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East Carolina Pirates v High Point Panthers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 11 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
East Carolina Pirates win
70.9%
Draw
0.0%
High Point Panthers win
29.1%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 72.34–66.34 72-66 0% 51% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
East Carolina Pirates to score 100+ 0.2% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.31
East Carolina Pirates to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
East Carolina Pirates to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
East Carolina Pirates to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
High Point Panthers to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.72× 283.35
High Point Panthers to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
High Point Panthers to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
High Point Panthers to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
East Carolina Pirates to win H1 61.0% 62.2% 56.4% 1.10× 1.61
High Point Panthers to win H1 34.8% 33.2% 39.9% 0.83× 3.02
H1 tied 4.3% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 78.5 88.6% 87.7% 92.8% 0.95× 1.14
H1 over 54.5 87.6% 87.7% 74.0% 1.19× 1.14
H1 under 74.5 79.2% 77.4% 87.2% 0.89× 1.29
H1 over 58.5 77.6% 77.4% 61.4% 1.26× 1.29
H1 under 71.5 69.8% 67.4% 81.4% 0.83× 1.48
H1 over 61.5 67.9% 67.4% 50.2% 1.34× 1.48
H1 under 69.5 62.6% 62.7% 76.2% 0.82× 1.59
H1 over 63.5 60.5% 62.7% 42.9% 1.46× 1.59
H1 under 67.5 55.0% 52.6% 70.4% 0.75× 1.90
H1 over 65.5 52.8% 52.6% 36.1% 1.46× 1.90
H1 under 66.5 51.1% 52.6% 67.1% 0.78× 1.90
H1 over 66.5 48.9% 47.4% 32.9% 1.44× 2.11
H1 under 65.5 47.2% 47.4% 63.9% 0.74× 2.11
H1 over 67.5 45.0% 47.4% 29.6% 1.60× 2.11
H1 under 63.5 39.5% 37.3% 57.1% 0.65× 2.68
H1 over 69.5 37.4% 37.3% 23.8% 1.56× 2.68
H1 under 61.5 32.1% 32.6% 49.8% 0.65× 3.07
H1 over 71.5 30.2% 32.6% 18.6% 1.76× 3.07
H1 under 58.5 22.4% 22.6% 38.6% 0.58× 4.43
H1 over 74.5 20.8% 22.6% 12.8% 1.76× 4.43
H1 under 54.5 12.4% 12.3% 26.0% 0.47× 8.14
H1 over 78.5 11.4% 12.3% 7.2% 1.70× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
East Carolina Pirates to win H2 61.8% 58.8% 56.0% 1.05× 1.70
High Point Panthers to win H2 34.2% 36.3% 40.6% 0.90× 2.75
H2 tied 4.1% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.35
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 60.5 87.0% 85.2% 74.5% 1.14× 1.17
H2 under 84.5 86.9% 85.2% 90.3% 0.94× 1.17
H2 over 64.5 77.4% 75.8% 62.1% 1.22× 1.32
H2 under 80.5 77.2% 75.8% 84.0% 0.90× 1.32
H2 over 67.5 68.1% 66.4% 52.1% 1.27× 1.51
H2 under 77.5 67.9% 66.4% 77.9% 0.85× 1.51
H2 over 69.5 61.1% 61.6% 45.2% 1.36× 1.62
H2 under 75.5 61.0% 61.6% 73.0% 0.84× 1.62
H2 over 71.5 53.8% 52.4% 38.9% 1.35× 1.91
H2 under 73.5 53.7% 52.4% 67.1% 0.78× 1.91
H2 over 72.5 50.1% 52.4% 36.0% 1.46× 1.91
H2 under 72.5 49.9% 47.6% 64.1% 0.74× 2.10
H2 under 71.5 46.2% 47.6% 61.1% 0.78× 2.10
H2 over 73.5 46.3% 47.6% 32.9% 1.45× 2.10
H2 over 75.5 39.0% 38.4% 27.0% 1.42× 2.61
H2 under 69.5 38.9% 38.4% 54.8% 0.70× 2.61
H2 under 67.5 31.9% 33.6% 47.9% 0.70× 2.97
H2 over 77.5 32.1% 33.6% 22.1% 1.52× 2.97
H2 under 64.5 22.6% 24.2% 37.9% 0.64× 4.13
H2 over 80.5 22.8% 24.2% 16.0% 1.52× 4.13
H2 under 60.5 13.0% 14.8% 25.5% 0.58× 6.76
H2 over 84.5 13.1% 14.8% 9.7% 1.52× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
East Carolina Pirates leading at half time 61.0% 62.5% 56.4% 1.11× 1.60
High Point Panthers leading at half time 34.8% 32.8% 39.9% 0.82× 3.05
Level at half time 4.3% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
East Carolina Pirates +14.5 96.5% 97.4% 86.7% 1.12× 1.03
East Carolina Pirates +16.5 97.7% 97.4% 89.1% 1.09× 1.03
East Carolina Pirates +18.5 98.5% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
East Carolina Pirates +20.5 99.1% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
East Carolina Pirates +12.5 94.8% 91.1% 83.8% 1.09× 1.10
East Carolina Pirates +10.5 92.7% 91.1% 80.4% 1.13× 1.10
East Carolina Pirates +9.5 91.3% 91.1% 78.7% 1.16× 1.10
East Carolina Pirates +8.5 89.8% 85.9% 76.5% 1.12× 1.16
High Point Panthers +20.5 89.9% 85.9% 82.0% 1.05× 1.16
East Carolina Pirates +7.5 88.1% 85.9% 74.5% 1.15× 1.16
East Carolina Pirates +6.5 86.2% 85.9% 72.3% 1.19× 1.16
High Point Panthers +18.5 86.4% 85.9% 79.3% 1.08× 1.16
East Carolina Pirates +5.5 84.2% 81.1% 70.1% 1.16× 1.23
East Carolina Pirates +4.5 81.9% 81.1% 67.8% 1.20× 1.23
High Point Panthers +16.5 82.0% 81.1% 75.7% 1.07× 1.23
East Carolina Pirates +3.5 79.4% 76.5% 65.7% 1.16× 1.31
East Carolina Pirates +2.5 76.8% 76.5% 63.3% 1.21× 1.31
High Point Panthers +14.5 76.9% 76.5% 72.1% 1.06× 1.31
East Carolina Pirates +1.5 73.9% 71.6% 61.2% 1.17× 1.40
High Point Panthers +12.5 71.0% 71.6% 67.9% 1.06× 1.40
East Carolina Pirates −1.5 67.6% 66.7% 58.7% 1.14× 1.50
East Carolina Pirates −2.5 64.1% 61.9% 56.7% 1.09× 1.62
High Point Panthers +10.5 64.6% 61.9% 63.2% 0.98× 1.62
East Carolina Pirates −3.5 60.6% 61.9% 54.2% 1.14× 1.62
High Point Panthers +9.5 61.1% 61.9% 60.7% 1.02× 1.62
East Carolina Pirates −4.5 57.0% 57.1% 52.2% 1.09× 1.75
High Point Panthers +8.5 57.6% 57.1% 58.0% 0.98× 1.75
East Carolina Pirates −5.5 53.3% 52.4% 49.7% 1.05× 1.91
High Point Panthers +7.5 54.0% 52.4% 55.2% 0.95× 1.91
High Point Panthers +6.5 50.3% 52.4% 52.4% 1.00× 1.91
East Carolina Pirates −6.5 49.7% 47.6% 47.6% 1.00× 2.10
High Point Panthers +5.5 46.7% 47.6% 50.3% 0.95× 2.10
East Carolina Pirates −7.5 46.0% 47.6% 44.8% 1.06× 2.10
High Point Panthers +4.5 43.0% 42.9% 47.8% 0.90× 2.33
East Carolina Pirates −8.5 42.4% 42.9% 42.0% 1.02× 2.33
High Point Panthers +3.5 39.4% 38.1% 45.8% 0.83× 2.63
East Carolina Pirates −9.5 38.9% 38.1% 39.3% 0.97× 2.63
High Point Panthers +2.5 35.9% 38.1% 43.3% 0.88× 2.63
East Carolina Pirates −10.5 35.4% 38.1% 36.8% 1.03× 2.63
High Point Panthers +1.5 32.4% 33.3% 41.3% 0.81× 3.01
East Carolina Pirates −12.5 29.0% 28.4% 32.1% 0.88× 3.53
High Point Panthers −1.5 26.1% 28.4% 38.8% 0.73× 3.53
High Point Panthers −2.5 23.2% 23.5% 36.7% 0.64× 4.25
East Carolina Pirates −14.5 23.1% 23.5% 27.9% 0.84× 4.25
High Point Panthers −3.5 20.6% 23.5% 34.3% 0.69× 4.25
High Point Panthers −4.5 18.1% 18.9% 32.2% 0.59× 5.29
East Carolina Pirates −16.5 18.0% 18.9% 24.3% 0.78× 5.29
High Point Panthers −5.5 15.8% 18.9% 29.9% 0.63× 5.30
High Point Panthers −6.5 13.8% 14.1% 27.7% 0.51× 7.09
East Carolina Pirates −18.5 13.6% 14.1% 20.7% 0.68× 7.09
High Point Panthers −7.5 11.9% 14.1% 25.5% 0.55× 7.09
High Point Panthers −8.5 10.2% 14.1% 23.5% 0.60× 7.09
East Carolina Pirates −20.5 10.1% 14.1% 18.0% 0.78× 7.09
High Point Panthers −9.5 8.7% 8.9% 21.3% 0.42× 11.25
High Point Panthers −10.5 7.3% 8.9% 19.6% 0.45× 11.25
High Point Panthers −12.5 5.2% 8.9% 16.2% 0.55× 11.25
High Point Panthers −14.5 3.5% 2.6% 13.3% 0.19× 38.73
High Point Panthers −16.5 2.3% 2.6% 10.9% 0.24× 38.73
High Point Panthers −18.5 1.5% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.73
High Point Panthers −20.5 0.9% 2.6% 7.3% 0.35× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 73.3% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 26.7% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 34.9% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 33.1% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 16.8% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 15.2% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
East Carolina Pirates at HT / East Carolina Pirates at FT 52.4% 51.1% 48.3% 1.06× 1.96
High Point Panthers at HT / High Point Panthers at FT 19.1% 15.5% 30.1% 0.51× 6.47
High Point Panthers at HT / East Carolina Pirates at FT 15.7% 15.4% 9.8% 1.58× 6.47
East Carolina Pirates at HT / High Point Panthers at FT 8.6% 8.3% 8.2% 1.01× 12.08
Level at HT / East Carolina Pirates at FT 2.9% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.74
Level at HT / High Point Panthers at FT 1.4% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.77
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
East Carolina Pirates to win 70.9% 68.7% 59.9% 1.15× 1.46
High Point Panthers to win 29.1% 31.3% 40.1% 0.78× 3.20
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.6% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
East Carolina Pirates even 50.0% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
High Point Panthers even 50.0% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
East Carolina Pirates odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
High Point Panthers odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 48.4% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 94.4% 94.0% 95.6% 0.98× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 5.6% 6.0% 4.4% 1.35× 16.66
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
East Carolina Pirates to win Q1 56.0% 57.3% 54.7% 1.05× 1.75
High Point Panthers to win Q1 38.1% 38.2% 40.4% 0.95× 2.62
Q1 tied 6.0% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.32
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 41.5 88.7% 87.4% 91.9% 0.95× 1.14
Q1 over 25.5 87.5% 87.4% 77.6% 1.13× 1.14
Q1 under 38.5 77.9% 76.9% 84.8% 0.91× 1.30
Q1 over 28.5 76.0% 76.9% 62.7% 1.23× 1.30
Q1 under 36.5 68.2% 67.6% 77.4% 0.87× 1.48
Q1 over 30.5 65.9% 67.6% 51.2% 1.32× 1.48
Q1 under 34.5 57.1% 58.6% 68.5% 0.86× 1.71
Q1 over 32.5 54.6% 52.7% 40.9% 1.29× 1.90
Q1 under 33.5 51.2% 52.7% 64.0% 0.82× 1.90
Q1 over 33.5 48.8% 47.3% 36.0% 1.31× 2.11
Q1 under 32.5 45.4% 47.3% 59.1% 0.80× 2.11
Q1 over 34.5 42.9% 41.4% 31.5% 1.31× 2.42
Q1 under 30.5 34.1% 32.4% 48.8% 0.67× 3.08
Q1 over 36.5 31.8% 32.4% 22.6% 1.44× 3.08
Q1 under 28.5 24.0% 23.1% 37.3% 0.62× 4.33
Q1 over 38.5 22.1% 23.1% 15.2% 1.52× 4.33
Q1 under 25.5 12.5% 12.6% 22.4% 0.56× 7.95
Q1 over 41.5 11.3% 12.6% 8.1% 1.56× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
East Carolina Pirates to win Q2 55.8% 59.4% 52.9% 1.12× 1.69
High Point Panthers to win Q2 38.4% 35.8% 41.5% 0.86× 2.80
Q2 tied 5.9% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.49
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 41.5 89.6% 87.3% 92.7% 0.94× 1.15
Q2 over 25.5 86.4% 87.3% 76.2% 1.15× 1.15
Q2 under 38.5 79.4% 76.8% 85.6% 0.90× 1.30
Q2 over 28.5 74.4% 72.0% 61.2% 1.18× 1.39
Q2 under 36.5 70.0% 67.4% 78.7% 0.86× 1.48
Q2 over 30.5 64.0% 60.7% 49.9% 1.22× 1.65
Q2 under 34.5 59.1% 58.2% 70.1% 0.83× 1.72
Q2 under 33.5 53.3% 52.7% 65.6% 0.80× 1.90
Q2 over 32.5 52.6% 52.7% 39.2% 1.34× 1.90
Q2 under 32.5 47.4% 47.3% 60.8% 0.78× 2.11
Q2 over 33.5 46.7% 47.3% 34.4% 1.38× 2.11
Q2 over 34.5 40.9% 41.8% 29.9% 1.40× 2.39
Q2 under 30.5 36.0% 39.3% 50.1% 0.78× 2.55
Q2 over 36.5 30.0% 32.6% 21.3% 1.53× 3.06
Q2 under 28.5 25.6% 28.0% 38.8% 0.72× 3.57
Q2 over 38.5 20.6% 23.2% 14.4% 1.61× 4.31
Q2 under 25.5 13.6% 12.7% 23.8% 0.53× 7.89
Q2 over 41.5 10.4% 12.7% 7.3% 1.72× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
East Carolina Pirates to win Q3 56.6% 56.8% 53.3% 1.07× 1.76
High Point Panthers to win Q3 37.6% 38.8% 41.8% 0.93× 2.58
Q3 tied 5.8% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.97
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 44.5 88.2% 87.2% 92.1% 0.95× 1.15
Q3 over 28.5 86.6% 87.2% 76.4% 1.14× 1.15
Q3 under 41.5 77.5% 77.3% 85.1% 0.91× 1.29
Q3 over 31.5 75.1% 77.3% 61.6% 1.25× 1.29
Q3 under 39.5 68.0% 67.8% 77.9% 0.87× 1.48
Q3 over 33.5 65.2% 67.8% 50.9% 1.33× 1.48
Q3 under 37.5 57.2% 58.4% 69.7% 0.84× 1.71
Q3 over 35.5 54.2% 52.3% 40.3% 1.30× 1.91
Q3 under 36.5 51.6% 52.3% 64.6% 0.81× 1.91
Q3 over 36.5 48.4% 47.7% 35.4% 1.35× 2.10
Q3 under 35.5 45.8% 47.7% 59.7% 0.80× 2.10
Q3 over 37.5 42.8% 41.6% 30.3% 1.37× 2.40
Q3 under 33.5 34.8% 32.2% 49.1% 0.66× 3.10
Q3 over 39.5 32.0% 32.2% 22.1% 1.46× 3.10
Q3 under 31.5 24.9% 22.7% 38.4% 0.59× 4.40
Q3 over 41.5 22.5% 22.7% 14.9% 1.53× 4.40
Q3 under 28.5 13.4% 12.8% 23.6% 0.54× 7.83
Q3 over 44.5 11.8% 12.8% 7.9% 1.63× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
East Carolina Pirates to win Q4 56.5% 52.0% 52.8% 0.99× 1.92
High Point Panthers to win Q4 37.9% 42.4% 41.5% 1.02× 2.36
Q4 tied 5.7% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.25
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 44.5 86.7% 85.6% 90.6% 0.95× 1.17
Q4 over 28.5 85.5% 85.6% 75.1% 1.14× 1.17
Q4 under 41.5 75.9% 76.9% 83.6% 0.92× 1.30
Q4 over 31.5 74.2% 71.5% 61.1% 1.17× 1.40
Q4 under 39.5 66.8% 67.4% 77.0% 0.88× 1.48
Q4 over 33.5 64.8% 61.4% 50.4% 1.22× 1.63
Q4 under 37.5 56.5% 58.4% 68.8% 0.85× 1.71
Q4 over 35.5 54.3% 52.5% 40.6% 1.29× 1.91
Q4 under 36.5 51.1% 52.5% 64.3% 0.82× 1.91
Q4 over 36.5 48.9% 47.5% 35.7% 1.33× 2.11
Q4 under 35.5 45.7% 47.5% 59.4% 0.80× 2.11
Q4 over 37.5 43.5% 41.6% 31.2% 1.33× 2.40
Q4 under 33.5 35.2% 38.6% 49.6% 0.78× 2.59
Q4 over 39.5 33.2% 32.6% 23.0% 1.41× 3.07
Q4 under 31.5 25.8% 28.5% 38.9% 0.73× 3.51
Q4 over 41.5 24.1% 23.1% 16.4% 1.41× 4.33
Q4 under 28.5 14.5% 14.4% 24.9% 0.58× 6.95
Q4 over 44.5 13.3% 14.4% 9.4% 1.53× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
High Point Panthers under 76.5 86.4% 83.9% 85.8% 0.98× 1.19
East Carolina Pirates over 62.5 85.1% 83.9% 64.3% 1.31× 1.19
East Carolina Pirates under 82.5 85.3% 83.9% 86.2% 0.97× 1.19
High Point Panthers over 56.5 85.4% 83.9% 68.0% 1.23× 1.19
High Point Panthers under 73.5 78.1% 75.1% 80.2% 0.94× 1.33
East Carolina Pirates over 65.5 76.7% 75.1% 55.3% 1.36× 1.33
East Carolina Pirates under 79.5 76.9% 75.1% 81.3% 0.92× 1.33
High Point Panthers over 59.5 76.7% 75.1% 58.8% 1.28× 1.33
East Carolina Pirates under 77.5 70.0% 70.7% 77.4% 0.91× 1.41
High Point Panthers under 71.5 71.3% 70.7% 76.1% 0.93× 1.41
East Carolina Pirates over 67.5 69.8% 66.4% 48.7% 1.36× 1.51
High Point Panthers over 61.5 69.6% 66.4% 52.1% 1.27× 1.51
East Carolina Pirates over 69.5 62.2% 61.2% 42.6% 1.44× 1.63
East Carolina Pirates under 75.5 62.4% 61.2% 73.2% 0.84× 1.63
High Point Panthers under 69.5 63.6% 61.2% 71.2% 0.86× 1.63
High Point Panthers over 63.5 61.6% 61.2% 46.1% 1.33× 1.63
High Point Panthers under 67.5 55.3% 57.1% 65.6% 0.87× 1.75
East Carolina Pirates over 71.5 54.1% 52.3% 37.0% 1.41× 1.91
East Carolina Pirates under 73.5 54.2% 52.3% 68.5% 0.76× 1.91
High Point Panthers over 65.5 53.2% 52.3% 40.2% 1.30× 1.91
High Point Panthers under 66.5 51.1% 52.3% 62.7% 0.83× 1.91
East Carolina Pirates under 72.5 50.1% 52.3% 65.7% 0.80× 1.91
East Carolina Pirates over 72.5 49.9% 47.7% 34.3% 1.39× 2.09
High Point Panthers under 65.5 46.8% 47.7% 59.8% 0.80× 2.09
High Point Panthers over 66.5 48.9% 47.7% 37.3% 1.28× 2.09
East Carolina Pirates under 71.5 45.9% 47.7% 63.0% 0.76× 2.09
East Carolina Pirates over 73.5 45.8% 47.7% 31.5% 1.51× 2.09
High Point Panthers over 67.5 44.7% 42.9% 34.4% 1.25× 2.33
High Point Panthers under 63.5 38.4% 38.8% 53.9% 0.72× 2.58
East Carolina Pirates under 69.5 37.8% 38.8% 57.4% 0.68× 2.58
East Carolina Pirates over 75.5 37.6% 38.8% 26.8% 1.45× 2.58
High Point Panthers over 69.5 36.4% 38.8% 28.8% 1.35× 2.58
High Point Panthers under 61.5 30.4% 33.6% 47.9% 0.70× 2.98
East Carolina Pirates under 67.5 30.2% 33.6% 51.3% 0.65× 2.98
East Carolina Pirates over 77.5 30.0% 29.3% 22.6% 1.30× 3.42
High Point Panthers over 71.5 28.7% 29.3% 23.9% 1.22× 3.42
East Carolina Pirates under 65.5 23.3% 24.9% 44.7% 0.56× 4.02
East Carolina Pirates over 79.5 23.1% 24.9% 18.7% 1.33× 4.02
High Point Panthers under 59.5 23.3% 24.9% 41.2% 0.60× 4.02
High Point Panthers over 73.5 21.9% 24.9% 19.8% 1.25× 4.02
East Carolina Pirates under 62.5 14.9% 16.1% 35.7% 0.45× 6.21
East Carolina Pirates over 82.5 14.7% 16.1% 13.8% 1.17× 6.21
High Point Panthers under 56.5 14.6% 16.1% 32.0% 0.50× 6.21
High Point Panthers over 76.5 13.6% 16.1% 14.2% 1.13× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 159.5 points 91.6% 88.8% 93.3% 0.95× 1.13
Over 119.5 points 90.0% 85.0% 71.6% 1.19× 1.18
Under 154.5 points 85.2% 85.0% 89.8% 0.95× 1.18
Over 124.5 points 82.8% 80.6% 61.5% 1.31× 1.24
Under 149.5 points 76.3% 75.6% 84.9% 0.89× 1.32
Over 129.5 points 73.0% 70.8% 50.5% 1.40× 1.41
Under 146.5 points 69.7% 65.9% 80.9% 0.81× 1.52
Over 132.5 points 66.1% 65.9% 44.0% 1.50× 1.52
Under 144.5 points 64.9% 61.5% 78.1% 0.79× 1.63
Over 134.5 points 61.1% 61.5% 39.8% 1.54× 1.63
Under 142.5 points 59.8% 56.5% 75.1% 0.75× 1.77
Over 136.5 points 55.9% 56.5% 35.8% 1.58× 1.77
Under 140.5 points 54.6% 52.3% 71.8% 0.73× 1.91
Under 139.5 points 52.1% 52.3% 69.9% 0.75× 1.91
Over 138.5 points 50.6% 52.3% 32.1% 1.63× 1.91
Under 138.5 points 49.4% 47.7% 67.9% 0.70× 2.10
Over 139.5 points 47.9% 47.7% 30.1% 1.58× 2.10
Over 140.5 points 45.4% 47.7% 28.2% 1.69× 2.10
Under 136.5 points 44.1% 43.5% 64.2% 0.68× 2.30
Over 142.5 points 40.2% 43.5% 24.9% 1.75× 2.30
Under 134.5 points 38.9% 38.5% 60.2% 0.64× 2.60
Over 144.5 points 35.1% 38.5% 21.9% 1.76× 2.60
Under 132.5 points 33.9% 34.1% 56.0% 0.61× 2.93
Over 146.5 points 30.3% 34.1% 19.1% 1.79× 2.93
Under 129.5 points 27.0% 29.2% 49.5% 0.59× 3.43
Over 149.5 points 23.7% 24.4% 15.1% 1.62× 4.10
Under 124.5 points 17.2% 19.4% 38.5% 0.50× 5.15
Over 154.5 points 14.8% 15.0% 10.2% 1.47× 6.68
Under 119.5 points 10.0% 15.0% 28.4% 0.53× 6.69
Over 159.5 points 8.4% 11.2% 6.7% 1.67× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
East Carolina Pirates to win both halves 35.0% 36.3% 36.0% 1.01× 2.76
High Point Panthers to win both halves 9.5% 8.9% 20.4% 0.43× 11.30
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
East Carolina Pirates by 1-5 17.6% 16.8% 10.2% 1.64× 5.97
East Carolina Pirates by 6-10 17.9% 16.8% 12.9% 1.30× 5.97
East Carolina Pirates by 11-15 15.0% 16.8% 10.8% 1.55× 5.97
High Point Panthers by 1-5 13.3% 12.3% 10.2% 1.21× 8.11
East Carolina Pirates by 16-20 10.4% 12.3% 8.0% 1.53× 8.11
High Point Panthers by 6-10 8.5% 7.5% 10.3% 0.72× 13.40
East Carolina Pirates by 21-25 5.9% 7.5% 5.4% 1.39× 13.40
High Point Panthers by 11-15 4.5% 2.0% 7.6% 0.27× 49.29
East Carolina Pirates by 26+ 4.2% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.29
High Point Panthers by 16-20 1.9% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.31
High Point Panthers by 21-25 0.7% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.32
High Point Panthers by 26+ 0.3% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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