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Duquesne Dukes v Robert Morris Colonials — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 16 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Duquesne Dukes win
61.5%
Draw
0.0%
Robert Morris Colonials win
38.5%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 62.29–59.05 62-59 0% 51% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Duquesne Dukes to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.36
Duquesne Dukes to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Duquesne Dukes to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Duquesne Dukes to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Robert Morris Colonials to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.71× 283.36
Robert Morris Colonials to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Robert Morris Colonials to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Robert Morris Colonials to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Duquesne Dukes to win H1 54.8% 51.9% 56.4% 0.92× 1.93
Robert Morris Colonials to win H1 40.8% 42.7% 39.9% 1.07× 2.34
H1 tied 4.5% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 46.5 88.2% 87.7% 92.3% 0.95× 1.14
H1 under 70.5 88.8% 87.7% 78.9% 1.11× 1.14
H1 under 66.5 79.4% 77.4% 67.1% 1.15× 1.29
H1 over 50.5 78.1% 77.4% 84.5% 0.92× 1.29
H1 under 63.5 70.0% 73.5% 57.1% 1.29× 1.36
H1 over 53.5 68.2% 67.4% 76.8% 0.88× 1.48
H1 under 61.5 62.8% 62.7% 49.8% 1.26× 1.59
H1 over 55.5 60.7% 62.7% 71.0% 0.88× 1.59
H1 under 59.5 55.1% 58.2% 42.2% 1.38× 1.72
H1 over 57.5 52.9% 52.6% 64.8% 0.81× 1.90
H1 under 58.5 51.1% 52.6% 38.6% 1.36× 1.90
H1 over 58.5 48.9% 47.4% 61.4% 0.77× 2.11
H1 under 57.5 47.1% 47.4% 35.2% 1.35× 2.11
H1 over 59.5 44.9% 41.8% 57.8% 0.72× 2.39
H1 under 55.5 39.3% 37.3% 29.0% 1.29× 2.68
H1 over 61.5 37.2% 37.3% 50.2% 0.74× 2.68
H1 under 53.5 31.8% 32.6% 23.2% 1.41× 3.07
H1 over 63.5 30.0% 26.5% 42.9% 0.62× 3.77
H1 under 50.5 21.9% 22.6% 15.5% 1.46× 4.43
H1 over 66.5 20.6% 22.6% 32.9% 0.69× 4.43
H1 under 46.5 11.8% 12.3% 7.7% 1.60× 8.14
H1 over 70.5 11.2% 12.3% 21.1% 0.58× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Duquesne Dukes to win H2 55.2% 55.0% 56.0% 0.98× 1.82
Robert Morris Colonials to win H2 40.5% 43.5% 40.6% 1.07× 2.30
H2 tied 4.3% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.35
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 76.5 88.6% 85.2% 75.6% 1.13× 1.17
H2 over 52.5 86.1% 85.2% 91.3% 0.93× 1.17
H2 under 72.5 79.6% 75.8% 64.1% 1.18× 1.32
H2 over 56.5 75.7% 75.8% 84.1% 0.90× 1.32
H2 under 69.5 70.7% 72.2% 54.8% 1.32× 1.39
H2 over 59.5 65.8% 66.4% 77.0% 0.86× 1.51
H2 under 67.5 63.9% 61.6% 47.9% 1.29× 1.62
H2 over 61.5 58.5% 57.3% 71.3% 0.80× 1.74
H2 under 65.5 56.6% 57.3% 41.2% 1.39× 1.74
H2 under 64.5 52.8% 52.4% 37.9% 1.38× 1.91
H2 over 63.5 51.0% 52.4% 65.3% 0.80× 1.91
H2 under 63.5 49.0% 47.6% 34.7% 1.37× 2.10
H2 over 64.5 47.2% 47.6% 62.1% 0.77× 2.10
H2 over 65.5 43.4% 42.7% 58.8% 0.73× 2.34
H2 under 61.5 41.5% 42.7% 28.7% 1.48× 2.34
H2 over 67.5 36.1% 38.4% 52.1% 0.74× 2.61
H2 under 59.5 34.2% 33.6% 23.0% 1.46× 2.97
H2 over 69.5 29.3% 27.8% 45.2% 0.62× 3.59
H2 under 56.5 24.3% 24.2% 15.9% 1.53× 4.13
H2 over 72.5 20.4% 24.2% 36.0% 0.67× 4.13
H2 under 52.5 13.9% 14.8% 8.7% 1.70× 6.76
H2 over 76.5 11.4% 14.8% 24.4% 0.61× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Duquesne Dukes leading at half time 54.8% 51.9% 56.4% 0.92× 1.93
Robert Morris Colonials leading at half time 40.8% 42.8% 39.9% 1.07× 2.34
Level at half time 4.5% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Duquesne Dukes +16.5 96.2% 97.4% 89.1% 1.09× 1.03
Duquesne Dukes +18.5 97.5% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
Duquesne Dukes +20.5 98.4% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
Duquesne Dukes +14.5 94.4% 91.1% 86.7% 1.05× 1.10
Robert Morris Colonials +20.5 94.2% 91.1% 82.0% 1.11× 1.10
Duquesne Dukes +12.5 92.0% 91.1% 83.8% 1.09× 1.10
Robert Morris Colonials +18.5 91.7% 91.1% 79.3% 1.15× 1.10
Duquesne Dukes +10.5 88.8% 85.9% 80.4% 1.07× 1.16
Robert Morris Colonials +16.5 88.5% 85.9% 75.7% 1.13× 1.16
Duquesne Dukes +9.5 87.0% 85.9% 78.7% 1.09× 1.16
Duquesne Dukes +8.5 84.9% 81.1% 76.5% 1.06× 1.23
Robert Morris Colonials +14.5 84.5% 81.1% 72.1% 1.12× 1.23
Duquesne Dukes +7.5 82.7% 81.1% 74.5% 1.09× 1.23
Duquesne Dukes +6.5 80.2% 81.1% 72.3% 1.12× 1.23
Robert Morris Colonials +12.5 79.6% 76.5% 67.9% 1.13× 1.31
Duquesne Dukes +5.5 77.5% 76.5% 70.1% 1.09× 1.31
Duquesne Dukes +4.5 74.7% 71.6% 67.8% 1.06× 1.40
Robert Morris Colonials +10.5 74.0% 71.6% 63.2% 1.13× 1.40
Duquesne Dukes +3.5 71.6% 71.6% 65.7% 1.09× 1.40
Robert Morris Colonials +9.5 70.9% 71.6% 60.7% 1.18× 1.40
Duquesne Dukes +2.5 68.4% 66.7% 63.3% 1.05× 1.50
Robert Morris Colonials +8.5 67.6% 66.7% 58.0% 1.15× 1.50
Duquesne Dukes +1.5 65.0% 66.7% 61.2% 1.09× 1.50
Robert Morris Colonials +7.5 64.2% 61.9% 55.2% 1.12× 1.62
Robert Morris Colonials +6.5 60.7% 61.9% 52.4% 1.18× 1.62
Duquesne Dukes −1.5 57.8% 57.1% 58.7% 0.97× 1.75
Robert Morris Colonials +5.5 57.1% 57.1% 50.3% 1.13× 1.75
Duquesne Dukes −2.5 54.1% 52.4% 56.7% 0.92× 1.91
Robert Morris Colonials +4.5 53.4% 52.4% 47.8% 1.10× 1.91
Duquesne Dukes −3.5 50.4% 52.4% 54.2% 0.97× 1.91
Robert Morris Colonials +3.5 49.6% 47.6% 45.8% 1.04× 2.10
Robert Morris Colonials +2.5 45.9% 47.6% 43.3% 1.10× 2.10
Duquesne Dukes −4.5 46.6% 47.6% 52.2% 0.91× 2.10
Duquesne Dukes −5.5 42.9% 42.9% 49.7% 0.86× 2.33
Robert Morris Colonials +1.5 42.2% 42.9% 41.3% 1.04× 2.33
Duquesne Dukes −6.5 39.3% 38.1% 47.6% 0.80× 2.63
Duquesne Dukes −7.5 35.8% 38.1% 44.8% 0.85× 2.63
Robert Morris Colonials −1.5 35.0% 33.3% 38.8% 0.86× 3.01
Robert Morris Colonials −2.5 31.6% 33.3% 36.7% 0.91× 3.01
Duquesne Dukes −8.5 32.4% 33.3% 42.0% 0.79× 3.01
Duquesne Dukes −9.5 29.1% 28.4% 39.3% 0.72× 3.53
Robert Morris Colonials −3.5 28.4% 28.4% 34.3% 0.83× 3.53
Robert Morris Colonials −4.5 25.3% 28.4% 32.2% 0.88× 3.53
Duquesne Dukes −10.5 26.0% 28.4% 36.8% 0.77× 3.53
Robert Morris Colonials −5.5 22.5% 23.5% 29.9% 0.79× 4.25
Duquesne Dukes −12.5 20.4% 23.5% 32.1% 0.73× 4.25
Robert Morris Colonials −6.5 19.8% 18.9% 27.7% 0.68× 5.29
Robert Morris Colonials −7.5 17.3% 18.9% 25.5% 0.74× 5.29
Duquesne Dukes −14.5 15.5% 18.9% 27.9% 0.68× 5.30
Robert Morris Colonials −8.5 15.1% 18.9% 23.5% 0.80× 5.30
Robert Morris Colonials −9.5 13.0% 14.1% 21.3% 0.66× 7.09
Robert Morris Colonials −10.5 11.2% 14.1% 19.6% 0.72× 7.09
Duquesne Dukes −16.5 11.5% 14.1% 24.3% 0.58× 7.09
Robert Morris Colonials −12.5 8.0% 8.9% 16.2% 0.55× 11.25
Duquesne Dukes −18.5 8.3% 8.9% 20.7% 0.43× 11.25
Robert Morris Colonials −14.5 5.6% 8.9% 13.3% 0.67× 11.25
Duquesne Dukes −20.5 5.8% 8.9% 18.0% 0.49× 11.25
Robert Morris Colonials −16.5 3.8% 2.6% 10.9% 0.24× 38.73
Robert Morris Colonials −18.5 2.5% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.73
Robert Morris Colonials −20.5 1.6% 2.6% 7.3% 0.35× 38.73
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 70.6% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 29.4% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 33.8% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.1% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.8% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 16.3% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Duquesne Dukes at HT / Duquesne Dukes at FT 43.8% 41.0% 48.3% 0.85× 2.44
Robert Morris Colonials at HT / Robert Morris Colonials at FT 25.8% 29.6% 30.1% 0.98× 3.38
Robert Morris Colonials at HT / Duquesne Dukes at FT 15.0% 15.4% 9.8% 1.58× 6.47
Duquesne Dukes at HT / Robert Morris Colonials at FT 10.9% 12.2% 8.2% 1.49× 8.18
Level at HT / Duquesne Dukes at FT 2.6% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.75
Level at HT / Robert Morris Colonials at FT 1.8% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.76
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Duquesne Dukes to win 61.5% 60.6% 59.9% 1.01× 1.65
Robert Morris Colonials to win 38.5% 39.4% 40.1% 0.98× 2.54
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.8% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Duquesne Dukes even 50.1% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Robert Morris Colonials even 50.1% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Duquesne Dukes odd 49.9% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Robert Morris Colonials odd 49.9% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 48.2% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 94.0% 94.0% 95.6% 0.98× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 6.0% 6.0% 4.4% 1.35× 16.66
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Duquesne Dukes to win Q1 51.7% 52.6% 54.7% 0.96× 1.90
Robert Morris Colonials to win Q1 42.2% 42.9% 40.4% 1.06× 2.33
Q1 tied 6.1% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.31
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 37.5 88.9% 87.4% 81.6% 1.07× 1.14
Q1 over 21.5 87.8% 87.4% 91.5% 0.96× 1.14
Q1 under 34.5 78.1% 76.9% 68.5% 1.12× 1.30
Q1 over 24.5 76.2% 76.9% 81.8% 0.94× 1.30
Q1 under 32.5 68.4% 67.6% 59.1% 1.14× 1.48
Q1 over 26.5 66.1% 67.6% 72.9% 0.93× 1.48
Q1 under 30.5 57.2% 58.6% 48.8% 1.20× 1.71
Q1 over 28.5 54.6% 52.7% 62.7% 0.84× 1.90
Q1 under 29.5 51.3% 52.7% 43.1% 1.22× 1.90
Q1 over 29.5 48.7% 47.3% 56.9% 0.83× 2.11
Q1 under 28.5 45.4% 47.3% 37.3% 1.27× 2.11
Q1 over 30.5 42.8% 41.4% 51.2% 0.81× 2.42
Q1 under 26.5 33.9% 32.4% 27.1% 1.20× 3.08
Q1 over 32.5 31.6% 32.4% 40.9% 0.79× 3.08
Q1 under 24.5 23.8% 23.1% 18.2% 1.27× 4.33
Q1 over 34.5 21.9% 23.1% 31.5% 0.73× 4.33
Q1 under 21.5 12.2% 12.6% 8.5% 1.49× 7.95
Q1 over 37.5 11.1% 12.6% 18.4% 0.68× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Duquesne Dukes to win Q2 51.6% 51.4% 52.9% 0.97× 1.95
Robert Morris Colonials to win Q2 42.4% 43.9% 41.5% 1.06× 2.28
Q2 tied 6.0% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.49
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 37.5 89.7% 87.3% 82.3% 1.06× 1.15
Q2 over 21.5 86.8% 87.3% 90.2% 0.97× 1.15
Q2 under 34.5 79.4% 76.8% 70.1% 1.10× 1.30
Q2 over 24.5 74.8% 72.0% 80.7% 0.89× 1.39
Q2 under 32.5 70.0% 67.4% 60.8% 1.11× 1.48
Q2 over 26.5 64.4% 60.7% 71.6% 0.85× 1.65
Q2 under 30.5 59.0% 58.2% 50.1% 1.16× 1.72
Q2 under 29.5 53.1% 52.7% 44.2% 1.19× 1.90
Q2 over 28.5 52.8% 52.7% 61.2% 0.86× 1.90
Q2 under 28.5 47.2% 47.3% 38.8% 1.22× 2.11
Q2 over 29.5 46.9% 47.3% 55.8% 0.85× 2.11
Q2 over 30.5 41.0% 41.8% 49.9% 0.84× 2.39
Q2 under 26.5 35.6% 39.3% 28.4% 1.38× 2.55
Q2 over 32.5 30.0% 32.6% 39.2% 0.83× 3.06
Q2 under 24.5 25.2% 28.0% 19.3% 1.45× 3.57
Q2 over 34.5 20.6% 23.2% 29.9% 0.78× 4.31
Q2 under 21.5 13.2% 12.7% 9.8% 1.30× 7.89
Q2 over 37.5 10.3% 12.7% 17.7% 0.72× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Duquesne Dukes to win Q3 52.0% 52.7% 53.3% 0.99× 1.90
Robert Morris Colonials to win Q3 42.0% 42.3% 41.8% 1.01× 2.37
Q3 tied 5.9% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.96
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 40.5 89.4% 87.2% 81.9% 1.07× 1.15
Q3 over 24.5 85.9% 87.2% 89.9% 0.97× 1.15
Q3 under 37.5 79.2% 77.3% 69.7% 1.11× 1.29
Q3 over 27.5 73.7% 71.8% 80.0% 0.90× 1.39
Q3 under 35.5 70.0% 71.8% 59.7% 1.20× 1.39
Q3 over 29.5 63.5% 62.0% 71.8% 0.86× 1.61
Q3 under 33.5 59.4% 58.4% 49.1% 1.19× 1.71
Q3 under 32.5 53.7% 52.3% 43.9% 1.19× 1.91
Q3 over 31.5 52.1% 52.3% 61.6% 0.85× 1.91
Q3 under 31.5 47.9% 47.7% 38.4% 1.24× 2.10
Q3 over 32.5 46.3% 47.7% 56.1% 0.85× 2.10
Q3 over 33.5 40.7% 41.6% 50.9% 0.82× 2.40
Q3 under 29.5 36.6% 38.0% 28.2% 1.35× 2.63
Q3 over 35.5 30.0% 28.2% 40.3% 0.70× 3.55
Q3 under 27.5 26.3% 28.2% 20.0% 1.41× 3.55
Q3 over 37.5 20.8% 22.7% 30.3% 0.75× 4.40
Q3 under 24.5 14.1% 12.8% 10.1% 1.27× 7.83
Q3 over 40.5 10.6% 12.8% 18.1% 0.70× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Duquesne Dukes to win Q4 52.0% 51.4% 52.8% 0.97× 1.95
Robert Morris Colonials to win Q4 42.2% 43.1% 41.5% 1.04× 2.32
Q4 tied 5.8% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.25
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 40.5 87.9% 85.6% 80.6% 1.06× 1.17
Q4 over 24.5 84.6% 82.0% 89.0% 0.92× 1.22
Q4 under 37.5 77.7% 76.9% 68.8% 1.12× 1.30
Q4 over 27.5 72.8% 71.5% 78.9% 0.91× 1.40
Q4 under 35.5 68.7% 67.4% 59.4% 1.14× 1.48
Q4 over 29.5 63.1% 61.4% 70.8% 0.87× 1.63
Q4 under 33.5 58.5% 58.4% 49.6% 1.18× 1.71
Q4 under 32.5 53.1% 52.5% 44.6% 1.18× 1.91
Q4 over 31.5 52.4% 52.5% 61.1% 0.86× 1.91
Q4 under 31.5 47.6% 47.5% 38.9% 1.22× 2.11
Q4 over 32.5 46.9% 47.5% 55.4% 0.86× 2.11
Q4 over 33.5 41.5% 41.6% 50.4% 0.83× 2.40
Q4 under 29.5 36.9% 38.6% 29.2% 1.32× 2.59
Q4 over 35.5 31.3% 32.6% 40.6% 0.80× 3.07
Q4 under 27.5 27.2% 28.5% 21.1% 1.35× 3.51
Q4 over 37.5 22.3% 23.1% 31.2% 0.74× 4.33
Q4 under 24.5 15.4% 18.0% 11.0% 1.64× 5.56
Q4 over 40.5 12.1% 14.4% 19.4% 0.74× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Robert Morris Colonials over 49.5 86.3% 83.9% 85.1% 0.99× 1.19
Robert Morris Colonials under 69.5 86.6% 83.9% 71.2% 1.18× 1.19
Duquesne Dukes over 52.5 85.8% 83.9% 87.7% 0.96× 1.19
Duquesne Dukes under 72.5 85.2% 83.9% 65.7% 1.28× 1.19
Robert Morris Colonials under 66.5 78.4% 75.1% 62.7% 1.20× 1.33
Duquesne Dukes over 55.5 77.3% 75.1% 81.6% 0.92× 1.33
Duquesne Dukes under 69.5 76.7% 75.1% 57.4% 1.31× 1.33
Robert Morris Colonials over 52.5 77.2% 75.1% 78.5% 0.96× 1.33
Robert Morris Colonials under 64.5 71.5% 70.7% 56.9% 1.24× 1.41
Duquesne Dukes over 57.5 70.4% 70.7% 77.2% 0.92× 1.41
Duquesne Dukes under 67.5 69.7% 66.4% 51.3% 1.29× 1.51
Robert Morris Colonials over 54.5 69.9% 66.4% 73.5% 0.90× 1.51
Robert Morris Colonials under 62.5 63.8% 61.2% 51.0% 1.20× 1.63
Duquesne Dukes over 59.5 62.7% 61.2% 72.2% 0.85× 1.63
Duquesne Dukes under 65.5 62.1% 61.2% 44.7% 1.37× 1.63
Robert Morris Colonials over 56.5 61.8% 61.2% 68.0% 0.90× 1.63
Robert Morris Colonials under 60.5 55.4% 57.1% 44.4% 1.29× 1.75
Duquesne Dukes over 61.5 54.5% 52.3% 66.9% 0.78× 1.91
Duquesne Dukes under 63.5 53.8% 52.3% 38.5% 1.36× 1.91
Robert Morris Colonials over 58.5 53.3% 52.3% 62.1% 0.84× 1.91
Robert Morris Colonials under 59.5 51.1% 52.3% 41.2% 1.27× 1.91
Duquesne Dukes over 62.5 50.3% 52.3% 64.3% 0.81× 1.91
Duquesne Dukes under 62.5 49.7% 47.7% 35.7% 1.34× 2.09
Robert Morris Colonials under 58.5 46.7% 47.7% 37.9% 1.26× 2.09
Robert Morris Colonials over 59.5 48.9% 47.7% 58.8% 0.81× 2.09
Duquesne Dukes under 61.5 45.5% 47.7% 33.1% 1.44× 2.09
Duquesne Dukes over 63.5 46.2% 47.7% 61.5% 0.78× 2.09
Robert Morris Colonials over 60.5 44.6% 42.9% 55.6% 0.77× 2.33
Duquesne Dukes over 65.5 37.9% 38.8% 55.3% 0.70× 2.58
Robert Morris Colonials under 56.5 38.2% 38.8% 32.0% 1.21× 2.58
Duquesne Dukes under 59.5 37.3% 38.8% 27.8% 1.39× 2.58
Robert Morris Colonials over 62.5 36.2% 38.8% 49.0% 0.79× 2.58
Duquesne Dukes over 67.5 30.3% 33.6% 48.7% 0.69× 2.98
Robert Morris Colonials under 54.5 30.1% 33.6% 26.5% 1.27× 2.98
Duquesne Dukes under 57.5 29.6% 29.3% 22.8% 1.28× 3.42
Robert Morris Colonials over 64.5 28.5% 29.3% 43.2% 0.68× 3.42
Duquesne Dukes under 55.5 22.7% 24.9% 18.5% 1.35× 4.02
Duquesne Dukes over 69.5 23.3% 24.9% 42.6% 0.58× 4.02
Robert Morris Colonials under 52.5 22.8% 24.9% 21.5% 1.16× 4.02
Robert Morris Colonials over 66.5 21.6% 24.9% 37.3% 0.67× 4.02
Duquesne Dukes under 52.5 14.2% 16.1% 12.3% 1.30× 6.21
Duquesne Dukes over 72.5 14.8% 16.1% 34.3% 0.47× 6.21
Robert Morris Colonials under 49.5 13.7% 16.1% 14.9% 1.08× 6.21
Robert Morris Colonials over 69.5 13.4% 16.1% 28.8% 0.56× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 142.5 points 91.7% 88.8% 75.1% 1.18× 1.13
Over 102.5 points 91.5% 88.8% 94.3% 0.94× 1.13
Under 137.5 points 85.4% 85.0% 66.2% 1.28× 1.18
Over 107.5 points 84.1% 80.6% 90.2% 0.89× 1.24
Under 132.5 points 76.3% 75.6% 56.0% 1.35× 1.32
Over 112.5 points 74.0% 70.8% 83.6% 0.85× 1.41
Under 129.5 points 69.8% 65.9% 49.5% 1.33× 1.52
Over 115.5 points 66.8% 65.9% 78.8% 0.84× 1.52
Under 127.5 points 64.9% 61.5% 44.9% 1.37× 1.63
Over 117.5 points 61.6% 61.5% 75.3% 0.82× 1.63
Under 125.5 points 59.8% 56.5% 40.5% 1.39× 1.77
Over 119.5 points 56.3% 56.5% 71.6% 0.79× 1.77
Under 123.5 points 54.5% 52.3% 36.7% 1.43× 1.91
Under 122.5 points 51.7% 52.3% 34.4% 1.52× 1.91
Over 121.5 points 50.9% 52.3% 67.7% 0.77× 1.91
Under 121.5 points 49.1% 47.7% 32.3% 1.48× 2.10
Over 122.5 points 48.3% 47.7% 65.6% 0.73× 2.10
Over 123.5 points 45.5% 47.7% 63.3% 0.75× 2.10
Under 119.5 points 43.7% 43.5% 28.4% 1.53× 2.30
Over 125.5 points 40.2% 43.5% 59.5% 0.73× 2.30
Under 117.5 points 38.4% 38.5% 24.7% 1.56× 2.60
Over 127.5 points 35.1% 38.5% 55.1% 0.70× 2.60
Under 115.5 points 33.2% 34.1% 21.2% 1.61× 2.93
Over 129.5 points 30.2% 34.1% 50.5% 0.68× 2.93
Under 112.5 points 26.0% 29.2% 16.4% 1.78× 3.43
Over 132.5 points 23.7% 24.4% 44.0% 0.55× 4.10
Under 107.5 points 15.9% 19.4% 9.8% 1.98× 5.15
Over 137.5 points 14.6% 15.0% 33.8% 0.44× 6.68
Over 142.5 points 8.3% 11.2% 24.9% 0.45× 8.96
Under 102.5 points 8.5% 11.2% 5.7% 1.94× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Duquesne Dukes to win both halves 27.2% 27.2% 36.0% 0.75× 3.68
Robert Morris Colonials to win both halves 13.6% 14.1% 20.4% 0.69× 7.12
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Duquesne Dukes by 1-5 18.6% 16.8% 10.2% 1.64× 5.97
Duquesne Dukes by 6-10 16.9% 16.8% 12.9% 1.30× 5.97
Robert Morris Colonials by 1-5 16.0% 16.8% 10.2% 1.65× 5.97
Duquesne Dukes by 11-15 12.6% 12.3% 10.8% 1.14× 8.11
Robert Morris Colonials by 6-10 11.3% 12.3% 10.3% 1.20× 8.11
Duquesne Dukes by 16-20 7.6% 7.5% 8.0% 0.93× 13.40
Robert Morris Colonials by 11-15 6.5% 7.5% 7.6% 0.98× 13.40
Duquesne Dukes by 21-25 3.7% 2.0% 5.4% 0.38× 49.30
Robert Morris Colonials by 16-20 3.1% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.30
Robert Morris Colonials by 21-25 1.2% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.32
Duquesne Dukes by 26+ 2.1% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.31
Robert Morris Colonials by 26+ 0.4% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.32
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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