Iona Gaels v New Haven Chargers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 18 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated 4 Sep 2026, 03:45 UTC

Iona Gaels

05:00 UTC

New Haven Chargers

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Iona Gaels win

87.4%

Draw

0.0%

New Haven Chargers win

12.6%

87013

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	87013	64.35–51.29	64-51 0%	56%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New Haven Chargers to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	0.5%	0.71×	283.36
New Haven Chargers to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	4.74×	283.36
New Haven Chargers to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	18.95×	283.36
New Haven Chargers to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	37.89×	283.36
Both sides to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	6.32×	283.36
Iona Gaels to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	1.8%	0.20×	283.35
Iona Gaels to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	0.6%	0.64×	283.36
Iona Gaels to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	2.91×	283.36
Iona Gaels to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	7.58×	283.36

H1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iona Gaels to win H1	73.0%	73.0%	56.4%	1.29×	1.37
New Haven Chargers to win H1	23.3%	21.4%	39.9%	0.54×	4.67
H1 tied	3.7%	3.9%	3.7%	1.05×	25.86

H1 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 over 44.5	89.2%	87.7%	94.7%	0.93×	1.14
H1 under 68.5	89.3%	87.7%	73.5%	1.19×	1.14
H1 under 64.5	79.9%	77.4%	60.7%	1.28×	1.29
H1 over 48.5	79.2%	77.4%	88.8%	0.87×	1.29
H1 under 61.5	70.3%	73.5%	49.8%	1.48×	1.36
H1 over 51.5	69.1%	67.4%	82.0%	0.82×	1.48
H1 under 59.5	62.9%	62.7%	42.2%	1.49×	1.59
H1 over 53.5	61.4%	62.7%	76.8%	0.82×	1.59
H1 under 57.5	54.9%	52.6%	35.2%	1.50×	1.90
H1 over 55.5	53.3%	52.6%	71.0%	0.74×	1.90
H1 under 56.5	50.8%	52.6%	31.8%	1.66×	1.90
H1 over 56.5	49.2%	47.4%	68.2%	0.69×	2.11
H1 under 55.5	46.7%	47.4%	29.0%	1.63×	2.11
H1 over 57.5	45.1%	47.4%	64.8%	0.73×	2.11
H1 under 53.5	38.6%	37.3%	23.2%	1.61×	2.68
H1 over 59.5	37.1%	37.3%	57.8%	0.64×	2.68
H1 under 51.5	30.9%	32.6%	18.0%	1.81×	3.07
H1 over 61.5	29.7%	26.5%	50.2%	0.53×	3.77
H1 under 48.5	20.8%	22.6%	11.2%	2.02×	4.43
H1 over 64.5	20.1%	22.6%	39.3%	0.57×	4.43
H1 under 44.5	10.8%	12.3%	5.3%	2.34×	8.14
H1 over 68.5	10.7%	12.3%	26.5%	0.46×	8.14

H2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iona Gaels to win H2	74.4%	67.6%	56.0%	1.21×	1.48
New Haven Chargers to win H2	22.1%	26.8%	40.6%	0.66×	3.73
H2 tied	3.5%	3.9%	3.4%	1.16×	25.36

H2 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 under 74.5	89.4%	85.2%	69.9%	1.22×	1.17
H2 over 50.5	86.9%	85.2%	94.0%	0.91×	1.17
H2 under 70.5	80.6%	81.8%	57.8%	1.41×	1.22
H2 over 54.5	76.2%	75.8%	88.0%	0.86×	1.32
H2 under 67.5	71.7%	72.2%	47.9%	1.51×	1.39
H2 over 57.5	66.0%	66.4%	82.2%	0.81×	1.51
H2 under 65.5	64.8%	61.6%	41.2%	1.49×	1.62
H2 over 59.5	58.4%	57.3%	77.0%	0.74×	1.74
H2 under 63.5	57.3%	57.3%	34.7%	1.65×	1.74
H2 under 62.5	53.4%	52.4%	31.7%	1.65×	1.91
H2 over 61.5	50.6%	52.4%	71.3%	0.73×	1.91
H2 under 61.5	49.4%	47.6%	28.7%	1.66×	2.10
H2 over 62.5	46.6%	47.6%	68.3%	0.70×	2.10
H2 over 63.5	42.7%	42.7%	65.3%	0.65×	2.34
H2 under 59.5	41.6%	42.7%	23.0%	1.86×	2.34
H2 over 65.5	35.2%	38.4%	58.8%	0.65×	2.61
H2 under 57.5	34.0%	33.6%	17.8%	1.89×	2.97
H2 over 67.5	28.3%	27.8%	52.1%	0.53×	3.59
H2 under 54.5	23.8%	24.2%	12.0%	2.01×	4.13
H2 over 70.5	19.4%	18.2%	42.2%	0.43×	5.50
H2 under 50.5	13.1%	14.8%	6.0%	2.45×	6.76
H2 over 74.5	10.6%	14.8%	30.1%	0.49×	6.76

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iona Gaels leading at half time	73.0%	73.5%	56.4%	1.30×	1.36
New Haven Chargers leading at half time	23.3%	21.0%	39.9%	0.53×	4.77
Level at half time	3.7%	3.8%	3.7%	1.03×	26.41

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iona Gaels +16.5	99.6%	97.4%	89.1%	1.09×	1.03
Iona Gaels +18.5	99.8%	97.4%	91.1%	1.07×	1.03
Iona Gaels +20.5	99.9%	97.4%	92.7%	1.05×	1.03
Iona Gaels +6.5	95.6%	97.4%	72.3%	1.35×	1.03
Iona Gaels +7.5	96.4%	97.4%	74.5%	1.31×	1.03
Iona Gaels +8.5	97.1%	97.4%	76.5%	1.27×	1.03
Iona Gaels +9.5	97.6%	97.4%	78.7%	1.24×	1.03
Iona Gaels +10.5	98.1%	97.4%	80.4%	1.21×	1.03
Iona Gaels +12.5	98.8%	97.4%	83.8%	1.16×	1.03
Iona Gaels +14.5	99.3%	97.4%	86.7%	1.12×	1.03
Iona Gaels +5.5	94.6%	91.1%	70.1%	1.30×	1.10
Iona Gaels +3.5	92.3%	91.1%	65.7%	1.39×	1.10
Iona Gaels +4.5	93.6%	91.1%	67.8%	1.34×	1.10
Iona Gaels +2.5	90.9%	91.1%	63.3%	1.44×	1.10
Iona Gaels +1.5	89.2%	85.9%	61.2%	1.40×	1.16
Iona Gaels −1.5	85.1%	85.9%	58.7%	1.46×	1.16
Iona Gaels −2.5	82.7%	81.1%	56.7%	1.43×	1.23
Iona Gaels −3.5	80.0%	76.5%	54.2%	1.41×	1.31
New Haven Chargers +20.5	78.7%	76.5%	82.0%	0.93×	1.31
Iona Gaels −4.5	77.1%	76.5%	52.2%	1.47×	1.31
Iona Gaels −5.5	74.0%	71.6%	49.7%	1.44×	1.40
New Haven Chargers +18.5	72.7%	71.6%	79.3%	0.90×	1.40
Iona Gaels −6.5	70.8%	71.6%	47.6%	1.51×	1.40
Iona Gaels −7.5	67.4%	66.7%	44.8%	1.49×	1.50
New Haven Chargers +16.5	66.0%	66.7%	75.7%	0.88×	1.50
Iona Gaels −8.5	63.8%	61.9%	42.0%	1.48×	1.62
Iona Gaels −9.5	60.2%	61.9%	39.3%	1.58×	1.62
New Haven Chargers +14.5	58.7%	57.1%	72.1%	0.79×	1.75
Iona Gaels −10.5	56.4%	57.1%	36.8%	1.55×	1.75
New Haven Chargers +12.5	51.2%	52.4%	67.9%	0.77×	1.91
Iona Gaels −12.5	48.8%	47.6%	32.1%	1.48×	2.10
New Haven Chargers +10.5	43.6%	42.9%	63.2%	0.68×	2.33
Iona Gaels −14.5	41.3%	42.9%	27.9%	1.54×	2.33
New Haven Chargers +9.5	39.8%	38.1%	60.7%	0.63×	2.63
New Haven Chargers +8.5	36.2%	38.1%	58.0%	0.66×	2.63
Iona Gaels −16.5	34.0%	33.3%	24.3%	1.37×	3.01
New Haven Chargers +7.5	32.6%	33.3%	55.2%	0.60×	3.01
New Haven Chargers +6.5	29.2%	28.4%	52.4%	0.54×	3.53
Iona Gaels −18.5	27.3%	28.4%	20.7%	1.37×	3.53
New Haven Chargers +5.5	26.0%	28.4%	50.3%	0.56×	3.53
New Haven Chargers +4.5	22.9%	23.5%	47.8%	0.49×	4.25
Iona Gaels −20.5	21.3%	23.5%	18.0%	1.31×	4.25
New Haven Chargers +3.5	20.0%	23.5%	45.8%	0.51×	4.25
New Haven Chargers +2.5	17.3%	18.9%	43.3%	0.44×	5.29
New Haven Chargers +1.5	14.9%	14.1%	41.3%	0.34×	7.09
New Haven Chargers −1.5	10.8%	14.1%	38.8%	0.36×	7.09
New Haven Chargers −2.5	9.1%	8.9%	36.7%	0.24×	11.25
New Haven Chargers −3.5	7.7%	8.9%	34.3%	0.26×	11.25
New Haven Chargers −4.5	6.4%	8.9%	32.2%	0.28×	11.25
New Haven Chargers −5.5	5.4%	8.9%	29.9%	0.30×	11.25
New Haven Chargers −6.5	4.4%	2.6%	27.7%	0.09×	38.72
New Haven Chargers −7.5	3.6%	2.6%	25.5%	0.10×	38.73
New Haven Chargers −8.5	2.9%	2.6%	23.5%	0.11×	38.73
New Haven Chargers −9.5	2.4%	2.6%	21.3%	0.12×	38.73
New Haven Chargers −10.5	1.9%	2.6%	19.6%	0.13×	38.73
New Haven Chargers −12.5	1.2%	2.6%	16.2%	0.16×	38.74
New Haven Chargers −14.5	0.7%	2.6%	13.3%	0.19×	38.74
New Haven Chargers −16.5	0.4%	2.6%	10.9%	0.24×	38.74
New Haven Chargers −18.5	0.2%	2.6%	8.9%	0.29×	38.74
New Haven Chargers −20.5	0.1%	2.6%	7.3%	0.35×	38.74

Highest scoring half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	70.1%	67.0%	66.7%	1.01×	1.49
1st half highest scoring	29.9%	33.0%	33.3%	0.99×	3.04

Highest scoring quarter 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 highest scoring	33.6%	31.9%	31.2%	1.02×	3.14
Q3 highest scoring	31.9%	31.9%	31.3%	1.02×	3.14
Q1 highest scoring	18.0%	18.3%	19.6%	0.94×	5.46
Q2 highest scoring	16.5%	18.3%	17.9%	1.02×	5.46

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iona Gaels at HT / Iona Gaels at FT	68.9%	68.3%	48.3%	1.42×	1.46
New Haven Chargers at HT / Iona Gaels at FT	15.5%	15.4%	9.8%	1.58×	6.47
New Haven Chargers at HT / New Haven Chargers at FT	7.8%	8.3%	30.1%	0.27×	12.09
Iona Gaels at HT / New Haven Chargers at FT	4.1%	2.1%	8.2%	0.26×	47.72
Level at HT / Iona Gaels at FT	3.0%	2.1%	1.9%	1.09×	47.74
Level at HT / New Haven Chargers at FT	0.6%	2.1%	1.8%	1.20×	47.78

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iona Gaels to win	87.4%	85.5%	59.9%	1.43×	1.17
New Haven Chargers to win	12.6%	14.5%	40.1%	0.36×	6.91

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New Haven Chargers even	50.5%	50.5%	50.1%	1.01×	1.98
Total points odd	51.0%	50.5%	51.5%	0.98×	1.98
Iona Gaels even	50.0%	50.5%	49.4%	1.02×	1.98
New Haven Chargers odd	49.5%	49.5%	49.9%	0.99×	2.02
Total points even	49.0%	49.5%	48.5%	1.02×	2.02
Iona Gaels odd	50.0%	49.5%	50.6%	0.98×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	95.8%	97.0%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Match to go to overtime	4.2%	3.0%	4.4%	0.68×	33.37

Q1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iona Gaels to win Q1	64.6%	64.9%	54.7%	1.19×	1.54
New Haven Chargers to win Q1	29.9%	22.5%	40.4%	0.56×	4.45
Q1 tied	5.6%	5.5%	4.9%	1.11×	18.32

Q1 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 under 36.5	89.1%	87.4%	77.4%	1.13×	1.14
Q1 over 20.5	88.3%	87.4%	93.7%	0.93×	1.14
Q1 under 33.5	78.3%	76.9%	64.0%	1.20×	1.30
Q1 over 23.5	76.8%	76.9%	85.4%	0.90×	1.30
Q1 under 31.5	68.4%	67.6%	54.0%	1.25×	1.48
Q1 over 25.5	66.6%	67.6%	77.6%	0.87×	1.48
Q1 under 29.5	57.1%	58.6%	43.1%	1.36×	1.71
Q1 over 27.5	55.0%	52.7%	67.7%	0.78×	1.90
Q1 under 28.5	51.1%	52.7%	37.3%	1.41×	1.90
Q1 over 28.5	48.9%	47.3%	62.7%	0.76×	2.11
Q1 under 27.5	45.0%	47.3%	32.3%	1.47×	2.11
Q1 over 29.5	42.9%	41.4%	56.9%	0.73×	2.42
Q1 under 25.5	33.4%	32.4%	22.4%	1.45×	3.08
Q1 over 31.5	31.6%	32.4%	46.0%	0.70×	3.08
Q1 under 23.5	23.2%	23.1%	14.6%	1.58×	4.33
Q1 over 33.5	21.7%	23.1%	36.0%	0.64×	4.33
Q1 under 20.5	11.7%	12.6%	6.3%	1.99×	7.95
Q1 over 36.5	10.9%	12.6%	22.6%	0.56×	7.95

Q2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iona Gaels to win Q2	64.1%	61.9%	52.9%	1.17×	1.62
New Haven Chargers to win Q2	30.4%	31.8%	41.5%	0.77×	3.15
Q2 tied	5.5%	6.1%	5.7%	1.07×	16.50

Q2 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q2 under 36.5	89.9%	87.3%	78.7%	1.11×	1.15
Q2 over 20.5	87.4%	87.3%	92.7%	0.94×	1.15
Q2 under 33.5	79.5%	76.8%	65.6%	1.17×	1.30
Q2 over 23.5	75.4%	76.8%	84.6%	0.91×	1.30
Q2 under 31.5	70.0%	67.4%	55.7%	1.21×	1.48
Q2 over 25.5	64.9%	60.7%	76.2%	0.80×	1.65
Q2 under 29.5	58.8%	58.2%	44.2%	1.32×	1.72
Q2 over 27.5	53.2%	52.7%	66.7%	0.79×	1.90
Q2 under 28.5	52.8%	52.7%	38.8%	1.36×	1.90
Q2 over 28.5	47.2%	47.3%	61.2%	0.77×	2.11
Q2 under 27.5	46.8%	47.3%	33.3%	1.42×	2.11
Q2 over 29.5	41.2%	41.8%	55.8%	0.75×	2.39
Q2 under 25.5	35.1%	39.3%	23.8%	1.65×	2.55
Q2 over 31.5	30.0%	32.6%	44.3%	0.74×	3.06
Q2 under 23.5	24.6%	23.2%	15.4%	1.51×	4.31
Q2 over 33.5	20.5%	23.2%	34.4%	0.67×	4.31
Q2 under 20.5	12.6%	12.7%	7.3%	1.74×	7.89
Q2 over 36.5	10.1%	12.7%	21.3%	0.60×	7.90

Q3 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iona Gaels to win Q3	65.6%	66.7%	53.3%	1.25×	1.50
New Haven Chargers to win Q3	29.0%	28.9%	41.8%	0.69×	3.47
Q3 tied	5.4%	5.3%	4.9%	1.07×	18.97

Q3 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 under 39.5	89.9%	87.2%	77.9%	1.12×	1.15
Q3 over 23.5	86.2%	87.2%	92.2%	0.95×	1.15
Q3 under 36.5	79.8%	77.3%	64.6%	1.20×	1.29
Q3 over 26.5	73.9%	71.8%	83.8%	0.86×	1.39
Q3 under 34.5	70.6%	71.8%	54.6%	1.31×	1.39
Q3 over 28.5	63.5%	62.0%	76.4%	0.81×	1.61
Q3 under 32.5	59.8%	58.4%	43.9%	1.33×	1.71
Q3 under 31.5	54.0%	52.3%	38.4%	1.36×	1.91
Q3 over 30.5	51.9%	52.3%	66.8%	0.78×	1.91
Q3 under 30.5	48.1%	47.7%	33.2%	1.44×	2.10
Q3 over 31.5	46.0%	47.7%	61.6%	0.77×	2.10
Q3 over 32.5	40.2%	41.6%	56.1%	0.74×	2.40
Q3 under 28.5	36.5%	38.0%	23.6%	1.61×	2.63
Q3 over 34.5	29.4%	28.2%	45.4%	0.62×	3.55
Q3 under 26.5	26.1%	28.2%	16.2%	1.74×	3.55
Q3 over 36.5	20.2%	22.7%	35.4%	0.64×	4.40
Q3 under 23.5	13.8%	12.8%	7.8%	1.64×	7.83
Q3 over 39.5	10.1%	12.8%	22.1%	0.58×	7.83

Q4 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iona Gaels to win Q4	65.3%	60.6%	52.8%	1.15×	1.65
New Haven Chargers to win Q4	29.4%	33.4%	41.5%	0.80×	3.00
Q4 tied	5.3%	5.8%	5.7%	1.02×	17.26

Q4 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 under 39.5	88.4%	85.6%	77.0%	1.11×	1.17
Q4 over 23.5	84.9%	82.0%	91.2%	0.90×	1.22
Q4 under 36.5	78.2%	76.9%	64.3%	1.20×	1.30
Q4 over 26.5	73.0%	71.5%	82.6%	0.87×	1.40
Q4 under 34.5	69.2%	67.4%	54.4%	1.24×	1.48
Q4 over 28.5	63.0%	61.4%	75.1%	0.82×	1.63
Q4 under 32.5	58.9%	58.4%	44.6%	1.31×	1.71
Q4 under 31.5	53.4%	52.5%	38.9%	1.35×	1.91
Q4 over 30.5	52.1%	52.5%	66.3%	0.79×	1.91
Q4 under 30.5	47.9%	47.5%	33.7%	1.41×	2.11
Q4 over 31.5	46.6%	47.5%	61.1%	0.78×	2.11
Q4 over 32.5	41.1%	41.6%	55.4%	0.75×	2.40
Q4 under 28.5	37.0%	38.6%	24.9%	1.55×	2.59
Q4 over 34.5	30.8%	32.6%	45.6%	0.71×	3.07
Q4 under 26.5	27.0%	28.5%	17.4%	1.64×	3.51
Q4 over 36.5	21.8%	23.1%	35.7%	0.65×	4.33
Q4 under 23.5	15.1%	18.0%	8.8%	2.03×	5.56
Q4 over 39.5	11.6%	14.4%	23.0%	0.62×	6.95

Team total 44

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New Haven Chargers under 63.5	89.7%	83.9%	53.9%	1.56×	1.19
New Haven Chargers over 43.5	88.9%	83.9%	93.7%	0.90×	1.19
Iona Gaels under 75.5	86.7%	83.9%	73.2%	1.15×	1.19
Iona Gaels over 55.5	84.8%	80.7%	81.6%	0.99×	1.24
New Haven Chargers under 60.5	82.4%	80.7%	44.4%	1.82×	1.24
Iona Gaels under 72.5	78.6%	75.1%	65.7%	1.14×	1.33
New Haven Chargers over 46.5	77.4%	75.1%	89.7%	0.84×	1.33
New Haven Chargers under 58.5	76.0%	75.1%	37.9%	1.98×	1.33
Iona Gaels over 58.5	76.0%	75.1%	74.7%	1.01×	1.33
Iona Gaels under 70.5	71.9%	70.7%	60.3%	1.17×	1.41
New Haven Chargers over 48.5	68.5%	66.4%	86.7%	0.77×	1.51
New Haven Chargers under 56.5	68.4%	66.4%	32.0%	2.08×	1.51
Iona Gaels over 60.5	68.8%	66.4%	69.5%	0.96×	1.51
Iona Gaels under 68.5	64.2%	61.2%	54.4%	1.12×	1.63
Iona Gaels over 62.5	60.9%	61.2%	64.3%	0.95×	1.63
New Haven Chargers under 54.5	59.8%	57.1%	26.5%	2.16×	1.75
New Haven Chargers over 50.5	59.1%	57.1%	83.1%	0.69×	1.75
Iona Gaels under 66.5	56.0%	57.1%	48.2%	1.19×	1.75
New Haven Chargers under 53.5	55.2%	57.1%	23.7%	2.41×	1.75
Iona Gaels over 64.5	52.5%	52.3%	58.4%	0.89×	1.91
Iona Gaels under 65.5	51.8%	52.3%	44.7%	1.17×	1.91
New Haven Chargers under 52.5	50.5%	52.3%	21.5%	2.43×	1.91
New Haven Chargers over 52.5	49.5%	47.7%	78.5%	0.61×	2.09
Iona Gaels under 64.5	47.5%	47.7%	41.6%	1.15×	2.09
Iona Gaels over 65.5	48.2%	47.7%	55.3%	0.86×	2.09
New Haven Chargers over 53.5	44.8%	42.9%	76.3%	0.56×	2.33
Iona Gaels over 66.5	44.0%	42.9%	51.8%	0.83×	2.33
New Haven Chargers under 50.5	40.9%	42.9%	16.9%	2.54×	2.33
New Haven Chargers over 54.5	40.2%	42.9%	73.5%	0.58×	2.33
Iona Gaels under 62.5	39.1%	38.8%	35.7%	1.09×	2.58
Iona Gaels over 68.5	35.8%	38.8%	45.6%	0.85×	2.58
New Haven Chargers under 48.5	31.5%	33.6%	13.3%	2.53×	2.98
New Haven Chargers over 56.5	31.6%	33.6%	68.0%	0.49×	2.98
Iona Gaels under 60.5	31.2%	33.6%	30.5%	1.10×	2.98
Iona Gaels over 70.5	28.1%	29.3%	39.7%	0.74×	3.42
New Haven Chargers under 46.5	22.6%	24.9%	10.3%	2.42×	4.02
New Haven Chargers over 58.5	24.0%	24.9%	62.1%	0.40×	4.02
Iona Gaels under 58.5	24.0%	24.9%	25.3%	0.98×	4.02
Iona Gaels over 72.5	21.4%	24.9%	34.3%	0.72×	4.02
New Haven Chargers over 60.5	17.6%	19.3%	55.6%	0.35×	5.18
Iona Gaels under 55.5	15.2%	19.3%	18.5%	1.05×	5.18
Iona Gaels over 75.5	13.3%	16.1%	26.8%	0.60×	6.21
New Haven Chargers over 63.5	10.3%	16.1%	46.1%	0.35×	6.21
New Haven Chargers under 43.5	11.1%	16.1%	6.3%	2.54×	6.21

Total points 30

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 98.5 points	93.4%	88.8%	96.5%	0.92×	1.13
Under 138.5 points	92.7%	88.8%	67.9%	1.31×	1.13
Under 133.5 points	86.7%	85.0%	58.0%	1.47×	1.18
Over 103.5 points	86.1%	85.0%	93.6%	0.91×	1.18
Under 128.5 points	77.9%	75.6%	47.2%	1.60×	1.32
Over 108.5 points	75.4%	75.6%	88.9%	0.85×	1.32
Under 125.5 points	71.2%	70.8%	40.5%	1.75×	1.41
Over 111.5 points	67.5%	65.9%	85.1%	0.77×	1.52
Under 123.5 points	66.3%	65.9%	36.7%	1.79×	1.52
Over 113.5 points	62.0%	61.5%	81.9%	0.75×	1.63
Under 121.5 points	60.9%	61.5%	32.3%	1.90×	1.63
Over 115.5 points	56.2%	56.5%	78.8%	0.72×	1.77
Under 119.5 points	55.4%	56.5%	28.4%	1.99×	1.77
Under 118.5 points	52.5%	52.3%	26.4%	1.98×	1.91
Over 117.5 points	50.4%	52.3%	75.3%	0.70×	1.91
Under 117.5 points	49.6%	47.7%	24.7%	1.93×	2.10
Over 118.5 points	47.6%	47.7%	73.6%	0.65×	2.10
Over 119.5 points	44.6%	43.5%	71.6%	0.61×	2.30
Under 115.5 points	43.8%	43.5%	21.2%	2.06×	2.30
Under 113.5 points	38.0%	38.5%	18.1%	2.13×	2.60
Over 121.5 points	39.1%	38.5%	67.7%	0.57×	2.60
Over 123.5 points	33.7%	34.1%	63.3%	0.54×	2.93
Under 111.5 points	32.5%	34.1%	14.9%	2.28×	2.93
Over 125.5 points	28.8%	29.2%	59.5%	0.49×	3.43
Under 108.5 points	24.6%	24.4%	11.1%	2.20×	4.10
Over 128.5 points	22.1%	24.4%	52.8%	0.46×	4.10
Under 103.5 points	13.9%	15.0%	6.4%	2.33×	6.68
Over 133.5 points	13.3%	15.0%	42.0%	0.36×	6.69
Over 138.5 points	7.3%	11.2%	32.1%	0.35×	8.97
Under 98.5 points	6.6%	11.2%	3.5%	3.21×	8.97

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iona Gaels to win both halves	51.9%	50.4%	36.0%	1.40×	1.98
New Haven Chargers to win both halves	3.2%	3.0%	20.4%	0.15×	33.64

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Iona Gaels by 11-15	18.9%	16.8%	10.8%	1.55×	5.97
Iona Gaels by 6-10	17.6%	16.8%	12.9%	1.30×	5.97
Iona Gaels by 16-20	16.3%	16.8%	8.0%	2.08×	5.97
Iona Gaels by 1-5	13.3%	12.3%	10.2%	1.21×	8.11
Iona Gaels by 21-25	11.3%	12.3%	5.4%	2.29×	8.11
Iona Gaels by 26+	10.0%	12.3%	12.6%	0.98×	8.11
New Haven Chargers by 1-5	7.3%	7.5%	10.2%	0.73×	13.40
New Haven Chargers by 6-10	3.5%	2.0%	10.3%	0.20×	49.30
New Haven Chargers by 11-15	1.3%	2.0%	7.6%	0.27×	49.32
New Haven Chargers by 16-20	0.4%	2.0%	4.8%	0.43×	49.32
New Haven Chargers by 21-25	0.1%	2.0%	2.7%	0.76×	49.33
New Haven Chargers by 26+	0.0%	2.0%	4.6%	0.44×	49.33

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