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Georgetown Hoyas v Rutgers Scarlet Knights — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 28 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Georgetown Hoyas win
80.8%
Draw
0.0%
Rutgers Scarlet Knights win
19.2%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 65.02–55.29 65-55 0% 52% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Georgetown Hoyas to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.35
Georgetown Hoyas to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Georgetown Hoyas to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Georgetown Hoyas to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Rutgers Scarlet Knights to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.71× 283.36
Rutgers Scarlet Knights to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Rutgers Scarlet Knights to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Rutgers Scarlet Knights to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Georgetown Hoyas to win H1 67.8% 68.3% 56.4% 1.21× 1.47
Rutgers Scarlet Knights to win H1 28.3% 26.5% 39.9% 0.67× 3.77
H1 tied 4.0% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 70.5 89.5% 87.7% 78.9% 1.11× 1.14
H1 over 46.5 87.9% 87.7% 92.3% 0.95× 1.14
H1 under 66.5 80.4% 82.5% 67.1% 1.23× 1.21
H1 over 50.5 77.6% 77.4% 84.5% 0.92× 1.29
H1 under 63.5 71.1% 73.5% 57.1% 1.29× 1.36
H1 over 53.5 67.5% 67.4% 76.8% 0.88× 1.48
H1 under 61.5 63.9% 62.7% 49.8% 1.26× 1.59
H1 over 55.5 59.8% 58.2% 71.0% 0.82× 1.72
H1 under 59.5 56.1% 58.2% 42.2% 1.38× 1.72
H1 over 57.5 51.9% 52.6% 64.8% 0.81× 1.90
H1 under 58.5 52.2% 52.6% 38.6% 1.36× 1.90
H1 under 57.5 48.1% 47.4% 35.2% 1.35× 2.11
H1 over 58.5 47.8% 47.4% 61.4% 0.77× 2.11
H1 over 59.5 43.9% 41.8% 57.8% 0.72× 2.39
H1 under 55.5 40.2% 41.8% 29.0% 1.44× 2.39
H1 over 61.5 36.1% 37.3% 50.2% 0.74× 2.68
H1 under 53.5 32.5% 32.6% 23.2% 1.41× 3.07
H1 over 63.5 28.9% 26.5% 42.9% 0.62× 3.77
H1 under 50.5 22.4% 22.6% 15.5% 1.46× 4.43
H1 over 66.5 19.6% 17.5% 32.9% 0.53× 5.72
H1 under 46.5 12.1% 12.3% 7.7% 1.60× 8.14
H1 over 70.5 10.5% 12.3% 21.1% 0.58× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Georgetown Hoyas to win H2 68.9% 62.8% 56.0% 1.12× 1.59
Rutgers Scarlet Knights to win H2 27.3% 31.3% 40.6% 0.77× 3.20
H2 tied 3.8% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.36
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 51.5 87.9% 85.2% 92.7% 0.92× 1.17
H2 under 75.5 87.5% 85.2% 73.0% 1.17× 1.17
H2 over 55.5 78.1% 75.8% 86.1% 0.88× 1.32
H2 under 71.5 77.9% 75.8% 61.1% 1.24× 1.32
H2 over 58.5 68.5% 66.4% 79.6% 0.83× 1.51
H2 under 68.5 68.5% 66.4% 51.3% 1.29× 1.51
H2 over 60.5 61.3% 61.6% 74.5% 0.83× 1.62
H2 under 66.5 61.5% 61.6% 44.6% 1.38× 1.62
H2 over 62.5 53.7% 52.4% 68.3% 0.77× 1.91
H2 under 64.5 54.0% 52.4% 37.9% 1.38× 1.91
H2 under 63.5 50.1% 52.4% 34.7% 1.51× 1.91
H2 over 63.5 49.9% 47.6% 65.3% 0.73× 2.10
H2 under 62.5 46.3% 47.6% 31.7% 1.50× 2.10
H2 over 64.5 46.0% 47.6% 62.1% 0.77× 2.10
H2 under 60.5 38.7% 38.4% 25.5% 1.50× 2.61
H2 over 66.5 38.5% 38.4% 55.4% 0.69× 2.61
H2 under 58.5 31.5% 33.6% 20.4% 1.65× 2.97
H2 over 68.5 31.5% 33.6% 48.7% 0.69× 2.97
H2 under 55.5 21.9% 24.2% 13.9% 1.74× 4.13
H2 over 71.5 22.1% 24.2% 38.9% 0.62× 4.13
H2 under 51.5 12.1% 14.8% 7.3% 2.02× 6.76
H2 over 75.5 12.5% 14.8% 27.0% 0.55× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Georgetown Hoyas leading at half time 67.8% 68.4% 56.4% 1.21× 1.46
Rutgers Scarlet Knights leading at half time 28.3% 26.5% 39.9% 0.66× 3.77
Level at half time 4.0% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Georgetown Hoyas +18.5 99.4% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
Georgetown Hoyas +20.5 99.7% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
Georgetown Hoyas +9.5 95.5% 97.4% 78.7% 1.24× 1.03
Georgetown Hoyas +10.5 96.3% 97.4% 80.4% 1.21× 1.03
Georgetown Hoyas +12.5 97.6% 97.4% 83.8% 1.16× 1.03
Georgetown Hoyas +14.5 98.5% 97.4% 86.7% 1.12× 1.03
Georgetown Hoyas +16.5 99.0% 97.4% 89.1% 1.09× 1.03
Georgetown Hoyas +8.5 94.6% 91.1% 76.5% 1.19× 1.10
Georgetown Hoyas +6.5 92.2% 91.1% 72.3% 1.26× 1.10
Georgetown Hoyas +7.5 93.5% 91.1% 74.5% 1.22× 1.10
Georgetown Hoyas +5.5 90.8% 91.1% 70.1% 1.30× 1.10
Georgetown Hoyas +4.5 89.2% 85.9% 67.8% 1.27× 1.16
Georgetown Hoyas +3.5 87.4% 85.9% 65.7% 1.31× 1.16
Georgetown Hoyas +2.5 85.4% 85.9% 63.3% 1.36× 1.16
Rutgers Scarlet Knights +20.5 84.8% 81.1% 82.0% 0.99× 1.23
Georgetown Hoyas +1.5 83.2% 81.1% 61.2% 1.32× 1.23
Rutgers Scarlet Knights +18.5 79.9% 76.5% 79.3% 0.96× 1.31
Georgetown Hoyas −1.5 78.0% 76.5% 58.7% 1.30× 1.31
Georgetown Hoyas −2.5 75.0% 71.6% 56.7% 1.26× 1.40
Rutgers Scarlet Knights +16.5 74.2% 71.6% 75.7% 0.95× 1.40
Georgetown Hoyas −3.5 71.8% 71.6% 54.2% 1.32× 1.40
Georgetown Hoyas −4.5 68.5% 66.7% 52.2% 1.28× 1.50
Rutgers Scarlet Knights +14.5 67.8% 66.7% 72.1% 0.93× 1.50
Georgetown Hoyas −5.5 65.0% 66.7% 49.7% 1.34× 1.50
Georgetown Hoyas −6.5 61.4% 61.9% 47.6% 1.30× 1.62
Rutgers Scarlet Knights +12.5 60.8% 61.9% 67.9% 0.91× 1.62
Georgetown Hoyas −7.5 57.8% 57.1% 44.8% 1.28× 1.75
Georgetown Hoyas −8.5 54.0% 52.4% 42.0% 1.25× 1.91
Rutgers Scarlet Knights +10.5 53.5% 52.4% 63.2% 0.83× 1.91
Georgetown Hoyas −9.5 50.3% 52.4% 39.3% 1.33× 1.91
Rutgers Scarlet Knights +9.5 49.7% 47.6% 60.7% 0.78× 2.10
Rutgers Scarlet Knights +8.5 46.0% 47.6% 58.0% 0.82× 2.10
Georgetown Hoyas −10.5 46.5% 47.6% 36.8% 1.29× 2.10
Rutgers Scarlet Knights +7.5 42.2% 42.9% 55.2% 0.78× 2.33
Georgetown Hoyas −12.5 39.2% 38.1% 32.1% 1.19× 2.63
Rutgers Scarlet Knights +6.5 38.6% 38.1% 52.4% 0.73× 2.63
Rutgers Scarlet Knights +5.5 35.0% 33.3% 50.3% 0.66× 3.01
Rutgers Scarlet Knights +4.5 31.5% 33.3% 47.8% 0.70× 3.01
Georgetown Hoyas −14.5 32.2% 33.3% 27.9% 1.19× 3.01
Rutgers Scarlet Knights +3.5 28.2% 28.4% 45.8% 0.62× 3.53
Georgetown Hoyas −16.5 25.8% 28.4% 24.3% 1.17× 3.53
Rutgers Scarlet Knights +2.5 25.0% 28.4% 43.3% 0.66× 3.53
Rutgers Scarlet Knights +1.5 22.0% 23.5% 41.3% 0.57× 4.25
Georgetown Hoyas −18.5 20.1% 23.5% 20.7% 1.14× 4.25
Rutgers Scarlet Knights −1.5 16.8% 18.9% 38.8% 0.49× 5.29
Georgetown Hoyas −20.5 15.2% 18.9% 18.0% 1.05× 5.30
Rutgers Scarlet Knights −2.5 14.6% 14.1% 36.7% 0.39× 7.09
Rutgers Scarlet Knights −3.5 12.6% 14.1% 34.3% 0.41× 7.09
Rutgers Scarlet Knights −4.5 10.8% 14.1% 32.2% 0.44× 7.09
Rutgers Scarlet Knights −5.5 9.2% 8.9% 29.9% 0.30× 11.25
Rutgers Scarlet Knights −6.5 7.8% 8.9% 27.7% 0.32× 11.25
Rutgers Scarlet Knights −7.5 6.5% 8.9% 25.5% 0.35× 11.25
Rutgers Scarlet Knights −8.5 5.4% 8.9% 23.5% 0.38× 11.25
Rutgers Scarlet Knights −9.5 4.5% 2.6% 21.3% 0.12× 38.72
Rutgers Scarlet Knights −10.5 3.7% 2.6% 19.6% 0.13× 38.73
Rutgers Scarlet Knights −12.5 2.4% 2.6% 16.2% 0.16× 38.73
Rutgers Scarlet Knights −14.5 1.5% 2.6% 13.3% 0.19× 38.73
Rutgers Scarlet Knights −16.5 1.0% 2.6% 10.9% 0.24× 38.74
Rutgers Scarlet Knights −18.5 0.6% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.74
Rutgers Scarlet Knights −20.5 0.3% 2.6% 7.3% 0.35× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 70.6% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 29.4% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 33.8% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.1% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.8% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 16.3% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Georgetown Hoyas at HT / Georgetown Hoyas at FT 61.7% 62.3% 48.3% 1.29× 1.61
Rutgers Scarlet Knights at HT / Georgetown Hoyas at FT 16.0% 15.4% 9.8% 1.58× 6.47
Rutgers Scarlet Knights at HT / Rutgers Scarlet Knights at FT 12.2% 12.2% 30.1% 0.41× 8.18
Georgetown Hoyas at HT / Rutgers Scarlet Knights at FT 6.0% 8.3% 8.2% 1.01× 12.09
Level at HT / Georgetown Hoyas at FT 3.0% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.74
Level at HT / Rutgers Scarlet Knights at FT 1.0% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.78
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Georgetown Hoyas to win 80.8% 80.9% 59.9% 1.35× 1.24
Rutgers Scarlet Knights to win 19.2% 19.1% 40.1% 0.48× 5.23
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Georgetown Hoyas even 50.0% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Rutgers Scarlet Knights even 50.3% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Total points odd 51.3% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Georgetown Hoyas odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Rutgers Scarlet Knights odd 49.7% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 48.7% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 95.1% 97.0% 95.6% 1.02× 1.03
Match to go to overtime 4.9% 3.0% 4.4% 0.68× 33.32
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Georgetown Hoyas to win Q1 60.7% 64.8% 54.7% 1.18× 1.54
Rutgers Scarlet Knights to win Q1 33.5% 30.4% 40.4% 0.75× 3.29
Q1 tied 5.8% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.32
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 37.5 89.3% 87.4% 81.6% 1.07× 1.14
Q1 over 21.5 87.5% 87.4% 91.5% 0.96× 1.14
Q1 under 34.5 78.8% 76.9% 68.5% 1.12× 1.30
Q1 over 24.5 75.8% 76.9% 81.8% 0.94× 1.30
Q1 under 32.5 69.1% 67.6% 59.1% 1.14× 1.48
Q1 over 26.5 65.5% 67.6% 72.9% 0.93× 1.48
Q1 under 30.5 58.0% 58.6% 48.8% 1.20× 1.71
Q1 over 28.5 53.9% 52.7% 62.7% 0.84× 1.90
Q1 under 29.5 52.1% 52.7% 43.1% 1.22× 1.90
Q1 over 29.5 47.9% 47.3% 56.9% 0.83× 2.11
Q1 under 28.5 46.1% 47.3% 37.3% 1.27× 2.11
Q1 over 30.5 42.0% 41.4% 51.2% 0.81× 2.42
Q1 under 26.5 34.5% 32.4% 27.1% 1.20× 3.08
Q1 over 32.5 30.9% 32.4% 40.9% 0.79× 3.08
Q1 under 24.5 24.2% 23.1% 18.2% 1.27× 4.33
Q1 over 34.5 21.2% 23.1% 31.5% 0.73× 4.33
Q1 under 21.5 12.5% 12.6% 8.5% 1.49× 7.95
Q1 over 37.5 10.7% 12.6% 18.4% 0.68× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Georgetown Hoyas to win Q2 60.4% 61.9% 52.9% 1.17× 1.62
Rutgers Scarlet Knights to win Q2 33.9% 31.8% 41.5% 0.77× 3.14
Q2 tied 5.7% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.50
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 37.5 90.1% 90.8% 82.3% 1.10× 1.10
Q2 over 21.5 86.6% 87.3% 90.2% 0.97× 1.15
Q2 under 34.5 80.0% 83.0% 70.1% 1.18× 1.21
Q2 over 24.5 74.3% 72.0% 80.7% 0.89× 1.39
Q2 under 32.5 70.7% 72.0% 60.8% 1.18× 1.39
Q2 over 26.5 63.8% 60.7% 71.6% 0.85× 1.65
Q2 under 30.5 59.7% 58.2% 50.1% 1.16× 1.72
Q2 under 29.5 53.9% 52.7% 44.2% 1.19× 1.90
Q2 over 28.5 52.1% 52.7% 61.2% 0.86× 1.90
Q2 under 28.5 47.9% 47.3% 38.8% 1.22× 2.11
Q2 over 29.5 46.1% 47.3% 55.8% 0.85× 2.11
Q2 over 30.5 40.3% 41.8% 49.9% 0.84× 2.39
Q2 under 26.5 36.2% 39.3% 28.4% 1.38× 2.55
Q2 over 32.5 29.3% 28.0% 39.2% 0.71× 3.57
Q2 under 24.5 25.7% 28.0% 19.3% 1.45× 3.57
Q2 over 34.5 20.0% 17.0% 29.9% 0.57× 5.88
Q2 under 21.5 13.4% 12.7% 9.8% 1.30× 7.89
Q2 over 37.5 9.9% 9.2% 17.7% 0.52× 10.82
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Georgetown Hoyas to win Q3 61.6% 60.8% 53.3% 1.14× 1.64
Rutgers Scarlet Knights to win Q3 32.8% 33.8% 41.8% 0.81× 2.96
Q3 tied 5.6% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.97
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 40.5 89.9% 87.2% 81.9% 1.07× 1.15
Q3 over 24.5 85.6% 87.2% 89.9% 0.97× 1.15
Q3 under 37.5 79.9% 77.3% 69.7% 1.11× 1.29
Q3 over 27.5 73.2% 71.8% 80.0% 0.90× 1.39
Q3 under 35.5 70.9% 71.8% 59.7% 1.20× 1.39
Q3 over 29.5 62.8% 61.9% 71.8% 0.86× 1.61
Q3 under 33.5 60.2% 61.9% 49.1% 1.26× 1.62
Q3 under 32.5 54.5% 52.3% 43.9% 1.19× 1.91
Q3 over 31.5 51.3% 52.3% 61.6% 0.85× 1.91
Q3 under 31.5 48.7% 47.7% 38.4% 1.24× 2.10
Q3 over 32.5 45.5% 47.7% 56.1% 0.85× 2.10
Q3 over 33.5 39.8% 38.1% 50.9% 0.75× 2.63
Q3 under 29.5 37.2% 38.1% 28.2% 1.35× 2.63
Q3 over 35.5 29.1% 28.2% 40.3% 0.70× 3.55
Q3 under 27.5 26.8% 28.2% 20.0% 1.41× 3.55
Q3 over 37.5 20.1% 22.7% 30.3% 0.75× 4.40
Q3 under 24.5 14.4% 12.8% 10.1% 1.27× 7.83
Q3 over 40.5 10.1% 12.8% 18.1% 0.70× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Georgetown Hoyas to win Q4 61.4% 57.8% 52.8% 1.09× 1.73
Rutgers Scarlet Knights to win Q4 33.1% 37.4% 41.5% 0.90× 2.68
Q4 tied 5.5% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.26
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 40.5 88.4% 85.6% 80.6% 1.06× 1.17
Q4 over 24.5 84.3% 82.0% 89.0% 0.92× 1.22
Q4 under 37.5 78.3% 76.9% 68.8% 1.12× 1.30
Q4 over 27.5 72.3% 71.5% 78.9% 0.91× 1.40
Q4 under 35.5 69.5% 67.4% 59.4% 1.14× 1.48
Q4 over 29.5 62.4% 61.4% 70.8% 0.87× 1.63
Q4 under 33.5 59.3% 58.4% 49.6% 1.18× 1.71
Q4 under 32.5 53.9% 52.5% 44.6% 1.18× 1.91
Q4 over 31.5 51.6% 52.5% 61.1% 0.86× 1.91
Q4 under 31.5 48.4% 47.5% 38.9% 1.22× 2.11
Q4 over 32.5 46.1% 47.5% 55.4% 0.86× 2.11
Q4 over 33.5 40.7% 41.6% 50.4% 0.83× 2.40
Q4 under 29.5 37.6% 38.6% 29.2% 1.32× 2.59
Q4 over 35.5 30.5% 32.6% 40.6% 0.80× 3.07
Q4 under 27.5 27.7% 28.5% 21.1% 1.35× 3.51
Q4 over 37.5 21.7% 23.1% 31.2% 0.74× 4.33
Q4 under 24.5 15.7% 18.0% 11.0% 1.64× 5.56
Q4 over 40.5 11.6% 14.4% 19.4% 0.74× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rutgers Scarlet Knights under 66.5 88.3% 83.9% 62.7% 1.34× 1.19
Rutgers Scarlet Knights over 46.5 86.5% 83.9% 89.7% 0.94× 1.19
Georgetown Hoyas over 55.5 85.5% 83.9% 81.6% 1.03× 1.19
Georgetown Hoyas under 75.5 85.6% 83.9% 73.2% 1.15× 1.19
Rutgers Scarlet Knights under 63.5 80.6% 80.7% 53.9% 1.50× 1.24
Georgetown Hoyas over 58.5 77.0% 75.1% 74.7% 1.01× 1.33
Georgetown Hoyas under 72.5 77.2% 75.1% 65.7% 1.14× 1.33
Rutgers Scarlet Knights over 49.5 76.4% 75.1% 85.1% 0.88× 1.33
Rutgers Scarlet Knights under 61.5 74.0% 70.7% 47.9% 1.48× 1.41
Georgetown Hoyas over 60.5 70.1% 70.7% 69.5% 1.02× 1.41
Georgetown Hoyas under 70.5 70.3% 70.7% 60.3% 1.17× 1.41
Rutgers Scarlet Knights over 51.5 68.5% 66.4% 81.0% 0.82× 1.51
Rutgers Scarlet Knights under 59.5 66.4% 66.4% 41.2% 1.61× 1.51
Georgetown Hoyas over 62.5 62.4% 61.2% 64.3% 0.95× 1.63
Georgetown Hoyas under 68.5 62.6% 61.2% 54.4% 1.12× 1.63
Rutgers Scarlet Knights over 53.5 59.9% 57.1% 76.3% 0.75× 1.75
Rutgers Scarlet Knights under 57.5 58.0% 57.1% 34.9% 1.64× 1.75
Georgetown Hoyas over 64.5 54.1% 52.3% 58.4% 0.89× 1.91
Georgetown Hoyas under 66.5 54.3% 52.3% 48.2% 1.09× 1.91
Rutgers Scarlet Knights under 56.5 53.6% 52.3% 32.0% 1.63× 1.91
Georgetown Hoyas under 65.5 50.1% 52.3% 44.7% 1.17× 1.91
Rutgers Scarlet Knights over 55.5 50.9% 52.3% 70.8% 0.74× 1.91
Georgetown Hoyas over 65.5 49.9% 47.7% 55.3% 0.86× 2.09
Rutgers Scarlet Knights under 55.5 49.1% 47.7% 29.2% 1.63× 2.09
Georgetown Hoyas under 64.5 45.9% 47.7% 41.6% 1.15× 2.09
Georgetown Hoyas over 66.5 45.7% 47.7% 51.8% 0.92× 2.09
Rutgers Scarlet Knights over 56.5 46.4% 47.7% 68.0% 0.70× 2.09
Rutgers Scarlet Knights over 57.5 42.0% 42.9% 65.1% 0.66× 2.33
Rutgers Scarlet Knights under 53.5 40.1% 42.9% 23.7% 1.81× 2.33
Georgetown Hoyas under 62.5 37.6% 38.8% 35.7% 1.09× 2.58
Georgetown Hoyas over 68.5 37.4% 38.8% 45.6% 0.85× 2.58
Rutgers Scarlet Knights over 59.5 33.6% 33.6% 58.8% 0.57× 2.98
Rutgers Scarlet Knights under 51.5 31.5% 33.6% 19.0% 1.77× 2.98
Georgetown Hoyas under 60.5 29.9% 29.3% 30.5% 0.96× 3.42
Georgetown Hoyas over 70.5 29.7% 29.3% 39.7% 0.74× 3.42
Rutgers Scarlet Knights over 61.5 26.0% 29.3% 52.1% 0.56× 3.42
Georgetown Hoyas under 58.5 23.0% 24.9% 25.3% 0.98× 4.02
Georgetown Hoyas over 72.5 22.8% 24.9% 34.3% 0.72× 4.02
Rutgers Scarlet Knights under 49.5 23.6% 24.9% 14.9% 1.67× 4.02
Rutgers Scarlet Knights over 63.5 19.4% 19.3% 46.1% 0.42× 5.18
Georgetown Hoyas under 55.5 14.5% 16.1% 18.5% 0.87× 6.21
Georgetown Hoyas over 75.5 14.4% 16.1% 26.8% 0.60× 6.21
Rutgers Scarlet Knights under 46.5 13.5% 16.1% 10.3% 1.56× 6.21
Rutgers Scarlet Knights over 66.5 11.7% 16.1% 37.3% 0.43× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 101.5 points 92.7% 88.8% 94.8% 0.94× 1.13
Under 141.5 points 91.6% 88.8% 73.4% 1.21× 1.13
Over 106.5 points 85.6% 85.0% 91.0% 0.93× 1.18
Under 136.5 points 85.1% 85.0% 64.2% 1.32× 1.18
Over 111.5 points 75.5% 75.6% 85.1% 0.89× 1.32
Under 131.5 points 75.9% 75.6% 53.9% 1.40× 1.32
Under 128.5 points 69.1% 65.9% 47.2% 1.40× 1.52
Over 114.5 points 68.2% 65.9% 80.4% 0.82× 1.52
Under 126.5 points 64.1% 61.5% 42.6% 1.44× 1.63
Over 116.5 points 63.0% 61.5% 77.2% 0.80× 1.63
Under 124.5 points 58.9% 56.5% 38.5% 1.47× 1.77
Over 118.5 points 57.6% 56.5% 73.6% 0.77× 1.77
Under 122.5 points 53.5% 52.3% 34.4% 1.52× 1.91
Over 120.5 points 52.1% 52.3% 69.8% 0.75× 1.91
Under 121.5 points 50.8% 52.3% 32.3% 1.62× 1.91
Over 121.5 points 49.2% 47.7% 67.7% 0.70× 2.10
Under 120.5 points 47.9% 47.7% 30.2% 1.58× 2.10
Over 122.5 points 46.5% 47.7% 65.6% 0.73× 2.10
Under 118.5 points 42.4% 43.5% 26.4% 1.64× 2.30
Over 124.5 points 41.1% 43.5% 61.5% 0.71× 2.30
Under 116.5 points 37.0% 38.5% 22.8% 1.69× 2.60
Over 126.5 points 35.9% 38.5% 57.4% 0.67× 2.60
Under 114.5 points 31.8% 34.1% 19.6% 1.74× 2.93
Over 128.5 points 30.9% 34.1% 52.8% 0.65× 2.93
Under 111.5 points 24.5% 24.4% 14.9% 1.63× 4.10
Over 131.5 points 24.1% 24.4% 46.1% 0.53× 4.10
Over 136.5 points 14.9% 15.0% 35.8% 0.42× 6.68
Under 106.5 points 14.4% 15.0% 9.0% 1.67× 6.68
Over 141.5 points 8.4% 11.2% 26.6% 0.42× 8.96
Under 101.5 points 7.3% 11.2% 5.2% 2.15× 8.97
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Georgetown Hoyas to win both halves 44.0% 40.7% 36.0% 1.13× 2.46
Rutgers Scarlet Knights to win both halves 5.5% 8.8% 20.4% 0.43× 11.33
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Georgetown Hoyas by 6-10 18.5% 16.8% 12.9% 1.30× 5.97
Georgetown Hoyas by 11-15 17.6% 16.8% 10.8% 1.55× 5.97
Georgetown Hoyas by 1-5 15.8% 16.8% 10.2% 1.64× 5.97
Georgetown Hoyas by 16-20 13.7% 12.3% 8.0% 1.53× 8.11
Rutgers Scarlet Knights by 1-5 10.0% 12.3% 10.2% 1.21× 8.11
Georgetown Hoyas by 21-25 8.6% 7.5% 5.4% 1.39× 13.40
Georgetown Hoyas by 26+ 6.7% 7.5% 12.6% 0.59× 13.40
Rutgers Scarlet Knights by 6-10 5.5% 7.5% 10.3% 0.72× 13.40
Rutgers Scarlet Knights by 11-15 2.5% 2.0% 7.6% 0.27× 49.31
Rutgers Scarlet Knights by 16-20 0.9% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.32
Rutgers Scarlet Knights by 21-25 0.3% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.33
Rutgers Scarlet Knights by 26+ 0.1% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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