Kansas State Wildcats v Villanova Wildcats — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 29 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027
NCAAW results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Kansas State Wildcats win
42.5%
Draw
0.0%
Villanova Wildcats win
57.5%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 68.00–70.05 | 68-70 0% | 49% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas State Wildcats to score 100+ | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.20× | 283.35 |
| Kansas State Wildcats to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.64× | 283.36 |
| Kansas State Wildcats to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 2.91× | 283.36 |
| Kansas State Wildcats to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 7.58× | 283.36 |
| Villanova Wildcats to score 100+ | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.72× | 283.34 |
| Villanova Wildcats to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.74× | 283.36 |
| Villanova Wildcats to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 18.95× | 283.36 |
| Villanova Wildcats to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 37.89× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 6.32× | 283.36 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villanova Wildcats to win H1 | 52.3% | 51.9% | 39.9% | 1.30× | 1.93 |
| Kansas State Wildcats to win H1 | 43.2% | 42.7% | 56.4% | 0.76× | 2.34 |
| H1 tied | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.05× | 25.86 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 78.5 | 89.1% | 87.7% | 92.8% | 0.95× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 54.5 | 86.9% | 87.7% | 74.0% | 1.19× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 74.5 | 80.0% | 82.5% | 87.2% | 0.95× | 1.21 |
| H1 over 58.5 | 76.7% | 77.4% | 61.4% | 1.26× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 71.5 | 70.8% | 73.5% | 81.4% | 0.90× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 61.5 | 66.8% | 67.4% | 50.2% | 1.34× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 69.5 | 63.7% | 62.7% | 76.2% | 0.82× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 63.5 | 59.4% | 58.2% | 42.9% | 1.36× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 67.5 | 56.2% | 58.2% | 70.4% | 0.83× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 66.5 | 52.3% | 52.6% | 67.1% | 0.78× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 65.5 | 51.6% | 52.6% | 36.1% | 1.46× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 65.5 | 48.4% | 47.4% | 63.9% | 0.74× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 66.5 | 47.7% | 47.4% | 32.9% | 1.44× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 67.5 | 43.8% | 41.8% | 29.6% | 1.41× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 63.5 | 40.6% | 41.8% | 57.1% | 0.73× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 69.5 | 36.3% | 37.3% | 23.8% | 1.56× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 61.5 | 33.2% | 32.6% | 49.8% | 0.65× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 71.5 | 29.2% | 26.5% | 18.6% | 1.43× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 58.5 | 23.3% | 22.6% | 38.6% | 0.58× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 74.5 | 20.0% | 17.5% | 12.8% | 1.36× | 5.72 |
| H1 under 54.5 | 13.1% | 12.3% | 26.0% | 0.47× | 8.14 |
| H1 over 78.5 | 10.9% | 12.3% | 7.2% | 1.70× | 8.14 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villanova Wildcats to win H2 | 52.7% | 51.2% | 40.6% | 1.26× | 1.95 |
| Kansas State Wildcats to win H2 | 43.0% | 43.5% | 56.0% | 0.78× | 2.30 |
| H2 tied | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.16× | 25.35 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 84.5 | 87.5% | 85.2% | 90.3% | 0.94× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 60.5 | 86.3% | 85.2% | 74.5% | 1.14× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 80.5 | 78.2% | 75.8% | 84.0% | 0.90× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 64.5 | 76.4% | 75.8% | 62.1% | 1.22× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 77.5 | 69.1% | 66.4% | 77.9% | 0.85× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 67.5 | 67.0% | 66.4% | 52.1% | 1.27× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 75.5 | 62.2% | 61.6% | 73.0% | 0.84× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 69.5 | 59.9% | 57.3% | 45.2% | 1.27× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 73.5 | 54.9% | 52.4% | 67.1% | 0.78× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 71.5 | 52.6% | 52.4% | 38.9% | 1.35× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 72.5 | 51.2% | 52.4% | 64.1% | 0.82× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 72.5 | 48.8% | 47.6% | 36.0% | 1.32× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 71.5 | 47.4% | 47.6% | 61.1% | 0.78× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 73.5 | 45.1% | 47.6% | 32.9% | 1.45× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 69.5 | 40.1% | 42.7% | 54.8% | 0.78× | 2.35 |
| H2 over 75.5 | 37.8% | 38.4% | 27.0% | 1.42× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 67.5 | 33.0% | 33.6% | 47.9% | 0.70× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 77.5 | 30.9% | 33.6% | 22.1% | 1.52× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 64.5 | 23.6% | 24.2% | 37.9% | 0.64× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 80.5 | 21.8% | 24.2% | 16.0% | 1.52× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 60.5 | 13.7% | 14.8% | 25.5% | 0.58× | 6.76 |
| H2 over 84.5 | 12.5% | 14.8% | 9.7% | 1.52× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villanova Wildcats leading at half time | 52.3% | 51.9% | 39.9% | 1.30× | 1.93 |
| Kansas State Wildcats leading at half time | 43.2% | 42.9% | 56.4% | 0.76× | 2.33 |
| Level at half time | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.03× | 26.40 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villanova Wildcats +18.5 | 96.5% | 97.4% | 79.3% | 1.23× | 1.03 |
| Villanova Wildcats +20.5 | 97.7% | 97.4% | 82.0% | 1.19× | 1.03 |
| Villanova Wildcats +16.5 | 94.9% | 91.1% | 75.7% | 1.20× | 1.10 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +20.5 | 94.9% | 91.1% | 92.7% | 0.98× | 1.10 |
| Villanova Wildcats +14.5 | 92.7% | 91.1% | 72.1% | 1.26× | 1.10 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +18.5 | 92.6% | 91.1% | 91.1% | 1.00× | 1.10 |
| Villanova Wildcats +12.5 | 89.9% | 85.9% | 67.9% | 1.27× | 1.16 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +16.5 | 89.8% | 85.9% | 89.1% | 0.96× | 1.16 |
| Villanova Wildcats +10.5 | 86.3% | 85.9% | 63.2% | 1.36× | 1.16 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +14.5 | 86.2% | 85.9% | 86.7% | 0.99× | 1.16 |
| Villanova Wildcats +9.5 | 84.2% | 81.1% | 60.7% | 1.34× | 1.23 |
| Villanova Wildcats +8.5 | 82.0% | 81.1% | 58.0% | 1.40× | 1.23 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +12.5 | 81.8% | 81.1% | 83.8% | 0.97× | 1.23 |
| Villanova Wildcats +7.5 | 79.5% | 76.5% | 55.2% | 1.38× | 1.31 |
| Villanova Wildcats +6.5 | 76.8% | 76.5% | 52.4% | 1.46× | 1.31 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +10.5 | 76.6% | 76.5% | 80.4% | 0.95× | 1.31 |
| Villanova Wildcats +5.5 | 74.0% | 71.6% | 50.3% | 1.42× | 1.40 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +9.5 | 73.8% | 71.6% | 78.7% | 0.91× | 1.40 |
| Villanova Wildcats +4.5 | 71.0% | 71.6% | 47.8% | 1.50× | 1.40 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +8.5 | 70.7% | 71.6% | 76.5% | 0.94× | 1.40 |
| Villanova Wildcats +3.5 | 67.8% | 66.7% | 45.8% | 1.46× | 1.50 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +7.5 | 67.5% | 66.7% | 74.5% | 0.90× | 1.50 |
| Villanova Wildcats +2.5 | 64.5% | 61.9% | 43.3% | 1.43× | 1.62 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +6.5 | 64.2% | 61.9% | 72.3% | 0.86× | 1.62 |
| Villanova Wildcats +1.5 | 61.0% | 61.9% | 41.3% | 1.50× | 1.62 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +5.5 | 60.7% | 61.9% | 70.1% | 0.88× | 1.62 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +4.5 | 57.2% | 57.1% | 67.8% | 0.84× | 1.75 |
| Villanova Wildcats −1.5 | 53.8% | 52.4% | 38.8% | 1.35× | 1.91 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +3.5 | 53.6% | 52.4% | 65.7% | 0.80× | 1.91 |
| Villanova Wildcats −2.5 | 50.1% | 52.4% | 36.7% | 1.43× | 1.91 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +2.5 | 49.9% | 47.6% | 63.3% | 0.75× | 2.10 |
| Kansas State Wildcats +1.5 | 46.2% | 47.6% | 61.2% | 0.78× | 2.10 |
| Villanova Wildcats −3.5 | 46.4% | 47.6% | 34.3% | 1.39× | 2.10 |
| Villanova Wildcats −4.5 | 42.8% | 42.9% | 32.2% | 1.33× | 2.33 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −1.5 | 39.0% | 38.1% | 58.7% | 0.65× | 2.63 |
| Villanova Wildcats −5.5 | 39.3% | 38.1% | 29.9% | 1.27× | 2.63 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −2.5 | 35.5% | 38.1% | 56.7% | 0.67× | 2.63 |
| Villanova Wildcats −6.5 | 35.8% | 38.1% | 27.7% | 1.37× | 2.63 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −3.5 | 32.2% | 33.3% | 54.2% | 0.61× | 3.01 |
| Villanova Wildcats −7.5 | 32.5% | 33.3% | 25.5% | 1.31× | 3.01 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −4.5 | 29.0% | 28.4% | 52.2% | 0.54× | 3.53 |
| Villanova Wildcats −8.5 | 29.3% | 28.4% | 23.5% | 1.20× | 3.53 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −5.5 | 26.0% | 28.4% | 49.7% | 0.57× | 3.53 |
| Villanova Wildcats −9.5 | 26.2% | 28.4% | 21.3% | 1.33× | 3.53 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −6.5 | 23.2% | 23.5% | 47.6% | 0.49× | 4.25 |
| Villanova Wildcats −10.5 | 23.4% | 23.5% | 19.6% | 1.20× | 4.25 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −7.5 | 20.5% | 23.5% | 44.8% | 0.53× | 4.25 |
| Villanova Wildcats −12.5 | 18.2% | 18.9% | 16.2% | 1.16× | 5.29 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −8.5 | 18.0% | 18.9% | 42.0% | 0.45× | 5.29 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −9.5 | 15.8% | 18.9% | 39.3% | 0.48× | 5.30 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −10.5 | 13.7% | 14.1% | 36.8% | 0.38× | 7.09 |
| Villanova Wildcats −14.5 | 13.8% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 1.06× | 7.09 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −12.5 | 10.1% | 14.1% | 32.1% | 0.44× | 7.09 |
| Villanova Wildcats −16.5 | 10.2% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 1.30× | 7.09 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −14.5 | 7.3% | 8.9% | 27.9% | 0.32× | 11.25 |
| Villanova Wildcats −18.5 | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 1.00× | 11.25 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −16.5 | 5.1% | 8.9% | 24.3% | 0.37× | 11.25 |
| Villanova Wildcats −20.5 | 5.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 1.22× | 11.25 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −18.5 | 3.5% | 2.6% | 20.7% | 0.12× | 38.73 |
| Kansas State Wildcats −20.5 | 2.3% | 2.6% | 18.0% | 0.14× | 38.73 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 73.1% | 67.1% | 66.7% | 1.01× | 1.49 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 26.9% | 32.9% | 33.3% | 0.99× | 3.04 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 highest scoring | 34.8% | 31.9% | 31.2% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 33.1% | 31.9% | 31.3% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q1 highest scoring | 16.8% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 0.94× | 5.46 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 15.3% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 1.02× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villanova Wildcats at HT / Villanova Wildcats at FT | 40.7% | 41.0% | 30.1% | 1.36× | 2.44 |
| Kansas State Wildcats at HT / Kansas State Wildcats at FT | 28.9% | 29.6% | 48.3% | 0.61× | 3.38 |
| Kansas State Wildcats at HT / Villanova Wildcats at FT | 14.3% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 1.49× | 8.17 |
| Villanova Wildcats at HT / Kansas State Wildcats at FT | 11.7% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 1.25× | 8.18 |
| Level at HT / Kansas State Wildcats at FT | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.09× | 47.76 |
| Level at HT / Villanova Wildcats at FT | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.20× | 47.75 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villanova Wildcats to win | 57.5% | 55.2% | 40.1% | 1.38× | 1.81 |
| Kansas State Wildcats to win | 42.5% | 44.8% | 59.9% | 0.75× | 2.23 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total points odd | 51.8% | 50.5% | 51.5% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| Kansas State Wildcats even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.4% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Villanova Wildcats even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Kansas State Wildcats odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.6% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| Villanova Wildcats odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 48.2% | 49.5% | 48.5% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 93.9% | 94.0% | 95.6% | 0.98× | 1.06 |
| Match to go to overtime | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.35× | 16.66 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villanova Wildcats to win Q1 | 50.0% | 52.6% | 40.4% | 1.30× | 1.90 |
| Kansas State Wildcats to win Q1 | 43.9% | 42.9% | 54.7% | 0.78× | 2.33 |
| Q1 tied | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 1.11× | 18.31 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 under 41.5 | 89.1% | 87.4% | 91.9% | 0.95× | 1.14 |
| Q1 over 25.5 | 87.0% | 87.4% | 77.6% | 1.13× | 1.14 |
| Q1 under 38.5 | 78.5% | 76.9% | 84.8% | 0.91× | 1.30 |
| Q1 over 28.5 | 75.3% | 76.9% | 62.7% | 1.23× | 1.30 |
| Q1 under 36.5 | 69.0% | 67.6% | 77.4% | 0.87× | 1.48 |
| Q1 over 30.5 | 65.1% | 67.6% | 51.2% | 1.32× | 1.48 |
| Q1 under 34.5 | 58.0% | 58.6% | 68.5% | 0.86× | 1.71 |
| Q1 over 32.5 | 53.7% | 52.7% | 40.9% | 1.29× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 33.5 | 52.2% | 52.7% | 64.0% | 0.82× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 33.5 | 47.8% | 47.3% | 36.0% | 1.31× | 2.11 |
| Q1 under 32.5 | 46.3% | 47.3% | 59.1% | 0.80× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 34.5 | 42.0% | 41.4% | 31.5% | 1.31× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 30.5 | 34.9% | 32.4% | 48.8% | 0.67× | 3.08 |
| Q1 over 36.5 | 31.0% | 32.4% | 22.6% | 1.44× | 3.08 |
| Q1 under 28.5 | 24.7% | 23.1% | 37.3% | 0.62× | 4.33 |
| Q1 over 38.5 | 21.5% | 23.1% | 15.2% | 1.52× | 4.33 |
| Q1 under 25.5 | 13.0% | 12.6% | 22.4% | 0.56× | 7.95 |
| Q1 over 41.5 | 10.9% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 1.56× | 7.95 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villanova Wildcats to win Q2 | 50.0% | 51.3% | 41.5% | 1.24× | 1.95 |
| Kansas State Wildcats to win Q2 | 44.0% | 43.9% | 52.9% | 0.83× | 2.28 |
| Q2 tied | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 1.07× | 16.49 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 under 41.5 | 90.0% | 90.8% | 92.7% | 0.98× | 1.10 |
| Q2 over 25.5 | 85.9% | 87.3% | 76.2% | 1.15× | 1.15 |
| Q2 under 38.5 | 80.0% | 76.8% | 85.6% | 0.90× | 1.30 |
| Q2 over 28.5 | 73.6% | 72.0% | 61.2% | 1.18× | 1.39 |
| Q2 under 36.5 | 70.8% | 72.0% | 78.7% | 0.91× | 1.39 |
| Q2 over 30.5 | 63.2% | 60.7% | 49.9% | 1.22× | 1.65 |
| Q2 under 34.5 | 60.0% | 58.2% | 70.1% | 0.83× | 1.72 |
| Q2 under 33.5 | 54.2% | 52.7% | 65.6% | 0.80× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 32.5 | 51.7% | 52.7% | 39.2% | 1.34× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 32.5 | 48.3% | 47.3% | 60.8% | 0.78× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 33.5 | 45.8% | 47.3% | 34.4% | 1.38× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 34.5 | 40.0% | 41.8% | 29.9% | 1.40× | 2.39 |
| Q2 under 30.5 | 36.8% | 39.3% | 50.1% | 0.78× | 2.55 |
| Q2 over 36.5 | 29.2% | 28.0% | 21.3% | 1.32× | 3.57 |
| Q2 under 28.5 | 26.4% | 28.0% | 38.8% | 0.72× | 3.57 |
| Q2 over 38.5 | 20.0% | 23.2% | 14.4% | 1.61× | 4.31 |
| Q2 under 25.5 | 14.1% | 12.7% | 23.8% | 0.53× | 7.89 |
| Q2 over 41.5 | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 1.26× | 10.82 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villanova Wildcats to win Q3 | 50.3% | 52.6% | 41.8% | 1.26× | 1.90 |
| Kansas State Wildcats to win Q3 | 43.8% | 42.3% | 53.3% | 0.79× | 2.37 |
| Q3 tied | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 1.07× | 18.96 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 under 44.5 | 88.7% | 87.2% | 92.1% | 0.95× | 1.15 |
| Q3 over 28.5 | 86.1% | 87.2% | 76.4% | 1.14× | 1.15 |
| Q3 under 41.5 | 78.2% | 77.3% | 85.1% | 0.91× | 1.29 |
| Q3 over 31.5 | 74.3% | 71.8% | 61.6% | 1.17× | 1.39 |
| Q3 under 39.5 | 68.9% | 67.8% | 77.9% | 0.87× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 33.5 | 64.3% | 62.0% | 50.9% | 1.22× | 1.61 |
| Q3 under 37.5 | 58.2% | 58.4% | 69.7% | 0.84× | 1.71 |
| Q3 over 35.5 | 53.2% | 52.3% | 40.3% | 1.30× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 36.5 | 52.5% | 52.3% | 64.6% | 0.81× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 36.5 | 47.5% | 47.7% | 35.4% | 1.35× | 2.10 |
| Q3 under 35.5 | 46.8% | 47.7% | 59.7% | 0.80× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 37.5 | 41.8% | 41.6% | 30.3% | 1.37× | 2.40 |
| Q3 under 33.5 | 35.7% | 38.0% | 49.1% | 0.78× | 2.63 |
| Q3 over 39.5 | 31.1% | 32.2% | 22.1% | 1.46× | 3.11 |
| Q3 under 31.5 | 25.7% | 28.2% | 38.4% | 0.73× | 3.55 |
| Q3 over 41.5 | 21.8% | 22.7% | 14.9% | 1.53× | 4.40 |
| Q3 under 28.5 | 13.9% | 12.8% | 23.6% | 0.54× | 7.83 |
| Q3 over 44.5 | 11.3% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 1.63× | 7.83 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villanova Wildcats to win Q4 | 50.3% | 51.4% | 41.5% | 1.24× | 1.95 |
| Kansas State Wildcats to win Q4 | 43.9% | 43.1% | 52.8% | 0.82× | 2.32 |
| Q4 tied | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.02× | 17.25 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 under 44.5 | 87.1% | 85.6% | 90.6% | 0.95× | 1.17 |
| Q4 over 28.5 | 84.9% | 82.0% | 75.1% | 1.09× | 1.22 |
| Q4 under 41.5 | 76.6% | 76.9% | 83.6% | 0.92× | 1.30 |
| Q4 over 31.5 | 73.5% | 71.5% | 61.1% | 1.17× | 1.40 |
| Q4 under 39.5 | 67.6% | 67.4% | 77.0% | 0.88× | 1.48 |
| Q4 over 33.5 | 63.9% | 61.4% | 50.4% | 1.22× | 1.63 |
| Q4 under 37.5 | 57.4% | 58.4% | 68.8% | 0.85× | 1.71 |
| Q4 over 35.5 | 53.4% | 52.5% | 40.6% | 1.29× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 36.5 | 52.0% | 52.5% | 64.3% | 0.82× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 36.5 | 48.0% | 47.5% | 35.7% | 1.33× | 2.11 |
| Q4 under 35.5 | 46.6% | 47.5% | 59.4% | 0.80× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 37.5 | 42.6% | 41.6% | 31.2% | 1.33× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 33.5 | 36.1% | 38.6% | 49.6% | 0.78× | 2.59 |
| Q4 over 39.5 | 32.4% | 32.6% | 23.0% | 1.41× | 3.07 |
| Q4 under 31.5 | 26.5% | 28.5% | 38.9% | 0.73× | 3.51 |
| Q4 over 41.5 | 23.4% | 23.1% | 16.4% | 1.41× | 4.33 |
| Q4 under 28.5 | 15.1% | 18.0% | 24.9% | 0.72× | 5.56 |
| Q4 over 44.5 | 12.9% | 14.4% | 9.4% | 1.53× | 6.95 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas State Wildcats under 78.5 | 86.3% | 83.9% | 79.4% | 1.06× | 1.19 |
| Villanova Wildcats under 80.5 | 86.7% | 83.9% | 91.0% | 0.92× | 1.19 |
| Villanova Wildcats over 60.5 | 84.8% | 80.7% | 55.6% | 1.45× | 1.24 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 58.5 | 83.9% | 80.7% | 74.7% | 1.08× | 1.24 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 75.5 | 78.3% | 75.1% | 73.2% | 1.03× | 1.33 |
| Villanova Wildcats under 77.5 | 78.5% | 75.1% | 87.2% | 0.86× | 1.33 |
| Villanova Wildcats over 63.5 | 76.0% | 75.1% | 46.1% | 1.63× | 1.33 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 61.5 | 75.0% | 75.1% | 66.9% | 1.12× | 1.33 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 73.5 | 71.7% | 70.7% | 68.5% | 1.03× | 1.41 |
| Villanova Wildcats under 75.5 | 71.8% | 70.7% | 84.1% | 0.84× | 1.41 |
| Villanova Wildcats over 65.5 | 68.9% | 66.4% | 40.2% | 1.65× | 1.51 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 63.5 | 67.9% | 66.4% | 61.5% | 1.08× | 1.51 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 71.5 | 64.3% | 61.2% | 63.0% | 0.97× | 1.63 |
| Villanova Wildcats under 73.5 | 64.1% | 61.2% | 80.2% | 0.76× | 1.63 |
| Villanova Wildcats over 67.5 | 61.0% | 61.2% | 34.4% | 1.78× | 1.63 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 65.5 | 60.2% | 61.2% | 55.3% | 1.11× | 1.63 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 69.5 | 56.3% | 57.1% | 57.4% | 0.99× | 1.75 |
| Villanova Wildcats under 71.5 | 55.9% | 57.1% | 76.1% | 0.75× | 1.75 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 67.5 | 52.0% | 52.3% | 48.7% | 1.07× | 1.91 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 68.5 | 52.2% | 52.3% | 54.4% | 0.96× | 1.91 |
| Villanova Wildcats over 69.5 | 52.6% | 52.3% | 28.8% | 1.82× | 1.91 |
| Villanova Wildcats under 70.5 | 51.6% | 52.3% | 73.7% | 0.71× | 1.91 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 67.5 | 48.0% | 47.7% | 51.3% | 0.93× | 2.09 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 68.5 | 47.8% | 47.7% | 45.6% | 1.05× | 2.09 |
| Villanova Wildcats under 69.5 | 47.4% | 47.7% | 71.2% | 0.67× | 2.09 |
| Villanova Wildcats over 70.5 | 48.4% | 47.7% | 26.3% | 1.81× | 2.09 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 69.5 | 43.7% | 42.9% | 42.6% | 1.01× | 2.33 |
| Villanova Wildcats over 71.5 | 44.1% | 42.9% | 23.9% | 1.79× | 2.33 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 65.5 | 39.8% | 38.8% | 44.7% | 0.87× | 2.58 |
| Villanova Wildcats under 67.5 | 39.0% | 38.8% | 65.6% | 0.59× | 2.58 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 71.5 | 35.7% | 38.8% | 37.0% | 1.05× | 2.58 |
| Villanova Wildcats over 73.5 | 35.9% | 38.8% | 19.8% | 1.96× | 2.58 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 63.5 | 32.1% | 33.6% | 38.5% | 0.87× | 2.98 |
| Villanova Wildcats under 65.5 | 31.1% | 33.6% | 59.8% | 0.56× | 2.98 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 73.5 | 28.3% | 29.3% | 31.5% | 0.93× | 3.42 |
| Villanova Wildcats over 75.5 | 28.2% | 29.3% | 15.9% | 1.84× | 3.42 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 61.5 | 25.0% | 24.9% | 33.1% | 0.75× | 4.02 |
| Villanova Wildcats under 63.5 | 24.0% | 24.9% | 53.9% | 0.46× | 4.02 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 75.5 | 21.7% | 24.9% | 26.8% | 0.93× | 4.02 |
| Villanova Wildcats over 77.5 | 21.5% | 24.9% | 12.8% | 1.94× | 4.02 |
| Kansas State Wildcats under 58.5 | 16.1% | 19.3% | 25.3% | 0.76× | 5.18 |
| Villanova Wildcats under 60.5 | 15.2% | 19.3% | 44.4% | 0.44× | 5.18 |
| Kansas State Wildcats over 78.5 | 13.7% | 16.1% | 20.6% | 0.78× | 6.21 |
| Villanova Wildcats over 80.5 | 13.3% | 16.1% | 9.0% | 1.79× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 158.5 points | 91.2% | 88.8% | 92.7% | 0.96× | 1.13 |
| Over 118.5 points | 90.4% | 88.8% | 73.6% | 1.21× | 1.13 |
| Under 153.5 points | 84.7% | 80.6% | 89.0% | 0.90× | 1.24 |
| Over 123.5 points | 83.4% | 80.6% | 63.3% | 1.27× | 1.24 |
| Under 148.5 points | 75.5% | 75.6% | 83.7% | 0.90× | 1.32 |
| Over 128.5 points | 73.8% | 70.8% | 52.8% | 1.34× | 1.41 |
| Under 145.5 points | 68.9% | 65.9% | 79.5% | 0.83× | 1.52 |
| Over 131.5 points | 66.9% | 65.9% | 46.1% | 1.43× | 1.52 |
| Under 143.5 points | 64.1% | 61.5% | 76.7% | 0.80× | 1.63 |
| Over 133.5 points | 61.9% | 61.5% | 42.0% | 1.46× | 1.63 |
| Under 141.5 points | 59.0% | 56.5% | 73.4% | 0.77× | 1.77 |
| Over 135.5 points | 56.8% | 56.5% | 37.6% | 1.50× | 1.77 |
| Under 139.5 points | 53.8% | 52.3% | 69.9% | 0.75× | 1.91 |
| Over 137.5 points | 51.5% | 52.3% | 33.8% | 1.55× | 1.91 |
| Under 138.5 points | 51.0% | 52.3% | 67.9% | 0.77× | 1.91 |
| Under 137.5 points | 48.5% | 47.7% | 66.2% | 0.72× | 2.10 |
| Over 138.5 points | 49.0% | 47.7% | 32.1% | 1.49× | 2.10 |
| Over 139.5 points | 46.2% | 47.7% | 30.1% | 1.58× | 2.10 |
| Under 135.5 points | 43.2% | 43.5% | 62.4% | 0.70× | 2.30 |
| Over 141.5 points | 41.0% | 43.5% | 26.6% | 1.64× | 2.30 |
| Under 133.5 points | 38.1% | 38.5% | 58.0% | 0.66× | 2.60 |
| Over 143.5 points | 35.9% | 38.5% | 23.3% | 1.65× | 2.60 |
| Under 131.5 points | 33.1% | 34.1% | 53.9% | 0.63× | 2.93 |
| Over 145.5 points | 31.1% | 34.1% | 20.5% | 1.67× | 2.93 |
| Under 128.5 points | 26.2% | 29.2% | 47.2% | 0.62× | 3.43 |
| Over 148.5 points | 24.5% | 24.4% | 16.3% | 1.49× | 4.10 |
| Under 123.5 points | 16.6% | 19.4% | 36.7% | 0.53× | 5.15 |
| Over 153.5 points | 15.3% | 19.4% | 11.0% | 1.77× | 5.15 |
| Under 118.5 points | 9.6% | 11.2% | 26.4% | 0.42× | 8.96 |
| Over 158.5 points | 8.8% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 1.53× | 8.96 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villanova Wildcats to win both halves | 24.8% | 23.1% | 20.4% | 1.13× | 4.33 |
| Kansas State Wildcats to win both halves | 15.9% | 18.9% | 36.0% | 0.52× | 5.30 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villanova Wildcats by 1-5 | 18.2% | 16.8% | 10.2% | 1.65× | 5.97 |
| Kansas State Wildcats by 1-5 | 16.5% | 16.8% | 10.2% | 1.64× | 5.97 |
| Villanova Wildcats by 6-10 | 15.9% | 16.8% | 10.3% | 1.63× | 5.97 |
| Kansas State Wildcats by 6-10 | 12.3% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 0.95× | 8.11 |
| Villanova Wildcats by 11-15 | 11.4% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 1.62× | 8.11 |
| Kansas State Wildcats by 11-15 | 7.6% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 0.69× | 13.40 |
| Villanova Wildcats by 16-20 | 6.8% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 1.57× | 13.40 |
| Kansas State Wildcats by 16-20 | 3.8% | 2.0% | 8.0% | 0.25× | 49.29 |
| Kansas State Wildcats by 21-25 | 1.6% | 2.0% | 5.4% | 0.38× | 49.31 |
| Villanova Wildcats by 21-25 | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 0.76× | 49.30 |
| Kansas State Wildcats by 26+ | 0.7% | 2.0% | 12.6% | 0.16× | 49.32 |
| Villanova Wildcats by 26+ | 1.9% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 0.44× | 49.31 |