Florida State Seminoles v Purdue Boilermakers — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Thursday 19 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027
NCAAW results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Florida State Seminoles win
49.8%
Draw
0.0%
Purdue Boilermakers win
50.2%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 75.48–75.53 | 75-76 0% | 49% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida State Seminoles to score 100+ | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.20× | 283.24 |
| Florida State Seminoles to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.64× | 283.35 |
| Florida State Seminoles to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 2.91× | 283.36 |
| Florida State Seminoles to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 7.58× | 283.36 |
| Purdue Boilermakers to score 100+ | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.72× | 283.26 |
| Purdue Boilermakers to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.74× | 283.35 |
| Purdue Boilermakers to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 18.95× | 283.36 |
| Purdue Boilermakers to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 37.89× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 6.32× | 283.35 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Purdue Boilermakers to win H1 | 47.9% | 47.3% | 39.9% | 1.19× | 2.11 |
| Florida State Seminoles to win H1 | 47.6% | 47.3% | 56.4% | 0.84× | 2.11 |
| H1 tied | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.05× | 25.86 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 84.5 | 88.8% | 87.7% | 97.4% | 0.90× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 60.5 | 87.2% | 87.7% | 53.9% | 1.63× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 80.5 | 79.5% | 77.4% | 94.9% | 0.82× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 64.5 | 77.1% | 77.4% | 39.3% | 1.97× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 77.5 | 70.2% | 73.5% | 91.6% | 0.80× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 67.5 | 67.3% | 67.4% | 29.6% | 2.28× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 75.5 | 63.1% | 62.7% | 88.8% | 0.71× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 69.5 | 60.0% | 58.2% | 23.8% | 2.44× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 73.5 | 55.5% | 58.2% | 85.6% | 0.68× | 1.72 |
| H1 over 71.5 | 52.3% | 52.6% | 18.6% | 2.84× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 72.5 | 51.6% | 52.6% | 83.6% | 0.63× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 72.5 | 48.4% | 47.4% | 16.4% | 2.89× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 71.5 | 47.7% | 47.4% | 81.4% | 0.58× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 73.5 | 44.5% | 41.8% | 14.4% | 2.90× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 69.5 | 40.0% | 41.8% | 76.2% | 0.55× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 75.5 | 36.9% | 37.3% | 11.2% | 3.33× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 67.5 | 32.7% | 32.6% | 70.4% | 0.46× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 77.5 | 29.8% | 26.5% | 8.4% | 3.17× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 64.5 | 22.9% | 22.6% | 60.7% | 0.37× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 80.5 | 20.5% | 22.6% | 5.1% | 4.39× | 4.43 |
| H1 under 60.5 | 12.8% | 12.3% | 46.1% | 0.27× | 8.14 |
| H1 over 84.5 | 11.2% | 12.3% | 2.6% | 4.66× | 8.14 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Purdue Boilermakers to win H2 | 48.0% | 47.1% | 40.6% | 1.16× | 2.12 |
| Florida State Seminoles to win H2 | 47.7% | 47.1% | 56.0% | 0.84× | 2.12 |
| H2 tied | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.16× | 25.35 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 91.5 | 88.0% | 85.2% | 96.1% | 0.89× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 67.5 | 85.7% | 85.2% | 52.1% | 1.63× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 87.5 | 78.8% | 75.8% | 93.2% | 0.81× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 71.5 | 75.6% | 75.8% | 38.9% | 1.95× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 84.5 | 69.8% | 66.4% | 90.3% | 0.74× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 74.5 | 66.1% | 66.4% | 30.1% | 2.21× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 82.5 | 63.0% | 61.6% | 87.4% | 0.71× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 76.5 | 59.0% | 57.3% | 24.4% | 2.35× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 80.5 | 55.8% | 57.3% | 84.0% | 0.68× | 1.74 |
| H2 over 78.5 | 51.6% | 52.4% | 19.9% | 2.64× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 79.5 | 52.1% | 52.4% | 82.0% | 0.64× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 78.5 | 48.4% | 47.6% | 80.1% | 0.59× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 79.5 | 47.9% | 47.6% | 18.0% | 2.65× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 80.5 | 44.2% | 42.7% | 16.0% | 2.67× | 2.34 |
| H2 under 76.5 | 41.0% | 42.7% | 75.6% | 0.56× | 2.35 |
| H2 over 82.5 | 37.0% | 38.4% | 12.6% | 3.05× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 74.5 | 33.9% | 33.6% | 69.9% | 0.48× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 84.5 | 30.2% | 33.6% | 9.7% | 3.46× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 71.5 | 24.4% | 24.2% | 61.1% | 0.40× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 87.5 | 21.2% | 24.2% | 6.8% | 3.56× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 67.5 | 14.3% | 14.8% | 47.9% | 0.31× | 6.76 |
| H2 over 91.5 | 12.0% | 14.8% | 3.9% | 3.77× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Purdue Boilermakers leading at half time | 47.9% | 47.2% | 39.9% | 1.18× | 2.12 |
| Florida State Seminoles leading at half time | 47.6% | 47.2% | 56.4% | 0.84× | 2.12 |
| Level at half time | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.03× | 26.40 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Purdue Boilermakers +20.5 | 96.5% | 97.4% | 82.0% | 1.19× | 1.03 |
| Florida State Seminoles +20.5 | 96.4% | 97.4% | 92.7% | 1.05× | 1.03 |
| Purdue Boilermakers +18.5 | 94.9% | 91.1% | 79.3% | 1.15× | 1.10 |
| Florida State Seminoles +18.5 | 94.8% | 91.1% | 91.1% | 1.00× | 1.10 |
| Purdue Boilermakers +16.5 | 92.7% | 91.1% | 75.7% | 1.20× | 1.10 |
| Florida State Seminoles +16.5 | 92.6% | 91.1% | 89.1% | 1.02× | 1.10 |
| Purdue Boilermakers +14.5 | 89.8% | 85.9% | 72.1% | 1.19× | 1.16 |
| Florida State Seminoles +14.5 | 89.7% | 85.9% | 86.7% | 0.99× | 1.16 |
| Purdue Boilermakers +12.5 | 86.3% | 85.9% | 67.9% | 1.27× | 1.16 |
| Florida State Seminoles +12.5 | 86.1% | 85.9% | 83.8% | 1.03× | 1.16 |
| Purdue Boilermakers +10.5 | 81.9% | 81.1% | 63.2% | 1.28× | 1.23 |
| Florida State Seminoles +10.5 | 81.7% | 81.1% | 80.4% | 1.01× | 1.23 |
| Purdue Boilermakers +9.5 | 79.5% | 76.5% | 60.7% | 1.26× | 1.31 |
| Florida State Seminoles +9.5 | 79.2% | 76.5% | 78.7% | 0.97× | 1.31 |
| Purdue Boilermakers +8.5 | 76.8% | 76.5% | 58.0% | 1.32× | 1.31 |
| Florida State Seminoles +8.5 | 76.5% | 76.5% | 76.5% | 1.00× | 1.31 |
| Purdue Boilermakers +7.5 | 74.0% | 71.6% | 55.2% | 1.30× | 1.40 |
| Florida State Seminoles +7.5 | 73.7% | 71.6% | 74.5% | 0.96× | 1.40 |
| Purdue Boilermakers +6.5 | 71.0% | 71.6% | 52.4% | 1.37× | 1.40 |
| Florida State Seminoles +6.5 | 70.6% | 71.6% | 72.3% | 0.99× | 1.40 |
| Purdue Boilermakers +5.5 | 67.8% | 66.7% | 50.3% | 1.33× | 1.50 |
| Florida State Seminoles +5.5 | 67.4% | 66.7% | 70.1% | 0.95× | 1.50 |
| Purdue Boilermakers +4.5 | 64.4% | 61.9% | 47.8% | 1.29× | 1.62 |
| Florida State Seminoles +4.5 | 64.1% | 61.9% | 67.8% | 0.91× | 1.62 |
| Purdue Boilermakers +3.5 | 61.0% | 61.9% | 45.8% | 1.35× | 1.62 |
| Florida State Seminoles +3.5 | 60.6% | 61.9% | 65.7% | 0.94× | 1.62 |
| Purdue Boilermakers +2.5 | 57.5% | 57.1% | 43.3% | 1.32× | 1.75 |
| Florida State Seminoles +2.5 | 57.1% | 57.1% | 63.3% | 0.90× | 1.75 |
| Purdue Boilermakers +1.5 | 53.8% | 52.4% | 41.3% | 1.27× | 1.91 |
| Florida State Seminoles +1.5 | 53.5% | 52.4% | 61.2% | 0.86× | 1.91 |
| Florida State Seminoles −1.5 | 46.2% | 47.6% | 58.7% | 0.81× | 2.10 |
| Purdue Boilermakers −1.5 | 46.5% | 47.6% | 38.8% | 1.23× | 2.10 |
| Florida State Seminoles −2.5 | 42.5% | 42.9% | 56.7% | 0.76× | 2.33 |
| Purdue Boilermakers −2.5 | 42.9% | 42.9% | 36.7% | 1.17× | 2.33 |
| Florida State Seminoles −3.5 | 39.0% | 38.1% | 54.2% | 0.70× | 2.63 |
| Purdue Boilermakers −3.5 | 39.4% | 38.1% | 34.3% | 1.11× | 2.63 |
| Florida State Seminoles −4.5 | 35.6% | 38.1% | 52.2% | 0.73× | 2.63 |
| Purdue Boilermakers −4.5 | 35.9% | 38.1% | 32.2% | 1.18× | 2.63 |
| Florida State Seminoles −5.5 | 32.2% | 33.3% | 49.7% | 0.67× | 3.01 |
| Purdue Boilermakers −5.5 | 32.6% | 33.3% | 29.9% | 1.11× | 3.01 |
| Florida State Seminoles −6.5 | 29.0% | 28.4% | 47.6% | 0.60× | 3.53 |
| Purdue Boilermakers −6.5 | 29.4% | 28.4% | 27.7% | 1.02× | 3.53 |
| Florida State Seminoles −7.5 | 26.0% | 28.4% | 44.8% | 0.63× | 3.53 |
| Purdue Boilermakers −7.5 | 26.3% | 28.4% | 25.5% | 1.11× | 3.53 |
| Florida State Seminoles −8.5 | 23.2% | 23.5% | 42.0% | 0.56× | 4.25 |
| Purdue Boilermakers −8.5 | 23.5% | 23.5% | 23.5% | 1.00× | 4.25 |
| Florida State Seminoles −9.5 | 20.5% | 23.5% | 39.3% | 0.60× | 4.25 |
| Purdue Boilermakers −9.5 | 20.8% | 23.5% | 21.3% | 1.10× | 4.25 |
| Purdue Boilermakers −10.5 | 18.3% | 18.9% | 19.6% | 0.96× | 5.29 |
| Florida State Seminoles −10.5 | 18.1% | 18.9% | 36.8% | 0.51× | 5.29 |
| Florida State Seminoles −12.5 | 13.7% | 14.1% | 32.1% | 0.44× | 7.09 |
| Purdue Boilermakers −12.5 | 13.9% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 0.87× | 7.09 |
| Florida State Seminoles −14.5 | 10.2% | 14.1% | 27.9% | 0.51× | 7.09 |
| Purdue Boilermakers −14.5 | 10.3% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 1.06× | 7.09 |
| Florida State Seminoles −16.5 | 7.3% | 8.9% | 24.3% | 0.37× | 11.25 |
| Purdue Boilermakers −16.5 | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 0.82× | 11.25 |
| Florida State Seminoles −18.5 | 5.1% | 8.9% | 20.7% | 0.43× | 11.25 |
| Purdue Boilermakers −18.5 | 5.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 1.00× | 11.25 |
| Florida State Seminoles −20.5 | 3.5% | 2.6% | 18.0% | 0.14× | 38.73 |
| Purdue Boilermakers −20.5 | 3.6% | 2.6% | 7.3% | 0.36× | 38.73 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 74.9% | 67.1% | 66.7% | 1.01× | 1.49 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 25.1% | 32.9% | 33.3% | 0.99× | 3.04 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 highest scoring | 33.8% | 31.9% | 31.3% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q4 highest scoring | 35.5% | 28.6% | 31.2% | 0.92× | 3.50 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 14.5% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 1.03× | 5.45 |
| Q1 highest scoring | 16.2% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 0.94× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Purdue Boilermakers at HT / Purdue Boilermakers at FT | 34.8% | 33.3% | 30.1% | 1.10× | 3.01 |
| Florida State Seminoles at HT / Florida State Seminoles at FT | 34.5% | 33.2% | 48.3% | 0.69× | 3.01 |
| Florida State Seminoles at HT / Purdue Boilermakers at FT | 13.1% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 1.49× | 8.17 |
| Purdue Boilermakers at HT / Florida State Seminoles at FT | 13.1% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 1.25× | 8.17 |
| Level at HT / Florida State Seminoles at FT | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.09× | 47.75 |
| Level at HT / Purdue Boilermakers at FT | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.20× | 47.75 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Purdue Boilermakers to win | 50.2% | 50.9% | 40.1% | 1.27× | 1.96 |
| Florida State Seminoles to win | 49.8% | 49.1% | 59.9% | 0.82× | 2.04 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total points odd | 51.8% | 50.5% | 51.5% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| Florida State Seminoles even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.4% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Purdue Boilermakers even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Florida State Seminoles odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.6% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| Purdue Boilermakers odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 48.2% | 49.5% | 48.5% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 93.9% | 94.0% | 95.6% | 0.98× | 1.06 |
| Match to go to overtime | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.35× | 16.66 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Purdue Boilermakers to win Q1 | 47.0% | 47.6% | 40.4% | 1.18× | 2.10 |
| Florida State Seminoles to win Q1 | 46.9% | 47.6% | 54.7% | 0.87× | 2.10 |
| Q1 tied | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 1.11× | 18.31 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 under 44.5 | 88.8% | 87.4% | 96.2% | 0.91× | 1.14 |
| Q1 over 28.5 | 87.2% | 87.4% | 62.7% | 1.40× | 1.14 |
| Q1 under 41.5 | 78.1% | 76.9% | 91.9% | 0.84× | 1.30 |
| Q1 over 31.5 | 75.7% | 76.9% | 46.0% | 1.67× | 1.30 |
| Q1 under 39.5 | 68.5% | 67.6% | 87.5% | 0.77× | 1.48 |
| Q1 over 33.5 | 65.6% | 67.6% | 36.0% | 1.87× | 1.48 |
| Q1 under 37.5 | 57.4% | 58.6% | 81.6% | 0.72× | 1.71 |
| Q1 over 35.5 | 54.3% | 52.7% | 26.8% | 1.96× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 36.5 | 51.6% | 52.7% | 77.4% | 0.68× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 36.5 | 48.4% | 47.3% | 22.6% | 2.10× | 2.11 |
| Q1 under 35.5 | 45.7% | 47.3% | 73.2% | 0.65× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 37.5 | 42.6% | 41.4% | 18.4% | 2.25× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 33.5 | 34.4% | 32.4% | 64.0% | 0.51× | 3.08 |
| Q1 over 39.5 | 31.5% | 32.4% | 12.5% | 2.59× | 3.08 |
| Q1 under 31.5 | 24.3% | 23.1% | 54.0% | 0.43× | 4.33 |
| Q1 over 41.5 | 21.9% | 23.1% | 8.1% | 2.86× | 4.33 |
| Q1 under 28.5 | 12.8% | 12.6% | 37.3% | 0.34× | 7.95 |
| Q1 over 44.5 | 11.2% | 12.6% | 3.8% | 3.34× | 7.95 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Purdue Boilermakers to win Q2 | 47.1% | 47.0% | 41.5% | 1.13× | 2.13 |
| Florida State Seminoles to win Q2 | 46.9% | 47.0% | 52.9% | 0.89× | 2.13 |
| Q2 tied | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 1.07× | 16.49 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 under 44.5 | 89.8% | 87.3% | 96.7% | 0.90× | 1.15 |
| Q2 over 28.5 | 86.0% | 87.3% | 61.2% | 1.43× | 1.15 |
| Q2 under 41.5 | 79.7% | 76.8% | 92.7% | 0.83× | 1.30 |
| Q2 over 31.5 | 73.9% | 72.0% | 44.3% | 1.62× | 1.39 |
| Q2 under 39.5 | 70.4% | 72.0% | 88.4% | 0.81× | 1.39 |
| Q2 over 33.5 | 63.5% | 60.7% | 34.4% | 1.76× | 1.65 |
| Q2 under 37.5 | 59.6% | 58.2% | 82.3% | 0.71× | 1.72 |
| Q2 under 36.5 | 53.8% | 52.7% | 78.7% | 0.67× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 35.5 | 52.1% | 52.7% | 25.4% | 2.07× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 35.5 | 47.9% | 47.3% | 74.6% | 0.63× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 36.5 | 46.2% | 47.3% | 21.3% | 2.22× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 37.5 | 40.4% | 41.8% | 17.7% | 2.37× | 2.39 |
| Q2 under 33.5 | 36.5% | 39.3% | 65.6% | 0.60× | 2.55 |
| Q2 over 39.5 | 29.6% | 28.0% | 11.6% | 2.42× | 3.57 |
| Q2 under 31.5 | 26.1% | 28.0% | 55.7% | 0.50× | 3.57 |
| Q2 over 41.5 | 20.3% | 23.2% | 7.3% | 3.16× | 4.31 |
| Q2 under 28.5 | 14.0% | 12.7% | 38.8% | 0.33× | 7.89 |
| Q2 over 44.5 | 10.2% | 12.7% | 3.3% | 3.87× | 7.90 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Purdue Boilermakers to win Q3 | 47.1% | 47.5% | 41.8% | 1.14× | 2.10 |
| Florida State Seminoles to win Q3 | 47.0% | 47.5% | 53.3% | 0.89× | 2.10 |
| Q3 tied | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 1.07× | 18.96 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 under 47.5 | 87.6% | 87.2% | 96.3% | 0.91× | 1.15 |
| Q3 over 31.5 | 87.2% | 87.2% | 61.6% | 1.42× | 1.15 |
| Q3 under 44.5 | 76.6% | 77.3% | 92.1% | 0.84× | 1.29 |
| Q3 over 34.5 | 76.0% | 77.3% | 45.4% | 1.70× | 1.29 |
| Q3 under 42.5 | 67.0% | 67.8% | 87.8% | 0.77× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 36.5 | 66.3% | 67.8% | 35.4% | 1.91× | 1.48 |
| Q3 under 40.5 | 56.1% | 58.4% | 81.9% | 0.71× | 1.71 |
| Q3 over 38.5 | 55.3% | 58.4% | 26.1% | 2.24× | 1.71 |
| Q3 under 39.5 | 50.4% | 52.3% | 77.9% | 0.67× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 39.5 | 49.6% | 47.7% | 22.1% | 2.16× | 2.10 |
| Q3 under 38.5 | 44.7% | 41.6% | 73.9% | 0.56× | 2.40 |
| Q3 over 40.5 | 43.9% | 41.6% | 18.1% | 2.29× | 2.40 |
| Q3 under 36.5 | 33.7% | 32.2% | 64.6% | 0.50× | 3.10 |
| Q3 over 42.5 | 33.0% | 32.2% | 12.2% | 2.65× | 3.10 |
| Q3 under 34.5 | 24.0% | 22.7% | 54.6% | 0.42× | 4.40 |
| Q3 over 44.5 | 23.4% | 22.7% | 7.9% | 2.90× | 4.40 |
| Q3 under 31.5 | 12.8% | 12.8% | 38.4% | 0.33× | 7.83 |
| Q3 over 47.5 | 12.4% | 12.8% | 3.7% | 3.48× | 7.83 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Purdue Boilermakers to win Q4 | 47.2% | 47.6% | 41.5% | 1.15× | 2.10 |
| Florida State Seminoles to win Q4 | 47.0% | 47.6% | 52.8% | 0.90× | 2.10 |
| Q4 tied | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.02× | 17.25 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 over 31.5 | 86.1% | 85.6% | 61.1% | 1.40× | 1.17 |
| Q4 under 47.5 | 86.0% | 85.6% | 95.3% | 0.90× | 1.17 |
| Q4 over 34.5 | 75.1% | 76.9% | 45.6% | 1.69× | 1.30 |
| Q4 under 44.5 | 75.0% | 76.9% | 90.6% | 0.85× | 1.30 |
| Q4 over 36.5 | 65.8% | 67.4% | 35.7% | 1.89× | 1.48 |
| Q4 under 42.5 | 65.7% | 67.4% | 86.2% | 0.78× | 1.48 |
| Q4 over 38.5 | 55.4% | 58.4% | 26.9% | 2.17× | 1.71 |
| Q4 under 40.5 | 55.3% | 58.4% | 80.6% | 0.72× | 1.71 |
| Q4 over 39.5 | 50.0% | 52.5% | 23.0% | 2.28× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 39.5 | 50.0% | 47.5% | 77.0% | 0.62× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 40.5 | 44.7% | 41.6% | 19.4% | 2.15× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 38.5 | 44.6% | 41.6% | 73.1% | 0.57× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 36.5 | 34.2% | 32.6% | 64.3% | 0.51× | 3.07 |
| Q4 over 42.5 | 34.3% | 32.6% | 13.8% | 2.36× | 3.07 |
| Q4 under 34.5 | 24.9% | 23.1% | 54.4% | 0.42× | 4.33 |
| Q4 over 44.5 | 25.0% | 23.1% | 9.4% | 2.45× | 4.33 |
| Q4 under 31.5 | 13.9% | 14.4% | 38.9% | 0.37× | 6.95 |
| Q4 over 47.5 | 14.0% | 14.4% | 4.7% | 3.05× | 6.95 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Purdue Boilermakers over 65.5 | 85.8% | 83.9% | 40.2% | 2.09× | 1.19 |
| Purdue Boilermakers under 85.5 | 85.7% | 83.9% | 95.5% | 0.88× | 1.19 |
| Florida State Seminoles over 65.5 | 85.0% | 83.9% | 55.3% | 1.52× | 1.19 |
| Florida State Seminoles under 85.5 | 85.1% | 83.9% | 90.2% | 0.93× | 1.19 |
| Purdue Boilermakers over 68.5 | 77.4% | 75.1% | 31.4% | 2.39× | 1.33 |
| Purdue Boilermakers under 82.5 | 77.2% | 75.1% | 93.0% | 0.81× | 1.33 |
| Florida State Seminoles over 68.5 | 76.6% | 75.1% | 45.6% | 1.65× | 1.33 |
| Florida State Seminoles under 82.5 | 76.7% | 75.1% | 86.2% | 0.87× | 1.33 |
| Purdue Boilermakers over 70.5 | 70.5% | 70.7% | 26.3% | 2.69× | 1.41 |
| Purdue Boilermakers under 80.5 | 70.2% | 70.7% | 91.0% | 0.78× | 1.41 |
| Florida State Seminoles over 70.5 | 69.8% | 66.4% | 39.7% | 1.67× | 1.51 |
| Florida State Seminoles under 80.5 | 69.9% | 66.4% | 82.9% | 0.80× | 1.51 |
| Purdue Boilermakers over 72.5 | 62.7% | 61.2% | 21.8% | 2.81× | 1.63 |
| Purdue Boilermakers under 78.5 | 62.4% | 61.2% | 88.3% | 0.69× | 1.63 |
| Florida State Seminoles over 72.5 | 62.2% | 61.2% | 34.3% | 1.78× | 1.63 |
| Florida State Seminoles under 78.5 | 62.3% | 61.2% | 79.4% | 0.77× | 1.63 |
| Purdue Boilermakers over 74.5 | 54.4% | 52.3% | 17.7% | 2.95× | 1.91 |
| Purdue Boilermakers under 76.5 | 54.1% | 52.3% | 85.8% | 0.61× | 1.91 |
| Florida State Seminoles over 74.5 | 54.1% | 52.3% | 29.3% | 1.79× | 1.91 |
| Florida State Seminoles under 76.5 | 54.2% | 52.3% | 75.4% | 0.69× | 1.91 |
| Purdue Boilermakers over 75.5 | 50.1% | 52.3% | 15.9% | 3.29× | 1.91 |
| Florida State Seminoles under 75.5 | 50.1% | 52.3% | 73.2% | 0.71× | 1.91 |
| Purdue Boilermakers under 75.5 | 49.9% | 47.7% | 84.1% | 0.57× | 2.09 |
| Florida State Seminoles over 75.5 | 49.9% | 47.7% | 26.8% | 1.78× | 2.09 |
| Purdue Boilermakers under 74.5 | 45.6% | 47.7% | 82.3% | 0.58× | 2.09 |
| Purdue Boilermakers over 76.5 | 45.9% | 47.7% | 14.2% | 3.36× | 2.09 |
| Florida State Seminoles under 74.5 | 45.9% | 47.7% | 70.7% | 0.67× | 2.09 |
| Florida State Seminoles over 76.5 | 45.8% | 47.7% | 24.6% | 1.94× | 2.09 |
| Purdue Boilermakers under 72.5 | 37.3% | 38.8% | 78.2% | 0.50× | 2.58 |
| Purdue Boilermakers over 78.5 | 37.6% | 38.8% | 11.7% | 3.33× | 2.58 |
| Florida State Seminoles under 72.5 | 37.8% | 38.8% | 65.7% | 0.59× | 2.58 |
| Florida State Seminoles over 78.5 | 37.7% | 38.8% | 20.6% | 1.88× | 2.58 |
| Florida State Seminoles under 70.5 | 30.2% | 33.6% | 60.3% | 0.56× | 2.98 |
| Florida State Seminoles over 80.5 | 30.1% | 33.6% | 17.1% | 1.97× | 2.98 |
| Purdue Boilermakers under 70.5 | 29.5% | 29.3% | 73.7% | 0.40× | 3.42 |
| Purdue Boilermakers over 80.5 | 29.8% | 29.3% | 9.0% | 3.25× | 3.42 |
| Purdue Boilermakers under 68.5 | 22.6% | 24.9% | 68.6% | 0.36× | 4.02 |
| Purdue Boilermakers over 82.5 | 22.8% | 24.9% | 7.0% | 3.57× | 4.02 |
| Florida State Seminoles under 68.5 | 23.4% | 24.9% | 54.4% | 0.46× | 4.02 |
| Florida State Seminoles over 82.5 | 23.3% | 24.9% | 13.8% | 1.81× | 4.02 |
| Purdue Boilermakers under 65.5 | 14.2% | 16.1% | 59.8% | 0.27× | 6.21 |
| Purdue Boilermakers over 85.5 | 14.3% | 16.1% | 4.5% | 3.56× | 6.21 |
| Florida State Seminoles under 65.5 | 15.0% | 16.1% | 44.7% | 0.36× | 6.21 |
| Florida State Seminoles over 85.5 | 14.9% | 16.1% | 9.8% | 1.64× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 171.5 points | 91.3% | 88.8% | 98.0% | 0.91× | 1.13 |
| Over 131.5 points | 90.2% | 88.8% | 46.1% | 1.93× | 1.13 |
| Under 166.5 points | 84.7% | 80.6% | 96.6% | 0.83× | 1.24 |
| Over 136.5 points | 83.2% | 80.6% | 35.8% | 2.25× | 1.24 |
| Under 161.5 points | 75.7% | 75.6% | 94.4% | 0.80× | 1.32 |
| Over 141.5 points | 73.5% | 70.8% | 26.6% | 2.67× | 1.41 |
| Under 158.5 points | 69.0% | 65.9% | 92.7% | 0.71× | 1.52 |
| Over 144.5 points | 66.7% | 65.9% | 21.9% | 3.01× | 1.52 |
| Under 156.5 points | 64.1% | 61.5% | 91.3% | 0.67× | 1.63 |
| Over 146.5 points | 61.8% | 61.5% | 19.1% | 3.22× | 1.63 |
| Under 154.5 points | 59.1% | 56.5% | 89.8% | 0.63× | 1.77 |
| Over 148.5 points | 56.7% | 56.5% | 16.3% | 3.46× | 1.77 |
| Under 152.5 points | 53.9% | 52.3% | 88.1% | 0.59× | 1.91 |
| Over 150.5 points | 51.4% | 52.3% | 13.9% | 3.76× | 1.91 |
| Under 151.5 points | 51.3% | 52.3% | 87.3% | 0.60× | 1.91 |
| Under 150.5 points | 48.6% | 47.7% | 86.1% | 0.55× | 2.10 |
| Over 151.5 points | 48.7% | 47.7% | 12.8% | 3.74× | 2.10 |
| Over 152.5 points | 46.1% | 47.7% | 11.9% | 4.01× | 2.10 |
| Under 148.5 points | 43.3% | 43.5% | 83.7% | 0.52× | 2.30 |
| Over 154.5 points | 40.9% | 43.5% | 10.2% | 4.28× | 2.30 |
| Under 146.5 points | 38.2% | 38.5% | 80.9% | 0.48× | 2.60 |
| Over 156.5 points | 35.9% | 38.5% | 8.7% | 4.44× | 2.60 |
| Under 144.5 points | 33.3% | 34.1% | 78.1% | 0.44× | 2.93 |
| Over 158.5 points | 31.0% | 34.1% | 7.3% | 4.68× | 2.93 |
| Under 141.5 points | 26.5% | 29.2% | 73.4% | 0.40× | 3.43 |
| Over 161.5 points | 24.3% | 24.4% | 5.6% | 4.36× | 4.10 |
| Under 136.5 points | 16.8% | 19.4% | 64.2% | 0.30× | 5.15 |
| Over 166.5 points | 15.3% | 19.4% | 3.4% | 5.72× | 5.15 |
| Under 131.5 points | 9.8% | 11.2% | 53.9% | 0.21× | 8.96 |
| Over 171.5 points | 8.7% | 11.2% | 2.0% | 5.49× | 8.96 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Purdue Boilermakers to win both halves | 20.2% | 23.0% | 20.4% | 1.13× | 4.34 |
| Florida State Seminoles to win both halves | 20.0% | 23.0% | 36.0% | 0.64× | 4.34 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida State Seminoles by 1-5 | 17.6% | 16.8% | 10.2% | 1.64× | 5.97 |
| Purdue Boilermakers by 1-5 | 17.6% | 16.8% | 10.2% | 1.65× | 5.97 |
| Purdue Boilermakers by 6-10 | 14.3% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 1.20× | 8.11 |
| Florida State Seminoles by 6-10 | 14.2% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 0.95× | 8.11 |
| Florida State Seminoles by 11-15 | 9.4% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 0.69× | 13.40 |
| Purdue Boilermakers by 11-15 | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 0.98× | 13.40 |
| Florida State Seminoles by 16-20 | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 0.93× | 13.41 |
| Purdue Boilermakers by 16-20 | 5.2% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 1.57× | 13.41 |
| Florida State Seminoles by 21-25 | 2.3% | 2.0% | 5.4% | 0.38× | 49.31 |
| Purdue Boilermakers by 21-25 | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 0.76× | 49.31 |
| Florida State Seminoles by 26+ | 1.2% | 2.0% | 12.6% | 0.16× | 49.32 |
| Purdue Boilermakers by 26+ | 1.2% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 0.44× | 49.32 |