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Florida State Seminoles v Florida A&M Rattlers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 8 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Florida State Seminoles win
97.8%
Draw
0.0%
Florida A&M Rattlers win
2.2%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 83.28–61.16 83-61 0% 50% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Florida State Seminoles to score 100+ 4.5% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 282.47
Florida State Seminoles to score 110+ 0.3% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.30
Florida State Seminoles to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.35
Florida State Seminoles to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Florida A&M Rattlers to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.72× 283.36
Florida A&M Rattlers to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Florida A&M Rattlers to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Florida A&M Rattlers to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Florida State Seminoles to win H1 87.4% 88.7% 56.4% 1.57× 1.13
Florida A&M Rattlers to win H1 10.4% 10.7% 39.9% 0.27× 9.32
H1 tied 2.2% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.87
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 81.5 89.0% 87.7% 95.5% 0.92× 1.14
H1 over 57.5 87.4% 87.7% 64.8% 1.35× 1.14
H1 under 77.5 79.7% 77.4% 91.6% 0.85× 1.29
H1 over 61.5 77.3% 77.4% 50.2% 1.54× 1.29
H1 under 74.5 70.4% 73.5% 87.2% 0.84× 1.36
H1 over 64.5 67.4% 67.4% 39.3% 1.72× 1.48
H1 under 72.5 63.3% 62.7% 83.6% 0.75× 1.59
H1 over 66.5 60.0% 58.2% 32.9% 1.77× 1.72
H1 under 70.5 55.6% 58.2% 78.9% 0.74× 1.72
H1 over 68.5 52.2% 52.6% 26.5% 1.99× 1.90
H1 under 69.5 51.7% 52.6% 76.2% 0.69× 1.90
H1 under 68.5 47.8% 47.4% 73.5% 0.64× 2.11
H1 over 69.5 48.3% 47.4% 23.8% 1.99× 2.11
H1 over 70.5 44.4% 41.8% 21.1% 1.98× 2.39
H1 under 66.5 40.0% 41.8% 67.1% 0.62× 2.39
H1 over 72.5 36.7% 37.3% 16.4% 2.27× 2.68
H1 under 64.5 32.6% 32.6% 60.7% 0.54× 3.07
H1 over 74.5 29.6% 26.5% 12.8% 2.07× 3.77
H1 under 61.5 22.7% 22.6% 49.8% 0.45× 4.43
H1 over 77.5 20.3% 22.6% 8.4% 2.69× 4.43
H1 under 57.5 12.6% 12.3% 35.2% 0.35× 8.14
H1 over 81.5 11.0% 12.3% 4.5% 2.74× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Florida State Seminoles to win H2 88.8% 84.2% 56.0% 1.50× 1.19
Florida A&M Rattlers to win H2 9.2% 11.3% 40.6% 0.28× 8.82
H2 tied 2.0% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.37
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 63.5 87.5% 85.2% 65.3% 1.30× 1.17
H2 under 87.5 86.8% 85.2% 93.2% 0.91× 1.17
H2 over 67.5 77.9% 75.8% 52.1% 1.45× 1.32
H2 under 83.5 77.0% 75.8% 88.9% 0.85× 1.32
H2 over 70.5 68.6% 66.4% 42.2% 1.57× 1.51
H2 under 80.5 67.7% 66.4% 84.0% 0.79× 1.51
H2 over 72.5 61.6% 61.6% 36.0% 1.71× 1.62
H2 under 78.5 60.7% 61.6% 80.1% 0.77× 1.62
H2 over 74.5 54.2% 52.4% 30.1% 1.74× 1.91
H2 under 76.5 53.3% 52.4% 75.6% 0.69× 1.91
H2 over 75.5 50.5% 52.4% 27.0% 1.94× 1.91
H2 under 75.5 49.5% 47.6% 73.0% 0.65× 2.10
H2 over 76.5 46.7% 47.6% 24.4% 1.95× 2.10
H2 under 74.5 45.8% 47.6% 69.9% 0.68× 2.10
H2 over 78.5 39.3% 38.4% 19.9% 1.93× 2.61
H2 under 72.5 38.4% 38.4% 64.1% 0.60× 2.61
H2 over 80.5 32.3% 33.6% 16.0% 2.11× 2.97
H2 under 70.5 31.4% 33.6% 57.8% 0.58× 2.97
H2 over 83.5 23.0% 24.2% 11.1% 2.18× 4.13
H2 under 67.5 22.1% 24.2% 47.9% 0.51× 4.13
H2 over 87.5 13.2% 14.8% 6.8% 2.18× 6.76
H2 under 63.5 12.5% 14.8% 34.7% 0.43× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Florida State Seminoles leading at half time 87.4% 89.4% 56.4% 1.58× 1.12
Florida A&M Rattlers leading at half time 10.4% 10.2% 39.9% 0.26× 9.78
Level at half time 2.2% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.43
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Florida State Seminoles +6.5 99.4% 97.4% 72.3% 1.35× 1.03
Florida State Seminoles +7.5 99.6% 97.4% 74.5% 1.31× 1.03
Florida State Seminoles +8.5 99.7% 97.4% 76.5% 1.27× 1.03
Florida State Seminoles +9.5 99.7% 97.4% 78.7% 1.24× 1.03
Florida State Seminoles +10.5 99.8% 97.4% 80.4% 1.21× 1.03
Florida State Seminoles +12.5 99.9% 97.4% 83.8% 1.16× 1.03
Florida State Seminoles +14.5 99.9% 97.4% 86.7% 1.12× 1.03
Florida State Seminoles +16.5 100.0% 97.4% 89.1% 1.09× 1.03
Florida State Seminoles +18.5 100.0% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
Florida State Seminoles +20.5 100.0% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
Florida State Seminoles −1.5 97.1% 97.4% 58.7% 1.66× 1.03
Florida State Seminoles +1.5 98.2% 97.4% 61.2% 1.59× 1.03
Florida State Seminoles −2.5 96.4% 97.4% 56.7% 1.72× 1.03
Florida State Seminoles +2.5 98.5% 97.4% 63.3% 1.54× 1.03
Florida State Seminoles −3.5 95.6% 97.4% 54.2% 1.80× 1.03
Florida State Seminoles +3.5 98.8% 97.4% 65.7% 1.48× 1.03
Florida State Seminoles +4.5 99.1% 97.4% 67.8% 1.44× 1.03
Florida State Seminoles +5.5 99.3% 97.4% 70.1% 1.39× 1.03
Florida State Seminoles −4.5 94.6% 91.1% 52.2% 1.75× 1.10
Florida State Seminoles −5.5 93.4% 91.1% 49.7% 1.83× 1.10
Florida State Seminoles −6.5 92.2% 91.1% 47.6% 1.91× 1.10
Florida State Seminoles −7.5 90.7% 91.1% 44.8% 2.04× 1.10
Florida State Seminoles −8.5 89.1% 85.9% 42.0% 2.05× 1.16
Florida State Seminoles −9.5 87.2% 85.9% 39.3% 2.19× 1.16
Florida State Seminoles −10.5 85.2% 85.9% 36.8% 2.33× 1.16
Florida State Seminoles −12.5 80.6% 81.1% 32.1% 2.52× 1.23
Florida State Seminoles −14.5 75.3% 76.5% 27.9% 2.74× 1.31
Florida State Seminoles −16.5 69.2% 66.7% 24.3% 2.75× 1.50
Florida State Seminoles −18.5 62.6% 61.9% 20.7% 2.99× 1.62
Florida State Seminoles −20.5 55.6% 57.1% 18.0% 3.17× 1.75
Florida A&M Rattlers +20.5 44.4% 42.9% 82.0% 0.52× 2.33
Florida A&M Rattlers +18.5 37.4% 38.1% 79.3% 0.48× 2.63
Florida A&M Rattlers +16.5 30.8% 33.3% 75.7% 0.44× 3.01
Florida A&M Rattlers +14.5 24.7% 23.5% 72.1% 0.33× 4.25
Florida A&M Rattlers +12.5 19.4% 18.9% 67.9% 0.28× 5.29
Florida A&M Rattlers +10.5 14.8% 14.1% 63.2% 0.22× 7.09
Florida A&M Rattlers +9.5 12.8% 14.1% 60.7% 0.23× 7.09
Florida A&M Rattlers +8.5 10.9% 14.1% 58.0% 0.24× 7.09
Florida A&M Rattlers +7.5 9.3% 8.9% 55.2% 0.16× 11.25
Florida A&M Rattlers +5.5 6.6% 8.9% 50.3% 0.18× 11.25
Florida A&M Rattlers +6.5 7.8% 8.9% 52.4% 0.17× 11.25
Florida A&M Rattlers +4.5 5.4% 8.9% 47.8% 0.19× 11.25
Florida A&M Rattlers +1.5 2.9% 2.6% 41.3% 0.06× 38.73
Florida A&M Rattlers −1.5 1.8% 2.6% 38.8% 0.07× 38.73
Florida A&M Rattlers +2.5 3.6% 2.6% 43.3% 0.06× 38.73
Florida A&M Rattlers −2.5 1.5% 2.6% 36.7% 0.07× 38.73
Florida A&M Rattlers +3.5 4.4% 2.6% 45.8% 0.06× 38.72
Florida A&M Rattlers −3.5 1.2% 2.6% 34.3% 0.08× 38.74
Florida A&M Rattlers −4.5 0.9% 2.6% 32.2% 0.08× 38.74
Florida A&M Rattlers −5.5 0.7% 2.6% 29.9% 0.09× 38.74
Florida A&M Rattlers −6.5 0.6% 2.6% 27.7% 0.09× 38.74
Florida A&M Rattlers −7.5 0.4% 2.6% 25.5% 0.10× 38.74
Florida A&M Rattlers −8.5 0.3% 2.6% 23.5% 0.11× 38.74
Florida A&M Rattlers −9.5 0.3% 2.6% 21.3% 0.12× 38.74
Florida A&M Rattlers −10.5 0.2% 2.6% 19.6% 0.13× 38.74
Florida A&M Rattlers −12.5 0.1% 2.6% 16.2% 0.16× 38.74
Florida A&M Rattlers −14.5 0.1% 2.6% 13.3% 0.19× 38.74
Florida A&M Rattlers −16.5 0.0% 2.6% 10.9% 0.24× 38.74
Florida A&M Rattlers −18.5 0.0% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.74
Florida A&M Rattlers −20.5 0.0% 2.6% 7.3% 0.35× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 74.1% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 25.9% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 highest scoring 33.4% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q4 highest scoring 35.2% 28.6% 31.2% 0.92× 3.50
Q2 highest scoring 14.9% 18.4% 17.9% 1.03× 5.45
Q1 highest scoring 16.5% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Florida State Seminoles at HT / Florida State Seminoles at FT 86.6% 89.1% 48.3% 1.85× 1.12
Florida A&M Rattlers at HT / Florida State Seminoles at FT 9.0% 8.3% 9.8% 0.85× 12.08
Level at HT / Florida State Seminoles at FT 2.1% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.76
Florida State Seminoles at HT / Florida A&M Rattlers at FT 0.8% 2.1% 8.2% 0.26× 47.78
Level at HT / Florida A&M Rattlers at FT 0.1% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.79
Florida A&M Rattlers at HT / Florida A&M Rattlers at FT 1.3% 2.1% 30.1% 0.07× 47.77
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Florida State Seminoles to win 97.8% 97.5% 59.9% 1.63× 1.03
Florida A&M Rattlers to win 2.2% 2.5% 40.1% 0.06× 39.33
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Florida State Seminoles even 50.0% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Florida A&M Rattlers even 50.1% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Total points odd 50.3% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Florida State Seminoles odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Florida A&M Rattlers odd 49.9% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 49.7% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 98.2% 97.0% 95.6% 1.02× 1.03
Match to go to overtime 1.8% 3.0% 4.4% 0.67× 33.54
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Florida State Seminoles to win Q1 77.0% 79.9% 54.7% 1.46× 1.25
Florida A&M Rattlers to win Q1 18.6% 15.7% 40.4% 0.39× 6.35
Q1 tied 4.4% 4.2% 4.9% 0.85× 23.95
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 over 26.5 88.8% 87.4% 72.9% 1.20× 1.14
Q1 under 42.5 87.5% 87.4% 93.6% 0.93× 1.14
Q1 over 29.5 78.0% 76.9% 56.9% 1.35× 1.30
Q1 under 39.5 76.0% 76.9% 87.5% 0.88× 1.30
Q1 over 31.5 68.3% 67.6% 46.0% 1.47× 1.48
Q1 under 37.5 65.9% 67.6% 81.6% 0.83× 1.48
Q1 over 33.5 57.2% 58.6% 36.0% 1.63× 1.71
Q1 under 35.5 54.6% 52.7% 73.2% 0.72× 1.90
Q1 over 34.5 51.3% 52.7% 31.5% 1.67× 1.90
Q1 under 34.5 48.7% 47.3% 68.5% 0.69× 2.11
Q1 over 35.5 45.4% 47.3% 26.8% 1.76× 2.11
Q1 under 33.5 42.8% 41.4% 64.0% 0.65× 2.42
Q1 over 37.5 34.1% 32.4% 18.4% 1.76× 3.08
Q1 under 31.5 31.7% 32.4% 54.0% 0.60× 3.08
Q1 over 39.5 24.0% 23.1% 12.5% 1.84× 4.33
Q1 under 29.5 22.0% 23.1% 43.1% 0.54× 4.33
Q1 over 42.5 12.5% 12.6% 6.4% 1.98× 7.95
Q1 under 26.5 11.2% 12.6% 27.1% 0.46× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Florida State Seminoles to win Q2 76.3% 80.6% 52.9% 1.53× 1.24
Florida A&M Rattlers to win Q2 19.3% 14.7% 41.5% 0.35× 6.80
Q2 tied 4.4% 4.4% 5.7% 0.77× 22.89
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 42.5 88.5% 87.3% 94.3% 0.93× 1.15
Q2 over 26.5 87.8% 87.3% 71.6% 1.22× 1.15
Q2 under 39.5 77.6% 76.8% 88.4% 0.87× 1.30
Q2 over 29.5 76.4% 76.8% 55.8% 1.38× 1.30
Q2 under 37.5 67.9% 67.4% 82.3% 0.82× 1.49
Q2 over 31.5 66.4% 67.4% 44.3% 1.52× 1.49
Q2 under 35.5 56.7% 58.2% 74.6% 0.78× 1.72
Q2 over 33.5 55.0% 58.2% 34.4% 1.69× 1.72
Q2 under 34.5 50.8% 52.7% 70.1% 0.75× 1.90
Q2 over 34.5 49.2% 47.3% 29.9% 1.58× 2.11
Q2 under 33.5 45.0% 41.8% 65.6% 0.64× 2.39
Q2 over 35.5 43.3% 41.8% 25.4% 1.65× 2.39
Q2 under 31.5 33.6% 32.6% 55.7% 0.59× 3.06
Q2 over 37.5 32.1% 32.6% 17.7% 1.85× 3.06
Q2 under 29.5 23.6% 23.2% 44.2% 0.53× 4.31
Q2 over 39.5 22.4% 23.2% 11.6% 2.00× 4.31
Q2 under 26.5 12.2% 12.7% 28.4% 0.45× 7.89
Q2 over 42.5 11.5% 12.7% 5.7% 2.23× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Florida State Seminoles to win Q3 78.5% 81.6% 53.3% 1.53× 1.23
Florida A&M Rattlers to win Q3 17.4% 15.1% 41.8% 0.36× 6.63
Q3 tied 4.1% 4.3% 4.9% 0.86× 23.45
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 46.5 89.5% 87.2% 95.3% 0.92× 1.15
Q3 over 30.5 85.3% 87.2% 66.8% 1.30× 1.15
Q3 under 43.5 79.4% 77.3% 90.2% 0.86× 1.29
Q3 over 33.5 73.1% 71.8% 50.9% 1.41× 1.39
Q3 under 41.5 70.3% 71.8% 85.1% 0.84× 1.39
Q3 over 35.5 62.9% 61.9% 40.3% 1.54× 1.61
Q3 under 39.5 59.7% 58.4% 77.9% 0.75× 1.71
Q3 under 38.5 54.1% 52.3% 73.9% 0.71× 1.91
Q3 over 37.5 51.6% 52.3% 30.3% 1.73× 1.91
Q3 under 37.5 48.4% 47.7% 69.7% 0.68× 2.10
Q3 over 38.5 45.9% 47.7% 26.1% 1.83× 2.10
Q3 over 39.5 40.3% 41.6% 22.1% 1.88× 2.40
Q3 under 35.5 37.1% 38.1% 59.7% 0.64× 2.63
Q3 over 41.5 29.7% 28.2% 14.9% 1.89× 3.55
Q3 under 33.5 26.9% 28.2% 49.1% 0.57× 3.55
Q3 over 43.5 20.6% 22.7% 9.8% 2.31× 4.40
Q3 under 30.5 14.7% 12.8% 33.2% 0.39× 7.83
Q3 over 46.5 10.5% 12.8% 4.7% 2.73× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Florida State Seminoles to win Q4 78.1% 71.5% 52.8% 1.35× 1.40
Florida A&M Rattlers to win Q4 17.9% 22.6% 41.5% 0.55× 4.42
Q4 tied 4.1% 5.2% 5.7% 0.91× 19.30
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 46.5 88.0% 85.6% 93.9% 0.91× 1.17
Q4 over 30.5 84.2% 82.0% 66.3% 1.24× 1.22
Q4 under 43.5 77.8% 76.9% 88.6% 0.87× 1.30
Q4 over 33.5 72.3% 71.5% 50.4% 1.42× 1.40
Q4 under 41.5 69.0% 67.4% 83.6% 0.81× 1.48
Q4 over 35.5 62.6% 61.4% 40.6% 1.51× 1.63
Q4 under 39.5 58.8% 58.4% 77.0% 0.76× 1.71
Q4 under 38.5 53.5% 52.5% 73.1% 0.72× 1.91
Q4 over 37.5 51.9% 52.5% 31.2% 1.68× 1.91
Q4 under 37.5 48.1% 47.5% 68.8% 0.69× 2.11
Q4 over 38.5 46.5% 47.5% 26.9% 1.77× 2.11
Q4 over 39.5 41.2% 41.6% 23.0% 1.81× 2.40
Q4 under 35.5 37.4% 38.6% 59.4% 0.65× 2.59
Q4 over 41.5 31.0% 32.6% 16.4% 1.99× 3.07
Q4 under 33.5 27.7% 28.5% 49.6% 0.57× 3.51
Q4 over 43.5 22.2% 23.1% 11.4% 2.02× 4.33
Q4 under 30.5 15.8% 18.0% 33.7% 0.53× 5.56
Q4 over 46.5 12.0% 14.4% 6.1% 2.36× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Florida A&M Rattlers under 71.5 86.8% 83.9% 76.1% 1.10× 1.19
Florida State Seminoles over 73.5 85.2% 83.9% 31.5% 2.66× 1.19
Florida State Seminoles under 93.5 85.6% 83.9% 96.1% 0.87× 1.19
Florida A&M Rattlers over 51.5 85.8% 83.9% 81.0% 1.04× 1.19
Florida A&M Rattlers under 68.5 78.6% 75.1% 68.6% 1.10× 1.33
Florida State Seminoles over 76.5 76.7% 75.1% 24.6% 3.06× 1.33
Florida State Seminoles under 90.5 77.3% 75.1% 94.5% 0.79× 1.33
Florida A&M Rattlers over 54.5 77.0% 75.1% 73.5% 1.02× 1.33
Florida A&M Rattlers under 66.5 71.7% 70.7% 62.7% 1.13× 1.41
Florida State Seminoles under 88.5 70.4% 70.7% 93.1% 0.76× 1.41
Florida State Seminoles over 78.5 69.8% 66.4% 20.6% 3.22× 1.51
Florida A&M Rattlers over 56.5 69.7% 66.4% 68.0% 0.98× 1.51
Florida A&M Rattlers under 64.5 64.0% 61.2% 56.9% 1.08× 1.63
Florida State Seminoles under 86.5 62.8% 61.2% 91.2% 0.67× 1.63
Florida State Seminoles over 80.5 62.0% 61.2% 17.1% 3.59× 1.63
Florida A&M Rattlers over 58.5 61.7% 61.2% 62.1% 0.98× 1.63
Florida A&M Rattlers under 62.5 55.5% 57.1% 51.0% 1.12× 1.75
Florida State Seminoles over 82.5 53.8% 52.3% 13.8% 3.80× 1.91
Florida State Seminoles under 84.5 54.6% 52.3% 88.9% 0.59× 1.91
Florida A&M Rattlers over 60.5 53.1% 52.3% 55.6% 0.94× 1.91
Florida A&M Rattlers under 61.5 51.2% 52.3% 47.9% 1.09× 1.91
Florida State Seminoles under 83.5 50.4% 52.3% 87.7% 0.60× 1.91
Florida State Seminoles over 83.5 49.6% 47.7% 12.3% 3.88× 2.09
Florida A&M Rattlers under 60.5 46.9% 47.7% 44.4% 1.08× 2.09
Florida A&M Rattlers over 61.5 48.8% 47.7% 52.1% 0.92× 2.09
Florida State Seminoles under 82.5 46.2% 47.7% 86.2% 0.55× 2.09
Florida State Seminoles over 84.5 45.4% 47.7% 11.1% 4.31× 2.09
Florida A&M Rattlers over 62.5 44.5% 42.9% 49.0% 0.87× 2.33
Florida State Seminoles under 80.5 38.0% 38.8% 82.9% 0.47× 2.58
Florida A&M Rattlers under 58.5 38.3% 38.8% 37.9% 1.03× 2.58
Florida State Seminoles over 86.5 37.2% 38.8% 8.8% 4.41× 2.58
Florida A&M Rattlers over 64.5 36.1% 38.8% 43.2% 0.90× 2.58
Florida State Seminoles under 78.5 30.2% 33.6% 79.4% 0.42× 2.98
Florida A&M Rattlers under 56.5 30.3% 33.6% 32.0% 1.05× 2.98
Florida State Seminoles over 88.5 29.6% 29.3% 6.9% 4.23× 3.42
Florida A&M Rattlers over 66.5 28.3% 29.3% 37.3% 0.79× 3.42
Florida State Seminoles under 76.5 23.3% 24.9% 75.4% 0.33× 4.02
Florida State Seminoles over 90.5 22.7% 24.9% 5.5% 4.54× 4.02
Florida A&M Rattlers under 54.5 23.0% 24.9% 26.5% 0.94× 4.02
Florida A&M Rattlers over 68.5 21.4% 24.9% 31.4% 0.79× 4.02
Florida State Seminoles under 73.5 14.8% 16.1% 68.5% 0.24× 6.21
Florida State Seminoles over 93.5 14.4% 16.1% 3.9% 4.16× 6.21
Florida A&M Rattlers under 51.5 14.2% 16.1% 19.0% 0.85× 6.21
Florida A&M Rattlers over 71.5 13.2% 16.1% 23.9% 0.67× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 165.5 points 91.8% 88.8% 96.3% 0.92× 1.13
Over 125.5 points 90.3% 88.8% 59.5% 1.49× 1.13
Under 160.5 points 85.5% 85.0% 93.9% 0.91× 1.18
Over 130.5 points 83.0% 80.6% 48.3% 1.67× 1.24
Under 155.5 points 76.6% 75.6% 90.7% 0.83× 1.32
Over 135.5 points 73.0% 70.8% 37.6% 1.88× 1.41
Under 152.5 points 70.0% 70.8% 88.1% 0.80× 1.41
Over 138.5 points 66.0% 65.9% 32.1% 2.05× 1.52
Under 150.5 points 65.2% 65.9% 86.1% 0.77× 1.52
Over 140.5 points 60.9% 61.5% 28.2% 2.18× 1.63
Under 148.5 points 60.2% 61.5% 83.7% 0.73× 1.63
Over 142.5 points 55.7% 56.5% 24.9% 2.27× 1.77
Under 146.5 points 55.0% 52.3% 80.9% 0.65× 1.91
Under 145.5 points 52.3% 52.3% 79.5% 0.66× 1.91
Over 144.5 points 50.4% 52.3% 21.9% 2.39× 1.91
Under 144.5 points 49.6% 47.7% 78.1% 0.61× 2.10
Over 145.5 points 47.7% 47.7% 20.5% 2.33× 2.10
Over 146.5 points 45.0% 47.7% 19.1% 2.50× 2.10
Under 142.5 points 44.3% 43.5% 75.1% 0.58× 2.30
Over 148.5 points 39.8% 38.5% 16.3% 2.36× 2.60
Under 140.5 points 39.1% 38.5% 71.8% 0.54× 2.60
Over 150.5 points 34.8% 34.1% 13.9% 2.45× 2.93
Under 138.5 points 34.0% 34.1% 67.9% 0.50× 2.93
Over 152.5 points 30.0% 29.2% 11.9% 2.45× 3.43
Under 135.5 points 27.0% 29.2% 62.4% 0.47× 3.43
Over 155.5 points 23.4% 24.4% 9.3% 2.62× 4.10
Under 130.5 points 17.0% 19.4% 51.7% 0.38× 5.15
Over 160.5 points 14.5% 15.0% 6.1% 2.46× 6.68
Under 125.5 points 9.7% 11.2% 40.5% 0.28× 8.96
Over 165.5 points 8.2% 11.2% 3.7% 3.01× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Florida State Seminoles to win both halves 77.0% 77.0% 36.0% 2.14× 1.30
Florida A&M Rattlers to win both halves 0.4% 3.0% 20.4% 0.15× 33.82
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Florida State Seminoles by 26+ 37.9% 39.9% 12.6% 3.16× 2.51
Florida State Seminoles by 21-25 17.8% 16.8% 5.4% 3.11× 5.97
Florida State Seminoles by 16-20 16.7% 16.8% 8.0% 2.08× 5.97
Florida State Seminoles by 11-15 12.9% 12.3% 10.8% 1.14× 8.11
Florida State Seminoles by 6-10 8.2% 7.5% 12.9% 0.58× 13.40
Florida State Seminoles by 1-5 4.3% 2.0% 10.2% 0.20× 49.29
Florida A&M Rattlers by 1-5 1.5% 2.0% 10.2% 0.20× 49.31
Florida A&M Rattlers by 6-10 0.5% 2.0% 10.3% 0.20× 49.32
Florida A&M Rattlers by 11-15 0.1% 2.0% 7.6% 0.27× 49.33
Florida A&M Rattlers by 16-20 0.0% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.33
Florida A&M Rattlers by 21-25 0.0% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.33
Florida A&M Rattlers by 26+ 0.0% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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