Florida State Seminoles v Florida Gators — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 15 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027
NCAAW results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Florida State Seminoles win
21.1%
Draw
0.0%
Florida Gators win
78.9%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 69.78–78.53 | 70-79 0% | 50% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida State Seminoles to score 100+ | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.20× | 283.34 |
| Florida State Seminoles to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.64× | 283.36 |
| Florida State Seminoles to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 2.91× | 283.36 |
| Florida State Seminoles to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 7.58× | 283.36 |
| Florida Gators to score 100+ | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.72× | 283.11 |
| Florida Gators to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.74× | 283.35 |
| Florida Gators to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 18.95× | 283.36 |
| Florida Gators to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 37.89× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 6.32× | 283.35 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Gators to win H1 | 66.7% | 68.3% | 39.9% | 1.71× | 1.47 |
| Florida State Seminoles to win H1 | 29.3% | 26.6% | 56.4% | 0.47× | 3.77 |
| H1 tied | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.05× | 25.86 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 83.5 | 89.4% | 87.7% | 96.8% | 0.91× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 59.5 | 86.6% | 87.7% | 57.8% | 1.52× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 79.5 | 80.3% | 82.5% | 93.9% | 0.88× | 1.21 |
| H1 over 63.5 | 76.3% | 77.4% | 42.9% | 1.80× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 76.5 | 71.2% | 73.5% | 90.2% | 0.81× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 66.5 | 66.3% | 67.4% | 32.9% | 2.05× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 74.5 | 64.2% | 62.7% | 87.2% | 0.72× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 68.5 | 58.9% | 58.2% | 26.5% | 2.20× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 72.5 | 56.6% | 58.2% | 83.6% | 0.70× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 71.5 | 52.8% | 52.6% | 81.4% | 0.65× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 70.5 | 51.1% | 52.6% | 21.1% | 2.50× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 70.5 | 48.9% | 47.4% | 78.9% | 0.60× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 71.5 | 47.2% | 47.4% | 18.6% | 2.55× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 72.5 | 43.4% | 41.8% | 16.4% | 2.55× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 68.5 | 41.1% | 41.8% | 73.5% | 0.57× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 74.5 | 35.8% | 37.3% | 12.8% | 2.90× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 66.5 | 33.7% | 32.6% | 67.1% | 0.49× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 76.5 | 28.8% | 26.5% | 9.8% | 2.71× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 63.5 | 23.7% | 22.6% | 57.1% | 0.40× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 79.5 | 19.7% | 17.5% | 6.1% | 2.85× | 5.72 |
| H1 under 59.5 | 13.4% | 12.3% | 42.2% | 0.29× | 8.14 |
| H1 over 83.5 | 10.6% | 12.3% | 3.2% | 3.89× | 8.14 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Gators to win H2 | 67.8% | 62.8% | 40.6% | 1.55× | 1.59 |
| Florida State Seminoles to win H2 | 28.4% | 31.3% | 56.0% | 0.56× | 3.20 |
| H2 tied | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.16× | 25.36 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 over 65.5 | 87.0% | 85.2% | 58.8% | 1.45× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 89.5 | 86.8% | 85.2% | 94.8% | 0.90× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 69.5 | 77.4% | 75.8% | 45.2% | 1.68× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 85.5 | 77.2% | 75.8% | 91.2% | 0.83× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 72.5 | 68.1% | 66.4% | 36.0% | 1.85× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 82.5 | 67.9% | 66.4% | 87.4% | 0.76× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 74.5 | 61.1% | 61.6% | 30.1% | 2.05× | 1.62 |
| H2 under 80.5 | 61.0% | 61.6% | 84.0% | 0.73× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 76.5 | 53.8% | 52.4% | 24.4% | 2.15× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 78.5 | 53.6% | 52.4% | 80.1% | 0.65× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 77.5 | 50.1% | 52.4% | 22.1% | 2.37× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 77.5 | 49.9% | 47.6% | 77.9% | 0.61× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 76.5 | 46.2% | 47.6% | 75.6% | 0.63× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 78.5 | 46.4% | 47.6% | 19.9% | 2.40× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 80.5 | 39.0% | 38.4% | 16.0% | 2.40× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 74.5 | 38.9% | 38.4% | 69.9% | 0.55× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 72.5 | 31.9% | 33.6% | 64.1% | 0.53× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 82.5 | 32.1% | 33.6% | 12.6% | 2.67× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 69.5 | 22.6% | 24.2% | 54.8% | 0.44× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 85.5 | 22.8% | 24.2% | 8.8% | 2.76× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 65.5 | 13.0% | 14.8% | 41.2% | 0.36× | 6.76 |
| H2 over 89.5 | 13.2% | 14.8% | 5.2% | 2.84× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Gators leading at half time | 66.7% | 68.4% | 39.9% | 1.71× | 1.46 |
| Florida State Seminoles leading at half time | 29.3% | 26.5% | 56.4% | 0.47× | 3.77 |
| Level at half time | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.03× | 26.40 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Gators +20.5 | 99.5% | 97.4% | 82.0% | 1.19× | 1.03 |
| Florida Gators +10.5 | 95.5% | 97.4% | 63.2% | 1.54× | 1.03 |
| Florida Gators +12.5 | 97.0% | 97.4% | 67.9% | 1.44× | 1.03 |
| Florida Gators +14.5 | 98.0% | 97.4% | 72.1% | 1.35× | 1.03 |
| Florida Gators +16.5 | 98.7% | 97.4% | 75.7% | 1.29× | 1.03 |
| Florida Gators +18.5 | 99.2% | 97.4% | 79.3% | 1.23× | 1.03 |
| Florida Gators +9.5 | 94.6% | 91.1% | 60.7% | 1.50× | 1.10 |
| Florida Gators +7.5 | 92.4% | 91.1% | 55.2% | 1.65× | 1.10 |
| Florida Gators +8.5 | 93.6% | 91.1% | 58.0% | 1.57× | 1.10 |
| Florida Gators +6.5 | 91.0% | 91.1% | 52.4% | 1.74× | 1.10 |
| Florida Gators +5.5 | 89.5% | 85.9% | 50.3% | 1.71× | 1.16 |
| Florida Gators +4.5 | 87.7% | 85.9% | 47.8% | 1.80× | 1.16 |
| Florida Gators +3.5 | 85.8% | 85.9% | 45.8% | 1.88× | 1.16 |
| Florida Gators +2.5 | 83.7% | 81.1% | 43.3% | 1.87× | 1.23 |
| Florida State Seminoles +20.5 | 84.8% | 81.1% | 92.7% | 0.87× | 1.23 |
| Florida Gators +1.5 | 81.4% | 81.1% | 41.3% | 1.96× | 1.23 |
| Florida State Seminoles +18.5 | 80.2% | 81.1% | 91.1% | 0.89× | 1.23 |
| Florida Gators −1.5 | 76.0% | 76.5% | 38.8% | 1.97× | 1.31 |
| Florida State Seminoles +16.5 | 74.8% | 71.6% | 89.1% | 0.80× | 1.40 |
| Florida Gators −2.5 | 73.0% | 71.6% | 36.7% | 1.95× | 1.40 |
| Florida Gators −3.5 | 69.8% | 66.7% | 34.3% | 1.95× | 1.50 |
| Florida State Seminoles +14.5 | 68.8% | 66.7% | 86.7% | 0.77× | 1.50 |
| Florida Gators −4.5 | 66.4% | 66.7% | 32.2% | 2.07× | 1.50 |
| Florida Gators −5.5 | 63.0% | 61.9% | 29.9% | 2.07× | 1.62 |
| Florida State Seminoles +12.5 | 62.1% | 61.9% | 83.8% | 0.74× | 1.62 |
| Florida Gators −6.5 | 59.5% | 57.1% | 27.7% | 2.06× | 1.75 |
| Florida Gators −7.5 | 55.9% | 57.1% | 25.5% | 2.24× | 1.75 |
| Florida State Seminoles +10.5 | 55.0% | 57.1% | 80.4% | 0.71× | 1.75 |
| Florida Gators −8.5 | 52.2% | 52.4% | 23.5% | 2.23× | 1.91 |
| Florida State Seminoles +9.5 | 51.4% | 52.4% | 78.7% | 0.67× | 1.91 |
| Florida Gators −9.5 | 48.6% | 47.6% | 21.3% | 2.23× | 2.10 |
| Florida State Seminoles +8.5 | 47.8% | 47.6% | 76.5% | 0.62× | 2.10 |
| Florida Gators −10.5 | 45.0% | 42.9% | 19.6% | 2.19× | 2.33 |
| Florida State Seminoles +7.5 | 44.1% | 42.9% | 74.5% | 0.58× | 2.33 |
| Florida State Seminoles +6.5 | 40.5% | 42.9% | 72.3% | 0.59× | 2.33 |
| Florida Gators −12.5 | 37.9% | 38.1% | 16.2% | 2.34× | 2.63 |
| Florida State Seminoles +5.5 | 37.0% | 38.1% | 70.1% | 0.54× | 2.63 |
| Florida State Seminoles +4.5 | 33.6% | 33.3% | 67.8% | 0.49× | 3.01 |
| Florida State Seminoles +3.5 | 30.2% | 33.3% | 65.7% | 0.51× | 3.01 |
| Florida Gators −14.5 | 31.2% | 33.3% | 13.3% | 2.51× | 3.01 |
| Florida State Seminoles +2.5 | 27.0% | 28.4% | 63.3% | 0.45× | 3.53 |
| Florida Gators −16.5 | 25.2% | 28.4% | 10.9% | 2.61× | 3.53 |
| Florida State Seminoles +1.5 | 24.0% | 23.5% | 61.2% | 0.38× | 4.25 |
| Florida Gators −18.5 | 19.8% | 18.9% | 8.9% | 2.12× | 5.29 |
| Florida State Seminoles −1.5 | 18.6% | 18.9% | 58.7% | 0.32× | 5.29 |
| Florida State Seminoles −2.5 | 16.3% | 18.9% | 56.7% | 0.33× | 5.30 |
| Florida Gators −20.5 | 15.2% | 18.9% | 7.3% | 2.60× | 5.30 |
| Florida State Seminoles −3.5 | 14.2% | 14.1% | 54.2% | 0.26× | 7.09 |
| Florida State Seminoles −4.5 | 12.3% | 14.1% | 52.2% | 0.27× | 7.09 |
| Florida State Seminoles −5.5 | 10.5% | 14.1% | 49.7% | 0.28× | 7.09 |
| Florida State Seminoles −6.5 | 9.0% | 8.9% | 47.6% | 0.19× | 11.25 |
| Florida State Seminoles −7.5 | 7.6% | 8.9% | 44.8% | 0.20× | 11.25 |
| Florida State Seminoles −8.5 | 6.4% | 8.9% | 42.0% | 0.21× | 11.25 |
| Florida State Seminoles −9.5 | 5.4% | 8.9% | 39.3% | 0.23× | 11.25 |
| Florida State Seminoles −10.5 | 4.5% | 2.6% | 36.8% | 0.07× | 38.72 |
| Florida State Seminoles −12.5 | 3.0% | 2.6% | 32.1% | 0.08× | 38.73 |
| Florida State Seminoles −14.5 | 2.0% | 2.6% | 27.9% | 0.09× | 38.73 |
| Florida State Seminoles −16.5 | 1.3% | 2.6% | 24.3% | 0.11× | 38.74 |
| Florida State Seminoles −18.5 | 0.8% | 2.6% | 20.7% | 0.12× | 38.74 |
| Florida State Seminoles −20.5 | 0.5% | 2.6% | 18.0% | 0.14× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 74.6% | 67.1% | 66.7% | 1.01× | 1.49 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 25.4% | 32.9% | 33.3% | 0.99× | 3.04 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 highest scoring | 33.6% | 31.9% | 31.3% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q4 highest scoring | 35.4% | 28.6% | 31.2% | 0.92× | 3.50 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 14.7% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 1.03× | 5.45 |
| Q1 highest scoring | 16.3% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 0.94× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Gators at HT / Florida Gators at FT | 60.2% | 62.3% | 30.1% | 2.07× | 1.61 |
| Florida State Seminoles at HT / Florida Gators at FT | 15.7% | 15.4% | 8.2% | 1.88× | 6.47 |
| Florida State Seminoles at HT / Florida State Seminoles at FT | 13.6% | 12.2% | 48.3% | 0.25× | 8.17 |
| Florida Gators at HT / Florida State Seminoles at FT | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 0.85× | 12.09 |
| Level at HT / Florida Gators at FT | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.20× | 47.74 |
| Level at HT / Florida State Seminoles at FT | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.09× | 47.77 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Gators to win | 78.9% | 75.1% | 40.1% | 1.87× | 1.33 |
| Florida State Seminoles to win | 21.1% | 24.9% | 59.9% | 0.42× | 4.02 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total points odd | 51.3% | 50.5% | 51.5% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| Florida State Seminoles even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.4% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Florida Gators even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Florida State Seminoles odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.6% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| Florida Gators odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 48.7% | 49.5% | 48.5% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 95.0% | 97.0% | 95.6% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Match to go to overtime | 5.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 0.68× | 33.32 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Gators to win Q1 | 60.0% | 64.8% | 40.4% | 1.61× | 1.54 |
| Florida State Seminoles to win Q1 | 34.2% | 30.4% | 54.7% | 0.56× | 3.29 |
| Q1 tied | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 1.11× | 18.32 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 over 27.5 | 88.3% | 87.4% | 67.7% | 1.29× | 1.14 |
| Q1 under 43.5 | 87.8% | 87.4% | 95.0% | 0.92× | 1.14 |
| Q1 over 30.5 | 77.3% | 76.9% | 51.2% | 1.50× | 1.30 |
| Q1 under 40.5 | 76.5% | 76.9% | 89.9% | 0.86× | 1.30 |
| Q1 over 32.5 | 67.5% | 67.6% | 40.9% | 1.65× | 1.48 |
| Q1 under 38.5 | 66.6% | 67.6% | 84.8% | 0.80× | 1.48 |
| Q1 over 34.5 | 56.3% | 58.6% | 31.5% | 1.86× | 1.71 |
| Q1 under 36.5 | 55.4% | 58.6% | 77.4% | 0.76× | 1.71 |
| Q1 over 35.5 | 50.5% | 52.7% | 26.8% | 1.96× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 35.5 | 49.5% | 47.3% | 73.2% | 0.65× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 36.5 | 44.6% | 41.4% | 22.6% | 1.83× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 34.5 | 43.7% | 41.4% | 68.5% | 0.60× | 2.42 |
| Q1 over 38.5 | 33.4% | 32.4% | 15.2% | 2.13× | 3.08 |
| Q1 under 32.5 | 32.5% | 32.4% | 59.1% | 0.55× | 3.08 |
| Q1 over 40.5 | 23.5% | 23.1% | 10.1% | 2.29× | 4.33 |
| Q1 under 30.5 | 22.7% | 23.1% | 48.8% | 0.47× | 4.33 |
| Q1 over 43.5 | 12.2% | 12.6% | 5.0% | 2.53× | 7.95 |
| Q1 under 27.5 | 11.7% | 12.6% | 32.3% | 0.39× | 7.95 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Gators to win Q2 | 59.7% | 59.4% | 41.5% | 1.43× | 1.68 |
| Florida State Seminoles to win Q2 | 34.6% | 31.9% | 52.9% | 0.60× | 3.14 |
| Q2 tied | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 1.07× | 16.50 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 under 43.5 | 88.9% | 87.3% | 95.7% | 0.91× | 1.15 |
| Q2 over 27.5 | 87.2% | 87.3% | 66.7% | 1.31× | 1.15 |
| Q2 under 40.5 | 78.2% | 76.8% | 90.8% | 0.85× | 1.30 |
| Q2 over 30.5 | 75.6% | 76.8% | 49.9% | 1.54× | 1.30 |
| Q2 under 38.5 | 68.6% | 67.4% | 85.6% | 0.79× | 1.49 |
| Q2 over 32.5 | 65.5% | 67.4% | 39.2% | 1.72× | 1.49 |
| Q2 under 36.5 | 57.5% | 58.2% | 78.7% | 0.74× | 1.72 |
| Q2 over 34.5 | 54.2% | 52.7% | 29.9% | 1.76× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 35.5 | 51.7% | 52.7% | 74.6% | 0.71× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 35.5 | 48.3% | 47.3% | 25.4% | 1.86× | 2.11 |
| Q2 under 34.5 | 45.8% | 47.3% | 70.1% | 0.68× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 36.5 | 42.5% | 41.8% | 21.3% | 1.97× | 2.39 |
| Q2 under 32.5 | 34.5% | 32.6% | 60.8% | 0.54× | 3.06 |
| Q2 over 38.5 | 31.4% | 32.6% | 14.4% | 2.26× | 3.06 |
| Q2 under 30.5 | 24.4% | 23.2% | 50.1% | 0.46× | 4.31 |
| Q2 over 40.5 | 21.8% | 23.2% | 9.2% | 2.53× | 4.31 |
| Q2 under 27.5 | 12.8% | 12.7% | 33.3% | 0.38× | 7.89 |
| Q2 over 43.5 | 11.1% | 12.7% | 4.3% | 2.94× | 7.90 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Gators to win Q3 | 60.9% | 60.8% | 41.8% | 1.46× | 1.64 |
| Florida State Seminoles to win Q3 | 33.5% | 33.8% | 53.3% | 0.63× | 2.96 |
| Q3 tied | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 1.07× | 18.97 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 over 30.5 | 88.1% | 87.2% | 66.8% | 1.31× | 1.15 |
| Q3 under 46.5 | 86.7% | 87.2% | 95.3% | 0.92× | 1.15 |
| Q3 over 33.5 | 77.3% | 77.3% | 50.9% | 1.52× | 1.29 |
| Q3 under 43.5 | 75.3% | 77.3% | 90.2% | 0.86× | 1.29 |
| Q3 over 35.5 | 67.8% | 67.8% | 40.3% | 1.68× | 1.48 |
| Q3 under 41.5 | 65.4% | 67.8% | 85.1% | 0.80× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 37.5 | 57.0% | 58.4% | 30.3% | 1.93× | 1.71 |
| Q3 under 39.5 | 54.4% | 52.3% | 77.9% | 0.67× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 38.5 | 51.3% | 52.3% | 26.1% | 2.00× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 38.5 | 48.7% | 47.7% | 73.9% | 0.65× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 39.5 | 45.6% | 47.7% | 22.1% | 2.16× | 2.10 |
| Q3 under 37.5 | 43.0% | 41.6% | 69.7% | 0.60× | 2.40 |
| Q3 over 41.5 | 34.6% | 32.2% | 14.9% | 2.16× | 3.10 |
| Q3 under 35.5 | 32.2% | 32.2% | 59.7% | 0.54× | 3.10 |
| Q3 over 43.5 | 24.7% | 22.7% | 9.8% | 2.31× | 4.40 |
| Q3 under 33.5 | 22.7% | 22.7% | 49.1% | 0.46× | 4.40 |
| Q3 over 46.5 | 13.3% | 12.8% | 4.7% | 2.73× | 7.83 |
| Q3 under 30.5 | 11.9% | 12.8% | 33.2% | 0.39× | 7.83 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Gators to win Q4 | 60.7% | 57.8% | 41.5% | 1.39× | 1.73 |
| Florida State Seminoles to win Q4 | 33.8% | 37.4% | 52.8% | 0.71× | 2.67 |
| Q4 tied | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.02× | 17.26 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 under 47.5 | 88.0% | 85.6% | 95.3% | 0.90× | 1.17 |
| Q4 over 31.5 | 83.9% | 82.0% | 61.1% | 1.34× | 1.22 |
| Q4 under 44.5 | 78.0% | 76.9% | 90.6% | 0.85× | 1.30 |
| Q4 over 34.5 | 72.0% | 71.5% | 45.6% | 1.57× | 1.40 |
| Q4 under 42.5 | 69.2% | 67.4% | 86.2% | 0.78× | 1.48 |
| Q4 over 36.5 | 62.2% | 61.4% | 35.7% | 1.72× | 1.63 |
| Q4 under 40.5 | 59.1% | 58.4% | 80.6% | 0.72× | 1.71 |
| Q4 under 39.5 | 53.8% | 52.5% | 77.0% | 0.68× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 38.5 | 51.6% | 52.5% | 26.9% | 1.95× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 38.5 | 48.4% | 47.5% | 73.1% | 0.65× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 39.5 | 46.2% | 47.5% | 23.0% | 2.06× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 40.5 | 40.9% | 41.6% | 19.4% | 2.14× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 36.5 | 37.8% | 38.6% | 64.3% | 0.60× | 2.59 |
| Q4 over 42.5 | 30.8% | 32.6% | 13.8% | 2.36× | 3.07 |
| Q4 under 34.5 | 28.0% | 28.5% | 54.4% | 0.52× | 3.51 |
| Q4 over 44.5 | 22.0% | 23.1% | 9.4% | 2.45× | 4.33 |
| Q4 under 31.5 | 16.1% | 18.0% | 38.9% | 0.46× | 5.56 |
| Q4 over 47.5 | 12.0% | 14.4% | 4.7% | 3.05× | 6.95 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Gators over 68.5 | 86.2% | 83.9% | 31.4% | 2.67× | 1.19 |
| Florida State Seminoles over 59.5 | 85.7% | 83.9% | 72.2% | 1.16× | 1.19 |
| Florida Gators under 88.5 | 85.5% | 83.9% | 97.1% | 0.86× | 1.19 |
| Florida State Seminoles under 79.5 | 84.8% | 80.7% | 81.3% | 0.99× | 1.24 |
| Florida Gators over 71.5 | 77.9% | 75.1% | 23.9% | 3.14× | 1.33 |
| Florida State Seminoles over 62.5 | 77.3% | 75.1% | 64.3% | 1.17× | 1.33 |
| Florida State Seminoles under 76.5 | 76.3% | 75.1% | 75.4% | 1.00× | 1.33 |
| Florida Gators under 85.5 | 76.9% | 75.1% | 95.5% | 0.79× | 1.33 |
| Florida State Seminoles over 64.5 | 70.5% | 70.7% | 58.4% | 1.21× | 1.41 |
| Florida Gators over 73.5 | 71.1% | 70.7% | 19.8% | 3.57× | 1.41 |
| Florida Gators under 83.5 | 69.9% | 66.4% | 93.9% | 0.71× | 1.51 |
| Florida State Seminoles under 74.5 | 69.4% | 66.4% | 70.7% | 0.94× | 1.51 |
| Florida State Seminoles over 66.5 | 62.9% | 61.2% | 51.8% | 1.18× | 1.63 |
| Florida Gators over 75.5 | 63.3% | 61.2% | 15.9% | 3.85× | 1.63 |
| Florida State Seminoles under 72.5 | 61.8% | 61.2% | 65.7% | 0.93× | 1.63 |
| Florida Gators under 81.5 | 62.0% | 61.2% | 92.0% | 0.67× | 1.63 |
| Florida Gators over 77.5 | 55.0% | 57.1% | 12.8% | 4.46× | 1.75 |
| Florida State Seminoles over 68.5 | 54.8% | 52.3% | 45.6% | 1.15× | 1.91 |
| Florida State Seminoles under 70.5 | 53.6% | 52.3% | 60.3% | 0.87× | 1.91 |
| Florida Gators under 79.5 | 53.6% | 52.3% | 89.7% | 0.58× | 1.91 |
| Florida State Seminoles over 69.5 | 50.6% | 52.3% | 42.6% | 1.23× | 1.91 |
| Florida Gators over 78.5 | 50.7% | 52.3% | 11.7% | 4.48× | 1.91 |
| Florida State Seminoles under 69.5 | 49.4% | 47.7% | 57.4% | 0.83× | 2.09 |
| Florida Gators under 78.5 | 49.3% | 47.7% | 88.3% | 0.54× | 2.09 |
| Florida Gators over 79.5 | 46.4% | 47.7% | 10.3% | 4.62× | 2.09 |
| Florida State Seminoles under 68.5 | 45.2% | 47.7% | 54.4% | 0.88× | 2.09 |
| Florida State Seminoles over 70.5 | 46.4% | 47.7% | 39.7% | 1.20× | 2.09 |
| Florida Gators under 77.5 | 45.0% | 42.9% | 87.2% | 0.49× | 2.33 |
| Florida State Seminoles over 72.5 | 38.2% | 38.8% | 34.3% | 1.13× | 2.58 |
| Florida Gators over 81.5 | 38.0% | 38.8% | 8.0% | 4.83× | 2.58 |
| Florida State Seminoles under 66.5 | 37.1% | 38.8% | 48.2% | 0.81× | 2.58 |
| Florida Gators under 75.5 | 36.7% | 38.8% | 84.1% | 0.46× | 2.58 |
| Florida State Seminoles over 74.5 | 30.6% | 33.6% | 29.3% | 1.15× | 2.98 |
| Florida Gators over 83.5 | 30.1% | 33.6% | 6.1% | 5.55× | 2.98 |
| Florida State Seminoles under 64.5 | 29.5% | 29.3% | 41.6% | 0.70× | 3.42 |
| Florida Gators under 73.5 | 28.9% | 29.3% | 80.2% | 0.37× | 3.42 |
| Florida State Seminoles under 62.5 | 22.7% | 24.9% | 35.7% | 0.70× | 4.02 |
| Florida State Seminoles over 76.5 | 23.7% | 24.9% | 24.6% | 1.01× | 4.02 |
| Florida Gators over 85.5 | 23.1% | 24.9% | 4.5% | 5.51× | 4.02 |
| Florida Gators under 71.5 | 22.1% | 24.9% | 76.1% | 0.33× | 4.02 |
| Florida State Seminoles over 79.5 | 15.2% | 19.3% | 18.7% | 1.03× | 5.18 |
| Florida State Seminoles under 59.5 | 14.3% | 16.1% | 27.8% | 0.58× | 6.21 |
| Florida Gators over 88.5 | 14.5% | 16.1% | 2.9% | 5.57× | 6.21 |
| Florida Gators under 68.5 | 13.8% | 16.1% | 68.6% | 0.23× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 128.5 points | 90.6% | 88.8% | 52.8% | 1.68× | 1.13 |
| Under 168.5 points | 90.9% | 88.8% | 97.2% | 0.91× | 1.13 |
| Under 163.5 points | 84.3% | 80.6% | 95.5% | 0.84× | 1.24 |
| Over 133.5 points | 83.7% | 80.6% | 42.0% | 1.92× | 1.24 |
| Over 138.5 points | 74.3% | 70.8% | 32.1% | 2.21× | 1.41 |
| Under 158.5 points | 75.0% | 70.8% | 92.7% | 0.76× | 1.41 |
| Under 155.5 points | 68.3% | 65.9% | 90.7% | 0.73× | 1.52 |
| Over 141.5 points | 67.4% | 65.9% | 26.6% | 2.48× | 1.52 |
| Under 153.5 points | 63.5% | 61.5% | 89.0% | 0.69× | 1.63 |
| Over 143.5 points | 62.5% | 61.5% | 23.3% | 2.64× | 1.63 |
| Under 151.5 points | 58.4% | 56.5% | 87.3% | 0.65× | 1.77 |
| Over 145.5 points | 57.4% | 56.5% | 20.5% | 2.76× | 1.77 |
| Under 149.5 points | 53.2% | 52.3% | 84.9% | 0.62× | 1.91 |
| Over 147.5 points | 52.1% | 52.3% | 17.7% | 2.95× | 1.91 |
| Under 148.5 points | 50.5% | 52.3% | 83.7% | 0.63× | 1.91 |
| Over 148.5 points | 49.5% | 47.7% | 16.3% | 2.92× | 2.10 |
| Under 147.5 points | 47.9% | 47.7% | 82.3% | 0.58× | 2.10 |
| Over 149.5 points | 46.8% | 47.7% | 15.1% | 3.17× | 2.10 |
| Under 145.5 points | 42.6% | 43.5% | 79.5% | 0.55× | 2.30 |
| Over 151.5 points | 41.6% | 43.5% | 12.8% | 3.41× | 2.30 |
| Under 143.5 points | 37.5% | 38.5% | 76.7% | 0.50× | 2.60 |
| Over 153.5 points | 36.5% | 38.5% | 11.0% | 3.51× | 2.60 |
| Under 141.5 points | 32.6% | 34.1% | 73.4% | 0.46× | 2.93 |
| Over 155.5 points | 31.7% | 34.1% | 9.3% | 3.67× | 2.93 |
| Under 138.5 points | 25.7% | 29.2% | 67.9% | 0.43× | 3.43 |
| Over 158.5 points | 25.0% | 29.2% | 7.3% | 4.00× | 3.43 |
| Under 133.5 points | 16.3% | 19.4% | 58.0% | 0.33× | 5.15 |
| Over 163.5 points | 15.7% | 19.4% | 4.5% | 4.27× | 5.15 |
| Under 128.5 points | 9.4% | 11.2% | 47.2% | 0.24× | 8.96 |
| Over 168.5 points | 9.1% | 11.2% | 2.8% | 3.95× | 8.96 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Gators to win both halves | 42.8% | 40.6% | 20.4% | 2.00× | 2.46 |
| Florida State Seminoles to win both halves | 6.3% | 8.8% | 36.0% | 0.24× | 11.33 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Gators by 6-10 | 18.0% | 16.8% | 10.3% | 1.63× | 5.97 |
| Florida Gators by 11-15 | 16.8% | 16.8% | 7.6% | 2.20× | 5.97 |
| Florida Gators by 1-5 | 15.9% | 16.8% | 10.2% | 1.65× | 5.97 |
| Florida Gators by 16-20 | 13.0% | 12.3% | 4.8% | 2.60× | 8.11 |
| Florida State Seminoles by 1-5 | 10.6% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 1.21× | 8.11 |
| Florida Gators by 21-25 | 8.2% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 2.79× | 13.40 |
| Florida Gators by 26+ | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 1.62× | 13.40 |
| Florida State Seminoles by 6-10 | 6.1% | 7.5% | 12.9% | 0.58× | 13.40 |
| Florida State Seminoles by 11-15 | 2.9% | 2.0% | 10.8% | 0.19× | 49.30 |
| Florida State Seminoles by 16-20 | 1.1% | 2.0% | 8.0% | 0.25× | 49.32 |
| Florida State Seminoles by 21-25 | 0.4% | 2.0% | 5.4% | 0.38× | 49.32 |
| Florida State Seminoles by 26+ | 0.1% | 2.0% | 12.6% | 0.16× | 49.33 |