Indiana Hoosiers v Bowling Green Falcons — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 27 November 2026 · NCAAB · 2027

NCAAB results-only Prediction generated 3 Sep 2026, 23:45

Indiana Hoosiers

00:00

Bowling Green Falcons

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Indiana Hoosiers win

90.3%

Draw

0.0%

Bowling Green Falcons win

9.7%

90010

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	90010	80.82–67.27	81-67 0%	49%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Indiana Hoosiers to score 100+	2.8%	0.4%	3.4%	0.10×	282.80
Indiana Hoosiers to score 110+	0.2%	0.4%	0.7%	0.52×	283.32
Indiana Hoosiers to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	4.87×	283.36
Indiana Hoosiers to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	19.47×	283.36
Bowling Green Falcons to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	1.1%	0.33×	283.35
Bowling Green Falcons to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	0.2%	1.95×	283.36
Bowling Green Falcons to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	12.98×	283.36
Bowling Green Falcons to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	38.95×	283.36
Both sides to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	0.4%	0.87×	283.35

H1 result 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Indiana Hoosiers to win H1	75.6%	79.2%	57.9%	1.37×	1.26
Indiana Hoosiers to win H1	75.6%	79.2%	57.9%	1.37×	1.26
Bowling Green Falcons to win H1	21.0%	21.4%	38.2%	0.56×	4.68
Bowling Green Falcons to win H1	20.9%	21.4%	38.2%	0.56×	4.68
H1 tied	3.5%	3.9%	3.9%	0.99×	25.86
H1 tied	3.5%	3.9%	3.9%	0.99×	25.86

H1 total 40

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 under 82.5	87.9%	87.7%	88.9%	0.99×	1.14
H1 over 58.5	86.2%	87.7%	83.3%	1.05×	1.14
H1 under 78.5	79.4%	77.4%	80.7%	0.96×	1.29
H1 under 78.5	78.6%	77.4%	80.7%	0.96×	1.29
H1 over 62.5	76.9%	77.4%	72.0%	1.08×	1.29
H1 over 62.5	76.2%	77.4%	72.0%	1.08×	1.29
H1 under 75.5	70.1%	73.5%	72.8%	1.01×	1.36
H1 under 75.5	69.6%	67.4%	72.8%	0.93×	1.48
H1 over 65.5	67.1%	67.4%	61.9%	1.09×	1.48
H1 over 65.5	66.6%	67.4%	61.9%	1.09×	1.48
H1 under 73.5	63.1%	62.7%	66.6%	0.94×	1.59
H1 under 73.5	62.7%	62.7%	66.6%	0.94×	1.59
H1 over 67.5	59.8%	58.2%	54.4%	1.07×	1.72
H1 over 67.5	59.5%	58.2%	54.4%	1.07×	1.72
H1 under 71.5	55.6%	58.2%	60.0%	0.97×	1.72
H1 under 71.5	55.4%	58.2%	60.0%	0.97×	1.72
H1 over 69.5	52.2%	52.6%	46.9%	1.12×	1.90
H1 under 70.5	51.7%	52.6%	56.5%	0.93×	1.90
H1 over 69.5	52.1%	52.6%	46.9%	1.12×	1.90
H1 under 70.5	51.7%	52.6%	56.5%	0.93×	1.90
H1 under 69.5	47.8%	47.4%	53.1%	0.89×	2.11
H1 over 70.5	48.3%	47.4%	43.5%	1.09×	2.11
H1 under 69.5	47.9%	47.4%	53.1%	0.89×	2.11
H1 over 70.5	48.3%	47.4%	43.5%	1.09×	2.11
H1 over 71.5	44.4%	41.8%	40.0%	1.05×	2.39
H1 over 71.5	44.6%	41.8%	40.0%	1.05×	2.39
H1 under 67.5	40.2%	41.8%	45.6%	0.92×	2.39
H1 under 67.5	40.5%	41.8%	45.6%	0.92×	2.39
H1 over 73.5	36.9%	37.3%	33.4%	1.12×	2.68
H1 over 73.5	37.3%	37.3%	33.4%	1.12×	2.68
H1 under 65.5	33.4%	32.6%	38.1%	0.86×	3.07
H1 under 65.5	32.9%	32.6%	38.1%	0.86×	3.07
H1 over 75.5	30.4%	32.6%	27.2%	1.20×	3.07
H1 over 75.5	29.9%	26.5%	27.2%	0.98×	3.77
H1 under 62.5	23.8%	22.6%	28.0%	0.80×	4.43
H1 under 62.5	23.1%	22.6%	28.0%	0.80×	4.43
H1 over 78.5	21.4%	22.6%	19.3%	1.17×	4.43
H1 over 78.5	20.6%	22.6%	19.3%	1.17×	4.43
H1 under 58.5	13.8%	12.3%	16.7%	0.74×	8.13
H1 over 82.5	12.1%	12.3%	11.1%	1.10×	8.14

H2 result 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Indiana Hoosiers to win H2	77.4%	73.9%	56.9%	1.30×	1.35
Indiana Hoosiers to win H2	77.3%	73.9%	57.5%	1.29×	1.35
Bowling Green Falcons to win H2	19.5%	20.5%	38.5%	0.53×	4.89
Bowling Green Falcons to win H2	19.4%	20.5%	38.9%	0.53×	4.89
H2 tied	3.2%	3.9%	4.2%	0.95×	25.36
H2 tied	3.2%	3.9%	4.1%	0.97×	25.36

H2 total 40

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 under 90.5	86.5%	85.2%	83.6%	1.02×	1.17
H2 over 66.5	84.9%	81.8%	82.3%	0.99×	1.22
H2 under 86.5	77.9%	75.8%	79.3%	0.96×	1.32
H2 under 86.5	77.2%	75.8%	75.7%	1.00×	1.32
H2 over 70.5	75.6%	75.8%	69.8%	1.09×	1.32
H2 over 70.5	75.0%	75.8%	71.9%	1.05×	1.32
H2 under 83.5	69.0%	66.4%	71.6%	0.93×	1.51
H2 under 83.5	68.5%	66.4%	68.0%	0.98×	1.51
H2 over 73.5	66.3%	66.4%	60.4%	1.10×	1.51
H2 over 73.5	65.8%	66.4%	63.1%	1.05×	1.51
H2 under 81.5	62.2%	61.6%	65.8%	0.94×	1.62
H2 under 81.5	61.9%	61.6%	62.2%	0.99×	1.62
H2 over 75.5	59.3%	57.3%	53.4%	1.07×	1.74
H2 over 75.5	59.1%	57.3%	56.4%	1.02×	1.74
H2 under 79.5	55.1%	57.3%	59.8%	0.96×	1.74
H2 under 79.5	55.0%	52.4%	56.2%	0.93×	1.91
H2 over 77.5	52.1%	52.4%	47.0%	1.12×	1.91
H2 under 78.5	51.5%	52.4%	56.4%	0.93×	1.91
H2 over 77.5	52.1%	52.4%	50.2%	1.04×	1.91
H2 under 78.5	51.5%	52.4%	53.0%	0.99×	1.91
H2 under 77.5	47.9%	47.6%	53.0%	0.90×	2.10
H2 over 78.5	48.5%	47.6%	43.6%	1.09×	2.10
H2 under 77.5	47.9%	47.6%	49.8%	0.96×	2.10
H2 over 78.5	48.5%	47.6%	47.0%	1.01×	2.10
H2 over 79.5	45.0%	47.6%	43.8%	1.09×	2.10
H2 over 79.5	44.9%	42.7%	40.3%	1.06×	2.34
H2 under 75.5	40.7%	42.7%	46.6%	0.91×	2.35
H2 under 75.5	40.9%	42.7%	43.6%	0.98×	2.35
H2 over 81.5	38.1%	38.4%	37.8%	1.02×	2.61
H2 over 81.5	37.8%	38.4%	34.2%	1.12×	2.61
H2 under 73.5	33.8%	33.6%	39.6%	0.85×	2.97
H2 under 73.5	34.2%	33.6%	36.9%	0.91×	2.97
H2 over 83.5	31.0%	33.6%	28.4%	1.18×	2.97
H2 over 83.5	31.5%	33.6%	32.0%	1.05×	2.97
H2 under 70.5	25.0%	24.2%	28.1%	0.86×	4.13
H2 under 70.5	24.4%	24.2%	30.2%	0.80×	4.13
H2 over 86.5	22.8%	24.2%	24.3%	1.00×	4.13
H2 over 86.5	22.1%	24.2%	20.7%	1.17×	4.13
H2 under 66.5	15.1%	18.2%	17.7%	1.03×	5.50
H2 over 90.5	13.5%	14.8%	16.4%	0.90×	6.76

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Indiana Hoosiers leading at half time	75.6%	79.6%	57.9%	1.38×	1.26
Bowling Green Falcons leading at half time	21.0%	20.9%	38.2%	0.55×	4.78
Level at half time	3.5%	3.8%	3.9%	0.97×	26.41

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Indiana Hoosiers +14.5	99.5%	97.4%	92.2%	1.06×	1.03
Indiana Hoosiers +16.5	99.7%	97.4%	94.0%	1.04×	1.03
Indiana Hoosiers +18.5	99.9%	97.4%	95.4%	1.02×	1.03
Indiana Hoosiers +20.5	99.9%	97.4%	96.5%	1.01×	1.03
Indiana Hoosiers +5.5	96.1%	97.4%	76.4%	1.28×	1.03
Indiana Hoosiers +6.5	96.9%	97.4%	78.8%	1.24×	1.03
Indiana Hoosiers +7.5	97.5%	97.4%	81.0%	1.20×	1.03
Indiana Hoosiers +8.5	98.0%	97.4%	83.3%	1.17×	1.03
Indiana Hoosiers +9.5	98.4%	97.4%	85.3%	1.14×	1.03
Indiana Hoosiers +10.5	98.7%	97.4%	87.2%	1.12×	1.03
Indiana Hoosiers +12.5	99.2%	97.4%	89.9%	1.08×	1.03
Indiana Hoosiers +4.5	95.3%	97.4%	73.7%	1.32×	1.03
Indiana Hoosiers +3.5	94.3%	91.1%	70.8%	1.29×	1.10
Indiana Hoosiers +2.5	93.1%	91.1%	68.0%	1.34×	1.10
Indiana Hoosiers +1.5	91.8%	91.1%	65.4%	1.39×	1.10
Indiana Hoosiers −1.5	88.4%	85.9%	60.8%	1.41×	1.16
Indiana Hoosiers −2.5	86.3%	85.9%	57.7%	1.49×	1.16
Indiana Hoosiers −3.5	83.9%	81.1%	54.1%	1.50×	1.23
Indiana Hoosiers −4.5	81.4%	81.1%	50.7%	1.60×	1.23
Indiana Hoosiers −5.5	78.6%	76.5%	47.0%	1.63×	1.31
Indiana Hoosiers −6.5	75.7%	76.5%	44.3%	1.73×	1.31
Bowling Green Falcons +20.5	73.8%	71.6%	86.5%	0.83×	1.40
Indiana Hoosiers −7.5	72.5%	71.6%	41.3%	1.73×	1.40
Indiana Hoosiers −8.5	69.2%	66.7%	38.5%	1.74×	1.50
Bowling Green Falcons +18.5	67.3%	66.7%	83.9%	0.80×	1.50
Indiana Hoosiers −9.5	65.7%	66.7%	35.5%	1.88×	1.50
Indiana Hoosiers −10.5	62.2%	61.9%	32.6%	1.90×	1.62
Bowling Green Falcons +16.5	60.3%	61.9%	80.7%	0.77×	1.62
Indiana Hoosiers −12.5	54.7%	52.4%	27.6%	1.90×	1.91
Bowling Green Falcons +14.5	52.8%	52.4%	77.2%	0.68×	1.91
Indiana Hoosiers −14.5	47.2%	47.6%	22.8%	2.09×	2.10
Bowling Green Falcons +12.5	45.3%	47.6%	72.4%	0.66×	2.10
Indiana Hoosiers −16.5	39.7%	38.1%	19.3%	1.97×	2.63
Bowling Green Falcons +10.5	37.8%	38.1%	67.4%	0.57×	2.63
Bowling Green Falcons +9.5	34.3%	33.3%	64.5%	0.52×	3.01
Indiana Hoosiers −18.5	32.7%	33.3%	16.1%	2.06×	3.01
Bowling Green Falcons +8.5	30.8%	33.3%	61.5%	0.54×	3.01
Bowling Green Falcons +7.5	27.5%	28.4%	58.7%	0.48×	3.53
Indiana Hoosiers −20.5	26.2%	28.4%	13.5%	2.11×	3.53
Bowling Green Falcons +6.5	24.3%	23.5%	55.7%	0.42×	4.25
Bowling Green Falcons +5.5	21.4%	23.5%	53.0%	0.44×	4.25
Bowling Green Falcons +4.5	18.6%	18.9%	49.3%	0.38×	5.29
Bowling Green Falcons +3.5	16.1%	18.9%	45.9%	0.41×	5.30
Bowling Green Falcons +2.5	13.7%	14.1%	42.3%	0.33×	7.09
Bowling Green Falcons +1.5	11.6%	14.1%	39.2%	0.36×	7.09
Bowling Green Falcons −1.5	8.2%	8.9%	34.6%	0.26×	11.25
Bowling Green Falcons −2.5	6.9%	8.9%	32.0%	0.28×	11.25
Bowling Green Falcons −3.5	5.7%	8.9%	29.3%	0.30×	11.25
Bowling Green Falcons −4.5	4.7%	2.6%	26.3%	0.10×	38.72
Bowling Green Falcons −5.5	3.9%	2.6%	23.6%	0.11×	38.73
Bowling Green Falcons −6.5	3.1%	2.6%	21.2%	0.12×	38.73
Bowling Green Falcons −7.5	2.5%	2.6%	19.0%	0.14×	38.73
Bowling Green Falcons −8.5	2.0%	2.6%	16.7%	0.16×	38.73
Bowling Green Falcons −9.5	1.6%	2.6%	14.7%	0.18×	38.73
Bowling Green Falcons −10.5	1.3%	2.6%	12.8%	0.20×	38.74
Bowling Green Falcons −12.5	0.8%	2.6%	10.1%	0.26×	38.74
Bowling Green Falcons −14.5	0.5%	2.6%	7.8%	0.33×	38.74
Bowling Green Falcons −16.5	0.3%	2.6%	6.0%	0.43×	38.74
Bowling Green Falcons −18.5	0.1%	2.6%	4.6%	0.57×	38.74
Bowling Green Falcons −20.5	0.1%	2.6%	3.5%	0.75×	38.74

Highest scoring half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 highest scoring	79.3%	71.6%	70.4%	1.02×	1.40
2nd half highest scoring	77.8%	71.6%	72.5%	0.99×	1.40
1st half highest scoring	22.2%	28.4%	27.5%	1.03×	3.53
H1 highest scoring	20.7%	28.4%	29.6%	0.96×	3.53

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Indiana Hoosiers at HT / Indiana Hoosiers at FT	72.3%	73.2%	48.6%	1.51×	1.37
Bowling Green Falcons at HT / Indiana Hoosiers at FT	15.0%	15.4%	12.4%	1.25×	6.47
Bowling Green Falcons at HT / Bowling Green Falcons at FT	5.9%	8.3%	25.8%	0.32×	12.09
Indiana Hoosiers at HT / Bowling Green Falcons at FT	3.3%	2.1%	9.3%	0.22×	47.74
Level at HT / Indiana Hoosiers at FT	3.0%	2.1%	2.3%	0.92×	47.74
Level at HT / Bowling Green Falcons at FT	0.5%	2.1%	1.6%	1.28×	47.78

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Indiana Hoosiers to win	90.3%	90.6%	63.2%	1.43×	1.10
Bowling Green Falcons to win	9.7%	9.4%	36.8%	0.26×	10.60

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Indiana Hoosiers even	50.0%	50.5%	50.1%	1.01×	1.98
Bowling Green Falcons even	50.0%	50.5%	50.4%	1.00×	1.98
Total points odd	50.9%	50.5%	51.6%	0.98×	1.98
Indiana Hoosiers odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.9%	0.99×	2.02
Bowling Green Falcons odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.6%	1.00×	2.02
Total points even	49.1%	49.5%	48.4%	1.02×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	95.1%	97.0%	94.2%	1.03×	1.03
Match to go to overtime	4.9%	3.0%	5.8%	0.52×	33.32

Team total 44

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Indiana Hoosiers under 91.5	86.1%	83.9%	89.7%	0.94×	1.19
Bowling Green Falcons under 77.5	86.1%	83.9%	70.9%	1.18×	1.19
Bowling Green Falcons over 57.5	84.6%	80.7%	88.1%	0.92×	1.24
Indiana Hoosiers over 71.5	83.5%	80.7%	63.7%	1.27×	1.24
Indiana Hoosiers under 88.5	78.1%	75.1%	84.8%	0.89×	1.33
Bowling Green Falcons under 74.5	77.9%	75.1%	61.7%	1.22×	1.33
Bowling Green Falcons over 60.5	75.9%	75.1%	82.0%	0.92×	1.33
Indiana Hoosiers over 74.5	74.7%	70.7%	54.1%	1.31×	1.41
Indiana Hoosiers under 86.5	71.6%	70.7%	80.8%	0.88×	1.41
Bowling Green Falcons under 72.5	71.2%	70.7%	55.3%	1.28×	1.41
Bowling Green Falcons over 62.5	68.9%	66.4%	76.6%	0.87×	1.51
Indiana Hoosiers over 76.5	67.7%	66.4%	47.7%	1.39×	1.51
Indiana Hoosiers under 84.5	64.2%	61.2%	76.1%	0.80×	1.63
Bowling Green Falcons under 70.5	63.7%	61.2%	48.7%	1.26×	1.63
Bowling Green Falcons over 64.5	61.1%	61.2%	70.7%	0.87×	1.63
Indiana Hoosiers over 78.5	60.0%	61.2%	41.6%	1.47×	1.63
Indiana Hoosiers under 82.5	56.3%	57.1%	70.8%	0.81×	1.75
Bowling Green Falcons under 68.5	55.6%	57.1%	41.6%	1.37×	1.75
Indiana Hoosiers over 80.5	51.9%	52.3%	35.1%	1.49×	1.91
Indiana Hoosiers under 81.5	52.2%	52.3%	67.9%	0.77×	1.91
Bowling Green Falcons over 66.5	52.8%	52.3%	64.7%	0.81×	1.91
Bowling Green Falcons under 67.5	51.4%	52.3%	38.4%	1.36×	1.91
Indiana Hoosiers under 80.5	48.1%	47.7%	64.9%	0.74×	2.09
Indiana Hoosiers over 81.5	47.8%	47.7%	32.1%	1.49×	2.09
Bowling Green Falcons under 66.5	47.2%	47.7%	35.3%	1.35×	2.09
Bowling Green Falcons over 67.5	48.6%	47.7%	61.6%	0.78×	2.09
Bowling Green Falcons over 68.5	44.4%	42.9%	58.4%	0.73×	2.33
Indiana Hoosiers over 82.5	43.7%	42.9%	29.2%	1.47×	2.33
Indiana Hoosiers under 78.5	40.0%	38.8%	58.4%	0.66×	2.58
Bowling Green Falcons under 64.5	38.9%	38.8%	29.3%	1.33×	2.58
Bowling Green Falcons over 70.5	36.3%	38.8%	51.4%	0.76×	2.58
Indiana Hoosiers over 84.5	35.8%	38.8%	23.9%	1.63×	2.58
Indiana Hoosiers under 76.5	32.3%	33.6%	52.3%	0.64×	2.98
Bowling Green Falcons under 62.5	31.1%	33.6%	23.4%	1.44×	2.98
Bowling Green Falcons over 72.5	28.8%	29.3%	44.7%	0.65×	3.42
Indiana Hoosiers over 86.5	28.4%	29.3%	19.2%	1.53×	3.42
Indiana Hoosiers under 74.5	25.3%	29.3%	45.9%	0.64×	3.42
Bowling Green Falcons under 60.5	24.1%	24.9%	18.0%	1.38×	4.02
Indiana Hoosiers over 88.5	21.9%	24.9%	15.2%	1.64×	4.02
Bowling Green Falcons over 74.5	22.1%	24.9%	38.3%	0.65×	4.02
Indiana Hoosiers under 71.5	16.5%	19.3%	36.3%	0.53×	5.18
Bowling Green Falcons under 57.5	15.4%	19.3%	11.9%	1.62×	5.18
Indiana Hoosiers over 91.5	13.9%	16.1%	10.3%	1.56×	6.21
Bowling Green Falcons over 77.5	13.9%	16.1%	29.1%	0.55×	6.21

Total points 30

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 168.5 points	89.8%	85.0%	86.7%	0.98×	1.18
Over 128.5 points	89.1%	85.0%	84.5%	1.01×	1.18
Under 163.5 points	83.2%	80.6%	80.9%	1.00×	1.24
Over 133.5 points	82.0%	80.6%	76.4%	1.05×	1.24
Under 158.5 points	74.1%	70.8%	73.3%	0.97×	1.41
Over 138.5 points	72.7%	70.8%	67.0%	1.06×	1.41
Under 155.5 points	67.8%	65.9%	68.1%	0.97×	1.52
Over 141.5 points	66.1%	65.9%	60.4%	1.09×	1.52
Under 153.5 points	63.2%	61.5%	64.6%	0.95×	1.63
Over 143.5 points	61.4%	61.5%	56.3%	1.09×	1.63
Under 151.5 points	58.4%	56.5%	60.6%	0.93×	1.77
Over 145.5 points	56.5%	56.5%	51.8%	1.09×	1.77
Under 149.5 points	53.4%	52.3%	56.3%	0.93×	1.91
Over 147.5 points	51.6%	52.3%	47.8%	1.09×	1.91
Under 148.5 points	50.9%	52.3%	54.3%	0.96×	1.91
Over 148.5 points	49.1%	47.7%	45.7%	1.04×	2.10
Under 147.5 points	48.4%	47.7%	52.2%	0.91×	2.10
Over 149.5 points	46.6%	47.7%	43.7%	1.09×	2.10
Under 145.5 points	43.5%	43.5%	48.2%	0.90×	2.30
Over 151.5 points	41.6%	43.5%	39.4%	1.10×	2.30
Under 143.5 points	38.6%	38.5%	43.7%	0.88×	2.60
Over 153.5 points	36.8%	38.5%	35.4%	1.09×	2.60
Under 141.5 points	33.9%	34.1%	39.6%	0.86×	2.93
Over 155.5 points	32.2%	34.1%	31.9%	1.07×	2.93
Under 138.5 points	27.3%	29.2%	33.0%	0.88×	3.43
Over 158.5 points	25.9%	29.2%	26.7%	1.09×	3.43
Under 133.5 points	18.0%	19.4%	23.6%	0.82×	5.15
Over 163.5 points	16.8%	19.4%	19.1%	1.02×	5.15
Under 128.5 points	10.9%	15.0%	15.5%	0.97×	6.69
Over 168.5 points	10.2%	15.0%	13.3%	1.12×	6.69

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Indiana Hoosiers to win both halves	56.2%	57.7%	33.2%	1.74×	1.73
Bowling Green Falcons to win both halves	2.3%	3.0%	14.5%	0.20×	33.70

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Indiana Hoosiers by 11-15	18.7%	16.8%	11.6%	1.45×	5.97
Indiana Hoosiers by 6-10	16.5%	16.8%	14.4%	1.16×	5.97
Indiana Hoosiers by 16-20	17.2%	16.8%	7.6%	2.20×	5.97
Indiana Hoosiers by 26+	13.4%	12.3%	7.9%	1.56×	8.11
Indiana Hoosiers by 21-25	12.8%	12.3%	5.6%	2.22×	8.11
Indiana Hoosiers by 1-5	11.7%	12.3%	16.2%	0.76×	8.11
Bowling Green Falcons by 1-5	5.8%	7.5%	13.2%	0.57×	13.40
Bowling Green Falcons by 6-10	2.6%	2.0%	10.8%	0.19×	49.31
Bowling Green Falcons by 11-15	0.9%	2.0%	6.1%	0.34×	49.32
Bowling Green Falcons by 16-20	0.3%	2.0%	3.3%	0.61×	49.33
Bowling Green Falcons by 21-25	0.1%	2.0%	1.9%	1.06×	49.33
Bowling Green Falcons by 26+	0.0%	2.0%	1.6%	1.30×	49.33

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