Florida State Seminoles v VCU Rams — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 29 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated 3 Sep 2026, 23:45

Florida State Seminoles

00:00

VCU Rams

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Florida State Seminoles win

88.7%

Draw

0.0%

VCU Rams win

11.3%

89011

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	89011	75.79–62.49	76-63 0%	50%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Florida State Seminoles to score 100+	0.7%	0.4%	1.8%	0.20×	283.23
Florida State Seminoles to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	0.6%	0.64×	283.35
Florida State Seminoles to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	2.91×	283.36
Florida State Seminoles to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	7.58×	283.36
VCU Rams to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	0.5%	0.72×	283.36
VCU Rams to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	4.74×	283.36
VCU Rams to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	18.95×	283.36
VCU Rams to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	37.89×	283.36
Both sides to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	6.32×	283.36

H1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Florida State Seminoles to win H1	75.0%	79.2%	56.4%	1.40×	1.26
VCU Rams to win H1	21.5%	21.4%	39.9%	0.54×	4.68
H1 tied	3.5%	3.9%	3.7%	1.05×	25.86

H1 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 under 78.5	88.9%	87.7%	92.8%	0.95×	1.14
H1 over 54.5	87.4%	87.7%	74.0%	1.19×	1.14
H1 under 74.5	79.6%	77.4%	87.2%	0.89×	1.29
H1 over 58.5	77.3%	77.4%	61.4%	1.26×	1.29
H1 under 71.5	70.3%	73.5%	81.4%	0.90×	1.36
H1 over 61.5	67.4%	67.4%	50.2%	1.34×	1.48
H1 under 69.5	63.2%	62.7%	76.2%	0.82×	1.59
H1 over 63.5	60.1%	62.7%	42.9%	1.46×	1.59
H1 under 67.5	55.5%	58.2%	70.4%	0.83×	1.72
H1 over 65.5	52.3%	52.6%	36.1%	1.46×	1.90
H1 under 66.5	51.6%	52.6%	67.1%	0.78×	1.90
H1 over 66.5	48.4%	47.4%	32.9%	1.44×	2.11
H1 under 65.5	47.7%	47.4%	63.9%	0.74×	2.11
H1 over 67.5	44.5%	41.8%	29.6%	1.41×	2.39
H1 under 63.5	39.9%	37.3%	57.1%	0.65×	2.68
H1 over 69.5	36.8%	37.3%	23.8%	1.56×	2.68
H1 under 61.5	32.6%	32.6%	49.8%	0.65×	3.07
H1 over 71.5	29.7%	26.5%	18.6%	1.43×	3.77
H1 under 58.5	22.7%	22.6%	38.6%	0.58×	4.43
H1 over 74.5	20.4%	22.6%	12.8%	1.76×	4.43
H1 under 54.5	12.6%	12.3%	26.0%	0.47×	8.14
H1 over 78.5	11.1%	12.3%	7.2%	1.70×	8.14

H2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Florida State Seminoles to win H2	76.4%	73.9%	56.0%	1.32×	1.35
VCU Rams to win H2	20.4%	26.8%	40.6%	0.66×	3.73
H2 tied	3.2%	3.9%	3.4%	1.16×	25.36

H2 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 over 60.5	86.9%	85.2%	74.5%	1.14×	1.17
H2 under 84.5	87.2%	85.2%	90.3%	0.94×	1.17
H2 under 80.5	77.7%	75.8%	84.0%	0.90×	1.32
H2 over 64.5	77.1%	75.8%	62.1%	1.22×	1.32
H2 under 77.5	68.5%	66.4%	77.9%	0.85×	1.51
H2 over 67.5	67.7%	66.4%	52.1%	1.27×	1.51
H2 under 75.5	61.6%	61.6%	73.0%	0.84×	1.62
H2 over 69.5	60.6%	61.6%	45.2%	1.36×	1.62
H2 under 73.5	54.2%	52.4%	67.1%	0.78×	1.91
H2 over 71.5	53.3%	52.4%	38.9%	1.35×	1.91
H2 under 72.5	50.5%	52.4%	64.1%	0.82×	1.91
H2 over 72.5	49.5%	47.6%	36.0%	1.32×	2.10
H2 under 71.5	46.7%	47.6%	61.1%	0.78×	2.10
H2 over 73.5	45.8%	47.6%	32.9%	1.45×	2.10
H2 under 69.5	39.4%	38.4%	54.8%	0.70×	2.61
H2 over 75.5	38.4%	38.4%	27.0%	1.42×	2.61
H2 under 67.5	32.3%	33.6%	47.9%	0.70×	2.97
H2 over 77.5	31.5%	33.6%	22.1%	1.52×	2.97
H2 under 64.5	22.9%	24.2%	37.9%	0.64×	4.13
H2 over 80.5	22.3%	24.2%	16.0%	1.52×	4.13
H2 under 60.5	13.1%	14.8%	25.5%	0.58×	6.76
H2 over 84.5	12.8%	14.8%	9.7%	1.52×	6.76

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Florida State Seminoles leading at half time	75.0%	79.6%	56.4%	1.41×	1.26
VCU Rams leading at half time	21.5%	20.9%	39.9%	0.52×	4.78
Level at half time	3.5%	3.8%	3.7%	1.03×	26.41

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Florida State Seminoles +16.5	99.6%	97.4%	89.1%	1.09×	1.03
Florida State Seminoles +18.5	99.8%	97.4%	91.1%	1.07×	1.03
Florida State Seminoles +20.5	99.9%	97.4%	92.7%	1.05×	1.03
Florida State Seminoles +6.5	96.0%	97.4%	72.3%	1.35×	1.03
Florida State Seminoles +7.5	96.7%	97.4%	74.5%	1.31×	1.03
Florida State Seminoles +8.5	97.3%	97.4%	76.5%	1.27×	1.03
Florida State Seminoles +9.5	97.8%	97.4%	78.7%	1.24×	1.03
Florida State Seminoles +10.5	98.2%	97.4%	80.4%	1.21×	1.03
Florida State Seminoles +12.5	98.9%	97.4%	83.8%	1.16×	1.03
Florida State Seminoles +14.5	99.3%	97.4%	86.7%	1.12×	1.03
Florida State Seminoles +5.5	95.1%	97.4%	70.1%	1.39×	1.03
Florida State Seminoles +4.5	94.2%	91.1%	67.8%	1.34×	1.10
Florida State Seminoles +3.5	93.1%	91.1%	65.7%	1.39×	1.10
Florida State Seminoles +1.5	90.3%	91.1%	61.2%	1.49×	1.10
Florida State Seminoles +2.5	91.8%	91.1%	63.3%	1.44×	1.10
Florida State Seminoles −1.5	86.7%	85.9%	58.7%	1.46×	1.16
Florida State Seminoles −2.5	84.5%	81.1%	56.7%	1.43×	1.23
Florida State Seminoles −3.5	82.1%	81.1%	54.2%	1.50×	1.23
Florida State Seminoles −4.5	79.6%	76.5%	52.2%	1.47×	1.31
Florida State Seminoles −5.5	76.8%	76.5%	49.7%	1.54×	1.31
Florida State Seminoles −6.5	73.8%	71.6%	47.6%	1.51×	1.40
VCU Rams +20.5	73.8%	71.6%	82.0%	0.87×	1.40
Florida State Seminoles −7.5	70.7%	71.6%	44.8%	1.60×	1.40
Florida State Seminoles −8.5	67.5%	66.7%	42.0%	1.59×	1.50
VCU Rams +18.5	67.6%	66.7%	79.3%	0.84×	1.50
Florida State Seminoles −9.5	64.1%	61.9%	39.3%	1.58×	1.62
Florida State Seminoles −10.5	60.6%	61.9%	36.8%	1.68×	1.62
VCU Rams +16.5	60.9%	61.9%	75.7%	0.82×	1.62
Florida State Seminoles −12.5	53.5%	52.4%	32.1%	1.63×	1.91
VCU Rams +14.5	53.8%	52.4%	72.1%	0.73×	1.91
VCU Rams +12.5	46.5%	47.6%	67.9%	0.70×	2.10
Florida State Seminoles −14.5	46.2%	47.6%	27.9%	1.71×	2.10
VCU Rams +10.5	39.4%	38.1%	63.2%	0.60×	2.63
Florida State Seminoles −16.5	39.1%	38.1%	24.3%	1.57×	2.63
VCU Rams +9.5	35.9%	38.1%	60.7%	0.63×	2.63
VCU Rams +8.5	32.5%	33.3%	58.0%	0.57×	3.01
Florida State Seminoles −18.5	32.4%	33.3%	20.7%	1.61×	3.01
VCU Rams +7.5	29.3%	28.4%	55.2%	0.51×	3.53
VCU Rams +6.5	26.2%	28.4%	52.4%	0.54×	3.53
Florida State Seminoles −20.5	26.2%	28.4%	18.0%	1.58×	3.53
VCU Rams +5.5	23.2%	23.5%	50.3%	0.47×	4.25
VCU Rams +4.5	20.4%	23.5%	47.8%	0.49×	4.25
VCU Rams +3.5	17.9%	18.9%	45.8%	0.41×	5.29
VCU Rams +2.5	15.5%	18.9%	43.3%	0.44×	5.30
VCU Rams +1.5	13.3%	14.1%	41.3%	0.34×	7.09
VCU Rams −1.5	9.7%	8.9%	38.8%	0.23×	11.25
VCU Rams −2.5	8.2%	8.9%	36.7%	0.24×	11.25
VCU Rams −3.5	6.9%	8.9%	34.3%	0.26×	11.25
VCU Rams −4.5	5.8%	8.9%	32.2%	0.28×	11.25
VCU Rams −5.5	4.9%	2.6%	29.9%	0.09×	38.72
VCU Rams −6.5	4.0%	2.6%	27.7%	0.09×	38.72
VCU Rams −7.5	3.3%	2.6%	25.5%	0.10×	38.73
VCU Rams −8.5	2.7%	2.6%	23.5%	0.11×	38.73
VCU Rams −9.5	2.2%	2.6%	21.3%	0.12×	38.73
VCU Rams −10.5	1.8%	2.6%	19.6%	0.13×	38.73
VCU Rams −12.5	1.1%	2.6%	16.2%	0.16×	38.74
VCU Rams −14.5	0.7%	2.6%	13.3%	0.19×	38.74
VCU Rams −16.5	0.4%	2.6%	10.9%	0.24×	38.74
VCU Rams −18.5	0.2%	2.6%	8.9%	0.29×	38.74
VCU Rams −20.5	0.1%	2.6%	7.3%	0.35×	38.74

Highest scoring half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	73.3%	67.1%	66.7%	1.01×	1.49
1st half highest scoring	26.7%	32.9%	33.3%	0.99×	3.04

Highest scoring quarter 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 highest scoring	34.9%	31.9%	31.2%	1.02×	3.14
Q3 highest scoring	33.1%	31.9%	31.3%	1.02×	3.14
Q1 highest scoring	16.8%	18.3%	19.6%	0.94×	5.46
Q2 highest scoring	15.2%	18.3%	17.9%	1.02×	5.46

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Florida State Seminoles at HT / Florida State Seminoles at FT	71.3%	73.1%	48.3%	1.52×	1.37
VCU Rams at HT / Florida State Seminoles at FT	14.5%	12.2%	9.8%	1.25×	8.17
VCU Rams at HT / VCU Rams at FT	7.0%	8.3%	30.1%	0.27×	12.09
Florida State Seminoles at HT / VCU Rams at FT	3.7%	2.1%	8.2%	0.26×	47.73
Level at HT / Florida State Seminoles at FT	2.9%	2.1%	1.9%	1.09×	47.74
Level at HT / VCU Rams at FT	0.6%	2.1%	1.8%	1.20×	47.78

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Florida State Seminoles to win	88.7%	85.6%	59.9%	1.43×	1.17
VCU Rams to win	11.3%	14.4%	40.1%	0.36×	6.92

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Florida State Seminoles even	50.0%	50.5%	49.4%	1.02×	1.98
VCU Rams even	50.1%	50.5%	50.1%	1.01×	1.98
Total points odd	50.9%	50.5%	51.5%	0.98×	1.98
Florida State Seminoles odd	50.0%	49.5%	50.6%	0.98×	2.02
VCU Rams odd	49.9%	49.5%	49.9%	0.99×	2.02
Total points even	49.1%	49.5%	48.5%	1.02×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	96.1%	97.0%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Match to go to overtime	3.9%	3.0%	4.4%	0.68×	33.39

Q1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Florida State Seminoles to win Q1	66.3%	72.2%	54.7%	1.32×	1.39
VCU Rams to win Q1	28.3%	22.5%	40.4%	0.56×	4.45
Q1 tied	5.4%	5.5%	4.9%	1.11×	18.33

Q1 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 under 41.5	88.9%	87.4%	91.9%	0.95×	1.14
Q1 over 25.5	87.3%	87.4%	77.6%	1.13×	1.14
Q1 under 38.5	78.2%	76.9%	84.8%	0.91×	1.30
Q1 over 28.5	75.7%	76.9%	62.7%	1.23×	1.30
Q1 under 36.5	68.6%	67.6%	77.4%	0.87×	1.48
Q1 over 30.5	65.6%	67.6%	51.2%	1.32×	1.48
Q1 under 34.5	57.5%	58.6%	68.5%	0.86×	1.71
Q1 over 32.5	54.2%	52.7%	40.9%	1.29×	1.90
Q1 under 33.5	51.6%	52.7%	64.0%	0.82×	1.90
Q1 over 33.5	48.4%	47.3%	36.0%	1.31×	2.11
Q1 under 32.5	45.8%	47.3%	59.1%	0.80×	2.11
Q1 over 34.5	42.5%	41.4%	31.5%	1.31×	2.42
Q1 under 30.5	34.4%	32.4%	48.8%	0.67×	3.08
Q1 over 36.5	31.4%	32.4%	22.6%	1.44×	3.08
Q1 under 28.5	24.3%	23.1%	37.3%	0.62×	4.33
Q1 over 38.5	21.8%	23.1%	15.2%	1.52×	4.33
Q1 under 25.5	12.7%	12.6%	22.4%	0.56×	7.95
Q1 over 41.5	11.1%	12.6%	8.1%	1.56×	7.95

Q2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Florida State Seminoles to win Q2	65.8%	68.3%	52.9%	1.29×	1.46
VCU Rams to win Q2	28.9%	27.8%	41.5%	0.67×	3.60
Q2 tied	5.4%	6.1%	5.7%	1.07×	16.50

Q2 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q2 under 41.5	89.8%	87.3%	92.7%	0.94×	1.15
Q2 over 25.5	86.2%	87.3%	76.2%	1.15×	1.15
Q2 under 38.5	79.7%	76.8%	85.6%	0.90×	1.30
Q2 over 28.5	74.1%	72.0%	61.2%	1.18×	1.39
Q2 under 36.5	70.4%	72.0%	78.7%	0.91×	1.39
Q2 over 30.5	63.7%	60.7%	49.9%	1.22×	1.65
Q2 under 34.5	59.5%	58.2%	70.1%	0.83×	1.72
Q2 under 33.5	53.7%	52.7%	65.6%	0.80×	1.90
Q2 over 32.5	52.2%	52.7%	39.2%	1.34×	1.90
Q2 under 32.5	47.8%	47.3%	60.8%	0.78×	2.11
Q2 over 33.5	46.3%	47.3%	34.4%	1.38×	2.11
Q2 over 34.5	40.5%	41.8%	29.9%	1.40×	2.39
Q2 under 30.5	36.3%	39.3%	50.1%	0.78×	2.55
Q2 over 36.5	29.6%	28.0%	21.3%	1.32×	3.57
Q2 under 28.5	25.9%	28.0%	38.8%	0.72×	3.57
Q2 over 38.5	20.3%	23.2%	14.4%	1.61×	4.31
Q2 under 25.5	13.8%	12.7%	23.8%	0.53×	7.89
Q2 over 41.5	10.2%	12.7%	7.3%	1.72×	7.90

Q3 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Florida State Seminoles to win Q3	67.4%	66.7%	53.3%	1.25×	1.50
VCU Rams to win Q3	27.4%	28.8%	41.8%	0.69×	3.47
Q3 tied	5.2%	5.3%	4.9%	1.07×	18.98

Q3 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 under 44.5	88.4%	87.2%	92.1%	0.95×	1.15
Q3 over 28.5	86.5%	87.2%	76.4%	1.14×	1.15
Q3 under 41.5	77.8%	77.3%	85.1%	0.91×	1.29
Q3 over 31.5	74.8%	71.8%	61.6%	1.17×	1.39
Q3 under 39.5	68.4%	67.8%	77.9%	0.87×	1.48
Q3 over 33.5	64.9%	62.0%	50.9%	1.22×	1.61
Q3 under 37.5	57.7%	58.4%	69.7%	0.84×	1.71
Q3 over 35.5	53.8%	52.3%	40.3%	1.30×	1.91
Q3 under 36.5	52.0%	52.3%	64.6%	0.81×	1.91
Q3 over 36.5	48.0%	47.7%	35.4%	1.35×	2.10
Q3 under 35.5	46.2%	47.7%	59.7%	0.80×	2.10
Q3 over 37.5	42.3%	41.6%	30.3%	1.37×	2.40
Q3 under 33.5	35.1%	38.0%	49.1%	0.78×	2.63
Q3 over 39.5	31.6%	32.2%	22.1%	1.46×	3.11
Q3 under 31.5	25.2%	28.2%	38.4%	0.73×	3.55
Q3 over 41.5	22.2%	22.7%	14.9%	1.53×	4.40
Q3 under 28.5	13.5%	12.8%	23.6%	0.54×	7.83
Q3 over 44.5	11.6%	12.8%	7.9%	1.63×	7.83

Q4 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Florida State Seminoles to win Q4	67.1%	60.6%	52.8%	1.15×	1.65
VCU Rams to win Q4	27.8%	33.3%	41.5%	0.80×	3.00
Q4 tied	5.1%	5.8%	5.7%	1.02×	17.26

Q4 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 under 44.5	86.9%	85.6%	90.6%	0.95×	1.17
Q4 over 28.5	85.3%	85.6%	75.1%	1.14×	1.17
Q4 under 41.5	76.3%	76.9%	83.6%	0.92×	1.30
Q4 over 31.5	74.0%	71.5%	61.1%	1.17×	1.40
Q4 under 39.5	67.2%	67.4%	77.0%	0.88×	1.48
Q4 over 33.5	64.4%	61.4%	50.4%	1.22×	1.63
Q4 under 37.5	56.9%	58.4%	68.8%	0.85×	1.71
Q4 over 35.5	53.9%	52.5%	40.6%	1.29×	1.91
Q4 under 36.5	51.5%	52.5%	64.3%	0.82×	1.91
Q4 over 36.5	48.5%	47.5%	35.7%	1.33×	2.11
Q4 under 35.5	46.1%	47.5%	59.4%	0.80×	2.11
Q4 over 37.5	43.1%	41.6%	31.2%	1.33×	2.40
Q4 under 33.5	35.6%	38.6%	49.6%	0.78×	2.59
Q4 over 39.5	32.8%	32.6%	23.0%	1.41×	3.07
Q4 under 31.5	26.0%	28.5%	38.9%	0.73×	3.51
Q4 over 41.5	23.7%	23.1%	16.4%	1.41×	4.33
Q4 under 28.5	14.7%	14.4%	24.9%	0.58×	6.95
Q4 over 44.5	13.1%	14.4%	9.4%	1.53×	6.95

Team total 44

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Florida State Seminoles under 86.5	86.6%	83.9%	91.2%	0.92×	1.19
VCU Rams over 52.5	86.3%	83.9%	78.5%	1.07×	1.19
VCU Rams under 72.5	86.2%	83.9%	78.2%	1.07×	1.19
Florida State Seminoles over 66.5	84.1%	80.7%	51.8%	1.56×	1.24
Florida State Seminoles under 83.5	78.6%	75.1%	87.7%	0.86×	1.33
VCU Rams under 69.5	77.8%	75.1%	71.2%	1.05×	1.33
VCU Rams over 55.5	77.6%	75.1%	70.8%	1.06×	1.33
Florida State Seminoles over 69.5	75.2%	75.1%	42.6%	1.76×	1.33
Florida State Seminoles under 81.5	72.0%	70.7%	84.6%	0.84×	1.41
VCU Rams over 57.5	70.5%	70.7%	65.1%	1.09×	1.41
VCU Rams under 67.5	70.8%	70.7%	65.6%	1.08×	1.41
Florida State Seminoles over 71.5	68.1%	66.4%	37.0%	1.79×	1.51
Florida State Seminoles under 79.5	64.5%	61.2%	81.3%	0.75×	1.63
VCU Rams over 59.5	62.6%	61.2%	58.8%	1.04×	1.63
VCU Rams under 65.5	63.0%	61.2%	59.8%	1.02×	1.63
Florida State Seminoles over 73.5	60.3%	61.2%	31.5%	1.94×	1.63
Florida State Seminoles under 77.5	56.4%	57.1%	77.4%	0.74×	1.75
VCU Rams over 61.5	54.1%	52.3%	52.1%	1.00×	1.91
VCU Rams under 63.5	54.6%	52.3%	53.9%	0.97×	1.91
Florida State Seminoles over 75.5	52.0%	52.3%	26.8%	1.95×	1.91
Florida State Seminoles under 76.5	52.2%	52.3%	75.4%	0.69×	1.91
VCU Rams under 62.5	50.3%	52.3%	51.0%	1.03×	1.91
VCU Rams over 62.5	49.8%	47.7%	49.0%	0.97×	2.09
Florida State Seminoles under 75.5	48.0%	47.7%	73.2%	0.65×	2.09
Florida State Seminoles over 76.5	47.8%	47.7%	24.6%	1.94×	2.09
VCU Rams under 61.5	45.9%	47.7%	47.9%	1.00×	2.09
VCU Rams over 63.5	45.4%	47.7%	46.1%	1.04×	2.09
Florida State Seminoles over 77.5	43.6%	42.9%	22.6%	1.90×	2.33
Florida State Seminoles under 73.5	39.7%	38.8%	68.5%	0.57×	2.58
VCU Rams under 59.5	37.4%	38.8%	41.2%	0.94×	2.58
VCU Rams over 65.5	37.0%	38.8%	40.2%	0.96×	2.58
Florida State Seminoles over 79.5	35.5%	38.8%	18.7%	2.07×	2.58
Florida State Seminoles under 71.5	31.9%	33.6%	63.0%	0.53×	2.98
VCU Rams under 57.5	29.5%	29.3%	34.9%	0.84×	3.42
VCU Rams over 67.5	29.2%	29.3%	34.4%	0.85×	3.42
Florida State Seminoles over 81.5	28.0%	29.3%	15.4%	1.90×	3.42
Florida State Seminoles under 69.5	24.8%	24.9%	57.4%	0.43×	4.02
VCU Rams under 55.5	22.4%	24.9%	29.2%	0.85×	4.02
Florida State Seminoles over 83.5	21.4%	24.9%	12.3%	2.02×	4.02
VCU Rams over 69.5	22.2%	24.9%	28.8%	0.86×	4.02
Florida State Seminoles under 66.5	15.9%	19.3%	48.2%	0.40×	5.18
Florida State Seminoles over 86.5	13.4%	16.1%	8.8%	1.83×	6.21
VCU Rams under 52.5	13.7%	16.1%	21.5%	0.75×	6.21
VCU Rams over 72.5	13.8%	16.1%	21.8%	0.74×	6.21

Total points 30

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 118.5 points	91.1%	88.8%	73.6%	1.21×	1.13
Under 158.5 points	90.9%	88.8%	92.7%	0.96×	1.13
Over 123.5 points	84.2%	80.6%	63.3%	1.27×	1.24
Under 153.5 points	84.2%	80.6%	89.0%	0.90×	1.24
Over 128.5 points	74.7%	70.8%	52.8%	1.34×	1.41
Under 148.5 points	74.9%	70.8%	83.7%	0.85×	1.41
Over 131.5 points	67.8%	65.9%	46.1%	1.43×	1.52
Under 145.5 points	68.2%	65.9%	79.5%	0.83×	1.52
Under 143.5 points	63.3%	61.5%	76.7%	0.80×	1.63
Over 133.5 points	62.8%	61.5%	42.0%	1.46×	1.63
Over 135.5 points	57.7%	56.5%	37.6%	1.50×	1.77
Under 141.5 points	58.2%	56.5%	73.4%	0.77×	1.77
Over 137.5 points	52.4%	52.3%	33.8%	1.55×	1.91
Under 139.5 points	52.9%	52.3%	69.9%	0.75×	1.91
Under 138.5 points	50.2%	52.3%	67.9%	0.77×	1.91
Over 138.5 points	49.8%	47.7%	32.1%	1.49×	2.10
Under 137.5 points	47.6%	47.7%	66.2%	0.72×	2.10
Over 139.5 points	47.1%	47.7%	30.1%	1.58×	2.10
Under 135.5 points	42.3%	43.5%	62.4%	0.70×	2.30
Over 141.5 points	41.8%	43.5%	26.6%	1.64×	2.30
Under 133.5 points	37.2%	38.5%	58.0%	0.66×	2.60
Over 143.5 points	36.7%	38.5%	23.3%	1.65×	2.60
Under 131.5 points	32.2%	34.1%	53.9%	0.63×	2.93
Over 145.5 points	31.8%	34.1%	20.5%	1.67×	2.93
Under 128.5 points	25.3%	29.2%	47.2%	0.62×	3.43
Over 148.5 points	25.1%	29.2%	16.3%	1.79×	3.43
Under 123.5 points	15.8%	19.4%	36.7%	0.53×	5.15
Over 153.5 points	15.8%	19.4%	11.0%	1.77×	5.15
Under 118.5 points	8.9%	11.2%	26.4%	0.42×	8.96
Over 158.5 points	9.1%	11.2%	7.3%	1.53×	8.96

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Florida State Seminoles to win both halves	55.5%	57.7%	36.0%	1.60×	1.73
VCU Rams to win both halves	2.9%	3.0%	20.4%	0.15×	33.66

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Florida State Seminoles by 11-15	18.0%	16.8%	10.8%	1.55×	5.97
Florida State Seminoles by 6-10	16.2%	16.8%	12.9%	1.30×	5.97
Florida State Seminoles by 16-20	16.5%	16.8%	8.0%	2.08×	5.97
Florida State Seminoles by 26+	13.7%	12.3%	12.6%	0.98×	8.11
Florida State Seminoles by 1-5	11.9%	12.3%	10.2%	1.21×	8.11
Florida State Seminoles by 21-25	12.4%	12.3%	5.4%	2.29×	8.11
VCU Rams by 1-5	6.4%	7.5%	10.2%	0.73×	13.40
VCU Rams by 6-10	3.1%	2.0%	10.3%	0.20×	49.30
VCU Rams by 11-15	1.2%	2.0%	7.6%	0.27×	49.32
VCU Rams by 16-20	0.4%	2.0%	4.8%	0.43×	49.32
VCU Rams by 21-25	0.1%	2.0%	2.7%	0.76×	49.33
VCU Rams by 26+	0.0%	2.0%	4.6%	0.44×	49.33

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