Kansas State Wildcats v Minnesota Golden Gophers — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 14 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027
NCAAW results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Kansas State Wildcats win
21.9%
Draw
0.0%
Minnesota Golden Gophers win
78.1%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 62.66–71.17 | 63-71 0% | 49% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas State Wildcats to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.20× | 283.35 |
| Kansas State Wildcats to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.64× | 283.36 |
| Kansas State Wildcats to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 2.91× | 283.36 |
| Kansas State Wildcats to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 7.58× | 283.36 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers to score 100+ | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.72× | 283.33 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.74× | 283.36 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 18.95× | 283.36 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 37.89× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 6.32× | 283.36 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Golden Gophers to win H1 | 66.0% | 68.3% | 39.9% | 1.71× | 1.47 |
| Kansas State Wildcats to win H1 | 29.9% | 26.6% | 56.4% | 0.47× | 3.76 |
| H1 tied | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.05× | 25.86 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 76.5 | 89.1% | 87.7% | 90.2% | 0.97× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 52.5 | 87.2% | 87.7% | 79.6% | 1.10× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 72.5 | 80.0% | 77.4% | 83.6% | 0.93× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 56.5 | 77.0% | 77.4% | 68.2% | 1.14× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 69.5 | 70.7% | 73.5% | 76.2% | 0.96× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 59.5 | 67.0% | 67.4% | 57.8% | 1.17× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 67.5 | 63.6% | 62.7% | 70.4% | 0.89× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 61.5 | 59.6% | 58.2% | 50.2% | 1.16× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 65.5 | 56.0% | 58.2% | 63.9% | 0.91× | 1.72 |
| H1 over 63.5 | 51.8% | 52.6% | 42.9% | 1.23× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 64.5 | 52.1% | 52.6% | 60.7% | 0.87× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 63.5 | 48.2% | 47.4% | 57.1% | 0.83× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 64.5 | 47.9% | 47.4% | 39.3% | 1.21× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 65.5 | 44.0% | 41.8% | 36.1% | 1.16× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 61.5 | 40.4% | 41.8% | 49.8% | 0.84× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 67.5 | 36.4% | 37.3% | 29.6% | 1.26× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 59.5 | 33.0% | 32.6% | 42.2% | 0.77× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 69.5 | 29.3% | 26.5% | 23.8% | 1.11× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 56.5 | 23.0% | 22.6% | 31.8% | 0.71× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 72.5 | 20.0% | 22.6% | 16.4% | 1.38× | 4.43 |
| H1 under 52.5 | 12.8% | 12.3% | 20.4% | 0.60× | 8.14 |
| H1 over 76.5 | 10.9% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 1.26× | 8.14 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Golden Gophers to win H2 | 67.1% | 62.8% | 40.6% | 1.55× | 1.59 |
| Kansas State Wildcats to win H2 | 29.1% | 31.3% | 56.0% | 0.56× | 3.20 |
| H2 tied | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.16× | 25.36 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 82.5 | 87.9% | 85.2% | 87.4% | 0.97× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 58.5 | 86.3% | 85.2% | 79.6% | 1.07× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 78.5 | 78.6% | 75.8% | 80.1% | 0.95× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 62.5 | 76.2% | 75.8% | 68.3% | 1.11× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 75.5 | 69.6% | 66.4% | 73.0% | 0.91× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 65.5 | 66.6% | 66.4% | 58.8% | 1.13× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 73.5 | 62.7% | 61.6% | 67.1% | 0.92× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 67.5 | 59.5% | 57.3% | 52.1% | 1.10× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 71.5 | 55.4% | 57.3% | 61.1% | 0.94× | 1.74 |
| H2 over 69.5 | 52.1% | 52.4% | 45.2% | 1.16× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 70.5 | 51.7% | 52.4% | 57.8% | 0.91× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 69.5 | 47.9% | 47.6% | 54.8% | 0.87× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 70.5 | 48.3% | 47.6% | 42.2% | 1.13× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 71.5 | 44.6% | 42.7% | 38.9% | 1.10× | 2.34 |
| H2 under 67.5 | 40.5% | 42.7% | 47.9% | 0.89× | 2.35 |
| H2 over 73.5 | 37.3% | 38.4% | 32.9% | 1.17× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 65.5 | 33.4% | 33.6% | 41.2% | 0.82× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 75.5 | 30.4% | 33.6% | 27.0% | 1.25× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 62.5 | 23.8% | 24.2% | 31.7% | 0.76× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 78.5 | 21.4% | 24.2% | 19.9% | 1.22× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 58.5 | 13.7% | 14.8% | 20.4% | 0.73× | 6.76 |
| H2 over 82.5 | 12.1% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 1.17× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Golden Gophers leading at half time | 66.0% | 68.4% | 39.9% | 1.71× | 1.46 |
| Kansas State Wildcats leading at half time | 29.9% | 26.5% | 56.4% | 0.47× | 3.77 |
| Level at half time | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.03× | 26.40 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Golden Gophers +20.5 | 99.5% | 97.4% | 82.0% | 1.19× | 1.03 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers +12.5 | 96.8% | 97.4% | 67.9% | 1.44× | 1.03 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers +14.5 | 97.9% | 97.4% | 72.1% | 1.35× | 1.03 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers +16.5 | 98.7% | 97.4% | 75.7% | 1.29× | 1.03 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers +18.5 | 99.2% | 97.4% | 79.3% | 1.23× | 1.03 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers +10.5 | 95.3% | 97.4% | 63.2% | 1.54× | 1.03 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers +9.5 | 94.4% | 91.1% | 60.7% | 1.50× | 1.10 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers +8.5 | 93.3% | 91.1% | 58.0% | 1.57× | 1.10 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers +6.5 | 90.6% | 91.1% | 52.4% | 1.74× | 1.10 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers +7.5 | 92.0% | 91.1% | 55.2% | 1.65× | 1.10 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers +5.5 | 89.0% | 85.9% | 50.3% | 1.71× | 1.16 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers +4.5 | 87.2% | 85.9% | 47.8% | 1.80× | 1.16 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers +3.5 | 85.2% | 85.9% | 45.8% | 1.88× | 1.16 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +20.5 | 85.8% | 85.9% | 92.7% | 0.93× | 1.16 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers +2.5 | 83.1% | 81.1% | 43.3% | 1.87× | 1.23 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers +1.5 | 80.7% | 81.1% | 41.3% | 1.96× | 1.23 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +18.5 | 81.3% | 81.1% | 91.1% | 0.89× | 1.23 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +16.5 | 76.0% | 76.5% | 89.1% | 0.86× | 1.31 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers −1.5 | 75.2% | 76.5% | 38.8% | 1.97× | 1.31 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers −2.5 | 72.1% | 71.6% | 36.7% | 1.95× | 1.40 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +14.5 | 69.9% | 66.7% | 86.7% | 0.77× | 1.50 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers −3.5 | 68.8% | 66.7% | 34.3% | 1.95× | 1.50 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers −4.5 | 65.4% | 66.7% | 32.2% | 2.07× | 1.50 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +12.5 | 63.3% | 61.9% | 83.8% | 0.74× | 1.62 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers −5.5 | 61.9% | 61.9% | 29.9% | 2.07× | 1.62 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers −6.5 | 58.3% | 57.1% | 27.7% | 2.06× | 1.75 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +10.5 | 56.2% | 57.1% | 80.4% | 0.71× | 1.75 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers −7.5 | 54.7% | 52.4% | 25.5% | 2.06× | 1.91 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +9.5 | 52.6% | 52.4% | 78.7% | 0.67× | 1.91 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers −8.5 | 51.0% | 52.4% | 23.5% | 2.23× | 1.91 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +8.5 | 49.0% | 47.6% | 76.5% | 0.62× | 2.10 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers −9.5 | 47.4% | 47.6% | 21.3% | 2.23× | 2.10 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +7.5 | 45.3% | 47.6% | 74.5% | 0.64× | 2.10 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers −10.5 | 43.8% | 42.9% | 19.6% | 2.19× | 2.33 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +6.5 | 41.7% | 42.9% | 72.3% | 0.59× | 2.33 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +5.5 | 38.1% | 38.1% | 70.1% | 0.54× | 2.63 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers −12.5 | 36.7% | 38.1% | 16.2% | 2.34× | 2.63 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +4.5 | 34.6% | 33.3% | 67.8% | 0.49× | 3.01 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +3.5 | 31.2% | 33.3% | 65.7% | 0.51× | 3.01 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers −14.5 | 30.1% | 33.3% | 13.3% | 2.51× | 3.01 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +2.5 | 27.9% | 28.4% | 63.3% | 0.45× | 3.53 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +1.5 | 24.8% | 23.5% | 61.2% | 0.38× | 4.25 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers −16.5 | 24.0% | 23.5% | 10.9% | 2.16× | 4.25 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −1.5 | 19.3% | 18.9% | 58.7% | 0.32× | 5.29 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers −18.5 | 18.7% | 18.9% | 8.9% | 2.12× | 5.29 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −2.5 | 16.9% | 18.9% | 56.7% | 0.33× | 5.29 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −3.5 | 14.8% | 14.1% | 54.2% | 0.26× | 7.09 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers −20.5 | 14.2% | 14.1% | 7.3% | 1.94× | 7.09 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −4.5 | 12.8% | 14.1% | 52.2% | 0.27× | 7.09 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −5.5 | 11.0% | 14.1% | 49.7% | 0.28× | 7.09 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −6.5 | 9.4% | 8.9% | 47.6% | 0.19× | 11.25 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −7.5 | 8.0% | 8.9% | 44.8% | 0.20× | 11.25 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −8.5 | 6.7% | 8.9% | 42.0% | 0.21× | 11.25 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −9.5 | 5.6% | 8.9% | 39.3% | 0.23× | 11.25 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −10.5 | 4.7% | 2.6% | 36.8% | 0.07× | 38.72 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −12.5 | 3.2% | 2.6% | 32.1% | 0.08× | 38.73 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −14.5 | 2.1% | 2.6% | 27.9% | 0.09× | 38.73 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −16.5 | 1.3% | 2.6% | 24.3% | 0.11× | 38.74 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −18.5 | 0.8% | 2.6% | 20.7% | 0.12× | 38.74 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −20.5 | 0.5% | 2.6% | 18.0% | 0.14× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 72.6% | 67.1% | 66.7% | 1.01× | 1.49 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 27.4% | 32.9% | 33.3% | 0.99× | 3.04 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 highest scoring | 34.6% | 31.9% | 31.2% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 32.9% | 31.9% | 31.3% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q1 highest scoring | 17.0% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 0.94× | 5.46 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 15.5% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 1.02× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Golden Gophers at HT / Minnesota Golden Gophers at FT | 59.3% | 56.8% | 30.1% | 1.89× | 1.76 |
| Kansas State Wildcats at HT / Minnesota Golden Gophers at FT | 15.9% | 15.4% | 8.2% | 1.89× | 6.47 |
| Kansas State Wildcats at HT / Kansas State Wildcats at FT | 14.1% | 12.2% | 48.3% | 0.25× | 8.17 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers at HT / Kansas State Wildcats at FT | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 0.85× | 12.09 |
| Level at HT / Minnesota Golden Gophers at FT | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.20× | 47.74 |
| Level at HT / Kansas State Wildcats at FT | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.09× | 47.77 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Golden Gophers to win | 78.1% | 75.1% | 40.1% | 1.87× | 1.33 |
| Kansas State Wildcats to win | 21.9% | 24.9% | 59.9% | 0.42× | 4.02 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total points odd | 51.4% | 50.5% | 51.5% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| Kansas State Wildcats even | 50.1% | 50.5% | 49.4% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Kansas State Wildcats odd | 49.9% | 49.5% | 50.6% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 48.6% | 49.5% | 48.5% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 94.9% | 94.0% | 95.6% | 0.98× | 1.06 |
| Match to go to overtime | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.35× | 16.66 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Golden Gophers to win Q1 | 59.5% | 57.3% | 40.4% | 1.42× | 1.75 |
| Kansas State Wildcats to win Q1 | 34.6% | 30.4% | 54.7% | 0.56× | 3.29 |
| Q1 tied | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 1.11× | 18.32 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 under 40.5 | 89.1% | 87.4% | 89.9% | 0.97× | 1.14 |
| Q1 over 24.5 | 87.2% | 87.4% | 81.8% | 1.07× | 1.14 |
| Q1 under 37.5 | 78.5% | 76.9% | 81.6% | 0.94× | 1.30 |
| Q1 over 27.5 | 75.5% | 76.9% | 67.7% | 1.14× | 1.30 |
| Q1 under 35.5 | 68.9% | 67.6% | 73.2% | 0.92× | 1.48 |
| Q1 over 29.5 | 65.3% | 67.6% | 56.9% | 1.19× | 1.48 |
| Q1 under 33.5 | 57.9% | 58.6% | 64.0% | 0.92× | 1.71 |
| Q1 over 31.5 | 53.9% | 52.7% | 46.0% | 1.14× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 32.5 | 52.0% | 52.7% | 59.1% | 0.89× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 32.5 | 48.0% | 47.3% | 40.9% | 1.16× | 2.11 |
| Q1 under 31.5 | 46.1% | 47.3% | 54.0% | 0.88× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 33.5 | 42.1% | 41.4% | 36.0% | 1.15× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 29.5 | 34.7% | 32.4% | 43.1% | 0.75× | 3.08 |
| Q1 over 35.5 | 31.1% | 32.4% | 26.8% | 1.21× | 3.08 |
| Q1 under 27.5 | 24.5% | 23.1% | 32.3% | 0.72× | 4.33 |
| Q1 over 37.5 | 21.5% | 23.1% | 18.4% | 1.26× | 4.33 |
| Q1 under 24.5 | 12.8% | 12.6% | 18.2% | 0.69× | 7.95 |
| Q1 over 40.5 | 10.9% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 1.24× | 7.95 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Golden Gophers to win Q2 | 59.2% | 59.4% | 41.5% | 1.43× | 1.68 |
| Kansas State Wildcats to win Q2 | 35.0% | 35.7% | 52.9% | 0.68× | 2.80 |
| Q2 tied | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 1.07× | 16.50 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 under 40.5 | 90.0% | 87.3% | 90.8% | 0.96× | 1.15 |
| Q2 over 24.5 | 86.1% | 87.3% | 80.7% | 1.08× | 1.15 |
| Q2 under 37.5 | 79.9% | 76.8% | 82.3% | 0.93× | 1.30 |
| Q2 over 27.5 | 73.9% | 72.0% | 66.7% | 1.08× | 1.39 |
| Q2 under 35.5 | 70.6% | 72.0% | 74.6% | 0.96× | 1.39 |
| Q2 over 29.5 | 63.4% | 60.7% | 55.8% | 1.09× | 1.65 |
| Q2 under 33.5 | 59.8% | 58.2% | 65.6% | 0.89× | 1.72 |
| Q2 under 32.5 | 54.0% | 52.7% | 60.8% | 0.87× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 31.5 | 51.9% | 52.7% | 44.3% | 1.19× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 31.5 | 48.1% | 47.3% | 55.7% | 0.85× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 32.5 | 46.0% | 47.3% | 39.2% | 1.21× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 33.5 | 40.2% | 41.8% | 34.4% | 1.22× | 2.39 |
| Q2 under 29.5 | 36.6% | 39.3% | 44.2% | 0.89× | 2.55 |
| Q2 over 35.5 | 29.4% | 28.0% | 25.4% | 1.10× | 3.57 |
| Q2 under 27.5 | 26.1% | 28.0% | 33.3% | 0.84× | 3.57 |
| Q2 over 37.5 | 20.1% | 23.2% | 17.7% | 1.31× | 4.31 |
| Q2 under 24.5 | 13.9% | 12.7% | 19.3% | 0.66× | 7.89 |
| Q2 over 40.5 | 10.0% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 1.38× | 7.90 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Golden Gophers to win Q3 | 60.3% | 60.8% | 41.8% | 1.46× | 1.64 |
| Kansas State Wildcats to win Q3 | 34.0% | 33.8% | 53.3% | 0.63× | 2.96 |
| Q3 tied | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 1.07× | 18.97 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 under 43.5 | 88.9% | 87.2% | 90.2% | 0.97× | 1.15 |
| Q3 over 27.5 | 86.0% | 87.2% | 80.0% | 1.09× | 1.15 |
| Q3 under 40.5 | 78.5% | 77.3% | 81.9% | 0.94× | 1.29 |
| Q3 over 30.5 | 74.1% | 71.8% | 66.8% | 1.07× | 1.39 |
| Q3 under 38.5 | 69.3% | 67.8% | 73.9% | 0.92× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 32.5 | 64.0% | 62.0% | 56.1% | 1.10× | 1.61 |
| Q3 under 36.5 | 58.5% | 58.4% | 64.6% | 0.90× | 1.71 |
| Q3 over 34.5 | 52.9% | 52.3% | 45.4% | 1.15× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 35.5 | 52.9% | 52.3% | 59.7% | 0.88× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 34.5 | 47.1% | 47.7% | 54.6% | 0.87× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 35.5 | 47.1% | 47.7% | 40.3% | 1.18× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 36.5 | 41.5% | 41.6% | 35.4% | 1.17× | 2.40 |
| Q3 under 32.5 | 36.0% | 38.0% | 43.9% | 0.87× | 2.63 |
| Q3 over 38.5 | 30.7% | 32.2% | 26.1% | 1.23× | 3.11 |
| Q3 under 30.5 | 25.9% | 28.2% | 33.2% | 0.85× | 3.55 |
| Q3 over 40.5 | 21.5% | 22.7% | 18.1% | 1.25× | 4.40 |
| Q3 under 27.5 | 14.0% | 12.8% | 20.0% | 0.64× | 7.83 |
| Q3 over 43.5 | 11.1% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 1.30× | 7.83 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Golden Gophers to win Q4 | 60.2% | 57.8% | 41.5% | 1.39× | 1.73 |
| Kansas State Wildcats to win Q4 | 34.3% | 37.4% | 52.8% | 0.71× | 2.67 |
| Q4 tied | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.02× | 17.26 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 under 43.5 | 87.4% | 85.6% | 88.6% | 0.97× | 1.17 |
| Q4 over 27.5 | 84.8% | 82.0% | 78.9% | 1.04× | 1.22 |
| Q4 under 40.5 | 77.0% | 76.9% | 80.6% | 0.95× | 1.30 |
| Q4 over 30.5 | 73.3% | 71.5% | 66.3% | 1.08× | 1.40 |
| Q4 under 38.5 | 67.9% | 67.4% | 73.1% | 0.92× | 1.48 |
| Q4 over 32.5 | 63.6% | 61.4% | 55.4% | 1.11× | 1.63 |
| Q4 under 36.5 | 57.7% | 58.4% | 64.3% | 0.91× | 1.71 |
| Q4 over 34.5 | 53.1% | 52.5% | 45.6% | 1.15× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 35.5 | 52.3% | 52.5% | 59.4% | 0.88× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 35.5 | 47.7% | 47.5% | 40.6% | 1.17× | 2.11 |
| Q4 under 34.5 | 46.9% | 47.5% | 54.4% | 0.87× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 36.5 | 42.3% | 41.6% | 35.7% | 1.17× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 32.5 | 36.4% | 38.6% | 44.6% | 0.87× | 2.59 |
| Q4 over 38.5 | 32.1% | 32.6% | 26.9% | 1.21× | 3.07 |
| Q4 under 30.5 | 26.7% | 28.5% | 33.7% | 0.84× | 3.51 |
| Q4 over 40.5 | 23.0% | 23.1% | 19.4% | 1.19× | 4.33 |
| Q4 under 27.5 | 15.2% | 18.0% | 21.1% | 0.85× | 5.56 |
| Q4 over 43.5 | 12.6% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 1.26× | 6.95 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas State Wildcats over 52.5 | 86.0% | 83.9% | 87.7% | 0.96× | 1.19 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers under 81.5 | 86.3% | 83.9% | 92.0% | 0.91× | 1.19 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 72.5 | 85.0% | 83.9% | 65.7% | 1.28× | 1.19 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers over 61.5 | 85.5% | 83.9% | 52.1% | 1.61× | 1.19 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers under 78.5 | 78.0% | 75.1% | 88.3% | 0.85× | 1.33 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 55.5 | 77.5% | 75.1% | 81.6% | 0.92× | 1.33 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 69.5 | 76.5% | 75.1% | 57.4% | 1.31× | 1.33 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers over 64.5 | 77.0% | 75.1% | 43.2% | 1.74× | 1.33 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 57.5 | 70.6% | 70.7% | 77.2% | 0.92× | 1.41 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers under 76.5 | 71.1% | 70.7% | 85.8% | 0.82× | 1.41 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers over 66.5 | 69.9% | 66.4% | 37.3% | 1.78× | 1.51 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 67.5 | 69.6% | 66.4% | 51.3% | 1.29× | 1.51 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 59.5 | 62.9% | 61.2% | 72.2% | 0.85× | 1.63 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers over 68.5 | 62.1% | 61.2% | 31.4% | 1.95× | 1.63 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers under 74.5 | 63.3% | 61.2% | 82.3% | 0.74× | 1.63 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 65.5 | 62.0% | 61.2% | 44.7% | 1.37× | 1.63 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 61.5 | 54.7% | 52.3% | 66.9% | 0.78× | 1.91 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 63.5 | 53.7% | 52.3% | 38.5% | 1.36× | 1.91 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers over 70.5 | 53.7% | 52.3% | 26.3% | 1.99× | 1.91 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers under 72.5 | 54.9% | 52.3% | 78.2% | 0.67× | 1.91 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 62.5 | 50.5% | 52.3% | 64.3% | 0.81× | 1.91 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers under 71.5 | 50.6% | 52.3% | 76.1% | 0.69× | 1.91 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 62.5 | 49.5% | 47.7% | 35.7% | 1.34× | 2.09 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers over 71.5 | 49.4% | 47.7% | 23.9% | 1.99× | 2.09 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 61.5 | 45.3% | 47.7% | 33.1% | 1.44× | 2.09 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 63.5 | 46.3% | 47.7% | 61.5% | 0.78× | 2.09 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers under 70.5 | 46.3% | 47.7% | 73.7% | 0.65× | 2.09 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers over 72.5 | 45.1% | 47.7% | 21.8% | 2.19× | 2.09 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 65.5 | 38.0% | 38.8% | 55.3% | 0.70× | 2.58 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 59.5 | 37.1% | 38.8% | 27.8% | 1.39× | 2.58 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers under 68.5 | 37.9% | 38.8% | 68.6% | 0.57× | 2.58 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers over 74.5 | 36.7% | 38.8% | 17.7% | 2.19× | 2.58 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 67.5 | 30.4% | 33.6% | 48.7% | 0.69× | 2.98 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers under 66.5 | 30.1% | 33.6% | 62.7% | 0.54× | 2.98 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 57.5 | 29.4% | 29.3% | 22.8% | 1.28× | 3.42 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers over 76.5 | 28.9% | 29.3% | 14.2% | 2.06× | 3.42 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 55.5 | 22.5% | 24.9% | 18.5% | 1.35× | 4.02 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 69.5 | 23.5% | 24.9% | 42.6% | 0.58× | 4.02 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers under 64.5 | 23.0% | 24.9% | 56.9% | 0.44× | 4.02 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers over 78.5 | 22.0% | 24.9% | 11.7% | 2.13× | 4.02 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 72.5 | 15.0% | 16.1% | 34.3% | 0.47× | 6.21 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers under 61.5 | 14.5% | 16.1% | 47.9% | 0.34× | 6.21 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 52.5 | 14.0% | 16.1% | 12.3% | 1.30× | 6.21 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers over 81.5 | 13.7% | 16.1% | 8.0% | 2.00× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 154.5 points | 91.4% | 88.8% | 89.8% | 0.99× | 1.13 |
| Over 114.5 points | 90.7% | 88.8% | 80.4% | 1.10× | 1.13 |
| Under 149.5 points | 85.0% | 80.6% | 84.9% | 0.95× | 1.24 |
| Over 119.5 points | 83.5% | 80.6% | 71.6% | 1.12× | 1.24 |
| Under 144.5 points | 75.8% | 75.6% | 78.1% | 0.97× | 1.32 |
| Over 124.5 points | 73.8% | 70.8% | 61.5% | 1.15× | 1.41 |
| Under 141.5 points | 69.2% | 65.9% | 73.4% | 0.90× | 1.52 |
| Over 127.5 points | 66.7% | 65.9% | 55.1% | 1.20× | 1.52 |
| Under 139.5 points | 64.4% | 61.5% | 69.9% | 0.88× | 1.63 |
| Over 129.5 points | 61.7% | 61.5% | 50.5% | 1.22× | 1.63 |
| Under 137.5 points | 59.4% | 56.5% | 66.2% | 0.85× | 1.77 |
| Over 131.5 points | 56.5% | 56.5% | 46.1% | 1.23× | 1.77 |
| Under 135.5 points | 54.1% | 52.3% | 62.4% | 0.84× | 1.91 |
| Over 133.5 points | 51.2% | 52.3% | 42.0% | 1.25× | 1.91 |
| Under 134.5 points | 51.4% | 52.3% | 60.2% | 0.87× | 1.91 |
| Under 133.5 points | 48.8% | 47.7% | 58.0% | 0.82× | 2.10 |
| Over 134.5 points | 48.6% | 47.7% | 39.8% | 1.20× | 2.10 |
| Over 135.5 points | 45.9% | 47.7% | 37.6% | 1.27× | 2.10 |
| Under 131.5 points | 43.5% | 43.5% | 53.9% | 0.81× | 2.30 |
| Over 137.5 points | 40.6% | 43.5% | 33.8% | 1.29× | 2.30 |
| Under 129.5 points | 38.3% | 38.5% | 49.5% | 0.78× | 2.60 |
| Over 139.5 points | 35.6% | 38.5% | 30.1% | 1.28× | 2.60 |
| Under 127.5 points | 33.3% | 34.1% | 44.9% | 0.76× | 2.93 |
| Over 141.5 points | 30.8% | 34.1% | 26.6% | 1.28× | 2.93 |
| Under 124.5 points | 26.3% | 29.2% | 38.5% | 0.76× | 3.43 |
| Over 144.5 points | 24.2% | 24.4% | 21.9% | 1.11× | 4.10 |
| Under 119.5 points | 16.5% | 19.4% | 28.4% | 0.68× | 5.15 |
| Over 149.5 points | 15.0% | 19.4% | 15.1% | 1.29× | 5.15 |
| Under 114.5 points | 9.3% | 11.2% | 19.6% | 0.57× | 8.96 |
| Over 154.5 points | 8.6% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 1.10× | 8.96 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Golden Gophers to win both halves | 41.8% | 40.6% | 20.4% | 2.00× | 2.46 |
| Kansas State Wildcats to win both halves | 6.6% | 8.8% | 36.0% | 0.25× | 11.32 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Golden Gophers by 6-10 | 18.2% | 16.8% | 10.3% | 1.63× | 5.97 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers by 1-5 | 16.2% | 16.8% | 10.2% | 1.65× | 5.97 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers by 11-15 | 16.8% | 16.8% | 7.6% | 2.20× | 5.97 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers by 16-20 | 12.7% | 12.3% | 4.8% | 2.60× | 8.11 |
| Kansas State Wildcats by 1-5 | 10.9% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 1.21× | 8.11 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers by 21-25 | 7.9% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 2.79× | 13.40 |
| Kansas State Wildcats by 6-10 | 6.3% | 7.5% | 12.9% | 0.58× | 13.40 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers by 26+ | 6.3% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 1.62× | 13.40 |
| Kansas State Wildcats by 11-15 | 3.0% | 2.0% | 10.8% | 0.19× | 49.30 |
| Kansas State Wildcats by 16-20 | 1.2% | 2.0% | 8.0% | 0.25× | 49.32 |
| Kansas State Wildcats by 21-25 | 0.4% | 2.0% | 5.4% | 0.38× | 49.32 |
| Kansas State Wildcats by 26+ | 0.1% | 2.0% | 12.6% | 0.16× | 49.33 |