Golden State Warriors v New Orleans Pelicans — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Tuesday 10 November 2026 · NBA · 2027
NBA results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Golden State Warriors win
61.4%
Draw
0.0%
New Orleans Pelicans win
38.6%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 119.70–115.60 | 120-116 0% | 50% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State Warriors to score 100+ | 95.7% | 94.9% | 89.3% | 1.06× | 1.05 |
| New Orleans Pelicans to score 100+ | 91.5% | 90.3% | 85.9% | 1.05× | 1.11 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 87.9% | 85.0% | 77.5% | 1.10× | 1.18 |
| Golden State Warriors to score 110+ | 80.7% | 79.2% | 67.0% | 1.18× | 1.26 |
| New Orleans Pelicans to score 110+ | 69.7% | 63.9% | 60.9% | 1.05× | 1.57 |
| Golden State Warriors to score 120+ | 50.9% | 52.3% | 36.5% | 1.43× | 1.91 |
| New Orleans Pelicans to score 120+ | 36.7% | 36.0% | 29.7% | 1.21× | 2.78 |
| Golden State Warriors to score 130+ | 20.5% | 21.9% | 12.8% | 1.71× | 4.56 |
| New Orleans Pelicans to score 130+ | 11.7% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 1.38× | 7.24 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State Warriors to win H1 | 55.7% | 57.3% | 52.8% | 1.08× | 1.75 |
| New Orleans Pelicans to win H1 | 40.8% | 42.7% | 44.1% | 0.97× | 2.34 |
| H1 tied | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.25× | 25.86 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 131.5 | 83.6% | 82.5% | 91.0% | 0.91× | 1.21 |
| H1 over 107.5 | 80.7% | 82.5% | 70.4% | 1.17× | 1.21 |
| H1 under 127.5 | 74.9% | 73.5% | 84.8% | 0.87× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 111.5 | 71.2% | 73.5% | 59.0% | 1.25× | 1.36 |
| H1 under 124.5 | 67.1% | 67.4% | 78.4% | 0.86× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 114.5 | 62.8% | 62.7% | 49.6% | 1.26× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 122.5 | 61.3% | 62.7% | 74.0% | 0.85× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 116.5 | 56.9% | 58.2% | 43.4% | 1.34× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 120.5 | 55.3% | 58.2% | 68.4% | 0.85× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 119.5 | 52.3% | 52.6% | 65.9% | 0.80× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 118.5 | 50.8% | 52.6% | 37.1% | 1.42× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 118.5 | 49.2% | 47.4% | 62.9% | 0.75× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 119.5 | 47.7% | 47.4% | 34.1% | 1.39× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 120.5 | 44.7% | 41.8% | 31.6% | 1.32× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 116.5 | 43.1% | 41.8% | 56.6% | 0.74× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 122.5 | 38.7% | 37.3% | 26.0% | 1.43× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 114.5 | 37.2% | 37.3% | 50.4% | 0.74× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 124.5 | 32.9% | 32.6% | 21.7% | 1.51× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 111.5 | 28.8% | 26.5% | 41.0% | 0.65× | 3.77 |
| H1 over 127.5 | 25.1% | 26.5% | 15.2% | 1.75× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 107.5 | 19.3% | 17.5% | 29.6% | 0.59× | 5.72 |
| H1 over 131.5 | 16.4% | 17.5% | 9.0% | 1.93× | 5.73 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State Warriors to win H2 | 55.6% | 55.0% | 51.6% | 1.07× | 1.82 |
| New Orleans Pelicans to win H2 | 40.9% | 43.5% | 44.7% | 0.97× | 2.30 |
| H2 tied | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.06× | 25.36 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 over 104.5 | 82.5% | 81.8% | 73.9% | 1.11× | 1.22 |
| H2 under 128.5 | 82.3% | 81.8% | 86.3% | 0.95× | 1.22 |
| H2 over 108.5 | 73.4% | 72.2% | 63.8% | 1.13× | 1.39 |
| H2 under 124.5 | 73.2% | 72.2% | 79.1% | 0.91× | 1.39 |
| H2 over 111.5 | 65.2% | 66.4% | 55.3% | 1.20× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 121.5 | 65.0% | 61.6% | 72.0% | 0.86× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 113.5 | 59.3% | 57.3% | 49.9% | 1.15× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 119.5 | 59.1% | 57.3% | 66.4% | 0.86× | 1.74 |
| H2 over 115.5 | 53.2% | 52.4% | 44.6% | 1.17× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 117.5 | 53.0% | 52.4% | 61.1% | 0.86× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 116.5 | 50.1% | 52.4% | 41.9% | 1.25× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 116.5 | 49.9% | 47.6% | 58.1% | 0.82× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 115.5 | 46.8% | 47.6% | 55.4% | 0.86× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 117.5 | 47.0% | 47.6% | 38.9% | 1.22× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 113.5 | 40.7% | 42.7% | 50.1% | 0.85× | 2.35 |
| H2 over 119.5 | 40.9% | 42.7% | 33.6% | 1.27× | 2.35 |
| H2 over 121.5 | 35.0% | 38.4% | 28.0% | 1.37× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 111.5 | 34.8% | 33.6% | 44.7% | 0.75× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 108.5 | 26.6% | 27.8% | 36.2% | 0.77× | 3.59 |
| H2 over 124.5 | 26.8% | 27.8% | 20.9% | 1.33× | 3.59 |
| H2 under 104.5 | 17.5% | 18.2% | 26.1% | 0.70× | 5.50 |
| H2 over 128.5 | 17.7% | 18.2% | 13.7% | 1.32× | 5.50 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State Warriors leading at half time | 55.7% | 56.9% | 52.8% | 1.08× | 1.76 |
| New Orleans Pelicans leading at half time | 40.8% | 42.8% | 44.1% | 0.97× | 2.34 |
| Level at half time | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.22× | 26.41 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State Warriors +20.5 | 95.4% | 97.4% | 93.1% | 1.05× | 1.03 |
| Golden State Warriors +18.5 | 93.9% | 91.1% | 91.5% | 1.00× | 1.10 |
| Golden State Warriors +16.5 | 92.0% | 91.1% | 89.7% | 1.02× | 1.10 |
| Golden State Warriors +14.5 | 89.8% | 85.9% | 87.0% | 0.99× | 1.16 |
| Golden State Warriors +12.5 | 87.1% | 85.9% | 83.9% | 1.02× | 1.16 |
| New Orleans Pelicans +20.5 | 86.7% | 85.9% | 89.1% | 0.96× | 1.16 |
| Golden State Warriors +10.5 | 83.9% | 81.1% | 80.3% | 1.01× | 1.23 |
| New Orleans Pelicans +18.5 | 83.5% | 81.1% | 86.4% | 0.94× | 1.23 |
| Golden State Warriors +9.5 | 82.1% | 81.1% | 78.1% | 1.04× | 1.23 |
| Golden State Warriors +8.5 | 80.2% | 81.1% | 75.7% | 1.07× | 1.23 |
| New Orleans Pelicans +16.5 | 79.8% | 76.5% | 83.5% | 0.92× | 1.31 |
| Golden State Warriors +7.5 | 78.2% | 76.5% | 73.0% | 1.05× | 1.31 |
| Golden State Warriors +6.5 | 76.1% | 76.5% | 70.6% | 1.08× | 1.31 |
| New Orleans Pelicans +14.5 | 75.7% | 76.5% | 80.1% | 0.95× | 1.31 |
| Golden State Warriors +5.5 | 73.9% | 71.6% | 68.0% | 1.05× | 1.40 |
| Golden State Warriors +4.5 | 71.6% | 71.6% | 65.7% | 1.09× | 1.40 |
| New Orleans Pelicans +12.5 | 71.1% | 71.6% | 76.0% | 0.94× | 1.40 |
| Golden State Warriors +3.5 | 69.2% | 66.7% | 63.1% | 1.06× | 1.50 |
| Golden State Warriors +2.5 | 66.7% | 66.7% | 60.5% | 1.10× | 1.50 |
| New Orleans Pelicans +10.5 | 66.1% | 66.7% | 71.0% | 0.94× | 1.50 |
| Golden State Warriors +1.5 | 64.1% | 61.9% | 57.9% | 1.07× | 1.62 |
| New Orleans Pelicans +9.5 | 63.5% | 61.9% | 68.7% | 0.90× | 1.62 |
| New Orleans Pelicans +8.5 | 60.9% | 61.9% | 65.9% | 0.94× | 1.62 |
| Golden State Warriors −1.5 | 58.7% | 57.1% | 53.7% | 1.06× | 1.75 |
| New Orleans Pelicans +7.5 | 58.2% | 57.1% | 63.0% | 0.91× | 1.75 |
| Golden State Warriors −2.5 | 55.9% | 57.1% | 50.9% | 1.12× | 1.75 |
| New Orleans Pelicans +6.5 | 55.4% | 57.1% | 60.0% | 0.95× | 1.75 |
| Golden State Warriors −3.5 | 53.1% | 52.4% | 48.4% | 1.08× | 1.91 |
| New Orleans Pelicans +5.5 | 52.6% | 52.4% | 57.1% | 0.92× | 1.91 |
| Golden State Warriors −4.5 | 50.2% | 52.4% | 46.0% | 1.14× | 1.91 |
| New Orleans Pelicans +4.5 | 49.8% | 47.6% | 54.1% | 0.88× | 2.10 |
| Golden State Warriors −5.5 | 47.4% | 47.6% | 42.9% | 1.11× | 2.10 |
| New Orleans Pelicans +3.5 | 46.9% | 47.6% | 51.6% | 0.92× | 2.10 |
| New Orleans Pelicans +2.5 | 44.1% | 42.9% | 49.1% | 0.88× | 2.33 |
| Golden State Warriors −6.5 | 44.6% | 42.9% | 40.0% | 1.07× | 2.33 |
| New Orleans Pelicans +1.5 | 41.3% | 42.9% | 46.3% | 0.93× | 2.33 |
| Golden State Warriors −7.5 | 41.8% | 42.9% | 37.0% | 1.16× | 2.33 |
| Golden State Warriors −8.5 | 39.1% | 38.1% | 34.1% | 1.12× | 2.63 |
| Golden State Warriors −9.5 | 36.5% | 38.1% | 31.3% | 1.22× | 2.63 |
| New Orleans Pelicans −1.5 | 35.9% | 38.1% | 42.1% | 0.90× | 2.63 |
| New Orleans Pelicans −2.5 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 39.5% | 0.84× | 3.01 |
| Golden State Warriors −10.5 | 33.9% | 33.3% | 29.0% | 1.15× | 3.01 |
| New Orleans Pelicans −3.5 | 30.8% | 33.3% | 36.9% | 0.90× | 3.01 |
| New Orleans Pelicans −4.5 | 28.4% | 28.4% | 34.3% | 0.83× | 3.53 |
| Golden State Warriors −12.5 | 28.9% | 28.4% | 24.0% | 1.18× | 3.53 |
| New Orleans Pelicans −5.5 | 26.1% | 28.4% | 32.0% | 0.89× | 3.53 |
| Golden State Warriors −14.5 | 24.3% | 23.5% | 19.9% | 1.19× | 4.25 |
| New Orleans Pelicans −6.5 | 23.9% | 23.5% | 29.4% | 0.80× | 4.25 |
| New Orleans Pelicans −7.5 | 21.8% | 23.5% | 27.0% | 0.87× | 4.25 |
| Golden State Warriors −16.5 | 20.2% | 23.5% | 16.5% | 1.43× | 4.25 |
| New Orleans Pelicans −8.5 | 19.8% | 18.9% | 24.3% | 0.78× | 5.29 |
| New Orleans Pelicans −9.5 | 17.9% | 18.9% | 21.9% | 0.86× | 5.29 |
| New Orleans Pelicans −10.5 | 16.1% | 18.9% | 19.7% | 0.96× | 5.30 |
| Golden State Warriors −18.5 | 16.5% | 18.9% | 13.6% | 1.39× | 5.30 |
| New Orleans Pelicans −12.5 | 12.9% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 0.87× | 7.09 |
| Golden State Warriors −20.5 | 13.3% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 1.30× | 7.09 |
| New Orleans Pelicans −14.5 | 10.2% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 1.09× | 7.09 |
| New Orleans Pelicans −16.5 | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 0.86× | 11.25 |
| New Orleans Pelicans −18.5 | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 1.04× | 11.25 |
| New Orleans Pelicans −20.5 | 4.6% | 2.6% | 6.9% | 0.37× | 38.72 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half highest scoring | 56.8% | 52.6% | 53.5% | 0.98× | 1.90 |
| 2nd half highest scoring | 43.2% | 47.4% | 46.5% | 1.02× | 2.11 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 highest scoring | 28.4% | 27.4% | 29.2% | 0.94× | 3.65 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 28.1% | 27.4% | 27.5% | 1.00× | 3.65 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 26.6% | 27.4% | 26.3% | 1.04× | 3.65 |
| Q4 highest scoring | 17.0% | 18.3% | 17.0% | 1.08× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State Warriors at HT / Golden State Warriors at FT | 45.3% | 46.6% | 40.8% | 1.14× | 2.15 |
| New Orleans Pelicans at HT / New Orleans Pelicans at FT | 26.7% | 29.6% | 30.9% | 0.96× | 3.38 |
| New Orleans Pelicans at HT / Golden State Warriors at FT | 14.2% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 0.92× | 8.17 |
| Golden State Warriors at HT / New Orleans Pelicans at FT | 10.5% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 1.02× | 8.18 |
| Level at HT / Golden State Warriors at FT | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.22× | 47.76 |
| Level at HT / New Orleans Pelicans at FT | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.49× | 47.77 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State Warriors to win | 61.4% | 60.6% | 55.7% | 1.09× | 1.65 |
| New Orleans Pelicans to win | 38.6% | 39.4% | 44.3% | 0.89× | 2.54 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total points odd | 51.4% | 50.5% | 51.0% | 0.99× | 1.98 |
| Golden State Warriors even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.7% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| New Orleans Pelicans even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.3% | 1.00× | 1.98 |
| Golden State Warriors odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.3% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| New Orleans Pelicans odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.7% | 1.00× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 48.6% | 49.5% | 49.0% | 1.01× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 93.1% | 94.0% | 94.8% | 0.99× | 1.06 |
| Match to go to overtime | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 1.16× | 16.65 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State Warriors to win Q1 | 52.7% | 52.6% | 51.3% | 1.02× | 1.90 |
| New Orleans Pelicans to win Q1 | 42.5% | 42.9% | 44.1% | 0.97× | 2.33 |
| Q1 tied | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 0.90× | 23.94 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 over 51.5 | 82.8% | 82.8% | 76.0% | 1.09× | 1.21 |
| Q1 under 67.5 | 82.6% | 82.8% | 88.8% | 0.93× | 1.21 |
| Q1 over 54.5 | 72.3% | 72.7% | 63.3% | 1.15× | 1.38 |
| Q1 under 64.5 | 72.1% | 72.7% | 80.1% | 0.91× | 1.38 |
| Q1 over 56.5 | 63.9% | 61.7% | 54.6% | 1.13× | 1.62 |
| Q1 under 62.5 | 63.7% | 61.7% | 72.9% | 0.85× | 1.62 |
| Q1 over 58.5 | 54.8% | 52.7% | 44.3% | 1.19× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 60.5 | 54.5% | 52.7% | 64.5% | 0.82× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 59.5 | 50.1% | 52.7% | 40.0% | 1.32× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 59.5 | 49.9% | 47.3% | 60.0% | 0.79× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 60.5 | 45.5% | 47.3% | 35.5% | 1.33× | 2.11 |
| Q1 under 58.5 | 45.2% | 47.3% | 55.7% | 0.85× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 62.5 | 36.3% | 38.3% | 27.1% | 1.41× | 2.61 |
| Q1 under 56.5 | 36.1% | 38.3% | 45.4% | 0.84× | 2.61 |
| Q1 over 64.5 | 27.9% | 27.3% | 19.9% | 1.37× | 3.66 |
| Q1 under 54.5 | 27.7% | 27.3% | 36.7% | 0.74× | 3.66 |
| Q1 over 67.5 | 17.4% | 17.2% | 11.2% | 1.53× | 5.83 |
| Q1 under 51.5 | 17.2% | 17.2% | 24.0% | 0.71× | 5.83 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State Warriors to win Q2 | 52.7% | 51.4% | 49.3% | 1.04× | 1.95 |
| New Orleans Pelicans to win Q2 | 42.6% | 43.9% | 46.2% | 0.95× | 2.28 |
| Q2 tied | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 0.98× | 22.88 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 under 67.5 | 83.4% | 83.0% | 88.7% | 0.94× | 1.21 |
| Q2 over 51.5 | 81.7% | 83.0% | 74.2% | 1.12× | 1.21 |
| Q2 under 64.5 | 73.1% | 72.0% | 80.9% | 0.89× | 1.39 |
| Q2 over 54.5 | 71.0% | 72.0% | 61.1% | 1.18× | 1.39 |
| Q2 under 62.5 | 64.9% | 60.7% | 74.4% | 0.82× | 1.65 |
| Q2 over 56.5 | 62.5% | 60.7% | 51.7% | 1.17× | 1.65 |
| Q2 under 60.5 | 55.9% | 58.2% | 65.7% | 0.88× | 1.72 |
| Q2 over 58.5 | 53.4% | 52.7% | 42.7% | 1.23× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 59.5 | 51.3% | 52.7% | 61.9% | 0.85× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 59.5 | 48.7% | 47.3% | 38.1% | 1.24× | 2.11 |
| Q2 under 58.5 | 46.6% | 47.3% | 57.3% | 0.83× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 60.5 | 44.1% | 41.8% | 34.3% | 1.22× | 2.39 |
| Q2 under 56.5 | 37.5% | 39.3% | 48.3% | 0.81× | 2.55 |
| Q2 over 62.5 | 35.1% | 39.3% | 25.6% | 1.53× | 2.55 |
| Q2 under 54.5 | 29.0% | 28.0% | 38.9% | 0.72× | 3.57 |
| Q2 over 64.5 | 26.9% | 28.0% | 19.1% | 1.46× | 3.57 |
| Q2 under 51.5 | 18.3% | 17.0% | 25.8% | 0.66× | 5.88 |
| Q2 over 67.5 | 16.6% | 17.0% | 11.3% | 1.50× | 5.88 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State Warriors to win Q3 | 52.7% | 52.7% | 50.9% | 1.04× | 1.90 |
| New Orleans Pelicans to win Q3 | 42.6% | 42.3% | 44.3% | 0.95× | 2.37 |
| Q3 tied | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 0.88× | 23.43 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 over 51.5 | 83.5% | 82.3% | 76.1% | 1.08× | 1.22 |
| Q3 under 67.5 | 82.3% | 82.3% | 87.0% | 0.95× | 1.22 |
| Q3 over 54.5 | 73.2% | 71.8% | 63.9% | 1.12× | 1.39 |
| Q3 under 64.5 | 71.6% | 71.8% | 79.2% | 0.91× | 1.39 |
| Q3 over 56.5 | 64.8% | 62.0% | 55.0% | 1.13× | 1.61 |
| Q3 under 62.5 | 63.1% | 61.9% | 71.9% | 0.86× | 1.61 |
| Q3 over 58.5 | 55.7% | 58.4% | 45.2% | 1.29× | 1.71 |
| Q3 under 60.5 | 53.8% | 52.3% | 63.5% | 0.82× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 59.5 | 50.9% | 52.3% | 41.0% | 1.28× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 59.5 | 49.1% | 47.7% | 59.0% | 0.81× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 60.5 | 46.2% | 47.7% | 36.5% | 1.31× | 2.10 |
| Q3 under 58.5 | 44.3% | 41.6% | 54.8% | 0.76× | 2.40 |
| Q3 over 62.5 | 36.9% | 38.1% | 28.1% | 1.35× | 2.63 |
| Q3 under 56.5 | 35.2% | 38.0% | 45.0% | 0.85× | 2.63 |
| Q3 over 64.5 | 28.4% | 28.2% | 20.8% | 1.35× | 3.55 |
| Q3 under 54.5 | 26.8% | 28.2% | 36.1% | 0.78× | 3.55 |
| Q3 over 67.5 | 17.7% | 17.7% | 13.0% | 1.36× | 5.66 |
| Q3 under 51.5 | 16.5% | 17.7% | 23.9% | 0.74× | 5.66 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State Warriors to win Q4 | 52.5% | 51.4% | 48.3% | 1.06× | 1.95 |
| New Orleans Pelicans to win Q4 | 42.6% | 43.1% | 46.4% | 0.93× | 2.32 |
| Q4 tied | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 0.98× | 19.28 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 under 65.5 | 84.1% | 82.0% | 88.4% | 0.93× | 1.22 |
| Q4 over 49.5 | 80.1% | 82.0% | 72.3% | 1.13× | 1.22 |
| Q4 under 62.5 | 74.3% | 71.5% | 80.4% | 0.89× | 1.40 |
| Q4 over 52.5 | 69.2% | 67.4% | 60.4% | 1.12× | 1.48 |
| Q4 under 60.5 | 66.3% | 67.4% | 74.2% | 0.91× | 1.48 |
| Q4 over 54.5 | 60.7% | 61.4% | 51.4% | 1.20× | 1.63 |
| Q4 under 58.5 | 57.5% | 58.4% | 66.2% | 0.88× | 1.71 |
| Q4 under 57.5 | 53.0% | 52.5% | 61.9% | 0.85× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 56.5 | 51.6% | 52.5% | 42.8% | 1.23× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 56.5 | 48.4% | 47.5% | 57.2% | 0.83× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 57.5 | 47.0% | 47.5% | 38.1% | 1.25× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 58.5 | 42.5% | 41.6% | 33.8% | 1.23× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 54.5 | 39.3% | 38.6% | 48.6% | 0.79× | 2.59 |
| Q4 over 60.5 | 33.7% | 32.6% | 25.8% | 1.26× | 3.07 |
| Q4 under 52.5 | 30.8% | 32.6% | 39.6% | 0.82× | 3.07 |
| Q4 over 62.5 | 25.7% | 28.5% | 19.6% | 1.45× | 3.51 |
| Q4 under 49.5 | 19.9% | 18.0% | 27.7% | 0.65× | 5.56 |
| Q4 over 65.5 | 15.9% | 18.0% | 11.6% | 1.55× | 5.56 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State Warriors under 130.5 | 81.8% | 80.7% | 88.6% | 0.91× | 1.24 |
| New Orleans Pelicans over 105.5 | 80.4% | 80.7% | 71.9% | 1.12× | 1.24 |
| New Orleans Pelicans under 125.5 | 80.2% | 80.7% | 83.4% | 0.97× | 1.24 |
| Golden State Warriors over 110.5 | 78.3% | 75.1% | 64.1% | 1.17× | 1.33 |
| Golden State Warriors under 127.5 | 74.3% | 70.7% | 83.5% | 0.85× | 1.41 |
| New Orleans Pelicans over 108.5 | 72.6% | 70.7% | 64.0% | 1.11× | 1.41 |
| New Orleans Pelicans under 122.5 | 72.4% | 70.7% | 77.4% | 0.91× | 1.41 |
| Golden State Warriors over 113.5 | 70.2% | 70.7% | 54.3% | 1.30× | 1.41 |
| Golden State Warriors under 125.5 | 68.6% | 66.4% | 79.1% | 0.84× | 1.51 |
| New Orleans Pelicans over 110.5 | 66.6% | 66.4% | 57.9% | 1.15× | 1.51 |
| New Orleans Pelicans under 120.5 | 66.4% | 66.4% | 72.7% | 0.91× | 1.51 |
| Golden State Warriors over 115.5 | 64.1% | 61.2% | 48.4% | 1.26× | 1.63 |
| Golden State Warriors under 123.5 | 62.4% | 61.2% | 74.4% | 0.82× | 1.63 |
| New Orleans Pelicans over 112.5 | 60.2% | 61.2% | 51.5% | 1.19× | 1.63 |
| New Orleans Pelicans under 118.5 | 60.0% | 57.1% | 67.4% | 0.85× | 1.75 |
| Golden State Warriors over 117.5 | 57.6% | 57.1% | 42.2% | 1.35× | 1.75 |
| Golden State Warriors under 121.5 | 55.8% | 57.1% | 69.6% | 0.82× | 1.75 |
| Golden State Warriors under 120.5 | 52.4% | 52.3% | 66.3% | 0.79× | 1.91 |
| New Orleans Pelicans over 114.5 | 53.5% | 52.3% | 44.5% | 1.18× | 1.91 |
| New Orleans Pelicans under 116.5 | 53.3% | 52.3% | 61.5% | 0.85× | 1.91 |
| Golden State Warriors over 119.5 | 50.9% | 52.3% | 36.5% | 1.43× | 1.91 |
| New Orleans Pelicans over 115.5 | 50.1% | 52.3% | 41.4% | 1.26× | 1.91 |
| Golden State Warriors under 119.5 | 49.1% | 47.7% | 63.5% | 0.75× | 2.09 |
| New Orleans Pelicans under 115.5 | 49.9% | 47.7% | 58.6% | 0.82× | 2.09 |
| Golden State Warriors over 120.5 | 47.6% | 47.7% | 33.7% | 1.42× | 2.09 |
| New Orleans Pelicans under 114.5 | 46.5% | 47.7% | 55.5% | 0.86× | 2.09 |
| New Orleans Pelicans over 116.5 | 46.7% | 47.7% | 38.5% | 1.24× | 2.09 |
| Golden State Warriors over 121.5 | 44.2% | 42.9% | 30.4% | 1.41× | 2.33 |
| Golden State Warriors under 117.5 | 42.4% | 42.9% | 57.8% | 0.74× | 2.33 |
| New Orleans Pelicans over 118.5 | 40.0% | 42.9% | 32.6% | 1.32× | 2.33 |
| New Orleans Pelicans under 112.5 | 39.8% | 38.8% | 48.5% | 0.80× | 2.58 |
| Golden State Warriors over 123.5 | 37.6% | 38.8% | 25.6% | 1.52× | 2.58 |
| Golden State Warriors under 115.5 | 35.9% | 38.8% | 51.6% | 0.75× | 2.58 |
| New Orleans Pelicans under 110.5 | 33.4% | 33.6% | 42.1% | 0.80× | 2.98 |
| New Orleans Pelicans over 120.5 | 33.6% | 33.6% | 27.3% | 1.23× | 2.98 |
| Golden State Warriors over 125.5 | 31.4% | 33.6% | 20.9% | 1.61× | 2.98 |
| Golden State Warriors under 113.5 | 29.8% | 29.3% | 45.7% | 0.64× | 3.42 |
| New Orleans Pelicans under 108.5 | 27.4% | 29.3% | 36.0% | 0.81× | 3.42 |
| New Orleans Pelicans over 122.5 | 27.6% | 29.3% | 22.6% | 1.29× | 3.42 |
| Golden State Warriors over 127.5 | 25.7% | 29.3% | 16.5% | 1.78× | 3.42 |
| Golden State Warriors under 110.5 | 21.7% | 24.9% | 35.9% | 0.69× | 4.02 |
| New Orleans Pelicans over 125.5 | 19.8% | 19.3% | 16.6% | 1.16× | 5.18 |
| New Orleans Pelicans under 105.5 | 19.6% | 19.3% | 28.1% | 0.69× | 5.18 |
| Golden State Warriors over 130.5 | 18.2% | 19.3% | 11.4% | 1.69× | 5.18 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 255.5 points | 86.4% | 85.0% | 90.8% | 0.94× | 1.18 |
| Over 215.5 points | 85.9% | 85.0% | 73.4% | 1.16× | 1.18 |
| Under 250.5 points | 79.5% | 75.6% | 86.1% | 0.88× | 1.32 |
| Over 220.5 points | 79.0% | 75.6% | 64.2% | 1.18× | 1.32 |
| Under 245.5 points | 71.1% | 70.8% | 80.9% | 0.88× | 1.41 |
| Over 225.5 points | 70.3% | 70.8% | 54.7% | 1.29× | 1.41 |
| Under 242.5 points | 65.2% | 65.9% | 76.8% | 0.86× | 1.52 |
| Over 228.5 points | 64.4% | 61.5% | 48.7% | 1.26× | 1.63 |
| Under 240.5 points | 61.1% | 61.5% | 74.0% | 0.83× | 1.63 |
| Over 230.5 points | 60.3% | 61.5% | 44.6% | 1.38× | 1.63 |
| Over 232.5 points | 56.1% | 56.5% | 40.6% | 1.39× | 1.77 |
| Under 238.5 points | 56.9% | 56.5% | 70.9% | 0.80× | 1.77 |
| Over 234.5 points | 51.8% | 52.3% | 36.7% | 1.43× | 1.91 |
| Under 236.5 points | 52.6% | 52.3% | 67.3% | 0.78× | 1.91 |
| Under 235.5 points | 50.5% | 52.3% | 65.3% | 0.80× | 1.91 |
| Over 235.5 points | 49.5% | 47.7% | 34.7% | 1.37× | 2.10 |
| Under 234.5 points | 48.2% | 47.7% | 63.3% | 0.75× | 2.10 |
| Over 236.5 points | 47.4% | 47.7% | 32.7% | 1.46× | 2.10 |
| Under 232.5 points | 43.9% | 43.5% | 59.4% | 0.73× | 2.30 |
| Over 238.5 points | 43.1% | 43.5% | 29.1% | 1.49× | 2.30 |
| Under 230.5 points | 39.7% | 38.5% | 55.4% | 0.70× | 2.60 |
| Over 240.5 points | 38.9% | 38.5% | 26.0% | 1.48× | 2.60 |
| Under 228.5 points | 35.6% | 38.5% | 51.3% | 0.75× | 2.60 |
| Over 242.5 points | 34.8% | 34.1% | 23.2% | 1.47× | 2.93 |
| Under 225.5 points | 29.7% | 29.2% | 45.3% | 0.64× | 3.43 |
| Over 245.5 points | 28.9% | 29.2% | 19.1% | 1.52× | 3.43 |
| Under 220.5 points | 21.0% | 24.4% | 35.8% | 0.68× | 4.10 |
| Over 250.5 points | 20.5% | 24.4% | 13.9% | 1.76× | 4.10 |
| Under 215.5 points | 14.1% | 15.0% | 26.6% | 0.56× | 6.68 |
| Over 255.5 points | 13.6% | 15.0% | 9.2% | 1.63× | 6.68 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State Warriors to win both halves | 28.9% | 27.2% | 25.2% | 1.08× | 3.68 |
| New Orleans Pelicans to win both halves | 14.6% | 14.1% | 17.8% | 0.79× | 7.11 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State Warriors by 1-5 | 14.0% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 0.96× | 8.11 |
| Golden State Warriors by 6-10 | 13.6% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 0.88× | 8.11 |
| New Orleans Pelicans by 1-5 | 12.5% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 1.01× | 8.11 |
| Golden State Warriors by 11-15 | 11.7% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 1.14× | 8.11 |
| New Orleans Pelicans by 6-10 | 10.0% | 7.5% | 12.3% | 0.61× | 13.40 |
| Golden State Warriors by 16-20 | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 1.02× | 13.40 |
| New Orleans Pelicans by 11-15 | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 0.93× | 13.40 |
| Golden State Warriors by 26+ | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 1.21× | 13.40 |
| Golden State Warriors by 21-25 | 6.1% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 1.58× | 13.40 |
| New Orleans Pelicans by 16-20 | 4.5% | 2.0% | 4.9% | 0.42× | 49.29 |
| New Orleans Pelicans by 21-25 | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 0.67× | 49.31 |
| New Orleans Pelicans by 26+ | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 0.53× | 49.31 |