Fairfield Stags v Vermont Catamounts — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 8 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated 3 Sep 2026, 23:45

Fairfield Stags

14:00

Vermont Catamounts

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Fairfield Stags win

79.1%

Draw

0.0%

Vermont Catamounts win

20.9%

79021

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	79021	64.67–55.63	65-56 0%	52%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fairfield Stags to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	1.8%	0.20×	283.35
Fairfield Stags to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	0.6%	0.64×	283.36
Fairfield Stags to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	2.91×	283.36
Fairfield Stags to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	7.58×	283.36
Vermont Catamounts to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	0.5%	0.71×	283.36
Vermont Catamounts to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	4.74×	283.36
Vermont Catamounts to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	18.95×	283.36
Vermont Catamounts to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	37.89×	283.36
Both sides to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	6.32×	283.36

H1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fairfield Stags to win H1	66.5%	68.3%	56.4%	1.21×	1.47
Vermont Catamounts to win H1	29.5%	26.6%	39.9%	0.67×	3.77
H1 tied	4.1%	3.9%	3.7%	1.05×	25.86

H1 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 under 70.5	89.5%	87.7%	78.9%	1.11×	1.14
H1 over 46.5	87.8%	87.7%	92.3%	0.95×	1.14
H1 under 66.5	80.4%	82.5%	67.1%	1.23×	1.21
H1 over 50.5	77.5%	77.4%	84.5%	0.92×	1.29
H1 under 63.5	71.2%	73.5%	57.1%	1.29×	1.36
H1 over 53.5	67.3%	67.4%	76.8%	0.88×	1.48
H1 under 61.5	64.0%	62.7%	49.8%	1.26×	1.59
H1 over 55.5	59.7%	58.2%	71.0%	0.82×	1.72
H1 under 59.5	56.3%	58.2%	42.2%	1.38×	1.72
H1 over 57.5	51.7%	52.6%	64.8%	0.81×	1.90
H1 under 58.5	52.3%	52.6%	38.6%	1.36×	1.90
H1 under 57.5	48.3%	47.4%	35.2%	1.35×	2.11
H1 over 58.5	47.7%	47.4%	61.4%	0.77×	2.11
H1 over 59.5	43.7%	41.8%	57.8%	0.72×	2.39
H1 under 55.5	40.3%	41.8%	29.0%	1.44×	2.39
H1 over 61.5	36.0%	37.3%	50.2%	0.74×	2.68
H1 under 53.5	32.7%	32.6%	23.2%	1.41×	3.07
H1 over 63.5	28.8%	26.5%	42.9%	0.62×	3.77
H1 under 50.5	22.5%	22.6%	15.5%	1.46×	4.43
H1 over 66.5	19.6%	17.5%	32.9%	0.53×	5.72
H1 under 46.5	12.2%	12.3%	7.7%	1.60×	8.14
H1 over 70.5	10.5%	12.3%	21.1%	0.58×	8.14

H2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fairfield Stags to win H2	67.6%	62.8%	56.0%	1.12×	1.59
Vermont Catamounts to win H2	28.6%	31.3%	40.6%	0.77×	3.20
H2 tied	3.9%	3.9%	3.4%	1.16×	25.36

H2 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 over 51.5	87.8%	85.2%	92.7%	0.92×	1.17
H2 under 75.5	87.5%	85.2%	73.0%	1.17×	1.17
H2 over 55.5	78.0%	75.8%	86.1%	0.88×	1.32
H2 under 71.5	78.0%	75.8%	61.1%	1.24×	1.32
H2 under 68.5	68.7%	66.4%	51.3%	1.29×	1.51
H2 over 58.5	68.3%	66.4%	79.6%	0.83×	1.51
H2 over 60.5	61.1%	61.6%	74.5%	0.83×	1.62
H2 under 66.5	61.6%	61.6%	44.6%	1.38×	1.62
H2 over 62.5	53.6%	52.4%	68.3%	0.77×	1.91
H2 under 64.5	54.1%	52.4%	37.9%	1.38×	1.91
H2 under 63.5	50.3%	52.4%	34.7%	1.51×	1.91
H2 over 63.5	49.7%	47.6%	65.3%	0.73×	2.10
H2 under 62.5	46.4%	47.6%	31.7%	1.50×	2.10
H2 over 64.5	45.9%	47.6%	62.1%	0.77×	2.10
H2 under 60.5	38.9%	38.4%	25.5%	1.50×	2.61
H2 over 66.5	38.4%	38.4%	55.4%	0.69×	2.61
H2 under 58.5	31.7%	33.6%	20.4%	1.65×	2.97
H2 over 68.5	31.3%	33.6%	48.7%	0.69×	2.97
H2 under 55.5	22.0%	24.2%	13.9%	1.74×	4.13
H2 over 71.5	22.0%	24.2%	38.9%	0.62×	4.13
H2 under 51.5	12.2%	14.8%	7.3%	2.02×	6.76
H2 over 75.5	12.5%	14.8%	27.0%	0.55×	6.76

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fairfield Stags leading at half time	66.5%	68.4%	56.4%	1.21×	1.46
Vermont Catamounts leading at half time	29.5%	26.5%	39.9%	0.66×	3.77
Level at half time	4.1%	3.8%	3.7%	1.03×	26.40

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fairfield Stags +20.5	99.6%	97.4%	92.7%	1.05×	1.03
Fairfield Stags +10.5	95.8%	97.4%	80.4%	1.21×	1.03
Fairfield Stags +12.5	97.2%	97.4%	83.8%	1.16×	1.03
Fairfield Stags +14.5	98.2%	97.4%	86.7%	1.12×	1.03
Fairfield Stags +16.5	98.9%	97.4%	89.1%	1.09×	1.03
Fairfield Stags +18.5	99.3%	97.4%	91.1%	1.07×	1.03
Fairfield Stags +9.5	94.9%	91.1%	78.7%	1.16×	1.10
Fairfield Stags +7.5	92.7%	91.1%	74.5%	1.22×	1.10
Fairfield Stags +8.5	93.9%	91.1%	76.5%	1.19×	1.10
Fairfield Stags +6.5	91.3%	91.1%	72.3%	1.26×	1.10
Fairfield Stags +5.5	89.8%	85.9%	70.1%	1.23×	1.16
Fairfield Stags +4.5	88.0%	85.9%	67.8%	1.27×	1.16
Fairfield Stags +3.5	86.1%	85.9%	65.7%	1.31×	1.16
Vermont Catamounts +20.5	86.1%	85.9%	82.0%	1.05×	1.16
Fairfield Stags +2.5	84.0%	81.1%	63.3%	1.28×	1.23
Fairfield Stags +1.5	81.6%	81.1%	61.2%	1.32×	1.23
Vermont Catamounts +18.5	81.5%	81.1%	79.3%	1.02×	1.23
Fairfield Stags −1.5	76.1%	76.5%	58.7%	1.30×	1.31
Vermont Catamounts +16.5	76.1%	76.5%	75.7%	1.01×	1.31
Fairfield Stags −2.5	73.0%	71.6%	56.7%	1.26×	1.40
Fairfield Stags −3.5	69.7%	66.7%	54.2%	1.23×	1.50
Vermont Catamounts +14.5	69.9%	66.7%	72.1%	0.93×	1.50
Fairfield Stags −4.5	66.3%	66.7%	52.2%	1.28×	1.50
Fairfield Stags −5.5	62.8%	61.9%	49.7%	1.25×	1.62
Vermont Catamounts +12.5	63.1%	61.9%	67.9%	0.91×	1.62
Fairfield Stags −6.5	59.1%	57.1%	47.6%	1.20×	1.75
Fairfield Stags −7.5	55.4%	57.1%	44.8%	1.28×	1.75
Vermont Catamounts +10.5	55.8%	57.1%	63.2%	0.90×	1.75
Vermont Catamounts +9.5	52.1%	52.4%	60.7%	0.86×	1.91
Fairfield Stags −8.5	51.7%	52.4%	42.0%	1.25×	1.91
Vermont Catamounts +8.5	48.3%	47.6%	58.0%	0.82×	2.10
Fairfield Stags −9.5	47.9%	47.6%	39.3%	1.21×	2.10
Vermont Catamounts +7.5	44.6%	42.9%	55.2%	0.78×	2.33
Fairfield Stags −10.5	44.2%	42.9%	36.8%	1.17×	2.33
Vermont Catamounts +6.5	40.9%	42.9%	52.4%	0.82×	2.33
Vermont Catamounts +5.5	37.2%	38.1%	50.3%	0.76×	2.63
Fairfield Stags −12.5	36.9%	38.1%	32.1%	1.19×	2.63
Vermont Catamounts +4.5	33.7%	33.3%	47.8%	0.70×	3.01
Vermont Catamounts +3.5	30.3%	33.3%	45.8%	0.73×	3.01
Fairfield Stags −14.5	30.1%	33.3%	27.9%	1.19×	3.01
Vermont Catamounts +2.5	27.0%	28.4%	43.3%	0.66×	3.53
Vermont Catamounts +1.5	23.9%	23.5%	41.3%	0.57×	4.25
Fairfield Stags −16.5	23.9%	23.5%	24.3%	0.97×	4.25
Vermont Catamounts −1.5	18.4%	18.9%	38.8%	0.49×	5.29
Fairfield Stags −18.5	18.5%	18.9%	20.7%	0.91×	5.29
Vermont Catamounts −2.5	16.0%	18.9%	36.7%	0.52×	5.30
Vermont Catamounts −3.5	13.9%	14.1%	34.3%	0.41×	7.09
Fairfield Stags −20.5	13.9%	14.1%	18.0%	0.78×	7.09
Vermont Catamounts −4.5	12.0%	14.1%	32.2%	0.44×	7.09
Vermont Catamounts −5.5	10.2%	14.1%	29.9%	0.47×	7.09
Vermont Catamounts −6.5	8.7%	8.9%	27.7%	0.32×	11.25
Vermont Catamounts −7.5	7.3%	8.9%	25.5%	0.35×	11.25
Vermont Catamounts −8.5	6.1%	8.9%	23.5%	0.38×	11.25
Vermont Catamounts −9.5	5.1%	8.9%	21.3%	0.42×	11.25
Vermont Catamounts −10.5	4.2%	2.6%	19.6%	0.13×	38.72
Vermont Catamounts −12.5	2.8%	2.6%	16.2%	0.16×	38.73
Vermont Catamounts −14.5	1.8%	2.6%	13.3%	0.19×	38.73
Vermont Catamounts −16.5	1.1%	2.6%	10.9%	0.24×	38.74
Vermont Catamounts −18.5	0.7%	2.6%	8.9%	0.29×	38.74
Vermont Catamounts −20.5	0.4%	2.6%	7.3%	0.35×	38.74

Highest scoring half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	70.6%	67.1%	66.7%	1.01×	1.49
1st half highest scoring	29.4%	32.9%	33.3%	0.99×	3.04

Highest scoring quarter 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 highest scoring	33.8%	31.9%	31.2%	1.02×	3.14
Q3 highest scoring	32.1%	31.9%	31.3%	1.02×	3.14
Q1 highest scoring	17.8%	18.3%	19.6%	0.94×	5.46
Q2 highest scoring	16.3%	18.3%	17.9%	1.02×	5.46

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fairfield Stags at HT / Fairfield Stags at FT	60.0%	56.9%	48.3%	1.18×	1.76
Vermont Catamounts at HT / Fairfield Stags at FT	16.1%	15.5%	9.8%	1.58×	6.47
Vermont Catamounts at HT / Vermont Catamounts at FT	13.4%	12.2%	30.1%	0.41×	8.17
Fairfield Stags at HT / Vermont Catamounts at FT	6.5%	8.3%	8.2%	1.01×	12.09
Level at HT / Fairfield Stags at FT	3.0%	2.1%	1.9%	1.09×	47.74
Level at HT / Vermont Catamounts at FT	1.0%	2.1%	1.8%	1.20×	47.77

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fairfield Stags to win	79.1%	75.1%	59.9%	1.25×	1.33
Vermont Catamounts to win	20.9%	24.9%	40.1%	0.62×	4.02

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Total points odd	51.4%	50.5%	51.5%	0.98×	1.98
Fairfield Stags even	50.0%	50.5%	49.4%	1.02×	1.98
Vermont Catamounts even	50.3%	50.5%	50.1%	1.01×	1.98
Fairfield Stags odd	50.0%	49.5%	50.6%	0.98×	2.02
Vermont Catamounts odd	49.7%	49.5%	49.9%	0.99×	2.02
Total points even	48.6%	49.5%	48.5%	1.02×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	95.0%	94.0%	95.6%	0.98×	1.06
Match to go to overtime	5.0%	6.0%	4.4%	1.35×	16.66

Q1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fairfield Stags to win Q1	59.8%	57.3%	54.7%	1.05×	1.75
Vermont Catamounts to win Q1	34.4%	30.4%	40.4%	0.75×	3.29
Q1 tied	5.8%	5.5%	4.9%	1.11×	18.32

Q1 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 under 37.5	89.4%	87.4%	81.6%	1.07×	1.14
Q1 over 21.5	87.5%	87.4%	91.5%	0.96×	1.14
Q1 under 34.5	78.8%	76.9%	68.5%	1.12×	1.30
Q1 over 24.5	75.7%	76.9%	81.8%	0.94×	1.30
Q1 under 32.5	69.2%	67.6%	59.1%	1.14×	1.48
Q1 over 26.5	65.4%	67.6%	72.9%	0.93×	1.48
Q1 under 30.5	58.1%	58.6%	48.8%	1.20×	1.71
Q1 over 28.5	53.8%	52.7%	62.7%	0.84×	1.90
Q1 under 29.5	52.2%	52.7%	43.1%	1.22×	1.90
Q1 over 29.5	47.8%	47.3%	56.9%	0.83×	2.11
Q1 under 28.5	46.2%	47.3%	37.3%	1.27×	2.11
Q1 over 30.5	41.9%	41.4%	51.2%	0.81×	2.42
Q1 under 26.5	34.6%	32.4%	27.1%	1.20×	3.08
Q1 over 32.5	30.8%	32.4%	40.9%	0.79×	3.08
Q1 under 24.5	24.3%	23.1%	18.2%	1.27×	4.33
Q1 over 34.5	21.2%	23.1%	31.5%	0.73×	4.33
Q1 under 21.5	12.5%	12.6%	8.5%	1.49×	7.95
Q1 over 37.5	10.6%	12.6%	18.4%	0.68×	7.95

Q2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fairfield Stags to win Q2	59.5%	59.4%	52.9%	1.12×	1.68
Vermont Catamounts to win Q2	34.8%	31.9%	41.5%	0.77×	3.14
Q2 tied	5.7%	6.1%	5.7%	1.07×	16.50

Q2 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q2 under 37.5	90.2%	90.8%	82.3%	1.10×	1.10
Q2 over 21.5	86.5%	87.3%	90.2%	0.97×	1.15
Q2 under 34.5	80.1%	83.0%	70.1%	1.18×	1.21
Q2 over 24.5	74.2%	72.0%	80.7%	0.89×	1.39
Q2 under 32.5	70.8%	72.0%	60.8%	1.18×	1.39
Q2 over 26.5	63.7%	60.7%	71.6%	0.85×	1.65
Q2 under 30.5	59.8%	58.2%	50.1%	1.16×	1.72
Q2 under 29.5	54.0%	52.7%	44.2%	1.19×	1.90
Q2 over 28.5	52.0%	52.7%	61.2%	0.86×	1.90
Q2 under 28.5	48.0%	47.3%	38.8%	1.22×	2.11
Q2 over 29.5	46.0%	47.3%	55.8%	0.85×	2.11
Q2 over 30.5	40.2%	41.8%	49.9%	0.84×	2.39
Q2 under 26.5	36.3%	39.3%	28.4%	1.38×	2.55
Q2 over 32.5	29.2%	28.0%	39.2%	0.71×	3.57
Q2 under 24.5	25.8%	28.0%	19.3%	1.45×	3.57
Q2 over 34.5	19.9%	17.0%	29.9%	0.57×	5.88
Q2 under 21.5	13.5%	12.7%	9.8%	1.30×	7.89
Q2 over 37.5	9.8%	9.2%	17.7%	0.52×	10.83

Q3 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fairfield Stags to win Q3	60.6%	60.8%	53.3%	1.14×	1.64
Vermont Catamounts to win Q3	33.7%	33.8%	41.8%	0.81×	2.96
Q3 tied	5.6%	5.3%	4.9%	1.07×	18.97

Q3 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 over 23.5	88.6%	87.2%	92.2%	0.95×	1.15
Q3 under 39.5	87.1%	87.2%	77.9%	1.12×	1.15
Q3 over 26.5	77.7%	77.3%	83.8%	0.92×	1.29
Q3 under 36.5	75.7%	77.3%	64.6%	1.20×	1.29
Q3 over 28.5	68.0%	67.8%	76.4%	0.89×	1.48
Q3 under 34.5	65.8%	67.8%	54.6%	1.24×	1.48
Q3 over 30.5	57.0%	58.4%	66.8%	0.87×	1.71
Q3 under 32.5	54.6%	52.3%	43.9%	1.19×	1.91
Q3 over 31.5	51.2%	52.3%	61.6%	0.85×	1.91
Q3 under 31.5	48.8%	47.7%	38.4%	1.24×	2.10
Q3 over 32.5	45.4%	47.7%	56.1%	0.85×	2.10
Q3 under 30.5	43.0%	41.6%	33.2%	1.26×	2.40
Q3 over 34.5	34.2%	32.2%	45.4%	0.71×	3.10
Q3 under 28.5	32.0%	32.2%	23.6%	1.36×	3.10
Q3 over 36.5	24.3%	22.7%	35.4%	0.64×	4.40
Q3 under 26.5	22.3%	22.7%	16.2%	1.40×	4.40
Q3 over 39.5	12.9%	12.8%	22.1%	0.58×	7.83
Q3 under 23.5	11.4%	12.8%	7.8%	1.64×	7.83

Q4 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fairfield Stags to win Q4	60.4%	57.8%	52.8%	1.09×	1.73
Vermont Catamounts to win Q4	34.0%	37.4%	41.5%	0.90×	2.67
Q4 tied	5.5%	5.8%	5.7%	1.02×	17.26

Q4 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 under 40.5	88.4%	85.6%	80.6%	1.06×	1.17
Q4 over 24.5	84.3%	82.0%	89.0%	0.92×	1.22
Q4 under 37.5	78.4%	76.9%	68.8%	1.12×	1.30
Q4 over 27.5	72.2%	71.5%	78.9%	0.91×	1.40
Q4 under 35.5	69.6%	67.4%	59.4%	1.14×	1.48
Q4 over 29.5	62.3%	61.4%	70.8%	0.87×	1.63
Q4 under 33.5	59.4%	58.4%	49.6%	1.18×	1.71
Q4 under 32.5	54.0%	52.5%	44.6%	1.18×	1.91
Q4 over 31.5	51.5%	52.5%	61.1%	0.86×	1.91
Q4 under 31.5	48.5%	47.5%	38.9%	1.22×	2.11
Q4 over 32.5	46.0%	47.5%	55.4%	0.86×	2.11
Q4 over 33.5	40.6%	41.6%	50.4%	0.83×	2.40
Q4 under 29.5	37.7%	38.6%	29.2%	1.32×	2.59
Q4 over 35.5	30.4%	32.6%	40.6%	0.80×	3.07
Q4 under 27.5	27.8%	28.5%	21.1%	1.35×	3.51
Q4 over 37.5	21.6%	23.1%	31.2%	0.74×	4.33
Q4 under 24.5	15.7%	18.0%	11.0%	1.64×	5.56
Q4 over 40.5	11.6%	14.4%	19.4%	0.74×	6.95

Team total 44

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vermont Catamounts under 66.5	87.5%	83.9%	62.7%	1.34×	1.19
Fairfield Stags under 75.5	86.4%	83.9%	73.2%	1.15×	1.19
Vermont Catamounts over 46.5	87.1%	83.9%	89.7%	0.94×	1.19
Fairfield Stags over 55.5	84.6%	80.7%	81.6%	0.99×	1.24
Vermont Catamounts under 63.5	79.6%	75.1%	53.9%	1.39×	1.33
Fairfield Stags under 72.5	78.3%	75.1%	65.7%	1.14×	1.33
Vermont Catamounts over 49.5	77.4%	75.1%	85.1%	0.88×	1.33
Fairfield Stags over 58.5	75.8%	75.1%	74.7%	1.01×	1.33
Fairfield Stags under 70.5	71.6%	70.7%	60.3%	1.17×	1.41
Vermont Catamounts under 61.5	72.8%	70.7%	47.9%	1.48×	1.41
Fairfield Stags over 60.5	68.8%	66.4%	69.5%	0.96×	1.51
Vermont Catamounts over 51.5	69.7%	66.4%	81.0%	0.82×	1.51
Vermont Catamounts under 59.5	65.1%	66.4%	41.2%	1.61×	1.51
Fairfield Stags under 68.5	64.0%	61.2%	54.4%	1.12×	1.63
Fairfield Stags over 62.5	60.9%	61.2%	64.3%	0.95×	1.63
Vermont Catamounts over 53.5	61.2%	61.2%	76.3%	0.80×	1.63
Vermont Catamounts under 57.5	56.6%	57.1%	34.9%	1.64×	1.75
Fairfield Stags under 66.5	55.8%	57.1%	48.2%	1.19×	1.75
Fairfield Stags over 64.5	52.6%	52.3%	58.4%	0.89×	1.91
Fairfield Stags under 65.5	51.6%	52.3%	44.7%	1.17×	1.91
Vermont Catamounts over 55.5	52.3%	52.3%	70.8%	0.74×	1.91
Vermont Catamounts under 56.5	52.2%	52.3%	32.0%	1.63×	1.91
Fairfield Stags under 64.5	47.4%	47.7%	41.6%	1.15×	2.09
Fairfield Stags over 65.5	48.4%	47.7%	55.3%	0.86×	2.09
Vermont Catamounts under 55.5	47.7%	47.7%	29.2%	1.63×	2.09
Vermont Catamounts over 56.5	47.8%	47.7%	68.0%	0.70×	2.09
Fairfield Stags over 66.5	44.2%	42.9%	51.8%	0.83×	2.33
Vermont Catamounts over 57.5	43.4%	42.9%	65.1%	0.66×	2.33
Fairfield Stags under 62.5	39.1%	38.8%	35.7%	1.09×	2.58
Vermont Catamounts under 53.5	38.8%	38.8%	23.7%	1.64×	2.58
Fairfield Stags over 68.5	36.0%	38.8%	45.6%	0.85×	2.58
Vermont Catamounts over 59.5	34.9%	33.6%	58.8%	0.57×	2.98
Fairfield Stags under 60.5	31.2%	33.6%	30.5%	1.10×	2.98
Vermont Catamounts under 51.5	30.3%	33.6%	19.0%	1.77×	2.98
Fairfield Stags over 70.5	28.4%	29.3%	39.7%	0.74×	3.42
Vermont Catamounts over 61.5	27.2%	29.3%	52.1%	0.56×	3.42
Fairfield Stags under 58.5	24.2%	24.9%	25.3%	0.98×	4.02
Vermont Catamounts under 49.5	22.6%	24.9%	14.9%	1.67×	4.02
Fairfield Stags over 72.5	21.7%	24.9%	34.3%	0.72×	4.02
Vermont Catamounts over 63.5	20.4%	24.9%	46.1%	0.54×	4.02
Fairfield Stags under 55.5	15.4%	19.3%	18.5%	1.05×	5.18
Fairfield Stags over 75.5	13.6%	16.1%	26.8%	0.60×	6.21
Vermont Catamounts under 46.5	12.9%	16.1%	10.3%	1.56×	6.21
Vermont Catamounts over 66.5	12.5%	16.1%	37.3%	0.43×	6.21

Total points 30

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 101.5 points	92.5%	88.8%	94.8%	0.94×	1.13
Under 141.5 points	91.6%	88.8%	73.4%	1.21×	1.13
Under 136.5 points	85.1%	85.0%	64.2%	1.32×	1.18
Over 106.5 points	85.4%	85.0%	91.0%	0.93×	1.18
Under 131.5 points	76.0%	75.6%	53.9%	1.40×	1.32
Over 111.5 points	75.2%	75.6%	85.1%	0.89×	1.32
Under 128.5 points	69.2%	65.9%	47.2%	1.40×	1.52
Over 114.5 points	68.0%	65.9%	80.4%	0.82×	1.52
Under 126.5 points	64.3%	61.5%	42.6%	1.44×	1.63
Over 116.5 points	62.8%	61.5%	77.2%	0.80×	1.63
Under 124.5 points	59.0%	56.5%	38.5%	1.47×	1.77
Over 118.5 points	57.4%	56.5%	73.6%	0.77×	1.77
Under 122.5 points	53.6%	52.3%	34.4%	1.52×	1.91
Over 120.5 points	51.9%	52.3%	69.8%	0.75×	1.91
Under 121.5 points	51.0%	52.3%	32.3%	1.62×	1.91
Over 121.5 points	49.0%	47.7%	67.7%	0.70×	2.10
Under 120.5 points	48.1%	47.7%	30.2%	1.58×	2.10
Over 122.5 points	46.4%	47.7%	65.6%	0.73×	2.10
Under 118.5 points	42.6%	43.5%	26.4%	1.64×	2.30
Over 124.5 points	41.0%	43.5%	61.5%	0.71×	2.30
Under 116.5 points	37.2%	38.5%	22.8%	1.69×	2.60
Over 126.5 points	35.7%	38.5%	57.4%	0.67×	2.60
Under 114.5 points	32.0%	34.1%	19.6%	1.74×	2.93
Over 128.5 points	30.8%	34.1%	52.8%	0.65×	2.93
Under 111.5 points	24.8%	24.4%	14.9%	1.63×	4.10
Over 131.5 points	24.0%	24.4%	46.1%	0.53×	4.10
Over 136.5 points	14.9%	15.0%	35.8%	0.42×	6.68
Under 106.5 points	14.6%	15.0%	9.0%	1.67×	6.68
Over 141.5 points	8.4%	11.2%	26.6%	0.42×	8.96
Under 101.5 points	7.5%	11.2%	5.2%	2.15×	8.97

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fairfield Stags to win both halves	42.2%	40.6%	36.0%	1.13×	2.46
Vermont Catamounts to win both halves	6.1%	8.8%	20.4%	0.43×	11.33

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fairfield Stags by 6-10	18.6%	16.8%	12.9%	1.30×	5.97
Fairfield Stags by 1-5	16.3%	16.8%	10.2%	1.64×	5.97
Fairfield Stags by 11-15	17.3%	16.8%	10.8%	1.55×	5.97
Fairfield Stags by 16-20	13.0%	12.3%	8.0%	1.53×	8.11
Vermont Catamounts by 1-5	10.7%	12.3%	10.2%	1.21×	8.11
Fairfield Stags by 21-25	7.9%	7.5%	5.4%	1.39×	13.40
Vermont Catamounts by 6-10	6.0%	7.5%	10.3%	0.72×	13.40
Fairfield Stags by 26+	6.0%	7.5%	12.6%	0.59×	13.40
Vermont Catamounts by 11-15	2.8%	2.0%	7.6%	0.27×	49.30
Vermont Catamounts by 16-20	1.0%	2.0%	4.8%	0.43×	49.32
Vermont Catamounts by 21-25	0.3%	2.0%	2.7%	0.76×	49.33
Vermont Catamounts by 26+	0.1%	2.0%	4.6%	0.44×	49.33

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