Kansas State Wildcats v NC State Wolfpack — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 28 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027
NCAAW results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Kansas State Wildcats win
32.2%
Draw
0.0%
NC State Wolfpack win
67.8%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 70.03–75.07 | 70-75 0% | 49% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas State Wildcats to score 100+ | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.20× | 283.34 |
| Kansas State Wildcats to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.64× | 283.36 |
| Kansas State Wildcats to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 2.91× | 283.36 |
| Kansas State Wildcats to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 7.58× | 283.36 |
| NC State Wolfpack to score 100+ | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.72× | 283.27 |
| NC State Wolfpack to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.74× | 283.35 |
| NC State Wolfpack to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 18.95× | 283.36 |
| NC State Wolfpack to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 37.89× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 6.32× | 283.36 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC State Wolfpack to win H1 | 58.9% | 57.3% | 39.9% | 1.44× | 1.75 |
| Kansas State Wildcats to win H1 | 36.8% | 37.8% | 56.4% | 0.67× | 2.64 |
| H1 tied | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.05× | 25.86 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 81.5 | 88.5% | 87.7% | 95.5% | 0.92× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 57.5 | 87.6% | 87.7% | 64.8% | 1.35× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 77.5 | 79.0% | 77.4% | 91.6% | 0.85× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 61.5 | 77.7% | 77.4% | 50.2% | 1.54× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 74.5 | 69.6% | 67.4% | 87.2% | 0.77× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 64.5 | 68.0% | 67.4% | 39.3% | 1.72× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 72.5 | 62.5% | 62.7% | 83.6% | 0.75× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 66.5 | 60.7% | 62.7% | 32.9% | 1.91× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 70.5 | 54.8% | 52.6% | 78.9% | 0.67× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 68.5 | 53.0% | 52.6% | 26.5% | 1.99× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 69.5 | 50.9% | 52.6% | 76.2% | 0.69× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 69.5 | 49.1% | 47.4% | 23.8% | 1.99× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 68.5 | 47.0% | 47.4% | 73.5% | 0.64× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 70.5 | 45.2% | 47.4% | 21.1% | 2.25× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 66.5 | 39.3% | 37.3% | 67.1% | 0.56× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 72.5 | 37.5% | 37.3% | 16.4% | 2.27× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 64.5 | 32.0% | 32.6% | 60.7% | 0.54× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 74.5 | 30.4% | 32.6% | 12.8% | 2.54× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 61.5 | 22.3% | 22.6% | 49.8% | 0.45× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 77.5 | 21.0% | 22.6% | 8.4% | 2.69× | 4.43 |
| H1 under 57.5 | 12.4% | 12.3% | 35.2% | 0.35× | 8.14 |
| H1 over 81.5 | 11.5% | 12.3% | 4.5% | 2.74× | 8.14 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC State Wolfpack to win H2 | 59.6% | 55.0% | 40.6% | 1.36× | 1.82 |
| Kansas State Wildcats to win H2 | 36.2% | 41.2% | 56.0% | 0.74× | 2.43 |
| H2 tied | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.16× | 25.35 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 88.5 | 88.1% | 85.2% | 94.1% | 0.91× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 64.5 | 85.6% | 85.2% | 62.1% | 1.37× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 84.5 | 79.1% | 75.8% | 90.3% | 0.84× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 68.5 | 75.4% | 75.8% | 48.7% | 1.56× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 81.5 | 70.1% | 72.2% | 85.8% | 0.84× | 1.39 |
| H2 over 71.5 | 65.8% | 66.4% | 38.9% | 1.71× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 79.5 | 63.4% | 61.6% | 82.0% | 0.75× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 73.5 | 58.7% | 57.3% | 32.9% | 1.74× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 77.5 | 56.1% | 57.3% | 77.9% | 0.74× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 76.5 | 52.4% | 52.4% | 75.6% | 0.69× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 75.5 | 51.3% | 52.4% | 27.0% | 1.94× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 75.5 | 48.7% | 47.6% | 73.0% | 0.65× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 76.5 | 47.6% | 47.6% | 24.4% | 1.95× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 77.5 | 43.9% | 42.7% | 22.1% | 1.93× | 2.34 |
| H2 under 73.5 | 41.3% | 42.7% | 67.1% | 0.64× | 2.34 |
| H2 over 79.5 | 36.6% | 38.4% | 18.0% | 2.13× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 71.5 | 34.2% | 33.6% | 61.1% | 0.55× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 81.5 | 29.9% | 27.8% | 14.2% | 1.96× | 3.59 |
| H2 under 68.5 | 24.6% | 24.2% | 51.3% | 0.47× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 84.5 | 20.9% | 24.2% | 9.7% | 2.49× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 64.5 | 14.4% | 14.8% | 37.9% | 0.39× | 6.76 |
| H2 over 88.5 | 11.9% | 14.8% | 5.9% | 2.51× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC State Wolfpack leading at half time | 58.9% | 57.0% | 39.9% | 1.43× | 1.76 |
| Kansas State Wildcats leading at half time | 36.8% | 37.8% | 56.4% | 0.67× | 2.64 |
| Level at half time | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.03× | 26.40 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC State Wolfpack +14.5 | 95.7% | 97.4% | 72.1% | 1.35× | 1.03 |
| NC State Wolfpack +16.5 | 97.1% | 97.4% | 75.7% | 1.29× | 1.03 |
| NC State Wolfpack +18.5 | 98.1% | 97.4% | 79.3% | 1.23× | 1.03 |
| NC State Wolfpack +20.5 | 98.8% | 97.4% | 82.0% | 1.19× | 1.03 |
| NC State Wolfpack +12.5 | 93.9% | 91.1% | 67.9% | 1.34× | 1.10 |
| NC State Wolfpack +10.5 | 91.4% | 91.1% | 63.2% | 1.44× | 1.10 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +20.5 | 91.3% | 91.1% | 92.7% | 0.98× | 1.10 |
| NC State Wolfpack +9.5 | 89.9% | 85.9% | 60.7% | 1.42× | 1.16 |
| NC State Wolfpack +8.5 | 88.2% | 85.9% | 58.0% | 1.48× | 1.16 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +18.5 | 88.1% | 85.9% | 91.1% | 0.94× | 1.16 |
| NC State Wolfpack +7.5 | 86.3% | 85.9% | 55.2% | 1.55× | 1.16 |
| NC State Wolfpack +6.5 | 84.2% | 81.1% | 52.4% | 1.55× | 1.23 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +16.5 | 84.1% | 81.1% | 89.1% | 0.91× | 1.23 |
| NC State Wolfpack +5.5 | 82.0% | 81.1% | 50.3% | 1.61× | 1.23 |
| NC State Wolfpack +4.5 | 79.5% | 76.5% | 47.8% | 1.60× | 1.31 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +14.5 | 79.4% | 76.5% | 86.7% | 0.88× | 1.31 |
| NC State Wolfpack +3.5 | 76.9% | 76.5% | 45.8% | 1.67× | 1.31 |
| NC State Wolfpack +2.5 | 74.0% | 71.6% | 43.3% | 1.66× | 1.40 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +12.5 | 73.8% | 71.6% | 83.8% | 0.86× | 1.40 |
| NC State Wolfpack +1.5 | 71.0% | 71.6% | 41.3% | 1.73× | 1.40 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +10.5 | 67.6% | 66.7% | 80.4% | 0.83× | 1.50 |
| NC State Wolfpack −1.5 | 64.4% | 61.9% | 38.8% | 1.60× | 1.62 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +9.5 | 64.3% | 61.9% | 78.7% | 0.79× | 1.62 |
| NC State Wolfpack −2.5 | 60.9% | 61.9% | 36.7% | 1.69× | 1.62 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +8.5 | 60.9% | 61.9% | 76.5% | 0.81× | 1.62 |
| NC State Wolfpack −3.5 | 57.3% | 57.1% | 34.3% | 1.66× | 1.75 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +7.5 | 57.3% | 57.1% | 74.5% | 0.77× | 1.75 |
| NC State Wolfpack −4.5 | 53.6% | 52.4% | 32.2% | 1.63× | 1.91 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +6.5 | 53.7% | 52.4% | 72.3% | 0.72× | 1.91 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +5.5 | 50.1% | 52.4% | 70.1% | 0.75× | 1.91 |
| NC State Wolfpack −5.5 | 49.9% | 47.6% | 29.9% | 1.59× | 2.10 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +4.5 | 46.4% | 47.6% | 67.8% | 0.70× | 2.10 |
| NC State Wolfpack −6.5 | 46.3% | 47.6% | 27.7% | 1.72× | 2.10 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +3.5 | 42.7% | 42.9% | 65.7% | 0.65× | 2.33 |
| NC State Wolfpack −7.5 | 42.7% | 42.9% | 25.5% | 1.69× | 2.33 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +2.5 | 39.1% | 38.1% | 63.3% | 0.60× | 2.63 |
| NC State Wolfpack −8.5 | 39.1% | 38.1% | 23.5% | 1.62× | 2.63 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +1.5 | 35.6% | 38.1% | 61.2% | 0.62× | 2.63 |
| NC State Wolfpack −9.5 | 35.7% | 38.1% | 21.3% | 1.79× | 2.63 |
| NC State Wolfpack −10.5 | 32.4% | 33.3% | 19.6% | 1.70× | 3.01 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −1.5 | 29.0% | 28.4% | 58.7% | 0.48× | 3.53 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −2.5 | 26.0% | 28.4% | 56.7% | 0.50× | 3.53 |
| NC State Wolfpack −12.5 | 26.2% | 28.4% | 16.2% | 1.75× | 3.53 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −3.5 | 23.1% | 23.5% | 54.2% | 0.43× | 4.25 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −4.5 | 20.5% | 23.5% | 52.2% | 0.45× | 4.25 |
| NC State Wolfpack −14.5 | 20.6% | 23.5% | 13.3% | 1.77× | 4.25 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −5.5 | 18.0% | 18.9% | 49.7% | 0.38× | 5.29 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −6.5 | 15.8% | 18.9% | 47.6% | 0.40× | 5.30 |
| NC State Wolfpack −16.5 | 15.9% | 18.9% | 10.9% | 1.74× | 5.30 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −7.5 | 13.7% | 14.1% | 44.8% | 0.32× | 7.09 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −8.5 | 11.8% | 14.1% | 42.0% | 0.34× | 7.09 |
| NC State Wolfpack −18.5 | 11.9% | 14.1% | 8.9% | 1.58× | 7.09 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −9.5 | 10.1% | 14.1% | 39.3% | 0.36× | 7.09 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −10.5 | 8.6% | 8.9% | 36.8% | 0.24× | 11.25 |
| NC State Wolfpack −20.5 | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 1.22× | 11.25 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −12.5 | 6.1% | 8.9% | 32.1% | 0.28× | 11.25 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −14.5 | 4.3% | 2.6% | 27.9% | 0.09× | 38.72 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −16.5 | 2.9% | 2.6% | 24.3% | 0.11× | 38.73 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −18.5 | 1.9% | 2.6% | 20.7% | 0.12× | 38.73 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −20.5 | 1.2% | 2.6% | 18.0% | 0.14× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 74.1% | 67.1% | 66.7% | 1.01× | 1.49 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 25.9% | 32.9% | 33.3% | 0.99× | 3.04 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 highest scoring | 33.4% | 31.9% | 31.3% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q4 highest scoring | 35.2% | 28.6% | 31.2% | 0.92× | 3.50 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 14.9% | 18.4% | 17.9% | 1.03× | 5.45 |
| Q1 highest scoring | 16.5% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 0.94× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC State Wolfpack at HT / NC State Wolfpack at FT | 49.6% | 46.6% | 30.1% | 1.55× | 2.14 |
| Kansas State Wildcats at HT / Kansas State Wildcats at FT | 21.3% | 24.4% | 48.3% | 0.51× | 4.10 |
| Kansas State Wildcats at HT / NC State Wolfpack at FT | 15.5% | 15.4% | 8.2% | 1.88× | 6.47 |
| NC State Wolfpack at HT / Kansas State Wildcats at FT | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 0.85× | 12.08 |
| Level at HT / NC State Wolfpack at FT | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.20× | 47.74 |
| Level at HT / Kansas State Wildcats at FT | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.09× | 47.77 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC State Wolfpack to win | 67.8% | 64.5% | 40.1% | 1.61× | 1.55 |
| Kansas State Wildcats to win | 32.2% | 35.5% | 59.9% | 0.59× | 2.82 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total points odd | 51.7% | 50.5% | 51.5% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| Kansas State Wildcats even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.4% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| NC State Wolfpack even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Kansas State Wildcats odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.6% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| NC State Wolfpack odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 48.3% | 49.5% | 48.5% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 94.3% | 94.0% | 95.6% | 0.98× | 1.06 |
| Match to go to overtime | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.35× | 16.66 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC State Wolfpack to win Q1 | 54.6% | 52.6% | 40.4% | 1.30× | 1.90 |
| Kansas State Wildcats to win Q1 | 39.4% | 38.3% | 54.7% | 0.70× | 2.61 |
| Q1 tied | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 1.11× | 18.32 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 under 43.5 | 89.9% | 87.4% | 95.0% | 0.92× | 1.14 |
| Q1 over 27.5 | 85.9% | 87.4% | 67.7% | 1.29× | 1.14 |
| Q1 under 40.5 | 79.9% | 76.9% | 89.9% | 0.86× | 1.30 |
| Q1 over 30.5 | 73.7% | 72.7% | 51.2% | 1.42× | 1.38 |
| Q1 under 38.5 | 70.6% | 72.7% | 84.8% | 0.86× | 1.38 |
| Q1 over 32.5 | 63.3% | 61.7% | 40.9% | 1.51× | 1.62 |
| Q1 under 36.5 | 59.8% | 58.6% | 77.4% | 0.76× | 1.71 |
| Q1 under 35.5 | 54.0% | 52.7% | 73.2% | 0.72× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 34.5 | 51.8% | 52.7% | 31.5% | 1.67× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 34.5 | 48.2% | 47.3% | 68.5% | 0.69× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 35.5 | 46.0% | 47.3% | 26.8% | 1.76× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 36.5 | 40.2% | 41.4% | 22.6% | 1.83× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 32.5 | 36.7% | 38.3% | 59.1% | 0.65× | 2.61 |
| Q1 over 38.5 | 29.4% | 27.3% | 15.2% | 1.79× | 3.66 |
| Q1 under 30.5 | 26.3% | 27.3% | 48.8% | 0.56× | 3.66 |
| Q1 over 40.5 | 20.1% | 23.1% | 10.1% | 2.28× | 4.33 |
| Q1 under 27.5 | 14.1% | 12.6% | 32.3% | 0.39× | 7.95 |
| Q1 over 43.5 | 10.1% | 12.6% | 5.0% | 2.52× | 7.95 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC State Wolfpack to win Q2 | 54.4% | 51.4% | 41.5% | 1.24× | 1.95 |
| Kansas State Wildcats to win Q2 | 39.7% | 35.8% | 52.9% | 0.68× | 2.79 |
| Q2 tied | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 1.07× | 16.49 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 under 42.5 | 88.2% | 87.3% | 94.3% | 0.93× | 1.15 |
| Q2 over 26.5 | 87.9% | 87.3% | 71.6% | 1.22× | 1.15 |
| Q2 under 39.5 | 77.1% | 76.8% | 88.4% | 0.87× | 1.30 |
| Q2 over 29.5 | 76.7% | 76.8% | 55.8% | 1.38× | 1.30 |
| Q2 under 37.5 | 67.3% | 67.4% | 82.3% | 0.82× | 1.49 |
| Q2 over 31.5 | 66.8% | 67.4% | 44.3% | 1.52× | 1.49 |
| Q2 under 35.5 | 56.1% | 58.2% | 74.6% | 0.78× | 1.72 |
| Q2 over 33.5 | 55.6% | 58.2% | 34.4% | 1.69× | 1.72 |
| Q2 under 34.5 | 50.3% | 52.7% | 70.1% | 0.75× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 34.5 | 49.7% | 47.3% | 29.9% | 1.58× | 2.11 |
| Q2 under 33.5 | 44.4% | 41.8% | 65.6% | 0.64× | 2.39 |
| Q2 over 35.5 | 43.9% | 41.8% | 25.4% | 1.65× | 2.39 |
| Q2 under 31.5 | 33.2% | 32.6% | 55.7% | 0.59× | 3.06 |
| Q2 over 37.5 | 32.7% | 32.6% | 17.7% | 1.85× | 3.06 |
| Q2 under 29.5 | 23.3% | 23.2% | 44.2% | 0.53× | 4.31 |
| Q2 over 39.5 | 22.9% | 23.2% | 11.6% | 2.00× | 4.31 |
| Q2 under 26.5 | 12.1% | 12.7% | 28.4% | 0.45× | 7.89 |
| Q2 over 42.5 | 11.8% | 12.7% | 5.7% | 2.23× | 7.89 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC State Wolfpack to win Q3 | 55.1% | 56.8% | 41.8% | 1.36× | 1.76 |
| Kansas State Wildcats to win Q3 | 39.1% | 38.8% | 53.3% | 0.73× | 2.58 |
| Q3 tied | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 1.07× | 18.96 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 under 46.5 | 89.1% | 87.2% | 95.3% | 0.92× | 1.15 |
| Q3 over 30.5 | 85.5% | 87.2% | 66.8% | 1.30× | 1.15 |
| Q3 under 43.5 | 78.9% | 77.3% | 90.2% | 0.86× | 1.29 |
| Q3 over 33.5 | 73.5% | 71.8% | 50.9% | 1.41× | 1.39 |
| Q3 under 41.5 | 69.7% | 67.8% | 85.1% | 0.80× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 35.5 | 63.4% | 62.0% | 40.3% | 1.54× | 1.61 |
| Q3 under 39.5 | 59.1% | 58.4% | 77.9% | 0.75× | 1.71 |
| Q3 under 38.5 | 53.5% | 52.3% | 73.9% | 0.71× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 37.5 | 52.2% | 52.3% | 30.3% | 1.73× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 37.5 | 47.8% | 47.7% | 69.7% | 0.68× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 38.5 | 46.5% | 47.7% | 26.1% | 1.83× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 39.5 | 40.9% | 41.6% | 22.1% | 1.88× | 2.40 |
| Q3 under 35.5 | 36.6% | 38.0% | 59.7% | 0.64× | 2.63 |
| Q3 over 41.5 | 30.3% | 32.2% | 14.9% | 2.16× | 3.11 |
| Q3 under 33.5 | 26.5% | 28.2% | 49.1% | 0.57× | 3.55 |
| Q3 over 43.5 | 21.1% | 22.7% | 9.8% | 2.31× | 4.40 |
| Q3 under 30.5 | 14.5% | 12.8% | 33.2% | 0.39× | 7.83 |
| Q3 over 46.5 | 10.9% | 12.8% | 4.7% | 2.73× | 7.83 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC State Wolfpack to win Q4 | 55.0% | 52.0% | 41.5% | 1.25× | 1.92 |
| Kansas State Wildcats to win Q4 | 39.3% | 42.4% | 52.8% | 0.80× | 2.36 |
| Q4 tied | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.02× | 17.25 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 under 46.5 | 87.6% | 85.6% | 93.9% | 0.91× | 1.17 |
| Q4 over 30.5 | 84.4% | 82.0% | 66.3% | 1.24× | 1.22 |
| Q4 under 43.5 | 77.3% | 76.9% | 88.6% | 0.87× | 1.30 |
| Q4 over 33.5 | 72.7% | 71.5% | 50.4% | 1.42× | 1.40 |
| Q4 under 41.5 | 68.4% | 67.4% | 83.6% | 0.81× | 1.48 |
| Q4 over 35.5 | 63.1% | 61.4% | 40.6% | 1.51× | 1.63 |
| Q4 under 39.5 | 58.2% | 58.4% | 77.0% | 0.76× | 1.71 |
| Q4 under 38.5 | 52.9% | 52.5% | 73.1% | 0.72× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 37.5 | 52.5% | 52.5% | 31.2% | 1.68× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 37.5 | 47.5% | 47.5% | 68.8% | 0.69× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 38.5 | 47.1% | 47.5% | 26.9% | 1.77× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 39.5 | 41.8% | 41.6% | 23.0% | 1.81× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 35.5 | 36.9% | 38.6% | 59.4% | 0.65× | 2.59 |
| Q4 over 41.5 | 31.6% | 32.6% | 16.4% | 1.99× | 3.07 |
| Q4 under 33.5 | 27.3% | 28.5% | 49.6% | 0.57× | 3.51 |
| Q4 over 43.5 | 22.7% | 23.1% | 11.4% | 2.02× | 4.33 |
| Q4 under 30.5 | 15.6% | 18.0% | 33.7% | 0.53× | 5.56 |
| Q4 over 46.5 | 12.4% | 14.4% | 6.1% | 2.36× | 6.95 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas State Wildcats under 80.5 | 86.4% | 83.9% | 82.9% | 1.01× | 1.19 |
| NC State Wolfpack under 85.5 | 86.6% | 83.9% | 95.5% | 0.88× | 1.19 |
| NC State Wolfpack over 65.5 | 85.0% | 80.7% | 40.2% | 2.01× | 1.24 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 60.5 | 83.8% | 80.7% | 69.5% | 1.16× | 1.24 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 77.5 | 78.5% | 75.1% | 77.4% | 0.97× | 1.33 |
| NC State Wolfpack under 82.5 | 78.4% | 75.1% | 93.0% | 0.81× | 1.33 |
| NC State Wolfpack over 68.5 | 76.2% | 75.1% | 31.4% | 2.39× | 1.33 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 63.5 | 74.9% | 70.7% | 61.5% | 1.15× | 1.41 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 75.5 | 71.9% | 70.7% | 73.2% | 0.97× | 1.41 |
| NC State Wolfpack under 80.5 | 71.6% | 70.7% | 91.0% | 0.78× | 1.41 |
| NC State Wolfpack over 70.5 | 69.2% | 66.4% | 26.3% | 2.52× | 1.51 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 65.5 | 67.8% | 66.4% | 55.3% | 1.20× | 1.51 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 73.5 | 64.5% | 61.2% | 68.5% | 0.89× | 1.63 |
| NC State Wolfpack under 78.5 | 63.9% | 61.2% | 88.3% | 0.69× | 1.63 |
| NC State Wolfpack over 72.5 | 61.3% | 61.2% | 21.8% | 2.81× | 1.63 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 67.5 | 60.0% | 61.2% | 48.7% | 1.26× | 1.63 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 71.5 | 56.5% | 57.1% | 63.0% | 0.91× | 1.75 |
| NC State Wolfpack under 76.5 | 55.6% | 57.1% | 85.8% | 0.67× | 1.75 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 69.5 | 51.8% | 52.3% | 42.6% | 1.23× | 1.91 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 70.5 | 52.4% | 52.3% | 60.3% | 0.87× | 1.91 |
| NC State Wolfpack over 74.5 | 52.9% | 52.3% | 17.7% | 2.95× | 1.91 |
| NC State Wolfpack under 75.5 | 51.4% | 52.3% | 84.1% | 0.62× | 1.91 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 69.5 | 48.2% | 47.7% | 57.4% | 0.83× | 2.09 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 70.5 | 47.6% | 47.7% | 39.7% | 1.20× | 2.09 |
| NC State Wolfpack under 74.5 | 47.1% | 47.7% | 82.3% | 0.58× | 2.09 |
| NC State Wolfpack over 75.5 | 48.6% | 47.7% | 15.9% | 3.01× | 2.09 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 71.5 | 43.5% | 42.9% | 37.0% | 1.16× | 2.33 |
| NC State Wolfpack over 76.5 | 44.4% | 42.9% | 14.2% | 3.02× | 2.33 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 67.5 | 40.0% | 38.8% | 51.3% | 0.76× | 2.58 |
| NC State Wolfpack under 72.5 | 38.7% | 38.8% | 78.2% | 0.50× | 2.58 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 73.5 | 35.5% | 38.8% | 31.5% | 1.23× | 2.58 |
| NC State Wolfpack over 78.5 | 36.1% | 38.8% | 11.7% | 3.33× | 2.58 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 65.5 | 32.2% | 33.6% | 44.7% | 0.75× | 2.98 |
| NC State Wolfpack under 70.5 | 30.8% | 33.6% | 73.7% | 0.46× | 2.98 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 75.5 | 28.1% | 29.3% | 26.8% | 1.09× | 3.42 |
| NC State Wolfpack over 80.5 | 28.4% | 29.3% | 9.0% | 3.25× | 3.42 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 63.5 | 25.1% | 29.3% | 38.5% | 0.76× | 3.42 |
| NC State Wolfpack under 68.5 | 23.8% | 24.9% | 68.6% | 0.36× | 4.02 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 77.5 | 21.5% | 24.9% | 22.6% | 1.10× | 4.02 |
| NC State Wolfpack over 82.5 | 21.6% | 24.9% | 7.0% | 3.57× | 4.02 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 60.5 | 16.2% | 19.3% | 30.5% | 0.63× | 5.18 |
| NC State Wolfpack under 65.5 | 15.0% | 19.3% | 59.8% | 0.32× | 5.18 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 80.5 | 13.6% | 16.1% | 17.1% | 0.94× | 6.21 |
| NC State Wolfpack over 85.5 | 13.4% | 16.1% | 4.5% | 3.56× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 165.5 points | 91.2% | 88.8% | 96.3% | 0.92× | 1.13 |
| Over 125.5 points | 90.3% | 88.8% | 59.5% | 1.49× | 1.13 |
| Under 160.5 points | 84.6% | 80.6% | 93.9% | 0.86× | 1.24 |
| Over 130.5 points | 83.4% | 80.6% | 48.3% | 1.67× | 1.24 |
| Under 155.5 points | 75.5% | 75.6% | 90.7% | 0.83× | 1.32 |
| Over 135.5 points | 73.8% | 70.8% | 37.6% | 1.88× | 1.41 |
| Under 152.5 points | 68.7% | 65.9% | 88.1% | 0.75× | 1.52 |
| Over 138.5 points | 67.0% | 65.9% | 32.1% | 2.05× | 1.52 |
| Under 150.5 points | 63.9% | 61.5% | 86.1% | 0.71× | 1.63 |
| Over 140.5 points | 62.0% | 61.5% | 28.2% | 2.18× | 1.63 |
| Under 148.5 points | 58.9% | 56.5% | 83.7% | 0.68× | 1.77 |
| Over 142.5 points | 56.9% | 56.5% | 24.9% | 2.27× | 1.77 |
| Under 146.5 points | 53.6% | 52.3% | 80.9% | 0.65× | 1.91 |
| Over 144.5 points | 51.6% | 52.3% | 21.9% | 2.39× | 1.91 |
| Under 145.5 points | 51.1% | 52.3% | 79.5% | 0.66× | 1.91 |
| Over 145.5 points | 48.9% | 47.7% | 20.5% | 2.33× | 2.10 |
| Under 144.5 points | 48.4% | 47.7% | 78.1% | 0.61× | 2.10 |
| Over 146.5 points | 46.4% | 47.7% | 19.1% | 2.50× | 2.10 |
| Under 142.5 points | 43.1% | 43.5% | 75.1% | 0.58× | 2.30 |
| Over 148.5 points | 41.2% | 43.5% | 16.3% | 2.66× | 2.30 |
| Under 140.5 points | 38.0% | 38.5% | 71.8% | 0.54× | 2.60 |
| Over 150.5 points | 36.1% | 38.5% | 13.9% | 2.76× | 2.60 |
| Under 138.5 points | 33.0% | 34.1% | 67.9% | 0.50× | 2.93 |
| Over 152.5 points | 31.3% | 34.1% | 11.9% | 2.87× | 2.93 |
| Under 135.5 points | 26.2% | 29.2% | 62.4% | 0.47× | 3.43 |
| Over 155.5 points | 24.5% | 24.4% | 9.3% | 2.62× | 4.10 |
| Under 130.5 points | 16.6% | 19.4% | 51.7% | 0.38× | 5.15 |
| Over 160.5 points | 15.4% | 19.4% | 6.1% | 3.19× | 5.15 |
| Under 125.5 points | 9.7% | 11.2% | 40.5% | 0.28× | 8.96 |
| Over 165.5 points | 8.8% | 11.2% | 3.7% | 3.01× | 8.96 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC State Wolfpack to win both halves | 32.5% | 31.2% | 20.4% | 1.53× | 3.20 |
| Kansas State Wildcats to win both halves | 10.9% | 14.0% | 36.0% | 0.39× | 7.13 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC State Wolfpack by 1-5 | 17.9% | 16.8% | 10.2% | 1.65× | 5.97 |
| NC State Wolfpack by 6-10 | 17.6% | 16.8% | 10.3% | 1.63× | 5.97 |
| Kansas State Wildcats by 1-5 | 14.1% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 1.21× | 8.11 |
| NC State Wolfpack by 11-15 | 14.2% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 1.62× | 8.11 |
| Kansas State Wildcats by 6-10 | 9.4% | 7.5% | 12.9% | 0.58× | 13.40 |
| NC State Wolfpack by 16-20 | 9.5% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 1.57× | 13.40 |
| Kansas State Wildcats by 11-15 | 5.1% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 0.69× | 13.41 |
| NC State Wolfpack by 21-25 | 5.2% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 2.79× | 13.41 |
| NC State Wolfpack by 26+ | 3.5% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 0.44× | 49.30 |
| Kansas State Wildcats by 16-20 | 2.3% | 2.0% | 8.0% | 0.25× | 49.31 |
| Kansas State Wildcats by 21-25 | 0.9% | 2.0% | 5.4% | 0.38× | 49.32 |
| Kansas State Wildcats by 26+ | 0.3% | 2.0% | 12.6% | 0.16× | 49.32 |