Golden State Warriors v Orlando Magic — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 8 November 2026 · NBA · 2027
NBA results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Golden State Warriors win
48.5%
Draw
0.0%
Orlando Magic win
51.5%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 112.65–113.19 | 112-113 0% | 49% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Magic to score 100+ | 87.9% | 85.0% | 85.9% | 0.99× | 1.18 |
| Golden State Warriors to score 100+ | 86.6% | 85.0% | 89.3% | 0.95× | 1.18 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 77.1% | 76.9% | 77.5% | 0.99× | 1.30 |
| Orlando Magic to score 110+ | 62.4% | 61.8% | 60.9% | 1.01× | 1.62 |
| Golden State Warriors to score 110+ | 60.4% | 61.8% | 67.0% | 0.92× | 1.62 |
| Orlando Magic to score 120+ | 29.6% | 27.6% | 29.7% | 0.93× | 3.63 |
| Golden State Warriors to score 120+ | 28.1% | 27.5% | 36.5% | 0.75× | 3.63 |
| Orlando Magic to score 130+ | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 0.88× | 11.36 |
| Golden State Warriors to score 130+ | 7.7% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 0.69× | 11.37 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Magic to win H1 | 49.2% | 47.3% | 44.1% | 1.07× | 2.11 |
| Golden State Warriors to win H1 | 47.3% | 47.3% | 52.8% | 0.90× | 2.11 |
| H1 tied | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.25× | 25.86 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 126.5 | 83.2% | 82.5% | 82.8% | 1.00× | 1.21 |
| H1 over 102.5 | 81.1% | 82.5% | 83.0% | 0.99× | 1.21 |
| H1 under 122.5 | 74.4% | 73.5% | 74.0% | 0.99× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 106.5 | 71.7% | 73.5% | 73.3% | 1.00× | 1.36 |
| H1 under 119.5 | 66.4% | 67.4% | 65.9% | 1.02× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 109.5 | 63.5% | 62.7% | 65.0% | 0.97× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 117.5 | 60.7% | 62.7% | 59.6% | 1.05× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 111.5 | 57.6% | 58.2% | 59.0% | 0.99× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 115.5 | 54.7% | 52.6% | 53.6% | 0.98× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 113.5 | 51.5% | 52.6% | 52.4% | 1.00× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 114.5 | 51.6% | 52.6% | 50.4% | 1.05× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 113.5 | 48.5% | 47.4% | 47.6% | 0.99× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 114.5 | 48.4% | 47.4% | 49.6% | 0.95× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 115.5 | 45.3% | 47.4% | 46.4% | 1.02× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 111.5 | 42.4% | 41.8% | 41.0% | 1.02× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 117.5 | 39.3% | 37.3% | 40.4% | 0.92× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 109.5 | 36.5% | 37.3% | 35.0% | 1.06× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 119.5 | 33.6% | 32.6% | 34.1% | 0.96× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 106.5 | 28.3% | 26.5% | 26.7% | 0.99× | 3.77 |
| H1 over 122.5 | 25.6% | 26.5% | 26.0% | 1.02× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 102.5 | 18.9% | 17.5% | 17.0% | 1.03× | 5.72 |
| H1 over 126.5 | 16.8% | 17.5% | 17.2% | 1.02× | 5.73 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Magic to win H2 | 49.2% | 47.1% | 44.7% | 1.05× | 2.12 |
| Golden State Warriors to win H2 | 47.3% | 47.1% | 51.6% | 0.91× | 2.12 |
| H2 tied | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.06× | 25.36 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 124.5 | 83.7% | 81.8% | 79.1% | 1.03× | 1.22 |
| H2 over 100.5 | 81.1% | 81.8% | 82.4% | 0.99× | 1.22 |
| H2 under 120.5 | 74.9% | 72.2% | 69.3% | 1.04× | 1.39 |
| H2 over 104.5 | 71.6% | 72.2% | 73.9% | 0.98× | 1.39 |
| H2 under 117.5 | 66.9% | 66.4% | 61.1% | 1.09× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 107.5 | 63.2% | 61.6% | 66.2% | 0.93× | 1.62 |
| H2 under 115.5 | 61.1% | 61.6% | 55.4% | 1.11× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 109.5 | 57.3% | 57.3% | 60.9% | 0.94× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 113.5 | 55.1% | 57.3% | 50.1% | 1.14× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 112.5 | 52.0% | 52.4% | 47.4% | 1.10× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 111.5 | 51.1% | 52.4% | 55.3% | 0.95× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 111.5 | 48.9% | 47.6% | 44.7% | 1.07× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 112.5 | 48.0% | 47.6% | 52.6% | 0.91× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 113.5 | 44.9% | 42.7% | 49.9% | 0.85× | 2.34 |
| H2 under 109.5 | 42.7% | 42.7% | 39.1% | 1.09× | 2.34 |
| H2 over 115.5 | 38.9% | 38.4% | 44.6% | 0.86× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 107.5 | 36.8% | 38.4% | 33.8% | 1.14× | 2.61 |
| H2 over 117.5 | 33.1% | 33.6% | 38.9% | 0.86× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 104.5 | 28.4% | 27.8% | 26.1% | 1.07× | 3.59 |
| H2 over 120.5 | 25.1% | 27.8% | 30.7% | 0.91× | 3.59 |
| H2 under 100.5 | 18.9% | 18.2% | 17.6% | 1.03× | 5.50 |
| H2 over 124.5 | 16.3% | 18.2% | 20.9% | 0.87× | 5.50 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Magic leading at half time | 49.2% | 47.3% | 44.1% | 1.07× | 2.12 |
| Golden State Warriors leading at half time | 47.3% | 47.2% | 52.8% | 0.90× | 2.12 |
| Level at half time | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.22× | 26.41 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Magic +20.5 | 92.5% | 91.1% | 89.1% | 1.02× | 1.10 |
| Orlando Magic +18.5 | 90.3% | 91.1% | 86.4% | 1.05× | 1.10 |
| Golden State Warriors +20.5 | 91.3% | 91.1% | 93.1% | 0.98× | 1.10 |
| Golden State Warriors +18.5 | 88.9% | 85.9% | 91.5% | 0.94× | 1.16 |
| Orlando Magic +16.5 | 87.7% | 85.9% | 83.5% | 1.03× | 1.16 |
| Golden State Warriors +16.5 | 86.1% | 85.9% | 89.7% | 0.96× | 1.16 |
| Orlando Magic +14.5 | 84.6% | 81.1% | 80.1% | 1.01× | 1.23 |
| Golden State Warriors +14.5 | 82.7% | 81.1% | 87.0% | 0.93× | 1.23 |
| Orlando Magic +12.5 | 81.1% | 81.1% | 76.0% | 1.07× | 1.23 |
| Golden State Warriors +12.5 | 78.9% | 76.5% | 83.9% | 0.91× | 1.31 |
| Orlando Magic +10.5 | 77.0% | 76.5% | 71.0% | 1.08× | 1.31 |
| Orlando Magic +9.5 | 74.9% | 71.6% | 68.7% | 1.04× | 1.40 |
| Golden State Warriors +10.5 | 74.7% | 71.6% | 80.3% | 0.89× | 1.40 |
| Orlando Magic +8.5 | 72.6% | 71.6% | 65.9% | 1.09× | 1.40 |
| Golden State Warriors +9.5 | 72.4% | 71.6% | 78.1% | 0.92× | 1.40 |
| Orlando Magic +7.5 | 70.2% | 71.6% | 63.0% | 1.14× | 1.40 |
| Golden State Warriors +8.5 | 70.0% | 71.6% | 75.7% | 0.95× | 1.40 |
| Orlando Magic +6.5 | 67.7% | 66.7% | 60.0% | 1.11× | 1.50 |
| Golden State Warriors +7.5 | 67.5% | 66.7% | 73.0% | 0.91× | 1.50 |
| Orlando Magic +5.5 | 65.2% | 66.7% | 57.1% | 1.17× | 1.50 |
| Golden State Warriors +6.5 | 65.0% | 61.9% | 70.6% | 0.88× | 1.62 |
| Orlando Magic +4.5 | 62.6% | 61.9% | 54.1% | 1.15× | 1.62 |
| Golden State Warriors +5.5 | 62.4% | 61.9% | 68.0% | 0.91× | 1.62 |
| Orlando Magic +3.5 | 59.9% | 57.1% | 51.6% | 1.11× | 1.75 |
| Golden State Warriors +4.5 | 59.7% | 57.1% | 65.7% | 0.87× | 1.75 |
| Orlando Magic +2.5 | 57.1% | 57.1% | 49.1% | 1.16× | 1.75 |
| Golden State Warriors +3.5 | 56.9% | 57.1% | 63.1% | 0.90× | 1.75 |
| Orlando Magic +1.5 | 54.3% | 52.4% | 46.3% | 1.13× | 1.91 |
| Golden State Warriors +2.5 | 54.1% | 52.4% | 60.5% | 0.87× | 1.91 |
| Golden State Warriors +1.5 | 51.3% | 52.4% | 57.9% | 0.91× | 1.91 |
| Orlando Magic −1.5 | 48.7% | 47.6% | 42.1% | 1.13× | 2.10 |
| Orlando Magic −2.5 | 45.9% | 47.6% | 39.5% | 1.20× | 2.10 |
| Golden State Warriors −1.5 | 45.7% | 47.6% | 53.7% | 0.89× | 2.10 |
| Golden State Warriors −2.5 | 42.9% | 42.9% | 50.9% | 0.84× | 2.33 |
| Orlando Magic −3.5 | 43.1% | 42.9% | 36.9% | 1.16× | 2.33 |
| Golden State Warriors −3.5 | 40.1% | 42.9% | 48.4% | 0.89× | 2.33 |
| Orlando Magic −4.5 | 40.3% | 42.9% | 34.3% | 1.25× | 2.33 |
| Orlando Magic −5.5 | 37.6% | 38.1% | 32.0% | 1.19× | 2.63 |
| Golden State Warriors −4.5 | 37.4% | 38.1% | 46.0% | 0.83× | 2.63 |
| Orlando Magic −6.5 | 35.0% | 38.1% | 29.4% | 1.30× | 2.63 |
| Golden State Warriors −5.5 | 34.8% | 33.3% | 42.9% | 0.78× | 3.01 |
| Golden State Warriors −6.5 | 32.3% | 33.3% | 40.0% | 0.83× | 3.01 |
| Orlando Magic −7.5 | 32.5% | 33.3% | 27.0% | 1.23× | 3.01 |
| Golden State Warriors −7.5 | 29.8% | 28.4% | 37.0% | 0.77× | 3.53 |
| Orlando Magic −8.5 | 30.0% | 28.4% | 24.3% | 1.17× | 3.53 |
| Golden State Warriors −8.5 | 27.4% | 28.4% | 34.1% | 0.83× | 3.53 |
| Orlando Magic −9.5 | 27.6% | 28.4% | 21.9% | 1.30× | 3.53 |
| Golden State Warriors −9.5 | 25.1% | 28.4% | 31.3% | 0.91× | 3.53 |
| Orlando Magic −10.5 | 25.3% | 28.4% | 19.7% | 1.44× | 3.53 |
| Golden State Warriors −10.5 | 23.0% | 23.5% | 29.0% | 0.81× | 4.25 |
| Orlando Magic −12.5 | 21.1% | 23.5% | 16.1% | 1.46× | 4.25 |
| Golden State Warriors −12.5 | 18.9% | 18.9% | 24.0% | 0.79× | 5.29 |
| Orlando Magic −14.5 | 17.3% | 18.9% | 13.0% | 1.45× | 5.29 |
| Golden State Warriors −14.5 | 15.4% | 18.9% | 19.9% | 0.95× | 5.30 |
| Orlando Magic −16.5 | 13.9% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 1.37× | 7.09 |
| Golden State Warriors −16.5 | 12.3% | 14.1% | 16.5% | 0.86× | 7.09 |
| Orlando Magic −18.5 | 11.1% | 14.1% | 8.5% | 1.66× | 7.09 |
| Golden State Warriors −18.5 | 9.7% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 0.65× | 11.25 |
| Orlando Magic −20.5 | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 1.29× | 11.25 |
| Golden State Warriors −20.5 | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 0.82× | 11.25 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half highest scoring | 56.6% | 52.6% | 53.5% | 0.98× | 1.90 |
| 2nd half highest scoring | 43.4% | 47.4% | 46.5% | 1.02× | 2.11 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 highest scoring | 28.2% | 27.4% | 29.2% | 0.94× | 3.65 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 27.9% | 27.4% | 27.5% | 1.00× | 3.65 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 26.6% | 27.4% | 26.3% | 1.04× | 3.65 |
| Q4 highest scoring | 17.3% | 18.3% | 17.0% | 1.08× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Magic at HT / Orlando Magic at FT | 36.9% | 37.7% | 30.9% | 1.22× | 2.65 |
| Golden State Warriors at HT / Golden State Warriors at FT | 34.4% | 33.2% | 40.8% | 0.82× | 3.01 |
| Golden State Warriors at HT / Orlando Magic at FT | 12.9% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 1.02× | 8.17 |
| Orlando Magic at HT / Golden State Warriors at FT | 12.4% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 0.92× | 8.17 |
| Level at HT / Golden State Warriors at FT | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.22× | 47.76 |
| Level at HT / Orlando Magic at FT | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.50× | 47.76 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Magic to win | 51.5% | 51.0% | 44.3% | 1.15× | 1.96 |
| Golden State Warriors to win | 48.5% | 49.0% | 55.7% | 0.88× | 2.04 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total points odd | 51.4% | 50.5% | 51.0% | 0.99× | 1.98 |
| Golden State Warriors even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.7% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Orlando Magic even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.3% | 1.00× | 1.98 |
| Golden State Warriors odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.3% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| Orlando Magic odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.7% | 1.00× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 48.6% | 49.5% | 49.0% | 1.01× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 92.8% | 94.0% | 94.8% | 0.99× | 1.06 |
| Match to go to overtime | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 1.16× | 16.65 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Magic to win Q1 | 48.3% | 47.6% | 44.1% | 1.08× | 2.10 |
| Golden State Warriors to win Q1 | 46.9% | 47.6% | 51.3% | 0.93× | 2.10 |
| Q1 tied | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 0.90× | 23.94 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 under 65.5 | 83.8% | 82.8% | 83.2% | 1.00× | 1.21 |
| Q1 over 49.5 | 81.6% | 82.8% | 82.7% | 1.00× | 1.21 |
| Q1 under 62.5 | 73.6% | 72.7% | 72.9% | 1.00× | 1.38 |
| Q1 over 52.5 | 70.7% | 72.7% | 72.4% | 1.00× | 1.38 |
| Q1 under 60.5 | 65.4% | 67.6% | 64.5% | 1.05× | 1.48 |
| Q1 over 54.5 | 62.2% | 61.7% | 63.3% | 0.98× | 1.62 |
| Q1 under 58.5 | 56.4% | 58.6% | 55.7% | 1.05× | 1.71 |
| Q1 over 56.5 | 53.0% | 52.7% | 54.6% | 0.96× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 57.5 | 51.7% | 52.7% | 50.4% | 1.04× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 57.5 | 48.3% | 47.3% | 49.6% | 0.96× | 2.11 |
| Q1 under 56.5 | 47.0% | 47.3% | 45.4% | 1.04× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 58.5 | 43.6% | 41.4% | 44.3% | 0.93× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 54.5 | 37.8% | 38.3% | 36.7% | 1.04× | 2.61 |
| Q1 over 60.5 | 34.6% | 32.4% | 35.5% | 0.91× | 3.08 |
| Q1 under 52.5 | 29.3% | 27.3% | 27.6% | 0.99× | 3.66 |
| Q1 over 62.5 | 26.4% | 27.3% | 27.1% | 1.01× | 3.66 |
| Q1 under 49.5 | 18.4% | 17.2% | 17.3% | 0.99× | 5.83 |
| Q1 over 65.5 | 16.2% | 17.2% | 16.8% | 1.02× | 5.83 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Magic to win Q2 | 48.3% | 47.0% | 46.2% | 1.02× | 2.13 |
| Golden State Warriors to win Q2 | 47.0% | 47.0% | 49.3% | 0.95× | 2.13 |
| Q2 tied | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 0.98× | 22.88 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 under 65.5 | 84.4% | 83.0% | 83.6% | 0.99× | 1.21 |
| Q2 over 49.5 | 80.5% | 83.0% | 81.8% | 1.02× | 1.21 |
| Q2 under 62.5 | 74.6% | 72.0% | 74.4% | 0.97× | 1.39 |
| Q2 over 52.5 | 69.4% | 67.4% | 70.3% | 0.96× | 1.48 |
| Q2 under 60.5 | 66.6% | 67.4% | 65.7% | 1.02× | 1.49 |
| Q2 over 54.5 | 60.8% | 60.7% | 61.1% | 0.99× | 1.65 |
| Q2 under 58.5 | 57.7% | 58.2% | 57.3% | 1.01× | 1.72 |
| Q2 under 57.5 | 53.1% | 52.7% | 52.7% | 1.00× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 56.5 | 51.6% | 52.7% | 51.7% | 1.02× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 56.5 | 48.4% | 47.3% | 48.3% | 0.98× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 57.5 | 46.9% | 47.3% | 47.3% | 1.00× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 58.5 | 42.3% | 41.8% | 42.7% | 0.98× | 2.39 |
| Q2 under 54.5 | 39.2% | 39.3% | 38.9% | 1.01× | 2.55 |
| Q2 over 60.5 | 33.4% | 32.6% | 34.3% | 0.95× | 3.06 |
| Q2 under 52.5 | 30.6% | 32.6% | 29.7% | 1.10× | 3.06 |
| Q2 over 62.5 | 25.4% | 28.0% | 25.6% | 1.09× | 3.57 |
| Q2 under 49.5 | 19.5% | 17.0% | 18.2% | 0.93× | 5.88 |
| Q2 over 65.5 | 15.6% | 17.0% | 16.4% | 1.04× | 5.89 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Magic to win Q3 | 48.3% | 47.6% | 44.3% | 1.07× | 2.10 |
| Golden State Warriors to win Q3 | 47.0% | 47.5% | 50.9% | 0.94× | 2.10 |
| Q3 tied | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 0.88× | 23.43 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 under 65.5 | 83.5% | 82.3% | 82.2% | 1.00× | 1.22 |
| Q3 over 49.5 | 82.3% | 82.3% | 82.7% | 1.00× | 1.22 |
| Q3 under 62.5 | 73.2% | 71.8% | 71.9% | 1.00× | 1.39 |
| Q3 over 52.5 | 71.6% | 71.8% | 72.2% | 0.99× | 1.39 |
| Q3 under 60.5 | 64.8% | 62.0% | 63.5% | 0.98× | 1.61 |
| Q3 over 54.5 | 63.0% | 61.9% | 63.9% | 0.97× | 1.61 |
| Q3 under 58.5 | 55.7% | 58.4% | 54.8% | 1.06× | 1.71 |
| Q3 over 56.5 | 53.8% | 52.3% | 55.0% | 0.95× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 57.5 | 51.0% | 52.3% | 49.8% | 1.05× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 57.5 | 49.0% | 47.7% | 50.2% | 0.95× | 2.10 |
| Q3 under 56.5 | 46.2% | 47.7% | 45.0% | 1.06× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 58.5 | 44.3% | 41.6% | 45.2% | 0.92× | 2.40 |
| Q3 under 54.5 | 37.0% | 38.1% | 36.1% | 1.05× | 2.63 |
| Q3 over 60.5 | 35.2% | 38.0% | 36.5% | 1.04× | 2.63 |
| Q3 under 52.5 | 28.4% | 28.2% | 27.8% | 1.02× | 3.55 |
| Q3 over 62.5 | 26.8% | 28.2% | 28.1% | 1.00× | 3.55 |
| Q3 under 49.5 | 17.7% | 17.7% | 17.3% | 1.02× | 5.66 |
| Q3 over 65.5 | 16.5% | 17.7% | 17.8% | 0.99× | 5.66 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Magic to win Q4 | 48.2% | 47.6% | 46.4% | 1.03× | 2.10 |
| Golden State Warriors to win Q4 | 46.9% | 47.6% | 48.3% | 0.98× | 2.10 |
| Q4 tied | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 0.98× | 19.28 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 over 46.5 | 82.4% | 82.0% | 81.7% | 1.00× | 1.22 |
| Q4 under 62.5 | 82.0% | 82.0% | 80.4% | 1.02× | 1.22 |
| Q4 over 49.5 | 72.0% | 71.5% | 72.3% | 0.99× | 1.40 |
| Q4 under 59.5 | 71.5% | 71.5% | 70.2% | 1.02× | 1.40 |
| Q4 over 51.5 | 63.8% | 61.4% | 64.7% | 0.95× | 1.63 |
| Q4 under 57.5 | 63.3% | 61.4% | 61.9% | 0.99× | 1.63 |
| Q4 over 53.5 | 54.9% | 52.5% | 55.7% | 0.94× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 55.5 | 54.3% | 52.5% | 52.9% | 0.99× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 54.5 | 50.3% | 52.5% | 51.4% | 1.02× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 54.5 | 49.7% | 47.5% | 48.6% | 0.98× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 55.5 | 45.7% | 47.5% | 47.1% | 1.01× | 2.11 |
| Q4 under 53.5 | 45.1% | 47.5% | 44.3% | 1.07× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 57.5 | 36.7% | 38.6% | 38.1% | 1.01× | 2.59 |
| Q4 under 51.5 | 36.2% | 38.6% | 35.3% | 1.09× | 2.59 |
| Q4 over 59.5 | 28.5% | 28.5% | 29.8% | 0.96× | 3.51 |
| Q4 under 49.5 | 28.0% | 28.5% | 27.7% | 1.03× | 3.51 |
| Q4 over 62.5 | 18.0% | 18.0% | 19.6% | 0.92× | 5.56 |
| Q4 under 46.5 | 17.6% | 18.0% | 18.3% | 0.98× | 5.56 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State Warriors over 102.5 | 80.4% | 80.7% | 84.2% | 0.96× | 1.24 |
| Orlando Magic under 123.5 | 81.0% | 80.7% | 79.5% | 1.02× | 1.24 |
| Golden State Warriors under 122.5 | 79.7% | 75.1% | 71.8% | 1.05× | 1.33 |
| Orlando Magic over 103.5 | 79.6% | 75.1% | 77.5% | 0.97× | 1.33 |
| Orlando Magic under 120.5 | 73.3% | 70.7% | 72.7% | 0.97× | 1.41 |
| Golden State Warriors over 105.5 | 72.7% | 70.7% | 77.4% | 0.91× | 1.41 |
| Golden State Warriors under 119.5 | 71.9% | 70.7% | 63.5% | 1.11× | 1.41 |
| Orlando Magic over 106.5 | 71.6% | 70.7% | 68.9% | 1.03× | 1.41 |
| Orlando Magic under 118.5 | 67.4% | 66.4% | 67.4% | 0.99× | 1.51 |
| Golden State Warriors over 107.5 | 66.8% | 66.4% | 72.7% | 0.91× | 1.51 |
| Golden State Warriors under 117.5 | 65.9% | 66.4% | 57.8% | 1.15× | 1.51 |
| Orlando Magic over 108.5 | 65.5% | 66.4% | 64.0% | 1.04× | 1.51 |
| Golden State Warriors over 109.5 | 60.4% | 61.2% | 67.0% | 0.91× | 1.63 |
| Orlando Magic under 116.5 | 61.1% | 61.2% | 61.5% | 0.99× | 1.63 |
| Golden State Warriors under 115.5 | 59.5% | 57.1% | 51.6% | 1.11× | 1.75 |
| Orlando Magic over 110.5 | 59.1% | 57.1% | 57.9% | 0.99× | 1.75 |
| Golden State Warriors over 111.5 | 53.8% | 52.3% | 61.1% | 0.86× | 1.91 |
| Orlando Magic under 114.5 | 54.4% | 52.3% | 55.5% | 0.94× | 1.91 |
| Golden State Warriors under 113.5 | 52.9% | 52.3% | 45.7% | 1.14× | 1.91 |
| Orlando Magic over 112.5 | 52.4% | 52.3% | 51.5% | 1.01× | 1.91 |
| Orlando Magic under 113.5 | 51.0% | 52.3% | 52.0% | 1.00× | 1.91 |
| Golden State Warriors over 112.5 | 50.5% | 52.3% | 57.7% | 0.91× | 1.91 |
| Golden State Warriors under 112.5 | 49.5% | 47.7% | 42.3% | 1.13× | 2.09 |
| Golden State Warriors over 113.5 | 47.1% | 47.7% | 54.3% | 0.88× | 2.09 |
| Orlando Magic under 112.5 | 47.6% | 47.7% | 48.5% | 0.98× | 2.09 |
| Orlando Magic over 113.5 | 49.0% | 47.7% | 48.0% | 1.00× | 2.09 |
| Golden State Warriors under 111.5 | 46.2% | 47.7% | 38.9% | 1.23× | 2.09 |
| Orlando Magic over 114.5 | 45.6% | 47.7% | 44.5% | 1.07× | 2.09 |
| Golden State Warriors over 115.5 | 40.5% | 42.9% | 48.4% | 0.89× | 2.33 |
| Orlando Magic under 110.5 | 40.9% | 42.9% | 42.1% | 1.02× | 2.33 |
| Golden State Warriors under 109.5 | 39.6% | 38.8% | 33.0% | 1.18× | 2.58 |
| Orlando Magic over 116.5 | 38.9% | 38.8% | 38.5% | 1.01× | 2.58 |
| Orlando Magic under 108.5 | 34.5% | 33.6% | 36.0% | 0.93× | 2.98 |
| Golden State Warriors under 107.5 | 33.2% | 33.6% | 27.3% | 1.23× | 2.98 |
| Golden State Warriors over 117.5 | 34.1% | 33.6% | 42.2% | 0.80× | 2.98 |
| Orlando Magic over 118.5 | 32.6% | 33.6% | 32.6% | 1.03× | 2.98 |
| Golden State Warriors under 105.5 | 27.3% | 29.3% | 22.6% | 1.30× | 3.42 |
| Golden State Warriors over 119.5 | 28.1% | 29.3% | 36.5% | 0.80× | 3.42 |
| Orlando Magic under 106.5 | 28.4% | 29.3% | 31.1% | 0.94× | 3.42 |
| Orlando Magic over 120.5 | 26.7% | 29.3% | 27.3% | 1.07× | 3.42 |
| Golden State Warriors over 122.5 | 20.3% | 24.9% | 28.2% | 0.88× | 4.02 |
| Orlando Magic under 103.5 | 20.4% | 24.9% | 22.5% | 1.11× | 4.02 |
| Golden State Warriors under 102.5 | 19.6% | 19.3% | 15.8% | 1.22× | 5.18 |
| Orlando Magic over 123.5 | 19.0% | 19.3% | 20.5% | 0.94× | 5.18 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 246.5 points | 86.9% | 85.0% | 82.0% | 1.04× | 1.18 |
| Over 206.5 points | 85.4% | 85.0% | 86.7% | 0.98× | 1.18 |
| Under 241.5 points | 80.3% | 80.6% | 75.5% | 1.07× | 1.24 |
| Over 211.5 points | 78.2% | 75.6% | 79.7% | 0.95× | 1.32 |
| Under 236.5 points | 71.9% | 70.8% | 67.3% | 1.05× | 1.41 |
| Over 216.5 points | 69.4% | 65.9% | 71.6% | 0.92× | 1.52 |
| Under 233.5 points | 66.2% | 65.9% | 61.4% | 1.07× | 1.52 |
| Over 219.5 points | 63.4% | 61.5% | 66.1% | 0.93× | 1.63 |
| Under 231.5 points | 62.1% | 61.5% | 57.4% | 1.07× | 1.63 |
| Over 221.5 points | 59.3% | 56.5% | 62.2% | 0.91× | 1.77 |
| Under 229.5 points | 57.9% | 56.5% | 53.3% | 1.06× | 1.77 |
| Over 223.5 points | 55.0% | 56.5% | 58.3% | 0.97× | 1.77 |
| Under 227.5 points | 53.6% | 52.3% | 49.4% | 1.06× | 1.91 |
| Over 225.5 points | 50.7% | 52.3% | 54.7% | 0.96× | 1.91 |
| Under 226.5 points | 51.4% | 52.3% | 47.3% | 1.11× | 1.91 |
| Under 225.5 points | 49.3% | 47.7% | 45.3% | 1.05× | 2.10 |
| Over 226.5 points | 48.6% | 47.7% | 52.7% | 0.90× | 2.10 |
| Over 227.5 points | 46.4% | 47.7% | 50.6% | 0.94× | 2.10 |
| Under 223.5 points | 45.0% | 43.5% | 41.7% | 1.04× | 2.30 |
| Over 229.5 points | 42.1% | 43.5% | 46.7% | 0.93× | 2.30 |
| Under 221.5 points | 40.7% | 43.5% | 37.8% | 1.15× | 2.30 |
| Over 231.5 points | 37.9% | 38.5% | 42.6% | 0.90× | 2.60 |
| Under 219.5 points | 36.6% | 38.5% | 33.9% | 1.14× | 2.60 |
| Over 233.5 points | 33.8% | 34.1% | 38.6% | 0.88× | 2.93 |
| Under 216.5 points | 30.6% | 34.1% | 28.4% | 1.20× | 2.93 |
| Over 236.5 points | 28.1% | 29.2% | 32.7% | 0.89× | 3.43 |
| Under 211.5 points | 21.8% | 24.4% | 20.3% | 1.20× | 4.10 |
| Over 241.5 points | 19.7% | 19.4% | 24.5% | 0.79× | 5.15 |
| Under 206.5 points | 14.6% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 1.13× | 6.68 |
| Over 246.5 points | 13.1% | 15.0% | 18.0% | 0.83× | 6.69 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Magic to win both halves | 22.1% | 23.1% | 17.8% | 1.29× | 4.34 |
| Golden State Warriors to win both halves | 20.2% | 23.0% | 25.2% | 0.91× | 4.34 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State Warriors by 1-5 | 13.7% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 0.96× | 8.11 |
| Orlando Magic by 1-5 | 13.9% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 1.01× | 8.11 |
| Golden State Warriors by 6-10 | 11.9% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 0.88× | 8.11 |
| Orlando Magic by 6-10 | 12.3% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 1.00× | 8.11 |
| Orlando Magic by 11-15 | 9.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 0.93× | 13.40 |
| Golden State Warriors by 11-15 | 9.1% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 0.69× | 13.40 |
| Orlando Magic by 16-20 | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 1.53× | 13.40 |
| Golden State Warriors by 16-20 | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 1.02× | 13.40 |
| Golden State Warriors by 21-25 | 3.8% | 2.0% | 4.7% | 0.43× | 49.29 |
| Orlando Magic by 21-25 | 4.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 0.67× | 49.29 |
| Golden State Warriors by 26+ | 3.7% | 2.0% | 6.2% | 0.33× | 49.30 |
| Orlando Magic by 26+ | 4.4% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 0.53× | 49.29 |