Golden State Warriors v Phoenix Suns — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Tuesday 3 November 2026 · NBA · 2027
NBA results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Golden State Warriors win
48.7%
Draw
0.0%
Phoenix Suns win
51.3%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 111.57–112.04 | 111-112 0% | 50% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Suns to score 100+ | 85.8% | 85.0% | 85.9% | 0.99× | 1.18 |
| Golden State Warriors to score 100+ | 84.6% | 79.3% | 89.3% | 0.89× | 1.26 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 73.7% | 72.4% | 77.5% | 0.93× | 1.38 |
| Phoenix Suns to score 110+ | 58.6% | 56.4% | 60.9% | 0.93× | 1.77 |
| Golden State Warriors to score 110+ | 56.9% | 56.3% | 67.0% | 0.84× | 1.78 |
| Phoenix Suns to score 120+ | 26.3% | 27.5% | 29.7% | 0.93× | 3.64 |
| Golden State Warriors to score 120+ | 25.2% | 27.5% | 36.5% | 0.75× | 3.64 |
| Phoenix Suns to score 130+ | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 0.88× | 11.38 |
| Golden State Warriors to score 130+ | 6.5% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 0.68× | 11.38 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Suns to win H1 | 49.1% | 47.3% | 44.1% | 1.07× | 2.11 |
| Golden State Warriors to win H1 | 47.4% | 47.3% | 52.8% | 0.90× | 2.11 |
| H1 tied | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.25× | 25.86 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 125.5 | 83.5% | 82.5% | 80.7% | 1.02× | 1.21 |
| H1 over 101.5 | 80.9% | 82.5% | 84.9% | 0.97× | 1.21 |
| H1 under 121.5 | 74.7% | 73.5% | 71.2% | 1.03× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 105.5 | 71.4% | 73.5% | 75.8% | 0.97× | 1.36 |
| H1 under 118.5 | 66.8% | 67.4% | 62.9% | 1.07× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 108.5 | 63.1% | 62.7% | 67.7% | 0.93× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 116.5 | 61.0% | 62.7% | 56.6% | 1.11× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 110.5 | 57.2% | 58.2% | 61.9% | 0.94× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 114.5 | 55.0% | 58.2% | 50.4% | 1.16× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 113.5 | 52.0% | 52.6% | 47.6% | 1.11× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 112.5 | 51.1% | 52.6% | 55.8% | 0.94× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 112.5 | 48.9% | 47.4% | 44.2% | 1.07× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 113.5 | 48.0% | 47.4% | 52.4% | 0.90× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 114.5 | 45.0% | 41.8% | 49.6% | 0.84× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 110.5 | 42.8% | 41.8% | 38.1% | 1.10× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 116.5 | 39.0% | 37.3% | 43.4% | 0.86× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 108.5 | 36.9% | 37.3% | 32.3% | 1.15× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 118.5 | 33.2% | 32.6% | 37.1% | 0.88× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 105.5 | 28.6% | 26.5% | 24.2% | 1.09× | 3.77 |
| H1 over 121.5 | 25.3% | 26.5% | 28.8% | 0.92× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 101.5 | 19.1% | 17.5% | 15.1% | 1.16× | 5.72 |
| H1 over 125.5 | 16.6% | 17.5% | 19.3% | 0.90× | 5.73 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Suns to win H2 | 49.1% | 47.1% | 44.7% | 1.05× | 2.12 |
| Golden State Warriors to win H2 | 47.4% | 47.1% | 51.6% | 0.91× | 2.12 |
| H2 tied | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.06× | 25.36 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 123.5 | 83.9% | 81.8% | 76.9% | 1.06× | 1.22 |
| H2 over 99.5 | 80.9% | 81.8% | 84.4% | 0.97× | 1.22 |
| H2 under 119.5 | 75.1% | 75.8% | 66.4% | 1.14× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 103.5 | 71.3% | 72.2% | 76.2% | 0.95× | 1.39 |
| H2 under 116.5 | 67.2% | 66.4% | 58.1% | 1.14× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 106.5 | 63.0% | 61.6% | 68.8% | 0.90× | 1.62 |
| H2 under 114.5 | 61.4% | 61.6% | 52.5% | 1.17× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 108.5 | 57.0% | 57.3% | 63.8% | 0.90× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 112.5 | 55.4% | 57.3% | 47.4% | 1.21× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 111.5 | 52.3% | 52.4% | 44.7% | 1.17× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 110.5 | 50.8% | 52.4% | 58.1% | 0.90× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 110.5 | 49.2% | 47.6% | 41.9% | 1.14× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 111.5 | 47.7% | 47.6% | 55.3% | 0.86× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 112.5 | 44.6% | 42.7% | 52.6% | 0.81× | 2.34 |
| H2 under 108.5 | 43.0% | 42.7% | 36.2% | 1.18× | 2.34 |
| H2 over 114.5 | 38.6% | 38.4% | 47.5% | 0.81× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 106.5 | 37.1% | 38.4% | 31.2% | 1.23× | 2.61 |
| H2 over 116.5 | 32.8% | 33.6% | 41.9% | 0.80× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 103.5 | 28.7% | 27.8% | 23.8% | 1.17× | 3.59 |
| H2 over 119.5 | 24.9% | 24.2% | 33.6% | 0.72× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 99.5 | 19.1% | 18.2% | 15.6% | 1.17× | 5.50 |
| H2 over 123.5 | 16.1% | 18.2% | 23.1% | 0.79× | 5.50 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Suns leading at half time | 49.1% | 47.3% | 44.1% | 1.07× | 2.12 |
| Golden State Warriors leading at half time | 47.4% | 47.2% | 52.8% | 0.90× | 2.12 |
| Level at half time | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.22× | 26.41 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Suns +20.5 | 92.4% | 91.1% | 89.1% | 1.02× | 1.10 |
| Phoenix Suns +18.5 | 90.2% | 91.1% | 86.4% | 1.05× | 1.10 |
| Golden State Warriors +20.5 | 91.4% | 91.1% | 93.1% | 0.98× | 1.10 |
| Golden State Warriors +18.5 | 89.0% | 85.9% | 91.5% | 0.94× | 1.16 |
| Phoenix Suns +16.5 | 87.6% | 85.9% | 83.5% | 1.03× | 1.16 |
| Golden State Warriors +16.5 | 86.2% | 85.9% | 89.7% | 0.96× | 1.16 |
| Phoenix Suns +14.5 | 84.5% | 81.1% | 80.1% | 1.01× | 1.23 |
| Golden State Warriors +14.5 | 82.9% | 81.1% | 87.0% | 0.93× | 1.23 |
| Phoenix Suns +12.5 | 80.9% | 81.1% | 76.0% | 1.07× | 1.23 |
| Golden State Warriors +12.5 | 79.1% | 76.5% | 83.9% | 0.91× | 1.31 |
| Phoenix Suns +10.5 | 76.9% | 76.5% | 71.0% | 1.08× | 1.31 |
| Phoenix Suns +9.5 | 74.7% | 71.6% | 68.7% | 1.04× | 1.40 |
| Golden State Warriors +10.5 | 74.9% | 71.6% | 80.3% | 0.89× | 1.40 |
| Phoenix Suns +8.5 | 72.4% | 71.6% | 65.9% | 1.09× | 1.40 |
| Golden State Warriors +9.5 | 72.6% | 71.6% | 78.1% | 0.92× | 1.40 |
| Phoenix Suns +7.5 | 70.1% | 71.6% | 63.0% | 1.14× | 1.40 |
| Golden State Warriors +8.5 | 70.2% | 71.6% | 75.7% | 0.95× | 1.40 |
| Phoenix Suns +6.5 | 67.6% | 66.7% | 60.0% | 1.11× | 1.50 |
| Golden State Warriors +7.5 | 67.7% | 66.7% | 73.0% | 0.91× | 1.50 |
| Phoenix Suns +5.5 | 65.0% | 66.7% | 57.1% | 1.17× | 1.50 |
| Golden State Warriors +6.5 | 65.2% | 66.7% | 70.6% | 0.95× | 1.50 |
| Golden State Warriors +5.5 | 62.5% | 61.9% | 68.0% | 0.91× | 1.62 |
| Phoenix Suns +4.5 | 62.4% | 61.9% | 54.1% | 1.15× | 1.62 |
| Phoenix Suns +3.5 | 59.7% | 57.1% | 51.6% | 1.11× | 1.75 |
| Golden State Warriors +4.5 | 59.8% | 57.1% | 65.7% | 0.87× | 1.75 |
| Phoenix Suns +2.5 | 56.9% | 57.1% | 49.1% | 1.16× | 1.75 |
| Golden State Warriors +3.5 | 57.1% | 57.1% | 63.1% | 0.90× | 1.75 |
| Golden State Warriors +2.5 | 54.3% | 52.4% | 60.5% | 0.87× | 1.91 |
| Phoenix Suns +1.5 | 54.1% | 52.4% | 46.3% | 1.13× | 1.91 |
| Golden State Warriors +1.5 | 51.5% | 52.4% | 57.9% | 0.91× | 1.91 |
| Phoenix Suns −1.5 | 48.5% | 47.6% | 42.1% | 1.13× | 2.10 |
| Golden State Warriors −1.5 | 45.9% | 47.6% | 53.7% | 0.89× | 2.10 |
| Phoenix Suns −2.5 | 45.7% | 47.6% | 39.5% | 1.20× | 2.10 |
| Golden State Warriors −2.5 | 43.1% | 42.9% | 50.9% | 0.84× | 2.33 |
| Phoenix Suns −3.5 | 42.9% | 42.9% | 36.9% | 1.16× | 2.33 |
| Golden State Warriors −3.5 | 40.3% | 42.9% | 48.4% | 0.89× | 2.33 |
| Phoenix Suns −4.5 | 40.2% | 42.9% | 34.3% | 1.25× | 2.33 |
| Golden State Warriors −4.5 | 37.6% | 38.1% | 46.0% | 0.83× | 2.63 |
| Phoenix Suns −5.5 | 37.5% | 38.1% | 32.0% | 1.19× | 2.63 |
| Golden State Warriors −5.5 | 35.0% | 33.3% | 42.9% | 0.78× | 3.01 |
| Phoenix Suns −6.5 | 34.8% | 33.3% | 29.4% | 1.13× | 3.01 |
| Golden State Warriors −6.5 | 32.4% | 33.3% | 40.0% | 0.83× | 3.01 |
| Phoenix Suns −7.5 | 32.3% | 33.3% | 27.0% | 1.23× | 3.01 |
| Golden State Warriors −7.5 | 29.9% | 28.4% | 37.0% | 0.77× | 3.53 |
| Phoenix Suns −8.5 | 29.8% | 28.4% | 24.3% | 1.17× | 3.53 |
| Golden State Warriors −8.5 | 27.6% | 28.4% | 34.1% | 0.83× | 3.53 |
| Phoenix Suns −9.5 | 27.4% | 28.4% | 21.9% | 1.30× | 3.53 |
| Golden State Warriors −9.5 | 25.3% | 28.4% | 31.3% | 0.91× | 3.53 |
| Phoenix Suns −10.5 | 25.1% | 28.4% | 19.7% | 1.44× | 3.53 |
| Golden State Warriors −10.5 | 23.1% | 23.5% | 29.0% | 0.81× | 4.25 |
| Phoenix Suns −12.5 | 20.9% | 23.5% | 16.1% | 1.46× | 4.25 |
| Golden State Warriors −12.5 | 19.1% | 18.9% | 24.0% | 0.79× | 5.29 |
| Phoenix Suns −14.5 | 17.1% | 18.9% | 13.0% | 1.45× | 5.29 |
| Golden State Warriors −14.5 | 15.5% | 18.9% | 19.9% | 0.95× | 5.30 |
| Phoenix Suns −16.5 | 13.8% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 1.37× | 7.09 |
| Golden State Warriors −16.5 | 12.4% | 14.1% | 16.5% | 0.86× | 7.09 |
| Phoenix Suns −18.5 | 11.0% | 14.1% | 8.5% | 1.66× | 7.09 |
| Golden State Warriors −18.5 | 9.8% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 0.65× | 11.25 |
| Phoenix Suns −20.5 | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 1.29× | 11.25 |
| Golden State Warriors −20.5 | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 0.82× | 11.25 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half highest scoring | 56.5% | 52.6% | 53.5% | 0.98× | 1.90 |
| 2nd half highest scoring | 43.5% | 47.4% | 46.5% | 1.02× | 2.11 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 highest scoring | 28.2% | 27.4% | 29.2% | 0.94× | 3.65 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 27.9% | 27.4% | 27.5% | 1.00× | 3.65 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 26.6% | 27.4% | 26.3% | 1.04× | 3.65 |
| Q4 highest scoring | 17.3% | 18.3% | 17.0% | 1.08× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Suns at HT / Phoenix Suns at FT | 36.7% | 37.7% | 30.9% | 1.22× | 2.65 |
| Golden State Warriors at HT / Golden State Warriors at FT | 34.6% | 33.2% | 40.8% | 0.82× | 3.01 |
| Golden State Warriors at HT / Phoenix Suns at FT | 12.8% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 1.02× | 8.17 |
| Phoenix Suns at HT / Golden State Warriors at FT | 12.4% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 0.92× | 8.17 |
| Level at HT / Golden State Warriors at FT | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.22× | 47.76 |
| Level at HT / Phoenix Suns at FT | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.50× | 47.76 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Suns to win | 51.3% | 51.0% | 44.3% | 1.15× | 1.96 |
| Golden State Warriors to win | 48.7% | 49.0% | 55.7% | 0.88× | 2.04 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total points odd | 51.4% | 50.5% | 51.0% | 0.99× | 1.98 |
| Golden State Warriors even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.7% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Phoenix Suns even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.3% | 1.00× | 1.98 |
| Golden State Warriors odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.3% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| Phoenix Suns odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.7% | 1.00× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 48.6% | 49.5% | 49.0% | 1.01× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 92.8% | 94.0% | 94.8% | 0.99× | 1.06 |
| Match to go to overtime | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 1.16× | 16.65 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Suns to win Q1 | 48.2% | 47.6% | 44.1% | 1.08× | 2.10 |
| Golden State Warriors to win Q1 | 47.0% | 47.6% | 51.3% | 0.93× | 2.10 |
| Q1 tied | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 0.90× | 23.94 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 over 48.5 | 82.9% | 82.8% | 85.6% | 0.97× | 1.21 |
| Q1 under 64.5 | 82.5% | 82.8% | 80.1% | 1.03× | 1.21 |
| Q1 over 51.5 | 72.5% | 72.7% | 76.0% | 0.96× | 1.38 |
| Q1 under 61.5 | 71.9% | 72.7% | 68.5% | 1.06× | 1.38 |
| Q1 over 53.5 | 64.1% | 61.7% | 68.2% | 0.90× | 1.62 |
| Q1 under 59.5 | 63.5% | 61.7% | 60.0% | 1.03× | 1.62 |
| Q1 over 55.5 | 55.0% | 58.6% | 59.2% | 0.99× | 1.71 |
| Q1 under 57.5 | 54.3% | 52.7% | 50.4% | 1.04× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 56.5 | 50.4% | 52.7% | 54.6% | 0.96× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 56.5 | 49.6% | 47.3% | 45.4% | 1.04× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 57.5 | 45.7% | 47.3% | 49.6% | 0.96× | 2.11 |
| Q1 under 55.5 | 45.0% | 41.4% | 40.8% | 1.01× | 2.42 |
| Q1 over 59.5 | 36.5% | 38.3% | 40.0% | 0.96× | 2.61 |
| Q1 under 53.5 | 35.9% | 38.3% | 31.8% | 1.21× | 2.61 |
| Q1 over 61.5 | 28.1% | 27.3% | 31.5% | 0.87× | 3.66 |
| Q1 under 51.5 | 27.5% | 27.3% | 24.0% | 1.14× | 3.66 |
| Q1 over 64.5 | 17.5% | 17.2% | 19.9% | 0.86× | 5.83 |
| Q1 under 48.5 | 17.1% | 17.2% | 14.4% | 1.19× | 5.83 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Suns to win Q2 | 48.2% | 47.0% | 46.2% | 1.02× | 2.13 |
| Golden State Warriors to win Q2 | 47.0% | 47.0% | 49.3% | 0.95× | 2.13 |
| Q2 tied | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 0.98× | 22.88 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 under 64.5 | 83.2% | 83.0% | 80.9% | 1.03× | 1.21 |
| Q2 over 48.5 | 81.9% | 83.0% | 84.7% | 0.98× | 1.21 |
| Q2 under 61.5 | 72.9% | 72.0% | 70.4% | 1.02× | 1.39 |
| Q2 over 51.5 | 71.2% | 72.0% | 74.2% | 0.97× | 1.39 |
| Q2 under 59.5 | 64.7% | 60.7% | 61.9% | 0.98× | 1.65 |
| Q2 over 53.5 | 62.8% | 60.7% | 65.8% | 0.92× | 1.65 |
| Q2 under 57.5 | 55.7% | 58.2% | 52.7% | 1.10× | 1.72 |
| Q2 over 55.5 | 53.7% | 52.7% | 56.3% | 0.94× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 56.5 | 51.0% | 52.7% | 48.3% | 1.09× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 56.5 | 49.0% | 47.3% | 51.7% | 0.92× | 2.11 |
| Q2 under 55.5 | 46.3% | 47.3% | 43.7% | 1.08× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 57.5 | 44.3% | 41.8% | 47.3% | 0.89× | 2.39 |
| Q2 under 53.5 | 37.2% | 39.3% | 34.2% | 1.15× | 2.55 |
| Q2 over 59.5 | 35.3% | 39.3% | 38.1% | 1.03× | 2.55 |
| Q2 under 51.5 | 28.8% | 28.0% | 25.8% | 1.09× | 3.57 |
| Q2 over 61.5 | 27.1% | 28.0% | 29.6% | 0.95× | 3.57 |
| Q2 under 48.5 | 18.1% | 17.0% | 15.3% | 1.11× | 5.88 |
| Q2 over 64.5 | 16.8% | 17.0% | 19.1% | 0.89× | 5.88 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Suns to win Q3 | 48.2% | 47.6% | 44.3% | 1.07× | 2.10 |
| Golden State Warriors to win Q3 | 47.1% | 47.5% | 50.9% | 0.94× | 2.10 |
| Q3 tied | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 0.88× | 23.43 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 over 48.5 | 83.6% | 82.3% | 85.6% | 0.96× | 1.22 |
| Q3 under 64.5 | 82.2% | 82.3% | 79.2% | 1.04× | 1.22 |
| Q3 over 51.5 | 73.3% | 71.8% | 76.1% | 0.94× | 1.39 |
| Q3 under 61.5 | 71.5% | 71.8% | 67.7% | 1.06× | 1.39 |
| Q3 over 53.5 | 65.0% | 62.0% | 68.3% | 0.91× | 1.61 |
| Q3 under 59.5 | 62.9% | 61.9% | 59.0% | 1.05× | 1.61 |
| Q3 over 55.5 | 55.8% | 58.4% | 59.9% | 0.97× | 1.71 |
| Q3 under 57.5 | 53.6% | 52.3% | 49.8% | 1.05× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 56.5 | 51.1% | 52.3% | 55.0% | 0.95× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 56.5 | 48.9% | 47.7% | 45.0% | 1.06× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 57.5 | 46.4% | 47.7% | 50.2% | 0.95× | 2.10 |
| Q3 under 55.5 | 44.2% | 41.6% | 40.1% | 1.04× | 2.40 |
| Q3 over 59.5 | 37.1% | 38.1% | 41.0% | 0.93× | 2.63 |
| Q3 under 53.5 | 35.0% | 38.0% | 31.7% | 1.20× | 2.63 |
| Q3 over 61.5 | 28.5% | 28.2% | 32.3% | 0.87× | 3.55 |
| Q3 under 51.5 | 26.7% | 28.2% | 23.9% | 1.18× | 3.55 |
| Q3 over 64.5 | 17.8% | 17.7% | 20.8% | 0.85× | 5.66 |
| Q3 under 48.5 | 16.4% | 17.7% | 14.4% | 1.23× | 5.66 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Suns to win Q4 | 48.1% | 47.6% | 46.4% | 1.03× | 2.10 |
| Golden State Warriors to win Q4 | 47.0% | 47.6% | 48.3% | 0.98× | 2.10 |
| Q4 tied | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 0.98× | 19.28 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 under 62.5 | 83.6% | 82.0% | 80.4% | 1.02× | 1.22 |
| Q4 over 46.5 | 80.7% | 82.0% | 81.7% | 1.00× | 1.22 |
| Q4 under 59.5 | 73.6% | 71.5% | 70.2% | 1.02× | 1.40 |
| Q4 over 49.5 | 69.9% | 67.4% | 72.3% | 0.93× | 1.48 |
| Q4 under 57.5 | 65.6% | 67.4% | 61.9% | 1.09× | 1.48 |
| Q4 over 51.5 | 61.5% | 61.4% | 64.7% | 0.95× | 1.63 |
| Q4 under 55.5 | 56.7% | 58.4% | 52.9% | 1.10× | 1.71 |
| Q4 over 53.5 | 52.4% | 52.5% | 55.7% | 0.94× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 54.5 | 52.2% | 52.5% | 48.6% | 1.08× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 54.5 | 47.8% | 47.5% | 51.4% | 0.92× | 2.11 |
| Q4 under 53.5 | 47.6% | 47.5% | 44.3% | 1.07× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 55.5 | 43.3% | 41.6% | 47.1% | 0.88× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 51.5 | 38.5% | 38.6% | 35.3% | 1.09× | 2.59 |
| Q4 over 57.5 | 34.4% | 32.6% | 38.1% | 0.86× | 3.07 |
| Q4 under 49.5 | 30.1% | 32.6% | 27.7% | 1.18× | 3.07 |
| Q4 over 59.5 | 26.4% | 28.5% | 29.8% | 0.96× | 3.51 |
| Q4 under 46.5 | 19.3% | 18.0% | 18.3% | 0.98× | 5.56 |
| Q4 over 62.5 | 16.4% | 18.0% | 19.6% | 0.92× | 5.56 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Suns under 122.5 | 81.3% | 80.7% | 77.4% | 1.04× | 1.24 |
| Golden State Warriors over 101.5 | 80.2% | 80.7% | 86.0% | 0.94× | 1.24 |
| Golden State Warriors under 121.5 | 79.9% | 75.1% | 69.6% | 1.08× | 1.33 |
| Phoenix Suns over 102.5 | 79.2% | 75.1% | 79.7% | 0.94× | 1.33 |
| Phoenix Suns under 119.5 | 73.7% | 70.7% | 70.3% | 1.01× | 1.41 |
| Golden State Warriors over 104.5 | 72.4% | 70.7% | 79.8% | 0.89× | 1.41 |
| Golden State Warriors under 118.5 | 72.1% | 70.7% | 60.3% | 1.17× | 1.41 |
| Phoenix Suns over 105.5 | 71.2% | 70.7% | 71.9% | 0.98× | 1.41 |
| Phoenix Suns under 117.5 | 67.9% | 66.4% | 64.4% | 1.03× | 1.51 |
| Golden State Warriors over 106.5 | 66.5% | 66.4% | 75.1% | 0.88× | 1.51 |
| Golden State Warriors under 116.5 | 66.1% | 66.4% | 54.7% | 1.21× | 1.51 |
| Phoenix Suns over 107.5 | 65.1% | 66.4% | 66.6% | 1.00× | 1.51 |
| Phoenix Suns under 115.5 | 61.5% | 61.2% | 58.6% | 1.05× | 1.63 |
| Golden State Warriors over 108.5 | 60.2% | 61.2% | 69.9% | 0.88× | 1.63 |
| Golden State Warriors under 114.5 | 59.8% | 57.1% | 48.6% | 1.17× | 1.75 |
| Phoenix Suns over 109.5 | 58.6% | 57.1% | 60.9% | 0.94× | 1.75 |
| Golden State Warriors over 110.5 | 53.6% | 52.3% | 64.1% | 0.82× | 1.91 |
| Phoenix Suns under 113.5 | 54.9% | 52.3% | 52.0% | 1.00× | 1.91 |
| Golden State Warriors under 112.5 | 53.1% | 52.3% | 42.3% | 1.24× | 1.91 |
| Phoenix Suns over 111.5 | 51.9% | 52.3% | 54.6% | 0.96× | 1.91 |
| Phoenix Suns under 112.5 | 51.5% | 52.3% | 48.5% | 1.08× | 1.91 |
| Golden State Warriors over 111.5 | 50.2% | 52.3% | 61.1% | 0.86× | 1.91 |
| Golden State Warriors under 111.5 | 49.8% | 47.7% | 38.9% | 1.23× | 2.09 |
| Golden State Warriors over 112.5 | 46.9% | 47.7% | 57.7% | 0.83× | 2.09 |
| Phoenix Suns under 111.5 | 48.1% | 47.7% | 45.4% | 1.05× | 2.09 |
| Phoenix Suns over 112.5 | 48.5% | 47.7% | 51.5% | 0.93× | 2.09 |
| Golden State Warriors under 110.5 | 46.4% | 47.7% | 35.9% | 1.33× | 2.09 |
| Phoenix Suns over 113.5 | 45.1% | 47.7% | 48.0% | 1.00× | 2.09 |
| Phoenix Suns under 109.5 | 41.4% | 42.9% | 39.1% | 1.10× | 2.33 |
| Golden State Warriors over 114.5 | 40.2% | 42.9% | 51.4% | 0.84× | 2.33 |
| Golden State Warriors under 108.5 | 39.8% | 38.8% | 30.1% | 1.29× | 2.58 |
| Phoenix Suns over 115.5 | 38.5% | 38.8% | 41.4% | 0.94× | 2.58 |
| Phoenix Suns under 107.5 | 34.9% | 33.6% | 33.4% | 1.01× | 2.98 |
| Golden State Warriors under 106.5 | 33.5% | 33.6% | 24.9% | 1.35× | 2.98 |
| Golden State Warriors over 116.5 | 33.9% | 33.6% | 45.3% | 0.74× | 2.98 |
| Phoenix Suns over 117.5 | 32.1% | 33.6% | 35.6% | 0.94× | 2.98 |
| Phoenix Suns under 105.5 | 28.8% | 29.3% | 28.1% | 1.04× | 3.42 |
| Golden State Warriors under 104.5 | 27.6% | 29.3% | 20.2% | 1.45× | 3.42 |
| Golden State Warriors over 118.5 | 27.9% | 29.3% | 39.7% | 0.74× | 3.42 |
| Phoenix Suns over 119.5 | 26.3% | 29.3% | 29.7% | 0.99× | 3.42 |
| Phoenix Suns under 102.5 | 20.8% | 24.9% | 20.3% | 1.22× | 4.02 |
| Golden State Warriors over 121.5 | 20.1% | 24.9% | 30.4% | 0.82× | 4.02 |
| Golden State Warriors under 101.5 | 19.8% | 19.3% | 14.0% | 1.37× | 5.18 |
| Phoenix Suns over 122.5 | 18.7% | 19.3% | 22.6% | 0.85× | 5.18 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 203.5 points | 86.3% | 85.0% | 89.8% | 0.95× | 1.18 |
| Under 243.5 points | 86.0% | 85.0% | 78.2% | 1.09× | 1.18 |
| Over 208.5 points | 79.5% | 75.6% | 84.1% | 0.90× | 1.32 |
| Under 238.5 points | 79.1% | 75.6% | 70.9% | 1.07× | 1.32 |
| Over 213.5 points | 70.9% | 70.8% | 76.4% | 0.93× | 1.41 |
| Under 233.5 points | 70.5% | 70.8% | 61.4% | 1.15× | 1.41 |
| Over 216.5 points | 65.1% | 65.9% | 71.6% | 0.92× | 1.52 |
| Under 230.5 points | 64.6% | 61.5% | 55.4% | 1.11× | 1.63 |
| Over 218.5 points | 61.0% | 61.5% | 67.8% | 0.91× | 1.63 |
| Under 228.5 points | 60.4% | 61.5% | 51.3% | 1.20× | 1.63 |
| Over 220.5 points | 56.8% | 56.5% | 64.2% | 0.88× | 1.77 |
| Under 226.5 points | 56.2% | 56.5% | 47.3% | 1.20× | 1.77 |
| Over 222.5 points | 52.5% | 52.3% | 60.4% | 0.87× | 1.91 |
| Under 224.5 points | 51.9% | 52.3% | 43.5% | 1.20× | 1.91 |
| Over 223.5 points | 50.2% | 52.3% | 58.3% | 0.90× | 1.91 |
| Under 223.5 points | 49.8% | 47.7% | 41.7% | 1.14× | 2.10 |
| Under 222.5 points | 47.5% | 47.7% | 39.6% | 1.20× | 2.10 |
| Over 224.5 points | 48.1% | 47.7% | 56.5% | 0.84× | 2.10 |
| Under 220.5 points | 43.2% | 43.5% | 35.8% | 1.21× | 2.30 |
| Over 226.5 points | 43.8% | 43.5% | 52.7% | 0.82× | 2.30 |
| Over 228.5 points | 39.6% | 38.5% | 48.7% | 0.79× | 2.60 |
| Under 218.5 points | 39.0% | 38.5% | 32.2% | 1.20× | 2.60 |
| Over 230.5 points | 35.4% | 38.5% | 44.6% | 0.86× | 2.60 |
| Under 216.5 points | 34.9% | 34.1% | 28.4% | 1.20× | 2.93 |
| Under 213.5 points | 29.1% | 29.2% | 23.6% | 1.24× | 3.43 |
| Over 233.5 points | 29.5% | 29.2% | 38.6% | 0.75× | 3.43 |
| Over 238.5 points | 20.9% | 24.4% | 29.1% | 0.84× | 4.10 |
| Under 208.5 points | 20.5% | 24.4% | 15.9% | 1.53× | 4.10 |
| Over 243.5 points | 14.0% | 15.0% | 21.8% | 0.69× | 6.68 |
| Under 203.5 points | 13.7% | 15.0% | 10.2% | 1.47× | 6.68 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Suns to win both halves | 21.9% | 23.0% | 17.8% | 1.29× | 4.34 |
| Golden State Warriors to win both halves | 20.3% | 23.0% | 25.2% | 0.91× | 4.34 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State Warriors by 1-5 | 13.7% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 0.96× | 8.11 |
| Phoenix Suns by 1-5 | 13.9% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 1.01× | 8.11 |
| Golden State Warriors by 6-10 | 11.9% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 0.88× | 8.11 |
| Phoenix Suns by 6-10 | 12.3% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 1.00× | 8.11 |
| Phoenix Suns by 11-15 | 9.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 0.93× | 13.40 |
| Golden State Warriors by 11-15 | 9.2% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 0.69× | 13.40 |
| Golden State Warriors by 16-20 | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 1.02× | 13.40 |
| Phoenix Suns by 16-20 | 6.8% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 1.53× | 13.40 |
| Golden State Warriors by 21-25 | 3.8% | 2.0% | 4.7% | 0.43× | 49.29 |
| Phoenix Suns by 21-25 | 4.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 0.67× | 49.29 |
| Golden State Warriors by 26+ | 3.8% | 2.0% | 6.2% | 0.33× | 49.29 |
| Phoenix Suns by 26+ | 4.3% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 0.53× | 49.29 |