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George Washington Revolutionaries v UAB Blazers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 23 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
George Washington Revolutionaries win
73.5%
Draw
0.0%
UAB Blazers win
26.5%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 67.44–60.54 67-60 0% 49% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
George Washington Revolutionaries to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.35
George Washington Revolutionaries to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
George Washington Revolutionaries to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
George Washington Revolutionaries to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
UAB Blazers to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.72× 283.36
UAB Blazers to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
UAB Blazers to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
UAB Blazers to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
George Washington Revolutionaries to win H1 62.6% 62.2% 56.4% 1.10× 1.61
UAB Blazers to win H1 33.2% 33.1% 39.9% 0.83× 3.02
H1 tied 4.2% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 73.5 88.7% 87.7% 85.6% 1.02× 1.14
H1 over 49.5 87.9% 87.7% 86.7% 1.01× 1.14
H1 under 69.5 79.2% 77.4% 76.2% 1.02× 1.29
H1 over 53.5 77.9% 77.4% 76.8% 1.01× 1.29
H1 under 66.5 69.8% 67.4% 67.1% 1.00× 1.48
H1 over 56.5 68.1% 67.4% 68.2% 0.99× 1.48
H1 under 64.5 62.6% 62.7% 60.7% 1.03× 1.59
H1 over 58.5 60.7% 62.7% 61.4% 1.02× 1.59
H1 under 62.5 54.9% 52.6% 53.7% 0.98× 1.90
H1 over 60.5 52.9% 52.6% 53.9% 0.98× 1.90
H1 under 61.5 51.0% 52.6% 49.8% 1.06× 1.90
H1 over 61.5 49.0% 47.4% 50.2% 0.94× 2.11
H1 under 60.5 47.1% 47.4% 46.1% 1.03× 2.11
H1 over 62.5 45.1% 47.4% 46.3% 1.02× 2.11
H1 under 58.5 39.3% 37.3% 38.6% 0.97× 2.68
H1 over 64.5 37.4% 37.3% 39.3% 0.95× 2.68
H1 under 56.5 31.9% 32.6% 31.8% 1.02× 3.07
H1 over 66.5 30.2% 32.6% 32.9% 0.99× 3.07
H1 under 53.5 22.1% 22.6% 23.2% 0.97× 4.43
H1 over 69.5 20.8% 22.6% 23.8% 0.95× 4.43
H1 under 49.5 12.1% 12.3% 13.3% 0.93× 8.14
H1 over 73.5 11.3% 12.3% 14.4% 0.85× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
George Washington Revolutionaries to win H2 63.5% 58.8% 56.0% 1.05× 1.70
UAB Blazers to win H2 32.4% 36.3% 40.6% 0.89× 2.76
H2 tied 4.0% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.35
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 79.5 87.9% 85.2% 82.0% 1.04× 1.17
H2 over 55.5 86.5% 85.2% 86.1% 0.99× 1.17
H2 under 75.5 78.6% 75.8% 73.0% 1.04× 1.32
H2 over 59.5 76.4% 75.8% 77.0% 0.98× 1.32
H2 under 72.5 69.6% 66.4% 64.1% 1.04× 1.51
H2 over 62.5 66.7% 66.4% 68.3% 0.97× 1.51
H2 under 70.5 62.7% 61.6% 57.8% 1.07× 1.62
H2 over 64.5 59.6% 57.3% 62.1% 0.92× 1.74
H2 under 68.5 55.4% 57.3% 51.3% 1.12× 1.74
H2 over 66.5 52.1% 52.4% 55.4% 0.95× 1.91
H2 under 67.5 51.6% 52.4% 47.9% 1.09× 1.91
H2 under 66.5 47.9% 47.6% 44.6% 1.07× 2.10
H2 over 67.5 48.4% 47.6% 52.1% 0.91× 2.10
H2 over 68.5 44.6% 42.7% 48.7% 0.88× 2.34
H2 under 64.5 40.4% 42.7% 37.9% 1.13× 2.35
H2 over 70.5 37.3% 38.4% 42.2% 0.91× 2.61
H2 under 62.5 33.3% 33.6% 31.7% 1.06× 2.97
H2 over 72.5 30.4% 33.6% 36.0% 0.94× 2.97
H2 under 59.5 23.6% 24.2% 23.0% 1.05× 4.13
H2 over 75.5 21.4% 24.2% 27.0% 0.90× 4.13
H2 under 55.5 13.5% 14.8% 13.9% 1.06× 6.76
H2 over 79.5 12.1% 14.8% 18.0% 0.82× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
George Washington Revolutionaries leading at half time 62.6% 62.5% 56.4% 1.11× 1.60
UAB Blazers leading at half time 33.2% 32.7% 39.9% 0.82× 3.05
Level at half time 4.2% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
George Washington Revolutionaries +12.5 95.7% 97.4% 83.8% 1.16× 1.03
George Washington Revolutionaries +14.5 97.1% 97.4% 86.7% 1.12× 1.03
George Washington Revolutionaries +16.5 98.1% 97.4% 89.1% 1.09× 1.03
George Washington Revolutionaries +18.5 98.8% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
George Washington Revolutionaries +20.5 99.3% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
George Washington Revolutionaries +10.5 93.8% 91.1% 80.4% 1.13× 1.10
George Washington Revolutionaries +9.5 92.6% 91.1% 78.7% 1.16× 1.10
George Washington Revolutionaries +8.5 91.2% 91.1% 76.5% 1.19× 1.10
UAB Blazers +20.5 89.0% 85.9% 82.0% 1.05× 1.16
George Washington Revolutionaries +7.5 89.7% 85.9% 74.5% 1.15× 1.16
George Washington Revolutionaries +6.5 87.9% 85.9% 72.3% 1.19× 1.16
UAB Blazers +18.5 85.1% 85.9% 79.3% 1.08× 1.16
George Washington Revolutionaries +5.5 86.0% 85.9% 70.1% 1.23× 1.16
George Washington Revolutionaries +4.5 83.9% 81.1% 67.8% 1.20× 1.23
UAB Blazers +16.5 80.4% 81.1% 75.7% 1.07× 1.23
George Washington Revolutionaries +3.5 81.6% 81.1% 65.7% 1.23× 1.23
George Washington Revolutionaries +2.5 79.1% 76.5% 63.3% 1.21× 1.31
George Washington Revolutionaries +1.5 76.4% 76.5% 61.2% 1.25× 1.31
UAB Blazers +14.5 75.0% 71.6% 72.1% 0.99× 1.40
George Washington Revolutionaries −1.5 70.3% 71.6% 58.7% 1.22× 1.40
UAB Blazers +12.5 68.8% 66.7% 67.9% 0.98× 1.50
George Washington Revolutionaries −2.5 66.9% 66.7% 56.7% 1.18× 1.50
George Washington Revolutionaries −3.5 63.4% 61.9% 54.2% 1.14× 1.62
UAB Blazers +10.5 62.0% 61.9% 63.2% 0.98× 1.62
George Washington Revolutionaries −4.5 59.8% 57.1% 52.2% 1.09× 1.75
UAB Blazers +9.5 58.5% 57.1% 60.7% 0.94× 1.75
George Washington Revolutionaries −5.5 56.2% 57.1% 49.7% 1.15× 1.75
UAB Blazers +8.5 54.8% 52.4% 58.0% 0.90× 1.91
George Washington Revolutionaries −6.5 52.5% 52.4% 47.6% 1.10× 1.91
UAB Blazers +7.5 51.2% 52.4% 55.2% 0.95× 1.91
George Washington Revolutionaries −7.5 48.8% 47.6% 44.8% 1.06× 2.10
UAB Blazers +6.5 47.5% 47.6% 52.4% 0.91× 2.10
George Washington Revolutionaries −8.5 45.2% 47.6% 42.0% 1.13× 2.10
UAB Blazers +5.5 43.8% 42.9% 50.3% 0.85× 2.33
George Washington Revolutionaries −9.5 41.5% 42.9% 39.3% 1.09× 2.33
UAB Blazers +4.5 40.2% 42.9% 47.8% 0.90× 2.33
George Washington Revolutionaries −10.5 38.0% 38.1% 36.8% 1.03× 2.63
UAB Blazers +3.5 36.6% 38.1% 45.8% 0.83× 2.63
UAB Blazers +2.5 33.1% 33.3% 43.3% 0.77× 3.01
George Washington Revolutionaries −12.5 31.2% 33.3% 32.1% 1.04× 3.01
UAB Blazers +1.5 29.7% 28.4% 41.3% 0.69× 3.53
George Washington Revolutionaries −14.5 25.0% 28.4% 27.9% 1.02× 3.53
UAB Blazers −1.5 23.6% 23.5% 38.8% 0.61× 4.25
UAB Blazers −2.5 20.9% 23.5% 36.7% 0.64× 4.25
George Washington Revolutionaries −16.5 19.6% 18.9% 24.3% 0.78× 5.29
UAB Blazers −3.5 18.4% 18.9% 34.3% 0.55× 5.29
UAB Blazers −4.5 16.1% 18.9% 32.2% 0.59× 5.30
George Washington Revolutionaries −18.5 14.9% 14.1% 20.7% 0.68× 7.09
UAB Blazers −5.5 14.0% 14.1% 29.9% 0.47× 7.09
UAB Blazers −6.5 12.1% 14.1% 27.7% 0.51× 7.09
George Washington Revolutionaries −20.5 11.1% 14.1% 18.0% 0.78× 7.09
UAB Blazers −7.5 10.3% 14.1% 25.5% 0.55× 7.09
UAB Blazers −8.5 8.8% 8.9% 23.5% 0.38× 11.25
UAB Blazers −10.5 6.2% 8.9% 19.6% 0.45× 11.25
UAB Blazers −9.5 7.4% 8.9% 21.3% 0.42× 11.25
UAB Blazers −12.5 4.3% 2.6% 16.2% 0.16× 38.72
UAB Blazers −14.5 2.9% 2.6% 13.3% 0.19× 38.73
UAB Blazers −16.5 1.9% 2.6% 10.9% 0.24× 38.73
UAB Blazers −18.5 1.2% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.74
UAB Blazers −20.5 0.7% 2.6% 7.3% 0.35× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 71.7% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 28.3% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 34.3% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.5% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.3% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 15.8% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
George Washington Revolutionaries at HT / George Washington Revolutionaries at FT 54.7% 51.1% 48.3% 1.06× 1.96
UAB Blazers at HT / UAB Blazers at FT 17.3% 15.5% 30.1% 0.51× 6.47
UAB Blazers at HT / George Washington Revolutionaries at FT 15.9% 15.4% 9.8% 1.58× 6.47
George Washington Revolutionaries at HT / UAB Blazers at FT 8.0% 8.3% 8.2% 1.01× 12.09
Level at HT / George Washington Revolutionaries at FT 2.9% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.74
Level at HT / UAB Blazers at FT 1.3% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.77
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
George Washington Revolutionaries to win 73.5% 68.7% 59.9% 1.15× 1.46
UAB Blazers to win 26.5% 31.3% 40.1% 0.78× 3.20
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.5% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
George Washington Revolutionaries even 50.0% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
UAB Blazers even 50.1% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
George Washington Revolutionaries odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
UAB Blazers odd 49.9% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 48.5% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 94.6% 94.0% 95.6% 0.98× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 5.4% 6.0% 4.4% 1.35× 16.66
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
George Washington Revolutionaries to win Q1 57.1% 57.3% 54.7% 1.05× 1.75
UAB Blazers to win Q1 36.9% 38.2% 40.4% 0.95× 2.62
Q1 tied 5.9% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.32
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 39.5 90.1% 91.1% 87.5% 1.04× 1.10
Q1 over 23.5 86.1% 87.4% 85.4% 1.02× 1.14
Q1 under 36.5 80.1% 82.8% 77.4% 1.07× 1.21
Q1 over 26.5 73.8% 72.7% 72.9% 1.00× 1.38
Q1 under 34.5 70.8% 72.7% 68.5% 1.06× 1.38
Q1 over 28.5 63.3% 61.7% 62.7% 0.99× 1.62
Q1 under 32.5 60.0% 58.6% 59.1% 0.99× 1.71
Q1 under 31.5 54.2% 52.7% 54.0% 0.98× 1.90
Q1 over 30.5 51.7% 52.7% 51.2% 1.03× 1.90
Q1 under 30.5 48.3% 47.3% 48.8% 0.97× 2.11
Q1 over 31.5 45.8% 47.3% 46.0% 1.03× 2.11
Q1 over 32.5 40.0% 41.4% 40.9% 1.01× 2.42
Q1 under 28.5 36.7% 38.3% 37.3% 1.02× 2.61
Q1 over 34.5 29.2% 27.3% 31.5% 0.87× 3.66
Q1 under 26.5 26.2% 27.3% 27.1% 1.01× 3.66
Q1 over 36.5 19.9% 17.2% 22.6% 0.76× 5.82
Q1 under 23.5 13.9% 12.6% 14.6% 0.86× 7.95
Q1 over 39.5 9.9% 8.9% 12.5% 0.71× 11.19
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
George Washington Revolutionaries to win Q2 56.9% 59.4% 52.9% 1.12× 1.68
UAB Blazers to win Q2 37.3% 35.8% 41.5% 0.86× 2.80
Q2 tied 5.8% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.49
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 over 22.5 88.2% 87.3% 87.4% 1.00× 1.15
Q2 under 38.5 88.2% 87.3% 85.6% 1.02× 1.15
Q2 under 35.5 77.1% 76.8% 74.6% 1.03× 1.30
Q2 over 25.5 77.0% 76.8% 76.2% 1.01× 1.30
Q2 under 33.5 67.3% 67.4% 65.6% 1.03× 1.49
Q2 over 27.5 67.0% 67.4% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
Q2 under 31.5 56.0% 58.2% 55.7% 1.04× 1.72
Q2 over 29.5 55.7% 58.2% 55.8% 1.04× 1.72
Q2 under 30.5 50.2% 52.7% 50.1% 1.05× 1.90
Q2 over 30.5 49.8% 47.3% 49.9% 0.95× 2.11
Q2 under 29.5 44.3% 41.8% 44.2% 0.95× 2.39
Q2 over 31.5 44.0% 41.8% 44.3% 0.94× 2.39
Q2 under 27.5 33.0% 32.6% 33.3% 0.98× 3.06
Q2 over 33.5 32.7% 32.6% 34.4% 0.95× 3.06
Q2 under 25.5 23.0% 23.2% 23.8% 0.97× 4.31
Q2 over 35.5 22.9% 23.2% 25.4% 0.91× 4.31
Q2 under 22.5 11.8% 12.7% 12.6% 1.01× 7.89
Q2 over 38.5 11.8% 12.7% 14.4% 0.88× 7.89
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
George Washington Revolutionaries to win Q3 57.8% 56.8% 53.3% 1.07× 1.76
UAB Blazers to win Q3 36.4% 38.8% 41.8% 0.93× 2.58
Q3 tied 5.7% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.97
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 over 25.5 87.7% 87.2% 86.9% 1.00× 1.15
Q3 under 41.5 87.5% 87.2% 85.1% 1.02× 1.15
Q3 over 28.5 76.6% 77.3% 76.4% 1.01× 1.29
Q3 under 38.5 76.4% 77.3% 73.9% 1.05× 1.29
Q3 over 30.5 66.8% 67.8% 66.8% 1.01× 1.48
Q3 under 36.5 66.6% 67.8% 64.6% 1.05× 1.48
Q3 over 32.5 55.8% 58.4% 56.1% 1.04× 1.71
Q3 under 34.5 55.7% 58.4% 54.6% 1.07× 1.71
Q3 over 33.5 50.1% 52.3% 50.9% 1.03× 1.91
Q3 under 33.5 49.9% 47.7% 49.1% 0.97× 2.10
Q3 under 32.5 44.2% 41.6% 43.9% 0.95× 2.40
Q3 over 34.5 44.3% 41.6% 45.4% 0.92× 2.40
Q3 over 36.5 33.4% 32.2% 35.4% 0.91× 3.10
Q3 under 30.5 33.2% 32.2% 33.2% 0.97× 3.10
Q3 under 28.5 23.4% 22.7% 23.6% 0.96× 4.40
Q3 over 38.5 23.6% 22.7% 26.1% 0.87× 4.40
Q3 under 25.5 12.3% 12.8% 13.1% 0.98× 7.83
Q3 over 41.5 12.5% 12.8% 14.9% 0.86× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
George Washington Revolutionaries to win Q4 57.7% 52.1% 52.8% 0.99× 1.92
UAB Blazers to win Q4 36.7% 42.4% 41.5% 1.02× 2.36
Q4 tied 5.6% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.25
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 over 25.5 86.5% 85.6% 86.1% 0.99× 1.17
Q4 under 41.5 85.9% 85.6% 83.6% 1.02× 1.17
Q4 over 28.5 75.6% 76.9% 75.1% 1.02× 1.30
Q4 under 38.5 74.8% 71.5% 73.1% 0.98× 1.40
Q4 over 30.5 66.3% 67.4% 66.3% 1.02× 1.48
Q4 under 36.5 65.4% 67.4% 64.3% 1.05× 1.48
Q4 over 32.5 55.8% 58.4% 55.4% 1.05× 1.71
Q4 under 34.5 55.0% 52.5% 54.4% 0.96× 1.91
Q4 over 33.5 50.4% 52.5% 50.4% 1.04× 1.91
Q4 under 33.5 49.6% 47.5% 49.6% 0.96× 2.11
Q4 over 34.5 45.0% 47.5% 45.6% 1.04× 2.11
Q4 under 32.5 44.2% 41.6% 44.6% 0.93× 2.40
Q4 over 36.5 34.6% 32.6% 35.7% 0.91× 3.07
Q4 under 30.5 33.7% 32.6% 33.7% 0.97× 3.07
Q4 over 38.5 25.2% 28.5% 26.9% 1.06× 3.51
Q4 under 28.5 24.4% 23.1% 24.9% 0.93× 4.33
Q4 over 41.5 14.1% 14.4% 16.4% 0.88× 6.95
Q4 under 25.5 13.5% 14.4% 13.9% 1.04× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UAB Blazers over 50.5 86.8% 83.9% 83.1% 1.01× 1.19
George Washington Revolutionaries over 57.5 85.7% 83.9% 77.2% 1.09× 1.19
UAB Blazers under 70.5 85.8% 83.9% 73.7% 1.14× 1.19
George Washington Revolutionaries under 77.5 84.9% 80.7% 77.4% 1.04× 1.24
UAB Blazers over 53.5 78.1% 75.1% 76.3% 0.98× 1.33
George Washington Revolutionaries over 60.5 77.4% 75.1% 69.5% 1.08× 1.33
George Washington Revolutionaries under 74.5 76.4% 75.1% 70.7% 1.06× 1.33
UAB Blazers under 67.5 77.3% 75.1% 65.6% 1.15× 1.33
George Washington Revolutionaries over 62.5 70.6% 70.7% 64.3% 1.10× 1.41
UAB Blazers over 55.5 71.0% 70.7% 70.8% 1.00× 1.41
UAB Blazers under 65.5 70.3% 70.7% 59.8% 1.18× 1.41
George Washington Revolutionaries under 72.5 69.4% 66.4% 65.7% 1.01× 1.51
George Washington Revolutionaries over 64.5 63.0% 61.2% 58.4% 1.05× 1.63
UAB Blazers over 57.5 63.1% 61.2% 65.1% 0.94× 1.63
UAB Blazers under 63.5 62.5% 61.2% 53.9% 1.13× 1.63
George Washington Revolutionaries under 70.5 61.7% 61.2% 60.3% 1.01× 1.63
George Washington Revolutionaries over 66.5 54.9% 52.3% 51.8% 1.01× 1.91
UAB Blazers over 59.5 54.6% 52.3% 58.8% 0.89× 1.91
UAB Blazers under 61.5 54.0% 52.3% 47.9% 1.09× 1.91
George Washington Revolutionaries under 68.5 53.5% 52.3% 54.4% 0.96× 1.91
George Washington Revolutionaries over 67.5 50.7% 52.3% 48.7% 1.07× 1.91
UAB Blazers over 60.5 50.3% 52.3% 55.6% 0.94× 1.91
George Washington Revolutionaries under 67.5 49.3% 47.7% 51.3% 0.93× 2.09
UAB Blazers under 60.5 49.7% 47.7% 44.4% 1.08× 2.09
George Washington Revolutionaries over 68.5 46.5% 47.7% 45.6% 1.05× 2.09
George Washington Revolutionaries under 66.5 45.1% 47.7% 48.2% 0.99× 2.09
UAB Blazers under 59.5 45.4% 47.7% 41.2% 1.16× 2.09
UAB Blazers over 61.5 46.0% 47.7% 52.1% 0.92× 2.09
George Washington Revolutionaries over 70.5 38.3% 38.8% 39.7% 0.98× 2.58
George Washington Revolutionaries under 64.5 37.0% 38.8% 41.6% 0.93× 2.58
UAB Blazers under 57.5 36.9% 38.8% 34.9% 1.11× 2.58
UAB Blazers over 63.5 37.5% 38.8% 46.1% 0.84× 2.58
George Washington Revolutionaries over 72.5 30.6% 33.6% 34.3% 0.98× 2.98
George Washington Revolutionaries under 62.5 29.4% 29.3% 35.7% 0.82× 3.42
UAB Blazers under 55.5 29.0% 29.3% 29.2% 1.00× 3.42
UAB Blazers over 65.5 29.7% 29.3% 40.2% 0.73× 3.42
George Washington Revolutionaries under 60.5 22.6% 24.9% 30.5% 0.81× 4.02
George Washington Revolutionaries over 74.5 23.7% 24.9% 29.3% 0.85× 4.02
UAB Blazers over 67.5 22.7% 24.9% 34.4% 0.72× 4.02
UAB Blazers under 53.5 21.9% 24.9% 23.7% 1.05× 4.02
George Washington Revolutionaries over 77.5 15.1% 19.3% 22.6% 0.85× 5.18
George Washington Revolutionaries under 57.5 14.3% 16.1% 22.8% 0.70× 6.21
UAB Blazers over 70.5 14.2% 16.1% 26.3% 0.61× 6.21
UAB Blazers under 50.5 13.2% 16.1% 16.9% 0.95× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 108.5 points 91.3% 88.8% 88.9% 1.00× 1.13
Under 148.5 points 91.2% 88.8% 83.7% 1.06× 1.13
Over 113.5 points 84.2% 80.6% 81.9% 0.98× 1.24
Under 143.5 points 84.6% 80.6% 76.7% 1.05× 1.24
Under 138.5 points 75.3% 75.6% 67.9% 1.11× 1.32
Over 118.5 points 74.5% 70.8% 73.6% 0.96× 1.41
Under 135.5 points 68.7% 65.9% 62.4% 1.06× 1.52
Over 121.5 points 67.5% 65.9% 67.7% 0.97× 1.52
Under 133.5 points 63.8% 61.5% 58.0% 1.06× 1.63
Over 123.5 points 62.5% 61.5% 63.3% 0.97× 1.63
Under 131.5 points 58.7% 56.5% 53.9% 1.05× 1.77
Over 125.5 points 57.3% 56.5% 59.5% 0.95× 1.77
Under 129.5 points 53.4% 52.3% 49.5% 1.06× 1.91
Over 127.5 points 51.9% 52.3% 55.1% 0.95× 1.91
Under 128.5 points 50.7% 52.3% 47.2% 1.11× 1.91
Over 128.5 points 49.3% 47.7% 52.8% 0.90× 2.10
Under 127.5 points 48.1% 47.7% 44.9% 1.06× 2.10
Over 129.5 points 46.6% 47.7% 50.5% 0.94× 2.10
Under 125.5 points 42.7% 43.5% 40.5% 1.07× 2.30
Over 131.5 points 41.3% 43.5% 46.1% 0.94× 2.30
Under 123.5 points 37.5% 38.5% 36.7% 1.05× 2.60
Over 133.5 points 36.2% 38.5% 42.0% 0.92× 2.60
Under 121.5 points 32.5% 34.1% 32.3% 1.06× 2.93
Over 135.5 points 31.3% 34.1% 37.6% 0.91× 2.93
Under 118.5 points 25.5% 29.2% 26.4% 1.10× 3.43
Over 138.5 points 24.7% 24.4% 32.1% 0.76× 4.10
Under 113.5 points 15.8% 19.4% 18.1% 1.07× 5.15
Over 143.5 points 15.4% 19.4% 23.3% 0.83× 5.15
Under 108.5 points 8.7% 11.2% 11.1% 1.01× 8.96
Over 148.5 points 8.8% 11.2% 16.3% 0.68× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
George Washington Revolutionaries to win both halves 37.1% 36.3% 36.0% 1.01× 2.76
UAB Blazers to win both halves 8.4% 8.8% 20.4% 0.43× 11.31
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
George Washington Revolutionaries by 6-10 18.2% 16.8% 12.9% 1.30× 5.97
George Washington Revolutionaries by 1-5 17.3% 16.8% 10.2% 1.64× 5.97
George Washington Revolutionaries by 11-15 15.8% 16.8% 10.8% 1.55× 5.97
UAB Blazers by 1-5 12.5% 12.3% 10.2% 1.21× 8.11
George Washington Revolutionaries by 16-20 11.2% 12.3% 8.0% 1.53× 8.11
UAB Blazers by 6-10 7.7% 7.5% 10.3% 0.72× 13.40
George Washington Revolutionaries by 21-25 6.5% 7.5% 5.4% 1.39× 13.40
UAB Blazers by 11-15 3.9% 2.0% 7.6% 0.27× 49.29
George Washington Revolutionaries by 26+ 4.6% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.29
UAB Blazers by 16-20 1.6% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.31
UAB Blazers by 21-25 0.5% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.32
UAB Blazers by 26+ 0.2% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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