Illinois State Redbirds v Loyola Chicago Ramblers — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Tuesday 17 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027
NCAAW results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Illinois State Redbirds win
71.6%
Draw
0.0%
Loyola Chicago Ramblers win
28.4%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 65.47–59.15 | 65-59 0% | 51% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois State Redbirds to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.20× | 283.35 |
| Illinois State Redbirds to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.64× | 283.36 |
| Illinois State Redbirds to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 2.91× | 283.36 |
| Illinois State Redbirds to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 7.58× | 283.36 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.71× | 283.36 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.74× | 283.36 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 18.95× | 283.36 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 37.89× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 6.32× | 283.36 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois State Redbirds to win H1 | 61.3% | 62.2% | 56.4% | 1.10× | 1.61 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers to win H1 | 34.4% | 33.1% | 39.9% | 0.83× | 3.02 |
| H1 tied | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.05× | 25.86 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 72.5 | 89.7% | 87.7% | 83.6% | 1.05× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 48.5 | 87.0% | 87.7% | 88.8% | 0.99× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 68.5 | 80.8% | 82.5% | 73.5% | 1.12× | 1.21 |
| H1 over 52.5 | 76.5% | 77.4% | 79.6% | 0.97× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 65.5 | 71.7% | 73.5% | 63.9% | 1.15× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 55.5 | 66.3% | 67.4% | 71.0% | 0.95× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 63.5 | 64.6% | 62.7% | 57.1% | 1.10× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 57.5 | 58.8% | 58.2% | 64.8% | 0.90× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 61.5 | 57.0% | 58.2% | 49.8% | 1.17× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 60.5 | 53.1% | 52.6% | 46.1% | 1.14× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 59.5 | 50.9% | 52.6% | 57.8% | 0.91× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 59.5 | 49.1% | 47.4% | 42.2% | 1.12× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 60.5 | 46.9% | 47.4% | 53.9% | 0.88× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 61.5 | 43.0% | 41.8% | 50.2% | 0.83× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 57.5 | 41.2% | 41.8% | 35.2% | 1.19× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 63.5 | 35.4% | 37.3% | 42.9% | 0.87× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 55.5 | 33.7% | 32.6% | 29.0% | 1.12× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 65.5 | 28.3% | 26.5% | 36.1% | 0.73× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 52.5 | 23.5% | 22.6% | 20.4% | 1.11× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 68.5 | 19.2% | 17.5% | 26.5% | 0.66× | 5.72 |
| H1 under 48.5 | 13.0% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 1.10× | 8.14 |
| H1 over 72.5 | 10.3% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 0.75× | 8.14 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois State Redbirds to win H2 | 62.2% | 58.8% | 56.0% | 1.05× | 1.70 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers to win H2 | 33.8% | 36.3% | 40.6% | 0.90× | 2.75 |
| H2 tied | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.16× | 25.35 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 over 53.5 | 87.3% | 85.2% | 89.7% | 0.95× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 77.5 | 87.3% | 85.2% | 77.9% | 1.09× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 73.5 | 77.8% | 75.8% | 67.1% | 1.13× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 57.5 | 77.5% | 75.8% | 82.2% | 0.92× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 70.5 | 68.5% | 66.4% | 57.8% | 1.15× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 60.5 | 68.0% | 66.4% | 74.5% | 0.89× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 68.5 | 61.6% | 61.6% | 51.3% | 1.20× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 62.5 | 60.9% | 61.6% | 68.3% | 0.90× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 64.5 | 53.4% | 52.4% | 62.1% | 0.84× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 66.5 | 54.2% | 52.4% | 44.6% | 1.17× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 65.5 | 50.4% | 52.4% | 41.2% | 1.27× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 65.5 | 49.6% | 47.6% | 58.8% | 0.81× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 64.5 | 46.6% | 47.6% | 37.9% | 1.26× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 66.5 | 45.8% | 47.6% | 55.4% | 0.86× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 62.5 | 39.1% | 38.4% | 31.7% | 1.21× | 2.61 |
| H2 over 68.5 | 38.4% | 38.4% | 48.7% | 0.79× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 60.5 | 32.0% | 33.6% | 25.5% | 1.32× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 70.5 | 31.5% | 33.6% | 42.2% | 0.80× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 57.5 | 22.5% | 24.2% | 17.8% | 1.36× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 73.5 | 22.2% | 24.2% | 32.9% | 0.74× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 53.5 | 12.7% | 14.8% | 10.3% | 1.43× | 6.76 |
| H2 over 77.5 | 12.7% | 14.8% | 22.1% | 0.67× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois State Redbirds leading at half time | 61.3% | 62.5% | 56.4% | 1.11× | 1.60 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers leading at half time | 34.4% | 32.8% | 39.9% | 0.82× | 3.05 |
| Level at half time | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.03× | 26.40 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois State Redbirds +14.5 | 96.8% | 97.4% | 86.7% | 1.12× | 1.03 |
| Illinois State Redbirds +16.5 | 97.9% | 97.4% | 89.1% | 1.09× | 1.03 |
| Illinois State Redbirds +18.5 | 98.7% | 97.4% | 91.1% | 1.07× | 1.03 |
| Illinois State Redbirds +20.5 | 99.2% | 97.4% | 92.7% | 1.05× | 1.03 |
| Illinois State Redbirds +12.5 | 95.2% | 97.4% | 83.8% | 1.16× | 1.03 |
| Illinois State Redbirds +10.5 | 93.1% | 91.1% | 80.4% | 1.13× | 1.10 |
| Illinois State Redbirds +8.5 | 90.4% | 91.1% | 76.5% | 1.19× | 1.10 |
| Illinois State Redbirds +9.5 | 91.8% | 91.1% | 78.7% | 1.16× | 1.10 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers +20.5 | 90.1% | 91.1% | 82.0% | 1.11× | 1.10 |
| Illinois State Redbirds +7.5 | 88.7% | 85.9% | 74.5% | 1.15× | 1.16 |
| Illinois State Redbirds +6.5 | 86.9% | 85.9% | 72.3% | 1.19× | 1.16 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers +18.5 | 86.5% | 85.9% | 79.3% | 1.08× | 1.16 |
| Illinois State Redbirds +5.5 | 84.8% | 81.1% | 70.1% | 1.16× | 1.23 |
| Illinois State Redbirds +4.5 | 82.6% | 81.1% | 67.8% | 1.20× | 1.23 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers +16.5 | 82.1% | 81.1% | 75.7% | 1.07× | 1.23 |
| Illinois State Redbirds +3.5 | 80.1% | 81.1% | 65.7% | 1.23× | 1.23 |
| Illinois State Redbirds +2.5 | 77.5% | 76.5% | 63.3% | 1.21× | 1.31 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers +14.5 | 76.9% | 76.5% | 72.1% | 1.06× | 1.31 |
| Illinois State Redbirds +1.5 | 74.7% | 71.6% | 61.2% | 1.17× | 1.40 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers +12.5 | 70.9% | 71.6% | 67.9% | 1.06× | 1.40 |
| Illinois State Redbirds −1.5 | 68.3% | 66.7% | 58.7% | 1.14× | 1.50 |
| Illinois State Redbirds −2.5 | 64.8% | 61.9% | 56.7% | 1.09× | 1.62 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers +10.5 | 64.3% | 61.9% | 63.2% | 0.98× | 1.62 |
| Illinois State Redbirds −3.5 | 61.3% | 61.9% | 54.2% | 1.14× | 1.62 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers +9.5 | 60.8% | 61.9% | 60.7% | 1.02× | 1.62 |
| Illinois State Redbirds −4.5 | 57.6% | 57.1% | 52.2% | 1.09× | 1.75 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers +8.5 | 57.2% | 57.1% | 58.0% | 0.98× | 1.75 |
| Illinois State Redbirds −5.5 | 53.9% | 52.4% | 49.7% | 1.05× | 1.91 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers +7.5 | 53.5% | 52.4% | 55.2% | 0.95× | 1.91 |
| Illinois State Redbirds −6.5 | 50.2% | 52.4% | 47.6% | 1.10× | 1.91 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers +6.5 | 49.8% | 47.6% | 52.4% | 0.91× | 2.10 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers +5.5 | 46.1% | 47.6% | 50.3% | 0.95× | 2.10 |
| Illinois State Redbirds −7.5 | 46.5% | 47.6% | 44.8% | 1.06× | 2.10 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers +4.5 | 42.4% | 42.9% | 47.8% | 0.90× | 2.33 |
| Illinois State Redbirds −8.5 | 42.8% | 42.9% | 42.0% | 1.02× | 2.33 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers +3.5 | 38.7% | 38.1% | 45.8% | 0.83× | 2.63 |
| Illinois State Redbirds −9.5 | 39.2% | 38.1% | 39.3% | 0.97× | 2.63 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers +2.5 | 35.2% | 38.1% | 43.3% | 0.88× | 2.63 |
| Illinois State Redbirds −10.5 | 35.7% | 38.1% | 36.8% | 1.03× | 2.63 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers +1.5 | 31.7% | 33.3% | 41.3% | 0.81× | 3.01 |
| Illinois State Redbirds −12.5 | 29.1% | 28.4% | 32.1% | 0.88× | 3.53 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers −1.5 | 25.3% | 28.4% | 38.8% | 0.73× | 3.53 |
| Illinois State Redbirds −14.5 | 23.1% | 23.5% | 27.9% | 0.84× | 4.25 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers −2.5 | 22.5% | 23.5% | 36.7% | 0.64× | 4.25 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers −3.5 | 19.9% | 18.9% | 34.3% | 0.55× | 5.29 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers −4.5 | 17.4% | 18.9% | 32.2% | 0.59× | 5.29 |
| Illinois State Redbirds −16.5 | 17.9% | 18.9% | 24.3% | 0.78× | 5.29 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers −5.5 | 15.2% | 18.9% | 29.9% | 0.63× | 5.30 |
| Illinois State Redbirds −18.5 | 13.5% | 14.1% | 20.7% | 0.68× | 7.09 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers −6.5 | 13.1% | 14.1% | 27.7% | 0.51× | 7.09 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers −7.5 | 11.3% | 14.1% | 25.5% | 0.55× | 7.09 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers −8.5 | 9.6% | 8.9% | 23.5% | 0.38× | 11.25 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers −9.5 | 8.2% | 8.9% | 21.3% | 0.42× | 11.25 |
| Illinois State Redbirds −20.5 | 9.9% | 8.9% | 18.0% | 0.49× | 11.25 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers −10.5 | 6.9% | 8.9% | 19.6% | 0.45× | 11.25 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers −12.5 | 4.8% | 2.6% | 16.2% | 0.16× | 38.72 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers −14.5 | 3.2% | 2.6% | 13.3% | 0.19× | 38.73 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers −16.5 | 2.1% | 2.6% | 10.9% | 0.24× | 38.73 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers −18.5 | 1.3% | 2.6% | 8.9% | 0.29× | 38.74 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers −20.5 | 0.8% | 2.6% | 7.3% | 0.35× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 71.1% | 67.1% | 66.7% | 1.01× | 1.49 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 28.9% | 32.9% | 33.3% | 0.99× | 3.04 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 highest scoring | 34.1% | 31.9% | 31.2% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 32.3% | 31.9% | 31.3% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q1 highest scoring | 17.5% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 0.94× | 5.46 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 16.1% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 1.02× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois State Redbirds at HT / Illinois State Redbirds at FT | 52.9% | 51.1% | 48.3% | 1.06× | 1.96 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers at HT / Loyola Chicago Ramblers at FT | 18.5% | 15.5% | 30.1% | 0.51× | 6.47 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers at HT / Illinois State Redbirds at FT | 15.9% | 15.4% | 9.8% | 1.58× | 6.47 |
| Illinois State Redbirds at HT / Loyola Chicago Ramblers at FT | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 1.01× | 12.08 |
| Level at HT / Illinois State Redbirds at FT | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.09× | 47.74 |
| Level at HT / Loyola Chicago Ramblers at FT | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.20× | 47.77 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois State Redbirds to win | 71.6% | 68.7% | 59.9% | 1.15× | 1.46 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers to win | 28.4% | 31.3% | 40.1% | 0.78× | 3.20 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total points odd | 51.6% | 50.5% | 51.5% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| Illinois State Redbirds even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.4% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers even | 50.1% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Illinois State Redbirds odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.6% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers odd | 49.9% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 48.4% | 49.5% | 48.5% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 94.5% | 94.0% | 95.6% | 0.98× | 1.06 |
| Match to go to overtime | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.35× | 16.66 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois State Redbirds to win Q1 | 56.2% | 57.3% | 54.7% | 1.05× | 1.75 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers to win Q1 | 37.8% | 38.2% | 40.4% | 0.95× | 2.62 |
| Q1 tied | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 1.11× | 18.32 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 under 38.5 | 89.5% | 87.4% | 84.8% | 1.03× | 1.14 |
| Q1 over 22.5 | 86.9% | 87.4% | 88.8% | 0.98× | 1.14 |
| Q1 under 35.5 | 79.1% | 76.9% | 73.2% | 1.05× | 1.30 |
| Q1 over 25.5 | 75.0% | 76.9% | 77.6% | 0.99× | 1.30 |
| Q1 under 33.5 | 69.7% | 67.6% | 64.0% | 1.06× | 1.48 |
| Q1 over 27.5 | 64.7% | 61.7% | 67.7% | 0.91× | 1.62 |
| Q1 under 31.5 | 58.6% | 58.6% | 54.0% | 1.09× | 1.71 |
| Q1 over 29.5 | 53.2% | 52.7% | 56.9% | 0.93× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 30.5 | 52.8% | 52.7% | 48.8% | 1.08× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 30.5 | 47.2% | 47.3% | 51.2% | 0.92× | 2.11 |
| Q1 under 29.5 | 46.8% | 47.3% | 43.1% | 1.10× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 31.5 | 41.4% | 41.4% | 46.0% | 0.90× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 27.5 | 35.3% | 38.3% | 32.3% | 1.18× | 2.61 |
| Q1 over 33.5 | 30.4% | 32.4% | 36.0% | 0.90× | 3.08 |
| Q1 under 25.5 | 25.0% | 23.1% | 22.4% | 1.03× | 4.33 |
| Q1 over 35.5 | 20.9% | 23.1% | 26.8% | 0.86× | 4.33 |
| Q1 under 22.5 | 13.1% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 1.12× | 7.95 |
| Q1 over 38.5 | 10.5% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 0.83× | 7.95 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois State Redbirds to win Q2 | 56.0% | 59.4% | 52.9% | 1.12× | 1.69 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers to win Q2 | 38.1% | 35.8% | 41.5% | 0.86× | 2.80 |
| Q2 tied | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 1.07× | 16.49 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 over 21.5 | 89.0% | 87.3% | 90.2% | 0.97× | 1.15 |
| Q2 under 37.5 | 87.5% | 87.3% | 82.3% | 1.06× | 1.15 |
| Q2 over 24.5 | 78.1% | 76.8% | 80.7% | 0.95× | 1.30 |
| Q2 under 34.5 | 76.1% | 76.8% | 70.1% | 1.10× | 1.30 |
| Q2 over 26.5 | 68.4% | 67.4% | 71.6% | 0.94× | 1.49 |
| Q2 under 32.5 | 66.0% | 67.4% | 60.8% | 1.11× | 1.49 |
| Q2 over 28.5 | 57.2% | 58.2% | 61.2% | 0.95× | 1.72 |
| Q2 under 30.5 | 54.6% | 52.7% | 50.1% | 1.05× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 29.5 | 51.3% | 52.7% | 55.8% | 0.94× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 29.5 | 48.7% | 47.3% | 44.2% | 1.07× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 30.5 | 45.4% | 47.3% | 49.9% | 0.95× | 2.11 |
| Q2 under 28.5 | 42.8% | 41.8% | 38.8% | 1.08× | 2.39 |
| Q2 over 32.5 | 34.0% | 32.6% | 39.2% | 0.83× | 3.06 |
| Q2 under 26.5 | 31.6% | 32.6% | 28.4% | 1.15× | 3.06 |
| Q2 over 34.5 | 23.9% | 23.2% | 29.9% | 0.78× | 4.31 |
| Q2 under 24.5 | 21.9% | 23.2% | 19.3% | 1.20× | 4.31 |
| Q2 over 37.5 | 12.5% | 12.7% | 17.7% | 0.72× | 7.89 |
| Q2 under 21.5 | 11.0% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 1.30× | 7.90 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois State Redbirds to win Q3 | 56.8% | 56.8% | 53.3% | 1.07× | 1.76 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers to win Q3 | 37.4% | 38.8% | 41.8% | 0.93× | 2.58 |
| Q3 tied | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 1.07× | 18.97 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 over 24.5 | 88.3% | 87.2% | 89.9% | 0.97× | 1.15 |
| Q3 under 40.5 | 87.0% | 87.2% | 81.9% | 1.07× | 1.15 |
| Q3 over 27.5 | 77.4% | 77.3% | 80.0% | 0.97× | 1.29 |
| Q3 under 37.5 | 75.6% | 77.3% | 69.7% | 1.11× | 1.29 |
| Q3 over 29.5 | 67.8% | 67.8% | 71.8% | 0.94× | 1.48 |
| Q3 under 35.5 | 65.8% | 67.8% | 59.7% | 1.14× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 31.5 | 56.8% | 58.4% | 61.6% | 0.95× | 1.71 |
| Q3 under 33.5 | 54.7% | 52.3% | 49.1% | 1.07× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 32.5 | 51.1% | 52.3% | 56.1% | 0.93× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 32.5 | 48.9% | 47.7% | 43.9% | 1.09× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 33.5 | 45.3% | 47.7% | 50.9% | 0.94× | 2.10 |
| Q3 under 31.5 | 43.2% | 41.6% | 38.4% | 1.08× | 2.40 |
| Q3 over 35.5 | 34.2% | 32.2% | 40.3% | 0.80× | 3.10 |
| Q3 under 29.5 | 32.2% | 32.2% | 28.2% | 1.14× | 3.10 |
| Q3 over 37.5 | 24.4% | 22.7% | 30.3% | 0.75× | 4.40 |
| Q3 under 27.5 | 22.6% | 22.7% | 20.0% | 1.14× | 4.40 |
| Q3 over 40.5 | 13.0% | 12.8% | 18.1% | 0.70× | 7.83 |
| Q3 under 24.5 | 11.7% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 1.27× | 7.83 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois State Redbirds to win Q4 | 56.7% | 52.0% | 52.8% | 0.99× | 1.92 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers to win Q4 | 37.6% | 42.4% | 41.5% | 1.02× | 2.36 |
| Q4 tied | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.02× | 17.25 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 under 41.5 | 88.3% | 85.6% | 83.6% | 1.02× | 1.17 |
| Q4 over 25.5 | 84.0% | 82.0% | 86.1% | 0.95× | 1.22 |
| Q4 under 38.5 | 78.3% | 76.9% | 73.1% | 1.05× | 1.30 |
| Q4 over 28.5 | 71.9% | 71.5% | 75.1% | 0.95× | 1.40 |
| Q4 under 36.5 | 69.5% | 67.4% | 64.3% | 1.05× | 1.48 |
| Q4 over 30.5 | 62.1% | 61.4% | 66.3% | 0.93× | 1.63 |
| Q4 under 34.5 | 59.4% | 58.4% | 54.4% | 1.07× | 1.71 |
| Q4 under 33.5 | 54.1% | 52.5% | 49.6% | 1.06× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 32.5 | 51.4% | 52.5% | 55.4% | 0.95× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 32.5 | 48.6% | 47.5% | 44.6% | 1.07× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 33.5 | 45.9% | 47.5% | 50.4% | 0.94× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 34.5 | 40.6% | 41.6% | 45.6% | 0.91× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 30.5 | 37.9% | 38.6% | 33.7% | 1.14× | 2.59 |
| Q4 over 36.5 | 30.5% | 32.6% | 35.7% | 0.91× | 3.07 |
| Q4 under 28.5 | 28.1% | 28.5% | 24.9% | 1.14× | 3.51 |
| Q4 over 38.5 | 21.7% | 23.1% | 26.9% | 0.86× | 4.33 |
| Q4 under 25.5 | 16.0% | 18.0% | 13.9% | 1.30× | 5.56 |
| Q4 over 41.5 | 11.7% | 14.4% | 16.4% | 0.88× | 6.95 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois State Redbirds under 76.5 | 87.1% | 83.9% | 75.4% | 1.11× | 1.19 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers over 49.5 | 86.3% | 83.9% | 85.1% | 0.99× | 1.19 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers under 69.5 | 86.6% | 83.9% | 71.2% | 1.18× | 1.19 |
| Illinois State Redbirds over 56.5 | 83.5% | 80.7% | 79.5% | 1.01× | 1.24 |
| Illinois State Redbirds under 73.5 | 79.3% | 75.1% | 68.5% | 1.10× | 1.33 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers under 66.5 | 78.3% | 75.1% | 62.7% | 1.20× | 1.33 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers over 52.5 | 77.3% | 75.1% | 78.5% | 0.96× | 1.33 |
| Illinois State Redbirds over 59.5 | 74.4% | 70.7% | 72.2% | 0.98× | 1.41 |
| Illinois State Redbirds under 71.5 | 72.8% | 70.7% | 63.0% | 1.12× | 1.41 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers over 54.5 | 70.0% | 70.7% | 73.5% | 0.96× | 1.41 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers under 64.5 | 71.5% | 70.7% | 56.9% | 1.24× | 1.41 |
| Illinois State Redbirds over 61.5 | 67.2% | 66.4% | 66.9% | 0.99× | 1.51 |
| Illinois State Redbirds under 69.5 | 65.4% | 66.4% | 57.4% | 1.16× | 1.51 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers under 62.5 | 63.7% | 61.2% | 51.0% | 1.20× | 1.63 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers over 56.5 | 61.9% | 61.2% | 68.0% | 0.90× | 1.63 |
| Illinois State Redbirds over 63.5 | 59.3% | 57.1% | 61.5% | 0.93× | 1.75 |
| Illinois State Redbirds under 67.5 | 57.3% | 57.1% | 51.3% | 1.11× | 1.75 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers under 60.5 | 55.4% | 57.1% | 44.4% | 1.29× | 1.75 |
| Illinois State Redbirds over 65.5 | 51.0% | 52.3% | 55.3% | 0.95× | 1.91 |
| Illinois State Redbirds under 66.5 | 53.2% | 52.3% | 48.2% | 1.09× | 1.91 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers over 58.5 | 53.3% | 52.3% | 62.1% | 0.84× | 1.91 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers under 59.5 | 51.0% | 52.3% | 41.2% | 1.27× | 1.91 |
| Illinois State Redbirds under 65.5 | 49.0% | 47.7% | 44.7% | 1.07× | 2.09 |
| Illinois State Redbirds over 66.5 | 46.8% | 47.7% | 51.8% | 0.92× | 2.09 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers under 58.5 | 46.7% | 47.7% | 37.9% | 1.26× | 2.09 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers over 59.5 | 49.0% | 47.7% | 58.8% | 0.81× | 2.09 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers over 60.5 | 44.6% | 42.9% | 55.6% | 0.77× | 2.33 |
| Illinois State Redbirds over 67.5 | 42.7% | 42.9% | 48.7% | 0.88× | 2.33 |
| Illinois State Redbirds under 63.5 | 40.7% | 42.9% | 38.5% | 1.11× | 2.33 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers under 56.5 | 38.1% | 38.8% | 32.0% | 1.21× | 2.58 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers over 62.5 | 36.3% | 38.8% | 49.0% | 0.79× | 2.58 |
| Illinois State Redbirds over 69.5 | 34.6% | 33.6% | 42.6% | 0.79× | 2.98 |
| Illinois State Redbirds under 61.5 | 32.8% | 33.6% | 33.1% | 1.02× | 2.98 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers under 54.5 | 30.0% | 29.3% | 26.5% | 1.11× | 3.42 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers over 64.5 | 28.5% | 29.3% | 43.2% | 0.68× | 3.42 |
| Illinois State Redbirds over 71.5 | 27.3% | 29.3% | 37.0% | 0.79× | 3.42 |
| Illinois State Redbirds under 59.5 | 25.6% | 29.3% | 27.8% | 1.05× | 3.42 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers under 52.5 | 22.7% | 24.9% | 21.5% | 1.16× | 4.02 |
| Illinois State Redbirds over 73.5 | 20.7% | 24.9% | 31.5% | 0.79× | 4.02 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers over 66.5 | 21.7% | 24.9% | 37.3% | 0.67× | 4.02 |
| Illinois State Redbirds under 56.5 | 16.5% | 19.3% | 20.5% | 0.94× | 5.18 |
| Illinois State Redbirds over 76.5 | 12.9% | 16.1% | 24.6% | 0.66× | 6.21 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers under 49.5 | 13.7% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 1.08× | 6.21 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers over 69.5 | 13.4% | 16.1% | 28.8% | 0.56× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 105.5 points | 91.3% | 88.8% | 91.9% | 0.97× | 1.13 |
| Under 145.5 points | 91.5% | 88.8% | 79.5% | 1.12× | 1.13 |
| Under 140.5 points | 85.0% | 85.0% | 71.8% | 1.19× | 1.18 |
| Over 110.5 points | 84.2% | 80.6% | 86.4% | 0.93× | 1.24 |
| Under 135.5 points | 76.0% | 75.6% | 62.4% | 1.21× | 1.32 |
| Over 115.5 points | 74.2% | 70.8% | 78.8% | 0.90× | 1.41 |
| Under 132.5 points | 69.2% | 65.9% | 56.0% | 1.18× | 1.52 |
| Over 118.5 points | 67.2% | 65.9% | 73.6% | 0.90× | 1.52 |
| Under 130.5 points | 64.4% | 61.5% | 51.7% | 1.19× | 1.63 |
| Over 120.5 points | 62.1% | 61.5% | 69.8% | 0.88× | 1.63 |
| Under 128.5 points | 59.2% | 56.5% | 47.2% | 1.20× | 1.77 |
| Over 122.5 points | 56.8% | 56.5% | 65.6% | 0.86× | 1.77 |
| Under 126.5 points | 53.9% | 52.3% | 42.6% | 1.23× | 1.91 |
| Over 124.5 points | 51.4% | 52.3% | 61.5% | 0.85× | 1.91 |
| Under 125.5 points | 51.3% | 52.3% | 40.5% | 1.29× | 1.91 |
| Under 124.5 points | 48.6% | 47.7% | 38.5% | 1.24× | 2.10 |
| Over 125.5 points | 48.7% | 47.7% | 59.5% | 0.80× | 2.10 |
| Over 126.5 points | 46.1% | 47.7% | 57.4% | 0.83× | 2.10 |
| Under 122.5 points | 43.2% | 43.5% | 34.4% | 1.26× | 2.30 |
| Over 128.5 points | 40.8% | 43.5% | 52.8% | 0.82× | 2.30 |
| Under 120.5 points | 37.9% | 38.5% | 30.2% | 1.28× | 2.60 |
| Over 130.5 points | 35.6% | 38.5% | 48.3% | 0.80× | 2.60 |
| Under 118.5 points | 32.8% | 34.1% | 26.4% | 1.29× | 2.93 |
| Over 132.5 points | 30.8% | 34.1% | 44.0% | 0.77× | 2.93 |
| Under 115.5 points | 25.8% | 29.2% | 21.2% | 1.38× | 3.43 |
| Over 135.5 points | 24.0% | 24.4% | 37.6% | 0.65× | 4.10 |
| Under 110.5 points | 15.8% | 19.4% | 13.6% | 1.43× | 5.15 |
| Over 140.5 points | 15.0% | 15.0% | 28.2% | 0.53× | 6.68 |
| Under 105.5 points | 8.7% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 1.38× | 8.96 |
| Over 145.5 points | 8.5% | 11.2% | 20.5% | 0.55× | 8.96 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois State Redbirds to win both halves | 35.3% | 36.3% | 36.0% | 1.01× | 2.76 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers to win both halves | 9.1% | 8.8% | 20.4% | 0.43× | 11.30 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois State Redbirds by 1-5 | 17.7% | 16.8% | 10.2% | 1.64× | 5.97 |
| Illinois State Redbirds by 6-10 | 18.2% | 16.8% | 12.9% | 1.30× | 5.97 |
| Illinois State Redbirds by 11-15 | 15.3% | 16.8% | 10.8% | 1.55× | 5.97 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers by 1-5 | 13.2% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 1.21× | 8.11 |
| Illinois State Redbirds by 16-20 | 10.6% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 1.53× | 8.11 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers by 6-10 | 8.3% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 0.72× | 13.40 |
| Illinois State Redbirds by 21-25 | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 1.39× | 13.40 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers by 11-15 | 4.3% | 2.0% | 7.6% | 0.27× | 49.29 |
| Illinois State Redbirds by 26+ | 4.0% | 2.0% | 12.6% | 0.16× | 49.29 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers by 16-20 | 1.8% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 0.43× | 49.31 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers by 21-25 | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 0.76× | 49.32 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers by 26+ | 0.2% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 0.44× | 49.33 |