Kansas State Wildcats v Central Arkansas Bears — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Tuesday 1 December 2026 · NCAAW · 2027
NCAAW results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Kansas State Wildcats win
85.2%
Draw
0.0%
Central Arkansas Bears win
14.8%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 70.53–59.03 | 71-59 0% | 51% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Arkansas Bears to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.71× | 283.36 |
| Central Arkansas Bears to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.74× | 283.36 |
| Central Arkansas Bears to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 18.95× | 283.36 |
| Central Arkansas Bears to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 37.89× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 6.32× | 283.36 |
| Kansas State Wildcats to score 100+ | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.20× | 283.33 |
| Kansas State Wildcats to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.64× | 283.36 |
| Kansas State Wildcats to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 2.91× | 283.36 |
| Kansas State Wildcats to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 7.58× | 283.36 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas State Wildcats to win H1 | 71.6% | 72.9% | 56.4% | 1.29× | 1.37 |
| Central Arkansas Bears to win H1 | 24.7% | 21.4% | 39.9% | 0.54× | 4.67 |
| H1 tied | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.05× | 25.86 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 74.5 | 89.0% | 87.7% | 87.2% | 1.01× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 50.5 | 87.6% | 87.7% | 84.5% | 1.04× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 70.5 | 79.8% | 77.4% | 78.9% | 0.98× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 54.5 | 77.5% | 77.4% | 74.0% | 1.05× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 67.5 | 70.5% | 73.5% | 70.4% | 1.04× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 57.5 | 67.5% | 67.4% | 64.8% | 1.04× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 65.5 | 63.3% | 62.7% | 63.9% | 0.98× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 59.5 | 60.0% | 62.7% | 57.8% | 1.08× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 63.5 | 55.7% | 58.2% | 57.1% | 1.02× | 1.72 |
| H1 over 61.5 | 52.2% | 52.6% | 50.2% | 1.05× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 62.5 | 51.7% | 52.6% | 53.7% | 0.98× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 61.5 | 47.8% | 47.4% | 49.8% | 0.95× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 62.5 | 48.3% | 47.4% | 46.3% | 1.02× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 63.5 | 44.3% | 41.8% | 42.9% | 0.97× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 59.5 | 40.0% | 37.3% | 42.2% | 0.88× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 65.5 | 36.7% | 37.3% | 36.1% | 1.03× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 57.5 | 32.5% | 32.6% | 35.2% | 0.93× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 67.5 | 29.5% | 26.5% | 29.6% | 0.90× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 54.5 | 22.5% | 22.6% | 26.0% | 0.87× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 70.5 | 20.2% | 22.6% | 21.1% | 1.07× | 4.43 |
| H1 under 50.5 | 12.4% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 0.80× | 8.14 |
| H1 over 74.5 | 11.0% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 0.96× | 8.14 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas State Wildcats to win H2 | 72.9% | 67.6% | 56.0% | 1.21× | 1.48 |
| Central Arkansas Bears to win H2 | 23.6% | 26.9% | 40.6% | 0.66× | 3.72 |
| H2 tied | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.16× | 25.36 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 80.5 | 88.1% | 85.2% | 84.0% | 1.01× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 56.5 | 86.3% | 85.2% | 84.1% | 1.01× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 76.5 | 79.0% | 75.8% | 75.6% | 1.00× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 60.5 | 76.1% | 75.8% | 74.5% | 1.02× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 73.5 | 70.0% | 66.4% | 67.1% | 0.99× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 63.5 | 66.4% | 66.4% | 65.3% | 1.02× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 71.5 | 63.1% | 61.6% | 61.1% | 1.01× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 65.5 | 59.2% | 57.3% | 58.8% | 0.98× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 69.5 | 55.8% | 57.3% | 54.8% | 1.05× | 1.74 |
| H2 over 67.5 | 51.7% | 52.4% | 52.1% | 1.00× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 68.5 | 52.0% | 52.4% | 51.3% | 1.02× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 67.5 | 48.3% | 47.6% | 47.9% | 1.00× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 68.5 | 48.0% | 47.6% | 48.7% | 0.98× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 69.5 | 44.2% | 42.7% | 45.2% | 0.94× | 2.34 |
| H2 under 65.5 | 40.8% | 42.7% | 41.2% | 1.03× | 2.35 |
| H2 over 71.5 | 36.9% | 38.4% | 38.9% | 0.99× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 63.5 | 33.6% | 33.6% | 34.7% | 0.97× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 73.5 | 30.0% | 33.6% | 32.9% | 1.02× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 60.5 | 23.9% | 24.2% | 25.5% | 0.95× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 76.5 | 21.0% | 24.2% | 24.4% | 0.99× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 56.5 | 13.7% | 14.8% | 15.9% | 0.93× | 6.76 |
| H2 over 80.5 | 11.9% | 14.8% | 16.0% | 0.93× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas State Wildcats leading at half time | 71.6% | 73.5% | 56.4% | 1.30× | 1.36 |
| Central Arkansas Bears leading at half time | 24.7% | 21.0% | 39.9% | 0.53× | 4.77 |
| Level at half time | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.03× | 26.41 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas State Wildcats +16.5 | 99.4% | 97.4% | 89.1% | 1.09× | 1.03 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +18.5 | 99.6% | 97.4% | 91.1% | 1.07× | 1.03 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +20.5 | 99.8% | 97.4% | 92.7% | 1.05× | 1.03 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +8.5 | 96.1% | 97.4% | 76.5% | 1.27× | 1.03 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +9.5 | 96.8% | 97.4% | 78.7% | 1.24× | 1.03 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +10.5 | 97.4% | 97.4% | 80.4% | 1.21× | 1.03 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +12.5 | 98.3% | 97.4% | 83.8% | 1.16× | 1.03 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +14.5 | 98.9% | 97.4% | 86.7% | 1.12× | 1.03 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +7.5 | 95.3% | 97.4% | 74.5% | 1.31× | 1.03 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +6.5 | 94.3% | 91.1% | 72.3% | 1.26× | 1.10 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +5.5 | 93.2% | 91.1% | 70.1% | 1.30× | 1.10 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +3.5 | 90.6% | 91.1% | 65.7% | 1.39× | 1.10 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +4.5 | 92.0% | 91.1% | 67.8% | 1.34× | 1.10 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +2.5 | 88.9% | 85.9% | 63.3% | 1.36× | 1.16 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +1.5 | 87.1% | 85.9% | 61.2% | 1.40× | 1.16 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −1.5 | 82.8% | 81.1% | 58.7% | 1.38× | 1.23 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −2.5 | 80.2% | 81.1% | 56.7% | 1.43× | 1.23 |
| Central Arkansas Bears +20.5 | 79.4% | 76.5% | 82.0% | 0.93× | 1.31 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −3.5 | 77.4% | 76.5% | 54.2% | 1.41× | 1.31 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −4.5 | 74.5% | 71.6% | 52.2% | 1.37× | 1.40 |
| Central Arkansas Bears +18.5 | 73.8% | 71.6% | 79.3% | 0.90× | 1.40 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −5.5 | 71.3% | 71.6% | 49.7% | 1.44× | 1.40 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −6.5 | 68.1% | 66.7% | 47.6% | 1.40× | 1.50 |
| Central Arkansas Bears +16.5 | 67.5% | 66.7% | 75.7% | 0.88× | 1.50 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −7.5 | 64.7% | 61.9% | 44.8% | 1.38× | 1.62 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −8.5 | 61.2% | 61.9% | 42.0% | 1.48× | 1.62 |
| Central Arkansas Bears +14.5 | 60.6% | 61.9% | 72.1% | 0.86× | 1.62 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −9.5 | 57.6% | 57.1% | 39.3% | 1.45× | 1.75 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −10.5 | 53.9% | 52.4% | 36.8% | 1.42× | 1.91 |
| Central Arkansas Bears +12.5 | 53.4% | 52.4% | 67.9% | 0.77× | 1.91 |
| Central Arkansas Bears +10.5 | 46.1% | 47.6% | 63.2% | 0.75× | 2.10 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −12.5 | 46.6% | 47.6% | 32.1% | 1.48× | 2.10 |
| Central Arkansas Bears +9.5 | 42.4% | 42.9% | 60.7% | 0.71× | 2.33 |
| Central Arkansas Bears +8.5 | 38.8% | 38.1% | 58.0% | 0.66× | 2.63 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −14.5 | 39.4% | 38.1% | 27.9% | 1.37× | 2.63 |
| Central Arkansas Bears +7.5 | 35.3% | 38.1% | 55.2% | 0.69× | 2.63 |
| Central Arkansas Bears +6.5 | 31.9% | 33.3% | 52.4% | 0.63× | 3.01 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −16.5 | 32.5% | 33.3% | 24.3% | 1.37× | 3.01 |
| Central Arkansas Bears +5.5 | 28.7% | 28.4% | 50.3% | 0.56× | 3.53 |
| Central Arkansas Bears +4.5 | 25.5% | 28.4% | 47.8% | 0.59× | 3.53 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −18.5 | 26.2% | 28.4% | 20.7% | 1.37× | 3.53 |
| Central Arkansas Bears +3.5 | 22.6% | 23.5% | 45.8% | 0.51× | 4.25 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −20.5 | 20.6% | 23.5% | 18.0% | 1.31× | 4.25 |
| Central Arkansas Bears +2.5 | 19.8% | 18.9% | 43.3% | 0.44× | 5.29 |
| Central Arkansas Bears +1.5 | 17.2% | 18.9% | 41.3% | 0.46× | 5.29 |
| Central Arkansas Bears −1.5 | 12.9% | 14.1% | 38.8% | 0.36× | 7.09 |
| Central Arkansas Bears −2.5 | 11.1% | 14.1% | 36.7% | 0.38× | 7.09 |
| Central Arkansas Bears −3.5 | 9.4% | 8.9% | 34.3% | 0.26× | 11.25 |
| Central Arkansas Bears −4.5 | 8.0% | 8.9% | 32.2% | 0.28× | 11.25 |
| Central Arkansas Bears −5.5 | 6.8% | 8.9% | 29.9% | 0.30× | 11.25 |
| Central Arkansas Bears −6.5 | 5.7% | 8.9% | 27.7% | 0.32× | 11.25 |
| Central Arkansas Bears −7.5 | 4.7% | 2.6% | 25.5% | 0.10× | 38.72 |
| Central Arkansas Bears −8.5 | 3.9% | 2.6% | 23.5% | 0.11× | 38.73 |
| Central Arkansas Bears −9.5 | 3.2% | 2.6% | 21.3% | 0.12× | 38.73 |
| Central Arkansas Bears −10.5 | 2.6% | 2.6% | 19.6% | 0.13× | 38.73 |
| Central Arkansas Bears −12.5 | 1.7% | 2.6% | 16.2% | 0.16× | 38.73 |
| Central Arkansas Bears −14.5 | 1.1% | 2.6% | 13.3% | 0.19× | 38.74 |
| Central Arkansas Bears −16.5 | 0.6% | 2.6% | 10.9% | 0.24× | 38.74 |
| Central Arkansas Bears −18.5 | 0.4% | 2.6% | 8.9% | 0.29× | 38.74 |
| Central Arkansas Bears −20.5 | 0.2% | 2.6% | 7.3% | 0.35× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 72.0% | 67.1% | 66.7% | 1.01× | 1.49 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 28.0% | 32.9% | 33.3% | 0.99× | 3.04 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 highest scoring | 34.4% | 31.9% | 31.2% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 32.6% | 31.9% | 31.3% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q1 highest scoring | 17.2% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 0.94× | 5.46 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 15.7% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 1.02× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas State Wildcats at HT / Kansas State Wildcats at FT | 66.8% | 68.2% | 48.3% | 1.41× | 1.47 |
| Central Arkansas Bears at HT / Kansas State Wildcats at FT | 15.3% | 15.4% | 9.8% | 1.58× | 6.47 |
| Central Arkansas Bears at HT / Central Arkansas Bears at FT | 9.4% | 8.3% | 30.1% | 0.27× | 12.08 |
| Kansas State Wildcats at HT / Central Arkansas Bears at FT | 4.7% | 2.1% | 8.2% | 0.26× | 47.71 |
| Level at HT / Kansas State Wildcats at FT | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.09× | 47.74 |
| Level at HT / Central Arkansas Bears at FT | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.20× | 47.78 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas State Wildcats to win | 85.2% | 85.5% | 59.9% | 1.43× | 1.17 |
| Central Arkansas Bears to win | 14.8% | 14.5% | 40.1% | 0.36× | 6.89 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Arkansas Bears even | 50.1% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Total points odd | 51.1% | 50.5% | 51.5% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| Kansas State Wildcats even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.4% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Central Arkansas Bears odd | 49.9% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 48.9% | 49.5% | 48.5% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
| Kansas State Wildcats odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.6% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 95.6% | 97.0% | 95.6% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Match to go to overtime | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 0.68× | 33.36 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas State Wildcats to win Q1 | 63.6% | 64.9% | 54.7% | 1.19× | 1.54 |
| Central Arkansas Bears to win Q1 | 30.8% | 30.4% | 40.4% | 0.75× | 3.30 |
| Q1 tied | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 1.11× | 18.32 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 under 39.5 | 89.0% | 87.4% | 87.5% | 1.00× | 1.14 |
| Q1 over 23.5 | 87.4% | 87.4% | 85.4% | 1.02× | 1.14 |
| Q1 under 36.5 | 78.4% | 76.9% | 77.4% | 0.99× | 1.30 |
| Q1 over 26.5 | 75.8% | 76.9% | 72.9% | 1.06× | 1.30 |
| Q1 under 34.5 | 68.7% | 67.6% | 68.5% | 0.99× | 1.48 |
| Q1 over 28.5 | 65.6% | 67.6% | 62.7% | 1.08× | 1.48 |
| Q1 under 32.5 | 57.6% | 58.6% | 59.1% | 0.99× | 1.71 |
| Q1 over 30.5 | 54.2% | 52.7% | 51.2% | 1.03× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 31.5 | 51.7% | 52.7% | 54.0% | 0.98× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 31.5 | 48.3% | 47.3% | 46.0% | 1.03× | 2.11 |
| Q1 under 30.5 | 45.8% | 47.3% | 48.8% | 0.97× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 32.5 | 42.4% | 41.4% | 40.9% | 1.01× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 28.5 | 34.4% | 32.4% | 37.3% | 0.87× | 3.08 |
| Q1 over 34.5 | 31.3% | 32.4% | 31.5% | 1.03× | 3.08 |
| Q1 under 26.5 | 24.2% | 23.1% | 27.1% | 0.85× | 4.33 |
| Q1 over 36.5 | 21.6% | 23.1% | 22.6% | 1.02× | 4.33 |
| Q1 under 23.5 | 12.6% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 0.86× | 7.95 |
| Q1 over 39.5 | 11.0% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 1.00× | 7.95 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas State Wildcats to win Q2 | 63.2% | 61.9% | 52.9% | 1.17× | 1.62 |
| Central Arkansas Bears to win Q2 | 31.3% | 31.8% | 41.5% | 0.77× | 3.15 |
| Q2 tied | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 1.07× | 16.50 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 under 39.5 | 89.9% | 87.3% | 88.4% | 0.99× | 1.15 |
| Q2 over 23.5 | 86.4% | 87.3% | 84.6% | 1.03× | 1.15 |
| Q2 under 36.5 | 79.7% | 76.8% | 78.7% | 0.98× | 1.30 |
| Q2 over 26.5 | 74.2% | 72.0% | 71.6% | 1.01× | 1.39 |
| Q2 under 34.5 | 70.4% | 72.0% | 70.1% | 1.03× | 1.39 |
| Q2 over 28.5 | 63.8% | 60.7% | 61.2% | 0.99× | 1.65 |
| Q2 under 32.5 | 59.5% | 58.2% | 60.8% | 0.96× | 1.72 |
| Q2 under 31.5 | 53.7% | 52.7% | 55.7% | 0.95× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 30.5 | 52.2% | 52.7% | 49.9% | 1.06× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 30.5 | 47.8% | 47.3% | 50.1% | 0.94× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 31.5 | 46.3% | 47.3% | 44.3% | 1.07× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 32.5 | 40.5% | 41.8% | 39.2% | 1.07× | 2.39 |
| Q2 under 28.5 | 36.2% | 39.3% | 38.8% | 1.01× | 2.55 |
| Q2 over 34.5 | 29.6% | 28.0% | 29.9% | 0.94× | 3.57 |
| Q2 under 26.5 | 25.8% | 28.0% | 28.4% | 0.99× | 3.57 |
| Q2 over 36.5 | 20.3% | 23.2% | 21.3% | 1.09× | 4.31 |
| Q2 under 23.5 | 13.6% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 0.82× | 7.89 |
| Q2 over 39.5 | 10.1% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 1.09× | 7.90 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas State Wildcats to win Q3 | 64.6% | 60.9% | 53.3% | 1.14× | 1.64 |
| Central Arkansas Bears to win Q3 | 30.0% | 28.9% | 41.8% | 0.69× | 3.46 |
| Q3 tied | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 1.07× | 18.97 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 under 42.5 | 89.1% | 87.2% | 87.8% | 0.99× | 1.15 |
| Q3 over 26.5 | 86.0% | 87.2% | 83.8% | 1.04× | 1.15 |
| Q3 under 39.5 | 78.8% | 77.3% | 77.9% | 0.99× | 1.29 |
| Q3 over 29.5 | 74.1% | 71.8% | 71.8% | 1.00× | 1.39 |
| Q3 under 37.5 | 69.5% | 67.8% | 69.7% | 0.97× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 31.5 | 63.9% | 62.0% | 61.6% | 1.01× | 1.61 |
| Q3 under 35.5 | 58.8% | 58.4% | 59.7% | 0.98× | 1.71 |
| Q3 over 33.5 | 52.7% | 52.3% | 50.9% | 1.03× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 34.5 | 53.1% | 52.3% | 54.6% | 0.96× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 33.5 | 47.4% | 47.7% | 49.1% | 0.97× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 34.5 | 46.9% | 47.7% | 45.4% | 1.05× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 35.5 | 41.2% | 41.6% | 40.3% | 1.03× | 2.40 |
| Q3 under 31.5 | 36.1% | 38.0% | 38.4% | 0.99× | 2.63 |
| Q3 over 37.5 | 30.5% | 32.2% | 30.3% | 1.06× | 3.11 |
| Q3 under 29.5 | 25.9% | 28.2% | 28.2% | 1.00× | 3.55 |
| Q3 over 39.5 | 21.2% | 22.7% | 22.1% | 1.03× | 4.40 |
| Q3 under 26.5 | 14.0% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 0.79× | 7.83 |
| Q3 over 42.5 | 10.9% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 1.05× | 7.83 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas State Wildcats to win Q4 | 64.3% | 57.9% | 52.8% | 1.10× | 1.73 |
| Central Arkansas Bears to win Q4 | 30.3% | 37.3% | 41.5% | 0.90× | 2.68 |
| Q4 tied | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.02× | 17.26 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 under 42.5 | 87.6% | 85.6% | 86.2% | 0.99× | 1.17 |
| Q4 over 26.5 | 84.8% | 82.0% | 82.6% | 0.99× | 1.22 |
| Q4 under 39.5 | 77.2% | 76.9% | 77.0% | 1.00× | 1.30 |
| Q4 over 29.5 | 73.2% | 71.5% | 70.8% | 1.01× | 1.40 |
| Q4 under 37.5 | 68.2% | 67.4% | 68.8% | 0.98× | 1.48 |
| Q4 over 31.5 | 63.5% | 61.4% | 61.1% | 1.01× | 1.63 |
| Q4 under 35.5 | 58.0% | 58.4% | 59.4% | 0.98× | 1.71 |
| Q4 over 33.5 | 52.9% | 52.5% | 50.4% | 1.04× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 34.5 | 52.6% | 52.5% | 54.4% | 0.96× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 34.5 | 47.4% | 47.5% | 45.6% | 1.04× | 2.11 |
| Q4 under 33.5 | 47.1% | 47.5% | 49.6% | 0.96× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 35.5 | 42.0% | 41.6% | 40.6% | 1.02× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 31.5 | 36.5% | 38.6% | 38.9% | 0.99× | 2.59 |
| Q4 over 37.5 | 31.8% | 32.6% | 31.2% | 1.04× | 3.07 |
| Q4 under 29.5 | 26.8% | 28.5% | 29.2% | 0.98× | 3.51 |
| Q4 over 39.5 | 22.8% | 23.1% | 23.0% | 1.00× | 4.33 |
| Q4 under 26.5 | 15.2% | 18.0% | 17.4% | 1.04× | 5.56 |
| Q4 over 42.5 | 12.4% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 1.04× | 6.95 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas State Wildcats under 81.5 | 87.1% | 83.9% | 84.6% | 0.99× | 1.19 |
| Central Arkansas Bears over 49.5 | 86.1% | 83.9% | 85.1% | 0.99× | 1.19 |
| Central Arkansas Bears under 69.5 | 87.0% | 83.9% | 71.2% | 1.18× | 1.19 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 61.5 | 83.7% | 80.7% | 66.9% | 1.21× | 1.24 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 78.5 | 79.2% | 75.1% | 79.4% | 0.95× | 1.33 |
| Central Arkansas Bears under 66.5 | 78.9% | 75.1% | 62.7% | 1.20× | 1.33 |
| Central Arkansas Bears over 52.5 | 76.9% | 75.1% | 78.5% | 0.96× | 1.33 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 64.5 | 74.7% | 70.7% | 58.4% | 1.21× | 1.41 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 76.5 | 72.6% | 70.7% | 75.4% | 0.94× | 1.41 |
| Central Arkansas Bears under 64.5 | 72.2% | 70.7% | 56.9% | 1.24× | 1.41 |
| Central Arkansas Bears over 54.5 | 69.5% | 66.4% | 73.5% | 0.90× | 1.51 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 66.5 | 67.5% | 66.4% | 51.8% | 1.28× | 1.51 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 74.5 | 65.2% | 66.4% | 70.7% | 0.94× | 1.51 |
| Central Arkansas Bears under 62.5 | 64.4% | 61.2% | 51.0% | 1.20× | 1.63 |
| Central Arkansas Bears over 56.5 | 61.3% | 61.2% | 68.0% | 0.90× | 1.63 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 68.5 | 59.6% | 57.1% | 45.6% | 1.25× | 1.75 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 72.5 | 57.1% | 57.1% | 65.7% | 0.87× | 1.75 |
| Central Arkansas Bears under 60.5 | 56.0% | 57.1% | 44.4% | 1.29× | 1.75 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 70.5 | 51.3% | 52.3% | 39.7% | 1.32× | 1.91 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 71.5 | 52.9% | 52.3% | 63.0% | 0.83× | 1.91 |
| Central Arkansas Bears over 58.5 | 52.7% | 52.3% | 62.1% | 0.84× | 1.91 |
| Central Arkansas Bears under 59.5 | 51.7% | 52.3% | 41.2% | 1.27× | 1.91 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 70.5 | 48.7% | 47.7% | 60.3% | 0.79× | 2.09 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 71.5 | 47.1% | 47.7% | 37.0% | 1.29× | 2.09 |
| Central Arkansas Bears under 58.5 | 47.3% | 47.7% | 37.9% | 1.26× | 2.09 |
| Central Arkansas Bears over 59.5 | 48.3% | 47.7% | 58.8% | 0.81× | 2.09 |
| Central Arkansas Bears over 60.5 | 44.0% | 42.9% | 55.6% | 0.77× | 2.33 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 72.5 | 42.9% | 42.9% | 34.3% | 1.25× | 2.33 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 68.5 | 40.4% | 42.9% | 54.4% | 0.79× | 2.33 |
| Central Arkansas Bears under 56.5 | 38.7% | 38.8% | 32.0% | 1.21× | 2.58 |
| Central Arkansas Bears over 62.5 | 35.6% | 38.8% | 49.0% | 0.79× | 2.58 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 74.5 | 34.8% | 33.6% | 29.3% | 1.15× | 2.98 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 66.5 | 32.5% | 33.6% | 48.2% | 0.70× | 2.98 |
| Central Arkansas Bears under 54.5 | 30.5% | 33.6% | 26.5% | 1.27× | 2.98 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 76.5 | 27.4% | 29.3% | 24.6% | 1.19× | 3.42 |
| Central Arkansas Bears over 64.5 | 27.8% | 29.3% | 43.2% | 0.68× | 3.42 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 64.5 | 25.3% | 29.3% | 41.6% | 0.70× | 3.42 |
| Central Arkansas Bears under 52.5 | 23.1% | 24.9% | 21.5% | 1.16× | 4.02 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 78.5 | 20.8% | 24.9% | 20.6% | 1.21× | 4.02 |
| Central Arkansas Bears over 66.5 | 21.1% | 24.9% | 37.3% | 0.67× | 4.02 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 61.5 | 16.3% | 19.3% | 33.1% | 0.58× | 5.18 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 81.5 | 12.9% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 1.04× | 6.21 |
| Central Arkansas Bears under 49.5 | 13.9% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 1.08× | 6.21 |
| Central Arkansas Bears over 69.5 | 13.0% | 16.1% | 28.8% | 0.56× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 150.5 points | 91.5% | 88.8% | 86.1% | 1.03× | 1.13 |
| Over 110.5 points | 91.1% | 88.8% | 86.4% | 1.03× | 1.13 |
| Under 145.5 points | 85.2% | 85.0% | 79.5% | 1.07× | 1.18 |
| Over 115.5 points | 83.9% | 80.6% | 78.8% | 1.02× | 1.24 |
| Under 140.5 points | 76.1% | 75.6% | 71.8% | 1.05× | 1.32 |
| Over 120.5 points | 74.0% | 70.8% | 69.8% | 1.01× | 1.41 |
| Under 137.5 points | 69.5% | 65.9% | 66.2% | 1.00× | 1.52 |
| Over 123.5 points | 66.8% | 65.9% | 63.3% | 1.04× | 1.52 |
| Under 135.5 points | 64.6% | 61.5% | 62.4% | 0.99× | 1.63 |
| Over 125.5 points | 61.7% | 61.5% | 59.5% | 1.03× | 1.63 |
| Under 133.5 points | 59.5% | 56.5% | 58.0% | 0.97× | 1.77 |
| Over 127.5 points | 56.5% | 56.5% | 55.1% | 1.03× | 1.77 |
| Under 131.5 points | 54.3% | 52.3% | 53.9% | 0.97× | 1.91 |
| Under 130.5 points | 51.5% | 52.3% | 51.7% | 1.01× | 1.91 |
| Over 129.5 points | 51.1% | 52.3% | 50.5% | 1.04× | 1.91 |
| Under 129.5 points | 48.9% | 47.7% | 49.5% | 0.96× | 2.10 |
| Over 130.5 points | 48.5% | 47.7% | 48.3% | 0.99× | 2.10 |
| Over 131.5 points | 45.7% | 47.7% | 46.1% | 1.03× | 2.10 |
| Under 127.5 points | 43.5% | 43.5% | 44.9% | 0.97× | 2.30 |
| Over 133.5 points | 40.5% | 43.5% | 42.0% | 1.04× | 2.30 |
| Under 125.5 points | 38.3% | 38.5% | 40.5% | 0.95× | 2.60 |
| Over 135.5 points | 35.4% | 38.5% | 37.6% | 1.02× | 2.60 |
| Under 123.5 points | 33.2% | 34.1% | 36.7% | 0.93× | 2.93 |
| Over 137.5 points | 30.5% | 34.1% | 33.8% | 1.01× | 2.93 |
| Under 120.5 points | 26.0% | 29.2% | 30.2% | 0.97× | 3.43 |
| Over 140.5 points | 23.9% | 24.4% | 28.2% | 0.86× | 4.10 |
| Under 115.5 points | 16.1% | 19.4% | 21.2% | 0.92× | 5.15 |
| Over 145.5 points | 14.8% | 15.0% | 20.5% | 0.73× | 6.68 |
| Under 110.5 points | 8.9% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 0.82× | 8.96 |
| Over 150.5 points | 8.5% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 0.80× | 8.96 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas State Wildcats to win both halves | 50.0% | 45.9% | 36.0% | 1.27× | 2.18 |
| Central Arkansas Bears to win both halves | 4.0% | 3.0% | 20.4% | 0.15× | 33.59 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas State Wildcats by 11-15 | 18.0% | 16.8% | 10.8% | 1.55× | 5.97 |
| Kansas State Wildcats by 6-10 | 17.4% | 16.8% | 12.9% | 1.30× | 5.97 |
| Kansas State Wildcats by 16-20 | 15.3% | 16.8% | 8.0% | 2.08× | 5.97 |
| Kansas State Wildcats by 1-5 | 13.8% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 1.21× | 8.11 |
| Kansas State Wildcats by 21-25 | 10.6% | 12.3% | 5.4% | 2.29× | 8.11 |
| Kansas State Wildcats by 26+ | 10.0% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 0.98× | 8.11 |
| Central Arkansas Bears by 1-5 | 8.1% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 0.73× | 13.40 |
| Central Arkansas Bears by 6-10 | 4.2% | 2.0% | 10.3% | 0.20× | 49.29 |
| Central Arkansas Bears by 11-15 | 1.8% | 2.0% | 7.6% | 0.27× | 49.31 |
| Central Arkansas Bears by 16-20 | 0.6% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 0.43× | 49.32 |
| Central Arkansas Bears by 21-25 | 0.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 0.76× | 49.33 |
| Central Arkansas Bears by 26+ | 0.0% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 0.44× | 49.33 |