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George Washington Revolutionaries v Georgetown Hoyas — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 11 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
George Washington Revolutionaries win
44.8%
Draw
0.0%
Georgetown Hoyas win
55.2%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 57.41–58.93 57-59 0% 52% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
George Washington Revolutionaries to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.36
George Washington Revolutionaries to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
George Washington Revolutionaries to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
George Washington Revolutionaries to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Georgetown Hoyas to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.71× 283.36
Georgetown Hoyas to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Georgetown Hoyas to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Georgetown Hoyas to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Georgetown Hoyas to win H1 50.8% 51.8% 39.9% 1.30× 1.93
George Washington Revolutionaries to win H1 44.7% 42.7% 56.4% 0.76× 2.34
H1 tied 4.5% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.85
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 68.5 89.3% 87.7% 73.5% 1.19× 1.14
H1 over 44.5 88.3% 87.7% 94.7% 0.93× 1.14
H1 under 64.5 80.1% 82.5% 60.7% 1.36× 1.21
H1 over 48.5 78.1% 77.4% 88.8% 0.87× 1.29
H1 under 61.5 70.7% 73.5% 49.8% 1.48× 1.36
H1 over 51.5 67.9% 67.4% 82.0% 0.82× 1.48
H1 under 59.5 63.5% 62.7% 42.2% 1.49× 1.59
H1 over 53.5 60.3% 62.7% 76.8% 0.82× 1.59
H1 under 57.5 55.7% 58.2% 35.2% 1.65× 1.72
H1 over 55.5 52.3% 52.6% 71.0% 0.74× 1.90
H1 under 56.5 51.7% 52.6% 31.8% 1.66× 1.90
H1 under 55.5 47.7% 47.4% 29.0% 1.63× 2.11
H1 over 56.5 48.3% 47.4% 68.2% 0.69× 2.11
H1 over 57.5 44.3% 41.8% 64.8% 0.64× 2.39
H1 under 53.5 39.7% 37.3% 23.2% 1.61× 2.68
H1 over 59.5 36.5% 37.3% 57.8% 0.64× 2.68
H1 under 51.5 32.1% 32.6% 18.0% 1.81× 3.07
H1 over 61.5 29.3% 26.5% 50.2% 0.53× 3.77
H1 under 48.5 21.9% 22.6% 11.2% 2.02× 4.43
H1 over 64.5 19.9% 17.5% 39.3% 0.44× 5.72
H1 under 44.5 11.7% 12.3% 5.3% 2.34× 8.14
H1 over 68.5 10.7% 12.3% 26.5% 0.46× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Georgetown Hoyas to win H2 51.1% 51.2% 40.6% 1.26× 1.95
George Washington Revolutionaries to win H2 44.6% 43.6% 56.0% 0.78× 2.30
H2 tied 4.4% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.35
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 49.5 87.9% 85.2% 95.0% 0.90× 1.17
H2 under 73.5 87.6% 85.2% 67.1% 1.27× 1.17
H2 over 53.5 78.0% 75.8% 89.7% 0.85× 1.32
H2 under 69.5 78.1% 75.8% 54.8% 1.38× 1.32
H2 under 66.5 68.8% 66.4% 44.6% 1.49× 1.51
H2 over 56.5 68.3% 66.4% 84.1% 0.79× 1.51
H2 over 58.5 61.1% 61.6% 79.6% 0.77× 1.62
H2 under 64.5 61.8% 61.6% 37.9% 1.63× 1.62
H2 over 60.5 53.5% 52.4% 74.5% 0.70× 1.91
H2 under 62.5 54.2% 52.4% 31.7% 1.65× 1.91
H2 under 61.5 50.4% 52.4% 28.7% 1.82× 1.91
H2 over 61.5 49.6% 47.6% 71.3% 0.67× 2.10
H2 under 60.5 46.5% 47.6% 25.5% 1.87× 2.10
H2 over 62.5 45.8% 47.6% 68.3% 0.70× 2.10
H2 under 58.5 38.9% 38.4% 20.4% 1.88× 2.61
H2 over 64.5 38.3% 38.4% 62.1% 0.62× 2.61
H2 under 56.5 31.7% 33.6% 15.9% 2.12× 2.97
H2 over 66.5 31.2% 33.6% 55.4% 0.61× 2.97
H2 under 53.5 22.0% 24.2% 10.3% 2.34× 4.13
H2 over 69.5 21.9% 24.2% 45.2% 0.54× 4.13
H2 under 49.5 12.1% 14.8% 5.0% 2.94× 6.76
H2 over 73.5 12.4% 14.8% 32.9% 0.45× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Georgetown Hoyas leading at half time 50.8% 51.8% 39.9% 1.30× 1.93
George Washington Revolutionaries leading at half time 44.7% 42.9% 56.4% 0.76× 2.33
Level at half time 4.5% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Georgetown Hoyas +18.5 96.6% 97.4% 79.3% 1.23× 1.03
Georgetown Hoyas +20.5 97.8% 97.4% 82.0% 1.19× 1.03
George Washington Revolutionaries +20.5 96.2% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
Georgetown Hoyas +16.5 94.9% 91.1% 75.7% 1.20× 1.10
George Washington Revolutionaries +18.5 94.3% 91.1% 91.1% 1.00× 1.10
Georgetown Hoyas +14.5 92.6% 91.1% 72.1% 1.26× 1.10
George Washington Revolutionaries +16.5 91.8% 91.1% 89.1% 1.02× 1.10
Georgetown Hoyas +12.5 89.6% 85.9% 67.9% 1.27× 1.16
George Washington Revolutionaries +14.5 88.5% 85.9% 86.7% 0.99× 1.16
Georgetown Hoyas +10.5 85.8% 85.9% 63.2% 1.36× 1.16
Georgetown Hoyas +9.5 83.6% 81.1% 60.7% 1.34× 1.23
George Washington Revolutionaries +12.5 84.3% 81.1% 83.8% 0.97× 1.23
Georgetown Hoyas +8.5 81.2% 81.1% 58.0% 1.40× 1.23
George Washington Revolutionaries +10.5 79.4% 76.5% 80.4% 0.95× 1.31
Georgetown Hoyas +7.5 78.6% 76.5% 55.2% 1.38× 1.31
George Washington Revolutionaries +9.5 76.6% 76.5% 78.7% 0.97× 1.31
Georgetown Hoyas +6.5 75.7% 76.5% 52.4% 1.46× 1.31
Georgetown Hoyas +5.5 72.7% 71.6% 50.3% 1.42× 1.40
George Washington Revolutionaries +8.5 73.6% 71.6% 76.5% 0.94× 1.40
George Washington Revolutionaries +7.5 70.4% 71.6% 74.5% 0.96× 1.40
Georgetown Hoyas +4.5 69.5% 66.7% 47.8% 1.40× 1.50
George Washington Revolutionaries +6.5 67.0% 66.7% 72.3% 0.92× 1.50
Georgetown Hoyas +3.5 66.1% 66.7% 45.8% 1.46× 1.50
Georgetown Hoyas +2.5 62.6% 61.9% 43.3% 1.43× 1.62
George Washington Revolutionaries +5.5 63.5% 61.9% 70.1% 0.88× 1.62
Georgetown Hoyas +1.5 58.9% 57.1% 41.3% 1.38× 1.75
George Washington Revolutionaries +4.5 59.9% 57.1% 67.8% 0.84× 1.75
George Washington Revolutionaries +3.5 56.2% 57.1% 65.7% 0.87× 1.75
George Washington Revolutionaries +2.5 52.4% 52.4% 63.3% 0.83× 1.91
Georgetown Hoyas −1.5 51.4% 52.4% 38.8% 1.35× 1.91
George Washington Revolutionaries +1.5 48.6% 47.6% 61.2% 0.78× 2.10
Georgetown Hoyas −2.5 47.6% 47.6% 36.7% 1.30× 2.10
Georgetown Hoyas −3.5 43.8% 42.9% 34.3% 1.25× 2.33
George Washington Revolutionaries −1.5 41.1% 42.9% 58.7% 0.73× 2.33
Georgetown Hoyas −4.5 40.1% 42.9% 32.2% 1.33× 2.33
George Washington Revolutionaries −2.5 37.4% 38.1% 56.7% 0.67× 2.63
Georgetown Hoyas −5.5 36.5% 38.1% 29.9% 1.27× 2.63
George Washington Revolutionaries −3.5 33.9% 33.3% 54.2% 0.61× 3.01
Georgetown Hoyas −6.5 33.0% 33.3% 27.7% 1.20× 3.01
George Washington Revolutionaries −4.5 30.5% 33.3% 52.2% 0.64× 3.01
Georgetown Hoyas −7.5 29.6% 28.4% 25.5% 1.11× 3.53
George Washington Revolutionaries −5.5 27.3% 28.4% 49.7% 0.57× 3.53
Georgetown Hoyas −8.5 26.4% 28.4% 23.5% 1.20× 3.53
George Washington Revolutionaries −6.5 24.3% 23.5% 47.6% 0.49× 4.25
Georgetown Hoyas −9.5 23.4% 23.5% 21.3% 1.10× 4.25
George Washington Revolutionaries −7.5 21.4% 23.5% 44.8% 0.53× 4.25
Georgetown Hoyas −10.5 20.6% 23.5% 19.6% 1.20× 4.25
George Washington Revolutionaries −8.5 18.8% 18.9% 42.0% 0.45× 5.29
George Washington Revolutionaries −9.5 16.4% 18.9% 39.3% 0.48× 5.30
Georgetown Hoyas −12.5 15.7% 18.9% 16.2% 1.16× 5.30
George Washington Revolutionaries −10.5 14.2% 14.1% 36.8% 0.38× 7.09
George Washington Revolutionaries −12.5 10.4% 14.1% 32.1% 0.44× 7.09
Georgetown Hoyas −14.5 11.5% 14.1% 13.3% 1.06× 7.09
Georgetown Hoyas −16.5 8.2% 8.9% 10.9% 0.82× 11.25
George Washington Revolutionaries −14.5 7.4% 8.9% 27.9% 0.32× 11.25
George Washington Revolutionaries −16.5 5.1% 8.9% 24.3% 0.37× 11.25
Georgetown Hoyas −18.5 5.7% 8.9% 8.9% 1.00× 11.25
George Washington Revolutionaries −18.5 3.4% 2.6% 20.7% 0.12× 38.73
George Washington Revolutionaries −20.5 2.2% 2.6% 18.0% 0.14× 38.73
Georgetown Hoyas −20.5 3.8% 2.6% 7.3% 0.36× 38.73
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 70.1% 67.0% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 29.9% 33.0% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 33.6% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 31.9% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 18.0% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 16.5% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Georgetown Hoyas at HT / Georgetown Hoyas at FT 38.5% 37.8% 30.1% 1.25× 2.65
George Washington Revolutionaries at HT / George Washington Revolutionaries at FT 30.4% 33.2% 48.3% 0.69× 3.01
George Washington Revolutionaries at HT / Georgetown Hoyas at FT 14.3% 12.2% 8.2% 1.49× 8.17
Georgetown Hoyas at HT / George Washington Revolutionaries at FT 12.3% 12.2% 9.8% 1.25× 8.17
Level at HT / George Washington Revolutionaries at FT 2.1% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.76
Level at HT / Georgetown Hoyas at FT 2.5% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.75
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Georgetown Hoyas to win 55.2% 55.2% 40.1% 1.38× 1.81
George Washington Revolutionaries to win 44.8% 44.8% 59.9% 0.75× 2.23
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.9% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
George Washington Revolutionaries even 50.2% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Georgetown Hoyas even 50.1% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
George Washington Revolutionaries odd 49.8% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Georgetown Hoyas odd 49.9% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 48.1% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 93.9% 94.0% 95.6% 0.98× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 6.1% 6.0% 4.4% 1.35× 16.66
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Georgetown Hoyas to win Q1 49.0% 47.6% 40.4% 1.18× 2.10
George Washington Revolutionaries to win Q1 44.9% 43.0% 54.7% 0.78× 2.33
Q1 tied 6.1% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.31
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 36.5 89.2% 87.4% 77.4% 1.13× 1.14
Q1 over 20.5 87.8% 87.4% 93.7% 0.93× 1.14
Q1 under 33.5 78.6% 76.9% 64.0% 1.20× 1.30
Q1 over 23.5 76.1% 76.9% 85.4% 0.90× 1.30
Q1 under 31.5 68.9% 67.6% 54.0% 1.25× 1.48
Q1 over 25.5 65.8% 67.6% 77.6% 0.87× 1.48
Q1 under 29.5 57.7% 58.6% 43.1% 1.36× 1.71
Q1 over 27.5 54.2% 52.7% 67.7% 0.78× 1.90
Q1 under 28.5 51.7% 52.7% 37.3% 1.41× 1.90
Q1 over 28.5 48.3% 47.3% 62.7% 0.76× 2.11
Q1 under 27.5 45.8% 47.3% 32.3% 1.47× 2.11
Q1 over 29.5 42.3% 41.4% 56.9% 0.73× 2.42
Q1 under 25.5 34.2% 32.4% 22.4% 1.45× 3.08
Q1 over 31.5 31.1% 32.4% 46.0% 0.70× 3.08
Q1 under 23.5 23.9% 23.1% 14.6% 1.58× 4.33
Q1 over 33.5 21.4% 23.1% 36.0% 0.64× 4.33
Q1 under 20.5 12.2% 12.6% 6.3% 1.99× 7.95
Q1 over 36.5 10.8% 12.6% 22.6% 0.56× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Georgetown Hoyas to win Q2 49.0% 47.0% 41.5% 1.13× 2.13
George Washington Revolutionaries to win Q2 45.0% 43.9% 52.9% 0.83× 2.28
Q2 tied 6.0% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.49
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 36.5 90.0% 87.3% 78.7% 1.11× 1.15
Q2 over 20.5 86.8% 87.3% 92.7% 0.94× 1.15
Q2 under 33.5 79.8% 76.8% 65.6% 1.17× 1.30
Q2 over 23.5 74.7% 72.0% 84.6% 0.85× 1.39
Q2 under 31.5 70.4% 72.0% 55.7% 1.29× 1.39
Q2 over 25.5 64.2% 60.7% 76.2% 0.80× 1.65
Q2 under 29.5 59.4% 58.2% 44.2% 1.32× 1.72
Q2 under 28.5 53.5% 52.7% 38.8% 1.36× 1.90
Q2 over 27.5 52.5% 52.7% 66.7% 0.79× 1.90
Q2 under 27.5 47.5% 47.3% 33.3% 1.42× 2.11
Q2 over 28.5 46.5% 47.3% 61.2% 0.77× 2.11
Q2 over 29.5 40.6% 41.8% 55.8% 0.75× 2.39
Q2 under 25.5 35.8% 39.3% 23.8% 1.65× 2.55
Q2 over 31.5 29.6% 28.0% 44.3% 0.63× 3.57
Q2 under 23.5 25.3% 28.0% 15.4% 1.82× 3.57
Q2 over 33.5 20.2% 23.2% 34.4% 0.67× 4.31
Q2 under 20.5 13.2% 12.7% 7.3% 1.74× 7.89
Q2 over 36.5 10.0% 12.7% 21.3% 0.60× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Georgetown Hoyas to win Q3 49.2% 47.6% 41.8% 1.14× 2.10
George Washington Revolutionaries to win Q3 44.8% 42.3% 53.3% 0.79× 2.36
Q3 tied 6.0% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.96
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 over 22.5 88.7% 87.2% 94.1% 0.93× 1.15
Q3 under 38.5 87.2% 87.2% 73.9% 1.18× 1.15
Q3 over 25.5 77.7% 77.3% 86.9% 0.89× 1.29
Q3 under 35.5 75.8% 77.3% 59.7% 1.30× 1.29
Q3 over 27.5 68.0% 67.8% 80.0% 0.85× 1.48
Q3 under 33.5 65.9% 67.8% 49.1% 1.38× 1.48
Q3 over 29.5 57.0% 58.4% 71.8% 0.81× 1.71
Q3 under 31.5 54.7% 52.3% 38.4% 1.36× 1.91
Q3 over 30.5 51.2% 52.3% 66.8% 0.78× 1.91
Q3 under 30.5 48.8% 47.7% 33.2% 1.44× 2.10
Q3 over 31.5 45.3% 47.7% 61.6% 0.77× 2.10
Q3 under 29.5 43.0% 41.6% 28.2% 1.48× 2.40
Q3 over 33.5 34.1% 32.2% 50.9% 0.63× 3.10
Q3 under 27.5 32.0% 32.2% 20.0% 1.61× 3.10
Q3 over 35.5 24.2% 22.7% 40.3% 0.56× 4.40
Q3 under 25.5 22.3% 22.7% 13.1% 1.74× 4.40
Q3 over 38.5 12.8% 12.8% 26.1% 0.49× 7.83
Q3 under 22.5 11.3% 12.8% 5.9% 2.18× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Georgetown Hoyas to win Q4 49.2% 47.6% 41.5% 1.15× 2.10
George Washington Revolutionaries to win Q4 44.9% 43.1% 52.8% 0.82× 2.32
Q4 tied 5.8% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.25
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 39.5 88.5% 85.6% 77.0% 1.11× 1.17
Q4 over 23.5 84.3% 82.0% 91.2% 0.90× 1.22
Q4 under 36.5 78.5% 76.9% 64.3% 1.20× 1.30
Q4 over 26.5 72.2% 71.5% 82.6% 0.87× 1.40
Q4 under 34.5 69.7% 67.4% 54.4% 1.24× 1.48
Q4 over 28.5 62.3% 61.4% 75.1% 0.82× 1.63
Q4 under 32.5 59.5% 58.4% 44.6% 1.31× 1.71
Q4 under 31.5 54.1% 52.5% 38.9% 1.35× 1.91
Q4 over 30.5 51.4% 52.5% 66.3% 0.79× 1.91
Q4 under 30.5 48.6% 47.5% 33.7% 1.41× 2.11
Q4 over 31.5 45.9% 47.5% 61.1% 0.78× 2.11
Q4 over 32.5 40.5% 41.6% 55.4% 0.75× 2.40
Q4 under 28.5 37.7% 38.6% 24.9% 1.55× 2.59
Q4 over 34.5 30.3% 32.6% 45.6% 0.71× 3.07
Q4 under 26.5 27.8% 28.5% 17.4% 1.64× 3.51
Q4 over 36.5 21.5% 23.1% 35.7% 0.65× 4.33
Q4 under 23.5 15.7% 18.0% 8.8% 2.03× 5.56
Q4 over 39.5 11.5% 14.4% 23.0% 0.62× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
George Washington Revolutionaries under 68.5 87.1% 83.9% 54.4% 1.54× 1.19
Georgetown Hoyas over 49.5 86.5% 83.9% 85.1% 0.99× 1.19
Georgetown Hoyas under 69.5 86.5% 83.9% 71.2% 1.18× 1.19
George Washington Revolutionaries over 48.5 85.2% 83.9% 93.3% 0.90× 1.19
George Washington Revolutionaries under 65.5 79.2% 75.1% 44.7% 1.68× 1.33
Georgetown Hoyas under 66.5 78.1% 75.1% 62.7% 1.20× 1.33
Georgetown Hoyas over 52.5 77.6% 75.1% 78.5% 0.96× 1.33
George Washington Revolutionaries over 51.5 75.7% 75.1% 89.3% 0.84× 1.33
George Washington Revolutionaries under 63.5 72.6% 70.7% 38.5% 1.83× 1.41
Georgetown Hoyas over 54.5 70.4% 70.7% 73.5% 0.96× 1.41
Georgetown Hoyas under 64.5 71.2% 70.7% 56.9% 1.24× 1.41
George Washington Revolutionaries over 53.5 68.2% 66.4% 85.8% 0.77× 1.51
George Washington Revolutionaries under 61.5 65.2% 66.4% 33.1% 2.01× 1.51
Georgetown Hoyas over 56.5 62.3% 61.2% 68.0% 0.90× 1.63
Georgetown Hoyas under 62.5 63.4% 61.2% 51.0% 1.20× 1.63
George Washington Revolutionaries over 55.5 60.0% 57.1% 81.6% 0.70× 1.75
George Washington Revolutionaries under 59.5 57.0% 57.1% 27.8% 2.05× 1.75
Georgetown Hoyas over 58.5 53.7% 52.3% 62.1% 0.84× 1.91
Georgetown Hoyas under 60.5 55.0% 52.3% 44.4% 1.18× 1.91
George Washington Revolutionaries over 57.5 51.5% 52.3% 77.2% 0.68× 1.91
George Washington Revolutionaries under 58.5 52.8% 52.3% 25.3% 2.07× 1.91
Georgetown Hoyas under 59.5 50.6% 52.3% 41.2% 1.27× 1.91
Georgetown Hoyas over 59.5 49.4% 47.7% 58.8% 0.81× 2.09
George Washington Revolutionaries under 57.5 48.5% 47.7% 22.8% 2.09× 2.09
George Washington Revolutionaries over 58.5 47.2% 47.7% 74.7% 0.64× 2.09
Georgetown Hoyas under 58.5 46.3% 47.7% 37.9% 1.26× 2.09
Georgetown Hoyas over 60.5 45.0% 47.7% 55.6% 0.86× 2.09
George Washington Revolutionaries over 59.5 43.0% 42.9% 72.2% 0.59× 2.33
George Washington Revolutionaries under 55.5 40.0% 42.9% 18.5% 2.32× 2.33
Georgetown Hoyas under 56.5 37.7% 38.8% 32.0% 1.21× 2.58
Georgetown Hoyas over 62.5 36.6% 38.8% 49.0% 0.79× 2.58
George Washington Revolutionaries over 61.5 34.8% 33.6% 66.9% 0.50× 2.98
George Washington Revolutionaries under 53.5 31.8% 33.6% 14.2% 2.36× 2.98
Georgetown Hoyas under 54.5 29.6% 29.3% 26.5% 1.11× 3.42
Georgetown Hoyas over 64.5 28.8% 29.3% 43.2% 0.68× 3.42
George Washington Revolutionaries over 63.5 27.4% 29.3% 61.5% 0.48× 3.42
George Washington Revolutionaries under 51.5 24.3% 24.9% 10.7% 2.31× 4.02
Georgetown Hoyas under 52.5 22.4% 24.9% 21.5% 1.16× 4.02
George Washington Revolutionaries over 65.5 20.8% 24.9% 55.3% 0.45× 4.02
Georgetown Hoyas over 66.5 21.9% 24.9% 37.3% 0.67× 4.02
George Washington Revolutionaries under 48.5 14.8% 16.1% 6.7% 2.42× 6.21
George Washington Revolutionaries over 68.5 12.9% 16.1% 45.6% 0.35× 6.21
Georgetown Hoyas under 49.5 13.5% 16.1% 14.9% 1.08× 6.21
Georgetown Hoyas over 69.5 13.5% 16.1% 28.8% 0.56× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 97.5 points 93.0% 88.8% 96.9% 0.92× 1.13
Under 137.5 points 91.6% 88.8% 66.2% 1.34× 1.13
Over 102.5 points 85.8% 85.0% 94.3% 0.90× 1.18
Under 132.5 points 85.0% 85.0% 56.0% 1.52× 1.18
Over 107.5 points 75.5% 75.6% 90.2% 0.84× 1.32
Under 127.5 points 75.9% 75.6% 44.9% 1.69× 1.32
Under 124.5 points 69.0% 65.9% 38.5% 1.71× 1.52
Over 110.5 points 68.3% 65.9% 86.4% 0.76× 1.52
Under 122.5 points 64.1% 61.5% 34.4% 1.79× 1.63
Over 112.5 points 63.1% 61.5% 83.6% 0.74× 1.63
Under 120.5 points 58.8% 56.5% 30.2% 1.87× 1.77
Over 114.5 points 57.6% 56.5% 80.4% 0.70× 1.77
Under 118.5 points 53.4% 52.3% 26.4% 1.98× 1.91
Over 116.5 points 52.1% 52.3% 77.2% 0.68× 1.91
Under 117.5 points 50.8% 52.3% 24.7% 2.12× 1.91
Over 117.5 points 49.2% 47.7% 75.3% 0.63× 2.10
Under 116.5 points 47.9% 47.7% 22.8% 2.09× 2.10
Over 118.5 points 46.6% 47.7% 73.6% 0.65× 2.10
Under 114.5 points 42.4% 43.5% 19.6% 2.22× 2.30
Over 120.5 points 41.2% 43.5% 69.8% 0.62× 2.30
Under 112.5 points 36.9% 38.5% 16.4% 2.35× 2.60
Over 122.5 points 35.9% 38.5% 65.6% 0.59× 2.60
Under 110.5 points 31.7% 34.1% 13.6% 2.52× 2.93
Over 124.5 points 31.0% 34.1% 61.5% 0.55× 2.93
Under 107.5 points 24.5% 24.4% 9.8% 2.48× 4.10
Over 127.5 points 24.1% 24.4% 55.1% 0.44× 4.10
Over 132.5 points 15.0% 15.0% 44.0% 0.34× 6.68
Under 102.5 points 14.2% 15.0% 5.7% 2.61× 6.68
Over 137.5 points 8.4% 11.2% 33.8% 0.33× 8.96
Under 97.5 points 7.0% 11.2% 3.1% 3.64× 8.97
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Georgetown Hoyas to win both halves 22.6% 23.1% 20.4% 1.13× 4.34
George Washington Revolutionaries to win both halves 16.6% 18.9% 36.0% 0.52× 5.30
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Georgetown Hoyas by 1-5 18.8% 16.8% 10.2% 1.65× 5.97
George Washington Revolutionaries by 1-5 17.5% 16.8% 10.2% 1.64× 5.97
Georgetown Hoyas by 6-10 15.8% 16.8% 10.3% 1.63× 5.97
George Washington Revolutionaries by 6-10 13.1% 12.3% 12.9% 0.95× 8.11
Georgetown Hoyas by 11-15 10.8% 12.3% 7.6% 1.62× 8.11
George Washington Revolutionaries by 11-15 8.0% 7.5% 10.8% 0.69× 13.40
Georgetown Hoyas by 16-20 6.0% 7.5% 4.8% 1.57× 13.40
George Washington Revolutionaries by 16-20 4.0% 2.0% 8.0% 0.25× 49.29
George Washington Revolutionaries by 21-25 1.6% 2.0% 5.4% 0.38× 49.31
Georgetown Hoyas by 21-25 2.6% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.30
George Washington Revolutionaries by 26+ 0.6% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.32
Georgetown Hoyas by 26+ 1.2% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.32
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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