Houston Rockets v Oklahoma City Thunder — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 1 November 2026 · NBA · 2027
NBA results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Houston Rockets win
36.0%
Draw
0.0%
Oklahoma City Thunder win
64.0%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 106.69–111.75 | 107-112 0% | 50% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder to score 100+ | 85.3% | 85.0% | 85.9% | 0.99× | 1.18 |
| Houston Rockets to score 100+ | 72.6% | 72.3% | 89.3% | 0.81× | 1.38 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 63.6% | 61.9% | 77.5% | 0.80× | 1.62 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder to score 110+ | 57.9% | 56.4% | 60.9% | 0.92× | 1.77 |
| Houston Rockets to score 110+ | 40.3% | 41.8% | 67.0% | 0.62× | 2.39 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder to score 120+ | 25.6% | 27.5% | 29.7% | 0.93× | 3.64 |
| Houston Rockets to score 120+ | 13.8% | 13.8% | 36.5% | 0.38× | 7.23 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder to score 130+ | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 0.88× | 11.38 |
| Houston Rockets to score 130+ | 2.7% | 0.4% | 12.8% | 0.03× | 282.83 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder to win H1 | 57.5% | 57.3% | 44.1% | 1.30× | 1.75 |
| Houston Rockets to win H1 | 39.1% | 37.8% | 52.8% | 0.72× | 2.64 |
| H1 tied | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.25× | 25.86 |
H1 total 34
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 over 100.5 | 82.0% | 83.2% | 86.8% | 0.96× | 1.20 |
| H1 under 124.5 | 81.9% | 83.2% | 78.4% | 1.06× | 1.20 |
| H1 under 122.5 | 82.7% | 82.5% | 74.0% | 1.12× | 1.21 |
| H1 over 98.5 | 81.7% | 82.5% | 90.0% | 0.92× | 1.21 |
| H1 over 104.5 | 72.9% | 74.0% | 78.3% | 0.95× | 1.35 |
| H1 under 120.5 | 72.8% | 74.0% | 68.4% | 1.08× | 1.35 |
| H1 under 118.5 | 73.7% | 73.5% | 62.9% | 1.17× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 102.5 | 72.4% | 73.5% | 83.0% | 0.89× | 1.36 |
| H1 under 115.5 | 65.7% | 67.4% | 53.6% | 1.26× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 117.5 | 64.8% | 63.3% | 59.6% | 1.06× | 1.58 |
| H1 over 105.5 | 64.2% | 62.7% | 75.8% | 0.83× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 113.5 | 59.9% | 58.2% | 47.6% | 1.22× | 1.72 |
| H1 over 107.5 | 58.4% | 58.2% | 70.4% | 0.83× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 111.5 | 53.8% | 52.6% | 41.0% | 1.28× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 109.5 | 52.3% | 52.6% | 65.0% | 0.81× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 110.5 | 50.8% | 52.6% | 38.1% | 1.38× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 112.5 | 50.0% | 52.5% | 55.8% | 0.94× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 112.5 | 50.0% | 47.5% | 44.2% | 1.07× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 110.5 | 49.2% | 47.4% | 61.9% | 0.76× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 109.5 | 47.7% | 47.4% | 35.0% | 1.35× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 111.5 | 46.2% | 47.4% | 59.0% | 0.80× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 107.5 | 41.6% | 41.8% | 29.6% | 1.41× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 113.5 | 40.1% | 41.8% | 52.4% | 0.80× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 105.5 | 35.8% | 37.3% | 24.2% | 1.54× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 117.5 | 35.2% | 36.7% | 40.4% | 0.91× | 2.72 |
| H1 over 115.5 | 34.3% | 32.6% | 46.4% | 0.70× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 102.5 | 27.6% | 26.5% | 17.0% | 1.56× | 3.77 |
| H1 over 118.5 | 26.3% | 26.5% | 37.1% | 0.71× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 104.5 | 27.1% | 26.0% | 21.7% | 1.20× | 3.84 |
| H1 over 120.5 | 27.2% | 26.0% | 31.6% | 0.83× | 3.84 |
| H1 under 98.5 | 18.3% | 17.5% | 10.0% | 1.74× | 5.72 |
| H1 over 122.5 | 17.3% | 17.5% | 26.0% | 0.67× | 5.73 |
| H1 under 100.5 | 18.0% | 16.8% | 13.2% | 1.28× | 5.96 |
| H1 over 124.5 | 18.1% | 16.8% | 21.7% | 0.77× | 5.96 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder to win H2 | 57.3% | 55.0% | 44.7% | 1.23× | 1.82 |
| Houston Rockets to win H2 | 39.2% | 41.2% | 51.6% | 0.80× | 2.43 |
| H2 tied | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.06× | 25.36 |
H2 total 34
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 120.5 | 83.0% | 81.8% | 69.3% | 1.18× | 1.22 |
| H2 over 96.5 | 81.8% | 81.8% | 89.3% | 0.92× | 1.22 |
| H2 under 122.5 | 82.4% | 81.5% | 74.4% | 1.10× | 1.23 |
| H2 over 98.5 | 82.0% | 81.5% | 86.2% | 0.95× | 1.23 |
| H2 under 118.5 | 73.3% | 72.5% | 63.6% | 1.14× | 1.38 |
| H2 over 102.5 | 72.8% | 72.5% | 78.5% | 0.92× | 1.38 |
| H2 under 116.5 | 74.1% | 72.2% | 58.1% | 1.24× | 1.39 |
| H2 over 100.5 | 72.5% | 72.2% | 82.4% | 0.88× | 1.39 |
| H2 under 113.5 | 66.0% | 66.4% | 50.1% | 1.32× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 115.5 | 65.2% | 64.4% | 55.4% | 1.16× | 1.55 |
| H2 over 103.5 | 64.2% | 61.6% | 76.2% | 0.81× | 1.62 |
| H2 under 111.5 | 60.1% | 61.6% | 44.7% | 1.38× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 105.5 | 58.3% | 57.3% | 71.3% | 0.80× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 109.5 | 54.0% | 52.4% | 39.1% | 1.34× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 107.5 | 52.1% | 52.4% | 66.2% | 0.79× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 108.5 | 51.0% | 52.4% | 36.2% | 1.45× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 110.5 | 50.3% | 52.0% | 41.9% | 1.24× | 1.92 |
| H2 over 110.5 | 49.7% | 48.0% | 58.1% | 0.82× | 2.09 |
| H2 over 108.5 | 49.0% | 47.6% | 63.8% | 0.75× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 107.5 | 47.9% | 47.6% | 33.8% | 1.41× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 109.5 | 46.0% | 47.6% | 60.9% | 0.78× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 105.5 | 41.7% | 42.7% | 28.7% | 1.49× | 2.34 |
| H2 over 111.5 | 39.9% | 38.4% | 55.3% | 0.69× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 103.5 | 35.8% | 38.4% | 23.8% | 1.61× | 2.61 |
| H2 over 115.5 | 34.8% | 35.6% | 44.6% | 0.80× | 2.81 |
| H2 over 113.5 | 34.0% | 33.6% | 49.9% | 0.67× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 100.5 | 27.5% | 27.8% | 17.6% | 1.58× | 3.59 |
| H2 over 116.5 | 25.9% | 27.8% | 41.9% | 0.66× | 3.59 |
| H2 under 102.5 | 27.2% | 27.5% | 21.5% | 1.28× | 3.63 |
| H2 over 118.5 | 26.7% | 27.5% | 36.4% | 0.76× | 3.63 |
| H2 under 98.5 | 18.0% | 18.5% | 13.8% | 1.34× | 5.41 |
| H2 over 122.5 | 17.6% | 18.5% | 25.6% | 0.72× | 5.41 |
| H2 under 96.5 | 18.2% | 18.2% | 10.7% | 1.69× | 5.50 |
| H2 over 120.5 | 17.0% | 18.2% | 30.7% | 0.59× | 5.50 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder leading at half time | 57.5% | 56.9% | 44.1% | 1.29× | 1.76 |
| Houston Rockets leading at half time | 39.1% | 37.9% | 52.8% | 0.72× | 2.64 |
| Level at half time | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.22× | 26.41 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder +20.5 | 96.0% | 97.4% | 89.1% | 1.09× | 1.03 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +18.5 | 94.6% | 91.1% | 86.4% | 1.05× | 1.10 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +16.5 | 93.0% | 91.1% | 83.5% | 1.09× | 1.10 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +14.5 | 90.9% | 91.1% | 80.1% | 1.14× | 1.10 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +12.5 | 88.4% | 85.9% | 76.0% | 1.13× | 1.16 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +10.5 | 85.5% | 85.9% | 71.0% | 1.21× | 1.16 |
| Houston Rockets +20.5 | 85.3% | 85.9% | 93.1% | 0.92× | 1.16 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +9.5 | 83.8% | 81.1% | 68.7% | 1.18× | 1.23 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +8.5 | 82.0% | 81.1% | 65.9% | 1.23× | 1.23 |
| Houston Rockets +18.5 | 81.8% | 81.1% | 91.5% | 0.89× | 1.23 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +7.5 | 80.2% | 81.1% | 63.0% | 1.29× | 1.23 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +6.5 | 78.2% | 76.5% | 60.0% | 1.27× | 1.31 |
| Houston Rockets +16.5 | 77.9% | 76.5% | 89.7% | 0.85× | 1.31 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +5.5 | 76.0% | 76.5% | 57.1% | 1.34× | 1.31 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +4.5 | 73.8% | 71.6% | 54.1% | 1.33× | 1.40 |
| Houston Rockets +14.5 | 73.6% | 71.6% | 87.0% | 0.82× | 1.40 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +3.5 | 71.5% | 71.6% | 51.6% | 1.39× | 1.40 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +2.5 | 69.1% | 66.7% | 49.1% | 1.36× | 1.50 |
| Houston Rockets +12.5 | 68.8% | 66.7% | 83.9% | 0.80× | 1.50 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +1.5 | 66.6% | 66.7% | 46.3% | 1.44× | 1.50 |
| Houston Rockets +10.5 | 63.7% | 61.9% | 80.3% | 0.77× | 1.62 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −1.5 | 61.3% | 61.9% | 42.1% | 1.47× | 1.62 |
| Houston Rockets +9.5 | 61.0% | 61.9% | 78.1% | 0.79× | 1.62 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −2.5 | 58.5% | 57.1% | 39.5% | 1.44× | 1.75 |
| Houston Rockets +8.5 | 58.3% | 57.1% | 75.7% | 0.75× | 1.75 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −3.5 | 55.7% | 57.1% | 36.9% | 1.55× | 1.75 |
| Houston Rockets +7.5 | 55.5% | 57.1% | 73.0% | 0.78× | 1.75 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −4.5 | 52.9% | 52.4% | 34.3% | 1.53× | 1.91 |
| Houston Rockets +6.5 | 52.7% | 52.4% | 70.6% | 0.74× | 1.91 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −5.5 | 50.1% | 52.4% | 32.0% | 1.64× | 1.91 |
| Houston Rockets +5.5 | 49.9% | 47.6% | 68.0% | 0.70× | 2.10 |
| Houston Rockets +4.5 | 47.1% | 47.6% | 65.7% | 0.72× | 2.10 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −6.5 | 47.3% | 47.6% | 29.4% | 1.62× | 2.10 |
| Houston Rockets +3.5 | 44.3% | 42.9% | 63.1% | 0.68× | 2.33 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −7.5 | 44.5% | 42.9% | 27.0% | 1.59× | 2.33 |
| Houston Rockets +2.5 | 41.5% | 42.9% | 60.5% | 0.71× | 2.33 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −8.5 | 41.7% | 42.9% | 24.3% | 1.77× | 2.33 |
| Houston Rockets +1.5 | 38.7% | 38.1% | 57.9% | 0.66× | 2.63 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −9.5 | 39.0% | 38.1% | 21.9% | 1.74× | 2.63 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −10.5 | 36.3% | 38.1% | 19.7% | 1.93× | 2.63 |
| Houston Rockets −1.5 | 33.4% | 33.3% | 53.7% | 0.62× | 3.01 |
| Houston Rockets −2.5 | 30.9% | 33.3% | 50.9% | 0.65× | 3.01 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −12.5 | 31.2% | 33.3% | 16.1% | 2.06× | 3.01 |
| Houston Rockets −3.5 | 28.5% | 28.4% | 48.4% | 0.59× | 3.53 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −14.5 | 26.4% | 28.4% | 13.0% | 2.18× | 3.53 |
| Houston Rockets −4.5 | 26.2% | 28.4% | 46.0% | 0.62× | 3.53 |
| Houston Rockets −5.5 | 24.0% | 23.5% | 42.9% | 0.55× | 4.25 |
| Houston Rockets −6.5 | 21.8% | 23.5% | 40.0% | 0.59× | 4.25 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −16.5 | 22.1% | 23.5% | 10.3% | 2.28× | 4.25 |
| Houston Rockets −7.5 | 19.8% | 18.9% | 37.0% | 0.51× | 5.29 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −18.5 | 18.2% | 18.9% | 8.5% | 2.22× | 5.29 |
| Houston Rockets −8.5 | 18.0% | 18.9% | 34.1% | 0.55× | 5.29 |
| Houston Rockets −9.5 | 16.2% | 18.9% | 31.3% | 0.60× | 5.30 |
| Houston Rockets −10.5 | 14.5% | 14.1% | 29.0% | 0.49× | 7.09 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −20.5 | 14.7% | 14.1% | 6.9% | 2.05× | 7.09 |
| Houston Rockets −12.5 | 11.6% | 14.1% | 24.0% | 0.59× | 7.09 |
| Houston Rockets −14.5 | 9.1% | 8.9% | 19.9% | 0.45× | 11.25 |
| Houston Rockets −16.5 | 7.0% | 8.9% | 16.5% | 0.54× | 11.25 |
| Houston Rockets −18.5 | 5.4% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 0.65× | 11.25 |
| Houston Rockets −20.5 | 4.0% | 2.6% | 10.9% | 0.24× | 38.72 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half highest scoring | 56.3% | 52.6% | 53.5% | 0.98× | 1.90 |
| 2nd half highest scoring | 43.7% | 47.4% | 46.5% | 1.02× | 2.11 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 highest scoring | 28.2% | 27.4% | 29.2% | 0.94× | 3.65 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 27.8% | 27.4% | 27.5% | 1.00× | 3.65 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 26.5% | 27.4% | 26.3% | 1.04× | 3.65 |
| Q4 highest scoring | 17.6% | 18.3% | 17.0% | 1.08× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder at HT / Oklahoma City Thunder at FT | 47.5% | 46.6% | 30.9% | 1.51× | 2.15 |
| Houston Rockets at HT / Houston Rockets at FT | 24.7% | 24.4% | 40.8% | 0.60× | 4.09 |
| Houston Rockets at HT / Oklahoma City Thunder at FT | 14.4% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 1.02× | 8.17 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder at HT / Houston Rockets at FT | 10.0% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 0.62× | 12.08 |
| Level at HT / Oklahoma City Thunder at FT | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.50× | 47.76 |
| Level at HT / Houston Rockets at FT | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.22× | 47.77 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder to win | 64.0% | 60.7% | 44.3% | 1.37× | 1.65 |
| Houston Rockets to win | 36.0% | 39.3% | 55.7% | 0.71× | 2.54 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total points odd | 51.3% | 50.5% | 51.0% | 0.99× | 1.98 |
| Houston Rockets even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.7% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.3% | 1.00× | 1.98 |
| Houston Rockets odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.3% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.7% | 1.00× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 48.7% | 49.5% | 49.0% | 1.01× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 93.3% | 94.0% | 94.8% | 0.99× | 1.06 |
| Match to go to overtime | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 1.16× | 16.65 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder to win Q1 | 53.9% | 52.6% | 44.1% | 1.19× | 1.90 |
| Houston Rockets to win Q1 | 41.4% | 42.9% | 51.3% | 0.84× | 2.33 |
| Q1 tied | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 0.90× | 23.94 |
Q1 total 32
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 under 64.5 | 82.8% | 83.2% | 80.1% | 1.04× | 1.20 |
| Q1 over 48.5 | 82.2% | 83.2% | 85.6% | 0.97× | 1.20 |
| Q1 under 63.5 | 83.4% | 82.8% | 76.8% | 1.08× | 1.21 |
| Q1 over 47.5 | 82.0% | 82.8% | 88.2% | 0.94× | 1.21 |
| Q1 under 61.5 | 72.5% | 73.1% | 68.5% | 1.07× | 1.37 |
| Q1 over 51.5 | 71.7% | 73.1% | 76.0% | 0.96× | 1.37 |
| Q1 under 60.5 | 73.1% | 72.7% | 64.5% | 1.13× | 1.38 |
| Q1 over 50.5 | 71.3% | 72.7% | 79.4% | 0.92× | 1.38 |
| Q1 under 59.5 | 64.2% | 62.3% | 60.0% | 1.04× | 1.61 |
| Q1 over 53.5 | 63.3% | 62.3% | 68.2% | 0.91× | 1.61 |
| Q1 under 58.5 | 64.8% | 61.7% | 55.7% | 1.11× | 1.62 |
| Q1 over 52.5 | 62.8% | 61.7% | 72.4% | 0.85× | 1.62 |
| Q1 under 57.5 | 55.1% | 59.2% | 50.4% | 1.17× | 1.69 |
| Q1 under 56.5 | 55.8% | 58.6% | 45.4% | 1.29× | 1.71 |
| Q1 over 54.5 | 53.6% | 52.7% | 63.3% | 0.83× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 55.5 | 51.1% | 52.7% | 40.8% | 1.29× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 55.5 | 48.9% | 47.3% | 59.2% | 0.80× | 2.11 |
| Q1 under 54.5 | 46.4% | 47.3% | 36.7% | 1.29× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 56.5 | 44.2% | 41.4% | 54.6% | 0.76× | 2.42 |
| Q1 over 57.5 | 44.9% | 40.8% | 49.6% | 0.82× | 2.45 |
| Q1 under 52.5 | 37.2% | 38.3% | 27.6% | 1.39× | 2.61 |
| Q1 over 58.5 | 35.2% | 38.3% | 44.3% | 0.86× | 2.61 |
| Q1 under 53.5 | 36.7% | 37.7% | 31.8% | 1.19× | 2.65 |
| Q1 over 59.5 | 35.8% | 37.7% | 40.0% | 0.94× | 2.65 |
| Q1 under 50.5 | 28.7% | 27.3% | 20.6% | 1.33× | 3.66 |
| Q1 over 60.5 | 26.9% | 27.3% | 35.5% | 0.77× | 3.66 |
| Q1 under 51.5 | 28.3% | 26.9% | 24.0% | 1.12× | 3.72 |
| Q1 over 61.5 | 27.5% | 26.9% | 31.5% | 0.85× | 3.72 |
| Q1 under 47.5 | 18.0% | 17.2% | 11.8% | 1.46× | 5.83 |
| Q1 over 63.5 | 16.6% | 17.2% | 23.2% | 0.74× | 5.83 |
| Q1 under 48.5 | 17.8% | 16.8% | 14.4% | 1.16× | 5.95 |
| Q1 over 64.5 | 17.2% | 16.8% | 19.9% | 0.84× | 5.95 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder to win Q2 | 53.8% | 51.4% | 46.2% | 1.11× | 1.95 |
| Houston Rockets to win Q2 | 41.5% | 43.9% | 49.3% | 0.89× | 2.28 |
| Q2 tied | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 0.98× | 22.88 |
Q2 total 32
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 under 64.5 | 83.5% | 83.1% | 80.9% | 1.03× | 1.20 |
| Q2 over 48.5 | 81.2% | 83.1% | 84.7% | 0.98× | 1.20 |
| Q2 under 63.5 | 84.1% | 83.0% | 77.5% | 1.07× | 1.21 |
| Q2 over 47.5 | 80.9% | 83.0% | 87.2% | 0.95× | 1.21 |
| Q2 under 61.5 | 73.5% | 73.0% | 70.4% | 1.04× | 1.37 |
| Q2 over 51.5 | 70.4% | 73.0% | 74.2% | 0.98× | 1.37 |
| Q2 under 60.5 | 74.1% | 72.0% | 65.7% | 1.10× | 1.39 |
| Q2 under 59.5 | 65.3% | 67.6% | 61.9% | 1.09× | 1.48 |
| Q2 over 50.5 | 70.0% | 67.4% | 78.1% | 0.86× | 1.48 |
| Q2 under 58.5 | 66.0% | 67.4% | 57.3% | 1.17× | 1.49 |
| Q2 over 53.5 | 61.9% | 62.0% | 65.8% | 0.94× | 1.61 |
| Q2 over 52.5 | 61.4% | 60.7% | 70.3% | 0.86× | 1.65 |
| Q2 under 56.5 | 57.1% | 58.2% | 48.3% | 1.20× | 1.72 |
| Q2 under 57.5 | 56.4% | 57.8% | 52.7% | 1.10× | 1.73 |
| Q2 under 55.5 | 52.4% | 52.7% | 43.7% | 1.21× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 54.5 | 52.2% | 52.7% | 61.1% | 0.86× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 54.5 | 47.8% | 47.3% | 38.9% | 1.22× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 55.5 | 47.6% | 47.3% | 56.3% | 0.84× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 57.5 | 43.6% | 42.2% | 47.3% | 0.89× | 2.37 |
| Q2 over 56.5 | 42.9% | 41.8% | 51.7% | 0.81× | 2.39 |
| Q2 under 52.5 | 38.6% | 39.3% | 29.7% | 1.32× | 2.55 |
| Q2 under 53.5 | 38.1% | 38.0% | 34.2% | 1.11× | 2.63 |
| Q2 over 58.5 | 34.0% | 32.6% | 42.7% | 0.77× | 3.06 |
| Q2 under 50.5 | 30.0% | 32.6% | 21.9% | 1.49× | 3.06 |
| Q2 over 59.5 | 34.7% | 32.4% | 38.1% | 0.85× | 3.09 |
| Q2 over 60.5 | 25.9% | 28.0% | 34.3% | 0.82× | 3.57 |
| Q2 under 51.5 | 29.6% | 27.0% | 25.8% | 1.05× | 3.71 |
| Q2 over 61.5 | 26.5% | 27.0% | 29.6% | 0.91× | 3.71 |
| Q2 under 47.5 | 19.1% | 17.0% | 12.8% | 1.33× | 5.88 |
| Q2 over 63.5 | 15.9% | 17.0% | 22.5% | 0.76× | 5.89 |
| Q2 under 48.5 | 18.8% | 16.9% | 15.3% | 1.10× | 5.93 |
| Q2 over 64.5 | 16.5% | 16.9% | 19.1% | 0.88× | 5.93 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder to win Q3 | 53.9% | 52.7% | 44.3% | 1.19× | 1.90 |
| Houston Rockets to win Q3 | 41.5% | 42.3% | 50.9% | 0.83× | 2.37 |
| Q3 tied | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 0.88× | 23.43 |
Q3 total 32
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 under 63.5 | 83.2% | 82.3% | 75.9% | 1.08× | 1.22 |
| Q3 over 47.5 | 82.7% | 82.3% | 88.1% | 0.93× | 1.22 |
| Q3 over 48.5 | 82.9% | 82.2% | 85.6% | 0.96× | 1.22 |
| Q3 under 64.5 | 82.6% | 82.2% | 79.2% | 1.04× | 1.22 |
| Q3 over 51.5 | 72.5% | 72.5% | 76.1% | 0.95× | 1.38 |
| Q3 under 61.5 | 72.1% | 72.5% | 67.7% | 1.07× | 1.38 |
| Q3 under 60.5 | 72.7% | 71.8% | 63.5% | 1.13× | 1.39 |
| Q3 over 50.5 | 72.1% | 71.8% | 79.7% | 0.90× | 1.39 |
| Q3 over 53.5 | 64.1% | 62.6% | 68.3% | 0.92× | 1.60 |
| Q3 under 59.5 | 63.6% | 62.6% | 59.0% | 1.06× | 1.60 |
| Q3 under 58.5 | 64.3% | 62.0% | 54.8% | 1.13× | 1.61 |
| Q3 over 52.5 | 63.6% | 62.0% | 72.2% | 0.86× | 1.61 |
| Q3 under 56.5 | 55.1% | 58.4% | 45.0% | 1.30× | 1.71 |
| Q3 under 57.5 | 54.4% | 52.6% | 49.8% | 1.06× | 1.90 |
| Q3 over 54.5 | 54.3% | 52.3% | 63.9% | 0.82× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 55.5 | 50.4% | 52.3% | 40.1% | 1.30× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 55.5 | 49.6% | 47.7% | 59.9% | 0.80× | 2.10 |
| Q3 under 54.5 | 45.7% | 47.7% | 36.1% | 1.32× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 57.5 | 45.6% | 47.4% | 50.2% | 0.94× | 2.11 |
| Q3 over 56.5 | 44.9% | 41.6% | 55.0% | 0.76× | 2.40 |
| Q3 under 52.5 | 36.4% | 38.0% | 27.8% | 1.37× | 2.63 |
| Q3 over 58.5 | 35.7% | 38.0% | 45.2% | 0.84× | 2.63 |
| Q3 over 59.5 | 36.4% | 37.4% | 41.0% | 0.91× | 2.67 |
| Q3 under 53.5 | 35.9% | 37.4% | 31.7% | 1.18× | 2.67 |
| Q3 under 50.5 | 27.9% | 28.2% | 20.3% | 1.39× | 3.55 |
| Q3 over 60.5 | 27.3% | 28.2% | 36.5% | 0.77× | 3.55 |
| Q3 over 61.5 | 28.0% | 27.5% | 32.3% | 0.85× | 3.64 |
| Q3 under 51.5 | 27.5% | 27.5% | 23.9% | 1.15× | 3.64 |
| Q3 over 64.5 | 17.4% | 17.8% | 20.8% | 0.85× | 5.62 |
| Q3 under 48.5 | 17.1% | 17.8% | 14.4% | 1.23× | 5.62 |
| Q3 under 47.5 | 17.3% | 17.7% | 11.9% | 1.49× | 5.66 |
| Q3 over 63.5 | 16.8% | 17.7% | 24.1% | 0.73× | 5.66 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder to win Q4 | 53.7% | 51.4% | 46.4% | 1.11× | 1.94 |
| Houston Rockets to win Q4 | 41.5% | 43.1% | 48.3% | 0.89× | 2.32 |
| Q4 tied | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 0.98× | 19.28 |
Q4 total 32
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 under 61.5 | 84.3% | 82.0% | 77.5% | 1.06× | 1.22 |
| Q4 under 62.5 | 83.9% | 81.9% | 80.4% | 1.02× | 1.22 |
| Q4 over 46.5 | 80.0% | 81.9% | 81.7% | 1.00× | 1.22 |
| Q4 over 45.5 | 79.9% | 76.9% | 84.6% | 0.91× | 1.30 |
| Q4 under 59.5 | 74.1% | 72.3% | 70.2% | 1.03× | 1.38 |
| Q4 under 58.5 | 74.5% | 71.5% | 66.2% | 1.08× | 1.40 |
| Q4 over 48.5 | 68.9% | 67.4% | 75.5% | 0.89× | 1.48 |
| Q4 under 56.5 | 66.6% | 67.4% | 57.2% | 1.18× | 1.48 |
| Q4 over 49.5 | 69.1% | 66.7% | 72.3% | 0.92× | 1.50 |
| Q4 under 57.5 | 66.2% | 66.6% | 61.9% | 1.08× | 1.50 |
| Q4 over 51.5 | 60.6% | 61.6% | 64.7% | 0.95× | 1.62 |
| Q4 over 50.5 | 60.3% | 61.4% | 68.5% | 0.90× | 1.63 |
| Q4 under 54.5 | 57.9% | 58.4% | 48.6% | 1.20× | 1.71 |
| Q4 under 55.5 | 57.5% | 57.4% | 52.9% | 1.09× | 1.74 |
| Q4 under 53.5 | 53.3% | 52.5% | 44.3% | 1.18× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 52.5 | 51.3% | 52.5% | 60.4% | 0.87× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 52.5 | 48.7% | 47.5% | 39.6% | 1.20× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 53.5 | 46.7% | 47.5% | 55.7% | 0.85× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 55.5 | 42.5% | 42.6% | 47.1% | 0.90× | 2.35 |
| Q4 over 54.5 | 42.1% | 41.6% | 51.4% | 0.81× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 50.5 | 39.7% | 38.6% | 31.5% | 1.23× | 2.59 |
| Q4 under 51.5 | 39.4% | 38.4% | 35.3% | 1.09× | 2.61 |
| Q4 over 57.5 | 33.8% | 33.4% | 38.1% | 0.88× | 3.00 |
| Q4 under 49.5 | 30.9% | 33.3% | 27.7% | 1.20× | 3.00 |
| Q4 over 56.5 | 33.4% | 32.6% | 42.8% | 0.76× | 3.07 |
| Q4 under 48.5 | 31.1% | 32.6% | 24.5% | 1.33× | 3.07 |
| Q4 over 58.5 | 25.5% | 28.5% | 33.8% | 0.84× | 3.51 |
| Q4 over 59.5 | 25.9% | 27.7% | 29.8% | 0.93× | 3.61 |
| Q4 under 45.5 | 20.1% | 23.1% | 15.4% | 1.50× | 4.33 |
| Q4 under 46.5 | 20.0% | 18.1% | 18.3% | 0.99× | 5.53 |
| Q4 over 62.5 | 16.1% | 18.1% | 19.6% | 0.92× | 5.54 |
| Q4 over 61.5 | 15.7% | 18.0% | 22.5% | 0.80× | 5.56 |
Team total 54
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 122.5 | 81.9% | 80.7% | 77.4% | 1.04× | 1.24 |
| Houston Rockets over 96.5 | 80.4% | 80.7% | 92.9% | 0.87× | 1.24 |
| Houston Rockets under 120.5 | 80.0% | 78.3% | 66.3% | 1.18× | 1.28 |
| Houston Rockets over 100.5 | 79.1% | 78.3% | 87.7% | 0.89× | 1.28 |
| Houston Rockets under 116.5 | 79.8% | 75.1% | 54.7% | 1.37× | 1.33 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 102.5 | 78.7% | 75.1% | 79.7% | 0.94× | 1.33 |
| Houston Rockets under 117.5 | 72.3% | 71.8% | 57.8% | 1.24× | 1.39 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 119.5 | 74.4% | 70.7% | 70.3% | 1.01× | 1.41 |
| Houston Rockets over 99.5 | 72.6% | 70.7% | 89.3% | 0.79× | 1.41 |
| Houston Rockets under 113.5 | 72.0% | 70.7% | 45.7% | 1.55× | 1.41 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 105.5 | 70.5% | 70.7% | 71.9% | 0.98× | 1.41 |
| Houston Rockets under 115.5 | 66.6% | 66.6% | 51.6% | 1.29× | 1.50 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 117.5 | 68.6% | 66.4% | 64.4% | 1.03× | 1.51 |
| Houston Rockets over 101.5 | 66.7% | 66.4% | 86.0% | 0.77× | 1.51 |
| Houston Rockets under 111.5 | 66.0% | 66.4% | 38.9% | 1.71× | 1.51 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 107.5 | 64.4% | 61.2% | 66.6% | 0.92× | 1.63 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 115.5 | 62.3% | 61.2% | 58.6% | 1.05× | 1.63 |
| Houston Rockets over 103.5 | 60.4% | 61.2% | 82.1% | 0.75× | 1.63 |
| Houston Rockets under 109.5 | 59.7% | 57.1% | 33.0% | 1.73× | 1.75 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 109.5 | 57.9% | 57.1% | 60.9% | 0.94× | 1.75 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 113.5 | 55.7% | 57.1% | 52.0% | 1.10× | 1.75 |
| Houston Rockets over 105.5 | 53.7% | 52.3% | 77.4% | 0.68× | 1.91 |
| Houston Rockets under 107.5 | 53.0% | 52.3% | 27.3% | 1.91× | 1.91 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 111.5 | 51.1% | 52.3% | 54.6% | 0.96× | 1.91 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 112.5 | 52.3% | 52.3% | 48.5% | 1.08× | 1.91 |
| Houston Rockets over 106.5 | 50.4% | 52.3% | 75.1% | 0.70× | 1.91 |
| Houston Rockets under 110.5 | 50.6% | 52.2% | 35.9% | 1.46× | 1.91 |
| Houston Rockets over 110.5 | 49.4% | 47.8% | 64.1% | 0.75× | 2.09 |
| Houston Rockets under 106.5 | 49.6% | 47.7% | 24.9% | 1.92× | 2.09 |
| Houston Rockets over 107.5 | 47.0% | 47.7% | 72.7% | 0.66× | 2.09 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 111.5 | 48.9% | 47.7% | 45.4% | 1.05× | 2.09 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 112.5 | 47.7% | 47.7% | 51.5% | 0.93× | 2.09 |
| Houston Rockets under 105.5 | 46.3% | 47.7% | 22.6% | 2.11× | 2.09 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 113.5 | 44.3% | 42.9% | 48.0% | 0.89× | 2.33 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 109.5 | 42.1% | 42.9% | 39.1% | 1.10× | 2.33 |
| Houston Rockets over 109.5 | 40.3% | 42.9% | 67.0% | 0.64× | 2.33 |
| Houston Rockets under 103.5 | 39.6% | 38.8% | 17.9% | 2.17× | 2.58 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 115.5 | 37.7% | 38.8% | 41.4% | 0.94× | 2.58 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 107.5 | 35.6% | 38.8% | 33.4% | 1.16× | 2.58 |
| Houston Rockets under 101.5 | 33.3% | 33.6% | 14.0% | 2.39× | 2.98 |
| Houston Rockets over 111.5 | 34.0% | 33.6% | 61.1% | 0.55× | 2.98 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 117.5 | 31.4% | 33.6% | 35.6% | 0.94× | 2.98 |
| Houston Rockets over 115.5 | 33.4% | 33.4% | 48.4% | 0.69× | 2.99 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 105.5 | 29.5% | 29.3% | 28.1% | 1.04× | 3.42 |
| Houston Rockets under 99.5 | 27.4% | 29.3% | 10.7% | 2.72× | 3.42 |
| Houston Rockets over 113.5 | 28.0% | 29.3% | 54.3% | 0.54× | 3.42 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 119.5 | 25.6% | 29.3% | 29.7% | 0.99× | 3.42 |
| Houston Rockets over 117.5 | 27.7% | 28.2% | 42.2% | 0.67× | 3.55 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 102.5 | 21.3% | 24.9% | 20.3% | 1.22× | 4.02 |
| Houston Rockets over 116.5 | 20.2% | 24.9% | 45.3% | 0.55× | 4.02 |
| Houston Rockets under 100.5 | 20.9% | 21.7% | 12.3% | 1.77× | 4.60 |
| Houston Rockets over 120.5 | 20.0% | 21.7% | 33.7% | 0.65× | 4.61 |
| Houston Rockets under 96.5 | 19.6% | 19.3% | 7.1% | 2.71× | 5.18 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 122.5 | 18.1% | 19.3% | 22.6% | 0.85× | 5.18 |
Total points 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 243.5 points | 86.4% | 85.5% | 78.2% | 1.09× | 1.17 |
| Under 238.5 points | 86.2% | 85.0% | 70.9% | 1.20× | 1.18 |
| Over 198.5 points | 86.1% | 85.0% | 93.6% | 0.91× | 1.18 |
| Under 233.5 points | 79.4% | 75.6% | 61.4% | 1.23× | 1.32 |
| Over 203.5 points | 79.1% | 75.6% | 89.8% | 0.84× | 1.32 |
| Over 208.5 points | 70.6% | 70.8% | 84.1% | 0.84× | 1.41 |
| Under 228.5 points | 70.8% | 70.8% | 51.3% | 1.38× | 1.41 |
| Under 230.5 points | 65.7% | 66.6% | 55.4% | 1.20× | 1.50 |
| Over 216.5 points | 63.4% | 61.8% | 71.6% | 0.86× | 1.62 |
| Over 211.5 points | 64.7% | 61.5% | 79.7% | 0.77× | 1.63 |
| Under 225.5 points | 65.0% | 61.5% | 45.3% | 1.36× | 1.63 |
| Over 213.5 points | 60.5% | 61.5% | 76.4% | 0.80× | 1.63 |
| Under 223.5 points | 60.9% | 61.5% | 41.7% | 1.47× | 1.63 |
| Over 215.5 points | 56.3% | 56.5% | 73.4% | 0.77× | 1.77 |
| Under 221.5 points | 56.6% | 56.5% | 37.8% | 1.49× | 1.77 |
| Under 226.5 points | 57.5% | 56.0% | 47.3% | 1.19× | 1.79 |
| Over 220.5 points | 55.1% | 56.0% | 64.2% | 0.87× | 1.79 |
| Over 217.5 points | 52.0% | 52.3% | 69.6% | 0.75× | 1.91 |
| Under 219.5 points | 52.3% | 52.3% | 33.9% | 1.54× | 1.91 |
| Under 218.5 points | 50.1% | 52.3% | 32.2% | 1.62× | 1.91 |
| Under 224.5 points | 53.3% | 52.2% | 43.5% | 1.20× | 1.92 |
| Over 222.5 points | 50.9% | 52.2% | 60.4% | 0.86× | 1.92 |
| Under 222.5 points | 49.1% | 47.8% | 39.6% | 1.21× | 2.09 |
| Over 224.5 points | 46.7% | 47.8% | 56.5% | 0.84× | 2.09 |
| Over 218.5 points | 49.9% | 47.7% | 67.8% | 0.70× | 2.10 |
| Under 217.5 points | 48.0% | 47.7% | 30.4% | 1.57× | 2.10 |
| Over 219.5 points | 47.7% | 47.7% | 66.1% | 0.72× | 2.10 |
| Under 220.5 points | 44.9% | 44.0% | 35.8% | 1.23× | 2.27 |
| Over 226.5 points | 42.5% | 44.0% | 52.7% | 0.83× | 2.27 |
| Under 215.5 points | 43.7% | 43.5% | 26.6% | 1.63× | 2.30 |
| Over 221.5 points | 43.4% | 43.5% | 62.2% | 0.70× | 2.30 |
| Under 213.5 points | 39.5% | 38.5% | 23.6% | 1.64× | 2.60 |
| Over 223.5 points | 39.1% | 38.5% | 58.3% | 0.66× | 2.60 |
| Under 211.5 points | 35.3% | 38.5% | 20.3% | 1.89× | 2.60 |
| Over 225.5 points | 35.0% | 38.5% | 54.7% | 0.70× | 2.60 |
| Under 216.5 points | 36.6% | 38.3% | 28.4% | 1.35× | 2.61 |
| Over 230.5 points | 34.3% | 33.4% | 44.6% | 0.75× | 2.99 |
| Under 208.5 points | 29.4% | 29.2% | 15.9% | 1.83× | 3.43 |
| Over 228.5 points | 29.2% | 29.2% | 48.7% | 0.60× | 3.43 |
| Under 203.5 points | 20.9% | 24.4% | 10.2% | 2.39× | 4.10 |
| Over 233.5 points | 20.6% | 24.4% | 38.6% | 0.63× | 4.10 |
| Under 198.5 points | 13.9% | 15.0% | 6.4% | 2.33× | 6.68 |
| Over 238.5 points | 13.8% | 15.0% | 29.1% | 0.51× | 6.68 |
| Over 243.5 points | 13.6% | 14.5% | 21.8% | 0.67× | 6.88 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder to win both halves | 30.8% | 31.2% | 17.8% | 1.75× | 3.20 |
| Houston Rockets to win both halves | 13.3% | 14.1% | 25.2% | 0.56× | 7.12 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder by 1-5 | 13.9% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 1.01× | 8.11 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder by 6-10 | 13.8% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 1.00× | 8.11 |
| Houston Rockets by 1-5 | 12.1% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 0.96× | 8.11 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder by 11-15 | 12.1% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 1.54× | 8.11 |
| Houston Rockets by 6-10 | 9.4% | 7.5% | 13.9% | 0.54× | 13.40 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder by 16-20 | 9.5% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 1.53× | 13.40 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder by 26+ | 8.1% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 1.93× | 13.40 |
| Houston Rockets by 11-15 | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 0.69× | 13.40 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder by 21-25 | 6.6% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 2.45× | 13.40 |
| Houston Rockets by 16-20 | 4.0% | 2.0% | 7.3% | 0.28× | 49.29 |
| Houston Rockets by 21-25 | 2.2% | 2.0% | 4.7% | 0.43× | 49.31 |
| Houston Rockets by 26+ | 1.8% | 2.0% | 6.2% | 0.33× | 49.31 |