Indiana Pacers v Dallas Mavericks — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Friday 23 October 2026 · NBA · 2027
NBA results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 120.84–119.42 | 121-119 0% | 50% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Pacers to score 100+ | 96.5% | 94.9% | 89.3% | 1.06× | 1.05 |
| Dallas Mavericks to score 100+ | 95.5% | 94.9% | 85.9% | 1.10× | 1.05 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 92.4% | 90.3% | 77.5% | 1.16× | 1.11 |
| Indiana Pacers to score 110+ | 83.1% | 79.3% | 67.0% | 1.18× | 1.26 |
| Dallas Mavericks to score 110+ | 80.1% | 79.2% | 60.9% | 1.30× | 1.26 |
| Indiana Pacers to score 120+ | 54.6% | 52.4% | 36.5% | 1.43× | 1.91 |
| Dallas Mavericks to score 120+ | 49.7% | 47.0% | 29.7% | 1.59× | 2.13 |
| Indiana Pacers to score 130+ | 23.3% | 22.0% | 12.8% | 1.72× | 4.54 |
| Dallas Mavericks to score 130+ | 19.5% | 17.6% | 10.0% | 1.76× | 5.69 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Pacers to win H1 | 50.8% | 51.8% | 52.8% | 0.98× | 1.93 |
| Dallas Mavericks to win H1 | 45.7% | 47.3% | 44.1% | 1.07× | 2.11 |
| H1 tied | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.25× | 25.86 |
H1 total 34
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 131.5 | 83.3% | 83.2% | 91.0% | 0.91× | 1.20 |
| H1 over 107.5 | 80.5% | 83.2% | 70.4% | 1.18× | 1.20 |
| H1 under 133.5 | 82.7% | 82.5% | 93.1% | 0.89× | 1.21 |
| H1 over 109.5 | 81.7% | 82.5% | 65.0% | 1.27× | 1.21 |
| H1 under 127.5 | 74.6% | 74.0% | 84.8% | 0.87× | 1.35 |
| H1 over 111.5 | 71.1% | 73.9% | 59.0% | 1.25× | 1.35 |
| H1 under 129.5 | 73.7% | 73.5% | 88.1% | 0.83× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 113.5 | 72.5% | 73.5% | 52.4% | 1.40× | 1.36 |
| H1 under 126.5 | 65.7% | 67.4% | 82.8% | 0.81× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 114.5 | 62.9% | 63.3% | 49.6% | 1.28× | 1.58 |
| H1 over 116.5 | 64.3% | 62.7% | 43.4% | 1.44× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 124.5 | 59.8% | 58.2% | 78.4% | 0.74× | 1.72 |
| H1 over 118.5 | 58.4% | 58.2% | 37.1% | 1.57× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 122.5 | 53.8% | 52.6% | 74.0% | 0.71× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 120.5 | 52.3% | 52.6% | 31.6% | 1.67× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 121.5 | 50.7% | 52.6% | 71.2% | 0.74× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 119.5 | 52.1% | 52.5% | 65.9% | 0.80× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 119.5 | 47.9% | 47.5% | 34.1% | 1.39× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 121.5 | 49.3% | 47.4% | 28.8% | 1.64× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 120.5 | 47.7% | 47.4% | 68.4% | 0.69× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 122.5 | 46.2% | 47.4% | 26.0% | 1.82× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 118.5 | 41.6% | 41.8% | 62.9% | 0.66× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 124.5 | 40.2% | 41.8% | 21.7% | 1.93× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 116.5 | 35.7% | 37.3% | 56.6% | 0.66× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 114.5 | 37.1% | 36.7% | 50.4% | 0.73× | 2.72 |
| H1 over 126.5 | 34.4% | 32.6% | 17.2% | 1.89× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 113.5 | 27.5% | 26.5% | 47.6% | 0.56× | 3.77 |
| H1 over 129.5 | 26.3% | 26.5% | 11.9% | 2.24× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 111.5 | 28.9% | 26.1% | 41.0% | 0.63× | 3.84 |
| H1 over 127.5 | 25.4% | 26.0% | 15.2% | 1.72× | 3.84 |
| H1 under 109.5 | 18.3% | 17.5% | 35.0% | 0.50× | 5.72 |
| H1 over 133.5 | 17.3% | 17.5% | 6.9% | 2.54× | 5.73 |
| H1 under 107.5 | 19.5% | 16.8% | 29.6% | 0.57× | 5.96 |
| H1 over 131.5 | 16.7% | 16.8% | 9.0% | 1.86× | 5.96 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Pacers to win H2 | 50.8% | 51.2% | 51.6% | 0.99× | 1.95 |
| Dallas Mavericks to win H2 | 45.7% | 47.1% | 44.7% | 1.05× | 2.12 |
| H2 tied | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.06× | 25.36 |
H2 total 36
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 131.5 | 83.4% | 81.8% | 90.1% | 0.91× | 1.22 |
| H2 over 107.5 | 81.4% | 81.8% | 66.2% | 1.24× | 1.22 |
| H2 over 104.5 | 82.4% | 81.5% | 73.9% | 1.10× | 1.23 |
| H2 under 128.5 | 82.0% | 81.5% | 86.3% | 0.95× | 1.23 |
| H2 over 108.5 | 73.3% | 72.5% | 63.8% | 1.14× | 1.38 |
| H2 under 127.5 | 74.5% | 72.2% | 84.9% | 0.85× | 1.39 |
| H2 over 111.5 | 72.0% | 72.2% | 55.3% | 1.30× | 1.39 |
| H2 under 124.5 | 66.5% | 66.4% | 79.1% | 0.84× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 121.5 | 64.7% | 62.6% | 72.0% | 0.87× | 1.60 |
| H2 over 114.5 | 63.7% | 61.6% | 47.5% | 1.30× | 1.62 |
| H2 under 122.5 | 60.7% | 61.6% | 74.4% | 0.83× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 113.5 | 59.4% | 58.0% | 49.9% | 1.16× | 1.72 |
| H2 over 116.5 | 57.7% | 57.3% | 41.9% | 1.37× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 120.5 | 54.6% | 52.4% | 69.3% | 0.76× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 119.5 | 51.5% | 52.4% | 66.4% | 0.79× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 118.5 | 51.6% | 52.4% | 36.4% | 1.44× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 115.5 | 53.4% | 52.1% | 44.6% | 1.17× | 1.92 |
| H2 under 117.5 | 52.8% | 52.0% | 61.1% | 0.85× | 1.92 |
| H2 over 117.5 | 47.2% | 48.0% | 38.9% | 1.23× | 2.09 |
| H2 under 115.5 | 46.6% | 48.0% | 55.4% | 0.87× | 2.09 |
| H2 over 119.5 | 48.5% | 47.6% | 33.6% | 1.42× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 118.5 | 48.4% | 47.6% | 63.6% | 0.75× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 120.5 | 45.4% | 47.6% | 30.7% | 1.55× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 116.5 | 42.3% | 42.7% | 58.1% | 0.73× | 2.34 |
| H2 under 113.5 | 40.6% | 42.0% | 50.1% | 0.84× | 2.38 |
| H2 over 122.5 | 39.3% | 38.4% | 25.6% | 1.50× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 114.5 | 36.3% | 38.4% | 52.5% | 0.73× | 2.61 |
| H2 over 121.5 | 35.3% | 37.4% | 28.0% | 1.34× | 2.67 |
| H2 over 124.5 | 33.5% | 33.6% | 20.9% | 1.61× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 111.5 | 28.0% | 27.8% | 44.7% | 0.62× | 3.59 |
| H2 over 127.5 | 25.5% | 27.8% | 15.1% | 1.84× | 3.59 |
| H2 under 108.5 | 26.7% | 27.5% | 36.2% | 0.76× | 3.63 |
| H2 over 128.5 | 18.0% | 18.5% | 13.7% | 1.35× | 5.41 |
| H2 under 104.5 | 17.6% | 18.5% | 26.1% | 0.71× | 5.41 |
| H2 under 107.5 | 18.6% | 18.2% | 33.8% | 0.54× | 5.50 |
| H2 over 131.5 | 16.6% | 18.2% | 9.9% | 1.83× | 5.50 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Pacers leading at half time | 50.8% | 51.8% | 52.8% | 0.98× | 1.93 |
| Dallas Mavericks leading at half time | 45.7% | 47.2% | 44.1% | 1.07× | 2.12 |
| Level at half time | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.22× | 26.41 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Pacers +20.5 | 93.3% | 91.1% | 93.1% | 0.98× | 1.10 |
| Indiana Pacers +18.5 | 91.3% | 91.1% | 91.5% | 1.00× | 1.10 |
| Dallas Mavericks +20.5 | 90.3% | 91.1% | 89.1% | 1.02× | 1.10 |
| Indiana Pacers +16.5 | 88.9% | 85.9% | 89.7% | 0.96× | 1.16 |
| Dallas Mavericks +18.5 | 87.7% | 85.9% | 86.4% | 0.99× | 1.16 |
| Indiana Pacers +14.5 | 86.0% | 85.9% | 87.0% | 0.99× | 1.16 |
| Dallas Mavericks +16.5 | 84.7% | 81.1% | 83.5% | 0.97× | 1.23 |
| Indiana Pacers +12.5 | 82.7% | 81.1% | 83.9% | 0.97× | 1.23 |
| Dallas Mavericks +14.5 | 81.1% | 81.1% | 80.1% | 1.01× | 1.23 |
| Indiana Pacers +10.5 | 78.9% | 76.5% | 80.3% | 0.95× | 1.31 |
| Indiana Pacers +9.5 | 76.8% | 76.5% | 78.1% | 0.98× | 1.31 |
| Dallas Mavericks +12.5 | 77.1% | 76.5% | 76.0% | 1.01× | 1.31 |
| Indiana Pacers +8.5 | 74.6% | 71.6% | 75.7% | 0.95× | 1.40 |
| Indiana Pacers +7.5 | 72.3% | 71.6% | 73.0% | 0.98× | 1.40 |
| Dallas Mavericks +10.5 | 72.7% | 71.6% | 71.0% | 1.01× | 1.40 |
| Dallas Mavericks +9.5 | 70.3% | 71.6% | 68.7% | 1.04× | 1.40 |
| Indiana Pacers +6.5 | 69.9% | 66.7% | 70.6% | 0.95× | 1.50 |
| Indiana Pacers +5.5 | 67.4% | 66.7% | 68.0% | 0.98× | 1.50 |
| Dallas Mavericks +8.5 | 67.9% | 66.7% | 65.9% | 1.01× | 1.50 |
| Dallas Mavericks +7.5 | 65.3% | 66.7% | 63.0% | 1.06× | 1.50 |
| Indiana Pacers +4.5 | 64.9% | 61.9% | 65.7% | 0.94× | 1.62 |
| Dallas Mavericks +6.5 | 62.7% | 61.9% | 60.0% | 1.03× | 1.62 |
| Indiana Pacers +3.5 | 62.2% | 61.9% | 63.1% | 0.98× | 1.62 |
| Indiana Pacers +2.5 | 59.5% | 57.1% | 60.5% | 0.94× | 1.75 |
| Dallas Mavericks +5.5 | 60.0% | 57.1% | 57.1% | 1.00× | 1.75 |
| Indiana Pacers +1.5 | 56.8% | 57.1% | 57.9% | 0.99× | 1.75 |
| Dallas Mavericks +4.5 | 57.3% | 57.1% | 54.1% | 1.06× | 1.75 |
| Dallas Mavericks +3.5 | 54.5% | 52.4% | 51.6% | 1.02× | 1.91 |
| Indiana Pacers −1.5 | 51.2% | 52.4% | 53.7% | 0.98× | 1.91 |
| Dallas Mavericks +2.5 | 51.7% | 52.4% | 49.1% | 1.07× | 1.91 |
| Dallas Mavericks +1.5 | 48.8% | 47.6% | 46.3% | 1.03× | 2.10 |
| Indiana Pacers −2.5 | 48.3% | 47.6% | 50.9% | 0.93× | 2.10 |
| Indiana Pacers −3.5 | 45.5% | 47.6% | 48.4% | 0.98× | 2.10 |
| Dallas Mavericks −1.5 | 43.2% | 42.9% | 42.1% | 1.02× | 2.33 |
| Indiana Pacers −4.5 | 42.7% | 42.9% | 46.0% | 0.93× | 2.33 |
| Dallas Mavericks −2.5 | 40.5% | 42.9% | 39.5% | 1.09× | 2.33 |
| Indiana Pacers −5.5 | 40.0% | 42.9% | 42.9% | 1.00× | 2.33 |
| Dallas Mavericks −3.5 | 37.8% | 38.1% | 36.9% | 1.03× | 2.63 |
| Indiana Pacers −6.5 | 37.3% | 38.1% | 40.0% | 0.95× | 2.63 |
| Dallas Mavericks −4.5 | 35.1% | 38.1% | 34.3% | 1.11× | 2.63 |
| Indiana Pacers −7.5 | 34.7% | 33.3% | 37.0% | 0.90× | 3.01 |
| Dallas Mavericks −5.5 | 32.6% | 33.3% | 32.0% | 1.04× | 3.01 |
| Indiana Pacers −8.5 | 32.1% | 33.3% | 34.1% | 0.98× | 3.01 |
| Dallas Mavericks −6.5 | 30.1% | 33.3% | 29.4% | 1.13× | 3.01 |
| Indiana Pacers −9.5 | 29.7% | 28.4% | 31.3% | 0.91× | 3.53 |
| Dallas Mavericks −7.5 | 27.7% | 28.4% | 27.0% | 1.05× | 3.53 |
| Indiana Pacers −10.5 | 27.3% | 28.4% | 29.0% | 0.98× | 3.53 |
| Dallas Mavericks −8.5 | 25.4% | 28.4% | 24.3% | 1.17× | 3.53 |
| Dallas Mavericks −9.5 | 23.2% | 23.5% | 21.9% | 1.08× | 4.25 |
| Indiana Pacers −12.5 | 22.9% | 23.5% | 24.0% | 0.98× | 4.25 |
| Dallas Mavericks −10.5 | 21.1% | 23.5% | 19.7% | 1.19× | 4.25 |
| Indiana Pacers −14.5 | 18.9% | 18.9% | 19.9% | 0.95× | 5.29 |
| Dallas Mavericks −12.5 | 17.3% | 18.9% | 16.1% | 1.17× | 5.29 |
| Indiana Pacers −16.5 | 15.3% | 18.9% | 16.5% | 1.15× | 5.30 |
| Dallas Mavericks −14.5 | 14.0% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 1.09× | 7.09 |
| Indiana Pacers −18.5 | 12.3% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 1.04× | 7.09 |
| Dallas Mavericks −16.5 | 11.1% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 1.37× | 7.09 |
| Dallas Mavericks −18.5 | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 1.04× | 11.25 |
| Indiana Pacers −20.5 | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 0.82× | 11.25 |
| Dallas Mavericks −20.5 | 6.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 1.29× | 11.25 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half highest scoring | 57.0% | 52.6% | 53.5% | 0.98× | 1.90 |
| 2nd half highest scoring | 43.0% | 47.4% | 46.5% | 1.02× | 2.11 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 highest scoring | 28.4% | 27.4% | 29.2% | 0.94× | 3.65 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 28.1% | 27.4% | 27.5% | 1.00× | 3.65 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 26.6% | 27.4% | 26.3% | 1.04× | 3.65 |
| Q4 highest scoring | 16.9% | 18.3% | 17.0% | 1.08× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Pacers at HT / Indiana Pacers at FT | 38.9% | 37.8% | 40.8% | 0.93× | 2.65 |
| Dallas Mavericks at HT / Dallas Mavericks at FT | 32.4% | 33.2% | 30.9% | 1.08× | 3.01 |
| Dallas Mavericks at HT / Indiana Pacers at FT | 13.2% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 0.92× | 8.17 |
| Indiana Pacers at HT / Dallas Mavericks at FT | 11.9% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 1.02× | 8.18 |
| Level at HT / Indiana Pacers at FT | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.22× | 47.76 |
| Level at HT / Dallas Mavericks at FT | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.50× | 47.76 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Pacers to win | 54.0% | 51.0% | 55.7% | 0.92× | 1.96 |
| Dallas Mavericks to win | 46.0% | 49.0% | 44.3% | 1.11× | 2.04 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total points odd | 51.4% | 50.5% | 51.0% | 0.99× | 1.98 |
| Indiana Pacers even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.7% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Dallas Mavericks even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.3% | 1.00× | 1.98 |
| Indiana Pacers odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.3% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| Dallas Mavericks odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.7% | 1.00× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 48.6% | 49.5% | 49.0% | 1.01× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 92.8% | 94.0% | 94.8% | 0.99× | 1.06 |
| Match to go to overtime | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 1.16× | 16.65 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Pacers to win Q1 | 49.4% | 47.6% | 51.3% | 0.93× | 2.10 |
| Dallas Mavericks to win Q1 | 45.8% | 47.6% | 44.1% | 1.08× | 2.10 |
| Q1 tied | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 0.90× | 23.94 |
Q1 total 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 over 51.5 | 82.7% | 83.2% | 76.0% | 1.10× | 1.20 |
| Q1 under 67.5 | 82.4% | 83.2% | 88.8% | 0.94× | 1.20 |
| Q1 under 69.5 | 84.7% | 82.8% | 92.7% | 0.89× | 1.21 |
| Q1 over 53.5 | 80.4% | 82.8% | 68.2% | 1.21× | 1.21 |
| Q1 over 54.5 | 72.3% | 73.1% | 63.3% | 1.16× | 1.37 |
| Q1 under 66.5 | 74.9% | 72.7% | 86.1% | 0.84× | 1.38 |
| Q1 over 56.5 | 69.3% | 67.6% | 54.6% | 1.24× | 1.48 |
| Q1 under 64.5 | 66.9% | 67.6% | 80.1% | 0.84× | 1.48 |
| Q1 over 58.5 | 60.6% | 61.7% | 44.3% | 1.39× | 1.62 |
| Q1 under 62.5 | 58.0% | 58.6% | 72.9% | 0.80× | 1.71 |
| Q1 over 59.5 | 50.3% | 52.7% | 40.0% | 1.32× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 61.5 | 53.3% | 52.7% | 68.5% | 0.77× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 60.5 | 51.3% | 52.7% | 35.5% | 1.48× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 60.5 | 48.7% | 47.3% | 64.5% | 0.73× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 61.5 | 46.7% | 47.3% | 31.5% | 1.50× | 2.11 |
| Q1 under 59.5 | 49.7% | 47.3% | 60.0% | 0.79× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 62.5 | 42.0% | 41.4% | 27.1% | 1.53× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 58.5 | 39.4% | 38.3% | 55.7% | 0.69× | 2.61 |
| Q1 over 64.5 | 33.1% | 32.4% | 19.9% | 1.63× | 3.08 |
| Q1 under 56.5 | 30.7% | 32.4% | 45.4% | 0.71× | 3.08 |
| Q1 over 66.5 | 25.1% | 27.3% | 13.9% | 1.96× | 3.67 |
| Q1 under 54.5 | 27.7% | 26.9% | 36.7% | 0.73× | 3.72 |
| Q1 under 53.5 | 19.6% | 17.2% | 31.8% | 0.54× | 5.83 |
| Q1 over 69.5 | 15.3% | 17.2% | 7.3% | 2.34× | 5.83 |
| Q1 over 67.5 | 17.6% | 16.8% | 11.2% | 1.49× | 5.95 |
| Q1 under 51.5 | 17.3% | 16.8% | 24.0% | 0.70× | 5.95 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Pacers to win Q2 | 49.4% | 47.1% | 49.3% | 0.95× | 2.13 |
| Dallas Mavericks to win Q2 | 45.9% | 47.0% | 46.2% | 1.02× | 2.13 |
| Q2 tied | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 0.98× | 22.88 |
Q2 total 32
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 under 67.5 | 83.1% | 83.1% | 88.7% | 0.94× | 1.20 |
| Q2 over 51.5 | 81.6% | 83.1% | 74.2% | 1.12× | 1.20 |
| Q2 over 52.5 | 82.5% | 83.0% | 70.3% | 1.18× | 1.21 |
| Q2 under 68.5 | 82.6% | 83.0% | 90.6% | 0.92× | 1.21 |
| Q2 under 64.5 | 72.9% | 73.0% | 80.9% | 0.90× | 1.37 |
| Q2 over 54.5 | 71.0% | 73.0% | 61.1% | 1.20× | 1.37 |
| Q2 under 65.5 | 72.2% | 72.0% | 83.6% | 0.86× | 1.39 |
| Q2 over 55.5 | 72.0% | 72.0% | 56.3% | 1.28× | 1.39 |
| Q2 under 62.5 | 64.7% | 62.0% | 74.4% | 0.83× | 1.61 |
| Q2 over 56.5 | 62.6% | 62.0% | 51.7% | 1.20× | 1.61 |
| Q2 under 63.5 | 63.8% | 60.7% | 77.5% | 0.78× | 1.65 |
| Q2 over 57.5 | 63.6% | 60.7% | 47.3% | 1.28× | 1.65 |
| Q2 under 61.5 | 54.8% | 52.7% | 70.4% | 0.75× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 59.5 | 54.5% | 52.7% | 38.1% | 1.38× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 60.5 | 50.1% | 52.7% | 65.7% | 0.80× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 58.5 | 53.5% | 52.2% | 42.7% | 1.22× | 1.92 |
| Q2 under 58.5 | 46.5% | 47.8% | 57.3% | 0.83× | 2.09 |
| Q2 over 60.5 | 49.9% | 47.3% | 34.3% | 1.38× | 2.11 |
| Q2 under 59.5 | 45.5% | 47.3% | 61.9% | 0.76× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 61.5 | 45.2% | 47.3% | 29.6% | 1.60× | 2.11 |
| Q2 under 57.5 | 36.4% | 39.3% | 52.7% | 0.75× | 2.55 |
| Q2 over 63.5 | 36.2% | 39.3% | 22.5% | 1.75× | 2.55 |
| Q2 under 56.5 | 37.4% | 38.0% | 48.3% | 0.79× | 2.63 |
| Q2 over 62.5 | 35.3% | 38.0% | 25.6% | 1.48× | 2.63 |
| Q2 under 55.5 | 28.0% | 28.0% | 43.7% | 0.64× | 3.57 |
| Q2 over 65.5 | 27.8% | 28.0% | 16.4% | 1.71× | 3.57 |
| Q2 under 54.5 | 29.0% | 27.0% | 38.9% | 0.69× | 3.71 |
| Q2 over 64.5 | 27.1% | 27.0% | 19.1% | 1.41× | 3.71 |
| Q2 under 52.5 | 17.5% | 17.0% | 29.7% | 0.57× | 5.88 |
| Q2 over 68.5 | 17.4% | 17.0% | 9.4% | 1.80× | 5.88 |
| Q2 under 51.5 | 18.4% | 16.9% | 25.8% | 0.65× | 5.93 |
| Q2 over 67.5 | 16.9% | 16.9% | 11.3% | 1.49× | 5.93 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Pacers to win Q3 | 49.4% | 47.6% | 50.9% | 0.94× | 2.10 |
| Dallas Mavericks to win Q3 | 45.9% | 47.5% | 44.3% | 1.07× | 2.10 |
| Q3 tied | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 0.88× | 23.43 |
Q3 total 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 under 69.5 | 84.5% | 82.3% | 91.4% | 0.90× | 1.22 |
| Q3 over 53.5 | 81.2% | 82.3% | 68.3% | 1.20× | 1.22 |
| Q3 over 51.5 | 83.4% | 82.2% | 76.1% | 1.08× | 1.22 |
| Q3 under 67.5 | 82.1% | 82.2% | 87.0% | 0.94× | 1.22 |
| Q3 over 54.5 | 73.1% | 72.5% | 63.9% | 1.14× | 1.38 |
| Q3 under 66.5 | 74.5% | 71.8% | 84.7% | 0.85× | 1.39 |
| Q3 over 56.5 | 70.2% | 71.8% | 55.0% | 1.30× | 1.39 |
| Q3 under 64.5 | 66.3% | 67.8% | 79.2% | 0.86× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 58.5 | 61.5% | 61.9% | 45.2% | 1.37× | 1.61 |
| Q3 under 62.5 | 57.3% | 58.4% | 71.9% | 0.81× | 1.71 |
| Q3 over 59.5 | 51.1% | 52.6% | 41.0% | 1.28× | 1.90 |
| Q3 over 60.5 | 52.2% | 52.3% | 36.5% | 1.43× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 61.5 | 52.6% | 52.3% | 67.7% | 0.77× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 60.5 | 47.8% | 47.7% | 63.5% | 0.75× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 61.5 | 47.4% | 47.7% | 32.3% | 1.48× | 2.10 |
| Q3 under 59.5 | 48.9% | 47.4% | 59.0% | 0.80× | 2.11 |
| Q3 over 62.5 | 42.7% | 41.6% | 28.1% | 1.48× | 2.40 |
| Q3 under 58.5 | 38.5% | 38.1% | 54.8% | 0.69× | 2.63 |
| Q3 over 64.5 | 33.7% | 32.2% | 20.8% | 1.55× | 3.10 |
| Q3 under 56.5 | 29.8% | 28.2% | 45.0% | 0.63× | 3.55 |
| Q3 over 66.5 | 25.5% | 28.2% | 15.3% | 1.85× | 3.55 |
| Q3 under 54.5 | 26.9% | 27.5% | 36.1% | 0.76× | 3.64 |
| Q3 over 67.5 | 17.9% | 17.8% | 13.0% | 1.37× | 5.62 |
| Q3 under 51.5 | 16.6% | 17.8% | 23.9% | 0.74× | 5.63 |
| Q3 under 53.5 | 18.8% | 17.7% | 31.7% | 0.56× | 5.66 |
| Q3 over 69.5 | 15.5% | 17.7% | 8.6% | 2.05× | 5.66 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Pacers to win Q4 | 49.3% | 47.6% | 48.3% | 0.99× | 2.10 |
| Dallas Mavericks to win Q4 | 45.8% | 47.6% | 46.4% | 1.03× | 2.10 |
| Q4 tied | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 0.98× | 19.28 |
Q4 total 32
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 under 66.5 | 83.5% | 82.0% | 90.4% | 0.91× | 1.22 |
| Q4 over 50.5 | 80.8% | 82.0% | 68.5% | 1.20× | 1.22 |
| Q4 under 65.5 | 83.9% | 81.9% | 88.4% | 0.93× | 1.22 |
| Q4 over 49.5 | 80.1% | 81.9% | 72.3% | 1.13× | 1.22 |
| Q4 under 62.5 | 74.0% | 72.3% | 80.4% | 0.90× | 1.38 |
| Q4 under 63.5 | 73.5% | 71.5% | 83.7% | 0.85× | 1.40 |
| Q4 over 53.5 | 70.0% | 67.4% | 55.7% | 1.21× | 1.48 |
| Q4 under 61.5 | 65.5% | 67.4% | 77.5% | 0.87× | 1.48 |
| Q4 over 52.5 | 69.2% | 66.7% | 60.4% | 1.10× | 1.50 |
| Q4 under 60.5 | 66.1% | 66.6% | 74.2% | 0.90× | 1.50 |
| Q4 over 54.5 | 60.7% | 61.6% | 51.4% | 1.20× | 1.62 |
| Q4 over 55.5 | 61.5% | 61.4% | 47.1% | 1.30× | 1.63 |
| Q4 under 59.5 | 56.6% | 58.4% | 70.2% | 0.83× | 1.71 |
| Q4 over 57.5 | 52.5% | 52.5% | 38.1% | 1.38× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 58.5 | 52.1% | 52.5% | 66.2% | 0.79× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 56.5 | 51.7% | 52.3% | 42.8% | 1.22× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 56.5 | 48.3% | 47.7% | 57.2% | 0.83× | 2.10 |
| Q4 over 58.5 | 47.9% | 47.5% | 33.8% | 1.41× | 2.11 |
| Q4 under 57.5 | 47.5% | 47.5% | 61.9% | 0.77× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 59.5 | 43.4% | 41.6% | 29.8% | 1.40× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 55.5 | 38.5% | 38.6% | 52.9% | 0.73× | 2.59 |
| Q4 under 54.5 | 39.3% | 38.4% | 48.6% | 0.79× | 2.61 |
| Q4 over 60.5 | 33.9% | 33.4% | 25.8% | 1.30× | 3.00 |
| Q4 under 52.5 | 30.8% | 33.3% | 39.6% | 0.84× | 3.00 |
| Q4 over 61.5 | 34.5% | 32.6% | 22.5% | 1.45× | 3.07 |
| Q4 under 53.5 | 30.0% | 32.6% | 44.3% | 0.73× | 3.07 |
| Q4 over 63.5 | 26.5% | 28.5% | 16.3% | 1.75× | 3.51 |
| Q4 over 62.5 | 26.0% | 27.7% | 19.6% | 1.41× | 3.61 |
| Q4 under 49.5 | 19.9% | 18.1% | 27.7% | 0.65× | 5.53 |
| Q4 over 65.5 | 16.1% | 18.1% | 11.6% | 1.56× | 5.54 |
| Q4 under 50.5 | 19.2% | 18.0% | 31.5% | 0.57× | 5.56 |
| Q4 over 66.5 | 16.5% | 18.0% | 9.6% | 1.88× | 5.56 |
Team total 66
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Pacers under 131.5 | 81.5% | 80.7% | 89.8% | 0.90× | 1.24 |
| Dallas Mavericks under 129.5 | 80.5% | 80.7% | 90.0% | 0.90× | 1.24 |
| Dallas Mavericks over 109.5 | 80.1% | 80.7% | 60.9% | 1.32× | 1.24 |
| Dallas Mavericks under 127.5 | 81.0% | 80.3% | 86.9% | 0.92× | 1.25 |
| Indiana Pacers over 108.5 | 79.5% | 78.3% | 69.9% | 1.12× | 1.28 |
| Dallas Mavericks over 107.5 | 78.2% | 78.3% | 66.6% | 1.18× | 1.28 |
| Indiana Pacers over 111.5 | 78.5% | 75.1% | 61.1% | 1.23× | 1.33 |
| Indiana Pacers under 125.5 | 71.8% | 71.8% | 79.1% | 0.91× | 1.39 |
| Dallas Mavericks over 110.5 | 70.2% | 71.8% | 57.9% | 1.24× | 1.39 |
| Indiana Pacers under 128.5 | 74.0% | 70.7% | 85.5% | 0.83× | 1.41 |
| Dallas Mavericks under 126.5 | 72.7% | 70.7% | 85.3% | 0.83× | 1.41 |
| Dallas Mavericks over 112.5 | 72.2% | 70.7% | 51.5% | 1.37× | 1.41 |
| Indiana Pacers over 114.5 | 70.4% | 70.7% | 51.4% | 1.38× | 1.41 |
| Indiana Pacers over 113.5 | 66.0% | 66.6% | 54.3% | 1.23× | 1.50 |
| Indiana Pacers under 123.5 | 66.0% | 66.6% | 74.4% | 0.90× | 1.50 |
| Indiana Pacers under 126.5 | 68.3% | 66.4% | 81.5% | 0.81× | 1.51 |
| Dallas Mavericks over 114.5 | 66.2% | 66.4% | 44.5% | 1.49× | 1.51 |
| Dallas Mavericks under 124.5 | 66.8% | 66.4% | 81.4% | 0.82× | 1.51 |
| Indiana Pacers over 116.5 | 64.4% | 61.2% | 45.3% | 1.35× | 1.63 |
| Indiana Pacers under 124.5 | 62.0% | 61.2% | 76.8% | 0.80× | 1.63 |
| Dallas Mavericks under 122.5 | 60.4% | 61.2% | 77.4% | 0.79× | 1.63 |
| Indiana Pacers over 115.5 | 59.8% | 57.9% | 48.4% | 1.20× | 1.73 |
| Dallas Mavericks over 116.5 | 59.7% | 57.1% | 38.5% | 1.48× | 1.75 |
| Indiana Pacers over 118.5 | 57.9% | 57.1% | 39.7% | 1.44× | 1.75 |
| Indiana Pacers under 122.5 | 55.5% | 57.1% | 71.8% | 0.80× | 1.75 |
| Dallas Mavericks under 120.5 | 53.7% | 52.3% | 72.7% | 0.72× | 1.91 |
| Indiana Pacers over 120.5 | 51.2% | 52.3% | 33.7% | 1.55× | 1.91 |
| Indiana Pacers under 121.5 | 52.1% | 52.3% | 69.6% | 0.75× | 1.91 |
| Dallas Mavericks over 118.5 | 53.0% | 52.3% | 32.6% | 1.60× | 1.91 |
| Dallas Mavericks under 119.5 | 50.3% | 52.3% | 70.3% | 0.74× | 1.91 |
| Indiana Pacers over 117.5 | 53.3% | 52.2% | 42.2% | 1.24× | 1.91 |
| Indiana Pacers under 119.5 | 53.3% | 52.2% | 63.5% | 0.82× | 1.91 |
| Dallas Mavericks under 117.5 | 52.0% | 52.2% | 64.4% | 0.81× | 1.91 |
| Dallas Mavericks over 117.5 | 48.0% | 47.8% | 35.6% | 1.34× | 2.09 |
| Indiana Pacers under 117.5 | 46.7% | 47.8% | 57.8% | 0.83× | 2.09 |
| Indiana Pacers over 119.5 | 46.7% | 47.8% | 36.5% | 1.31× | 2.09 |
| Dallas Mavericks over 119.5 | 49.7% | 47.7% | 29.7% | 1.61× | 2.09 |
| Indiana Pacers under 120.5 | 48.8% | 47.7% | 66.3% | 0.72× | 2.09 |
| Indiana Pacers over 121.5 | 47.9% | 47.7% | 30.4% | 1.57× | 2.09 |
| Dallas Mavericks under 118.5 | 47.0% | 47.7% | 67.4% | 0.71× | 2.09 |
| Dallas Mavericks over 120.5 | 46.3% | 47.7% | 27.3% | 1.75× | 2.09 |
| Indiana Pacers over 122.5 | 44.5% | 42.9% | 28.2% | 1.52× | 2.33 |
| Indiana Pacers under 118.5 | 42.1% | 42.9% | 60.3% | 0.71× | 2.33 |
| Dallas Mavericks under 116.5 | 40.3% | 42.9% | 61.5% | 0.70× | 2.33 |
| Indiana Pacers under 115.5 | 40.2% | 42.1% | 51.6% | 0.82× | 2.38 |
| Indiana Pacers over 124.5 | 38.0% | 38.8% | 23.2% | 1.67× | 2.58 |
| Dallas Mavericks over 122.5 | 39.6% | 38.8% | 22.6% | 1.71× | 2.58 |
| Indiana Pacers under 116.5 | 35.6% | 38.8% | 54.7% | 0.71× | 2.58 |
| Dallas Mavericks under 114.5 | 33.8% | 33.6% | 55.5% | 0.61× | 2.98 |
| Dallas Mavericks over 124.5 | 33.2% | 33.6% | 18.6% | 1.81× | 2.98 |
| Indiana Pacers over 126.5 | 31.7% | 33.6% | 18.5% | 1.82× | 2.98 |
| Indiana Pacers under 113.5 | 34.0% | 33.4% | 45.7% | 0.73× | 2.99 |
| Indiana Pacers over 123.5 | 34.0% | 33.4% | 25.6% | 1.31× | 2.99 |
| Indiana Pacers under 114.5 | 29.6% | 29.3% | 48.6% | 0.60× | 3.42 |
| Dallas Mavericks over 126.5 | 27.3% | 29.3% | 14.7% | 1.99× | 3.42 |
| Dallas Mavericks under 112.5 | 27.8% | 29.3% | 48.5% | 0.60× | 3.42 |
| Indiana Pacers over 128.5 | 26.0% | 29.3% | 14.5% | 2.02× | 3.42 |
| Dallas Mavericks under 110.5 | 29.8% | 28.2% | 42.1% | 0.67× | 3.55 |
| Indiana Pacers over 125.5 | 28.2% | 28.2% | 20.9% | 1.35× | 3.55 |
| Indiana Pacers under 111.5 | 21.5% | 24.9% | 38.9% | 0.64× | 4.02 |
| Dallas Mavericks under 107.5 | 21.8% | 21.7% | 33.4% | 0.65× | 4.60 |
| Indiana Pacers under 108.5 | 20.5% | 21.7% | 30.1% | 0.72× | 4.60 |
| Dallas Mavericks over 127.5 | 19.0% | 19.7% | 13.1% | 1.50× | 5.07 |
| Dallas Mavericks under 109.5 | 19.9% | 19.3% | 39.1% | 0.49× | 5.18 |
| Dallas Mavericks over 129.5 | 19.5% | 19.3% | 10.0% | 1.94× | 5.18 |
| Indiana Pacers over 131.5 | 18.5% | 19.3% | 10.2% | 1.89× | 5.18 |
Total points 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 215.5 points | 85.5% | 85.5% | 73.4% | 1.16× | 1.17 |
| Under 260.5 points | 86.4% | 85.0% | 94.1% | 0.90× | 1.18 |
| Over 220.5 points | 85.9% | 85.0% | 64.2% | 1.33× | 1.18 |
| Under 255.5 points | 79.6% | 75.6% | 90.8% | 0.83× | 1.32 |
| Over 225.5 points | 78.9% | 75.6% | 54.7% | 1.38× | 1.32 |
| Under 250.5 points | 71.1% | 70.8% | 86.1% | 0.82× | 1.41 |
| Over 230.5 points | 70.2% | 70.8% | 44.6% | 1.59× | 1.41 |
| Under 247.5 points | 65.3% | 65.9% | 83.3% | 0.79× | 1.52 |
| Under 242.5 points | 64.7% | 61.8% | 76.8% | 0.80× | 1.62 |
| Over 228.5 points | 64.4% | 61.8% | 48.7% | 1.27× | 1.62 |
| Over 233.5 points | 64.3% | 61.5% | 38.6% | 1.59× | 1.63 |
| Under 245.5 points | 61.2% | 61.5% | 80.9% | 0.76× | 1.63 |
| Over 235.5 points | 60.2% | 61.5% | 34.7% | 1.77× | 1.63 |
| Under 243.5 points | 57.0% | 56.5% | 78.2% | 0.72× | 1.77 |
| Over 237.5 points | 55.9% | 56.5% | 30.7% | 1.84× | 1.77 |
| Under 238.5 points | 56.5% | 56.0% | 70.9% | 0.79× | 1.79 |
| Over 232.5 points | 56.2% | 56.0% | 40.6% | 1.38× | 1.79 |
| Over 239.5 points | 51.6% | 52.3% | 27.5% | 1.90× | 1.91 |
| Under 241.5 points | 52.7% | 52.3% | 75.5% | 0.69× | 1.91 |
| Under 240.5 points | 50.5% | 52.3% | 74.0% | 0.71× | 1.91 |
| Under 236.5 points | 52.3% | 52.2% | 67.3% | 0.78× | 1.92 |
| Over 234.5 points | 52.0% | 52.2% | 36.7% | 1.42× | 1.92 |
| Under 234.5 points | 48.0% | 47.8% | 63.3% | 0.75× | 2.09 |
| Over 236.5 points | 47.7% | 47.8% | 32.7% | 1.46× | 2.09 |
| Over 240.5 points | 49.5% | 47.7% | 26.0% | 1.84× | 2.10 |
| Under 239.5 points | 48.4% | 47.7% | 72.5% | 0.66× | 2.10 |
| Over 241.5 points | 47.3% | 47.7% | 24.5% | 1.95× | 2.10 |
| Under 232.5 points | 43.8% | 44.0% | 59.4% | 0.74× | 2.27 |
| Over 238.5 points | 43.5% | 44.0% | 29.1% | 1.51× | 2.27 |
| Under 237.5 points | 44.1% | 43.5% | 69.3% | 0.63× | 2.30 |
| Over 243.5 points | 43.0% | 43.5% | 21.8% | 1.99× | 2.30 |
| Under 235.5 points | 39.8% | 38.5% | 65.3% | 0.59× | 2.60 |
| Over 245.5 points | 38.8% | 38.5% | 19.1% | 2.01× | 2.60 |
| Under 233.5 points | 35.7% | 38.5% | 61.4% | 0.63× | 2.60 |
| Under 228.5 points | 35.6% | 38.2% | 51.3% | 0.75× | 2.62 |
| Over 242.5 points | 35.3% | 38.2% | 23.2% | 1.65× | 2.62 |
| Over 247.5 points | 34.7% | 34.1% | 16.7% | 2.04× | 2.93 |
| Under 230.5 points | 29.8% | 29.2% | 55.4% | 0.53× | 3.43 |
| Over 250.5 points | 28.9% | 29.2% | 13.9% | 2.11× | 3.43 |
| Under 225.5 points | 21.1% | 24.4% | 45.3% | 0.54× | 4.10 |
| Over 255.5 points | 20.4% | 24.4% | 9.2% | 2.65× | 4.10 |
| Under 220.5 points | 14.1% | 15.0% | 35.8% | 0.42× | 6.68 |
| Over 260.5 points | 13.6% | 15.0% | 5.9% | 2.55× | 6.68 |
| Under 215.5 points | 14.5% | 14.5% | 26.6% | 0.55× | 6.88 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Pacers to win both halves | 23.7% | 23.1% | 25.2% | 0.92× | 4.34 |
| Dallas Mavericks to win both halves | 18.7% | 18.9% | 17.8% | 1.06× | 5.30 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Pacers by 1-5 | 14.0% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 0.96× | 8.11 |
| Dallas Mavericks by 1-5 | 13.4% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 1.01× | 8.11 |
| Indiana Pacers by 6-10 | 12.7% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 0.88× | 8.11 |
| Dallas Mavericks by 6-10 | 11.4% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 1.00× | 8.11 |
| Indiana Pacers by 11-15 | 10.3% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 1.14× | 8.11 |
| Dallas Mavericks by 11-15 | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 0.93× | 13.40 |
| Indiana Pacers by 16-20 | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 1.02× | 13.40 |
| Dallas Mavericks by 16-20 | 5.8% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 1.53× | 13.40 |
| Indiana Pacers by 21-25 | 4.7% | 2.0% | 4.7% | 0.43× | 49.29 |
| Dallas Mavericks by 21-25 | 3.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 0.67× | 49.30 |
| Indiana Pacers by 26+ | 5.0% | 2.0% | 6.2% | 0.33× | 49.28 |
| Dallas Mavericks by 26+ | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 0.53× | 49.30 |