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Detroit Pistons v Washington Wizards — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 10 November 2026 · NBA · 2027

NBA results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Detroit Pistons win
92.3%
Draw
0.0%
Washington Wizards win
7.7%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 125.70–105.44 126-106 0% 49% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Detroit Pistons to score 100+ 98.7% 94.9% 89.3% 1.06× 1.05
Detroit Pistons to score 110+ 91.8% 90.3% 67.0% 1.35× 1.11
Detroit Pistons to score 120+ 70.5% 72.3% 36.5% 1.98× 1.38
Washington Wizards to score 100+ 69.2% 63.9% 85.9% 0.74× 1.57
Both sides to score 100+ 68.6% 63.8% 77.5% 0.82× 1.57
Detroit Pistons to score 130+ 37.7% 36.0% 12.8% 2.80× 2.78
Washington Wizards to score 110+ 36.0% 35.9% 60.9% 0.59× 2.78
Washington Wizards to score 120+ 11.2% 13.8% 29.7% 0.47× 7.25
Washington Wizards to score 130+ 1.9% 0.4% 10.0% 0.04× 282.98
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Detroit Pistons to win H1 80.9% 83.6% 52.8% 1.58× 1.20
Washington Wizards to win H1 16.8% 16.9% 44.1% 0.38× 5.92
H1 tied 2.3% 3.9% 3.1% 1.25× 25.87
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 104.5 82.5% 82.5% 78.3% 1.05× 1.21
H1 under 128.5 81.9% 82.5% 86.7% 0.95× 1.21
H1 over 108.5 73.5% 73.5% 67.7% 1.09× 1.36
H1 under 124.5 72.7% 73.5% 78.4% 0.94× 1.36
H1 over 111.5 65.4% 67.4% 59.0% 1.14× 1.48
H1 under 121.5 64.5% 62.7% 71.2% 0.88× 1.59
H1 over 113.5 59.6% 58.2% 52.4% 1.11× 1.72
H1 under 119.5 58.6% 58.2% 65.9% 0.88× 1.72
H1 over 115.5 53.6% 52.6% 46.4% 1.14× 1.90
H1 under 117.5 52.6% 52.6% 59.6% 0.88× 1.90
H1 over 116.5 50.5% 52.6% 43.4% 1.21× 1.90
H1 under 116.5 49.5% 47.4% 56.6% 0.84× 2.11
H1 under 115.5 46.5% 47.4% 53.6% 0.88× 2.11
H1 over 117.5 47.4% 47.4% 40.4% 1.17× 2.11
H1 over 119.5 41.4% 41.8% 34.1% 1.23× 2.39
H1 under 113.5 40.4% 41.8% 47.6% 0.88× 2.39
H1 over 121.5 35.5% 37.3% 28.8% 1.29× 2.68
H1 under 111.5 34.6% 32.6% 41.0% 0.79× 3.07
H1 over 124.5 27.3% 26.5% 21.7% 1.23× 3.77
H1 under 108.5 26.5% 26.5% 32.3% 0.82× 3.77
H1 over 128.5 18.1% 17.5% 13.3% 1.31× 5.73
H1 under 104.5 17.5% 17.5% 21.7% 0.80× 5.73
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Detroit Pistons to win H2 80.6% 79.5% 51.6% 1.54× 1.26
Washington Wizards to win H2 17.1% 20.4% 44.7% 0.46× 4.90
H2 tied 2.4% 3.9% 3.7% 1.06× 25.37
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 102.5 82.4% 81.8% 78.5% 1.04× 1.22
H2 under 126.5 82.5% 81.8% 83.2% 0.98× 1.22
H2 over 106.5 73.2% 72.2% 68.8% 1.05× 1.39
H2 under 122.5 73.3% 72.2% 74.4% 0.97× 1.39
H2 over 109.5 65.1% 66.4% 60.9% 1.09× 1.51
H2 under 119.5 65.1% 66.4% 66.4% 1.00× 1.51
H2 over 111.5 59.2% 57.3% 55.3% 1.04× 1.74
H2 under 117.5 59.3% 57.3% 61.1% 0.94× 1.74
H2 over 113.5 53.1% 52.4% 49.9% 1.05× 1.91
H2 under 115.5 53.1% 52.4% 55.4% 0.95× 1.91
H2 under 114.5 50.0% 52.4% 52.5% 1.00× 1.91
H2 over 114.5 50.0% 47.6% 47.5% 1.00× 2.10
H2 under 113.5 46.9% 47.6% 50.1% 0.95× 2.10
H2 over 115.5 46.9% 47.6% 44.6% 1.07× 2.10
H2 under 111.5 40.8% 42.7% 44.7% 0.96× 2.35
H2 over 117.5 40.7% 42.7% 38.9% 1.10× 2.35
H2 under 109.5 34.9% 33.6% 39.1% 0.86× 2.97
H2 over 119.5 34.9% 33.6% 33.6% 1.00× 2.97
H2 under 106.5 26.8% 27.8% 31.2% 0.89× 3.59
H2 over 122.5 26.7% 27.8% 25.6% 1.09× 3.59
H2 under 102.5 17.6% 18.2% 21.5% 0.85× 5.50
H2 over 126.5 17.5% 18.2% 16.8% 1.08× 5.50
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Detroit Pistons leading at half time 80.9% 83.3% 52.8% 1.58× 1.20
Washington Wizards leading at half time 16.8% 17.0% 44.1% 0.39× 5.88
Level at half time 2.3% 3.8% 3.1% 1.22× 26.42
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Detroit Pistons +16.5 99.4% 97.4% 89.7% 1.09× 1.03
Detroit Pistons +18.5 99.6% 97.4% 91.5% 1.06× 1.03
Detroit Pistons +20.5 99.8% 97.4% 93.1% 1.05× 1.03
Detroit Pistons +4.5 95.6% 97.4% 65.7% 1.48× 1.03
Detroit Pistons +5.5 96.2% 97.4% 68.0% 1.43× 1.03
Detroit Pistons +6.5 96.7% 97.4% 70.6% 1.38× 1.03
Detroit Pistons +7.5 97.2% 97.4% 73.0% 1.33× 1.03
Detroit Pistons +8.5 97.6% 97.4% 75.7% 1.29× 1.03
Detroit Pistons +9.5 98.0% 97.4% 78.1% 1.25× 1.03
Detroit Pistons +10.5 98.3% 97.4% 80.3% 1.21× 1.03
Detroit Pistons +12.5 98.8% 97.4% 83.9% 1.16× 1.03
Detroit Pistons +14.5 99.2% 97.4% 87.0% 1.12× 1.03
Detroit Pistons +3.5 94.9% 91.1% 63.1% 1.44× 1.10
Detroit Pistons +1.5 93.3% 91.1% 57.9% 1.57× 1.10
Detroit Pistons +2.5 94.1% 91.1% 60.5% 1.51× 1.10
Detroit Pistons −1.5 91.2% 91.1% 53.7% 1.70× 1.10
Detroit Pistons −2.5 89.9% 85.9% 50.9% 1.69× 1.16
Detroit Pistons −3.5 88.5% 85.9% 48.4% 1.77× 1.16
Detroit Pistons −4.5 87.1% 85.9% 46.0% 1.87× 1.16
Detroit Pistons −5.5 85.5% 85.9% 42.9% 2.00× 1.16
Detroit Pistons −6.5 83.7% 81.1% 40.0% 2.03× 1.23
Detroit Pistons −7.5 81.9% 81.1% 37.0% 2.19× 1.23
Detroit Pistons −8.5 80.0% 76.5% 34.1% 2.24× 1.31
Detroit Pistons −9.5 77.9% 76.5% 31.3% 2.45× 1.31
Detroit Pistons −10.5 75.8% 76.5% 29.0% 2.64× 1.31
Detroit Pistons −12.5 71.1% 71.6% 24.0% 2.98× 1.40
Detroit Pistons −14.5 66.1% 66.7% 19.9% 3.36× 1.50
Detroit Pistons −16.5 60.9% 61.9% 16.5% 3.76× 1.62
Detroit Pistons −18.5 55.4% 57.1% 13.6% 4.19× 1.75
Washington Wizards +20.5 50.1% 52.4% 89.1% 0.59× 1.91
Detroit Pistons −20.5 49.9% 47.6% 10.9% 4.38× 2.10
Washington Wizards +18.5 44.6% 42.9% 86.4% 0.50× 2.33
Washington Wizards +16.5 39.1% 38.1% 83.5% 0.46× 2.63
Washington Wizards +14.5 33.9% 33.3% 80.1% 0.42× 3.01
Washington Wizards +12.5 28.9% 28.4% 76.0% 0.37× 3.53
Washington Wizards +10.5 24.2% 23.5% 71.0% 0.33× 4.25
Washington Wizards +9.5 22.1% 23.5% 68.7% 0.34× 4.25
Washington Wizards +8.5 20.0% 23.5% 65.9% 0.36× 4.25
Washington Wizards +7.5 18.1% 18.9% 63.0% 0.30× 5.29
Washington Wizards +6.5 16.3% 18.9% 60.0% 0.31× 5.30
Washington Wizards +5.5 14.5% 14.1% 57.1% 0.25× 7.09
Washington Wizards +4.5 12.9% 14.1% 54.1% 0.26× 7.09
Washington Wizards +2.5 10.1% 14.1% 49.1% 0.29× 7.09
Washington Wizards +3.5 11.5% 14.1% 51.6% 0.27× 7.09
Washington Wizards +1.5 8.8% 8.9% 46.3% 0.19× 11.25
Washington Wizards −1.5 6.7% 8.9% 42.1% 0.21× 11.25
Washington Wizards −2.5 5.9% 8.9% 39.5% 0.22× 11.25
Washington Wizards −3.5 5.1% 8.9% 36.9% 0.24× 11.25
Washington Wizards −4.5 4.4% 2.6% 34.3% 0.08× 38.72
Washington Wizards −5.5 3.8% 2.6% 32.0% 0.08× 38.73
Washington Wizards −6.5 3.3% 2.6% 29.4% 0.09× 38.73
Washington Wizards −7.5 2.8% 2.6% 27.0% 0.10× 38.73
Washington Wizards −8.5 2.4% 2.6% 24.3% 0.11× 38.73
Washington Wizards −9.5 2.0% 2.6% 21.9% 0.12× 38.73
Washington Wizards −10.5 1.7% 2.6% 19.7% 0.13× 38.73
Washington Wizards −12.5 1.2% 2.6% 16.1% 0.16× 38.74
Washington Wizards −14.5 0.8% 2.6% 13.0% 0.20× 38.74
Washington Wizards −16.5 0.6% 2.6% 10.3% 0.25× 38.74
Washington Wizards −18.5 0.4% 2.6% 8.5% 0.30× 38.74
Washington Wizards −20.5 0.2% 2.6% 6.9% 0.37× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1st half highest scoring 56.7% 52.6% 53.5% 0.98× 1.90
2nd half highest scoring 43.3% 47.4% 46.5% 1.02× 2.11
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 highest scoring 28.3% 27.4% 29.2% 0.94× 3.65
Q3 highest scoring 28.0% 27.4% 27.5% 1.00× 3.65
Q2 highest scoring 26.6% 27.4% 26.3% 1.04× 3.65
Q4 highest scoring 17.2% 18.3% 17.0% 1.08× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Detroit Pistons at HT / Detroit Pistons at FT 78.3% 78.1% 40.8% 1.92× 1.28
Washington Wizards at HT / Detroit Pistons at FT 12.0% 12.2% 13.3% 0.92× 8.18
Washington Wizards at HT / Washington Wizards at FT 4.8% 2.1% 30.9% 0.07× 47.71
Detroit Pistons at HT / Washington Wizards at FT 2.5% 2.1% 12.0% 0.17× 47.75
Level at HT / Detroit Pistons at FT 2.0% 2.1% 1.7% 1.22× 47.76
Level at HT / Washington Wizards at FT 0.3% 2.1% 1.4% 1.49× 47.79
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Detroit Pistons to win 92.3% 90.6% 55.7% 1.63× 1.10
Washington Wizards to win 7.7% 9.4% 44.3% 0.21× 10.65
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Detroit Pistons odd 50.0% 50.5% 50.3% 1.00× 1.98
Washington Wizards even 50.0% 50.5% 50.3% 1.00× 1.98
Total points odd 50.5% 50.5% 51.0% 0.99× 1.98
Detroit Pistons even 50.0% 49.5% 49.7% 1.00× 2.02
Washington Wizards odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.7% 1.00× 2.02
Total points even 49.5% 49.5% 49.0% 1.01× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 97.5% 97.0% 94.8% 1.02× 1.03
Match to go to overtime 2.5% 3.0% 5.2% 0.58× 33.49
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Detroit Pistons to win Q1 71.4% 73.7% 51.3% 1.44× 1.36
Washington Wizards to win Q1 24.7% 22.2% 44.1% 0.50× 4.51
Q1 tied 4.0% 4.2% 4.6% 0.90× 23.97
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 66.5 82.7% 82.8% 86.1% 0.96× 1.21
Q1 over 50.5 82.6% 82.8% 79.4% 1.04× 1.21
Q1 under 63.5 72.3% 72.7% 76.8% 0.95× 1.38
Q1 over 53.5 72.1% 72.7% 68.2% 1.07× 1.38
Q1 under 61.5 63.9% 61.7% 68.5% 0.90× 1.62
Q1 over 55.5 63.7% 61.7% 59.2% 1.04× 1.62
Q1 under 59.5 54.8% 52.7% 60.0% 0.88× 1.90
Q1 over 57.5 54.6% 52.7% 49.6% 1.06× 1.90
Q1 under 58.5 50.1% 52.7% 55.7% 0.95× 1.90
Q1 over 58.5 49.9% 47.3% 44.3% 1.07× 2.11
Q1 under 57.5 45.4% 47.3% 50.4% 0.94× 2.11
Q1 over 59.5 45.2% 47.3% 40.0% 1.18× 2.11
Q1 under 55.5 36.3% 38.3% 40.8% 0.94× 2.61
Q1 over 61.5 36.1% 38.3% 31.5% 1.22× 2.61
Q1 under 53.5 27.9% 27.3% 31.8% 0.86× 3.66
Q1 over 63.5 27.7% 27.3% 23.2% 1.17× 3.66
Q1 under 50.5 17.4% 17.2% 20.6% 0.83× 5.83
Q1 over 66.5 17.3% 17.2% 13.9% 1.23× 5.83
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Detroit Pistons to win Q2 71.1% 75.1% 49.3% 1.52× 1.33
Washington Wizards to win Q2 24.9% 20.1% 46.2% 0.44× 4.97
Q2 tied 3.9% 4.4% 4.5% 0.98× 22.91
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 66.5 83.5% 83.0% 86.5% 0.96× 1.21
Q2 over 50.5 81.6% 83.0% 78.1% 1.06× 1.21
Q2 under 63.5 73.3% 72.0% 77.5% 0.93× 1.39
Q2 over 53.5 70.8% 72.0% 65.8% 1.09× 1.39
Q2 under 61.5 65.1% 67.4% 70.4% 0.96× 1.49
Q2 over 55.5 62.3% 60.7% 56.3% 1.08× 1.65
Q2 under 59.5 56.1% 58.2% 61.9% 0.94× 1.72
Q2 over 57.5 53.2% 52.7% 47.3% 1.11× 1.90
Q2 under 58.5 51.5% 52.7% 57.3% 0.92× 1.90
Q2 over 58.5 48.5% 47.3% 42.7% 1.11× 2.11
Q2 under 57.5 46.8% 47.3% 52.7% 0.90× 2.11
Q2 over 59.5 43.9% 41.8% 38.1% 1.10× 2.39
Q2 under 55.5 37.7% 39.3% 43.7% 0.90× 2.55
Q2 over 61.5 34.9% 32.6% 29.6% 1.10× 3.06
Q2 under 53.5 29.2% 28.0% 34.2% 0.82× 3.57
Q2 over 63.5 26.7% 28.0% 22.5% 1.25× 3.57
Q2 under 50.5 18.4% 17.0% 21.9% 0.78× 5.88
Q2 over 66.5 16.5% 17.0% 13.5% 1.26× 5.88
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Detroit Pistons to win Q3 71.2% 73.0% 50.9% 1.44× 1.37
Washington Wizards to win Q3 24.9% 22.5% 44.3% 0.51× 4.44
Q3 tied 3.9% 4.3% 4.9% 0.88× 23.45
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 over 50.5 83.3% 82.3% 79.7% 1.03× 1.22
Q3 under 66.5 82.5% 82.3% 84.7% 0.97× 1.22
Q3 over 53.5 73.0% 71.8% 68.3% 1.05× 1.39
Q3 under 63.5 71.8% 71.8% 75.9% 0.95× 1.39
Q3 over 55.5 64.6% 62.0% 59.9% 1.03× 1.61
Q3 under 61.5 63.3% 62.0% 67.7% 0.91× 1.61
Q3 over 57.5 55.4% 58.4% 50.2% 1.16× 1.71
Q3 under 59.5 54.1% 52.3% 59.0% 0.89× 1.91
Q3 over 58.5 50.7% 52.3% 45.2% 1.16× 1.91
Q3 under 58.5 49.3% 47.7% 54.8% 0.87× 2.10
Q3 over 59.5 45.9% 47.7% 41.0% 1.16× 2.10
Q3 under 57.5 44.6% 41.6% 49.8% 0.84× 2.40
Q3 over 61.5 36.7% 38.1% 32.3% 1.18× 2.63
Q3 under 55.5 35.4% 38.0% 40.1% 0.95× 2.63
Q3 over 63.5 28.2% 28.2% 24.1% 1.17× 3.55
Q3 under 53.5 27.0% 28.2% 31.7% 0.89× 3.55
Q3 over 66.5 17.5% 17.7% 15.3% 1.16× 5.66
Q3 under 50.5 16.7% 17.7% 20.3% 0.87× 5.66
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Detroit Pistons to win Q4 70.8% 66.2% 48.3% 1.37× 1.51
Washington Wizards to win Q4 25.1% 33.3% 46.4% 0.72× 3.01
Q4 tied 4.1% 5.2% 5.3% 0.97× 19.30
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 64.5 84.1% 82.0% 86.3% 0.95× 1.22
Q4 over 48.5 80.1% 82.0% 75.5% 1.09× 1.22
Q4 under 61.5 74.3% 71.5% 77.5% 0.92× 1.40
Q4 over 51.5 69.2% 67.4% 64.7% 1.04× 1.48
Q4 under 59.5 66.3% 67.4% 70.2% 0.96× 1.48
Q4 over 53.5 60.7% 61.4% 55.7% 1.10× 1.63
Q4 under 57.5 57.6% 58.4% 61.9% 0.94× 1.71
Q4 under 56.5 53.0% 52.5% 57.2% 0.92× 1.91
Q4 over 55.5 51.6% 52.5% 47.1% 1.11× 1.91
Q4 under 55.5 48.4% 47.5% 52.9% 0.90× 2.11
Q4 over 56.5 47.0% 47.5% 42.8% 1.11× 2.11
Q4 over 57.5 42.4% 41.6% 38.1% 1.09× 2.40
Q4 under 53.5 39.3% 38.6% 44.3% 0.87× 2.59
Q4 over 59.5 33.7% 32.6% 29.8% 1.09× 3.07
Q4 under 51.5 30.8% 32.6% 35.3% 0.92× 3.07
Q4 over 61.5 25.7% 28.5% 22.5% 1.27× 3.51
Q4 under 48.5 19.9% 18.0% 24.5% 0.73× 5.56
Q4 over 64.5 15.9% 18.0% 13.7% 1.31× 5.56
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Detroit Pistons under 136.5 81.9% 80.7% 95.3% 0.85× 1.24
Washington Wizards under 115.5 80.9% 80.7% 58.6% 1.38× 1.24
Washington Wizards over 95.5 80.1% 80.7% 91.9% 0.88× 1.24
Detroit Pistons over 116.5 78.6% 75.1% 45.3% 1.66× 1.33
Washington Wizards under 112.5 73.1% 70.7% 48.5% 1.46× 1.41
Detroit Pistons under 133.5 74.4% 70.7% 92.3% 0.77× 1.41
Washington Wizards over 98.5 72.2% 70.7% 87.6% 0.81× 1.41
Detroit Pistons over 119.5 70.5% 70.7% 36.5% 1.94× 1.41
Detroit Pistons under 131.5 68.6% 66.4% 89.8% 0.74× 1.51
Washington Wizards under 110.5 67.2% 66.4% 42.1% 1.58× 1.51
Washington Wizards over 100.5 66.1% 66.4% 84.1% 0.79× 1.51
Detroit Pistons over 121.5 64.4% 61.2% 30.4% 2.01× 1.63
Detroit Pistons under 129.5 62.3% 61.2% 87.2% 0.70× 1.63
Washington Wizards under 108.5 60.8% 61.2% 36.0% 1.70× 1.63
Washington Wizards over 102.5 59.6% 57.1% 79.7% 0.72× 1.75
Detroit Pistons over 123.5 57.8% 57.1% 25.6% 2.23× 1.75
Detroit Pistons under 127.5 55.7% 57.1% 83.5% 0.68× 1.75
Washington Wizards under 106.5 54.0% 52.3% 31.1% 1.68× 1.91
Washington Wizards over 104.5 52.8% 52.3% 75.0% 0.70× 1.91
Detroit Pistons over 125.5 51.1% 52.3% 20.9% 2.50× 1.91
Detroit Pistons under 126.5 52.3% 52.3% 81.5% 0.64× 1.91
Washington Wizards under 105.5 50.6% 52.3% 28.1% 1.86× 1.91
Washington Wizards over 105.5 49.4% 47.7% 71.9% 0.66× 2.09
Washington Wizards under 104.5 47.2% 47.7% 25.0% 1.91× 2.09
Detroit Pistons under 125.5 48.9% 47.7% 79.1% 0.60× 2.09
Detroit Pistons over 126.5 47.7% 47.7% 18.5% 2.59× 2.09
Washington Wizards over 106.5 46.0% 47.7% 68.9% 0.69× 2.09
Detroit Pistons over 127.5 44.3% 42.9% 16.5% 2.60× 2.33
Detroit Pistons under 123.5 42.2% 42.9% 74.4% 0.58× 2.33
Washington Wizards under 102.5 40.4% 42.9% 20.3% 2.11× 2.33
Washington Wizards over 108.5 39.2% 38.8% 64.0% 0.61× 2.58
Detroit Pistons over 129.5 37.7% 38.8% 12.8% 3.02× 2.58
Detroit Pistons under 121.5 35.6% 38.8% 69.6% 0.56× 2.58
Washington Wizards under 100.5 33.9% 33.6% 15.9% 2.12× 2.98
Washington Wizards over 110.5 32.8% 33.6% 57.9% 0.58× 2.98
Detroit Pistons over 131.5 31.4% 33.6% 10.2% 3.29× 2.98
Detroit Pistons under 119.5 29.5% 29.3% 63.5% 0.46× 3.42
Washington Wizards under 98.5 27.8% 29.3% 12.4% 2.37× 3.42
Washington Wizards over 112.5 26.9% 29.3% 51.5% 0.57× 3.42
Detroit Pistons over 133.5 25.6% 29.3% 7.7% 3.78× 3.42
Detroit Pistons under 116.5 21.4% 24.9% 54.7% 0.45× 4.02
Washington Wizards under 95.5 19.9% 19.3% 8.1% 2.39× 5.18
Washington Wizards over 115.5 19.1% 19.3% 41.4% 0.47× 5.18
Detroit Pistons over 136.5 18.1% 19.3% 4.8% 4.06× 5.18
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 251.5 points 86.6% 85.0% 87.2% 0.98× 1.18
Over 211.5 points 85.7% 85.0% 79.7% 1.07× 1.18
Under 246.5 points 79.8% 75.6% 82.0% 0.92× 1.32
Over 216.5 points 78.7% 75.6% 71.6% 1.06× 1.32
Under 241.5 points 71.3% 70.8% 75.5% 0.94× 1.41
Over 221.5 points 70.0% 65.9% 62.2% 1.06× 1.52
Under 238.5 points 65.5% 65.9% 70.9% 0.93× 1.52
Over 224.5 points 64.1% 61.5% 56.5% 1.09× 1.63
Under 236.5 points 61.4% 61.5% 67.3% 0.91× 1.63
Over 226.5 points 60.0% 56.5% 52.7% 1.07× 1.77
Under 234.5 points 57.2% 56.5% 63.3% 0.89× 1.77
Over 228.5 points 55.7% 56.5% 48.7% 1.16× 1.77
Under 232.5 points 52.9% 52.3% 59.4% 0.88× 1.91
Over 230.5 points 51.4% 52.3% 44.6% 1.17× 1.91
Under 231.5 points 50.8% 52.3% 57.4% 0.91× 1.91
Under 230.5 points 48.6% 47.7% 55.4% 0.86× 2.10
Over 231.5 points 49.2% 47.7% 42.6% 1.12× 2.10
Over 232.5 points 47.1% 47.7% 40.6% 1.17× 2.10
Under 228.5 points 44.3% 43.5% 51.3% 0.85× 2.30
Over 234.5 points 42.8% 43.5% 36.7% 1.19× 2.30
Under 226.5 points 40.0% 43.5% 47.3% 0.92× 2.30
Over 236.5 points 38.6% 38.5% 32.7% 1.18× 2.60
Under 224.5 points 35.9% 38.5% 43.5% 0.89× 2.60
Over 238.5 points 34.5% 34.1% 29.1% 1.17× 2.93
Under 221.5 points 30.0% 34.1% 37.8% 0.90× 2.93
Over 241.5 points 28.7% 29.2% 24.5% 1.19× 3.43
Under 216.5 points 21.3% 24.4% 28.4% 0.86× 4.10
Over 246.5 points 20.2% 24.4% 18.0% 1.36× 4.10
Under 211.5 points 14.3% 15.0% 20.3% 0.74× 6.68
Over 251.5 points 13.4% 15.0% 12.8% 1.17× 6.69
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Detroit Pistons to win both halves 64.1% 60.7% 25.2% 2.41× 1.65
Washington Wizards to win both halves 2.0% 3.0% 17.8% 0.17× 33.72
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Detroit Pistons by 26+ 36.3% 39.7% 6.2% 6.41× 2.52
Detroit Pistons by 16-20 13.7% 12.3% 7.3% 1.68× 8.11
Detroit Pistons by 21-25 13.6% 12.3% 4.7% 2.62× 8.11
Detroit Pistons by 11-15 12.2% 12.3% 10.8% 1.14× 8.11
Detroit Pistons by 6-10 9.7% 7.5% 13.9% 0.54× 13.40
Detroit Pistons by 1-5 6.9% 7.5% 12.8% 0.58× 13.40
Washington Wizards by 1-5 3.9% 2.0% 12.3% 0.17× 49.29
Washington Wizards by 6-10 2.1% 2.0% 12.3% 0.16× 49.31
Washington Wizards by 11-15 1.0% 2.0% 8.0% 0.25× 49.32
Washington Wizards by 16-20 0.4% 2.0% 4.9% 0.42× 49.32
Washington Wizards by 21-25 0.2% 2.0% 3.0% 0.67× 49.33
Washington Wizards by 26+ 0.1% 2.0% 3.9% 0.53× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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