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Fairleigh Dickinson Knights v Manhattan Jaspers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 12 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights win
91.2%
Draw
0.0%
Manhattan Jaspers win
8.8%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 66.41–51.06 66-51 0% 56% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.35
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Manhattan Jaspers to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.71× 283.36
Manhattan Jaspers to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Manhattan Jaspers to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Manhattan Jaspers to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights to win H1 76.9% 79.2% 56.4% 1.40× 1.26
Manhattan Jaspers to win H1 19.8% 16.9% 39.9% 0.42× 5.90
H1 tied 3.4% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 69.5 89.5% 87.7% 76.2% 1.15× 1.14
H1 over 45.5 88.9% 87.7% 93.5% 0.94× 1.14
H1 under 65.5 80.2% 82.5% 63.9% 1.29× 1.21
H1 over 49.5 78.8% 77.4% 86.7% 0.89× 1.29
H1 under 62.5 70.7% 73.5% 53.7% 1.37× 1.36
H1 over 52.5 68.6% 67.4% 79.6% 0.85× 1.48
H1 under 60.5 63.3% 62.7% 46.1% 1.36× 1.59
H1 over 54.5 60.9% 62.7% 74.0% 0.85× 1.59
H1 under 58.5 55.4% 58.2% 38.6% 1.51× 1.72
H1 over 56.5 52.8% 52.6% 68.2% 0.77× 1.90
H1 under 57.5 51.3% 52.6% 35.2% 1.50× 1.90
H1 over 57.5 48.7% 47.4% 64.8% 0.73× 2.11
H1 under 56.5 47.2% 47.4% 31.8% 1.49× 2.11
H1 over 58.5 44.6% 41.8% 61.4% 0.68× 2.39
H1 under 54.5 39.1% 37.3% 26.0% 1.43× 2.68
H1 over 60.5 36.7% 37.3% 53.9% 0.69× 2.68
H1 under 52.5 31.4% 32.6% 20.4% 1.60× 3.07
H1 over 62.5 29.3% 26.5% 46.3% 0.57× 3.77
H1 under 49.5 21.2% 22.6% 13.3% 1.70× 4.43
H1 over 65.5 19.8% 17.5% 36.1% 0.48× 5.72
H1 under 45.5 11.1% 12.3% 6.5% 1.89× 8.14
H1 over 69.5 10.5% 12.3% 23.8% 0.52× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights to win H2 78.3% 73.9% 56.0% 1.32× 1.35
Manhattan Jaspers to win H2 18.5% 20.4% 40.6% 0.50× 4.89
H2 tied 3.1% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.36
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 50.5 88.8% 85.2% 94.0% 0.91× 1.17
H2 under 74.5 87.6% 85.2% 69.9% 1.22× 1.17
H2 over 54.5 79.1% 75.8% 88.0% 0.86× 1.32
H2 under 70.5 78.0% 75.8% 57.8% 1.31× 1.32
H2 over 57.5 69.4% 66.4% 82.2% 0.81× 1.51
H2 under 67.5 68.4% 66.4% 47.9% 1.39× 1.51
H2 over 59.5 62.1% 61.6% 77.0% 0.80× 1.62
H2 under 65.5 61.2% 61.6% 41.2% 1.49× 1.62
H2 over 61.5 54.4% 52.4% 71.3% 0.73× 1.91
H2 under 63.5 53.5% 52.4% 34.7% 1.51× 1.91
H2 over 62.5 50.4% 52.4% 68.3% 0.77× 1.91
H2 under 62.5 49.6% 47.6% 31.7% 1.50× 2.10
H2 under 61.5 45.6% 47.6% 28.7% 1.66× 2.10
H2 over 63.5 46.5% 47.6% 65.3% 0.73× 2.10
H2 under 59.5 37.9% 38.4% 23.0% 1.67× 2.61
H2 over 65.5 38.8% 38.4% 58.8% 0.65× 2.61
H2 under 57.5 30.6% 33.6% 17.8% 1.89× 2.97
H2 over 67.5 31.6% 33.6% 52.1% 0.64× 2.97
H2 over 70.5 22.0% 24.2% 42.2% 0.57× 4.13
H2 under 54.5 20.9% 24.2% 12.0% 2.01× 4.13
H2 over 74.5 12.4% 14.8% 30.1% 0.49× 6.76
H2 under 50.5 11.2% 14.8% 6.0% 2.45× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights leading at half time 76.9% 79.7% 56.4% 1.41× 1.26
Manhattan Jaspers leading at half time 19.8% 17.1% 39.9% 0.43× 5.86
Level at half time 3.4% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.41
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights +14.5 99.6% 97.4% 86.7% 1.12× 1.03
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights +16.5 99.8% 97.4% 89.1% 1.09× 1.03
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights +18.5 99.9% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights +20.5 99.9% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights +6.5 97.2% 97.4% 72.3% 1.35× 1.03
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights +7.5 97.7% 97.4% 74.5% 1.31× 1.03
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights +8.5 98.2% 97.4% 76.5% 1.27× 1.03
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights +9.5 98.5% 97.4% 78.7% 1.24× 1.03
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights +10.5 98.9% 97.4% 80.4% 1.21× 1.03
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights +12.5 99.3% 97.4% 83.8% 1.16× 1.03
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights +4.5 95.7% 97.4% 67.8% 1.44× 1.03
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights +5.5 96.5% 97.4% 70.1% 1.39× 1.03
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights +3.5 94.8% 91.1% 65.7% 1.39× 1.10
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights +1.5 92.5% 91.1% 61.2% 1.49× 1.10
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights +2.5 93.8% 91.1% 63.3% 1.44× 1.10
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights −1.5 89.4% 85.9% 58.7% 1.46× 1.16
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights −2.5 87.4% 85.9% 56.7% 1.51× 1.16
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights −3.5 85.2% 85.9% 54.2% 1.58× 1.16
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights −4.5 82.8% 81.1% 52.2% 1.56× 1.23
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights −5.5 80.2% 81.1% 49.7% 1.63× 1.23
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights −6.5 77.4% 76.5% 47.6% 1.61× 1.31
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights −7.5 74.4% 71.6% 44.8% 1.60× 1.40
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights −8.5 71.2% 71.6% 42.0% 1.71× 1.40
Manhattan Jaspers +20.5 72.1% 71.6% 82.0% 0.87× 1.40
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights −9.5 67.8% 66.7% 39.3% 1.70× 1.50
Manhattan Jaspers +18.5 65.4% 66.7% 79.3% 0.84× 1.50
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights −10.5 64.3% 61.9% 36.8% 1.68× 1.62
Manhattan Jaspers +16.5 58.1% 57.1% 75.7% 0.75× 1.75
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights −12.5 57.0% 57.1% 32.1% 1.78× 1.75
Manhattan Jaspers +14.5 50.5% 52.4% 72.1% 0.73× 1.91
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights −14.5 49.5% 47.6% 27.9% 1.71× 2.10
Manhattan Jaspers +12.5 43.0% 42.9% 67.9% 0.63× 2.33
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights −16.5 41.9% 42.9% 24.3% 1.77× 2.33
Manhattan Jaspers +10.5 35.7% 38.1% 63.2% 0.60× 2.63
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights −18.5 34.6% 33.3% 20.7% 1.61× 3.01
Manhattan Jaspers +9.5 32.2% 33.3% 60.7% 0.55× 3.01
Manhattan Jaspers +8.5 28.8% 28.4% 58.0% 0.49× 3.53
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights −20.5 27.9% 28.4% 18.0% 1.58× 3.53
Manhattan Jaspers +7.5 25.6% 28.4% 55.2% 0.51× 3.53
Manhattan Jaspers +6.5 22.6% 23.5% 52.4% 0.45× 4.25
Manhattan Jaspers +5.5 19.8% 18.9% 50.3% 0.38× 5.29
Manhattan Jaspers +4.5 17.2% 18.9% 47.8% 0.39× 5.29
Manhattan Jaspers +3.5 14.8% 14.1% 45.8% 0.31× 7.09
Manhattan Jaspers +2.5 12.6% 14.1% 43.3% 0.33× 7.09
Manhattan Jaspers +1.5 10.6% 14.1% 41.3% 0.34× 7.09
Manhattan Jaspers −1.5 7.5% 8.9% 38.8% 0.23× 11.25
Manhattan Jaspers −2.5 6.2% 8.9% 36.7% 0.24× 11.25
Manhattan Jaspers −3.5 5.2% 8.9% 34.3% 0.26× 11.25
Manhattan Jaspers −6.5 2.8% 2.6% 27.7% 0.09× 38.73
Manhattan Jaspers −7.5 2.3% 2.6% 25.5% 0.10× 38.73
Manhattan Jaspers −8.5 1.8% 2.6% 23.5% 0.11× 38.73
Manhattan Jaspers −9.5 1.5% 2.6% 21.3% 0.12× 38.73
Manhattan Jaspers −10.5 1.1% 2.6% 19.6% 0.13× 38.74
Manhattan Jaspers −12.5 0.7% 2.6% 16.2% 0.16× 38.74
Manhattan Jaspers −4.5 4.3% 2.6% 32.2% 0.08× 38.72
Manhattan Jaspers −5.5 3.5% 2.6% 29.9% 0.09× 38.73
Manhattan Jaspers −14.5 0.4% 2.6% 13.3% 0.19× 38.74
Manhattan Jaspers −16.5 0.2% 2.6% 10.9% 0.24× 38.74
Manhattan Jaspers −18.5 0.1% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.74
Manhattan Jaspers −20.5 0.1% 2.6% 7.3% 0.35× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 70.4% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 29.7% 33.0% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 33.7% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.0% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.9% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 16.4% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights at HT / Fairleigh Dickinson Knights at FT 73.9% 73.2% 48.3% 1.52× 1.37
Manhattan Jaspers at HT / Fairleigh Dickinson Knights at FT 14.3% 12.2% 9.8% 1.25× 8.17
Manhattan Jaspers at HT / Manhattan Jaspers at FT 5.4% 8.3% 30.1% 0.27× 12.10
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights at HT / Manhattan Jaspers at FT 3.0% 2.1% 8.2% 0.26× 47.74
Level at HT / Fairleigh Dickinson Knights at FT 2.9% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.74
Level at HT / Manhattan Jaspers at FT 0.5% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.78
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights to win 91.2% 90.6% 59.9% 1.51× 1.10
Manhattan Jaspers to win 8.8% 9.4% 40.1% 0.24× 10.62
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights even 50.0% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Manhattan Jaspers even 50.6% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Total points odd 50.8% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Manhattan Jaspers odd 49.4% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 49.2% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 96.3% 97.0% 95.6% 1.02× 1.03
Match to go to overtime 3.7% 3.0% 4.4% 0.68× 33.41
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights to win Q1 67.5% 72.3% 54.7% 1.32× 1.38
Manhattan Jaspers to win Q1 27.1% 22.4% 40.4% 0.56× 4.46
Q1 tied 5.4% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.33
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 37.5 90.6% 91.1% 81.6% 1.12× 1.10
Q1 over 21.5 86.6% 87.4% 91.5% 0.96× 1.14
Q1 under 34.5 80.6% 82.8% 68.5% 1.21× 1.21
Q1 over 24.5 74.2% 72.7% 81.8% 0.89× 1.38
Q1 under 32.5 71.3% 72.7% 59.1% 1.23× 1.38
Q1 over 26.5 63.5% 61.7% 72.9% 0.85× 1.62
Q1 under 30.5 60.3% 61.7% 48.8% 1.27× 1.62
Q1 under 29.5 54.4% 52.7% 43.1% 1.22× 1.90
Q1 over 28.5 51.6% 52.7% 62.7% 0.84× 1.90
Q1 under 28.5 48.4% 47.3% 37.3% 1.27× 2.11
Q1 over 29.5 45.6% 47.3% 56.9% 0.83× 2.11
Q1 over 30.5 39.7% 38.3% 51.2% 0.75× 2.61
Q1 under 26.5 36.5% 38.3% 27.1% 1.41× 2.61
Q1 over 32.5 28.7% 27.3% 40.9% 0.67× 3.66
Q1 under 24.5 25.8% 27.3% 18.2% 1.50× 3.66
Q1 over 34.5 19.4% 17.2% 31.5% 0.54× 5.83
Q1 under 21.5 13.4% 12.6% 8.5% 1.49× 7.95
Q1 over 37.5 9.4% 8.9% 18.4% 0.49× 11.20
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights to win Q2 67.0% 68.4% 52.9% 1.29× 1.46
Manhattan Jaspers to win Q2 27.7% 27.7% 41.5% 0.67× 3.61
Q2 tied 5.3% 6.1% 5.7% 1.06× 16.50
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 over 20.5 88.7% 87.3% 92.7% 0.94× 1.15
Q2 under 36.5 88.7% 87.3% 78.7% 1.11× 1.15
Q2 over 23.5 77.5% 76.8% 84.6% 0.91× 1.30
Q2 under 33.5 77.6% 76.8% 65.6% 1.17× 1.30
Q2 under 31.5 67.6% 67.4% 55.7% 1.21× 1.49
Q2 over 25.5 67.4% 67.4% 76.2% 0.88× 1.49
Q2 under 29.5 56.2% 58.2% 44.2% 1.32× 1.72
Q2 over 27.5 55.8% 58.2% 66.7% 0.87× 1.72
Q2 under 28.5 50.2% 52.7% 38.8% 1.36× 1.90
Q2 over 28.5 49.8% 47.3% 61.2% 0.77× 2.11
Q2 under 27.5 44.2% 41.8% 33.3% 1.26× 2.39
Q2 over 29.5 43.8% 41.8% 55.8% 0.75× 2.39
Q2 under 25.5 32.6% 32.6% 23.8% 1.37× 3.06
Q2 over 31.5 32.4% 32.6% 44.3% 0.74× 3.06
Q2 under 23.5 22.5% 23.2% 15.4% 1.51× 4.31
Q2 over 33.5 22.4% 23.2% 34.4% 0.67× 4.31
Q2 under 20.5 11.3% 12.7% 7.3% 1.74× 7.90
Q2 over 36.5 11.3% 12.7% 21.3% 0.60× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights to win Q3 68.7% 66.8% 53.3% 1.25× 1.50
Manhattan Jaspers to win Q3 26.1% 28.8% 41.8% 0.69× 3.48
Q3 tied 5.1% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.98
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 39.5 88.6% 87.2% 77.9% 1.12× 1.15
Q3 over 23.5 87.7% 87.2% 92.2% 0.95× 1.15
Q3 under 36.5 77.8% 77.3% 64.6% 1.20× 1.29
Q3 over 26.5 76.2% 77.3% 83.8% 0.92× 1.29
Q3 under 34.5 68.1% 67.8% 54.6% 1.24× 1.48
Q3 over 28.5 66.1% 67.8% 76.4% 0.89× 1.48
Q3 under 32.5 57.0% 58.4% 43.9% 1.33× 1.71
Q3 over 30.5 54.8% 52.3% 66.8% 0.78× 1.91
Q3 under 31.5 51.1% 52.3% 38.4% 1.36× 1.91
Q3 over 31.5 48.9% 47.7% 61.6% 0.77× 2.10
Q3 under 30.5 45.2% 47.7% 33.2% 1.44× 2.10
Q3 over 32.5 43.0% 41.6% 56.1% 0.74× 2.40
Q3 under 28.5 33.9% 32.2% 23.6% 1.36× 3.10
Q3 over 34.5 31.9% 32.2% 45.4% 0.71× 3.11
Q3 under 26.5 23.8% 22.7% 16.2% 1.40× 4.40
Q3 over 36.5 22.2% 22.7% 35.4% 0.64× 4.40
Q3 under 23.5 12.3% 12.8% 7.8% 1.64× 7.83
Q3 over 39.5 11.4% 12.8% 22.1% 0.58× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights to win Q4 68.4% 60.7% 52.8% 1.15× 1.65
Manhattan Jaspers to win Q4 26.5% 33.3% 41.5% 0.80× 3.00
Q4 tied 5.1% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.26
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 39.5 87.0% 85.6% 77.0% 1.11× 1.17
Q4 over 23.5 86.5% 85.6% 91.2% 0.94× 1.17
Q4 under 36.5 76.2% 76.9% 64.3% 1.20× 1.30
Q4 over 26.5 75.2% 76.9% 82.6% 0.93× 1.30
Q4 under 34.5 66.8% 67.4% 54.4% 1.24× 1.48
Q4 over 28.5 65.6% 67.4% 75.1% 0.90× 1.48
Q4 under 32.5 56.2% 58.4% 44.6% 1.31× 1.71
Q4 over 30.5 54.8% 52.5% 66.3% 0.79× 1.91
Q4 under 31.5 50.7% 52.5% 38.9% 1.35× 1.91
Q4 over 31.5 49.3% 47.5% 61.1% 0.78× 2.11
Q4 under 30.5 45.2% 47.5% 33.7% 1.41× 2.11
Q4 over 32.5 43.8% 41.6% 55.4% 0.75× 2.40
Q4 under 28.5 34.4% 32.6% 24.9% 1.31× 3.07
Q4 over 34.5 33.2% 32.6% 45.6% 0.72× 3.07
Q4 under 26.5 24.8% 23.1% 17.4% 1.33× 4.33
Q4 over 36.5 23.8% 23.1% 35.7% 0.65× 4.33
Q4 under 23.5 13.5% 14.4% 8.8% 1.63× 6.95
Q4 over 39.5 13.0% 14.4% 23.0% 0.62× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Manhattan Jaspers under 63.5 90.1% 86.4% 53.9% 1.60× 1.16
Manhattan Jaspers over 43.5 88.5% 83.9% 93.7% 0.90× 1.19
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights under 77.5 86.6% 83.9% 77.4% 1.08× 1.19
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights over 57.5 84.9% 80.7% 77.2% 1.05× 1.24
Manhattan Jaspers under 60.5 83.0% 80.7% 44.4% 1.82× 1.24
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights under 74.5 78.5% 75.1% 70.7% 1.06× 1.33
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights over 60.5 76.1% 75.1% 69.5% 1.08× 1.33
Manhattan Jaspers over 46.5 76.8% 75.1% 89.7% 0.84× 1.33
Manhattan Jaspers under 58.5 76.7% 75.1% 37.9% 1.98× 1.33
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights under 72.5 71.7% 70.7% 65.7% 1.08× 1.41
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights over 62.5 68.9% 66.4% 64.3% 1.03× 1.51
Manhattan Jaspers under 56.5 69.2% 66.4% 32.0% 2.08× 1.51
Manhattan Jaspers over 48.5 67.8% 66.4% 86.7% 0.77× 1.51
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights under 70.5 64.1% 61.2% 60.3% 1.01× 1.63
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights over 64.5 61.0% 61.2% 58.4% 1.05× 1.63
Manhattan Jaspers under 54.5 60.7% 61.2% 26.5% 2.31× 1.63
Manhattan Jaspers over 50.5 58.3% 57.1% 83.1% 0.69× 1.75
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights under 68.5 55.9% 57.1% 54.4% 1.05× 1.75
Manhattan Jaspers under 53.5 56.1% 57.1% 23.7% 2.41× 1.75
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights over 66.5 52.6% 52.3% 51.8% 1.01× 1.91
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights under 67.5 51.6% 52.3% 51.3% 1.02× 1.91
Manhattan Jaspers under 52.5 51.4% 52.3% 21.5% 2.43× 1.91
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights under 66.5 47.4% 47.7% 48.2% 0.99× 2.09
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights over 67.5 48.4% 47.7% 48.7% 0.98× 2.09
Manhattan Jaspers over 52.5 48.6% 47.7% 78.5% 0.61× 2.09
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights over 68.5 44.1% 42.9% 45.6% 0.94× 2.33
Manhattan Jaspers over 53.5 43.9% 42.9% 76.3% 0.56× 2.33
Manhattan Jaspers under 50.5 41.7% 42.9% 16.9% 2.54× 2.33
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights under 64.5 39.0% 38.8% 41.6% 0.93× 2.58
Manhattan Jaspers over 54.5 39.3% 38.8% 73.5% 0.53× 2.58
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights over 70.5 35.9% 38.8% 39.7% 0.98× 2.58
Manhattan Jaspers under 48.5 32.2% 33.6% 13.3% 2.53× 2.98
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights under 62.5 31.1% 33.6% 35.7% 0.94× 2.98
Manhattan Jaspers over 56.5 30.8% 33.6% 68.0% 0.49× 2.98
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights over 72.5 28.3% 29.3% 34.3% 0.85× 3.42
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights under 60.5 23.9% 24.9% 30.5% 0.81× 4.02
Manhattan Jaspers under 46.5 23.2% 24.9% 10.3% 2.42× 4.02
Manhattan Jaspers over 58.5 23.3% 24.9% 62.1% 0.40× 4.02
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights over 74.5 21.5% 24.9% 29.3% 0.85× 4.02
Manhattan Jaspers over 60.5 17.0% 19.3% 55.6% 0.35× 5.18
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights under 57.5 15.1% 19.3% 22.8% 0.84× 5.18
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights over 77.5 13.4% 16.1% 22.6% 0.71× 6.21
Manhattan Jaspers under 43.5 11.5% 16.1% 6.3% 2.54× 6.21
Manhattan Jaspers over 63.5 9.9% 13.6% 46.1% 0.30× 7.35
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 100.5 points 93.2% 88.8% 95.6% 0.93× 1.13
Under 140.5 points 92.8% 88.8% 71.8% 1.24× 1.13
Under 135.5 points 86.9% 85.0% 62.4% 1.36× 1.18
Over 105.5 points 85.8% 85.0% 91.9% 0.93× 1.18
Under 130.5 points 78.2% 75.6% 51.7% 1.46× 1.32
Over 110.5 points 75.1% 75.6% 86.4% 0.87× 1.32
Under 127.5 points 71.6% 70.8% 44.9% 1.58× 1.41
Over 113.5 points 67.2% 65.9% 81.9% 0.80× 1.52
Under 125.5 points 66.6% 65.9% 40.5% 1.63× 1.52
Over 115.5 points 61.6% 61.5% 78.8% 0.78× 1.63
Under 123.5 points 61.3% 61.5% 36.7% 1.67× 1.63
Over 117.5 points 55.8% 56.5% 75.3% 0.75× 1.77
Under 121.5 points 55.7% 56.5% 32.3% 1.75× 1.77
Under 120.5 points 52.8% 52.3% 30.2% 1.73× 1.91
Over 119.5 points 50.0% 52.3% 71.6% 0.73× 1.91
Under 119.5 points 50.0% 47.7% 28.4% 1.68× 2.10
Over 120.5 points 47.2% 47.7% 69.8% 0.68× 2.10
Under 117.5 points 44.2% 43.5% 24.7% 1.76× 2.30
Over 121.5 points 44.3% 43.5% 67.7% 0.64× 2.30
Under 115.5 points 38.4% 38.5% 21.2% 1.82× 2.60
Over 123.5 points 38.7% 38.5% 63.3% 0.61× 2.60
Under 113.5 points 32.8% 34.1% 18.1% 1.89× 2.93
Over 125.5 points 33.4% 34.1% 59.5% 0.57× 2.93
Over 127.5 points 28.4% 29.2% 55.1% 0.53× 3.43
Under 110.5 points 24.9% 24.4% 13.6% 1.80× 4.10
Over 130.5 points 21.8% 24.4% 48.3% 0.50× 4.10
Under 105.5 points 14.2% 15.0% 8.1% 1.85× 6.68
Over 135.5 points 13.1% 15.0% 37.6% 0.40× 6.69
Under 100.5 points 6.8% 11.2% 4.4% 2.53× 8.97
Over 140.5 points 7.2% 11.2% 28.2% 0.40× 8.97
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights to win both halves 58.2% 57.8% 36.0% 1.60× 1.73
Manhattan Jaspers to win both halves 2.1% 3.0% 20.4% 0.15× 33.71
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights by 11-15 18.7% 16.8% 10.8% 1.55× 5.97
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights by 16-20 17.8% 16.8% 8.0% 2.08× 5.97
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights by 6-10 15.9% 16.8% 12.9% 1.30× 5.97
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights by 26+ 14.3% 12.3% 12.6% 0.98× 8.11
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights by 21-25 13.6% 12.3% 5.4% 2.29× 8.11
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights by 1-5 11.0% 12.3% 10.2% 1.21× 8.11
Manhattan Jaspers by 1-5 5.4% 7.5% 10.2% 0.73× 13.40
Manhattan Jaspers by 6-10 2.3% 2.0% 10.3% 0.20× 49.31
Manhattan Jaspers by 11-15 0.8% 2.0% 7.6% 0.27× 49.32
Manhattan Jaspers by 16-20 0.2% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.33
Manhattan Jaspers by 21-25 0.1% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.33
Manhattan Jaspers by 26+ 0.0% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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