Iona Gaels v Hofstra Pride — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 15 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated 4 Sep 2026, 03:45 UTC

Iona Gaels

05:00 UTC

Hofstra Pride

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Iona Gaels win

55.4%

Draw

0.0%

Hofstra Pride win

44.6%

55045

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	55045	56.63–55.14	57-55 0%	52%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iona Gaels to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	1.8%	0.20×	283.36
Iona Gaels to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	0.6%	0.64×	283.36
Iona Gaels to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	2.91×	283.36
Iona Gaels to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	7.58×	283.36
Hofstra Pride to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	0.5%	0.71×	283.36
Hofstra Pride to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	4.74×	283.36
Hofstra Pride to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	18.95×	283.36
Hofstra Pride to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	37.89×	283.36
Both sides to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	6.32×	283.36

H1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iona Gaels to win H1	50.9%	51.8%	56.4%	0.92×	1.93
Hofstra Pride to win H1	44.5%	42.7%	39.9%	1.07×	2.34
H1 tied	4.6%	3.9%	3.7%	1.05×	25.85

H1 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 over 42.5	89.1%	87.7%	96.7%	0.91×	1.14
H1 under 66.5	89.3%	87.7%	67.1%	1.31×	1.14
H1 under 62.5	80.0%	77.4%	53.7%	1.44×	1.29
H1 over 46.5	79.0%	77.4%	92.3%	0.84×	1.29
H1 under 59.5	70.4%	73.5%	42.2%	1.74×	1.36
H1 over 49.5	68.8%	67.4%	86.7%	0.78×	1.48
H1 under 57.5	63.1%	62.7%	35.2%	1.78×	1.59
H1 over 51.5	61.1%	62.7%	82.0%	0.76×	1.59
H1 under 55.5	55.2%	58.2%	29.0%	2.01×	1.72
H1 over 53.5	53.0%	52.6%	76.8%	0.69×	1.90
H1 under 54.5	51.1%	52.6%	26.0%	2.02×	1.90
H1 over 54.5	48.9%	47.4%	74.0%	0.64×	2.11
H1 under 53.5	47.0%	47.4%	23.2%	2.05×	2.11
H1 over 55.5	44.8%	41.8%	71.0%	0.59×	2.39
H1 under 51.5	38.9%	37.3%	18.0%	2.07×	2.68
H1 over 57.5	36.9%	37.3%	64.8%	0.58×	2.68
H1 under 49.5	31.2%	32.6%	13.3%	2.45×	3.07
H1 over 59.5	29.6%	26.5%	57.8%	0.46×	3.77
H1 under 46.5	21.0%	22.6%	7.7%	2.93×	4.43
H1 over 62.5	20.0%	22.6%	46.3%	0.49×	4.43
H1 under 42.5	10.9%	12.3%	3.3%	3.74×	8.14
H1 over 66.5	10.7%	12.3%	32.9%	0.37×	8.14

H2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iona Gaels to win H2	51.2%	51.2%	56.0%	0.91×	1.95
Hofstra Pride to win H2	44.4%	43.6%	40.6%	1.07×	2.30
H2 tied	4.4%	3.9%	3.4%	1.16×	25.35

H2 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 over 47.5	88.4%	85.2%	96.4%	0.88×	1.17
H2 under 71.5	88.0%	85.2%	61.1%	1.39×	1.17
H2 over 51.5	78.4%	75.8%	92.7%	0.82×	1.32
H2 under 67.5	78.5%	75.8%	47.9%	1.58×	1.32
H2 over 54.5	68.6%	66.4%	88.0%	0.75×	1.51
H2 under 64.5	69.1%	66.4%	37.9%	1.75×	1.51
H2 over 56.5	61.2%	61.6%	84.1%	0.73×	1.62
H2 under 62.5	62.0%	61.6%	31.7%	1.95×	1.62
H2 over 58.5	53.4%	52.4%	79.6%	0.66×	1.91
H2 under 60.5	54.4%	52.4%	25.5%	2.05×	1.91
H2 under 59.5	50.5%	52.4%	23.0%	2.28×	1.91
H2 over 59.5	49.5%	47.6%	77.0%	0.62×	2.10
H2 under 58.5	46.6%	47.6%	20.4%	2.34×	2.10
H2 over 60.5	45.6%	47.6%	74.5%	0.64×	2.10
H2 under 56.5	38.8%	38.4%	15.9%	2.42×	2.61
H2 over 62.5	38.0%	38.4%	68.3%	0.56×	2.61
H2 under 54.5	31.4%	33.6%	12.0%	2.79×	2.97
H2 over 64.5	30.9%	33.6%	62.1%	0.54×	2.97
H2 under 51.5	21.6%	24.2%	7.3%	3.30×	4.13
H2 over 67.5	21.5%	24.2%	52.1%	0.46×	4.13
H2 over 71.5	12.0%	14.8%	38.9%	0.38×	6.76
H2 under 47.5	11.6%	14.8%	3.6%	4.11×	6.76

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iona Gaels leading at half time	50.9%	51.9%	56.4%	0.92×	1.93
Hofstra Pride leading at half time	44.5%	42.9%	39.9%	1.07×	2.33
Level at half time	4.6%	3.8%	3.7%	1.03×	26.40

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iona Gaels +18.5	97.0%	97.4%	91.1%	1.07×	1.03
Hofstra Pride +20.5	96.4%	97.4%	82.0%	1.19×	1.03
Iona Gaels +20.5	98.1%	97.4%	92.7%	1.05×	1.03
Iona Gaels +16.5	95.3%	97.4%	89.1%	1.09×	1.03
Hofstra Pride +18.5	94.5%	91.1%	79.3%	1.15×	1.10
Iona Gaels +14.5	93.1%	91.1%	86.7%	1.05×	1.10
Iona Gaels +12.5	90.2%	91.1%	83.8%	1.09×	1.10
Hofstra Pride +16.5	92.1%	91.1%	75.7%	1.20×	1.10
Hofstra Pride +14.5	88.8%	85.9%	72.1%	1.19×	1.16
Iona Gaels +10.5	86.4%	85.9%	80.4%	1.07×	1.16
Iona Gaels +9.5	84.2%	81.1%	78.7%	1.03×	1.23
Hofstra Pride +12.5	84.7%	81.1%	67.9%	1.20×	1.23
Iona Gaels +8.5	81.8%	81.1%	76.5%	1.06×	1.23
Iona Gaels +7.5	79.2%	76.5%	74.5%	1.03×	1.31
Hofstra Pride +10.5	79.8%	76.5%	63.2%	1.21×	1.31
Iona Gaels +6.5	76.3%	76.5%	72.3%	1.06×	1.31
Hofstra Pride +9.5	77.0%	76.5%	60.7%	1.26×	1.31
Hofstra Pride +8.5	73.9%	71.6%	58.0%	1.23×	1.40
Iona Gaels +5.5	73.2%	71.6%	70.1%	1.02×	1.40
Hofstra Pride +7.5	70.7%	71.6%	55.2%	1.30×	1.40
Iona Gaels +4.5	69.9%	66.7%	67.8%	0.98×	1.50
Iona Gaels +3.5	66.5%	66.7%	65.7%	1.02×	1.50
Hofstra Pride +6.5	67.3%	66.7%	52.4%	1.27×	1.50
Hofstra Pride +5.5	63.8%	61.9%	50.3%	1.23×	1.62
Iona Gaels +2.5	62.9%	61.9%	63.3%	0.98×	1.62
Hofstra Pride +4.5	60.1%	61.9%	47.8%	1.29×	1.62
Iona Gaels +1.5	59.2%	57.1%	61.2%	0.93×	1.75
Hofstra Pride +3.5	56.3%	57.1%	45.8%	1.25×	1.75
Hofstra Pride +2.5	52.5%	52.4%	43.3%	1.21×	1.91
Iona Gaels −1.5	51.4%	52.4%	58.7%	0.89×	1.91
Hofstra Pride +1.5	48.6%	47.6%	41.3%	1.15×	2.10
Iona Gaels −2.5	47.5%	47.6%	56.7%	0.84×	2.10
Iona Gaels −3.5	43.7%	42.9%	54.2%	0.79×	2.33
Hofstra Pride −1.5	40.8%	42.9%	38.8%	1.11×	2.33
Iona Gaels −4.5	39.9%	38.1%	52.2%	0.73×	2.63
Hofstra Pride −2.5	37.1%	38.1%	36.7%	1.04×	2.63
Iona Gaels −5.5	36.2%	38.1%	49.7%	0.77×	2.63
Hofstra Pride −3.5	33.5%	33.3%	34.3%	0.97×	3.01
Iona Gaels −6.5	32.7%	33.3%	47.6%	0.70×	3.01
Hofstra Pride −4.5	30.1%	33.3%	32.2%	1.03×	3.01
Iona Gaels −7.5	29.3%	28.4%	44.8%	0.63×	3.53
Hofstra Pride −5.5	26.8%	28.4%	29.9%	0.95×	3.53
Iona Gaels −8.5	26.1%	28.4%	42.0%	0.68×	3.53
Hofstra Pride −6.5	23.7%	23.5%	27.7%	0.85×	4.25
Iona Gaels −9.5	23.1%	23.5%	39.3%	0.60×	4.25
Hofstra Pride −7.5	20.8%	23.5%	25.5%	0.92×	4.25
Iona Gaels −10.5	20.2%	23.5%	36.8%	0.64×	4.25
Hofstra Pride −8.5	18.2%	18.9%	23.5%	0.80×	5.29
Hofstra Pride −9.5	15.8%	18.9%	21.3%	0.89×	5.30
Iona Gaels −12.5	15.3%	18.9%	32.1%	0.59×	5.30
Hofstra Pride −10.5	13.6%	14.1%	19.6%	0.72×	7.09
Iona Gaels −14.5	11.2%	14.1%	27.9%	0.51×	7.09
Hofstra Pride −12.5	9.8%	8.9%	16.2%	0.55×	11.25
Iona Gaels −16.5	7.9%	8.9%	24.3%	0.37×	11.25
Hofstra Pride −14.5	6.9%	8.9%	13.3%	0.67×	11.25
Iona Gaels −18.5	5.5%	8.9%	20.7%	0.43×	11.25
Hofstra Pride −16.5	4.7%	2.6%	10.9%	0.24×	38.72
Hofstra Pride −18.5	3.0%	2.6%	8.9%	0.29×	38.73
Iona Gaels −20.5	3.6%	2.6%	18.0%	0.14×	38.73
Hofstra Pride −20.5	1.9%	2.6%	7.3%	0.35×	38.73

Highest scoring half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	69.5%	71.6%	66.7%	1.07×	1.40
1st half highest scoring	30.5%	28.4%	33.3%	0.85×	3.52

Highest scoring quarter 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 highest scoring	33.3%	31.9%	31.2%	1.02×	3.14
Q3 highest scoring	31.6%	31.9%	31.3%	1.02×	3.14
Q1 highest scoring	18.3%	18.3%	19.6%	0.94×	5.46
Q2 highest scoring	16.8%	18.3%	17.9%	1.02×	5.46

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iona Gaels at HT / Iona Gaels at FT	38.4%	37.8%	48.3%	0.78×	2.65
Hofstra Pride at HT / Hofstra Pride at FT	30.1%	33.2%	30.1%	1.10×	3.01
Hofstra Pride at HT / Iona Gaels at FT	14.5%	12.2%	9.8%	1.25×	8.17
Iona Gaels at HT / Hofstra Pride at FT	12.5%	12.2%	8.2%	1.49×	8.17
Level at HT / Iona Gaels at FT	2.5%	2.1%	1.9%	1.09×	47.75
Level at HT / Hofstra Pride at FT	2.1%	2.1%	1.8%	1.20×	47.76

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iona Gaels to win	55.4%	55.2%	59.9%	0.92×	1.81
Hofstra Pride to win	44.6%	44.8%	40.1%	1.12×	2.23

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Total points odd	51.9%	50.5%	51.5%	0.98×	1.98
Iona Gaels even	50.2%	50.5%	49.4%	1.02×	1.98
Hofstra Pride even	50.3%	50.5%	50.1%	1.01×	1.98
Iona Gaels odd	49.8%	49.5%	50.6%	0.98×	2.02
Hofstra Pride odd	49.7%	49.5%	49.9%	0.99×	2.02
Total points even	48.1%	49.5%	48.5%	1.02×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	93.9%	94.0%	95.6%	0.98×	1.06
Match to go to overtime	6.1%	6.0%	4.4%	1.35×	16.66

Q1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iona Gaels to win Q1	49.1%	47.6%	54.7%	0.87×	2.10
Hofstra Pride to win Q1	44.8%	43.0%	40.4%	1.06×	2.33
Q1 tied	6.2%	5.5%	4.9%	1.11×	18.31

Q1 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 under 35.5	89.1%	87.4%	73.2%	1.19×	1.14
Q1 over 19.5	88.3%	87.4%	95.4%	0.92×	1.14
Q1 under 32.5	78.4%	76.9%	59.1%	1.30×	1.30
Q1 over 22.5	76.7%	76.9%	88.8%	0.87×	1.30
Q1 under 30.5	68.6%	67.6%	48.8%	1.39×	1.48
Q1 over 24.5	66.4%	67.6%	81.8%	0.83×	1.48
Q1 under 28.5	57.2%	58.6%	37.3%	1.57×	1.71
Q1 over 26.5	54.8%	52.7%	72.9%	0.72×	1.90
Q1 under 27.5	51.3%	52.7%	32.3%	1.63×	1.90
Q1 over 27.5	48.7%	47.3%	67.7%	0.70×	2.11
Q1 under 26.5	45.2%	47.3%	27.1%	1.75×	2.11
Q1 over 28.5	42.8%	41.4%	62.7%	0.66×	2.42
Q1 under 24.5	33.6%	32.4%	18.2%	1.78×	3.08
Q1 over 30.5	31.4%	32.4%	51.2%	0.63×	3.08
Q1 under 22.5	23.3%	23.1%	11.2%	2.05×	4.33
Q1 over 32.5	21.6%	23.1%	40.9%	0.56×	4.33
Q1 under 19.5	11.7%	12.6%	4.6%	2.75×	7.95
Q1 over 35.5	10.9%	12.6%	26.8%	0.47×	7.95

Q2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iona Gaels to win Q2	49.0%	47.0%	52.9%	0.89×	2.13
Hofstra Pride to win Q2	44.9%	43.9%	41.5%	1.06×	2.28
Q2 tied	6.0%	6.1%	5.7%	1.07×	16.49

Q2 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q2 under 35.5	89.9%	87.3%	74.6%	1.17×	1.15
Q2 over 19.5	87.4%	87.3%	94.6%	0.92×	1.15
Q2 under 32.5	79.6%	76.8%	60.8%	1.26×	1.30
Q2 over 22.5	75.3%	76.8%	87.4%	0.88×	1.30
Q2 under 30.5	70.1%	72.0%	50.1%	1.44×	1.39
Q2 over 24.5	64.8%	60.7%	80.7%	0.75×	1.65
Q2 under 28.5	58.9%	58.2%	38.8%	1.50×	1.72
Q2 over 26.5	53.1%	52.7%	71.6%	0.74×	1.90
Q2 under 27.5	53.0%	52.7%	33.3%	1.58×	1.90
Q2 over 27.5	47.0%	47.3%	66.7%	0.71×	2.11
Q2 under 26.5	46.9%	47.3%	28.4%	1.67×	2.11
Q2 over 28.5	41.1%	41.8%	61.2%	0.68×	2.39
Q2 under 24.5	35.2%	39.3%	19.3%	2.04×	2.55
Q2 over 30.5	29.9%	28.0%	49.9%	0.56×	3.57
Q2 under 22.5	24.7%	23.2%	12.6%	1.85×	4.31
Q2 over 32.5	20.4%	23.2%	39.2%	0.59×	4.31
Q2 under 19.5	12.6%	12.7%	5.4%	2.37×	7.89
Q2 over 35.5	10.1%	12.7%	25.4%	0.50×	7.90

Q3 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iona Gaels to win Q3	49.3%	47.6%	53.3%	0.89×	2.10
Hofstra Pride to win Q3	44.7%	42.3%	41.8%	1.01×	2.37
Q3 tied	6.0%	5.3%	4.9%	1.07×	18.96

Q3 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 over 21.5	88.9%	87.2%	95.8%	0.91×	1.15
Q3 under 37.5	87.4%	87.2%	69.7%	1.25×	1.15
Q3 over 24.5	78.0%	77.3%	89.9%	0.86×	1.29
Q3 under 34.5	76.0%	77.3%	54.6%	1.41×	1.29
Q3 over 26.5	68.2%	67.8%	83.8%	0.81×	1.48
Q3 under 32.5	66.0%	67.8%	43.9%	1.54×	1.48
Q3 over 28.5	57.0%	58.4%	76.4%	0.76×	1.71
Q3 under 30.5	54.7%	52.3%	33.2%	1.58×	1.91
Q3 over 29.5	51.2%	52.3%	71.8%	0.73×	1.91
Q3 under 29.5	48.8%	47.7%	28.2%	1.69×	2.10
Q3 over 30.5	45.3%	47.7%	66.8%	0.71×	2.10
Q3 under 28.5	43.0%	41.6%	23.6%	1.76×	2.40
Q3 over 32.5	34.0%	32.2%	56.1%	0.57×	3.10
Q3 under 26.5	31.8%	32.2%	16.2%	1.99×	3.11
Q3 over 34.5	24.0%	22.7%	45.4%	0.50×	4.40
Q3 under 24.5	22.0%	22.7%	10.1%	2.26×	4.40
Q3 over 37.5	12.6%	12.8%	30.3%	0.42×	7.83
Q3 under 21.5	11.1%	12.8%	4.2%	3.01×	7.83

Q4 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iona Gaels to win Q4	49.3%	47.6%	52.8%	0.90×	2.10
Hofstra Pride to win Q4	44.9%	43.1%	41.5%	1.04×	2.32
Q4 tied	5.9%	5.8%	5.7%	1.02×	17.25

Q4 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 under 38.5	88.6%	85.6%	73.1%	1.17×	1.17
Q4 over 22.5	84.5%	82.0%	93.3%	0.88×	1.22
Q4 under 35.5	78.7%	76.9%	59.4%	1.29×	1.30
Q4 over 25.5	72.4%	71.5%	86.1%	0.83×	1.40
Q4 under 33.5	69.8%	67.4%	49.6%	1.36×	1.48
Q4 over 27.5	62.4%	61.4%	78.9%	0.78×	1.63
Q4 under 31.5	59.5%	58.4%	38.9%	1.50×	1.71
Q4 under 30.5	54.1%	52.5%	33.7%	1.56×	1.91
Q4 over 29.5	51.4%	52.5%	70.8%	0.74×	1.91
Q4 under 29.5	48.6%	47.5%	29.2%	1.63×	2.11
Q4 over 30.5	45.9%	47.5%	66.3%	0.72×	2.11
Q4 over 31.5	40.5%	41.6%	61.1%	0.68×	2.40
Q4 under 27.5	37.6%	38.6%	21.1%	1.83×	2.59
Q4 over 33.5	30.2%	32.6%	50.4%	0.65×	3.07
Q4 under 25.5	27.6%	28.5%	13.9%	2.05×	3.51
Q4 over 35.5	21.3%	23.1%	40.6%	0.57×	4.33
Q4 under 22.5	15.5%	18.0%	6.7%	2.67×	5.56
Q4 over 38.5	11.4%	14.4%	26.9%	0.53×	6.96

Team total 44

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hofstra Pride under 66.5	88.0%	83.9%	62.7%	1.34×	1.19
Iona Gaels over 47.5	86.8%	83.9%	94.4%	0.89×	1.19
Iona Gaels under 67.5	86.1%	83.9%	51.3%	1.63×	1.19
Hofstra Pride over 46.5	86.7%	83.9%	89.7%	0.94×	1.19
Hofstra Pride under 63.5	80.1%	80.7%	53.9%	1.50×	1.24
Iona Gaels under 64.5	77.8%	75.1%	41.6%	1.81×	1.33
Iona Gaels over 50.5	77.6%	75.1%	90.8%	0.83×	1.33
Hofstra Pride over 49.5	76.8%	75.1%	85.1%	0.88×	1.33
Hofstra Pride under 61.5	73.5%	70.7%	47.9%	1.48×	1.41
Iona Gaels over 52.5	70.3%	70.7%	87.7%	0.81×	1.41
Iona Gaels under 62.5	71.0%	70.7%	35.7%	1.98×	1.41
Hofstra Pride over 51.5	69.0%	66.4%	81.0%	0.82×	1.51
Hofstra Pride under 59.5	65.8%	66.4%	41.2%	1.61×	1.51
Iona Gaels over 54.5	62.2%	61.2%	83.8%	0.73×	1.63
Iona Gaels under 60.5	63.3%	61.2%	30.5%	2.00×	1.63
Hofstra Pride over 53.5	60.4%	61.2%	76.3%	0.80×	1.63
Hofstra Pride under 57.5	57.3%	57.1%	34.9%	1.64×	1.75
Iona Gaels over 56.5	53.7%	52.3%	79.5%	0.66×	1.91
Iona Gaels under 58.5	54.9%	52.3%	25.3%	2.07×	1.91
Hofstra Pride over 55.5	51.5%	52.3%	70.8%	0.74×	1.91
Hofstra Pride under 56.5	52.9%	52.3%	32.0%	1.63×	1.91
Iona Gaels under 57.5	50.6%	52.3%	22.8%	2.29×	1.91
Iona Gaels over 57.5	49.4%	47.7%	77.2%	0.62×	2.09
Hofstra Pride under 55.5	48.5%	47.7%	29.2%	1.63×	2.09
Hofstra Pride over 56.5	47.1%	47.7%	68.0%	0.70×	2.09
Iona Gaels under 56.5	46.3%	47.7%	20.5%	2.33×	2.09
Iona Gaels over 58.5	45.1%	47.7%	74.7%	0.64×	2.09
Hofstra Pride over 57.5	42.7%	42.9%	65.1%	0.66×	2.33
Hofstra Pride under 53.5	39.6%	38.8%	23.7%	1.64×	2.58
Iona Gaels under 54.5	37.8%	38.8%	16.2%	2.40×	2.58
Iona Gaels over 60.5	36.7%	38.8%	69.5%	0.56×	2.58
Hofstra Pride over 59.5	34.2%	33.6%	58.8%	0.57×	2.98
Hofstra Pride under 51.5	31.0%	33.6%	19.0%	1.77×	2.98
Iona Gaels under 52.5	29.7%	29.3%	12.3%	2.37×	3.42
Iona Gaels over 62.5	29.0%	29.3%	64.3%	0.46×	3.42
Hofstra Pride over 61.5	26.5%	29.3%	52.1%	0.56×	3.42
Iona Gaels under 50.5	22.4%	24.9%	9.2%	2.71×	4.02
Hofstra Pride under 49.5	23.2%	24.9%	14.9%	1.67×	4.02
Iona Gaels over 64.5	22.2%	24.9%	58.4%	0.43×	4.02
Hofstra Pride over 63.5	19.9%	19.3%	46.1%	0.42×	5.18
Iona Gaels under 47.5	13.2%	16.1%	5.6%	2.85×	6.21
Iona Gaels over 67.5	13.9%	16.1%	48.7%	0.33×	6.21
Hofstra Pride under 46.5	13.3%	16.1%	10.3%	1.56×	6.21
Hofstra Pride over 66.5	12.0%	16.1%	37.3%	0.43×	6.21

Total points 30

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 94.5 points	93.1%	88.8%	98.1%	0.91×	1.13
Under 134.5 points	92.8%	88.8%	60.2%	1.48×	1.13
Under 129.5 points	87.0%	85.0%	49.5%	1.72×	1.18
Over 99.5 points	85.2%	85.0%	96.1%	0.88×	1.18
Under 124.5 points	78.3%	75.6%	38.5%	1.96×	1.32
Over 104.5 points	74.2%	70.8%	92.9%	0.76×	1.41
Under 121.5 points	71.8%	70.8%	32.3%	2.19×	1.41
Under 119.5 points	67.0%	65.9%	28.4%	2.32×	1.52
Over 107.5 points	66.3%	65.9%	90.2%	0.73×	1.52
Under 117.5 points	61.8%	61.5%	24.7%	2.49×	1.63
Over 109.5 points	60.7%	61.5%	87.6%	0.70×	1.63
Under 115.5 points	56.3%	56.5%	21.2%	2.67×	1.77
Over 111.5 points	55.0%	56.5%	85.1%	0.66×	1.77
Under 114.5 points	53.4%	52.3%	19.6%	2.68×	1.91
Under 113.5 points	50.7%	52.3%	18.1%	2.89×	1.91
Over 113.5 points	49.3%	47.7%	81.9%	0.58×	2.10
Over 114.5 points	46.6%	47.7%	80.4%	0.59×	2.10
Under 111.5 points	45.0%	43.5%	14.9%	2.91×	2.30
Over 115.5 points	43.7%	43.5%	78.8%	0.55×	2.30
Under 109.5 points	39.3%	38.5%	12.4%	3.11×	2.60
Over 117.5 points	38.2%	38.5%	75.3%	0.51×	2.60
Under 107.5 points	33.7%	34.1%	9.8%	3.48×	2.93
Over 119.5 points	33.0%	34.1%	71.6%	0.48×	2.93
Over 121.5 points	28.2%	29.2%	67.7%	0.43×	3.43
Under 104.5 points	25.8%	29.2%	7.1%	4.08×	3.43
Over 124.5 points	21.7%	24.4%	61.5%	0.40×	4.10
Under 99.5 points	14.8%	15.0%	3.9%	3.83×	6.68
Over 129.5 points	13.0%	15.0%	50.5%	0.30×	6.69
Under 94.5 points	6.9%	11.2%	1.9%	5.96×	8.97
Over 134.5 points	7.2%	11.2%	39.8%	0.28×	8.97

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iona Gaels to win both halves	22.3%	23.1%	36.0%	0.64×	4.34
Hofstra Pride to win both halves	16.2%	18.9%	20.4%	0.93×	5.30

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iona Gaels by 1-5	19.1%	16.8%	10.2%	1.64×	5.97
Hofstra Pride by 1-5	17.9%	16.8%	10.2%	1.65×	5.97
Iona Gaels by 6-10	16.0%	16.8%	12.9%	1.30×	5.97
Hofstra Pride by 6-10	13.2%	12.3%	10.3%	1.20×	8.11
Iona Gaels by 11-15	10.8%	12.3%	10.8%	1.14×	8.11
Hofstra Pride by 11-15	7.9%	7.5%	7.6%	0.98×	13.40
Iona Gaels by 16-20	5.8%	7.5%	8.0%	0.93×	13.40
Hofstra Pride by 16-20	3.8%	2.0%	4.8%	0.43×	49.30
Iona Gaels by 21-25	2.5%	2.0%	5.4%	0.38×	49.31
Hofstra Pride by 21-25	1.4%	2.0%	2.7%	0.76×	49.32
Iona Gaels by 26+	1.1%	2.0%	12.6%	0.16×	49.32
Hofstra Pride by 26+	0.5%	2.0%	4.6%	0.44×	49.32

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