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Fordham Rams v Buffalo Bulls — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 22 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Fordham Rams win
78.4%
Draw
0.0%
Buffalo Bulls win
21.6%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 68.17–59.53 68-59 0% 51% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fordham Rams to score 100+ 0.1% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.35
Fordham Rams to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Fordham Rams to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Fordham Rams to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Buffalo Bulls to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.71× 283.36
Buffalo Bulls to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Buffalo Bulls to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Buffalo Bulls to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fordham Rams to win H1 66.1% 68.3% 56.4% 1.21× 1.47
Buffalo Bulls to win H1 29.8% 26.6% 39.9% 0.67× 3.76
H1 tied 4.1% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 73.5 88.9% 87.7% 85.6% 1.02× 1.14
H1 over 49.5 87.8% 87.7% 86.7% 1.01× 1.14
H1 under 69.5 79.5% 77.4% 76.2% 1.02× 1.29
H1 over 53.5 77.7% 77.4% 76.8% 1.01× 1.29
H1 under 66.5 70.1% 73.5% 67.1% 1.09× 1.36
H1 over 56.5 67.8% 67.4% 68.2% 0.99× 1.48
H1 under 64.5 63.0% 62.7% 60.7% 1.03× 1.59
H1 over 58.5 60.4% 62.7% 61.4% 1.02× 1.59
H1 under 62.5 55.3% 58.2% 53.7% 1.08× 1.72
H1 over 60.5 52.6% 52.6% 53.9% 0.98× 1.90
H1 under 61.5 51.3% 52.6% 49.8% 1.06× 1.90
H1 over 61.5 48.7% 47.4% 50.2% 0.94× 2.11
H1 under 60.5 47.4% 47.4% 46.1% 1.03× 2.11
H1 over 62.5 44.7% 41.8% 46.3% 0.90× 2.39
H1 under 58.5 39.6% 37.3% 38.6% 0.97× 2.68
H1 over 64.5 37.0% 37.3% 39.3% 0.95× 2.68
H1 under 56.5 32.2% 32.6% 31.8% 1.02× 3.07
H1 over 66.5 29.9% 26.5% 32.9% 0.81× 3.77
H1 under 53.5 22.3% 22.6% 23.2% 0.97× 4.43
H1 over 69.5 20.5% 22.6% 23.8% 0.95× 4.43
H1 under 49.5 12.2% 12.3% 13.3% 0.93× 8.14
H1 over 73.5 11.1% 12.3% 14.4% 0.85× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fordham Rams to win H2 67.2% 62.8% 56.0% 1.12× 1.59
Buffalo Bulls to win H2 29.0% 31.3% 40.6% 0.77× 3.20
H2 tied 3.9% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.36
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 79.5 88.1% 85.2% 82.0% 1.04× 1.17
H2 over 55.5 86.3% 85.2% 86.1% 0.99× 1.17
H2 under 75.5 78.9% 75.8% 73.0% 1.04× 1.32
H2 over 59.5 76.1% 75.8% 77.0% 0.98× 1.32
H2 under 72.5 69.9% 66.4% 64.1% 1.04× 1.51
H2 over 62.5 66.4% 66.4% 68.3% 0.97× 1.51
H2 under 70.5 63.1% 61.6% 57.8% 1.07× 1.62
H2 over 64.5 59.3% 57.3% 62.1% 0.92× 1.74
H2 under 68.5 55.7% 57.3% 51.3% 1.12× 1.74
H2 over 66.5 51.8% 52.4% 55.4% 0.95× 1.91
H2 under 67.5 52.0% 52.4% 47.9% 1.09× 1.91
H2 under 66.5 48.2% 47.6% 44.6% 1.07× 2.10
H2 over 67.5 48.0% 47.6% 52.1% 0.91× 2.10
H2 over 68.5 44.3% 42.7% 48.7% 0.88× 2.34
H2 under 64.5 40.7% 42.7% 37.9% 1.13× 2.35
H2 over 70.5 36.9% 38.4% 42.2% 0.91× 2.61
H2 under 62.5 33.6% 33.6% 31.7% 1.06× 2.97
H2 over 72.5 30.1% 33.6% 36.0% 0.94× 2.97
H2 under 59.5 23.9% 24.2% 23.0% 1.05× 4.13
H2 over 75.5 21.1% 24.2% 27.0% 0.90× 4.13
H2 under 55.5 13.7% 14.8% 13.9% 1.06× 6.76
H2 over 79.5 11.9% 14.8% 18.0% 0.82× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fordham Rams leading at half time 66.1% 68.4% 56.4% 1.21× 1.46
Buffalo Bulls leading at half time 29.8% 26.5% 39.9% 0.66× 3.77
Level at half time 4.1% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fordham Rams +20.5 99.5% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
Fordham Rams +12.5 96.9% 97.4% 83.8% 1.16× 1.03
Fordham Rams +14.5 98.0% 97.4% 86.7% 1.12× 1.03
Fordham Rams +16.5 98.7% 97.4% 89.1% 1.09× 1.03
Fordham Rams +18.5 99.2% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
Fordham Rams +10.5 95.4% 97.4% 80.4% 1.21× 1.03
Fordham Rams +9.5 94.5% 91.1% 78.7% 1.16× 1.10
Fordham Rams +7.5 92.2% 91.1% 74.5% 1.22× 1.10
Fordham Rams +8.5 93.4% 91.1% 76.5% 1.19× 1.10
Fordham Rams +6.5 90.8% 91.1% 72.3% 1.26× 1.10
Fordham Rams +5.5 89.2% 85.9% 70.1% 1.23× 1.16
Fordham Rams +4.5 87.4% 85.9% 67.8% 1.27× 1.16
Fordham Rams +3.5 85.5% 85.9% 65.7% 1.31× 1.16
Buffalo Bulls +20.5 85.9% 85.9% 82.0% 1.05× 1.16
Fordham Rams +2.5 83.3% 81.1% 63.3% 1.28× 1.23
Fordham Rams +1.5 80.9% 81.1% 61.2% 1.32× 1.23
Buffalo Bulls +18.5 81.3% 81.1% 79.3% 1.02× 1.23
Buffalo Bulls +16.5 76.0% 76.5% 75.7% 1.01× 1.31
Fordham Rams −1.5 75.4% 76.5% 58.7% 1.30× 1.31
Fordham Rams −2.5 72.3% 71.6% 56.7% 1.26× 1.40
Buffalo Bulls +14.5 69.9% 66.7% 72.1% 0.93× 1.50
Fordham Rams −3.5 69.1% 66.7% 54.2% 1.23× 1.50
Fordham Rams −4.5 65.7% 66.7% 52.2% 1.28× 1.50
Buffalo Bulls +12.5 63.3% 61.9% 67.9% 0.91× 1.62
Fordham Rams −5.5 62.1% 61.9% 49.7% 1.25× 1.62
Fordham Rams −6.5 58.6% 57.1% 47.6% 1.20× 1.75
Buffalo Bulls +10.5 56.1% 57.1% 63.2% 0.90× 1.75
Fordham Rams −7.5 54.9% 52.4% 44.8% 1.17× 1.91
Buffalo Bulls +9.5 52.5% 52.4% 60.7% 0.86× 1.91
Fordham Rams −8.5 51.2% 52.4% 42.0% 1.25× 1.91
Buffalo Bulls +8.5 48.8% 47.6% 58.0% 0.82× 2.10
Fordham Rams −9.5 47.5% 47.6% 39.3% 1.21× 2.10
Buffalo Bulls +7.5 45.1% 47.6% 55.2% 0.86× 2.10
Fordham Rams −10.5 43.9% 42.9% 36.8% 1.17× 2.33
Buffalo Bulls +6.5 41.4% 42.9% 52.4% 0.82× 2.33
Buffalo Bulls +5.5 37.9% 38.1% 50.3% 0.76× 2.63
Fordham Rams −12.5 36.8% 38.1% 32.1% 1.19× 2.63
Buffalo Bulls +4.5 34.3% 33.3% 47.8% 0.70× 3.01
Buffalo Bulls +3.5 30.9% 33.3% 45.8% 0.73× 3.01
Fordham Rams −14.5 30.1% 33.3% 27.9% 1.19× 3.01
Buffalo Bulls +2.5 27.7% 28.4% 43.3% 0.66× 3.53
Buffalo Bulls +1.5 24.6% 23.5% 41.3% 0.57× 4.25
Fordham Rams −16.5 24.0% 23.5% 24.3% 0.97× 4.25
Buffalo Bulls −1.5 19.1% 18.9% 38.8% 0.49× 5.29
Fordham Rams −18.5 18.7% 18.9% 20.7% 0.91× 5.29
Buffalo Bulls −2.5 16.7% 18.9% 36.7% 0.52× 5.29
Buffalo Bulls −3.5 14.5% 14.1% 34.3% 0.41× 7.09
Fordham Rams −20.5 14.1% 14.1% 18.0% 0.78× 7.09
Buffalo Bulls −4.5 12.6% 14.1% 32.2% 0.44× 7.09
Buffalo Bulls −5.5 10.8% 14.1% 29.9% 0.47× 7.09
Buffalo Bulls −6.5 9.2% 8.9% 27.7% 0.32× 11.25
Buffalo Bulls −7.5 7.8% 8.9% 25.5% 0.35× 11.25
Buffalo Bulls −8.5 6.6% 8.9% 23.5% 0.38× 11.25
Buffalo Bulls −9.5 5.5% 8.9% 21.3% 0.42× 11.25
Buffalo Bulls −10.5 4.6% 2.6% 19.6% 0.13× 38.72
Buffalo Bulls −12.5 3.1% 2.6% 16.2% 0.16× 38.73
Buffalo Bulls −14.5 2.0% 2.6% 13.3% 0.19× 38.73
Buffalo Bulls −16.5 1.3% 2.6% 10.9% 0.24× 38.74
Buffalo Bulls −18.5 0.8% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.74
Buffalo Bulls −20.5 0.5% 2.6% 7.3% 0.35× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 71.7% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 28.3% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 34.3% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.5% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.3% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 15.8% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fordham Rams at HT / Fordham Rams at FT 59.5% 56.8% 48.3% 1.18× 1.76
Buffalo Bulls at HT / Fordham Rams at FT 15.9% 15.4% 9.8% 1.58× 6.47
Buffalo Bulls at HT / Buffalo Bulls at FT 13.9% 12.2% 30.1% 0.41× 8.17
Fordham Rams at HT / Buffalo Bulls at FT 6.7% 8.3% 8.2% 1.01× 12.09
Level at HT / Fordham Rams at FT 3.0% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.74
Level at HT / Buffalo Bulls at FT 1.1% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.77
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fordham Rams to win 78.4% 75.1% 59.9% 1.25× 1.33
Buffalo Bulls to win 21.6% 24.9% 40.1% 0.62× 4.02
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.4% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Fordham Rams even 50.0% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Buffalo Bulls even 50.1% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Fordham Rams odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Buffalo Bulls odd 49.9% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 48.6% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 94.9% 94.0% 95.6% 0.98× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 5.1% 6.0% 4.4% 1.35× 16.66
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fordham Rams to win Q1 59.6% 57.3% 54.7% 1.05× 1.75
Buffalo Bulls to win Q1 34.6% 30.4% 40.4% 0.75× 3.29
Q1 tied 5.8% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.32
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 39.5 90.2% 91.1% 87.5% 1.04× 1.10
Q1 over 23.5 86.0% 87.4% 85.4% 1.02× 1.14
Q1 under 36.5 80.3% 82.8% 77.4% 1.07× 1.21
Q1 over 26.5 73.6% 72.7% 72.9% 1.00× 1.38
Q1 under 34.5 71.1% 72.7% 68.5% 1.06× 1.38
Q1 over 28.5 63.1% 61.7% 62.7% 0.99× 1.62
Q1 under 32.5 60.2% 61.7% 59.1% 1.04× 1.62
Q1 under 31.5 54.4% 52.7% 54.0% 0.98× 1.90
Q1 over 30.5 51.5% 52.7% 51.2% 1.03× 1.90
Q1 under 30.5 48.5% 47.3% 48.8% 0.97× 2.11
Q1 over 31.5 45.6% 47.3% 46.0% 1.03× 2.11
Q1 over 32.5 39.8% 38.3% 40.9% 0.94× 2.61
Q1 under 28.5 36.9% 38.3% 37.3% 1.02× 2.61
Q1 over 34.5 28.9% 27.3% 31.5% 0.87× 3.66
Q1 under 26.5 26.4% 27.3% 27.1% 1.01× 3.66
Q1 over 36.5 19.7% 17.2% 22.6% 0.76× 5.82
Q1 under 23.5 14.0% 12.6% 14.6% 0.86× 7.95
Q1 over 39.5 9.8% 8.9% 12.5% 0.71× 11.19
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fordham Rams to win Q2 59.3% 59.4% 52.9% 1.12× 1.68
Buffalo Bulls to win Q2 35.0% 31.9% 41.5% 0.77× 3.14
Q2 tied 5.7% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.50
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 38.5 88.4% 87.3% 85.6% 1.02× 1.15
Q2 over 22.5 88.1% 87.3% 87.4% 1.00× 1.15
Q2 under 35.5 77.4% 76.8% 74.6% 1.03× 1.30
Q2 over 25.5 76.8% 76.8% 76.2% 1.01× 1.30
Q2 under 33.5 67.5% 67.4% 65.6% 1.03× 1.49
Q2 over 27.5 66.8% 67.4% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
Q2 under 31.5 56.3% 58.2% 55.7% 1.04× 1.72
Q2 over 29.5 55.5% 58.2% 55.8% 1.04× 1.72
Q2 under 30.5 50.4% 52.7% 50.1% 1.05× 1.90
Q2 over 30.5 49.6% 47.3% 49.9% 0.95× 2.11
Q2 under 29.5 44.5% 41.8% 44.2% 0.95× 2.39
Q2 over 31.5 43.7% 41.8% 44.3% 0.94× 2.39
Q2 under 27.5 33.2% 32.6% 33.3% 0.98× 3.06
Q2 over 33.5 32.5% 32.6% 34.4% 0.95× 3.06
Q2 under 25.5 23.2% 23.2% 23.8% 0.97× 4.31
Q2 over 35.5 22.6% 23.2% 25.4% 0.91× 4.31
Q2 under 22.5 11.9% 12.7% 12.6% 1.01× 7.89
Q2 over 38.5 11.6% 12.7% 14.4% 0.88× 7.89
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fordham Rams to win Q3 60.4% 60.8% 53.3% 1.14× 1.64
Buffalo Bulls to win Q3 33.9% 33.8% 41.8% 0.81× 2.96
Q3 tied 5.6% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.97
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 over 25.5 87.6% 87.2% 86.9% 1.00× 1.15
Q3 under 41.5 87.6% 87.2% 85.1% 1.02× 1.15
Q3 over 28.5 76.4% 77.3% 76.4% 1.01× 1.29
Q3 under 38.5 76.6% 77.3% 73.9% 1.05× 1.29
Q3 under 36.5 66.9% 67.8% 64.6% 1.05× 1.48
Q3 over 30.5 66.6% 67.8% 66.8% 1.01× 1.48
Q3 under 34.5 55.9% 58.4% 54.6% 1.07× 1.71
Q3 over 32.5 55.6% 58.4% 56.1% 1.04× 1.71
Q3 under 33.5 50.2% 52.3% 49.1% 1.07× 1.91
Q3 over 33.5 49.8% 47.7% 50.9% 0.94× 2.10
Q3 under 32.5 44.4% 41.6% 43.9% 0.95× 2.40
Q3 over 34.5 44.1% 41.6% 45.4% 0.92× 2.40
Q3 under 30.5 33.4% 32.2% 33.2% 0.97× 3.10
Q3 over 36.5 33.1% 32.2% 35.4% 0.91× 3.10
Q3 under 28.5 23.6% 22.7% 23.6% 0.96× 4.40
Q3 over 38.5 23.4% 22.7% 26.1% 0.87× 4.40
Q3 under 25.5 12.4% 12.8% 13.1% 0.98× 7.83
Q3 over 41.5 12.4% 12.8% 14.9% 0.86× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fordham Rams to win Q4 60.2% 57.8% 52.8% 1.09× 1.73
Buffalo Bulls to win Q4 34.3% 37.4% 41.5% 0.90× 2.67
Q4 tied 5.5% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.26
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 over 25.5 86.4% 85.6% 86.1% 0.99× 1.17
Q4 under 41.5 86.1% 85.6% 83.6% 1.02× 1.17
Q4 over 28.5 75.4% 76.9% 75.1% 1.02× 1.30
Q4 under 38.5 75.1% 76.9% 73.1% 1.05× 1.30
Q4 over 30.5 66.1% 67.4% 66.3% 1.02× 1.48
Q4 under 36.5 65.7% 67.4% 64.3% 1.05× 1.48
Q4 over 32.5 55.6% 58.4% 55.4% 1.05× 1.71
Q4 under 34.5 55.2% 58.4% 54.4% 1.07× 1.71
Q4 over 33.5 50.2% 52.5% 50.4% 1.04× 1.91
Q4 under 33.5 49.8% 47.5% 49.6% 0.96× 2.11
Q4 over 34.5 44.8% 41.6% 45.6% 0.91× 2.40
Q4 under 32.5 44.4% 41.6% 44.6% 0.93× 2.40
Q4 over 36.5 34.3% 32.6% 35.7% 0.91× 3.07
Q4 under 30.5 33.9% 32.6% 33.7% 0.97× 3.07
Q4 over 38.5 24.9% 23.1% 26.9% 0.86× 4.33
Q4 under 28.5 24.6% 23.1% 24.9% 0.93× 4.33
Q4 over 41.5 13.9% 14.4% 16.4% 0.88× 6.95
Q4 under 25.5 13.6% 14.4% 13.9% 1.04× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Buffalo Bulls under 70.5 88.1% 83.9% 73.7% 1.14× 1.19
Fordham Rams over 58.5 85.2% 83.9% 74.7% 1.12× 1.19
Fordham Rams under 78.5 85.5% 83.9% 79.4% 1.06× 1.19
Buffalo Bulls over 50.5 84.5% 80.7% 83.1% 0.97× 1.24
Buffalo Bulls under 67.5 80.4% 80.7% 65.6% 1.23× 1.24
Fordham Rams over 61.5 76.7% 75.1% 66.9% 1.12× 1.33
Fordham Rams under 75.5 77.1% 75.1% 73.2% 1.03× 1.33
Buffalo Bulls over 53.5 75.0% 70.7% 76.3% 0.93× 1.41
Buffalo Bulls under 65.5 73.9% 70.7% 59.8% 1.18× 1.41
Fordham Rams under 73.5 70.3% 70.7% 68.5% 1.03× 1.41
Fordham Rams over 63.5 69.8% 66.4% 61.5% 1.08× 1.51
Buffalo Bulls over 55.5 67.4% 66.4% 70.8% 0.94× 1.51
Buffalo Bulls under 63.5 66.4% 66.4% 53.9% 1.23× 1.51
Fordham Rams over 65.5 62.1% 61.2% 55.3% 1.11× 1.63
Fordham Rams under 71.5 62.6% 61.2% 63.0% 0.97× 1.63
Buffalo Bulls over 57.5 59.1% 57.1% 65.1% 0.88× 1.75
Buffalo Bulls under 61.5 58.2% 57.1% 47.9% 1.19× 1.75
Fordham Rams over 67.5 53.9% 52.3% 48.7% 1.07× 1.91
Fordham Rams under 69.5 54.4% 52.3% 57.4% 0.91× 1.91
Buffalo Bulls under 60.5 53.9% 52.3% 44.4% 1.18× 1.91
Fordham Rams under 68.5 50.2% 52.3% 54.4% 0.96× 1.91
Buffalo Bulls over 59.5 50.4% 52.3% 58.8% 0.89× 1.91
Fordham Rams over 68.5 49.8% 47.7% 45.6% 1.05× 2.09
Buffalo Bulls under 59.5 49.6% 47.7% 41.2% 1.16× 2.09
Fordham Rams under 67.5 46.1% 47.7% 51.3% 0.93× 2.09
Fordham Rams over 69.5 45.6% 47.7% 42.6% 1.12× 2.09
Buffalo Bulls over 60.5 46.1% 47.7% 55.6% 0.86× 2.09
Buffalo Bulls over 61.5 41.8% 42.9% 52.1% 0.82× 2.33
Buffalo Bulls under 57.5 40.9% 42.9% 34.9% 1.23× 2.33
Fordham Rams under 65.5 37.9% 38.8% 44.7% 0.87× 2.58
Fordham Rams over 71.5 37.4% 38.8% 37.0% 1.05× 2.58
Buffalo Bulls over 63.5 33.6% 33.6% 46.1% 0.73× 2.98
Buffalo Bulls under 55.5 32.6% 33.6% 29.2% 1.15× 2.98
Fordham Rams under 63.5 30.2% 33.6% 38.5% 0.87× 2.98
Fordham Rams over 73.5 29.7% 29.3% 31.5% 0.93× 3.42
Buffalo Bulls over 65.5 26.1% 29.3% 40.2% 0.73× 3.42
Buffalo Bulls under 53.5 25.0% 29.3% 23.7% 1.23× 3.42
Fordham Rams under 61.5 23.3% 24.9% 33.1% 0.75× 4.02
Fordham Rams over 75.5 22.9% 24.9% 26.8% 0.93× 4.02
Buffalo Bulls over 67.5 19.6% 19.3% 34.4% 0.56× 5.18
Buffalo Bulls under 50.5 15.5% 19.3% 16.9% 1.14× 5.18
Fordham Rams under 58.5 14.8% 16.1% 25.3% 0.64× 6.21
Fordham Rams over 78.5 14.5% 16.1% 20.6% 0.78× 6.21
Buffalo Bulls over 70.5 11.9% 16.1% 26.3% 0.61× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 148.5 points 91.4% 88.8% 83.7% 1.06× 1.13
Over 108.5 points 91.2% 88.8% 88.9% 1.00× 1.13
Under 143.5 points 85.0% 80.6% 76.7% 1.05× 1.24
Over 113.5 points 84.0% 80.6% 81.9% 0.98× 1.24
Under 138.5 points 75.8% 75.6% 67.9% 1.11× 1.32
Over 118.5 points 74.2% 70.8% 73.6% 0.96× 1.41
Under 135.5 points 69.2% 65.9% 62.4% 1.06× 1.52
Over 121.5 points 67.1% 65.9% 67.7% 0.97× 1.52
Under 133.5 points 64.3% 61.5% 58.0% 1.06× 1.63
Over 123.5 points 62.0% 61.5% 63.3% 0.97× 1.63
Under 131.5 points 59.2% 56.5% 53.9% 1.05× 1.77
Over 125.5 points 56.8% 56.5% 59.5% 0.95× 1.77
Under 129.5 points 54.0% 52.3% 49.5% 1.06× 1.91
Over 127.5 points 51.4% 52.3% 55.1% 0.95× 1.91
Under 128.5 points 51.2% 52.3% 47.2% 1.11× 1.91
Under 127.5 points 48.6% 47.7% 44.9% 1.06× 2.10
Over 128.5 points 48.8% 47.7% 52.8% 0.90× 2.10
Over 129.5 points 46.1% 47.7% 50.5% 0.94× 2.10
Under 125.5 points 43.2% 43.5% 40.5% 1.07× 2.30
Over 131.5 points 40.8% 43.5% 46.1% 0.94× 2.30
Under 123.5 points 38.0% 38.5% 36.7% 1.05× 2.60
Over 133.5 points 35.7% 38.5% 42.0% 0.92× 2.60
Under 121.5 points 32.9% 34.1% 32.3% 1.06× 2.93
Over 135.5 points 30.8% 34.1% 37.6% 0.91× 2.93
Under 118.5 points 25.8% 29.2% 26.4% 1.10× 3.43
Over 138.5 points 24.2% 24.4% 32.1% 0.76× 4.10
Under 113.5 points 16.0% 19.4% 18.1% 1.07× 5.15
Over 143.5 points 15.0% 19.4% 23.3% 0.83× 5.15
Under 108.5 points 8.8% 11.2% 11.1% 1.01× 8.96
Over 148.5 points 8.6% 11.2% 16.3% 0.68× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fordham Rams to win both halves 41.9% 40.6% 36.0% 1.13× 2.46
Buffalo Bulls to win both halves 6.5% 8.8% 20.4% 0.43× 11.33
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fordham Rams by 6-10 18.3% 16.8% 12.9% 1.30× 5.97
Fordham Rams by 1-5 16.2% 16.8% 10.2% 1.64× 5.97
Fordham Rams by 11-15 16.9% 16.8% 10.8% 1.55× 5.97
Fordham Rams by 16-20 12.8% 12.3% 8.0% 1.53× 8.11
Buffalo Bulls by 1-5 10.8% 12.3% 10.2% 1.21× 8.11
Fordham Rams by 21-25 7.9% 7.5% 5.4% 1.39× 13.40
Buffalo Bulls by 6-10 6.2% 7.5% 10.3% 0.72× 13.40
Fordham Rams by 26+ 6.2% 7.5% 12.6% 0.59× 13.40
Buffalo Bulls by 11-15 2.9% 2.0% 7.6% 0.27× 49.30
Buffalo Bulls by 16-20 1.1% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.32
Buffalo Bulls by 21-25 0.4% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.32
Buffalo Bulls by 26+ 0.1% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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