Indiana Pacers v Atlanta Hawks — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 10 October 2026 · NBA · 2027

NBA results-only Prediction generated 4 Sep 2026, 03:45 UTC

Indiana Pacers

23:00 UTC

Atlanta Hawks

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Indiana Pacers win

33.3%

Draw

0.0%

Atlanta Hawks win

66.7%

33067

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	33067	116.23–122.33	116-122 0%	50%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta Hawks to score 100+	97.5%	94.9%	85.9%	1.11×	1.05
Indiana Pacers to score 100+	92.1%	90.3%	89.3%	1.01×	1.11
Both sides to score 100+	90.0%	85.1%	77.5%	1.10×	1.18
Atlanta Hawks to score 110+	86.5%	85.0%	60.9%	1.39×	1.18
Indiana Pacers to score 110+	71.3%	72.3%	67.0%	1.08×	1.38
Atlanta Hawks to score 120+	59.9%	56.4%	29.7%	1.90×	1.77
Indiana Pacers to score 120+	38.8%	36.0%	36.5%	0.99×	2.78
Atlanta Hawks to score 130+	27.3%	27.5%	10.0%	2.76×	3.64
Indiana Pacers to score 130+	13.0%	13.8%	12.8%	1.08×	7.23

H1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta Hawks to win H1	59.3%	57.3%	44.1%	1.30×	1.75
Indiana Pacers to win H1	37.3%	37.8%	52.8%	0.72×	2.64
H1 tied	3.4%	3.9%	3.1%	1.25×	25.86

H1 total 34

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 under 130.5	82.4%	83.2%	89.6%	0.93×	1.20
H1 over 106.5	81.4%	83.2%	73.3%	1.14×	1.20
H1 under 132.5	82.4%	82.5%	92.0%	0.90×	1.21
H1 over 108.5	82.0%	82.5%	67.7%	1.22×	1.21
H1 under 126.5	73.5%	74.0%	82.8%	0.89×	1.35
H1 over 110.5	72.2%	74.0%	61.9%	1.19×	1.35
H1 under 128.5	73.3%	73.5%	86.7%	0.85×	1.36
H1 over 112.5	72.8%	73.5%	55.8%	1.32×	1.36
H1 under 125.5	65.3%	67.4%	80.7%	0.84×	1.48
H1 over 113.5	64.1%	63.3%	52.4%	1.21×	1.58
H1 over 115.5	64.7%	62.7%	46.4%	1.35×	1.59
H1 under 123.5	59.4%	58.2%	76.0%	0.77×	1.72
H1 over 117.5	58.8%	58.2%	40.4%	1.44×	1.72
H1 over 119.5	52.8%	52.6%	34.1%	1.55×	1.90
H1 under 121.5	53.4%	52.6%	71.2%	0.74×	1.90
H1 under 120.5	50.3%	52.6%	68.4%	0.77×	1.90
H1 under 118.5	50.8%	52.5%	62.9%	0.84×	1.90
H1 over 118.5	49.2%	47.5%	37.1%	1.28×	2.11
H1 over 120.5	49.7%	47.4%	31.6%	1.50×	2.11
H1 under 119.5	47.2%	47.4%	65.9%	0.72×	2.11
H1 over 121.5	46.6%	47.4%	28.8%	1.64×	2.11
H1 under 117.5	41.2%	41.8%	59.6%	0.70×	2.39
H1 over 123.5	40.6%	41.8%	24.0%	1.74×	2.39
H1 under 115.5	35.3%	37.3%	53.6%	0.70×	2.68
H1 under 113.5	35.9%	36.7%	47.6%	0.77×	2.72
H1 over 125.5	34.7%	32.6%	19.3%	1.69×	3.07
H1 under 112.5	27.2%	26.5%	44.2%	0.60×	3.77
H1 over 128.5	26.7%	26.5%	13.3%	1.99×	3.77
H1 under 110.5	27.8%	26.0%	38.1%	0.68×	3.84
H1 over 126.5	26.5%	26.0%	17.2%	1.51×	3.84
H1 under 108.5	18.0%	17.5%	32.3%	0.54×	5.73
H1 over 132.5	17.6%	17.5%	8.0%	2.18×	5.73
H1 under 106.5	18.6%	16.8%	26.7%	0.63×	5.96
H1 over 130.5	17.6%	16.8%	10.4%	1.62×	5.96

H2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta Hawks to win H2	59.2%	55.0%	44.7%	1.23×	1.82
Indiana Pacers to win H2	37.4%	41.2%	51.6%	0.80×	2.43
H2 tied	3.4%	3.9%	3.7%	1.06×	25.36

H2 total 34

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 under 130.5	83.1%	81.8%	88.9%	0.92×	1.22
H2 over 106.5	81.7%	81.8%	68.8%	1.19×	1.22
H2 under 128.5	83.1%	81.5%	86.3%	0.95×	1.23
H2 over 104.5	81.2%	81.5%	73.9%	1.10×	1.23
H2 under 124.5	74.2%	72.5%	79.1%	0.92×	1.38
H2 over 108.5	71.9%	72.5%	63.8%	1.14×	1.38
H2 under 126.5	74.1%	72.2%	83.2%	0.87×	1.39
H2 over 110.5	72.4%	72.2%	58.1%	1.24×	1.39
H2 under 123.5	66.1%	66.4%	76.9%	0.86×	1.51
H2 over 111.5	63.7%	62.6%	55.3%	1.13×	1.60
H2 over 113.5	64.1%	61.6%	49.9%	1.23×	1.62
H2 under 121.5	60.2%	61.6%	72.0%	0.86×	1.62
H2 over 115.5	58.2%	57.3%	44.6%	1.29×	1.74
H2 under 119.5	54.1%	52.4%	66.4%	0.79×	1.91
H2 over 117.5	52.0%	52.4%	38.9%	1.34×	1.91
H2 under 118.5	51.1%	52.4%	63.6%	0.82×	1.91
H2 under 116.5	51.4%	52.0%	58.1%	0.90×	1.92
H2 over 116.5	48.6%	48.0%	41.9%	1.14×	2.09
H2 over 118.5	48.9%	47.6%	36.4%	1.31×	2.10
H2 under 117.5	48.0%	47.6%	61.1%	0.78×	2.10
H2 over 119.5	45.9%	47.6%	33.6%	1.42×	2.10
H2 under 115.5	41.8%	42.7%	55.4%	0.77×	2.34
H2 over 121.5	39.8%	38.4%	28.0%	1.37×	2.61
H2 under 113.5	35.9%	38.4%	50.1%	0.77×	2.61
H2 under 111.5	36.3%	37.4%	44.7%	0.84×	2.67
H2 over 123.5	33.9%	33.6%	23.1%	1.45×	2.97
H2 under 110.5	27.6%	27.8%	41.9%	0.66×	3.59
H2 over 126.5	25.9%	27.8%	16.8%	1.66×	3.59
H2 under 108.5	28.1%	27.5%	36.2%	0.76×	3.63
H2 over 124.5	25.8%	27.5%	20.9%	1.32×	3.64
H2 under 104.5	18.8%	18.5%	26.1%	0.71×	5.41
H2 over 128.5	16.9%	18.5%	13.7%	1.34×	5.41
H2 under 106.5	18.3%	18.2%	31.2%	0.58×	5.50
H2 over 130.5	16.9%	18.2%	11.1%	1.64×	5.50

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta Hawks leading at half time	59.3%	57.0%	44.1%	1.29×	1.76
Indiana Pacers leading at half time	37.3%	37.9%	52.8%	0.72×	2.64
Level at half time	3.4%	3.8%	3.1%	1.22×	26.41

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta Hawks +20.5	96.6%	97.4%	89.1%	1.09×	1.03
Atlanta Hawks +18.5	95.4%	97.4%	86.4%	1.13×	1.03
Atlanta Hawks +16.5	93.9%	91.1%	83.5%	1.09×	1.10
Atlanta Hawks +14.5	92.0%	91.1%	80.1%	1.14×	1.10
Atlanta Hawks +12.5	89.8%	85.9%	76.0%	1.13×	1.16
Atlanta Hawks +10.5	87.1%	85.9%	71.0%	1.21×	1.16
Atlanta Hawks +9.5	85.5%	85.9%	68.7%	1.25×	1.16
Indiana Pacers +20.5	83.6%	81.1%	93.1%	0.87×	1.23
Atlanta Hawks +8.5	83.9%	81.1%	65.9%	1.23×	1.23
Atlanta Hawks +7.5	82.1%	81.1%	63.0%	1.29×	1.23
Atlanta Hawks +6.5	80.3%	81.1%	60.0%	1.35×	1.23
Indiana Pacers +18.5	79.9%	76.5%	91.5%	0.84×	1.31
Atlanta Hawks +5.5	78.3%	76.5%	57.1%	1.34×	1.31
Atlanta Hawks +4.5	76.2%	76.5%	54.1%	1.41×	1.31
Indiana Pacers +16.5	75.7%	76.5%	89.7%	0.85×	1.31
Atlanta Hawks +3.5	73.9%	71.6%	51.6%	1.39×	1.40
Atlanta Hawks +2.5	71.6%	71.6%	49.1%	1.46×	1.40
Indiana Pacers +14.5	71.2%	71.6%	87.0%	0.82×	1.40
Atlanta Hawks +1.5	69.2%	66.7%	46.3%	1.44×	1.50
Indiana Pacers +12.5	66.2%	66.7%	83.9%	0.80×	1.50
Atlanta Hawks −1.5	64.1%	61.9%	42.1%	1.47×	1.62
Atlanta Hawks −2.5	61.3%	61.9%	39.5%	1.57×	1.62
Indiana Pacers +10.5	61.0%	61.9%	80.3%	0.77×	1.62
Atlanta Hawks −3.5	58.6%	57.1%	36.9%	1.55×	1.75
Indiana Pacers +9.5	58.2%	57.1%	78.1%	0.73×	1.75
Atlanta Hawks −4.5	55.8%	57.1%	34.3%	1.67×	1.75
Indiana Pacers +8.5	55.5%	57.1%	75.7%	0.75×	1.75
Atlanta Hawks −5.5	53.0%	52.4%	32.0%	1.64×	1.91
Indiana Pacers +7.5	52.7%	52.4%	73.0%	0.72×	1.91
Atlanta Hawks −6.5	50.2%	52.4%	29.4%	1.78×	1.91
Indiana Pacers +6.5	49.8%	47.6%	70.6%	0.67×	2.10
Indiana Pacers +5.5	47.0%	47.6%	68.0%	0.70×	2.10
Atlanta Hawks −7.5	47.3%	47.6%	27.0%	1.76×	2.10
Indiana Pacers +4.5	44.2%	42.9%	65.7%	0.65×	2.33
Atlanta Hawks −8.5	44.5%	42.9%	24.3%	1.77×	2.33
Indiana Pacers +3.5	41.4%	42.9%	63.1%	0.68×	2.33
Atlanta Hawks −9.5	41.8%	42.9%	21.9%	1.96×	2.33
Atlanta Hawks −10.5	39.1%	38.1%	19.7%	1.93×	2.63
Indiana Pacers +2.5	38.7%	38.1%	60.5%	0.63×	2.63
Indiana Pacers +1.5	36.0%	38.1%	57.9%	0.66×	2.63
Atlanta Hawks −12.5	33.8%	33.3%	16.1%	2.06×	3.01
Indiana Pacers −1.5	30.8%	33.3%	53.7%	0.62×	3.01
Indiana Pacers −2.5	28.4%	28.4%	50.9%	0.56×	3.53
Atlanta Hawks −14.5	28.8%	28.4%	13.0%	2.18×	3.53
Indiana Pacers −3.5	26.1%	28.4%	48.4%	0.59×	3.53
Atlanta Hawks −16.5	24.3%	23.5%	10.3%	2.28×	4.25
Indiana Pacers −4.5	23.8%	23.5%	46.0%	0.51×	4.25
Indiana Pacers −5.5	21.7%	23.5%	42.9%	0.55×	4.25
Atlanta Hawks −18.5	20.1%	23.5%	8.5%	2.76×	4.25
Indiana Pacers −6.5	19.7%	18.9%	40.0%	0.47×	5.29
Indiana Pacers −7.5	17.9%	18.9%	37.0%	0.51×	5.29
Atlanta Hawks −20.5	16.4%	18.9%	6.9%	2.74×	5.30
Indiana Pacers −8.5	16.1%	18.9%	34.1%	0.55×	5.30
Indiana Pacers −9.5	14.5%	14.1%	31.3%	0.45×	7.09
Indiana Pacers −10.5	12.9%	14.1%	29.0%	0.49×	7.09
Indiana Pacers −12.5	10.2%	14.1%	24.0%	0.59×	7.09
Indiana Pacers −14.5	8.0%	8.9%	19.9%	0.45×	11.25
Indiana Pacers −16.5	6.1%	8.9%	16.5%	0.54×	11.25
Indiana Pacers −18.5	4.6%	2.6%	13.6%	0.19×	38.72
Indiana Pacers −20.5	3.4%	2.6%	10.9%	0.24×	38.73

Highest scoring half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1st half highest scoring	56.9%	52.6%	53.5%	0.98×	1.90
2nd half highest scoring	43.1%	47.4%	46.5%	1.02×	2.11

Highest scoring quarter 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 highest scoring	28.4%	27.4%	29.2%	0.94×	3.65
Q3 highest scoring	28.1%	27.4%	27.5%	1.00×	3.65
Q2 highest scoring	26.6%	27.4%	26.3%	1.04×	3.65
Q4 highest scoring	16.9%	18.3%	17.0%	1.08×	5.46

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta Hawks at HT / Atlanta Hawks at FT	50.0%	46.6%	30.9%	1.51×	2.14
Indiana Pacers at HT / Indiana Pacers at FT	22.7%	24.4%	40.8%	0.60×	4.10
Indiana Pacers at HT / Atlanta Hawks at FT	14.6%	12.2%	12.0%	1.02×	8.17
Atlanta Hawks at HT / Indiana Pacers at FT	9.3%	8.3%	13.3%	0.62×	12.08
Level at HT / Atlanta Hawks at FT	2.1%	2.1%	1.4%	1.50×	47.76
Level at HT / Indiana Pacers at FT	1.2%	2.1%	1.7%	1.22×	47.77

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta Hawks to win	66.7%	64.5%	44.3%	1.46×	1.55
Indiana Pacers to win	33.3%	35.5%	55.7%	0.64×	2.82

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Indiana Pacers even	50.0%	50.5%	49.7%	1.02×	1.98
Atlanta Hawks even	50.0%	50.5%	50.3%	1.00×	1.98
Total points odd	51.3%	50.5%	51.0%	0.99×	1.98
Indiana Pacers odd	50.0%	49.5%	50.3%	0.98×	2.02
Atlanta Hawks odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.7%	1.00×	2.02
Total points even	48.7%	49.5%	49.0%	1.01×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	93.5%	94.0%	94.8%	0.99×	1.06
Match to go to overtime	6.5%	6.0%	5.2%	1.16×	16.65

Q1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta Hawks to win Q1	55.2%	57.2%	44.1%	1.30×	1.75
Indiana Pacers to win Q1	40.1%	42.9%	51.3%	0.84×	2.33
Q1 tied	4.7%	4.2%	4.6%	0.90×	23.94

Q1 total 32

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 under 67.5	83.2%	83.2%	88.8%	0.94×	1.20
Q1 over 51.5	81.8%	83.2%	76.0%	1.09×	1.20
Q1 under 68.5	83.1%	82.8%	90.7%	0.91×	1.21
Q1 over 52.5	82.2%	82.8%	72.4%	1.14×	1.21
Q1 under 64.5	72.9%	73.1%	80.1%	0.91×	1.37
Q1 over 54.5	71.2%	73.1%	63.3%	1.16×	1.37
Q1 under 65.5	72.8%	72.7%	83.2%	0.87×	1.38
Q1 over 55.5	71.6%	72.7%	59.2%	1.23×	1.38
Q1 under 62.5	64.7%	62.3%	72.9%	0.85×	1.61
Q1 over 56.5	62.7%	62.3%	54.6%	1.14×	1.61
Q1 under 63.5	64.4%	61.7%	76.8%	0.80×	1.62
Q1 over 57.5	63.2%	61.7%	49.6%	1.25×	1.62
Q1 under 61.5	55.4%	58.6%	68.5%	0.86×	1.71
Q1 over 58.5	53.6%	52.7%	44.3%	1.19×	1.90
Q1 over 59.5	54.0%	52.7%	40.0%	1.32×	1.90
Q1 under 60.5	50.7%	52.7%	64.5%	0.82×	1.90
Q1 over 60.5	49.3%	47.3%	35.5%	1.33×	2.11
Q1 under 59.5	46.0%	47.3%	60.0%	0.79×	2.11
Q1 under 58.5	46.4%	47.3%	55.7%	0.85×	2.11
Q1 over 61.5	44.6%	41.4%	31.5%	1.31×	2.42
Q1 under 57.5	36.8%	38.3%	50.4%	0.76×	2.61
Q1 over 63.5	35.6%	38.3%	23.2%	1.65×	2.61
Q1 under 56.5	37.3%	37.7%	45.4%	0.83×	2.65
Q1 over 62.5	35.3%	37.7%	27.1%	1.39×	2.65
Q1 under 55.5	28.4%	27.3%	40.8%	0.67×	3.66
Q1 over 65.5	27.2%	27.3%	16.8%	1.62×	3.66
Q1 under 54.5	28.8%	26.9%	36.7%	0.73×	3.72
Q1 over 64.5	27.1%	26.9%	19.9%	1.35×	3.72
Q1 under 52.5	17.8%	17.2%	27.6%	0.62×	5.83
Q1 over 68.5	16.9%	17.2%	9.3%	1.84×	5.83
Q1 under 51.5	18.2%	16.8%	24.0%	0.70×	5.95
Q1 over 67.5	16.8%	16.8%	11.2%	1.49×	5.95

Q2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta Hawks to win Q2	55.1%	59.3%	46.2%	1.28×	1.69
Indiana Pacers to win Q2	40.2%	43.8%	49.3%	0.89×	2.28
Q2 tied	4.7%	4.4%	4.5%	0.98×	22.88

Q2 total 32

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q2 under 67.5	83.9%	83.1%	88.7%	0.94×	1.20
Q2 over 51.5	80.8%	83.1%	74.2%	1.12×	1.20
Q2 under 68.5	83.9%	83.0%	90.6%	0.92×	1.21
Q2 over 52.5	81.1%	83.0%	70.3%	1.18×	1.21
Q2 under 64.5	74.0%	73.0%	80.9%	0.90×	1.37
Q2 under 65.5	73.8%	72.0%	83.6%	0.86×	1.39
Q2 over 55.5	70.3%	72.0%	56.3%	1.28×	1.39
Q2 over 54.5	69.8%	67.7%	61.1%	1.11×	1.48
Q2 under 62.5	65.9%	67.6%	74.4%	0.91×	1.48
Q2 under 63.5	65.7%	67.4%	77.5%	0.87×	1.49
Q2 over 56.5	61.3%	62.0%	51.7%	1.20×	1.61
Q2 over 57.5	61.7%	60.7%	47.3%	1.28×	1.65
Q2 under 61.5	56.8%	58.2%	70.4%	0.83×	1.72
Q2 over 59.5	52.5%	52.7%	38.1%	1.38×	1.90
Q2 under 60.5	52.1%	52.7%	65.7%	0.80×	1.90
Q2 over 58.5	52.2%	52.2%	42.7%	1.22×	1.92
Q2 under 58.5	47.8%	47.8%	57.3%	0.83×	2.09
Q2 over 60.5	47.9%	47.3%	34.3%	1.38×	2.11
Q2 under 59.5	47.5%	47.3%	61.9%	0.76×	2.11
Q2 over 61.5	43.2%	41.8%	29.6%	1.41×	2.39
Q2 under 57.5	38.3%	39.3%	52.7%	0.75×	2.55
Q2 under 56.5	38.7%	38.0%	48.3%	0.79×	2.63
Q2 over 63.5	34.3%	32.6%	22.5%	1.45×	3.06
Q2 over 62.5	34.1%	32.4%	25.6%	1.26×	3.09
Q2 under 54.5	30.2%	32.3%	38.9%	0.83×	3.10
Q2 under 55.5	29.7%	28.0%	43.7%	0.64×	3.57
Q2 over 65.5	26.2%	28.0%	16.4%	1.71×	3.57
Q2 over 64.5	26.0%	27.0%	19.1%	1.41×	3.71
Q2 under 52.5	18.9%	17.0%	29.7%	0.57×	5.88
Q2 over 68.5	16.1%	17.0%	9.4%	1.80×	5.89
Q2 under 51.5	19.2%	16.9%	25.8%	0.66×	5.93
Q2 over 67.5	16.1%	16.9%	11.3%	1.49×	5.93

Q3 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta Hawks to win Q3	55.1%	56.8%	44.3%	1.28×	1.76
Indiana Pacers to win Q3	40.2%	42.2%	50.9%	0.83×	2.37
Q3 tied	4.6%	4.3%	4.9%	0.88×	23.43

Q3 total 32

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 over 52.5	83.0%	82.3%	72.2%	1.14×	1.22
Q3 under 68.5	82.9%	82.3%	89.3%	0.92×	1.22
Q3 under 67.5	83.0%	82.2%	87.0%	0.94×	1.22
Q3 over 51.5	82.6%	82.2%	76.1%	1.08×	1.22
Q3 under 64.5	72.5%	72.5%	79.2%	0.92×	1.38
Q3 over 54.5	72.0%	72.5%	63.9%	1.14×	1.38
Q3 over 55.5	72.5%	71.8%	59.9%	1.20×	1.39
Q3 under 65.5	72.3%	71.8%	82.2%	0.87×	1.39
Q3 under 62.5	64.1%	62.6%	71.9%	0.87×	1.60
Q3 over 56.5	63.6%	62.6%	55.0%	1.14×	1.60
Q3 over 57.5	64.0%	62.0%	50.2%	1.23×	1.61
Q3 under 63.5	63.8%	62.0%	75.9%	0.82×	1.61
Q3 over 58.5	54.4%	52.6%	45.2%	1.16×	1.90
Q3 under 61.5	54.6%	52.3%	67.7%	0.77×	1.91
Q3 over 59.5	54.8%	52.3%	41.0%	1.28×	1.91
Q3 over 60.5	50.1%	52.3%	36.5%	1.43×	1.91
Q3 under 60.5	49.9%	47.7%	63.5%	0.75×	2.10
Q3 over 61.5	45.4%	47.7%	32.3%	1.48×	2.10
Q3 under 59.5	45.2%	47.7%	59.0%	0.81×	2.10
Q3 under 58.5	45.6%	47.4%	54.8%	0.86×	2.11
Q3 under 57.5	36.0%	38.0%	49.8%	0.76×	2.63
Q3 over 63.5	36.2%	38.0%	24.1%	1.58×	2.63
Q3 under 56.5	36.4%	37.4%	45.0%	0.83×	2.67
Q3 over 62.5	35.9%	37.4%	28.1%	1.33×	2.67
Q3 under 55.5	27.5%	28.2%	40.1%	0.70×	3.55
Q3 over 65.5	27.7%	28.2%	17.8%	1.58×	3.55
Q3 under 54.5	28.0%	27.5%	36.1%	0.76×	3.64
Q3 over 64.5	27.5%	27.5%	20.8%	1.32×	3.64
Q3 under 51.5	17.4%	17.8%	23.9%	0.74×	5.62
Q3 over 67.5	17.0%	17.8%	13.0%	1.37×	5.62
Q3 under 52.5	17.0%	17.7%	27.8%	0.64×	5.66
Q3 over 68.5	17.1%	17.7%	10.7%	1.65×	5.66

Q4 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta Hawks to win Q4	55.0%	51.4%	46.4%	1.11×	1.94
Indiana Pacers to win Q4	40.2%	43.0%	48.3%	0.89×	2.32
Q4 tied	4.8%	5.2%	5.3%	0.98×	19.28

Q4 total 32

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 over 49.5	82.6%	82.0%	72.3%	1.13×	1.22
Q4 under 65.5	81.8%	82.0%	88.4%	0.93×	1.22
Q4 over 48.5	82.4%	81.9%	75.5%	1.09×	1.22
Q4 under 64.5	81.7%	81.9%	86.3%	0.95×	1.22
Q4 over 51.5	72.1%	72.3%	64.7%	1.12×	1.38
Q4 under 61.5	71.3%	72.3%	77.5%	0.93×	1.38
Q4 over 52.5	72.3%	71.5%	60.4%	1.18×	1.40
Q4 under 62.5	71.2%	71.5%	80.4%	0.89×	1.40
Q4 over 53.5	63.9%	61.7%	55.7%	1.11×	1.62
Q4 under 59.5	63.0%	61.6%	70.2%	0.88×	1.62
Q4 over 54.5	64.1%	61.4%	51.4%	1.20×	1.63
Q4 under 60.5	62.9%	61.4%	74.2%	0.83×	1.63
Q4 over 56.5	55.2%	58.4%	42.8%	1.37×	1.71
Q4 over 55.5	55.0%	57.4%	47.1%	1.22×	1.74
Q4 under 58.5	54.0%	52.5%	66.2%	0.79×	1.91
Q4 over 57.5	50.6%	52.5%	38.1%	1.38×	1.91
Q4 under 57.5	49.4%	47.5%	61.9%	0.77×	2.11
Q4 over 58.5	46.0%	47.5%	33.8%	1.41×	2.11
Q4 under 55.5	45.0%	42.6%	52.9%	0.81×	2.35
Q4 under 56.5	44.8%	41.6%	57.2%	0.73×	2.40
Q4 over 60.5	37.1%	38.6%	25.8%	1.50×	2.59
Q4 under 54.5	35.9%	38.6%	48.6%	0.79×	2.59
Q4 over 59.5	37.0%	38.4%	29.8%	1.29×	2.61
Q4 under 53.5	36.1%	38.3%	44.3%	0.86×	2.61
Q4 over 62.5	28.8%	28.5%	19.6%	1.45×	3.51
Q4 under 52.5	27.7%	28.5%	39.6%	0.72×	3.51
Q4 over 61.5	28.7%	27.7%	22.5%	1.23×	3.61
Q4 under 51.5	27.9%	27.7%	35.3%	0.78×	3.61
Q4 over 64.5	18.3%	18.1%	13.7%	1.32×	5.53
Q4 under 48.5	17.6%	18.1%	24.5%	0.74×	5.53
Q4 over 65.5	18.2%	18.0%	11.6%	1.55×	5.56
Q4 under 49.5	17.4%	18.0%	27.7%	0.65×	5.56

Team total 54

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta Hawks under 132.5	80.6%	80.7%	93.6%	0.86×	1.24
Indiana Pacers under 126.5	80.9%	80.7%	81.5%	0.99×	1.24
Atlanta Hawks over 112.5	80.1%	80.7%	51.5%	1.57×	1.24
Atlanta Hawks under 128.5	79.7%	78.3%	88.6%	0.88×	1.28
Atlanta Hawks over 108.5	79.5%	78.3%	64.0%	1.22×	1.28
Indiana Pacers over 106.5	79.3%	75.1%	75.1%	1.00×	1.33
Atlanta Hawks over 111.5	71.8%	71.8%	54.6%	1.32×	1.39
Indiana Pacers under 123.5	73.3%	70.7%	74.4%	0.95×	1.41
Atlanta Hawks under 129.5	72.7%	70.7%	90.0%	0.79×	1.41
Atlanta Hawks over 115.5	72.3%	70.7%	41.4%	1.71×	1.41
Indiana Pacers over 109.5	71.3%	70.7%	67.0%	1.06×	1.41
Atlanta Hawks over 113.5	65.9%	66.6%	48.0%	1.39×	1.50
Indiana Pacers under 121.5	67.5%	66.4%	69.6%	0.95×	1.51
Atlanta Hawks under 127.5	66.8%	66.4%	86.9%	0.76×	1.51
Atlanta Hawks over 117.5	66.3%	66.4%	35.6%	1.86×	1.51
Indiana Pacers over 111.5	65.2%	66.4%	61.1%	1.09×	1.51
Indiana Pacers under 119.5	61.2%	61.2%	63.5%	0.96×	1.63
Atlanta Hawks under 125.5	60.4%	61.2%	83.4%	0.73×	1.63
Atlanta Hawks over 119.5	59.9%	57.1%	29.7%	1.93×	1.75
Indiana Pacers over 113.5	58.8%	57.1%	54.3%	1.05×	1.75
Indiana Pacers under 117.5	54.6%	52.3%	57.8%	0.90×	1.91
Atlanta Hawks under 123.5	53.7%	52.3%	79.5%	0.66×	1.91
Indiana Pacers over 115.5	52.1%	52.3%	48.4%	1.08×	1.91
Indiana Pacers under 116.5	51.2%	52.3%	54.7%	0.95×	1.91
Atlanta Hawks over 121.5	53.2%	52.3%	25.3%	2.07×	1.91
Atlanta Hawks under 122.5	50.3%	52.3%	77.4%	0.68×	1.91
Atlanta Hawks under 118.5	50.1%	52.2%	67.4%	0.78×	1.91
Atlanta Hawks over 118.5	49.9%	47.8%	32.6%	1.46×	2.09
Atlanta Hawks over 122.5	49.7%	47.7%	22.6%	2.11×	2.09
Indiana Pacers under 115.5	47.9%	47.7%	51.6%	0.93×	2.09
Indiana Pacers over 116.5	48.8%	47.7%	45.3%	1.05×	2.09
Atlanta Hawks under 121.5	46.8%	47.7%	74.7%	0.64×	2.09
Indiana Pacers over 117.5	45.4%	47.7%	42.2%	1.13×	2.09
Atlanta Hawks over 123.5	46.3%	47.7%	20.5%	2.33×	2.09
Indiana Pacers under 113.5	41.2%	42.9%	45.7%	0.94×	2.33
Atlanta Hawks under 119.5	40.1%	42.9%	70.3%	0.61×	2.33
Indiana Pacers over 119.5	38.8%	38.8%	36.5%	1.06×	2.58
Atlanta Hawks over 125.5	39.6%	38.8%	16.6%	2.33×	2.58
Indiana Pacers under 111.5	34.8%	33.6%	38.9%	0.86×	2.98
Atlanta Hawks over 127.5	33.2%	33.6%	13.1%	2.56×	2.98
Atlanta Hawks under 117.5	33.7%	33.6%	64.4%	0.52×	2.98
Indiana Pacers over 121.5	32.5%	33.6%	30.4%	1.10×	2.98
Atlanta Hawks under 113.5	34.1%	33.4%	52.0%	0.64×	2.99
Indiana Pacers under 109.5	28.7%	29.3%	33.0%	0.89×	3.42
Atlanta Hawks over 129.5	27.3%	29.3%	10.0%	2.94×	3.42
Atlanta Hawks under 115.5	27.7%	29.3%	58.6%	0.50×	3.42
Indiana Pacers over 123.5	26.7%	29.3%	25.6%	1.14×	3.42
Atlanta Hawks under 111.5	28.2%	28.2%	45.4%	0.62×	3.55
Indiana Pacers under 106.5	20.7%	24.9%	24.9%	1.00×	4.02
Atlanta Hawks under 108.5	20.5%	21.7%	36.0%	0.60×	4.60
Atlanta Hawks over 128.5	20.3%	21.7%	11.5%	1.90×	4.61
Atlanta Hawks under 112.5	19.9%	19.3%	48.5%	0.40×	5.18
Atlanta Hawks over 132.5	19.4%	19.3%	6.4%	3.03×	5.18
Indiana Pacers over 126.5	19.1%	19.3%	18.5%	1.05×	5.18

Total points 48

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 254.5 points	85.9%	85.5%	89.9%	0.95×	1.17
Over 214.5 points	85.4%	85.5%	75.1%	1.14×	1.17
Over 218.5 points	86.2%	85.0%	67.8%	1.25×	1.18
Under 258.5 points	86.1%	85.0%	93.0%	0.91×	1.18
Under 249.5 points	79.1%	78.1%	85.3%	0.92×	1.28
Over 219.5 points	78.4%	78.1%	66.1%	1.18×	1.28
Over 223.5 points	79.3%	75.6%	58.3%	1.30×	1.32
Under 253.5 points	79.2%	75.6%	89.1%	0.85×	1.32
Under 244.5 points	70.6%	71.0%	79.5%	0.89×	1.41
Over 228.5 points	70.8%	70.8%	48.7%	1.45×	1.41
Under 248.5 points	70.5%	70.8%	84.4%	0.84×	1.41
Over 224.5 points	69.9%	66.6%	56.5%	1.18×	1.50
Over 227.5 points	64.1%	61.8%	50.6%	1.22×	1.62
Over 229.5 points	60.0%	61.7%	46.7%	1.32×	1.62
Over 231.5 points	64.9%	61.5%	42.6%	1.44×	1.63
Under 245.5 points	64.7%	61.5%	80.9%	0.76×	1.63
Over 233.5 points	60.8%	61.5%	38.6%	1.59×	1.63
Under 243.5 points	60.6%	61.5%	78.2%	0.79×	1.63
Over 235.5 points	56.6%	56.5%	34.7%	1.63×	1.77
Under 241.5 points	56.4%	56.5%	75.5%	0.75×	1.77
Over 237.5 points	52.3%	52.3%	30.7%	1.70×	1.91
Under 239.5 points	52.1%	52.3%	72.5%	0.72×	1.91
Over 238.5 points	50.2%	52.3%	29.1%	1.80×	1.91
Under 234.5 points	50.4%	52.2%	63.3%	0.82×	1.92
Over 234.5 points	49.6%	47.8%	36.7%	1.30×	2.09
Under 238.5 points	49.8%	47.7%	70.9%	0.67×	2.10
Under 237.5 points	47.7%	47.7%	69.3%	0.69×	2.10
Over 239.5 points	47.9%	47.7%	27.5%	1.73×	2.10
Under 235.5 points	43.4%	43.5%	65.3%	0.67×	2.30
Over 241.5 points	43.6%	43.5%	24.5%	1.78×	2.30
Under 233.5 points	39.2%	38.5%	61.4%	0.63×	2.60
Over 243.5 points	39.4%	38.5%	21.8%	1.77×	2.60
Under 231.5 points	35.1%	38.5%	57.4%	0.67×	2.60
Over 245.5 points	35.3%	38.5%	19.1%	2.01×	2.60
Under 229.5 points	40.0%	38.3%	53.3%	0.72×	2.61
Under 227.5 points	35.9%	38.2%	49.4%	0.77×	2.62
Under 224.5 points	30.1%	33.4%	43.5%	0.77×	3.00
Under 228.5 points	29.2%	29.2%	51.3%	0.57×	3.43
Over 248.5 points	29.5%	29.2%	15.6%	1.87×	3.43
Over 244.5 points	29.4%	29.0%	20.5%	1.41×	3.45
Under 223.5 points	20.7%	24.4%	41.7%	0.58×	4.10
Over 253.5 points	20.8%	24.4%	10.9%	2.24×	4.10
Under 219.5 points	21.6%	21.9%	33.9%	0.65×	4.57
Over 249.5 points	20.9%	21.9%	14.7%	1.49×	4.57
Over 258.5 points	13.9%	15.0%	7.0%	2.14×	6.68
Under 218.5 points	13.8%	15.0%	32.2%	0.46×	6.68
Under 214.5 points	14.6%	14.5%	24.9%	0.58×	6.88
Over 254.5 points	14.1%	14.5%	10.1%	1.44×	6.88

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta Hawks to win both halves	33.0%	31.2%	17.8%	1.75×	3.20
Indiana Pacers to win both halves	12.0%	14.0%	25.2%	0.56×	7.12

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta Hawks by 1-5	13.7%	12.3%	12.3%	1.01×	8.11
Atlanta Hawks by 6-10	13.9%	12.3%	12.3%	1.00×	8.11
Atlanta Hawks by 11-15	12.6%	12.3%	8.0%	1.54×	8.11
Indiana Pacers by 1-5	11.6%	12.3%	12.8%	0.96×	8.11
Atlanta Hawks by 16-20	10.1%	12.3%	4.9%	2.54×	8.11
Indiana Pacers by 6-10	8.8%	7.5%	13.9%	0.54×	13.40
Atlanta Hawks by 26+	9.3%	7.5%	3.9%	1.93×	13.40
Atlanta Hawks by 21-25	7.2%	7.5%	3.0%	2.45×	13.40
Indiana Pacers by 11-15	6.0%	7.5%	10.8%	0.69×	13.40
Indiana Pacers by 16-20	3.6%	2.0%	7.3%	0.28×	49.30
Indiana Pacers by 21-25	1.9%	2.0%	4.7%	0.43×	49.31
Indiana Pacers by 26+	1.5%	2.0%	6.2%	0.33×	49.31

Indiana Pacers v Atlanta Hawks — Prediction, Odds & Stats

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