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Holy Cross Crusaders v Rhode Island Rams — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 25 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Holy Cross Crusaders win
26.0%
Draw
0.0%
Rhode Island Rams win
74.0%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 54.67–61.99 55-62 0% 54% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Holy Cross Crusaders to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.36
Holy Cross Crusaders to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Holy Cross Crusaders to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Holy Cross Crusaders to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Rhode Island Rams to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.72× 283.36
Rhode Island Rams to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Rhode Island Rams to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Rhode Island Rams to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rhode Island Rams to win H1 62.6% 62.2% 39.9% 1.56× 1.61
Holy Cross Crusaders to win H1 33.1% 33.1% 56.4% 0.59× 3.02
H1 tied 4.3% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 44.5 89.0% 87.7% 94.7% 0.93× 1.14
H1 under 68.5 88.9% 87.7% 73.5% 1.19× 1.14
H1 under 64.5 79.4% 77.4% 60.7% 1.28× 1.29
H1 over 48.5 79.1% 77.4% 88.8% 0.87× 1.29
H1 under 61.5 69.8% 67.4% 49.8% 1.35× 1.48
H1 over 51.5 69.1% 67.4% 82.0% 0.82× 1.48
H1 under 59.5 62.4% 62.7% 42.2% 1.49× 1.59
H1 over 53.5 61.5% 62.7% 76.8% 0.82× 1.59
H1 under 57.5 54.5% 52.6% 35.2% 1.50× 1.90
H1 over 55.5 53.6% 52.6% 71.0% 0.74× 1.90
H1 under 56.5 50.5% 52.6% 31.8% 1.66× 1.90
H1 over 56.5 49.5% 47.4% 68.2% 0.69× 2.11
H1 under 55.5 46.5% 47.4% 29.0% 1.63× 2.11
H1 over 57.5 45.5% 47.4% 64.8% 0.73× 2.11
H1 under 53.5 38.5% 37.3% 23.2% 1.61× 2.68
H1 over 59.5 37.6% 37.3% 57.8% 0.64× 2.68
H1 under 51.5 30.9% 32.6% 18.0% 1.81× 3.07
H1 over 61.5 30.2% 32.6% 50.2% 0.65× 3.07
H1 under 48.5 20.9% 22.6% 11.2% 2.02× 4.43
H1 over 64.5 20.6% 22.6% 39.3% 0.57× 4.43
H1 over 68.5 11.1% 12.3% 26.5% 0.46× 8.14
H1 under 44.5 11.0% 12.3% 5.3% 2.34× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rhode Island Rams to win H2 63.5% 58.8% 40.6% 1.45× 1.70
Holy Cross Crusaders to win H2 32.4% 36.3% 56.0% 0.65× 2.76
H2 tied 4.1% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.35
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 74.5 89.0% 85.2% 69.9% 1.22× 1.17
H2 over 50.5 86.7% 85.2% 94.0% 0.91× 1.17
H2 under 70.5 80.1% 81.8% 57.8% 1.41× 1.22
H2 over 54.5 76.1% 75.8% 88.0% 0.86× 1.32
H2 under 67.5 71.2% 72.2% 47.9% 1.51× 1.39
H2 over 57.5 66.0% 66.4% 82.2% 0.81× 1.51
H2 under 65.5 64.3% 61.6% 41.2% 1.49× 1.62
H2 over 59.5 58.6% 57.3% 77.0% 0.74× 1.74
H2 under 63.5 56.8% 57.3% 34.7% 1.65× 1.74
H2 under 62.5 53.0% 52.4% 31.7% 1.65× 1.91
H2 over 61.5 50.9% 52.4% 71.3% 0.73× 1.91
H2 under 61.5 49.1% 47.6% 28.7% 1.66× 2.10
H2 over 62.5 47.0% 47.6% 68.3% 0.70× 2.10
H2 over 63.5 43.2% 42.7% 65.3% 0.65× 2.34
H2 under 59.5 41.4% 42.7% 23.0% 1.86× 2.34
H2 over 65.5 35.7% 38.4% 58.8% 0.65× 2.61
H2 under 57.5 34.0% 33.6% 17.8% 1.89× 2.97
H2 over 67.5 28.8% 27.8% 52.1% 0.53× 3.59
H2 under 54.5 23.9% 24.2% 12.0% 2.01× 4.13
H2 over 70.5 19.9% 18.2% 42.2% 0.43× 5.50
H2 under 50.5 13.3% 14.8% 6.0% 2.45× 6.76
H2 over 74.5 11.0% 14.8% 30.1% 0.49× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rhode Island Rams leading at half time 62.6% 62.5% 39.9% 1.57× 1.60
Holy Cross Crusaders leading at half time 33.1% 32.7% 56.4% 0.58× 3.05
Level at half time 4.3% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rhode Island Rams +20.5 99.4% 97.4% 82.0% 1.19× 1.03
Rhode Island Rams +12.5 96.1% 97.4% 67.9% 1.44× 1.03
Rhode Island Rams +14.5 97.4% 97.4% 72.1% 1.35× 1.03
Rhode Island Rams +16.5 98.3% 97.4% 75.7% 1.29× 1.03
Rhode Island Rams +18.5 99.0% 97.4% 79.3% 1.23× 1.03
Rhode Island Rams +10.5 94.2% 91.1% 63.2% 1.44× 1.10
Rhode Island Rams +9.5 93.1% 91.1% 60.7% 1.50× 1.10
Rhode Island Rams +7.5 90.2% 91.1% 55.2% 1.65× 1.10
Rhode Island Rams +8.5 91.7% 91.1% 58.0% 1.57× 1.10
Rhode Island Rams +6.5 88.5% 85.9% 52.4% 1.64× 1.16
Holy Cross Crusaders +20.5 90.0% 85.9% 92.7% 0.93× 1.16
Rhode Island Rams +5.5 86.6% 85.9% 50.3% 1.71× 1.16
Holy Cross Crusaders +18.5 86.2% 85.9% 91.1% 0.94× 1.16
Rhode Island Rams +4.5 84.5% 81.1% 47.8% 1.70× 1.23
Rhode Island Rams +3.5 82.2% 81.1% 45.8% 1.77× 1.23
Holy Cross Crusaders +16.5 81.5% 81.1% 89.1% 0.91× 1.23
Rhode Island Rams +2.5 79.6% 76.5% 43.3% 1.77× 1.31
Rhode Island Rams +1.5 76.9% 76.5% 41.3% 1.85× 1.31
Holy Cross Crusaders +14.5 75.9% 76.5% 86.7% 0.88× 1.31
Rhode Island Rams −1.5 70.7% 71.6% 38.8% 1.85× 1.40
Holy Cross Crusaders +12.5 69.6% 66.7% 83.8% 0.80× 1.50
Rhode Island Rams −2.5 67.2% 66.7% 36.7% 1.82× 1.50
Rhode Island Rams −3.5 63.6% 61.9% 34.3% 1.80× 1.62
Holy Cross Crusaders +10.5 62.6% 61.9% 80.4% 0.77× 1.62
Rhode Island Rams −4.5 59.9% 57.1% 32.2% 1.77× 1.75
Holy Cross Crusaders +9.5 59.0% 57.1% 78.7% 0.73× 1.75
Rhode Island Rams −5.5 56.2% 57.1% 29.9% 1.91× 1.75
Holy Cross Crusaders +8.5 55.2% 57.1% 76.5% 0.75× 1.75
Rhode Island Rams −6.5 52.4% 52.4% 27.7% 1.89× 1.91
Holy Cross Crusaders +7.5 51.4% 52.4% 74.5% 0.70× 1.91
Rhode Island Rams −7.5 48.6% 47.6% 25.5% 1.87× 2.10
Holy Cross Crusaders +6.5 47.6% 47.6% 72.3% 0.66× 2.10
Holy Cross Crusaders +5.5 43.8% 42.9% 70.1% 0.61× 2.33
Rhode Island Rams −8.5 44.8% 42.9% 23.5% 1.82× 2.33
Holy Cross Crusaders +4.5 40.1% 42.9% 67.8% 0.63× 2.33
Rhode Island Rams −9.5 41.0% 42.9% 21.3% 2.01× 2.33
Holy Cross Crusaders +3.5 36.4% 38.1% 65.7% 0.58× 2.63
Rhode Island Rams −10.5 37.4% 38.1% 19.6% 1.94× 2.63
Holy Cross Crusaders +2.5 32.8% 33.3% 63.3% 0.53× 3.01
Rhode Island Rams −12.5 30.4% 33.3% 16.2% 2.05× 3.01
Holy Cross Crusaders +1.5 29.3% 28.4% 61.2% 0.46× 3.53
Holy Cross Crusaders −1.5 23.1% 23.5% 58.7% 0.40× 4.25
Rhode Island Rams −14.5 24.1% 23.5% 13.3% 1.77× 4.25
Holy Cross Crusaders −2.5 20.4% 23.5% 56.7% 0.41× 4.25
Rhode Island Rams −16.5 18.5% 18.9% 10.9% 1.74× 5.29
Holy Cross Crusaders −3.5 17.8% 18.9% 54.2% 0.35× 5.29
Holy Cross Crusaders −4.5 15.5% 18.9% 52.2% 0.36× 5.30
Holy Cross Crusaders −5.5 13.4% 14.1% 49.7% 0.28× 7.09
Rhode Island Rams −18.5 13.8% 14.1% 8.9% 1.58× 7.09
Holy Cross Crusaders −6.5 11.5% 14.1% 47.6% 0.30× 7.09
Rhode Island Rams −20.5 10.0% 14.1% 7.3% 1.94× 7.09
Holy Cross Crusaders −7.5 9.8% 8.9% 44.8% 0.20× 11.25
Holy Cross Crusaders −8.5 8.3% 8.9% 42.0% 0.21× 11.25
Holy Cross Crusaders −9.5 7.0% 8.9% 39.3% 0.23× 11.25
Holy Cross Crusaders −10.5 5.8% 8.9% 36.8% 0.24× 11.25
Holy Cross Crusaders −12.5 3.9% 2.6% 32.1% 0.08× 38.72
Holy Cross Crusaders −14.5 2.6% 2.6% 27.9% 0.09× 38.73
Holy Cross Crusaders −16.5 1.7% 2.6% 24.3% 0.11× 38.73
Holy Cross Crusaders −18.5 1.0% 2.6% 20.7% 0.12× 38.74
Holy Cross Crusaders −20.5 0.6% 2.6% 18.0% 0.14× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 70.1% 67.0% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 29.9% 33.0% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 33.6% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 31.9% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 18.0% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 16.5% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rhode Island Rams at HT / Rhode Island Rams at FT 54.7% 51.1% 30.1% 1.70× 1.96
Holy Cross Crusaders at HT / Holy Cross Crusaders at FT 16.8% 15.5% 48.3% 0.32× 6.47
Holy Cross Crusaders at HT / Rhode Island Rams at FT 16.3% 15.5% 8.2% 1.89× 6.47
Rhode Island Rams at HT / Holy Cross Crusaders at FT 7.9% 8.3% 9.8% 0.85× 12.09
Level at HT / Rhode Island Rams at FT 3.0% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.74
Level at HT / Holy Cross Crusaders at FT 1.3% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.77
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rhode Island Rams to win 74.0% 68.8% 40.1% 1.72× 1.45
Holy Cross Crusaders to win 26.0% 31.2% 59.9% 0.52× 3.20
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.6% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Holy Cross Crusaders even 50.3% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Rhode Island Rams even 50.1% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Holy Cross Crusaders odd 49.7% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Rhode Island Rams odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 48.4% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 94.6% 94.0% 95.6% 0.98× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 5.4% 6.0% 4.4% 1.35× 16.66
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rhode Island Rams to win Q1 57.0% 57.3% 40.4% 1.42× 1.75
Holy Cross Crusaders to win Q1 37.0% 38.2% 54.7% 0.70× 2.62
Q1 tied 6.0% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.32
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 36.5 88.8% 87.4% 77.4% 1.13× 1.14
Q1 over 20.5 88.3% 87.4% 93.7% 0.93× 1.14
Q1 under 33.5 77.9% 76.9% 64.0% 1.20× 1.30
Q1 over 23.5 76.9% 76.9% 85.4% 0.90× 1.30
Q1 under 31.5 68.1% 67.6% 54.0% 1.25× 1.48
Q1 over 25.5 66.7% 67.6% 77.6% 0.87× 1.48
Q1 under 29.5 56.8% 58.6% 43.1% 1.36× 1.71
Q1 over 27.5 55.2% 58.6% 67.7% 0.87× 1.71
Q1 under 28.5 50.8% 52.7% 37.3% 1.41× 1.90
Q1 over 28.5 49.2% 47.3% 62.7% 0.76× 2.11
Q1 under 27.5 44.8% 41.4% 32.3% 1.28× 2.42
Q1 over 29.5 43.2% 41.4% 56.9% 0.73× 2.42
Q1 under 25.5 33.3% 32.4% 22.4% 1.45× 3.08
Q1 over 31.5 31.9% 32.4% 46.0% 0.70× 3.08
Q1 under 23.5 23.1% 23.1% 14.6% 1.58× 4.33
Q1 over 33.5 22.1% 23.1% 36.0% 0.64× 4.33
Q1 under 20.5 11.7% 12.6% 6.3% 1.99× 7.95
Q1 over 36.5 11.2% 12.6% 22.6% 0.56× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rhode Island Rams to win Q2 56.8% 59.4% 41.5% 1.43× 1.68
Holy Cross Crusaders to win Q2 37.3% 35.8% 52.9% 0.68× 2.80
Q2 tied 5.9% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.49
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 36.5 89.6% 87.3% 78.7% 1.11× 1.15
Q2 over 20.5 87.4% 87.3% 92.7% 0.94× 1.15
Q2 under 33.5 79.2% 76.8% 65.6% 1.17× 1.30
Q2 over 23.5 75.5% 76.8% 84.6% 0.91× 1.30
Q2 under 31.5 69.7% 67.4% 55.7% 1.21× 1.48
Q2 over 25.5 65.0% 67.4% 76.2% 0.88× 1.49
Q2 under 29.5 58.5% 58.2% 44.2% 1.32× 1.72
Q2 over 27.5 53.4% 52.7% 66.7% 0.79× 1.90
Q2 under 28.5 52.6% 52.7% 38.8% 1.36× 1.90
Q2 over 28.5 47.4% 47.3% 61.2% 0.77× 2.11
Q2 under 27.5 46.6% 47.3% 33.3% 1.42× 2.11
Q2 over 29.5 41.5% 41.8% 55.8% 0.75× 2.39
Q2 under 25.5 35.0% 32.6% 23.8% 1.37× 3.06
Q2 over 31.5 30.3% 32.6% 44.3% 0.74× 3.06
Q2 under 23.5 24.5% 23.2% 15.4% 1.51× 4.31
Q2 over 33.5 20.8% 23.2% 34.4% 0.67× 4.31
Q2 under 20.5 12.6% 12.7% 7.3% 1.74× 7.89
Q2 over 36.5 10.4% 12.7% 21.3% 0.60× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rhode Island Rams to win Q3 57.7% 56.8% 41.8% 1.36× 1.76
Holy Cross Crusaders to win Q3 36.5% 38.8% 53.3% 0.73× 2.58
Q3 tied 5.8% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.97
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 39.5 89.6% 87.2% 77.9% 1.12× 1.15
Q3 over 23.5 86.2% 87.2% 92.2% 0.95× 1.15
Q3 under 36.5 79.5% 77.3% 64.6% 1.20× 1.29
Q3 over 26.5 74.0% 71.8% 83.8% 0.86× 1.39
Q3 under 34.5 70.3% 71.8% 54.6% 1.31× 1.39
Q3 over 28.5 63.6% 62.0% 76.4% 0.81× 1.61
Q3 under 32.5 59.5% 58.4% 43.9% 1.33× 1.71
Q3 under 31.5 53.7% 52.3% 38.4% 1.36× 1.91
Q3 over 30.5 52.1% 52.3% 66.8% 0.78× 1.91
Q3 under 30.5 47.9% 47.7% 33.2% 1.44× 2.10
Q3 over 31.5 46.3% 47.7% 61.6% 0.77× 2.10
Q3 over 32.5 40.5% 41.6% 56.1% 0.74× 2.40
Q3 under 28.5 36.4% 38.0% 23.6% 1.61× 2.63
Q3 over 34.5 29.7% 28.2% 45.4% 0.62× 3.55
Q3 under 26.5 26.0% 28.2% 16.2% 1.74× 3.55
Q3 over 36.5 20.5% 22.7% 35.4% 0.64× 4.40
Q3 under 23.5 13.8% 12.8% 7.8% 1.64× 7.83
Q3 over 39.5 10.4% 12.8% 22.1% 0.58× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rhode Island Rams to win Q4 57.6% 52.1% 41.5% 1.25× 1.92
Holy Cross Crusaders to win Q4 36.8% 42.4% 52.8% 0.80× 2.36
Q4 tied 5.7% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.25
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 39.5 88.1% 85.6% 77.0% 1.11× 1.17
Q4 over 23.5 84.9% 82.0% 91.2% 0.90× 1.22
Q4 under 36.5 77.9% 76.9% 64.3% 1.20× 1.30
Q4 over 26.5 73.0% 71.5% 82.6% 0.87× 1.40
Q4 under 34.5 68.9% 67.4% 54.4% 1.24× 1.48
Q4 over 28.5 63.2% 61.4% 75.1% 0.82× 1.63
Q4 under 32.5 58.6% 58.4% 44.6% 1.31× 1.71
Q4 under 31.5 53.2% 52.5% 38.9% 1.35× 1.91
Q4 over 30.5 52.4% 52.5% 66.3% 0.79× 1.91
Q4 under 30.5 47.6% 47.5% 33.7% 1.41× 2.11
Q4 over 31.5 46.8% 47.5% 61.1% 0.78× 2.11
Q4 over 32.5 41.4% 41.6% 55.4% 0.75× 2.40
Q4 under 28.5 36.8% 38.6% 24.9% 1.55× 2.59
Q4 over 34.5 31.1% 32.6% 45.6% 0.71× 3.07
Q4 under 26.5 27.0% 28.5% 17.4% 1.64× 3.51
Q4 over 36.5 22.1% 23.1% 35.7% 0.65× 4.33
Q4 under 23.5 15.1% 18.0% 8.8% 2.03× 5.56
Q4 over 39.5 11.9% 14.4% 23.0% 0.62× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Holy Cross Crusaders under 66.5 88.7% 83.9% 48.2% 1.74× 1.19
Rhode Island Rams over 52.5 86.4% 83.9% 78.5% 1.07× 1.19
Rhode Island Rams under 72.5 86.2% 83.9% 78.2% 1.07× 1.19
Holy Cross Crusaders over 46.5 85.0% 80.7% 95.2% 0.85× 1.24
Holy Cross Crusaders under 63.5 81.3% 80.7% 38.5% 2.09× 1.24
Rhode Island Rams over 55.5 77.9% 75.1% 70.8% 1.06× 1.33
Rhode Island Rams under 69.5 77.7% 75.1% 71.2% 1.05× 1.33
Holy Cross Crusaders under 61.5 75.1% 75.1% 33.1% 2.27× 1.33
Holy Cross Crusaders over 49.5 74.5% 70.7% 92.1% 0.77× 1.41
Rhode Island Rams over 57.5 70.8% 70.7% 65.1% 1.09× 1.41
Rhode Island Rams under 67.5 70.7% 70.7% 65.6% 1.08× 1.41
Holy Cross Crusaders under 59.5 67.8% 66.4% 27.8% 2.39× 1.51
Holy Cross Crusaders over 51.5 66.4% 66.4% 89.3% 0.74× 1.51
Rhode Island Rams over 59.5 62.9% 61.2% 58.8% 1.04× 1.63
Rhode Island Rams under 65.5 62.8% 61.2% 59.8% 1.02× 1.63
Holy Cross Crusaders under 57.5 59.7% 57.1% 22.8% 2.50× 1.75
Holy Cross Crusaders over 53.5 57.8% 57.1% 85.8% 0.67× 1.75
Holy Cross Crusaders under 56.5 55.4% 57.1% 20.5% 2.79× 1.75
Rhode Island Rams over 61.5 54.4% 52.3% 52.1% 1.00× 1.91
Rhode Island Rams under 63.5 54.3% 52.3% 53.9% 0.97× 1.91
Holy Cross Crusaders under 55.5 51.1% 52.3% 18.5% 2.83× 1.91
Rhode Island Rams over 62.5 50.1% 52.3% 49.0% 1.07× 1.91
Rhode Island Rams under 62.5 49.9% 47.7% 51.0% 0.94× 2.09
Holy Cross Crusaders over 55.5 48.9% 47.7% 81.6% 0.59× 2.09
Rhode Island Rams under 61.5 45.6% 47.7% 47.9% 1.00× 2.09
Rhode Island Rams over 63.5 45.7% 47.7% 46.1% 1.04× 2.09
Holy Cross Crusaders over 56.5 44.6% 42.9% 79.5% 0.54× 2.33
Holy Cross Crusaders under 53.5 42.2% 42.9% 14.2% 3.02× 2.33
Holy Cross Crusaders over 57.5 40.3% 42.9% 77.2% 0.56× 2.33
Rhode Island Rams under 59.5 37.1% 38.8% 41.2% 0.94× 2.58
Rhode Island Rams over 65.5 37.2% 38.8% 40.2% 0.96× 2.58
Holy Cross Crusaders under 51.5 33.6% 33.6% 10.7% 3.13× 2.98
Holy Cross Crusaders over 59.5 32.2% 33.6% 72.2% 0.47× 2.98
Rhode Island Rams under 57.5 29.2% 29.3% 34.9% 0.84× 3.42
Rhode Island Rams over 67.5 29.3% 29.3% 34.4% 0.85× 3.42
Holy Cross Crusaders under 49.5 25.5% 29.3% 7.9% 3.71× 3.42
Holy Cross Crusaders over 61.5 24.9% 24.9% 66.9% 0.37× 4.02
Rhode Island Rams under 55.5 22.1% 24.9% 29.2% 0.85× 4.02
Rhode Island Rams over 69.5 22.3% 24.9% 28.8% 0.86× 4.02
Holy Cross Crusaders over 63.5 18.7% 19.3% 61.5% 0.31× 5.18
Holy Cross Crusaders under 46.5 15.0% 19.3% 4.8% 4.03× 5.18
Rhode Island Rams under 52.5 13.6% 16.1% 21.5% 0.75× 6.21
Rhode Island Rams over 72.5 13.8% 16.1% 21.8% 0.74× 6.21
Holy Cross Crusaders over 66.5 11.3% 16.1% 51.8% 0.31× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 98.5 points 92.9% 88.8% 96.5% 0.92× 1.13
Under 138.5 points 92.1% 88.8% 67.9% 1.31× 1.13
Under 133.5 points 85.9% 85.0% 58.0% 1.47× 1.18
Over 103.5 points 85.5% 85.0% 93.6% 0.91× 1.18
Under 128.5 points 76.9% 75.6% 47.2% 1.60× 1.32
Over 108.5 points 75.1% 75.6% 88.9% 0.85× 1.32
Under 125.5 points 70.3% 70.8% 40.5% 1.75× 1.41
Over 111.5 points 67.5% 65.9% 85.1% 0.77× 1.52
Under 123.5 points 65.3% 65.9% 36.7% 1.79× 1.52
Over 113.5 points 62.1% 61.5% 81.9% 0.75× 1.63
Under 121.5 points 60.1% 61.5% 32.3% 1.90× 1.63
Over 115.5 points 56.5% 56.5% 78.8% 0.72× 1.77
Under 119.5 points 54.7% 52.3% 28.4% 1.84× 1.91
Under 118.5 points 51.8% 52.3% 26.4% 1.98× 1.91
Over 117.5 points 50.9% 52.3% 75.3% 0.70× 1.91
Under 117.5 points 49.1% 47.7% 24.7% 1.93× 2.10
Over 118.5 points 48.2% 47.7% 73.6% 0.65× 2.10
Over 119.5 points 45.3% 47.7% 71.6% 0.67× 2.10
Under 115.5 points 43.5% 43.5% 21.2% 2.06× 2.30
Over 121.5 points 39.9% 38.5% 67.7% 0.57× 2.60
Under 113.5 points 37.9% 38.5% 18.1% 2.13× 2.60
Over 123.5 points 34.7% 34.1% 63.3% 0.54× 2.93
Under 111.5 points 32.5% 34.1% 14.9% 2.28× 2.93
Over 125.5 points 29.7% 29.2% 59.5% 0.49× 3.43
Under 108.5 points 24.9% 24.4% 11.1% 2.20× 4.10
Over 128.5 points 23.1% 24.4% 52.8% 0.46× 4.10
Over 133.5 points 14.1% 15.0% 42.0% 0.36× 6.68
Under 103.5 points 14.5% 15.0% 6.4% 2.33× 6.68
Over 138.5 points 7.9% 11.2% 32.1% 0.35× 8.96
Under 98.5 points 7.1% 11.2% 3.5% 3.21× 8.97
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rhode Island Rams to win both halves 36.7% 36.3% 20.4% 1.78× 2.76
Holy Cross Crusaders to win both halves 8.0% 8.8% 36.0% 0.25× 11.31
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rhode Island Rams by 6-10 18.8% 16.8% 10.3% 1.63× 5.97
Rhode Island Rams by 1-5 17.8% 16.8% 10.2% 1.65× 5.97
Rhode Island Rams by 11-15 16.2% 16.8% 7.6% 2.20× 5.97
Holy Cross Crusaders by 1-5 12.7% 12.3% 10.2% 1.21× 8.11
Rhode Island Rams by 16-20 11.2% 12.3% 4.8% 2.60× 8.11
Holy Cross Crusaders by 6-10 7.6% 7.5% 12.9% 0.58× 13.40
Rhode Island Rams by 21-25 6.2% 7.5% 2.7% 2.79× 13.40
Holy Cross Crusaders by 11-15 3.7% 2.0% 10.8% 0.19× 49.30
Rhode Island Rams by 26+ 3.9% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.29
Holy Cross Crusaders by 16-20 1.5% 2.0% 8.0% 0.25× 49.32
Holy Cross Crusaders by 21-25 0.5% 2.0% 5.4% 0.38× 49.32
Holy Cross Crusaders by 26+ 0.1% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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