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Holy Cross Crusaders v Bryant Bulldogs — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 16 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Holy Cross Crusaders win
69.3%
Draw
0.0%
Bryant Bulldogs win
30.7%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 60.16–54.44 60-54 0% 54% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Holy Cross Crusaders to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.36
Holy Cross Crusaders to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Holy Cross Crusaders to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Holy Cross Crusaders to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Bryant Bulldogs to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.71× 283.36
Bryant Bulldogs to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Bryant Bulldogs to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Bryant Bulldogs to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Holy Cross Crusaders to win H1 59.5% 57.3% 56.4% 1.02× 1.75
Bryant Bulldogs to win H1 36.1% 37.8% 39.9% 0.95× 2.64
H1 tied 4.4% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 43.5 89.3% 87.7% 95.8% 0.92× 1.14
H1 under 67.5 88.8% 87.7% 70.4% 1.25× 1.14
H1 under 63.5 79.2% 77.4% 57.1% 1.36× 1.29
H1 over 47.5 79.4% 77.4% 90.6% 0.86× 1.29
H1 over 50.5 69.4% 67.4% 84.5% 0.80× 1.48
H1 under 60.5 69.6% 67.4% 46.1% 1.46× 1.48
H1 under 58.5 62.2% 62.7% 38.6% 1.63× 1.59
H1 over 52.5 61.9% 62.7% 79.6% 0.79× 1.59
H1 over 54.5 53.9% 52.6% 74.0% 0.71× 1.90
H1 under 56.5 54.3% 52.6% 31.8% 1.66× 1.90
H1 under 55.5 50.2% 52.6% 29.0% 1.82× 1.90
H1 over 55.5 49.8% 47.4% 71.0% 0.67× 2.11
H1 under 54.5 46.1% 47.4% 26.0% 1.82× 2.11
H1 over 56.5 45.7% 47.4% 68.2% 0.69× 2.11
H1 under 52.5 38.1% 37.3% 20.4% 1.83× 2.68
H1 over 58.5 37.8% 37.3% 61.4% 0.61× 2.68
H1 under 50.5 30.6% 32.6% 15.5% 2.11× 3.07
H1 over 60.5 30.4% 32.6% 53.9% 0.60× 3.07
H1 under 47.5 20.6% 22.6% 9.4% 2.39× 4.43
H1 over 63.5 20.8% 22.6% 42.9% 0.53× 4.43
H1 over 67.5 11.2% 12.3% 29.6% 0.41× 8.14
H1 under 43.5 10.7% 12.3% 4.2% 2.90× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Holy Cross Crusaders to win H2 60.3% 58.8% 56.0% 1.05× 1.70
Bryant Bulldogs to win H2 35.5% 41.2% 40.6% 1.02× 2.43
H2 tied 4.2% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.35
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 73.5 89.1% 85.2% 67.1% 1.27× 1.17
H2 over 49.5 86.8% 85.2% 95.0% 0.90× 1.17
H2 under 69.5 80.2% 81.8% 54.8% 1.49× 1.22
H2 over 53.5 76.2% 75.8% 89.7% 0.85× 1.32
H2 under 66.5 71.2% 72.2% 44.6% 1.62× 1.39
H2 over 56.5 66.0% 66.4% 84.1% 0.79× 1.51
H2 under 64.5 64.3% 61.6% 37.9% 1.63× 1.62
H2 over 58.5 58.6% 57.3% 79.6% 0.72× 1.74
H2 under 62.5 56.9% 57.3% 31.7% 1.81× 1.74
H2 under 61.5 53.1% 52.4% 28.7% 1.82× 1.91
H2 over 60.5 50.8% 52.4% 74.5% 0.70× 1.91
H2 under 60.5 49.2% 47.6% 25.5% 1.87× 2.10
H2 over 61.5 46.9% 47.6% 71.3% 0.67× 2.10
H2 over 62.5 43.1% 42.7% 68.3% 0.62× 2.34
H2 under 58.5 41.4% 42.7% 20.4% 2.09× 2.34
H2 over 64.5 35.7% 38.4% 62.1% 0.62× 2.61
H2 under 56.5 34.0% 33.6% 15.9% 2.12× 2.97
H2 over 66.5 28.8% 27.8% 55.4% 0.50× 3.59
H2 under 53.5 23.8% 24.2% 10.3% 2.34× 4.13
H2 over 69.5 19.8% 18.2% 45.2% 0.40× 5.50
H2 under 49.5 13.2% 14.8% 5.0% 2.94× 6.76
H2 over 73.5 10.9% 14.8% 32.9% 0.45× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Holy Cross Crusaders leading at half time 59.5% 57.0% 56.4% 1.01× 1.76
Bryant Bulldogs leading at half time 36.1% 37.8% 39.9% 0.95× 2.64
Level at half time 4.4% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Holy Cross Crusaders +14.5 96.6% 97.4% 86.7% 1.12× 1.03
Holy Cross Crusaders +16.5 97.8% 97.4% 89.1% 1.09× 1.03
Holy Cross Crusaders +18.5 98.6% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
Holy Cross Crusaders +20.5 99.2% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
Holy Cross Crusaders +12.5 94.9% 91.1% 83.8% 1.09× 1.10
Holy Cross Crusaders +10.5 92.6% 91.1% 80.4% 1.13× 1.10
Bryant Bulldogs +20.5 92.2% 91.1% 82.0% 1.11× 1.10
Holy Cross Crusaders +9.5 91.2% 91.1% 78.7% 1.16× 1.10
Holy Cross Crusaders +8.5 89.6% 85.9% 76.5% 1.12× 1.16
Bryant Bulldogs +18.5 88.9% 85.9% 79.3% 1.08× 1.16
Holy Cross Crusaders +7.5 87.8% 85.9% 74.5% 1.15× 1.16
Holy Cross Crusaders +6.5 85.8% 85.9% 72.3% 1.19× 1.16
Bryant Bulldogs +16.5 84.9% 81.1% 75.7% 1.07× 1.23
Holy Cross Crusaders +5.5 83.6% 81.1% 70.1% 1.16× 1.23
Holy Cross Crusaders +4.5 81.2% 81.1% 67.8% 1.20× 1.23
Bryant Bulldogs +14.5 80.0% 76.5% 72.1% 1.06× 1.31
Holy Cross Crusaders +3.5 78.5% 76.5% 65.7% 1.16× 1.31
Holy Cross Crusaders +2.5 75.6% 76.5% 63.3% 1.21× 1.31
Bryant Bulldogs +12.5 74.2% 71.6% 67.9% 1.06× 1.40
Holy Cross Crusaders +1.5 72.6% 71.6% 61.2% 1.17× 1.40
Bryant Bulldogs +10.5 67.7% 66.7% 63.2% 1.06× 1.50
Holy Cross Crusaders −1.5 65.8% 66.7% 58.7% 1.14× 1.50
Bryant Bulldogs +9.5 64.2% 61.9% 60.7% 1.02× 1.62
Holy Cross Crusaders −2.5 62.1% 61.9% 56.7% 1.09× 1.62
Bryant Bulldogs +8.5 60.6% 61.9% 58.0% 1.07× 1.62
Holy Cross Crusaders −3.5 58.4% 57.1% 54.2% 1.05× 1.75
Bryant Bulldogs +7.5 56.9% 57.1% 55.2% 1.03× 1.75
Holy Cross Crusaders −4.5 54.5% 52.4% 52.2% 1.00× 1.91
Bryant Bulldogs +6.5 53.1% 52.4% 52.4% 1.00× 1.91
Holy Cross Crusaders −5.5 50.7% 52.4% 49.7% 1.05× 1.91
Bryant Bulldogs +5.5 49.3% 47.6% 50.3% 0.95× 2.10
Holy Cross Crusaders −6.5 46.9% 47.6% 47.6% 1.00× 2.10
Bryant Bulldogs +4.5 45.5% 47.6% 47.8% 1.00× 2.10
Holy Cross Crusaders −7.5 43.1% 42.9% 44.8% 0.96× 2.33
Bryant Bulldogs +3.5 41.6% 42.9% 45.8% 0.94× 2.33
Holy Cross Crusaders −8.5 39.4% 38.1% 42.0% 0.91× 2.63
Bryant Bulldogs +2.5 37.9% 38.1% 43.3% 0.88× 2.63
Holy Cross Crusaders −9.5 35.8% 38.1% 39.3% 0.97× 2.63
Bryant Bulldogs +1.5 34.2% 33.3% 41.3% 0.81× 3.01
Holy Cross Crusaders −10.5 32.3% 33.3% 36.8% 0.90× 3.01
Bryant Bulldogs −1.5 27.4% 28.4% 38.8% 0.73× 3.53
Holy Cross Crusaders −12.5 25.8% 28.4% 32.1% 0.88× 3.53
Bryant Bulldogs −2.5 24.4% 23.5% 36.7% 0.64× 4.25
Bryant Bulldogs −3.5 21.5% 23.5% 34.3% 0.69× 4.25
Holy Cross Crusaders −14.5 20.0% 23.5% 27.9% 0.84× 4.25
Bryant Bulldogs −4.5 18.8% 18.9% 32.2% 0.59× 5.29
Bryant Bulldogs −5.5 16.4% 18.9% 29.9% 0.63× 5.30
Holy Cross Crusaders −16.5 15.1% 18.9% 24.3% 0.78× 5.30
Bryant Bulldogs −6.5 14.2% 14.1% 27.7% 0.51× 7.09
Bryant Bulldogs −7.5 12.2% 14.1% 25.5% 0.55× 7.09
Bryant Bulldogs −8.5 10.4% 14.1% 23.5% 0.60× 7.09
Holy Cross Crusaders −18.5 11.1% 14.1% 20.7% 0.68× 7.09
Bryant Bulldogs −9.5 8.8% 8.9% 21.3% 0.42× 11.25
Bryant Bulldogs −10.5 7.4% 8.9% 19.6% 0.45× 11.25
Holy Cross Crusaders −20.5 7.9% 8.9% 18.0% 0.49× 11.25
Bryant Bulldogs −12.5 5.1% 8.9% 16.2% 0.55× 11.25
Bryant Bulldogs −14.5 3.4% 2.6% 13.3% 0.19× 38.73
Bryant Bulldogs −16.5 2.2% 2.6% 10.9% 0.24× 38.73
Bryant Bulldogs −18.5 1.4% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.73
Bryant Bulldogs −20.5 0.8% 2.6% 7.3% 0.35× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 69.8% 71.6% 66.7% 1.07× 1.40
1st half highest scoring 30.2% 28.4% 33.3% 0.85× 3.52
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 33.5% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 31.7% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 18.1% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 16.7% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Holy Cross Crusaders at HT / Holy Cross Crusaders at FT 50.4% 51.1% 48.3% 1.06× 1.96
Bryant Bulldogs at HT / Bryant Bulldogs at FT 20.0% 24.4% 30.1% 0.81× 4.10
Bryant Bulldogs at HT / Holy Cross Crusaders at FT 16.1% 15.5% 9.8% 1.58× 6.47
Holy Cross Crusaders at HT / Bryant Bulldogs at FT 9.2% 8.3% 8.2% 1.01× 12.08
Level at HT / Holy Cross Crusaders at FT 2.9% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.74
Level at HT / Bryant Bulldogs at FT 1.5% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.77
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Holy Cross Crusaders to win 69.3% 64.5% 59.9% 1.08× 1.55
Bryant Bulldogs to win 30.7% 35.5% 40.1% 0.89× 2.82
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.7% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Holy Cross Crusaders even 50.1% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Bryant Bulldogs even 50.3% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Holy Cross Crusaders odd 49.9% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Bryant Bulldogs odd 49.7% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 48.3% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 94.3% 94.0% 95.6% 0.98× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 5.7% 6.0% 4.4% 1.35× 16.66
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Holy Cross Crusaders to win Q1 54.9% 52.6% 54.7% 0.96× 1.90
Bryant Bulldogs to win Q1 39.0% 38.3% 40.4% 0.95× 2.61
Q1 tied 6.0% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.32
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 36.5 90.1% 91.1% 77.4% 1.18× 1.10
Q1 over 20.5 86.9% 87.4% 93.7% 0.93× 1.14
Q1 under 33.5 80.0% 76.9% 64.0% 1.20× 1.30
Q1 over 23.5 74.7% 72.7% 85.4% 0.85× 1.38
Q1 under 31.5 70.6% 72.7% 54.0% 1.35× 1.38
Q1 over 25.5 64.1% 61.7% 77.6% 0.80× 1.62
Q1 under 29.5 59.5% 58.6% 43.1% 1.36× 1.71
Q1 under 28.5 53.6% 52.7% 37.3% 1.41× 1.90
Q1 over 27.5 52.4% 52.7% 67.7% 0.78× 1.90
Q1 under 27.5 47.6% 47.3% 32.3% 1.47× 2.11
Q1 over 28.5 46.4% 47.3% 62.7% 0.76× 2.11
Q1 over 29.5 40.5% 41.4% 56.9% 0.73× 2.42
Q1 under 25.5 35.9% 38.3% 22.4% 1.71× 2.61
Q1 over 31.5 29.4% 27.3% 46.0% 0.59× 3.66
Q1 under 23.5 25.3% 27.3% 14.6% 1.87× 3.67
Q1 over 33.5 20.0% 23.1% 36.0% 0.64× 4.33
Q1 under 20.5 13.1% 12.6% 6.3% 1.99× 7.95
Q1 over 36.5 9.9% 8.9% 22.6% 0.40× 11.19
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Holy Cross Crusaders to win Q2 54.7% 51.4% 52.9% 0.97× 1.95
Bryant Bulldogs to win Q2 39.3% 35.8% 41.5% 0.86× 2.79
Q2 tied 5.9% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.49
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 over 19.5 89.1% 87.3% 94.6% 0.92× 1.15
Q2 under 35.5 88.1% 87.3% 74.6% 1.17× 1.15
Q2 over 22.5 78.0% 76.8% 87.4% 0.88× 1.30
Q2 under 32.5 76.9% 76.8% 60.8% 1.26× 1.30
Q2 over 24.5 68.1% 67.4% 80.7% 0.83× 1.49
Q2 under 30.5 66.8% 67.4% 50.1% 1.34× 1.49
Q2 over 26.5 56.6% 58.2% 71.6% 0.81× 1.72
Q2 under 28.5 55.3% 58.2% 38.8% 1.50× 1.72
Q2 over 27.5 50.7% 52.7% 66.7% 0.79× 1.90
Q2 under 27.5 49.3% 47.3% 33.3% 1.42× 2.11
Q2 over 28.5 44.7% 41.8% 61.2% 0.68× 2.39
Q2 under 26.5 43.4% 41.8% 28.4% 1.47× 2.39
Q2 over 30.5 33.2% 32.6% 49.9% 0.65× 3.06
Q2 under 24.5 31.9% 32.6% 19.3% 1.70× 3.06
Q2 over 32.5 23.1% 23.2% 39.2% 0.59× 4.31
Q2 under 22.5 22.0% 23.2% 12.6% 1.84× 4.31
Q2 over 35.5 11.9% 12.7% 25.4% 0.50× 7.89
Q2 under 19.5 10.9% 12.7% 5.4% 2.37× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Holy Cross Crusaders to win Q3 55.5% 56.8% 53.3% 1.07× 1.76
Bryant Bulldogs to win Q3 38.7% 38.8% 41.8% 0.93× 2.58
Q3 tied 5.9% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.96
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 38.5 88.3% 87.2% 73.9% 1.18× 1.15
Q3 over 22.5 87.8% 87.2% 94.1% 0.93× 1.15
Q3 under 35.5 77.4% 77.3% 59.7% 1.30× 1.29
Q3 over 25.5 76.3% 77.3% 86.9% 0.89× 1.29
Q3 under 33.5 67.7% 67.8% 49.1% 1.38× 1.48
Q3 over 27.5 66.3% 67.8% 80.0% 0.85× 1.48
Q3 under 31.5 56.7% 58.4% 38.4% 1.52× 1.71
Q3 over 29.5 55.0% 58.4% 71.8% 0.81× 1.71
Q3 under 30.5 50.8% 52.3% 33.2% 1.58× 1.91
Q3 over 30.5 49.2% 47.7% 66.8% 0.71× 2.10
Q3 under 29.5 45.0% 41.6% 28.2% 1.48× 2.40
Q3 over 31.5 43.4% 41.6% 61.6% 0.68× 2.40
Q3 under 27.5 33.7% 32.2% 20.0% 1.61× 3.10
Q3 over 33.5 32.3% 32.2% 50.9% 0.63× 3.10
Q3 under 25.5 23.7% 22.7% 13.1% 1.74× 4.40
Q3 over 35.5 22.6% 22.7% 40.3% 0.56× 4.40
Q3 under 22.5 12.2% 12.8% 5.9% 2.18× 7.83
Q3 over 38.5 11.7% 12.8% 26.1% 0.49× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Holy Cross Crusaders to win Q4 55.4% 52.0% 52.8% 0.99× 1.92
Bryant Bulldogs to win Q4 38.9% 42.4% 41.5% 1.02× 2.36
Q4 tied 5.7% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.25
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 38.5 86.7% 85.6% 73.1% 1.17× 1.17
Q4 over 22.5 86.5% 85.6% 93.3% 0.92× 1.17
Q4 under 35.5 75.8% 76.9% 59.4% 1.29× 1.30
Q4 over 25.5 75.3% 76.9% 86.1% 0.89× 1.30
Q4 under 33.5 66.5% 67.4% 49.6% 1.36× 1.48
Q4 over 27.5 65.8% 67.4% 78.9% 0.85× 1.48
Q4 under 31.5 55.9% 58.4% 38.9% 1.50× 1.71
Q4 over 29.5 55.1% 58.4% 70.8% 0.82× 1.71
Q4 under 30.5 50.4% 52.5% 33.7% 1.56× 1.91
Q4 over 30.5 49.6% 47.5% 66.3% 0.72× 2.11
Q4 under 29.5 44.9% 41.6% 29.2% 1.43× 2.40
Q4 over 31.5 44.1% 41.6% 61.1% 0.68× 2.40
Q4 under 27.5 34.2% 32.6% 21.1% 1.54× 3.07
Q4 over 33.5 33.5% 32.6% 50.4% 0.65× 3.07
Q4 under 25.5 24.7% 23.1% 13.9% 1.66× 4.33
Q4 over 35.5 24.2% 23.1% 40.6% 0.57× 4.33
Q4 under 22.5 13.5% 14.4% 6.7% 2.13× 6.95
Q4 over 38.5 13.3% 14.4% 26.9% 0.53× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bryant Bulldogs over 45.5 87.9% 83.9% 91.3% 0.92× 1.19
Bryant Bulldogs under 65.5 87.6% 83.9% 59.8% 1.40× 1.19
Holy Cross Crusaders under 71.5 87.3% 83.9% 63.0% 1.33× 1.19
Holy Cross Crusaders over 51.5 84.2% 80.7% 89.3% 0.90× 1.24
Holy Cross Crusaders under 68.5 79.5% 75.1% 54.4% 1.38× 1.33
Bryant Bulldogs under 62.5 79.6% 75.1% 51.0% 1.47× 1.33
Bryant Bulldogs over 48.5 78.0% 75.1% 86.7% 0.87× 1.33
Holy Cross Crusaders over 54.5 74.9% 70.7% 83.8% 0.84× 1.41
Holy Cross Crusaders under 66.5 72.9% 70.7% 48.2% 1.47× 1.41
Bryant Bulldogs under 60.5 72.8% 70.7% 44.4% 1.59× 1.41
Bryant Bulldogs over 50.5 70.1% 70.7% 83.1% 0.85× 1.41
Holy Cross Crusaders over 56.5 67.6% 66.4% 79.5% 0.83× 1.51
Holy Cross Crusaders under 64.5 65.5% 66.4% 41.6% 1.60× 1.51
Bryant Bulldogs under 58.5 65.0% 66.4% 37.9% 1.75× 1.51
Bryant Bulldogs over 52.5 61.5% 61.2% 78.5% 0.78× 1.63
Holy Cross Crusaders over 58.5 59.5% 57.1% 74.7% 0.76× 1.75
Holy Cross Crusaders under 62.5 57.4% 57.1% 35.7% 1.60× 1.75
Bryant Bulldogs under 56.5 56.5% 57.1% 32.0% 1.79× 1.75
Holy Cross Crusaders over 60.5 51.1% 52.3% 69.5% 0.75× 1.91
Holy Cross Crusaders under 61.5 53.2% 52.3% 33.1% 1.58× 1.91
Bryant Bulldogs over 54.5 52.5% 52.3% 73.5% 0.71× 1.91
Bryant Bulldogs under 55.5 52.0% 52.3% 29.2% 1.79× 1.91
Holy Cross Crusaders under 60.5 48.9% 47.7% 30.5% 1.56× 2.09
Holy Cross Crusaders over 61.5 46.8% 47.7% 66.9% 0.71× 2.09
Bryant Bulldogs under 54.5 47.5% 47.7% 26.5% 1.80× 2.09
Bryant Bulldogs over 55.5 48.0% 47.7% 70.8% 0.67× 2.09
Bryant Bulldogs over 56.5 43.5% 42.9% 68.0% 0.63× 2.33
Holy Cross Crusaders over 62.5 42.6% 42.9% 64.3% 0.67× 2.33
Holy Cross Crusaders under 58.5 40.5% 42.9% 25.3% 1.70× 2.33
Bryant Bulldogs under 52.5 38.5% 38.8% 21.5% 1.80× 2.58
Holy Cross Crusaders over 64.5 34.5% 33.6% 58.4% 0.58× 2.98
Bryant Bulldogs over 58.5 35.0% 33.6% 62.1% 0.54× 2.98
Holy Cross Crusaders under 56.5 32.4% 33.6% 20.5% 1.64× 2.98
Bryant Bulldogs under 50.5 29.9% 29.3% 16.9% 1.74× 3.42
Holy Cross Crusaders over 66.5 27.1% 29.3% 51.8% 0.56× 3.42
Bryant Bulldogs over 60.5 27.2% 29.3% 55.6% 0.53× 3.42
Holy Cross Crusaders under 54.5 25.1% 29.3% 16.2% 1.81× 3.42
Bryant Bulldogs under 48.5 22.0% 24.9% 13.3% 1.87× 4.02
Holy Cross Crusaders over 68.5 20.5% 24.9% 45.6% 0.55× 4.02
Bryant Bulldogs over 62.5 20.4% 24.9% 49.0% 0.51× 4.02
Holy Cross Crusaders under 51.5 15.8% 19.3% 10.7% 1.80× 5.18
Holy Cross Crusaders over 71.5 12.7% 16.1% 37.0% 0.44× 6.21
Bryant Bulldogs under 45.5 12.1% 16.1% 8.7% 1.86× 6.21
Bryant Bulldogs over 65.5 12.4% 16.1% 40.2% 0.40× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 96.5 points 93.2% 88.8% 97.4% 0.91× 1.13
Under 136.5 points 92.1% 88.8% 64.2% 1.38× 1.13
Over 101.5 points 85.8% 85.0% 94.8% 0.90× 1.18
Under 131.5 points 85.9% 85.0% 53.9% 1.58× 1.18
Under 126.5 points 76.8% 75.6% 42.6% 1.77× 1.32
Over 106.5 points 75.3% 75.6% 91.0% 0.83× 1.32
Under 123.5 points 70.2% 70.8% 36.7% 1.93× 1.41
Over 109.5 points 67.7% 65.9% 87.6% 0.75× 1.52
Under 121.5 points 65.3% 65.9% 32.3% 2.04× 1.52
Over 111.5 points 62.3% 61.5% 85.1% 0.72× 1.63
Under 119.5 points 60.0% 61.5% 28.4% 2.17× 1.63
Over 113.5 points 56.7% 56.5% 81.9% 0.69× 1.77
Under 117.5 points 54.6% 52.3% 24.7% 2.12× 1.91
Under 116.5 points 51.7% 52.3% 22.8% 2.29× 1.91
Over 115.5 points 51.0% 52.3% 78.8% 0.66× 1.91
Under 115.5 points 49.0% 47.7% 21.2% 2.25× 2.10
Over 116.5 points 48.3% 47.7% 77.2% 0.62× 2.10
Over 117.5 points 45.4% 47.7% 75.3% 0.63× 2.10
Under 113.5 points 43.3% 43.5% 18.1% 2.40× 2.30
Over 119.5 points 40.0% 38.5% 71.6% 0.54× 2.60
Under 111.5 points 37.7% 38.5% 14.9% 2.58× 2.60
Over 121.5 points 34.7% 34.1% 67.7% 0.50× 2.93
Under 109.5 points 32.3% 34.1% 12.4% 2.75× 2.93
Over 123.5 points 29.8% 29.2% 63.3% 0.46× 3.43
Under 106.5 points 24.7% 24.4% 9.0% 2.71× 4.10
Over 126.5 points 23.2% 24.4% 57.4% 0.42× 4.10
Under 101.5 points 14.2% 15.0% 5.2% 2.89× 6.68
Over 131.5 points 14.1% 15.0% 46.1% 0.32× 6.68
Over 136.5 points 7.9% 11.2% 35.8% 0.31× 8.96
Under 96.5 points 6.8% 11.2% 2.6% 4.29× 8.97
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Holy Cross Crusaders to win both halves 32.5% 31.2% 36.0% 0.87× 3.20
Bryant Bulldogs to win both halves 9.8% 8.9% 20.4% 0.43× 11.30
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Holy Cross Crusaders by 1-5 18.6% 16.8% 10.2% 1.64× 5.97
Holy Cross Crusaders by 6-10 18.4% 16.8% 12.9% 1.30× 5.97
Bryant Bulldogs by 1-5 14.3% 12.3% 10.2% 1.21× 8.11
Holy Cross Crusaders by 11-15 14.8% 12.3% 10.8% 1.14× 8.11
Holy Cross Crusaders by 16-20 9.6% 7.5% 8.0% 0.93× 13.40
Bryant Bulldogs by 6-10 9.0% 7.5% 10.3% 0.72× 13.40
Bryant Bulldogs by 11-15 4.6% 2.0% 7.6% 0.27× 49.29
Holy Cross Crusaders by 21-25 5.0% 2.0% 5.4% 0.38× 49.28
Bryant Bulldogs by 16-20 1.9% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.31
Holy Cross Crusaders by 26+ 2.9% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.30
Bryant Bulldogs by 21-25 0.6% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.32
Bryant Bulldogs by 26+ 0.2% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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