilermakers +10.5 98.3% 97.4% 67.4% 1.45× 1.03
Purdue Boilermakers +12.5 99.0% 97.4% 72.4% 1.35× 1.03
Purdue Boilermakers +6.5 96.0% 97.4% 55.7% 1.75× 1.03
Purdue Boilermakers +7.5 96.7% 97.4% 58.7% 1.66× 1.03
Purdue Boilermakers +5.5 95.1% 97.4% 53.0% 1.84× 1.03
Purdue Boilermakers +3.5 92.9% 91.1% 45.9% 1.99× 1.10
Purdue Boilermakers +4.5 94.1% 91.1% 49.3% 1.85× 1.10
Purdue Boilermakers +2.5 91.5% 91.1% 42.3% 2.15× 1.10
Purdue Boilermakers +1.5 90.0% 85.9% 39.2% 2.19× 1.16
Purdue Boilermakers −1.5 86.0% 85.9% 34.6% 2.48× 1.16
Purdue Boilermakers −2.5 83.6% 81.1% 32.0% 2.53× 1.23
Purdue Boilermakers −3.5 81.0% 81.1% 29.3% 2.77× 1.23
DePaul Blue Demons +20.5 77.5% 76.5% 96.5% 0.79× 1.31
Purdue Boilermakers −4.5 78.2% 76.5% 26.3% 2.91× 1.31
Purdue Boilermakers −5.5 75.2% 76.5% 23.6% 3.24× 1.31
DePaul Blue Demons +18.5 71.4% 71.6% 95.4% 0.75× 1.40
Purdue Boilermakers −6.5 72.0% 71.6% 21.2% 3.37× 1.40
Purdue Boilermakers −7.5 68.7% 66.7% 19.0% 3.51× 1.50
Purdue Boilermakers −8.5 65.2% 66.7% 16.7% 4.01× 1.50
DePaul Blue Demons +16.5 64.6% 61.9% 94.0% 0.66× 1.62
Purdue Boilermakers −9.5 61.5% 61.9% 14.7% 4.23× 1.62
Purdue Boilermakers −10.5 57.8% 57.1% 12.8% 4.45× 1.75
DePaul Blue Demons +14.5 57.4% 57.1% 92.2% 0.62× 1.75
Purdue Boilermakers −12.5 50.2% 52.4% 10.1% 5.20× 1.91
DePaul Blue Demons +12.5 49.8% 47.6% 89.9% 0.53× 2.10
Purdue Boilermakers −14.5 42.6% 42.9% 7.8% 5.49× 2.33
DePaul Blue Demons +10.5 42.2% 42.9% 87.2% 0.49× 2.33
DePaul Blue Demons +9.5 38.5% 38.1% 85.3% 0.45× 2.63
Purdue Boilermakers −16.5 35.4% 38.1% 6.0% 6.40× 2.63
DePaul Blue Demons +8.5 34.8% 33.3% 83.3% 0.40× 3.01
DePaul Blue Demons +7.5 31.3% 33.3% 81.0% 0.41× 3.01
Purdue Boilermakers −18.5 28.6% 28.4% 4.6% 6.21× 3.53
DePaul Blue Demons +6.5 28.0% 28.4% 78.8% 0.36× 3.53
DePaul Blue Demons +5.5 24.8% 23.5% 76.4% 0.31× 4.25
Purdue Boilermakers −20.5 22.5% 23.5% 3.5% 6.80× 4.25
DePaul Blue Demons +4.5 21.8% 23.5% 73.7% 0.32× 4.25
DePaul Blue Demons +3.5 19.0% 18.9% 70.8% 0.27× 5.29
DePaul Blue Demons +2.5 16.4% 18.9% 68.0% 0.28× 5.30
DePaul Blue Demons +1.5 14.0% 14.1% 65.4% 0.22× 7.09
DePaul Blue Demons −1.5 10.0% 14.1% 60.8% 0.23× 7.09
DePaul Blue Demons −2.5 8.5% 8.9% 57.7% 0.15× 11.25
DePaul Blue Demons −3.5 7.1% 8.9% 54.1% 0.16× 11.25
DePaul Blue Demons −4.5 5.9% 8.9% 50.7% 0.18× 11.25
DePaul Blue Demons −5.5 4.9% 2.6% 47.0% 0.05× 38.72
DePaul Blue Demons −8.5 2.6% 2.6% 38.5% 0.07× 38.73
DePaul Blue Demons −9.5 2.1% 2.6% 35.5% 0.07× 38.73
DePaul Blue Demons −10.5 1.7% 2.6% 32.6% 0.08× 38.73
DePaul Blue Demons −12.5 1.0% 2.6% 27.6% 0.09× 38.74
DePaul Blue Demons −6.5 4.0% 2.6% 44.3% 0.06× 38.72
DePaul Blue Demons −7.5 3.3% 2.6% 41.3% 0.06× 38.73
DePaul Blue Demons −14.5 0.6% 2.6% 22.8% 0.11× 38.74
DePaul Blue Demons −16.5 0.4% 2.6% 19.3% 0.13× 38.74
DePaul Blue Demons −18.5 0.2% 2.6% 16.1% 0.16× 38.74
DePaul Blue Demons −20.5 0.1% 2.6% 13.5% 0.19× 38.74
Highest scoring half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 highest scoring 77.9% 71.6% 70.4% 1.02× 1.40
2nd half highest scoring 76.4% 71.6% 72.5% 0.99× 1.40
1st half highest scoring 23.6% 28.4% 27.5% 1.03× 3.53
H1 highest scoring 22.1% 28.4% 29.6% 0.96× 3.53
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Purdue Boilermakers at HT / Purdue Boilermakers at FT 69.5% 68.3% 25.8% 2.64× 1.46
DePaul Blue Demons at HT / Purdue Boilermakers at FT 15.6% 15.4% 9.3% 1.66× 6.47
DePaul Blue Demons at HT / DePaul Blue Demons at FT 7.3% 8.3% 48.6% 0.17× 12.09
Level at HT / Purdue Boilermakers at FT 3.0% 2.1% 1.6% 1.28× 47.74
Purdue Boilermakers at HT / DePaul Blue Demons at FT 3.9% 2.1% 12.4% 0.17× 47.73
Level at HT / DePaul Blue Demons at FT 0.6% 2.1% 2.3% 0.92× 47.78
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Purdue Boilermakers to win 88.2% 85.5% 36.8% 2.33× 1.17
DePaul Blue Demons to win 11.8% 14.5% 63.2% 0.23× 6.92
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
DePaul Blue Demons even 50.1% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Purdue Boilermakers even 50.0% 50.5% 50.4% 1.00× 1.98
Total points odd 51.0% 50.5% 51.6% 0.98× 1.98
DePaul Blue Demons odd 49.9% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Purdue Boilermakers odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.6% 1.00× 2.02
Total points even 49.0% 49.5% 48.4% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 94.6% 94.0% 94.2% 1.00× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 5.4% 6.0% 5.8% 1.04× 16.66
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Purdue Boilermakers under 86.5 86.6% 83.9% 90.2% 0.93× 1.19
DePaul Blue Demons under 73.5 85.2% 83.9% 42.6% 1.97× 1.19
DePaul Blue Demons over 53.5 84.9% 80.7% 97.6% 0.83× 1.24
Purdue Boilermakers over 66.5 84.2% 80.7% 64.7% 1.25× 1.24
Purdue Boilermakers under 83.5 78.5% 75.1% 85.3% 0.88× 1.33
DePaul Blue Demons over 56.5 76.3% 75.1% 95.5% 0.79× 1.33
DePaul Blue Demons under 70.5 76.9% 75.1% 33.3% 2.25× 1.33
Purdue Boilermakers over 69.5 75.4% 75.1% 54.8% 1.37× 1.33
Purdue Boilermakers under 81.5 71.9% 70.7% 81.2% 0.87× 1.41
DePaul Blue Demons under 68.5 70.2% 70.7% 27.3% 2.59× 1.41
DePaul Blue Demons over 58.5 69.4% 66.4% 93.4% 0.71× 1.51
Purdue Boilermakers over 71.5 68.3% 66.4% 48.2% 1.38× 1.51
Purdue Boilermakers under 79.5 64.4% 61.2% 76.3% 0.80× 1.63
DePaul Blue Demons under 66.5 62.7% 61.2% 21.3% 2.87× 1.63
DePaul Blue Demons over 60.5 61.8% 61.2% 90.5% 0.68× 1.63
Purdue Boilermakers over 73.5 60.4% 61.2% 41.7% 1.47× 1.63
Purdue Boilermakers under 77.5 56.3% 57.1% 70.9% 0.81× 1.75
DePaul Blue Demons over 62.5 53.6% 52.3% 87.3% 0.60× 1.91
DePaul Blue Demons under 64.5 54.6% 52.3% 16.7% 3.13× 1.91
Purdue Boilermakers over 75.5 52.1% 52.3% 35.3% 1.48× 1.91
Purdue Boilermakers under 76.5 52.1% 52.3% 67.9% 0.77× 1.91
DePaul Blue Demons under 63.5 50.5% 52.3% 14.6% 3.57× 1.91
DePaul Blue Demons over 63.5 49.5% 47.7% 85.4% 0.56× 2.09
Purdue Boilermakers under 75.5 47.9% 47.7% 64.7% 0.74× 2.09
Purdue Boilermakers over 76.5 47.9% 47.7% 32.1% 1.49× 2.09
DePaul Blue Demons under 62.5 46.4% 47.7% 12.7% 3.77× 2.09
DePaul Blue Demons over 64.5 45.4% 47.7% 83.3% 0.57× 2.09
Purdue Boilermakers over 77.5 43.8% 42.9% 29.1% 1.47× 2.33
DePaul Blue Demons under 60.5 38.2% 38.8% 9.5% 4.10× 2.58
Purdue Boilermakers under 73.5 39.6% 38.8% 58.3% 0.67× 2.58
DePaul Blue Demons over 66.5 37.3% 38.8% 78.7% 0.49× 2.58
Purdue Boilermakers over 79.5 35.6% 38.8% 23.7% 1.63× 2.58
Purdue Boilermakers under 71.5 31.7% 33.6% 51.8% 0.65× 2.98
DePaul Blue Demons under 58.5 30.6% 33.6% 6.6% 5.09× 2.98
DePaul Blue Demons over 68.5 29.8% 29.3% 72.7% 0.40× 3.42
Purdue Boilermakers over 81.5 28.1% 29.3% 18.8% 1.56× 3.42
Purdue Boilermakers under 69.5 24.6% 24.9% 45.2% 0.55× 4.02
DePaul Blue Demons under 56.5 23.7% 24.9% 4.5% 5.48× 4.02
DePaul Blue Demons over 70.5 23.1% 24.9% 66.7% 0.37× 4.02
Purdue Boilermakers over 83.5 21.5% 24.9% 14.7% 1.70× 4.02
Purdue Boilermakers under 66.5 15.8% 19.3% 35.3% 0.55× 5.18
DePaul Blue Demons under 53.5 15.1% 19.3% 2.4% 7.95× 5.18
DePaul Blue Demons over 73.5 14.8% 16.1% 57.4% 0.28× 6.21
Purdue Boilermakers over 86.5 13.4% 16.1% 9.8% 1.64× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 119.5 points 89.7% 85.0% 93.9% 0.91× 1.18
Under 159.5 points 89.6% 85.0% 75.0% 1.13× 1.18
Over 124.5 points 82.7% 80.6% 89.3% 0.90× 1.24
Under 154.5 points 82.8% 80.6% 66.4% 1.21× 1.24
Under 149.5 points 73.7% 70.8% 56.3% 1.26× 1.41
Over 129.5 points 73.3% 70.8% 83.3% 0.85× 1.41
Over 132.5 points 66.8% 65.9% 78.3% 0.84× 1.52
Under 146.5 points 67.2% 65.9% 50.2% 1.31× 1.52
Over 134.5 points 62.1% 61.5% 74.7% 0.82× 1.63
Under 144.5 points 62.6% 61.5% 45.9% 1.34× 1.63
Over 136.5 points 57.2% 56.5% 71.1% 0.79× 1.77
Under 142.5 points 57.7% 56.5% 41.7% 1.36× 1.77
Over 138.5 points 52.2% 52.3% 67.0% 0.78× 1.91
Under 140.5 points 52.8% 52.3% 37.2% 1.41× 1.91
Under 139.5 points 50.3% 52.3% 35.4% 1.48× 1.91
Over 139.5 points 49.7% 47.7% 64.6% 0.74× 2.10
Under 138.5 points 47.8% 47.7% 33.0% 1.45× 2.10
Over 140.5 points 47.2% 47.7% 62.8% 0.76× 2.10
Under 136.5 points 42.8% 43.5% 28.9% 1.51× 2.30
Over 142.5 points 42.3% 43.5% 58.3% 0.75× 2.30
Under 134.5 points 37.9% 38.5% 25.3% 1.52× 2.60
Over 144.5 points 37.4% 38.5% 54.1% 0.71× 2.60
Under 132.5 points 33.2% 34.1% 21.7% 1.57× 2.93
Over 146.5 points 32.8% 34.1% 49.8% 0.68× 2.93
Under 129.5 points 26.7% 29.2% 16.7% 1.74× 3.43
Over 149.5 points 26.3% 29.2% 43.7% 0.67× 3.43
Under 124.5 points 17.3% 19.4% 10.7% 1.81× 5.15
Over 154.5 points 17.2% 19.4% 33.6% 0.58× 5.15
Under 119.5 points 10.3% 15.0% 6.1% 2.44× 6.69
Over 159.5 points 10.4% 15.0% 25.0% 0.60× 6.69
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Purdue Boilermakers to win both halves 52.7% 50.4% 14.5% 3.47× 1.98
DePaul Blue Demons to win both halves 2.9% 3.0% 33.2% 0.09× 33.66
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Purdue Boilermakers by 11-15 18.9% 16.8% 6.1% 2.77× 5.97
Purdue Boilermakers by 6-10 17.4% 16.8% 10.8% 1.55× 5.97
Purdue Boilermakers by 16-20 16.5% 16.8% 3.3% 5.04× 5.97
Purdue Boilermakers by 1-5 13.0% 12.3% 13.2% 0.93× 8.11
Purdue Boilermakers by 21-25 11.6% 12.3% 1.9% 6.45× 8.11
Purdue Boilermakers by 26+ 10.9% 12.3% 1.6% 7.91× 8.11
DePaul Blue Demons by 1-5 6.9% 7.5% 16.2% 0.46× 13.40
DePaul Blue Demons by 6-10 3.2% 2.0% 14.4% 0.14× 49.30
DePaul Blue Demons by 11-15 1.2% 2.0% 11.6% 0.18× 49.32
DePaul Blue Demons by 16-20 0.4% 2.0% 7.6% 0.27× 49.32
DePaul Blue Demons by 21-25 0.1% 2.0% 5.6% 0.36× 49.33
DePaul Blue Demons by 26+ 0.0% 2.0% 7.9% 0.26× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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