Kansas State Wildcats v Montana Lady Griz — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Tuesday 10 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027
NCAAW results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Kansas State Wildcats win
98.6%
Draw
0.0%
Montana Lady Griz win
1.4%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 80.43–55.94 | 80-56 0% | 52% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas State Wildcats to score 100+ | 2.4% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.20× | 282.89 |
| Kansas State Wildcats to score 110+ | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.64× | 283.33 |
| Kansas State Wildcats to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 2.91× | 283.36 |
| Kansas State Wildcats to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 7.58× | 283.36 |
| Montana Lady Griz to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.71× | 283.36 |
| Montana Lady Griz to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.74× | 283.36 |
| Montana Lady Griz to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 18.95× | 283.36 |
| Montana Lady Griz to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 37.89× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 6.32× | 283.36 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas State Wildcats to win H1 | 89.6% | 88.8% | 56.4% | 1.57× | 1.13 |
| Montana Lady Griz to win H1 | 8.5% | 7.2% | 39.9% | 0.18× | 13.93 |
| H1 tied | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.05× | 25.88 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 over 53.5 | 88.8% | 87.7% | 76.8% | 1.14× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 77.5 | 88.4% | 87.7% | 91.6% | 0.96× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 57.5 | 79.1% | 77.4% | 64.8% | 1.19× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 73.5 | 78.7% | 77.4% | 85.6% | 0.90× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 60.5 | 69.3% | 67.4% | 53.9% | 1.25× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 70.5 | 69.1% | 67.4% | 78.9% | 0.85× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 62.5 | 61.9% | 62.7% | 46.3% | 1.35× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 68.5 | 61.7% | 62.7% | 73.5% | 0.85× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 64.5 | 54.1% | 52.6% | 39.3% | 1.34× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 66.5 | 53.9% | 52.6% | 67.1% | 0.78× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 65.5 | 50.1% | 52.6% | 36.1% | 1.46× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 65.5 | 49.9% | 47.4% | 63.9% | 0.74× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 64.5 | 45.9% | 47.4% | 60.7% | 0.78× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 66.5 | 46.1% | 47.4% | 32.9% | 1.44× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 62.5 | 38.1% | 37.3% | 53.7% | 0.69× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 68.5 | 38.3% | 37.3% | 26.5% | 1.41× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 70.5 | 30.9% | 32.6% | 21.1% | 1.55× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 60.5 | 30.7% | 32.6% | 46.1% | 0.71× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 57.5 | 20.9% | 22.6% | 35.2% | 0.64× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 73.5 | 21.3% | 22.6% | 14.4% | 1.57× | 4.43 |
| H1 under 53.5 | 11.2% | 12.3% | 23.2% | 0.53× | 8.14 |
| H1 over 77.5 | 11.6% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 1.47× | 8.14 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas State Wildcats to win H2 | 90.9% | 89.2% | 56.0% | 1.59× | 1.12 |
| Montana Lady Griz to win H2 | 7.4% | 11.3% | 40.6% | 0.28× | 8.87 |
| H2 tied | 1.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.16× | 25.37 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 84.5 | 88.7% | 85.2% | 90.3% | 0.94× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 60.5 | 86.2% | 85.2% | 74.5% | 1.14× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 80.5 | 79.8% | 75.8% | 84.0% | 0.90× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 64.5 | 75.7% | 75.8% | 62.1% | 1.22× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 77.5 | 70.9% | 72.2% | 77.9% | 0.93× | 1.39 |
| H2 over 67.5 | 65.8% | 66.4% | 52.1% | 1.27× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 75.5 | 64.0% | 61.6% | 73.0% | 0.84× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 69.5 | 58.5% | 57.3% | 45.2% | 1.27× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 73.5 | 56.7% | 57.3% | 67.1% | 0.86× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 72.5 | 52.9% | 52.4% | 64.1% | 0.82× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 71.5 | 50.9% | 52.4% | 38.9% | 1.35× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 71.5 | 49.1% | 47.6% | 61.1% | 0.78× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 72.5 | 47.1% | 47.6% | 36.0% | 1.32× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 73.5 | 43.3% | 42.7% | 32.9% | 1.30× | 2.34 |
| H2 under 69.5 | 41.5% | 42.7% | 54.8% | 0.78× | 2.34 |
| H2 over 75.5 | 36.0% | 38.4% | 27.0% | 1.42× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 67.5 | 34.2% | 33.6% | 47.9% | 0.70× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 77.5 | 29.1% | 27.8% | 22.1% | 1.26× | 3.59 |
| H2 under 64.5 | 24.3% | 24.2% | 37.9% | 0.64× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 80.5 | 20.2% | 24.2% | 16.0% | 1.52× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 60.5 | 13.8% | 14.8% | 25.5% | 0.58× | 6.76 |
| H2 over 84.5 | 11.3% | 14.8% | 9.7% | 1.52× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas State Wildcats leading at half time | 89.6% | 89.5% | 56.4% | 1.59× | 1.12 |
| Montana Lady Griz leading at half time | 8.5% | 6.7% | 39.9% | 0.17× | 14.90 |
| Level at half time | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.03× | 26.43 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas State Wildcats +4.5 | 99.5% | 97.4% | 67.8% | 1.44× | 1.03 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +5.5 | 99.6% | 97.4% | 70.1% | 1.39× | 1.03 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +6.5 | 99.7% | 97.4% | 72.3% | 1.35× | 1.03 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +7.5 | 99.8% | 97.4% | 74.5% | 1.31× | 1.03 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +8.5 | 99.8% | 97.4% | 76.5% | 1.27× | 1.03 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +9.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 78.7% | 1.24× | 1.03 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +10.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 80.4% | 1.21× | 1.03 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +12.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 83.8% | 1.16× | 1.03 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +14.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 86.7% | 1.12× | 1.03 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +16.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 89.1% | 1.09× | 1.03 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +18.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 91.1% | 1.07× | 1.03 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +20.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 92.7% | 1.05× | 1.03 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −1.5 | 98.2% | 97.4% | 58.7% | 1.66× | 1.03 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +1.5 | 98.9% | 97.4% | 61.2% | 1.59× | 1.03 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −2.5 | 97.7% | 97.4% | 56.7% | 1.72× | 1.03 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +2.5 | 99.1% | 97.4% | 63.3% | 1.54× | 1.03 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −3.5 | 97.1% | 97.4% | 54.2% | 1.80× | 1.03 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +3.5 | 99.3% | 97.4% | 65.7% | 1.48× | 1.03 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −4.5 | 96.4% | 97.4% | 52.2% | 1.87× | 1.03 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −5.5 | 95.6% | 97.4% | 49.7% | 1.96× | 1.03 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −6.5 | 94.6% | 91.1% | 47.6% | 1.91× | 1.10 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −7.5 | 93.5% | 91.1% | 44.8% | 2.04× | 1.10 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −8.5 | 92.2% | 91.1% | 42.0% | 2.17× | 1.10 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −9.5 | 90.8% | 91.1% | 39.3% | 2.32× | 1.10 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −10.5 | 89.2% | 85.9% | 36.8% | 2.33× | 1.16 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −12.5 | 85.4% | 85.9% | 32.1% | 2.67× | 1.16 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −14.5 | 80.8% | 81.1% | 27.9% | 2.91× | 1.23 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −16.5 | 75.5% | 76.5% | 24.3% | 3.15× | 1.31 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −18.5 | 69.4% | 66.7% | 20.7% | 3.22× | 1.50 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −20.5 | 62.7% | 61.9% | 18.0% | 3.44× | 1.62 |
| Montana Lady Griz +20.5 | 37.3% | 38.1% | 82.0% | 0.46× | 2.63 |
| Montana Lady Griz +18.5 | 30.6% | 33.3% | 79.3% | 0.42× | 3.01 |
| Montana Lady Griz +16.5 | 24.5% | 23.5% | 75.7% | 0.31× | 4.25 |
| Montana Lady Griz +14.5 | 19.2% | 18.9% | 72.1% | 0.26× | 5.29 |
| Montana Lady Griz +12.5 | 14.6% | 14.1% | 67.9% | 0.21× | 7.09 |
| Montana Lady Griz +10.5 | 10.8% | 14.1% | 63.2% | 0.22× | 7.09 |
| Montana Lady Griz +9.5 | 9.2% | 8.9% | 60.7% | 0.15× | 11.25 |
| Montana Lady Griz +7.5 | 6.5% | 8.9% | 55.2% | 0.16× | 11.25 |
| Montana Lady Griz +8.5 | 7.8% | 8.9% | 58.0% | 0.15× | 11.25 |
| Montana Lady Griz +6.5 | 5.4% | 8.9% | 52.4% | 0.17× | 11.25 |
| Montana Lady Griz +1.5 | 1.8% | 2.6% | 41.3% | 0.06× | 38.73 |
| Montana Lady Griz −1.5 | 1.1% | 2.6% | 38.8% | 0.07× | 38.74 |
| Montana Lady Griz +2.5 | 2.3% | 2.6% | 43.3% | 0.06× | 38.73 |
| Montana Lady Griz −2.5 | 0.9% | 2.6% | 36.7% | 0.07× | 38.74 |
| Montana Lady Griz +3.5 | 2.9% | 2.6% | 45.8% | 0.06× | 38.73 |
| Montana Lady Griz −3.5 | 0.7% | 2.6% | 34.3% | 0.08× | 38.74 |
| Montana Lady Griz +4.5 | 3.6% | 2.6% | 47.8% | 0.05× | 38.73 |
| Montana Lady Griz +5.5 | 4.4% | 2.6% | 50.3% | 0.05× | 38.72 |
| Montana Lady Griz −4.5 | 0.5% | 2.6% | 32.2% | 0.08× | 38.74 |
| Montana Lady Griz −5.5 | 0.4% | 2.6% | 29.9% | 0.09× | 38.74 |
| Montana Lady Griz −6.5 | 0.3% | 2.6% | 27.7% | 0.09× | 38.74 |
| Montana Lady Griz −7.5 | 0.2% | 2.6% | 25.5% | 0.10× | 38.74 |
| Montana Lady Griz −8.5 | 0.2% | 2.6% | 23.5% | 0.11× | 38.74 |
| Montana Lady Griz −9.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 21.3% | 0.12× | 38.74 |
| Montana Lady Griz −10.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 19.6% | 0.13× | 38.74 |
| Montana Lady Griz −12.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 16.2% | 0.16× | 38.74 |
| Montana Lady Griz −14.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 13.3% | 0.19× | 38.74 |
| Montana Lady Griz −16.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 10.9% | 0.24× | 38.74 |
| Montana Lady Griz −18.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 8.9% | 0.29× | 38.74 |
| Montana Lady Griz −20.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 7.3% | 0.35× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 72.9% | 67.1% | 66.7% | 1.01× | 1.49 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 27.1% | 32.9% | 33.3% | 0.99× | 3.04 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 highest scoring | 34.8% | 31.9% | 31.2% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 33.0% | 31.9% | 31.3% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q1 highest scoring | 16.9% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 0.94× | 5.46 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 15.3% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 1.02× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas State Wildcats at HT / Kansas State Wildcats at FT | 89.1% | 89.2% | 48.3% | 1.85× | 1.12 |
| Montana Lady Griz at HT / Kansas State Wildcats at FT | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 0.85× | 12.09 |
| Level at HT / Kansas State Wildcats at FT | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.09× | 47.76 |
| Kansas State Wildcats at HT / Montana Lady Griz at FT | 0.5% | 2.1% | 8.2% | 0.26× | 47.78 |
| Level at HT / Montana Lady Griz at FT | 0.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.20× | 47.79 |
| Montana Lady Griz at HT / Montana Lady Griz at FT | 0.8% | 2.1% | 30.1% | 0.07× | 47.78 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas State Wildcats to win | 98.6% | 97.5% | 59.9% | 1.63× | 1.03 |
| Montana Lady Griz to win | 1.4% | 2.5% | 40.1% | 0.06× | 39.58 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas State Wildcats even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.4% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Montana Lady Griz even | 50.2% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Total points odd | 50.2% | 50.5% | 51.5% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| Kansas State Wildcats odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.6% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| Montana Lady Griz odd | 49.8% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 49.8% | 49.5% | 48.5% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 98.6% | 97.0% | 95.6% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Match to go to overtime | 1.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 0.67× | 33.57 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas State Wildcats to win Q1 | 79.2% | 80.0% | 54.7% | 1.46× | 1.25 |
| Montana Lady Griz to win Q1 | 16.7% | 15.6% | 40.4% | 0.39× | 6.41 |
| Q1 tied | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 0.85× | 23.97 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 under 41.5 | 89.8% | 87.4% | 91.9% | 0.95× | 1.14 |
| Q1 over 25.5 | 86.8% | 87.4% | 77.6% | 1.13× | 1.14 |
| Q1 under 38.5 | 79.6% | 76.9% | 84.8% | 0.91× | 1.30 |
| Q1 over 28.5 | 74.7% | 72.7% | 62.7% | 1.16× | 1.38 |
| Q1 under 36.5 | 70.2% | 72.7% | 77.4% | 0.94× | 1.38 |
| Q1 over 30.5 | 64.3% | 61.7% | 51.2% | 1.20× | 1.62 |
| Q1 under 34.5 | 59.2% | 58.6% | 68.5% | 0.86× | 1.71 |
| Q1 under 33.5 | 53.3% | 52.7% | 64.0% | 0.82× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 32.5 | 52.7% | 52.7% | 40.9% | 1.29× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 32.5 | 47.3% | 47.3% | 59.1% | 0.80× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 33.5 | 46.7% | 47.3% | 36.0% | 1.31× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 34.5 | 40.8% | 41.4% | 31.5% | 1.31× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 30.5 | 35.7% | 38.3% | 48.8% | 0.78× | 2.61 |
| Q1 over 36.5 | 29.8% | 27.3% | 22.6% | 1.21× | 3.66 |
| Q1 under 28.5 | 25.3% | 27.3% | 37.3% | 0.73× | 3.67 |
| Q1 over 38.5 | 20.4% | 23.1% | 15.2% | 1.52× | 4.33 |
| Q1 under 25.5 | 13.2% | 12.6% | 22.4% | 0.56× | 7.95 |
| Q1 over 41.5 | 10.2% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 1.56× | 7.95 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas State Wildcats to win Q2 | 78.5% | 80.8% | 52.9% | 1.53× | 1.24 |
| Montana Lady Griz to win Q2 | 17.4% | 14.6% | 41.5% | 0.35× | 6.87 |
| Q2 tied | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 0.77× | 22.90 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 over 24.5 | 88.8% | 87.3% | 80.7% | 1.08× | 1.15 |
| Q2 under 40.5 | 88.0% | 87.3% | 90.8% | 0.96× | 1.15 |
| Q2 over 27.5 | 77.7% | 76.8% | 66.7% | 1.15× | 1.30 |
| Q2 under 37.5 | 76.7% | 76.8% | 82.3% | 0.93× | 1.30 |
| Q2 over 29.5 | 67.8% | 67.4% | 55.8% | 1.21× | 1.49 |
| Q2 under 35.5 | 66.7% | 67.4% | 74.6% | 0.90× | 1.49 |
| Q2 over 31.5 | 56.5% | 58.2% | 44.3% | 1.31× | 1.72 |
| Q2 under 33.5 | 55.3% | 58.2% | 65.6% | 0.89× | 1.72 |
| Q2 over 32.5 | 50.6% | 52.7% | 39.2% | 1.34× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 32.5 | 49.4% | 47.3% | 60.8% | 0.78× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 33.5 | 44.7% | 41.8% | 34.4% | 1.22× | 2.39 |
| Q2 under 31.5 | 43.5% | 41.8% | 55.7% | 0.75× | 2.39 |
| Q2 over 35.5 | 33.3% | 32.6% | 25.4% | 1.29× | 3.06 |
| Q2 under 29.5 | 32.2% | 32.6% | 44.2% | 0.74× | 3.06 |
| Q2 over 37.5 | 23.3% | 23.2% | 17.7% | 1.31× | 4.31 |
| Q2 under 27.5 | 22.3% | 23.2% | 33.3% | 0.70× | 4.31 |
| Q2 over 40.5 | 12.0% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 1.38× | 7.89 |
| Q2 under 24.5 | 11.2% | 12.7% | 19.3% | 0.66× | 7.90 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas State Wildcats to win Q3 | 80.7% | 85.5% | 53.3% | 1.60× | 1.17 |
| Montana Lady Griz to win Q3 | 15.4% | 15.0% | 41.8% | 0.36× | 6.68 |
| Q3 tied | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 0.86× | 23.46 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 under 44.5 | 89.5% | 87.2% | 92.1% | 0.95× | 1.15 |
| Q3 over 28.5 | 85.8% | 87.2% | 76.4% | 1.14× | 1.15 |
| Q3 under 41.5 | 79.3% | 77.3% | 85.1% | 0.91× | 1.29 |
| Q3 over 31.5 | 73.7% | 71.8% | 61.6% | 1.17× | 1.39 |
| Q3 under 39.5 | 70.2% | 71.8% | 77.9% | 0.92× | 1.39 |
| Q3 over 33.5 | 63.4% | 62.0% | 50.9% | 1.22× | 1.61 |
| Q3 under 37.5 | 59.4% | 58.4% | 69.7% | 0.84× | 1.71 |
| Q3 under 36.5 | 53.7% | 52.3% | 64.6% | 0.81× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 35.5 | 52.1% | 52.3% | 40.3% | 1.30× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 35.5 | 47.9% | 47.7% | 59.7% | 0.80× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 36.5 | 46.3% | 47.7% | 35.4% | 1.35× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 37.5 | 40.6% | 41.6% | 30.3% | 1.37× | 2.40 |
| Q3 under 33.5 | 36.6% | 38.0% | 49.1% | 0.78× | 2.63 |
| Q3 over 39.5 | 29.8% | 28.2% | 22.1% | 1.28× | 3.55 |
| Q3 under 31.5 | 26.3% | 28.2% | 38.4% | 0.73× | 3.55 |
| Q3 over 41.5 | 20.7% | 22.7% | 14.9% | 1.53× | 4.40 |
| Q3 under 28.5 | 14.2% | 12.8% | 23.6% | 0.54× | 7.83 |
| Q3 over 44.5 | 10.5% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 1.63× | 7.83 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas State Wildcats to win Q4 | 80.3% | 74.5% | 52.8% | 1.41× | 1.34 |
| Montana Lady Griz to win Q4 | 15.9% | 22.5% | 41.5% | 0.54× | 4.44 |
| Q4 tied | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 0.91× | 19.30 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 under 44.5 | 87.9% | 85.6% | 90.6% | 0.95× | 1.17 |
| Q4 over 28.5 | 84.7% | 82.0% | 75.1% | 1.09× | 1.22 |
| Q4 under 41.5 | 77.7% | 76.9% | 83.6% | 0.92× | 1.30 |
| Q4 over 31.5 | 72.8% | 71.5% | 61.1% | 1.17× | 1.40 |
| Q4 under 39.5 | 68.8% | 67.4% | 77.0% | 0.88× | 1.48 |
| Q4 over 33.5 | 63.0% | 61.4% | 50.4% | 1.22× | 1.63 |
| Q4 under 37.5 | 58.5% | 58.4% | 68.8% | 0.85× | 1.71 |
| Q4 under 36.5 | 53.1% | 52.5% | 64.3% | 0.82× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 35.5 | 52.3% | 52.5% | 40.6% | 1.29× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 35.5 | 47.7% | 47.5% | 59.4% | 0.80× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 36.5 | 46.9% | 47.5% | 35.7% | 1.33× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 37.5 | 41.5% | 41.6% | 31.2% | 1.33× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 33.5 | 37.0% | 38.6% | 49.6% | 0.78× | 2.59 |
| Q4 over 39.5 | 31.2% | 32.6% | 23.0% | 1.41× | 3.07 |
| Q4 under 31.5 | 27.2% | 28.5% | 38.9% | 0.73× | 3.51 |
| Q4 over 41.5 | 22.3% | 23.1% | 16.4% | 1.41× | 4.33 |
| Q4 under 28.5 | 15.3% | 18.0% | 24.9% | 0.72× | 5.56 |
| Q4 over 44.5 | 12.1% | 14.4% | 9.4% | 1.53× | 6.95 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montana Lady Griz over 46.5 | 87.9% | 83.9% | 89.7% | 0.94× | 1.19 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 70.5 | 86.0% | 83.9% | 39.7% | 2.11× | 1.19 |
| Montana Lady Griz under 66.5 | 86.9% | 83.9% | 62.7% | 1.34× | 1.19 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 90.5 | 85.0% | 80.7% | 94.5% | 0.85× | 1.24 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 73.5 | 77.7% | 75.1% | 31.5% | 2.38× | 1.33 |
| Montana Lady Griz over 49.5 | 78.5% | 75.1% | 85.1% | 0.88× | 1.33 |
| Montana Lady Griz under 63.5 | 78.6% | 75.1% | 53.9% | 1.39× | 1.33 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 87.5 | 76.4% | 75.1% | 92.3% | 0.81× | 1.33 |
| Montana Lady Griz under 61.5 | 71.6% | 70.7% | 47.9% | 1.48× | 1.41 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 75.5 | 70.9% | 70.7% | 26.8% | 2.64× | 1.41 |
| Montana Lady Griz over 51.5 | 71.0% | 70.7% | 81.0% | 0.87× | 1.41 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 85.5 | 69.4% | 66.4% | 90.2% | 0.74× | 1.51 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 77.5 | 63.2% | 61.2% | 22.6% | 2.71× | 1.63 |
| Montana Lady Griz over 53.5 | 62.6% | 61.2% | 76.3% | 0.80× | 1.63 |
| Montana Lady Griz under 59.5 | 63.7% | 61.2% | 41.2% | 1.49× | 1.63 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 83.5 | 61.7% | 61.2% | 87.7% | 0.70× | 1.63 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 79.5 | 55.0% | 57.1% | 18.7% | 3.05× | 1.75 |
| Montana Lady Griz under 57.5 | 55.1% | 57.1% | 34.9% | 1.64× | 1.75 |
| Montana Lady Griz over 55.5 | 53.8% | 52.3% | 70.8% | 0.74× | 1.91 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 81.5 | 53.4% | 52.3% | 84.6% | 0.62× | 1.91 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 80.5 | 50.8% | 52.3% | 17.1% | 3.06× | 1.91 |
| Montana Lady Griz under 56.5 | 50.7% | 52.3% | 32.0% | 1.63× | 1.91 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 80.5 | 49.2% | 47.7% | 82.9% | 0.58× | 2.09 |
| Montana Lady Griz over 56.5 | 49.3% | 47.7% | 68.0% | 0.70× | 2.09 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 81.5 | 46.6% | 47.7% | 15.4% | 3.09× | 2.09 |
| Montana Lady Griz under 55.5 | 46.2% | 47.7% | 29.2% | 1.63× | 2.09 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 79.5 | 45.0% | 42.9% | 81.3% | 0.53× | 2.33 |
| Montana Lady Griz over 57.5 | 44.9% | 42.9% | 65.1% | 0.66× | 2.33 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 83.5 | 38.3% | 38.8% | 12.3% | 3.15× | 2.58 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 77.5 | 36.8% | 38.8% | 77.4% | 0.50× | 2.58 |
| Montana Lady Griz under 53.5 | 37.4% | 38.8% | 23.7% | 1.64× | 2.58 |
| Montana Lady Griz over 59.5 | 36.3% | 38.8% | 58.8% | 0.66× | 2.58 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 85.5 | 30.6% | 33.6% | 9.8% | 3.43× | 2.98 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 75.5 | 29.1% | 29.3% | 73.2% | 0.40× | 3.42 |
| Montana Lady Griz under 51.5 | 29.0% | 29.3% | 19.0% | 1.54× | 3.42 |
| Montana Lady Griz over 61.5 | 28.4% | 29.3% | 52.1% | 0.56× | 3.42 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 87.5 | 23.6% | 24.9% | 7.7% | 3.24× | 4.02 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 73.5 | 22.3% | 24.9% | 68.5% | 0.36× | 4.02 |
| Montana Lady Griz under 49.5 | 21.5% | 24.9% | 14.9% | 1.67× | 4.02 |
| Montana Lady Griz over 63.5 | 21.4% | 24.9% | 46.1% | 0.54× | 4.02 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 90.5 | 15.0% | 19.3% | 5.5% | 3.52× | 5.18 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 70.5 | 14.0% | 16.1% | 60.3% | 0.27× | 6.21 |
| Montana Lady Griz over 66.5 | 13.1% | 16.1% | 37.3% | 0.43× | 6.21 |
| Montana Lady Griz under 46.5 | 12.1% | 16.1% | 10.3% | 1.56× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 117.5 points | 92.1% | 88.8% | 75.3% | 1.18× | 1.13 |
| Under 157.5 points | 91.6% | 88.8% | 92.1% | 0.96× | 1.13 |
| Under 152.5 points | 85.2% | 85.0% | 88.1% | 0.97× | 1.18 |
| Over 122.5 points | 84.9% | 80.6% | 65.6% | 1.23× | 1.24 |
| Under 147.5 points | 76.0% | 75.6% | 82.3% | 0.92× | 1.32 |
| Over 127.5 points | 74.9% | 70.8% | 55.1% | 1.29× | 1.41 |
| Under 144.5 points | 69.3% | 65.9% | 78.1% | 0.84× | 1.52 |
| Over 130.5 points | 67.7% | 65.9% | 48.3% | 1.36× | 1.52 |
| Under 142.5 points | 64.4% | 61.5% | 75.1% | 0.82× | 1.63 |
| Over 132.5 points | 62.5% | 61.5% | 44.0% | 1.40× | 1.63 |
| Under 140.5 points | 59.2% | 56.5% | 71.8% | 0.79× | 1.77 |
| Over 134.5 points | 57.1% | 56.5% | 39.8% | 1.42× | 1.77 |
| Under 138.5 points | 53.8% | 52.3% | 67.9% | 0.77× | 1.91 |
| Over 136.5 points | 51.6% | 52.3% | 35.8% | 1.46× | 1.91 |
| Under 137.5 points | 51.1% | 52.3% | 66.2% | 0.79× | 1.91 |
| Over 137.5 points | 48.9% | 47.7% | 33.8% | 1.41× | 2.10 |
| Under 136.5 points | 48.4% | 47.7% | 64.2% | 0.74× | 2.10 |
| Over 138.5 points | 46.2% | 47.7% | 32.1% | 1.49× | 2.10 |
| Under 134.5 points | 42.9% | 43.5% | 60.2% | 0.72× | 2.30 |
| Over 140.5 points | 40.8% | 43.5% | 28.2% | 1.54× | 2.30 |
| Under 132.5 points | 37.5% | 38.5% | 56.0% | 0.69× | 2.60 |
| Over 142.5 points | 35.6% | 38.5% | 24.9% | 1.55× | 2.60 |
| Under 130.5 points | 32.3% | 34.1% | 51.7% | 0.66× | 2.93 |
| Over 144.5 points | 30.7% | 34.1% | 21.9% | 1.56× | 2.93 |
| Under 127.5 points | 25.1% | 29.2% | 44.9% | 0.65× | 3.43 |
| Over 147.5 points | 24.0% | 24.4% | 17.7% | 1.37× | 4.10 |
| Under 122.5 points | 15.1% | 19.4% | 34.4% | 0.56× | 5.15 |
| Over 152.5 points | 14.9% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 1.26× | 6.68 |
| Over 157.5 points | 8.4% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 1.41× | 8.96 |
| Under 117.5 points | 7.9% | 11.2% | 24.7% | 0.45× | 8.96 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas State Wildcats to win both halves | 81.0% | 82.1% | 36.0% | 2.28× | 1.22 |
| Montana Lady Griz to win both halves | 0.3% | 3.0% | 20.4% | 0.15× | 33.83 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas State Wildcats by 26+ | 44.8% | 48.2% | 12.6% | 3.82× | 2.08 |
| Kansas State Wildcats by 21-25 | 18.0% | 16.8% | 5.4% | 3.11× | 5.97 |
| Kansas State Wildcats by 16-20 | 15.5% | 16.8% | 8.0% | 2.08× | 5.97 |
| Kansas State Wildcats by 11-15 | 11.0% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 1.14× | 8.11 |
| Kansas State Wildcats by 6-10 | 6.4% | 7.5% | 12.9% | 0.58× | 13.40 |
| Kansas State Wildcats by 1-5 | 3.1% | 2.0% | 10.2% | 0.20× | 49.30 |
| Montana Lady Griz by 1-5 | 1.0% | 2.0% | 10.2% | 0.20× | 49.32 |
| Montana Lady Griz by 6-10 | 0.3% | 2.0% | 10.3% | 0.20× | 49.33 |
| Montana Lady Griz by 11-15 | 0.1% | 2.0% | 7.6% | 0.27× | 49.33 |
| Montana Lady Griz by 16-20 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 0.43× | 49.33 |
| Montana Lady Griz by 21-25 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 0.76× | 49.33 |
| Montana Lady Griz by 26+ | 0.0% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 0.44× | 49.33 |