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Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs v Queens University Royals — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 14 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs win
62.7%
Draw
0.0%
Queens University Royals win
37.3%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 59.82–56.18 60-56 0% 51% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.36
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Queens University Royals to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.71× 283.36
Queens University Royals to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Queens University Royals to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Queens University Royals to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs to win H1 55.4% 57.3% 56.4% 1.01× 1.75
Queens University Royals to win H1 40.1% 42.7% 39.9% 1.07× 2.34
H1 tied 4.5% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 68.5 89.5% 87.7% 73.5% 1.19× 1.14
H1 over 44.5 88.1% 87.7% 94.7% 0.93× 1.14
H1 under 64.5 80.5% 82.5% 60.7% 1.36× 1.21
H1 over 48.5 77.7% 77.4% 88.8% 0.87× 1.29
H1 under 61.5 71.2% 73.5% 49.8% 1.48× 1.36
H1 over 51.5 67.5% 67.4% 82.0% 0.82× 1.48
H1 under 59.5 64.0% 62.7% 42.2% 1.49× 1.59
H1 over 53.5 59.9% 58.2% 76.8% 0.76× 1.72
H1 under 57.5 56.2% 58.2% 35.2% 1.65× 1.72
H1 over 55.5 51.9% 52.6% 71.0% 0.74× 1.90
H1 under 56.5 52.2% 52.6% 31.8% 1.66× 1.90
H1 under 55.5 48.1% 47.4% 29.0% 1.63× 2.11
H1 over 56.5 47.8% 47.4% 68.2% 0.69× 2.11
H1 over 57.5 43.8% 41.8% 64.8% 0.64× 2.39
H1 under 53.5 40.1% 41.8% 23.2% 1.80× 2.39
H1 over 59.5 36.0% 37.3% 57.8% 0.64× 2.68
H1 under 51.5 32.5% 32.6% 18.0% 1.81× 3.07
H1 over 61.5 28.8% 26.5% 50.2% 0.53× 3.77
H1 under 48.5 22.3% 22.6% 11.2% 2.02× 4.43
H1 over 64.5 19.5% 17.5% 39.3% 0.44× 5.72
H1 under 44.5 11.9% 12.3% 5.3% 2.34× 8.14
H1 over 68.5 10.5% 12.3% 26.5% 0.46× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs to win H2 55.9% 55.0% 56.0% 0.98× 1.82
Queens University Royals to win H2 39.8% 41.2% 40.6% 1.02× 2.43
H2 tied 4.3% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.35
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 49.5 87.7% 85.2% 95.0% 0.90× 1.17
H2 under 73.5 87.9% 85.2% 67.1% 1.27× 1.17
H2 under 69.5 78.5% 75.8% 54.8% 1.38× 1.32
H2 over 53.5 77.7% 75.8% 89.7% 0.85× 1.32
H2 under 66.5 69.3% 66.4% 44.6% 1.49× 1.51
H2 over 56.5 67.9% 66.4% 84.1% 0.79× 1.51
H2 under 64.5 62.2% 61.6% 37.9% 1.63× 1.62
H2 over 58.5 60.6% 61.6% 79.6% 0.77× 1.62
H2 under 62.5 54.7% 52.4% 31.7% 1.65× 1.91
H2 over 60.5 53.0% 52.4% 74.5% 0.70× 1.91
H2 under 61.5 50.9% 52.4% 28.7% 1.82× 1.91
H2 over 61.5 49.1% 47.6% 71.3% 0.67× 2.10
H2 under 60.5 47.0% 47.6% 25.5% 1.87× 2.10
H2 over 62.5 45.3% 47.6% 68.3% 0.70× 2.10
H2 under 58.5 39.4% 38.4% 20.4% 1.88× 2.61
H2 over 64.5 37.8% 38.4% 62.1% 0.62× 2.61
H2 under 56.5 32.1% 33.6% 15.9% 2.12× 2.97
H2 over 66.5 30.7% 33.6% 55.4% 0.61× 2.97
H2 under 53.5 22.3% 24.2% 10.3% 2.34× 4.13
H2 over 69.5 21.5% 24.2% 45.2% 0.54× 4.13
H2 under 49.5 12.3% 14.8% 5.0% 2.94× 6.76
H2 over 73.5 12.1% 14.8% 32.9% 0.45× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs leading at half time 55.4% 56.9% 56.4% 1.01× 1.76
Queens University Royals leading at half time 40.1% 42.8% 39.9% 1.07× 2.34
Level at half time 4.5% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs +16.5 96.7% 97.4% 89.1% 1.09× 1.03
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs +18.5 97.8% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs +20.5 98.7% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs +14.5 95.0% 91.1% 86.7% 1.05× 1.10
Queens University Royals +20.5 94.3% 91.1% 82.0% 1.11× 1.10
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs +12.5 92.7% 91.1% 83.8% 1.09× 1.10
Queens University Royals +18.5 91.7% 91.1% 79.3% 1.15× 1.10
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs +10.5 89.7% 85.9% 80.4% 1.07× 1.16
Queens University Royals +16.5 88.4% 85.9% 75.7% 1.13× 1.16
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs +9.5 87.9% 85.9% 78.7% 1.09× 1.16
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs +8.5 86.0% 85.9% 76.5% 1.12× 1.16
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs +7.5 83.8% 81.1% 74.5% 1.09× 1.23
Queens University Royals +14.5 84.3% 81.1% 72.1% 1.12× 1.23
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs +6.5 81.3% 81.1% 72.3% 1.12× 1.23
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs +5.5 78.7% 76.5% 70.1% 1.09× 1.31
Queens University Royals +12.5 79.3% 76.5% 67.9% 1.13× 1.31
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs +4.5 75.9% 76.5% 67.8% 1.13× 1.31
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs +3.5 72.9% 71.6% 65.7% 1.09× 1.40
Queens University Royals +10.5 73.5% 71.6% 63.2% 1.13× 1.40
Queens University Royals +9.5 70.4% 71.6% 60.7% 1.18× 1.40
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs +2.5 69.6% 66.7% 63.3% 1.05× 1.50
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs +1.5 66.3% 66.7% 61.2% 1.09× 1.50
Queens University Royals +8.5 67.0% 66.7% 58.0% 1.15× 1.50
Queens University Royals +7.5 63.5% 61.9% 55.2% 1.12× 1.62
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs −1.5 59.0% 57.1% 58.7% 0.97× 1.75
Queens University Royals +6.5 59.9% 57.1% 52.4% 1.09× 1.75
Queens University Royals +5.5 56.2% 57.1% 50.3% 1.13× 1.75
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs −2.5 55.2% 57.1% 56.7% 1.01× 1.75
Queens University Royals +4.5 52.4% 52.4% 47.8% 1.10× 1.91
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs −3.5 51.4% 52.4% 54.2% 0.97× 1.91
Queens University Royals +3.5 48.6% 47.6% 45.8% 1.04× 2.10
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs −4.5 47.6% 47.6% 52.2% 0.91× 2.10
Queens University Royals +2.5 44.8% 42.9% 43.3% 0.99× 2.33
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs −5.5 43.8% 42.9% 49.7% 0.86× 2.33
Queens University Royals +1.5 41.0% 42.9% 41.3% 1.04× 2.33
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs −6.5 40.1% 42.9% 47.6% 0.90× 2.33
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs −7.5 36.5% 38.1% 44.8% 0.85× 2.63
Queens University Royals −1.5 33.7% 33.3% 38.8% 0.86× 3.01
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs −8.5 33.0% 33.3% 42.0% 0.79× 3.01
Queens University Royals −2.5 30.4% 33.3% 36.7% 0.91× 3.01
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs −9.5 29.6% 28.4% 39.3% 0.72× 3.53
Queens University Royals −3.5 27.1% 28.4% 34.3% 0.83× 3.53
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs −10.5 26.5% 28.4% 36.8% 0.77× 3.53
Queens University Royals −4.5 24.1% 23.5% 32.2% 0.73× 4.25
Queens University Royals −5.5 21.3% 23.5% 29.9% 0.79× 4.25
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs −12.5 20.7% 23.5% 32.1% 0.73× 4.25
Queens University Royals −6.5 18.7% 18.9% 27.7% 0.68× 5.29
Queens University Royals −7.5 16.2% 18.9% 25.5% 0.74× 5.30
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs −14.5 15.7% 18.9% 27.9% 0.68× 5.30
Queens University Royals −8.5 14.0% 14.1% 23.5% 0.60× 7.09
Queens University Royals −9.5 12.1% 14.1% 21.3% 0.66× 7.09
Queens University Royals −10.5 10.3% 14.1% 19.6% 0.72× 7.09
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs −16.5 11.6% 14.1% 24.3% 0.58× 7.09
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs −18.5 8.3% 8.9% 20.7% 0.43× 11.25
Queens University Royals −12.5 7.3% 8.9% 16.2% 0.55× 11.25
Queens University Royals −14.5 5.0% 8.9% 13.3% 0.67× 11.25
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs −20.5 5.7% 8.9% 18.0% 0.49× 11.25
Queens University Royals −16.5 3.3% 2.6% 10.9% 0.24× 38.73
Queens University Royals −18.5 2.2% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.73
Queens University Royals −20.5 1.3% 2.6% 7.3% 0.35× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 69.9% 71.6% 66.7% 1.07× 1.40
1st half highest scoring 30.1% 28.4% 33.3% 0.85× 3.52
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 33.5% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 31.8% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 18.1% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 16.6% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs at HT / Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs at FT 44.7% 41.0% 48.3% 0.85× 2.44
Queens University Royals at HT / Queens University Royals at FT 24.8% 24.4% 30.1% 0.81× 4.09
Queens University Royals at HT / Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs at FT 15.4% 15.4% 9.8% 1.58× 6.47
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs at HT / Queens University Royals at FT 10.7% 12.2% 8.2% 1.49× 8.18
Level at HT / Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs at FT 2.7% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.75
Level at HT / Queens University Royals at FT 1.8% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.76
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs to win 62.7% 60.7% 59.9% 1.01× 1.65
Queens University Royals to win 37.3% 39.3% 40.1% 0.98× 2.54
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.8% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs even 50.1% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Queens University Royals even 50.2% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs odd 49.9% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Queens University Royals odd 49.8% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 48.2% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 94.1% 94.0% 95.6% 0.98× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 6.0% 6.0% 4.4% 1.35× 16.66
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs to win Q1 52.1% 52.6% 54.7% 0.96× 1.90
Queens University Royals to win Q1 41.8% 42.9% 40.4% 1.06× 2.33
Q1 tied 6.1% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.31
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 36.5 89.4% 87.4% 77.4% 1.13× 1.14
Q1 over 20.5 87.6% 87.4% 93.7% 0.93× 1.14
Q1 under 33.5 78.8% 76.9% 64.0% 1.20× 1.30
Q1 over 23.5 75.8% 76.9% 85.4% 0.90× 1.30
Q1 under 31.5 69.2% 67.6% 54.0% 1.25× 1.48
Q1 over 25.5 65.5% 67.6% 77.6% 0.87× 1.48
Q1 under 29.5 58.0% 58.6% 43.1% 1.36× 1.71
Q1 over 27.5 53.9% 52.7% 67.7% 0.78× 1.90
Q1 under 28.5 52.1% 52.7% 37.3% 1.41× 1.90
Q1 over 28.5 47.9% 47.3% 62.7% 0.76× 2.11
Q1 under 27.5 46.1% 47.3% 32.3% 1.47× 2.11
Q1 over 29.5 42.0% 41.4% 56.9% 0.73× 2.42
Q1 under 25.5 34.5% 32.4% 22.4% 1.45× 3.08
Q1 over 31.5 30.8% 32.4% 46.0% 0.70× 3.08
Q1 under 23.5 24.2% 23.1% 14.6% 1.58× 4.33
Q1 over 33.5 21.2% 23.1% 36.0% 0.64× 4.33
Q1 under 20.5 12.4% 12.6% 6.3% 1.99× 7.95
Q1 over 36.5 10.6% 12.6% 22.6% 0.56× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs to win Q2 52.0% 51.4% 52.9% 0.97× 1.95
Queens University Royals to win Q2 42.0% 43.9% 41.5% 1.06× 2.28
Q2 tied 6.0% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.49
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 36.5 90.1% 90.8% 78.7% 1.15× 1.10
Q2 over 20.5 86.7% 87.3% 92.7% 0.94× 1.15
Q2 under 33.5 80.1% 83.0% 65.6% 1.27× 1.21
Q2 over 23.5 74.4% 72.0% 84.6% 0.85× 1.39
Q2 under 31.5 70.7% 72.0% 55.7% 1.29× 1.39
Q2 over 25.5 63.9% 60.7% 76.2% 0.80× 1.65
Q2 under 29.5 59.7% 58.2% 44.2% 1.32× 1.72
Q2 under 28.5 53.8% 52.7% 38.8% 1.36× 1.90
Q2 over 27.5 52.2% 52.7% 66.7% 0.79× 1.90
Q2 under 27.5 47.8% 47.3% 33.3% 1.42× 2.11
Q2 over 28.5 46.2% 47.3% 61.2% 0.77× 2.11
Q2 over 29.5 40.3% 41.8% 55.8% 0.75× 2.39
Q2 under 25.5 36.1% 39.3% 23.8% 1.65× 2.55
Q2 over 31.5 29.3% 28.0% 44.3% 0.63× 3.57
Q2 under 23.5 25.6% 28.0% 15.4% 1.82× 3.57
Q2 over 33.5 19.9% 17.0% 34.4% 0.49× 5.88
Q2 under 20.5 13.3% 12.7% 7.3% 1.74× 7.89
Q2 over 36.5 9.9% 9.2% 21.3% 0.43× 10.82
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs to win Q3 52.5% 52.7% 53.3% 0.99× 1.90
Queens University Royals to win Q3 41.6% 42.3% 41.8% 1.01× 2.37
Q3 tied 5.9% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.96
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 over 22.5 88.5% 87.2% 94.1% 0.93× 1.15
Q3 under 38.5 87.4% 87.2% 73.9% 1.18× 1.15
Q3 over 25.5 77.5% 77.3% 86.9% 0.89× 1.29
Q3 under 35.5 76.1% 77.3% 59.7% 1.30× 1.29
Q3 over 27.5 67.7% 67.8% 80.0% 0.85× 1.48
Q3 under 33.5 66.2% 67.8% 49.1% 1.38× 1.48
Q3 over 29.5 56.6% 58.4% 71.8% 0.81× 1.71
Q3 under 31.5 55.0% 58.4% 38.4% 1.52× 1.71
Q3 over 30.5 50.8% 52.3% 66.8% 0.78× 1.91
Q3 under 30.5 49.2% 47.7% 33.2% 1.44× 2.10
Q3 over 31.5 45.0% 41.6% 61.6% 0.68× 2.40
Q3 under 29.5 43.4% 41.6% 28.2% 1.48× 2.40
Q3 over 33.5 33.8% 32.2% 50.9% 0.63× 3.10
Q3 under 27.5 32.3% 32.2% 20.0% 1.61× 3.10
Q3 over 35.5 23.9% 22.7% 40.3% 0.56× 4.40
Q3 under 25.5 22.5% 22.7% 13.1% 1.74× 4.40
Q3 over 38.5 12.6% 12.8% 26.1% 0.49× 7.83
Q3 under 22.5 11.5% 12.8% 5.9% 2.18× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs to win Q4 52.5% 51.4% 52.8% 0.97× 1.95
Queens University Royals to win Q4 41.7% 43.1% 41.5% 1.04× 2.32
Q4 tied 5.8% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.25
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 over 22.5 87.3% 85.6% 93.3% 0.92× 1.17
Q4 under 38.5 85.8% 85.6% 73.1% 1.17× 1.17
Q4 over 25.5 76.4% 76.9% 86.1% 0.89× 1.30
Q4 under 35.5 74.6% 71.5% 59.4% 1.20× 1.40
Q4 over 27.5 67.1% 67.4% 78.9% 0.85× 1.48
Q4 under 33.5 65.0% 67.4% 49.6% 1.36× 1.48
Q4 over 29.5 56.6% 58.4% 70.8% 0.82× 1.71
Q4 under 31.5 54.4% 52.5% 38.9% 1.35× 1.91
Q4 over 30.5 51.1% 52.5% 66.3% 0.79× 1.91
Q4 under 30.5 48.9% 47.5% 33.7% 1.41× 2.11
Q4 over 31.5 45.6% 47.5% 61.1% 0.78× 2.11
Q4 under 29.5 43.4% 41.6% 29.2% 1.43× 2.40
Q4 over 33.5 35.0% 32.6% 50.4% 0.65× 3.07
Q4 under 27.5 32.9% 32.6% 21.1% 1.54× 3.07
Q4 over 35.5 25.4% 28.5% 40.6% 0.70× 3.51
Q4 under 25.5 23.6% 23.1% 13.9% 1.66× 4.33
Q4 over 38.5 14.2% 14.4% 26.9% 0.53× 6.95
Q4 under 22.5 12.7% 14.4% 6.7% 2.13× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Queens University Royals under 67.5 88.2% 83.9% 65.6% 1.28× 1.19
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs under 70.5 86.0% 83.9% 60.3% 1.39× 1.19
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs over 50.5 85.6% 83.9% 90.8% 0.92× 1.19
Queens University Royals over 47.5 85.6% 83.9% 88.4% 0.95× 1.19
Queens University Royals under 64.5 80.6% 80.7% 56.9% 1.42× 1.24
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs under 67.5 77.7% 75.1% 51.3% 1.46× 1.33
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs over 53.5 76.8% 75.1% 85.8% 0.88× 1.33
Queens University Royals over 50.5 75.8% 75.1% 83.1% 0.90× 1.33
Queens University Royals under 62.5 74.0% 70.7% 51.0% 1.39× 1.41
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs under 65.5 70.9% 70.7% 44.7% 1.58× 1.41
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs over 55.5 69.7% 66.4% 81.6% 0.81× 1.51
Queens University Royals over 52.5 67.9% 66.4% 78.5% 0.85× 1.51
Queens University Royals under 60.5 66.5% 66.4% 44.4% 1.50× 1.51
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs under 63.5 63.2% 61.2% 38.5% 1.59× 1.63
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs over 57.5 61.8% 61.2% 77.2% 0.79× 1.63
Queens University Royals over 54.5 59.4% 57.1% 73.5% 0.78× 1.75
Queens University Royals under 58.5 58.2% 57.1% 37.9% 1.51× 1.75
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs under 61.5 55.0% 57.1% 33.1% 1.73× 1.75
Queens University Royals under 57.5 53.8% 52.3% 34.9% 1.50× 1.91
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs over 59.5 53.5% 52.3% 72.2% 0.72× 1.91
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs under 60.5 50.8% 52.3% 30.5% 1.71× 1.91
Queens University Royals over 56.5 50.6% 52.3% 68.0% 0.77× 1.91
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs over 60.5 49.2% 47.7% 69.5% 0.69× 2.09
Queens University Royals under 56.5 49.4% 47.7% 32.0% 1.49× 2.09
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs under 59.5 46.5% 47.7% 27.8% 1.72× 2.09
Queens University Royals over 57.5 46.2% 47.7% 65.1% 0.73× 2.09
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs over 61.5 45.0% 42.9% 66.9% 0.64× 2.33
Queens University Royals over 58.5 41.8% 42.9% 62.1% 0.69× 2.33
Queens University Royals under 54.5 40.6% 42.9% 26.5% 1.62× 2.33
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs under 57.5 38.2% 38.8% 22.8% 1.70× 2.58
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs over 63.5 36.8% 38.8% 61.5% 0.63× 2.58
Queens University Royals over 60.5 33.5% 33.6% 55.6% 0.60× 2.98
Queens University Royals under 52.5 32.1% 33.6% 21.5% 1.56× 2.98
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs under 55.5 30.3% 33.6% 18.5% 1.82× 2.98
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs over 65.5 29.1% 29.3% 55.3% 0.53× 3.42
Queens University Royals over 62.5 26.0% 29.3% 49.0% 0.60× 3.42
Queens University Royals under 50.5 24.2% 24.9% 16.9% 1.48× 4.02
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs under 53.5 23.2% 24.9% 14.2% 1.75× 4.02
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs over 67.5 22.3% 24.9% 48.7% 0.51× 4.02
Queens University Royals over 64.5 19.4% 19.3% 43.2% 0.45× 5.18
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs under 50.5 14.4% 16.1% 9.2% 1.75× 6.21
Queens University Royals under 47.5 14.4% 16.1% 11.6% 1.39× 6.21
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs over 70.5 14.0% 16.1% 39.7% 0.41× 6.21
Queens University Royals over 67.5 11.8% 16.1% 34.4% 0.47× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 97.5 points 92.8% 88.8% 96.9% 0.92× 1.13
Under 137.5 points 91.9% 88.8% 66.2% 1.34× 1.13
Over 102.5 points 85.5% 85.0% 94.3% 0.90× 1.18
Under 132.5 points 85.5% 85.0% 56.0% 1.52× 1.18
Under 127.5 points 76.5% 75.6% 44.9% 1.69× 1.32
Over 107.5 points 75.1% 75.6% 90.2% 0.84× 1.32
Under 124.5 points 69.7% 65.9% 38.5% 1.71× 1.52
Over 110.5 points 67.7% 65.9% 86.4% 0.76× 1.52
Under 122.5 points 64.8% 61.5% 34.4% 1.79× 1.63
Over 112.5 points 62.4% 61.5% 83.6% 0.74× 1.63
Under 120.5 points 59.5% 56.5% 30.2% 1.87× 1.77
Over 114.5 points 57.0% 56.5% 80.4% 0.70× 1.77
Under 118.5 points 54.1% 52.3% 26.4% 1.98× 1.91
Over 116.5 points 51.4% 52.3% 77.2% 0.68× 1.91
Under 117.5 points 51.5% 52.3% 24.7% 2.12× 1.91
Under 116.5 points 48.6% 47.7% 22.8% 2.09× 2.10
Over 117.5 points 48.5% 47.7% 75.3% 0.63× 2.10
Over 118.5 points 45.9% 47.7% 73.6% 0.65× 2.10
Under 114.5 points 43.0% 43.5% 19.6% 2.22× 2.30
Over 120.5 points 40.5% 43.5% 69.8% 0.62× 2.30
Under 112.5 points 37.6% 38.5% 16.4% 2.35× 2.60
Over 122.5 points 35.2% 38.5% 65.6% 0.59× 2.60
Under 110.5 points 32.3% 34.1% 13.6% 2.52× 2.93
Over 124.5 points 30.3% 34.1% 61.5% 0.55× 2.93
Under 107.5 points 24.9% 24.4% 9.8% 2.48× 4.10
Over 127.5 points 23.5% 24.4% 55.1% 0.44× 4.10
Under 102.5 points 14.5% 15.0% 5.7% 2.61× 6.68
Over 132.5 points 14.5% 15.0% 44.0% 0.34× 6.68
Over 137.5 points 8.1% 11.2% 33.8% 0.33× 8.96
Under 97.5 points 7.2% 11.2% 3.1% 3.64× 8.97
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs to win both halves 27.6% 27.2% 36.0% 0.75× 3.68
Queens University Royals to win both halves 12.8% 14.0% 20.4% 0.69× 7.12
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs by 1-5 18.9% 16.8% 10.2% 1.64× 5.97
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs by 6-10 17.4% 16.8% 12.9% 1.30× 5.97
Queens University Royals by 1-5 16.0% 16.8% 10.2% 1.65× 5.97
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs by 11-15 12.9% 12.3% 10.8% 1.14× 8.11
Queens University Royals by 6-10 11.0% 12.3% 10.3% 1.20× 8.11
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs by 16-20 7.8% 7.5% 8.0% 0.93× 13.40
Queens University Royals by 11-15 6.2% 7.5% 7.6% 0.98× 13.40
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs by 21-25 3.8% 2.0% 5.4% 0.38× 49.30
Queens University Royals by 16-20 2.8% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.30
Queens University Royals by 21-25 1.0% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.32
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs by 26+ 2.0% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.31
Queens University Royals by 26+ 0.4% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.32
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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