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Holy Cross Crusaders v Brown Bears — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 18 November 2026 · NCAAB · 2027

NCAAB results-only Prediction generated

Holy Cross Crusaders
v
Brown Bears

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Holy Cross Crusaders win
45.3%
Draw
0.0%
Brown Bears win
54.7%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 68.31–69.54 68-69 0% 49% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Holy Cross Crusaders to score 100+ 0.1% 0.4% 3.4% 0.10× 283.34
Holy Cross Crusaders to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.7% 0.52× 283.36
Holy Cross Crusaders to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.87× 283.36
Holy Cross Crusaders to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 19.47× 283.36
Brown Bears to score 100+ 0.1% 0.4% 1.1% 0.33× 283.34
Brown Bears to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.2% 1.95× 283.36
Brown Bears to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 12.98× 283.36
Brown Bears to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 38.95× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.4% 0.87× 283.36
H1 result 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brown Bears to win H1 50.5% 51.8% 38.2% 1.36× 1.93
Brown Bears to win H1 50.5% 51.8% 38.2% 1.36× 1.93
Holy Cross Crusaders to win H1 45.0% 47.3% 57.9% 0.82× 2.11
Holy Cross Crusaders to win H1 45.0% 42.7% 57.9% 0.74× 2.34
H1 tied 4.5% 3.9% 3.9% 0.99× 25.85
H1 tied 4.5% 3.9% 3.9% 0.99× 25.85
H1 total 40
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 77.5 87.6% 87.7% 78.3% 1.12× 1.14
H1 over 53.5 86.6% 87.7% 92.6% 0.95× 1.14
H1 under 73.5 78.9% 77.4% 66.6% 1.16× 1.29
H1 under 73.5 78.2% 77.4% 66.6% 1.16× 1.29
H1 over 57.5 77.4% 77.4% 85.5% 0.91× 1.29
H1 over 57.5 76.7% 77.4% 85.5% 0.91× 1.29
H1 under 70.5 69.6% 67.4% 56.5% 1.19× 1.48
H1 under 70.5 69.0% 67.4% 56.5% 1.19× 1.48
H1 over 60.5 67.7% 67.4% 77.9% 0.86× 1.48
H1 over 60.5 67.2% 67.4% 77.9% 0.86× 1.48
H1 under 68.5 62.5% 62.7% 49.3% 1.27× 1.59
H1 under 68.5 62.1% 62.7% 49.3% 1.27× 1.59
H1 over 62.5 60.4% 62.7% 72.0% 0.87× 1.59
H1 over 62.5 60.1% 62.7% 72.0% 0.87× 1.59
H1 under 66.5 55.0% 52.6% 41.8% 1.26× 1.90
H1 under 66.5 54.8% 52.6% 41.8% 1.26× 1.90
H1 over 64.5 52.8% 52.6% 65.3% 0.81× 1.90
H1 over 64.5 52.7% 52.6% 65.3% 0.81× 1.90
H1 under 65.5 51.1% 52.6% 38.1% 1.38× 1.90
H1 under 65.5 51.1% 52.6% 38.1% 1.38× 1.90
H1 over 65.5 48.9% 47.4% 61.9% 0.77× 2.11
H1 over 65.5 48.9% 47.4% 61.9% 0.77× 2.11
H1 under 64.5 47.2% 47.4% 34.8% 1.36× 2.11
H1 under 64.5 47.3% 47.4% 34.8% 1.36× 2.11
H1 over 66.5 45.0% 47.4% 58.2% 0.81× 2.11
H1 over 66.5 45.2% 47.4% 58.2% 0.81× 2.11
H1 under 62.5 39.6% 37.3% 28.0% 1.33× 2.68
H1 under 62.5 39.9% 37.3% 28.0% 1.33× 2.68
H1 over 68.5 37.5% 37.3% 50.7% 0.74× 2.68
H1 over 68.5 37.9% 37.3% 50.7% 0.74× 2.68
H1 under 60.5 32.3% 32.6% 22.1% 1.48× 3.07
H1 under 60.5 32.8% 32.6% 22.1% 1.48× 3.07
H1 over 70.5 31.0% 32.6% 43.5% 0.75× 3.07
H1 over 70.5 30.4% 32.6% 43.5% 0.75× 3.07
H1 under 57.5 23.3% 22.6% 14.5% 1.56× 4.43
H1 under 57.5 22.6% 22.6% 14.5% 1.56× 4.43
H1 over 73.5 21.1% 22.6% 33.4% 0.68× 4.43
H1 over 73.5 21.8% 22.6% 33.4% 0.68× 4.43
H1 under 53.5 13.4% 12.3% 7.4% 1.66× 8.13
H1 over 77.5 12.4% 12.3% 21.7% 0.57× 8.14
H2 result 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brown Bears to win H2 50.8% 51.2% 38.9% 1.32× 1.95
Brown Bears to win H2 50.7% 51.2% 38.5% 1.33× 1.95
Holy Cross Crusaders to win H2 44.9% 43.6% 56.9% 0.77× 2.30
Holy Cross Crusaders to win H2 44.9% 43.6% 57.5% 0.76× 2.30
H2 tied 4.4% 3.9% 4.2% 0.95× 25.35
H2 tied 4.4% 3.9% 4.1% 0.97× 25.35
H2 total 40
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 60.5 86.1% 85.2% 92.7% 0.92× 1.17
H2 under 84.5 85.3% 85.2% 70.5% 1.21× 1.17
H2 over 64.5 77.3% 75.8% 85.3% 0.89× 1.32
H2 over 64.5 76.7% 75.8% 86.5% 0.88× 1.32
H2 under 80.5 76.2% 75.8% 62.9% 1.21× 1.32
H2 under 80.5 75.6% 75.8% 59.2% 1.28× 1.32
H2 over 67.5 68.3% 66.4% 78.2% 0.85× 1.51
H2 over 67.5 67.8% 66.4% 80.0% 0.83× 1.51
H2 under 77.5 67.0% 66.4% 53.0% 1.25× 1.51
H2 under 77.5 66.5% 66.4% 49.8% 1.33× 1.51
H2 over 69.5 61.5% 61.6% 72.8% 0.85× 1.62
H2 over 69.5 61.2% 61.6% 74.8% 0.82× 1.62
H2 under 75.5 60.1% 61.6% 46.6% 1.32× 1.62
H2 under 75.5 59.8% 57.3% 43.6% 1.32× 1.74
H2 over 71.5 54.3% 52.4% 66.4% 0.79× 1.91
H2 over 71.5 54.2% 52.4% 68.8% 0.76× 1.91
H2 under 73.5 52.9% 52.4% 39.6% 1.32× 1.91
H2 under 73.5 52.9% 52.4% 36.9% 1.42× 1.91
H2 over 72.5 50.7% 52.4% 63.4% 0.83× 1.91
H2 over 72.5 50.7% 52.4% 65.9% 0.79× 1.91
H2 under 72.5 49.3% 47.6% 36.6% 1.30× 2.10
H2 under 72.5 49.3% 47.6% 34.1% 1.40× 2.10
H2 over 73.5 47.1% 47.6% 60.4% 0.79× 2.10
H2 over 73.5 47.1% 47.6% 63.1% 0.76× 2.10
H2 under 71.5 45.7% 47.6% 33.6% 1.42× 2.10
H2 under 71.5 45.8% 47.6% 31.2% 1.52× 2.10
H2 over 75.5 40.2% 42.7% 56.4% 0.76× 2.35
H2 over 75.5 39.9% 38.4% 53.4% 0.72× 2.61
H2 under 69.5 38.5% 38.4% 27.2% 1.41× 2.61
H2 under 69.5 38.8% 38.4% 25.2% 1.52× 2.61
H2 over 77.5 33.0% 33.6% 47.0% 0.72× 2.97
H2 over 77.5 33.5% 33.6% 50.2% 0.67× 2.97
H2 under 67.5 31.7% 33.6% 21.8% 1.55× 2.97
H2 under 67.5 32.2% 33.6% 20.0% 1.68× 2.97
H2 over 80.5 23.8% 24.2% 37.1% 0.65× 4.13
H2 over 80.5 24.4% 24.2% 40.8% 0.59× 4.13
H2 under 64.5 22.7% 24.2% 14.7% 1.64× 4.13
H2 under 64.5 23.3% 24.2% 13.5% 1.79× 4.13
H2 over 84.5 14.7% 14.8% 29.5% 0.50× 6.76
H2 under 60.5 13.9% 14.8% 7.3% 2.03× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brown Bears leading at half time 50.5% 51.8% 38.2% 1.36× 1.93
Holy Cross Crusaders leading at half time 45.0% 47.2% 57.9% 0.82× 2.12
Level at half time 4.5% 3.8% 3.9% 0.97× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brown Bears +18.5 96.6% 97.4% 83.9% 1.16× 1.03
Brown Bears +20.5 97.8% 97.4% 86.5% 1.13× 1.03
Holy Cross Crusaders +20.5 96.3% 97.4% 96.5% 1.01× 1.03
Brown Bears +16.5 94.9% 91.1% 80.7% 1.13× 1.10
Holy Cross Crusaders +18.5 94.5% 91.1% 95.4% 0.95× 1.10
Brown Bears +14.5 92.6% 91.1% 77.2% 1.18× 1.10
Holy Cross Crusaders +16.5 92.1% 91.1% 94.0% 0.97× 1.10
Brown Bears +12.5 89.6% 85.9% 72.4% 1.19× 1.16
Holy Cross Crusaders +14.5 88.9% 85.9% 92.2% 0.93× 1.16
Brown Bears +10.5 85.8% 85.9% 67.4% 1.28× 1.16
Brown Bears +9.5 83.5% 81.1% 64.5% 1.26× 1.23
Holy Cross Crusaders +12.5 84.9% 81.1% 89.9% 0.90× 1.23
Brown Bears +8.5 81.1% 81.1% 61.5% 1.32× 1.23
Holy Cross Crusaders +10.5 80.0% 76.5% 87.2% 0.88× 1.31
Brown Bears +7.5 78.4% 76.5% 58.7% 1.30× 1.31
Holy Cross Crusaders +9.5 77.2% 76.5% 85.3% 0.90× 1.31
Brown Bears +6.5 75.5% 76.5% 55.7% 1.37× 1.31
Holy Cross Crusaders +8.5 74.2% 71.6% 83.3% 0.86× 1.40
Brown Bears +5.5 72.5% 71.6% 53.0% 1.35× 1.40
Holy Cross Crusaders +7.5 71.1% 71.6% 81.0% 0.88× 1.40
Brown Bears +4.5 69.2% 66.7% 49.3% 1.35× 1.50
Holy Cross Crusaders +6.5 67.7% 66.7% 78.8% 0.85× 1.50
Brown Bears +3.5 65.8% 66.7% 45.9% 1.46× 1.50
Holy Cross Crusaders +5.5 64.2% 61.9% 76.4% 0.81× 1.62
Brown Bears +2.5 62.2% 61.9% 42.3% 1.46× 1.62
Holy Cross Crusaders +4.5 60.6% 61.9% 73.7% 0.84× 1.62
Brown Bears +1.5 58.5% 57.1% 39.2% 1.46× 1.75
Holy Cross Crusaders +3.5 56.8% 57.1% 70.8% 0.81× 1.75
Holy Cross Crusaders +2.5 53.0% 52.4% 68.0% 0.77× 1.91
Brown Bears −1.5 50.8% 52.4% 34.6% 1.51× 1.91
Holy Cross Crusaders +1.5 49.2% 47.6% 65.4% 0.73× 2.10
Brown Bears −2.5 47.0% 47.6% 32.0% 1.49× 2.10
Brown Bears −3.5 43.2% 42.9% 29.3% 1.47× 2.33
Holy Cross Crusaders −1.5 41.5% 42.9% 60.8% 0.71× 2.33
Brown Bears −4.5 39.4% 38.1% 26.3% 1.45× 2.63
Holy Cross Crusaders −2.5 37.8% 38.1% 57.7% 0.66× 2.63
Brown Bears −5.5 35.8% 38.1% 23.6% 1.61× 2.63
Holy Cross Crusaders −3.5 34.2% 33.3% 54.1% 0.61× 3.01
Brown Bears −6.5 32.3% 33.3% 21.2% 1.57× 3.01
Holy Cross Crusaders −4.5 30.8% 33.3% 50.7% 0.66× 3.01
Brown Bears −7.5 28.9% 28.4% 19.0% 1.49× 3.53
Holy Cross Crusaders −5.5 27.5% 28.4% 47.0% 0.60× 3.53
Brown Bears −8.5 25.8% 28.4% 16.7% 1.70× 3.53
Holy Cross Crusaders −6.5 24.5% 23.5% 44.3% 0.53× 4.25
Holy Cross Crusaders −7.5 21.6% 23.5% 41.3% 0.57× 4.25
Brown Bears −9.5 22.8% 23.5% 14.7% 1.61× 4.25
Brown Bears −10.5 20.0% 23.5% 12.8% 1.83× 4.25
Holy Cross Crusaders −8.5 18.9% 18.9% 38.5% 0.49× 5.29
Holy Cross Crusaders −9.5 16.5% 18.9% 35.5% 0.53× 5.30
Brown Bears −12.5 15.1% 18.9% 10.1% 1.87× 5.30
Holy Cross Crusaders −10.5 14.2% 14.1% 32.6% 0.43× 7.09
Holy Cross Crusaders −12.5 10.4% 14.1% 27.6% 0.51× 7.09
Brown Bears −14.5 11.1% 14.1% 7.8% 1.80× 7.09
Brown Bears −16.5 7.9% 8.9% 6.0% 1.49× 11.25
Holy Cross Crusaders −14.5 7.4% 8.9% 22.8% 0.39× 11.25
Holy Cross Crusaders −16.5 5.1% 8.9% 19.3% 0.46× 11.25
Brown Bears −18.5 5.5% 8.9% 4.6% 1.95× 11.25
Holy Cross Crusaders −18.5 3.4% 2.6% 16.1% 0.16× 38.73
Holy Cross Crusaders −20.5 2.2% 2.6% 13.5% 0.19× 38.73
Brown Bears −20.5 3.7% 2.6% 3.5% 0.75× 38.73
Highest scoring half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 highest scoring 77.6% 71.6% 70.4% 1.02× 1.40
2nd half highest scoring 76.1% 71.6% 72.5% 0.99× 1.40
1st half highest scoring 23.9% 28.4% 27.5% 1.03× 3.53
H1 highest scoring 22.4% 28.4% 29.6% 0.96× 3.53
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brown Bears at HT / Brown Bears at FT 37.8% 37.8% 25.8% 1.46× 2.65
Holy Cross Crusaders at HT / Holy Cross Crusaders at FT 30.5% 33.2% 48.6% 0.68× 3.01
Holy Cross Crusaders at HT / Brown Bears at FT 14.5% 12.2% 9.3% 1.31× 8.17
Brown Bears at HT / Holy Cross Crusaders at FT 12.7% 12.2% 12.4% 0.99× 8.17
Level at HT / Holy Cross Crusaders at FT 2.1% 2.1% 2.3% 0.92× 47.76
Level at HT / Brown Bears at FT 2.4% 2.1% 1.6% 1.28× 47.75
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brown Bears to win 54.7% 51.0% 36.8% 1.39× 1.96
Holy Cross Crusaders to win 45.3% 49.0% 63.2% 0.77× 2.04
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.9% 50.5% 51.6% 0.98× 1.98
Holy Cross Crusaders even 50.0% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Brown Bears even 50.0% 50.5% 50.4% 1.00× 1.98
Holy Cross Crusaders odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Brown Bears odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.6% 1.00× 2.02
Total points even 48.1% 49.5% 48.4% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 92.0% 94.0% 94.2% 1.00× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 8.0% 6.0% 5.8% 1.04× 16.64
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Holy Cross Crusaders under 78.5 85.1% 83.9% 58.4% 1.44× 1.19
Brown Bears over 59.5 85.4% 83.9% 84.5% 0.99× 1.19
Brown Bears under 79.5 84.9% 80.7% 76.3% 1.06× 1.24
Holy Cross Crusaders over 58.5 84.2% 80.7% 93.4% 0.86× 1.24
Holy Cross Crusaders under 75.5 76.8% 75.1% 49.0% 1.53× 1.33
Brown Bears over 62.5 77.0% 75.1% 76.6% 0.98× 1.33
Brown Bears under 76.5 76.4% 75.1% 67.9% 1.11× 1.33
Holy Cross Crusaders over 61.5 75.7% 75.1% 89.0% 0.84× 1.33
Holy Cross Crusaders under 73.5 70.2% 70.7% 42.6% 1.66× 1.41
Brown Bears over 64.5 70.2% 70.7% 70.7% 1.00× 1.41
Holy Cross Crusaders over 63.5 68.8% 66.4% 85.4% 0.78× 1.51
Brown Bears under 74.5 69.6% 66.4% 61.7% 1.08× 1.51
Holy Cross Crusaders under 71.5 62.8% 61.2% 36.3% 1.69× 1.63
Brown Bears over 66.5 62.6% 61.2% 64.7% 0.95× 1.63
Holy Cross Crusaders over 65.5 61.3% 61.2% 81.1% 0.75× 1.63
Brown Bears under 72.5 61.9% 61.2% 55.3% 1.11× 1.63
Holy Cross Crusaders under 69.5 54.8% 52.3% 30.4% 1.72× 1.91
Brown Bears over 68.5 54.5% 52.3% 58.4% 0.89× 1.91
Brown Bears under 70.5 53.8% 52.3% 48.7% 1.07× 1.91
Holy Cross Crusaders over 67.5 53.3% 52.3% 75.9% 0.69× 1.91
Holy Cross Crusaders under 68.5 50.8% 52.3% 27.3% 1.91× 1.91
Brown Bears over 69.5 50.4% 52.3% 54.8% 0.95× 1.91
Holy Cross Crusaders over 68.5 49.2% 47.7% 72.7% 0.66× 2.09
Brown Bears under 69.5 49.6% 47.7% 45.2% 1.06× 2.09
Holy Cross Crusaders under 67.5 46.7% 47.7% 24.1% 1.98× 2.09
Holy Cross Crusaders over 69.5 45.2% 47.7% 69.6% 0.69× 2.09
Brown Bears under 68.5 45.5% 47.7% 41.6% 1.15× 2.09
Brown Bears over 70.5 46.2% 47.7% 51.4% 0.93× 2.09
Holy Cross Crusaders under 65.5 38.7% 38.8% 18.9% 2.06× 2.58
Brown Bears over 72.5 38.1% 38.8% 44.7% 0.87× 2.58
Holy Cross Crusaders over 71.5 37.2% 38.8% 63.7% 0.61× 2.58
Brown Bears under 66.5 37.4% 38.8% 35.3% 1.10× 2.58
Holy Cross Crusaders under 63.5 31.2% 33.6% 14.6% 2.30× 2.98
Brown Bears over 74.5 30.4% 33.6% 38.3% 0.88× 2.98
Holy Cross Crusaders over 73.5 29.8% 29.3% 57.4% 0.51× 3.42
Brown Bears under 64.5 29.8% 29.3% 29.3% 1.00× 3.42
Holy Cross Crusaders under 61.5 24.3% 24.9% 11.0% 2.27× 4.02
Holy Cross Crusaders over 75.5 23.2% 24.9% 51.0% 0.49× 4.02
Brown Bears under 62.5 23.0% 24.9% 23.4% 1.06× 4.02
Brown Bears over 76.5 23.6% 24.9% 32.1% 0.78× 4.02
Holy Cross Crusaders under 58.5 15.8% 19.3% 6.6% 2.92× 5.18
Brown Bears over 79.5 15.1% 19.3% 23.7% 0.81× 5.18
Holy Cross Crusaders over 78.5 14.9% 16.1% 41.6% 0.39× 6.21
Brown Bears under 59.5 14.6% 16.1% 15.5% 1.04× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 158.5 points 90.1% 88.8% 73.3% 1.21× 1.13
Over 118.5 points 88.9% 85.0% 94.7% 0.90× 1.18
Under 153.5 points 83.6% 80.6% 64.6% 1.25× 1.24
Over 123.5 points 81.6% 80.6% 90.5% 0.89× 1.24
Under 148.5 points 74.6% 70.8% 54.3% 1.31× 1.41
Over 128.5 points 72.2% 70.8% 84.5% 0.84× 1.41
Under 145.5 points 68.3% 65.9% 48.2% 1.37× 1.52
Over 131.5 points 65.5% 65.9% 79.9% 0.82× 1.52
Under 143.5 points 63.7% 61.5% 43.7% 1.41× 1.63
Over 133.5 points 60.8% 61.5% 76.4% 0.80× 1.63
Under 141.5 points 59.0% 56.5% 39.6% 1.43× 1.77
Over 135.5 points 55.9% 56.5% 72.9% 0.78× 1.77
Under 139.5 points 54.0% 52.3% 35.4% 1.48× 1.91
Over 137.5 points 50.9% 52.3% 69.0% 0.76× 1.91
Under 138.5 points 51.5% 52.3% 33.0% 1.59× 1.91
Under 137.5 points 49.1% 47.7% 31.0% 1.54× 2.10
Over 138.5 points 48.5% 47.7% 67.0% 0.71× 2.10
Over 139.5 points 46.0% 47.7% 64.6% 0.74× 2.10
Under 135.5 points 44.1% 43.5% 27.1% 1.60× 2.30
Over 141.5 points 41.0% 43.5% 60.4% 0.72× 2.30
Under 133.5 points 39.2% 38.5% 23.6% 1.63× 2.60
Over 143.5 points 36.3% 38.5% 56.3% 0.68× 2.60
Under 131.5 points 34.5% 34.1% 20.1% 1.70× 2.93
Over 145.5 points 31.7% 34.1% 51.8% 0.66× 2.93
Under 128.5 points 27.8% 29.2% 15.5% 1.89× 3.43
Over 148.5 points 25.4% 29.2% 45.7% 0.64× 3.43
Under 123.5 points 18.4% 19.4% 9.5% 2.05× 5.15
Over 153.5 points 16.4% 19.4% 35.4% 0.55× 5.15
Under 118.5 points 11.1% 15.0% 5.3% 2.80× 6.69
Over 158.5 points 9.9% 11.2% 26.7% 0.42× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brown Bears to win both halves 21.9% 23.0% 14.5% 1.58× 4.34
Holy Cross Crusaders to win both halves 16.6% 18.9% 33.2% 0.57× 5.30
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brown Bears by 1-5 18.9% 16.8% 13.2% 1.27× 5.97
Holy Cross Crusaders by 1-5 17.8% 16.8% 16.2% 1.03× 5.97
Brown Bears by 6-10 15.8% 16.8% 10.8% 1.55× 5.97
Holy Cross Crusaders by 6-10 13.3% 12.3% 14.4% 0.86× 8.11
Brown Bears by 11-15 10.6% 12.3% 6.1% 2.04× 8.11
Holy Cross Crusaders by 11-15 8.1% 7.5% 11.6% 0.64× 13.40
Brown Bears by 16-20 5.7% 7.5% 3.3% 2.24× 13.40
Holy Cross Crusaders by 16-20 3.9% 2.0% 7.6% 0.27× 49.29
Holy Cross Crusaders by 21-25 1.6% 2.0% 5.6% 0.36× 49.31
Brown Bears by 21-25 2.5% 2.0% 1.9% 1.06× 49.31
Holy Cross Crusaders by 26+ 0.6% 2.0% 7.9% 0.26× 49.32
Brown Bears by 26+ 1.2% 2.0% 1.6% 1.30× 49.32
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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