Kentucky Wildcats v Maine Black Bears — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Friday 27 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027
NCAAW results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Kentucky Wildcats win
99.3%
Draw
0.0%
Maine Black Bears win
0.7%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 78.12–50.50 | 78-50 0% | 57% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky Wildcats to score 100+ | 1.4% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.20× | 283.08 |
| Kentucky Wildcats to score 110+ | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.64× | 283.35 |
| Kentucky Wildcats to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 2.91× | 283.36 |
| Kentucky Wildcats to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 7.58× | 283.36 |
| Maine Black Bears to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.71× | 283.36 |
| Maine Black Bears to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.74× | 283.36 |
| Maine Black Bears to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 18.95× | 283.36 |
| Maine Black Bears to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 37.89× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 6.32× | 283.36 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky Wildcats to win H1 | 91.8% | 93.4% | 56.4% | 1.65× | 1.07 |
| Maine Black Bears to win H1 | 6.6% | 7.1% | 39.9% | 0.18× | 14.10 |
| H1 tied | 1.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.05× | 25.88 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 over 50.5 | 89.7% | 87.7% | 84.5% | 1.04× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 74.5 | 88.8% | 87.7% | 87.2% | 1.01× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 54.5 | 80.0% | 77.4% | 74.0% | 1.05× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 70.5 | 79.1% | 77.4% | 78.9% | 0.98× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 57.5 | 70.1% | 73.5% | 64.8% | 1.13× | 1.36 |
| H1 under 67.5 | 69.3% | 67.4% | 70.4% | 0.96× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 59.5 | 62.5% | 62.7% | 57.8% | 1.08× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 65.5 | 61.8% | 62.7% | 63.9% | 0.98× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 61.5 | 54.4% | 52.6% | 50.2% | 1.05× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 63.5 | 53.8% | 52.6% | 57.1% | 0.92× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 62.5 | 50.3% | 52.6% | 46.3% | 1.14× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 62.5 | 49.7% | 47.4% | 53.7% | 0.88× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 61.5 | 45.6% | 47.4% | 49.8% | 0.95× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 63.5 | 46.2% | 47.4% | 42.9% | 1.10× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 65.5 | 38.2% | 37.3% | 36.1% | 1.03× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 59.5 | 37.5% | 37.3% | 42.2% | 0.88× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 67.5 | 30.7% | 32.6% | 29.6% | 1.10× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 57.5 | 29.9% | 26.5% | 35.2% | 0.75× | 3.77 |
| H1 over 70.5 | 20.9% | 22.6% | 21.1% | 1.07× | 4.43 |
| H1 under 54.5 | 20.0% | 22.6% | 26.0% | 0.87× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 74.5 | 11.2% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 0.96× | 8.14 |
| H1 under 50.5 | 10.3% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 0.79× | 8.14 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky Wildcats to win H2 | 93.0% | 89.4% | 56.0% | 1.59× | 1.12 |
| Maine Black Bears to win H2 | 5.6% | 11.2% | 40.6% | 0.28× | 8.92 |
| H2 tied | 1.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.16× | 25.38 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 over 56.5 | 88.6% | 85.2% | 84.1% | 1.01× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 80.5 | 87.9% | 85.2% | 84.0% | 1.01× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 60.5 | 78.8% | 75.8% | 74.5% | 1.02× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 76.5 | 78.3% | 75.8% | 75.6% | 1.00× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 63.5 | 69.1% | 66.4% | 65.3% | 1.02× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 73.5 | 68.8% | 66.4% | 67.1% | 0.99× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 65.5 | 61.8% | 61.6% | 58.8% | 1.05× | 1.62 |
| H2 under 71.5 | 61.6% | 61.6% | 61.1% | 1.01× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 67.5 | 54.0% | 52.4% | 52.1% | 1.00× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 69.5 | 53.9% | 52.4% | 54.8% | 0.96× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 68.5 | 50.1% | 52.4% | 48.7% | 1.08× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 68.5 | 49.9% | 47.6% | 51.3% | 0.93× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 67.5 | 46.0% | 47.6% | 47.9% | 1.00× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 69.5 | 46.1% | 47.6% | 45.2% | 1.05× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 65.5 | 38.2% | 38.4% | 41.2% | 0.93× | 2.61 |
| H2 over 71.5 | 38.4% | 38.4% | 38.9% | 0.99× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 63.5 | 30.9% | 33.6% | 34.7% | 0.97× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 73.5 | 31.2% | 33.6% | 32.9% | 1.02× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 60.5 | 21.2% | 24.2% | 25.5% | 0.95× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 76.5 | 21.7% | 24.2% | 24.4% | 0.99× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 80.5 | 12.1% | 14.8% | 16.0% | 0.93× | 6.76 |
| H2 under 56.5 | 11.4% | 14.8% | 15.9% | 0.93× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky Wildcats leading at half time | 91.8% | 93.9% | 56.4% | 1.66× | 1.07 |
| Maine Black Bears leading at half time | 6.6% | 6.6% | 39.9% | 0.17× | 15.14 |
| Level at half time | 1.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.03× | 26.43 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky Wildcats +1.5 | 99.5% | 97.4% | 61.2% | 1.59× | 1.03 |
| Kentucky Wildcats +2.5 | 99.6% | 97.4% | 63.3% | 1.54× | 1.03 |
| Kentucky Wildcats +3.5 | 99.7% | 97.4% | 65.7% | 1.48× | 1.03 |
| Kentucky Wildcats +4.5 | 99.8% | 97.4% | 67.8% | 1.44× | 1.03 |
| Kentucky Wildcats +5.5 | 99.8% | 97.4% | 70.1% | 1.39× | 1.03 |
| Kentucky Wildcats +6.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 72.3% | 1.35× | 1.03 |
| Kentucky Wildcats +7.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 74.5% | 1.31× | 1.03 |
| Kentucky Wildcats +8.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 76.5% | 1.27× | 1.03 |
| Kentucky Wildcats +9.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 78.7% | 1.24× | 1.03 |
| Kentucky Wildcats +10.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 80.4% | 1.21× | 1.03 |
| Kentucky Wildcats +12.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 83.8% | 1.16× | 1.03 |
| Kentucky Wildcats +14.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 86.7% | 1.12× | 1.03 |
| Kentucky Wildcats +16.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 89.1% | 1.09× | 1.03 |
| Kentucky Wildcats +18.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 91.1% | 1.07× | 1.03 |
| Kentucky Wildcats +20.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 92.7% | 1.05× | 1.03 |
| Kentucky Wildcats −1.5 | 99.0% | 97.4% | 58.7% | 1.66× | 1.03 |
| Kentucky Wildcats −2.5 | 98.7% | 97.4% | 56.7% | 1.72× | 1.03 |
| Kentucky Wildcats −3.5 | 98.4% | 97.4% | 54.2% | 1.80× | 1.03 |
| Kentucky Wildcats −4.5 | 97.9% | 97.4% | 52.2% | 1.87× | 1.03 |
| Kentucky Wildcats −5.5 | 97.4% | 97.4% | 49.7% | 1.96× | 1.03 |
| Kentucky Wildcats −6.5 | 96.8% | 97.4% | 47.6% | 2.05× | 1.03 |
| Kentucky Wildcats −7.5 | 96.0% | 97.4% | 44.8% | 2.18× | 1.03 |
| Kentucky Wildcats −8.5 | 95.1% | 97.4% | 42.0% | 2.32× | 1.03 |
| Kentucky Wildcats −9.5 | 94.1% | 91.1% | 39.3% | 2.32× | 1.10 |
| Kentucky Wildcats −10.5 | 92.9% | 91.1% | 36.8% | 2.48× | 1.10 |
| Kentucky Wildcats −12.5 | 90.1% | 91.1% | 32.1% | 2.84× | 1.10 |
| Kentucky Wildcats −14.5 | 86.4% | 85.9% | 27.9% | 3.08× | 1.16 |
| Kentucky Wildcats −16.5 | 82.0% | 81.1% | 24.3% | 3.34× | 1.23 |
| Kentucky Wildcats −18.5 | 76.7% | 76.5% | 20.7% | 3.69× | 1.31 |
| Kentucky Wildcats −20.5 | 70.6% | 71.6% | 18.0% | 3.98× | 1.40 |
| Maine Black Bears +20.5 | 29.4% | 28.4% | 82.0% | 0.35× | 3.53 |
| Maine Black Bears +18.5 | 23.3% | 23.5% | 79.3% | 0.30× | 4.25 |
| Maine Black Bears +16.5 | 18.0% | 18.9% | 75.7% | 0.25× | 5.29 |
| Maine Black Bears +14.5 | 13.6% | 14.1% | 72.1% | 0.20× | 7.09 |
| Maine Black Bears +12.5 | 9.9% | 8.9% | 67.9% | 0.13× | 11.25 |
| Maine Black Bears +9.5 | 5.9% | 8.9% | 60.7% | 0.15× | 11.25 |
| Maine Black Bears +10.5 | 7.1% | 8.9% | 63.2% | 0.14× | 11.25 |
| Maine Black Bears +8.5 | 4.9% | 2.6% | 58.0% | 0.04× | 38.72 |
| Maine Black Bears +1.5 | 1.0% | 2.6% | 41.3% | 0.06× | 38.74 |
| Maine Black Bears +2.5 | 1.3% | 2.6% | 43.3% | 0.06× | 38.74 |
| Maine Black Bears +3.5 | 1.6% | 2.6% | 45.8% | 0.06× | 38.73 |
| Maine Black Bears +4.5 | 2.1% | 2.6% | 47.8% | 0.05× | 38.73 |
| Maine Black Bears +5.5 | 2.6% | 2.6% | 50.3% | 0.05× | 38.73 |
| Maine Black Bears +6.5 | 3.2% | 2.6% | 52.4% | 0.05× | 38.73 |
| Maine Black Bears +7.5 | 4.0% | 2.6% | 55.2% | 0.05× | 38.72 |
| Maine Black Bears −1.5 | 0.5% | 2.6% | 38.8% | 0.07× | 38.74 |
| Maine Black Bears −2.5 | 0.4% | 2.6% | 36.7% | 0.07× | 38.74 |
| Maine Black Bears −3.5 | 0.3% | 2.6% | 34.3% | 0.08× | 38.74 |
| Maine Black Bears −4.5 | 0.2% | 2.6% | 32.2% | 0.08× | 38.74 |
| Maine Black Bears −5.5 | 0.2% | 2.6% | 29.9% | 0.09× | 38.74 |
| Maine Black Bears −6.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 27.7% | 0.09× | 38.74 |
| Maine Black Bears −7.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 25.5% | 0.10× | 38.74 |
| Maine Black Bears −8.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 23.5% | 0.11× | 38.74 |
| Maine Black Bears −9.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 21.3% | 0.12× | 38.74 |
| Maine Black Bears −10.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 19.6% | 0.13× | 38.74 |
| Maine Black Bears −12.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 16.2% | 0.16× | 38.74 |
| Maine Black Bears −14.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 13.3% | 0.19× | 38.74 |
| Maine Black Bears −16.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 10.9% | 0.24× | 38.74 |
| Maine Black Bears −18.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 8.9% | 0.29× | 38.74 |
| Maine Black Bears −20.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 7.3% | 0.35× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 72.1% | 67.1% | 66.7% | 1.01× | 1.49 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 27.9% | 32.9% | 33.3% | 0.99× | 3.04 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 highest scoring | 34.5% | 31.9% | 31.2% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 32.6% | 31.9% | 31.3% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q1 highest scoring | 17.2% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 0.94× | 5.46 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 15.7% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 1.02× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky Wildcats at HT / Kentucky Wildcats at FT | 91.5% | 93.9% | 48.3% | 1.95× | 1.07 |
| Maine Black Bears at HT / Kentucky Wildcats at FT | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 0.85× | 12.09 |
| Level at HT / Kentucky Wildcats at FT | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.09× | 47.76 |
| Kentucky Wildcats at HT / Maine Black Bears at FT | 0.3% | 2.1% | 8.2% | 0.26× | 47.79 |
| Maine Black Bears at HT / Maine Black Bears at FT | 0.4% | 2.1% | 30.1% | 0.07× | 47.78 |
| Level at HT / Maine Black Bears at FT | 0.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.20× | 47.79 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky Wildcats to win | 99.3% | 97.5% | 59.9% | 1.63× | 1.03 |
| Maine Black Bears to win | 0.7% | 2.5% | 40.1% | 0.06× | 39.78 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky Wildcats even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.4% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Maine Black Bears even | 50.6% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Total points odd | 50.1% | 50.5% | 51.5% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| Kentucky Wildcats odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.6% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| Maine Black Bears odd | 49.4% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 49.9% | 49.5% | 48.5% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 98.9% | 97.0% | 95.6% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Match to go to overtime | 1.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 0.67× | 33.59 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky Wildcats to win Q1 | 81.5% | 85.6% | 54.7% | 1.56× | 1.17 |
| Maine Black Bears to win Q1 | 14.6% | 11.6% | 40.4% | 0.29× | 8.63 |
| Q1 tied | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 0.85× | 23.98 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 over 23.5 | 88.8% | 87.4% | 85.4% | 1.02× | 1.14 |
| Q1 under 39.5 | 88.7% | 87.4% | 87.5% | 1.00× | 1.14 |
| Q1 over 26.5 | 77.5% | 76.9% | 72.9% | 1.06× | 1.30 |
| Q1 under 36.5 | 77.6% | 76.9% | 77.4% | 0.99× | 1.30 |
| Q1 over 28.5 | 67.4% | 67.6% | 62.7% | 1.08× | 1.48 |
| Q1 under 34.5 | 67.6% | 67.6% | 68.5% | 0.99× | 1.48 |
| Q1 over 30.5 | 55.9% | 58.6% | 51.2% | 1.14× | 1.71 |
| Q1 under 32.5 | 56.2% | 58.6% | 59.1% | 0.99× | 1.71 |
| Q1 under 31.5 | 50.1% | 52.7% | 54.0% | 0.98× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 31.5 | 49.9% | 47.3% | 46.0% | 1.03× | 2.11 |
| Q1 under 30.5 | 44.1% | 41.4% | 48.8% | 0.85× | 2.42 |
| Q1 over 32.5 | 43.8% | 41.4% | 40.9% | 1.01× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 28.5 | 32.6% | 32.4% | 37.3% | 0.87× | 3.08 |
| Q1 over 34.5 | 32.4% | 32.4% | 31.5% | 1.03× | 3.08 |
| Q1 under 26.5 | 22.5% | 23.1% | 27.1% | 0.85× | 4.33 |
| Q1 over 36.5 | 22.4% | 23.1% | 22.6% | 1.02× | 4.33 |
| Q1 under 23.5 | 11.2% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 0.86× | 7.95 |
| Q1 over 39.5 | 11.3% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 1.01× | 7.95 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky Wildcats to win Q2 | 80.8% | 84.8% | 52.9% | 1.60× | 1.18 |
| Maine Black Bears to win Q2 | 15.3% | 14.4% | 41.5% | 0.35× | 6.94 |
| Q2 tied | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 0.77× | 22.91 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 under 39.5 | 89.6% | 87.3% | 88.4% | 0.99× | 1.15 |
| Q2 over 23.5 | 87.8% | 87.3% | 84.6% | 1.03× | 1.15 |
| Q2 under 36.5 | 79.0% | 76.8% | 78.7% | 0.98× | 1.30 |
| Q2 over 26.5 | 76.0% | 76.8% | 71.6% | 1.07× | 1.30 |
| Q2 under 34.5 | 69.4% | 67.4% | 70.1% | 0.96× | 1.48 |
| Q2 over 28.5 | 65.6% | 67.4% | 61.2% | 1.10× | 1.49 |
| Q2 under 32.5 | 58.1% | 58.2% | 60.8% | 0.96× | 1.72 |
| Q2 over 30.5 | 53.9% | 52.7% | 49.9% | 1.06× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 31.5 | 52.1% | 52.7% | 55.7% | 0.95× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 31.5 | 47.9% | 47.3% | 44.3% | 1.07× | 2.11 |
| Q2 under 30.5 | 46.1% | 47.3% | 50.1% | 0.94× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 32.5 | 41.9% | 41.8% | 39.2% | 1.07× | 2.39 |
| Q2 under 28.5 | 34.4% | 32.6% | 38.8% | 0.84× | 3.06 |
| Q2 over 34.5 | 30.6% | 32.6% | 29.9% | 1.09× | 3.06 |
| Q2 under 26.5 | 24.0% | 23.2% | 28.4% | 0.82× | 4.31 |
| Q2 over 36.5 | 21.0% | 23.2% | 21.3% | 1.09× | 4.31 |
| Q2 under 23.5 | 12.2% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 0.82× | 7.89 |
| Q2 over 39.5 | 10.4% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 1.09× | 7.90 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky Wildcats to win Q3 | 83.1% | 85.7% | 53.3% | 1.61× | 1.17 |
| Maine Black Bears to win Q3 | 13.4% | 11.4% | 41.8% | 0.27× | 8.74 |
| Q3 tied | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 0.86× | 23.47 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 under 42.5 | 88.7% | 87.2% | 87.8% | 0.99× | 1.15 |
| Q3 over 26.5 | 87.6% | 87.2% | 83.8% | 1.04× | 1.15 |
| Q3 under 39.5 | 78.0% | 77.3% | 77.9% | 0.99× | 1.29 |
| Q3 over 29.5 | 76.0% | 77.3% | 71.8% | 1.08× | 1.29 |
| Q3 under 37.5 | 68.4% | 67.8% | 69.7% | 0.97× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 31.5 | 65.8% | 67.8% | 61.6% | 1.10× | 1.48 |
| Q3 under 35.5 | 57.3% | 58.4% | 59.7% | 0.98× | 1.71 |
| Q3 over 33.5 | 54.4% | 52.3% | 50.9% | 1.03× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 34.5 | 51.4% | 52.3% | 54.6% | 0.96× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 34.5 | 48.6% | 47.7% | 45.4% | 1.05× | 2.10 |
| Q3 under 33.5 | 45.6% | 47.7% | 49.1% | 0.97× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 35.5 | 42.7% | 41.6% | 40.3% | 1.03× | 2.40 |
| Q3 under 31.5 | 34.2% | 32.2% | 38.4% | 0.84× | 3.10 |
| Q3 over 37.5 | 31.6% | 32.2% | 30.3% | 1.06× | 3.11 |
| Q3 under 29.5 | 24.0% | 22.7% | 28.2% | 0.81× | 4.40 |
| Q3 over 39.5 | 22.0% | 22.7% | 22.1% | 1.03× | 4.40 |
| Q3 under 26.5 | 12.4% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 0.79× | 7.83 |
| Q3 over 42.5 | 11.3% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 1.05× | 7.83 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky Wildcats to win Q4 | 82.6% | 74.8% | 52.8% | 1.42× | 1.34 |
| Maine Black Bears to win Q4 | 13.8% | 17.9% | 41.5% | 0.43× | 5.59 |
| Q4 tied | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 0.91× | 19.31 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 under 42.5 | 87.1% | 85.6% | 86.2% | 0.99× | 1.17 |
| Q4 over 26.5 | 86.3% | 85.6% | 82.6% | 1.04× | 1.17 |
| Q4 under 39.5 | 76.4% | 76.9% | 77.0% | 1.00× | 1.30 |
| Q4 over 29.5 | 75.0% | 71.5% | 70.8% | 1.01× | 1.40 |
| Q4 under 37.5 | 67.1% | 67.4% | 68.8% | 0.98× | 1.48 |
| Q4 over 31.5 | 65.3% | 67.4% | 61.1% | 1.10× | 1.48 |
| Q4 under 35.5 | 56.5% | 58.4% | 59.4% | 0.98× | 1.71 |
| Q4 over 33.5 | 54.6% | 52.5% | 50.4% | 1.04× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 34.5 | 51.0% | 52.5% | 54.4% | 0.96× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 34.5 | 49.0% | 47.5% | 45.6% | 1.04× | 2.11 |
| Q4 under 33.5 | 45.4% | 47.5% | 49.6% | 0.96× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 35.5 | 43.5% | 41.6% | 40.6% | 1.02× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 31.5 | 34.7% | 32.6% | 38.9% | 0.84× | 3.07 |
| Q4 over 37.5 | 32.9% | 32.6% | 31.2% | 1.04× | 3.07 |
| Q4 under 29.5 | 25.0% | 28.5% | 29.2% | 0.98× | 3.51 |
| Q4 over 39.5 | 23.6% | 23.1% | 23.0% | 1.00× | 4.33 |
| Q4 under 26.5 | 13.7% | 14.4% | 17.4% | 0.83× | 6.95 |
| Q4 over 42.5 | 12.9% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 1.04× | 6.95 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maine Black Bears over 42.5 | 91.3% | 86.4% | 94.8% | 0.91× | 1.16 |
| Maine Black Bears under 62.5 | 89.0% | 83.9% | 51.0% | 1.65× | 1.19 |
| Kentucky Wildcats under 89.5 | 87.3% | 83.9% | 93.9% | 0.89× | 1.19 |
| Kentucky Wildcats over 69.5 | 83.8% | 80.7% | 42.6% | 1.90× | 1.24 |
| Maine Black Bears under 59.5 | 81.2% | 80.7% | 41.2% | 1.96× | 1.24 |
| Kentucky Wildcats under 86.5 | 79.5% | 75.1% | 91.2% | 0.82× | 1.33 |
| Maine Black Bears over 45.5 | 79.9% | 75.1% | 91.3% | 0.82× | 1.33 |
| Kentucky Wildcats over 72.5 | 74.7% | 70.7% | 34.3% | 2.06× | 1.41 |
| Maine Black Bears under 57.5 | 74.5% | 70.7% | 34.9% | 2.03× | 1.41 |
| Kentucky Wildcats under 84.5 | 73.0% | 70.7% | 88.9% | 0.80× | 1.41 |
| Maine Black Bears over 47.5 | 71.0% | 70.7% | 88.4% | 0.80× | 1.41 |
| Kentucky Wildcats over 74.5 | 67.4% | 66.4% | 29.3% | 2.27× | 1.51 |
| Maine Black Bears under 55.5 | 66.6% | 66.4% | 29.2% | 2.27× | 1.51 |
| Kentucky Wildcats under 82.5 | 65.5% | 66.4% | 86.2% | 0.77× | 1.51 |
| Maine Black Bears over 49.5 | 61.5% | 61.2% | 85.1% | 0.72× | 1.63 |
| Kentucky Wildcats over 76.5 | 59.4% | 57.1% | 24.6% | 2.33× | 1.75 |
| Maine Black Bears under 53.5 | 57.8% | 57.1% | 23.7% | 2.41× | 1.75 |
| Kentucky Wildcats under 80.5 | 57.4% | 57.1% | 82.9% | 0.69× | 1.75 |
| Kentucky Wildcats over 78.5 | 51.0% | 52.3% | 20.6% | 2.53× | 1.91 |
| Kentucky Wildcats under 79.5 | 53.2% | 52.3% | 81.3% | 0.64× | 1.91 |
| Maine Black Bears over 51.5 | 51.8% | 52.3% | 81.0% | 0.65× | 1.91 |
| Maine Black Bears under 52.5 | 53.1% | 52.3% | 21.5% | 2.43× | 1.91 |
| Kentucky Wildcats under 78.5 | 49.0% | 47.7% | 79.4% | 0.60× | 2.09 |
| Kentucky Wildcats over 79.5 | 46.8% | 47.7% | 18.7% | 2.55× | 2.09 |
| Maine Black Bears under 51.5 | 48.2% | 47.7% | 19.0% | 2.51× | 2.09 |
| Maine Black Bears over 52.5 | 46.9% | 47.7% | 78.5% | 0.61× | 2.09 |
| Kentucky Wildcats over 80.5 | 42.6% | 42.9% | 17.1% | 2.51× | 2.33 |
| Maine Black Bears over 53.5 | 42.2% | 42.9% | 76.3% | 0.56× | 2.33 |
| Kentucky Wildcats under 76.5 | 40.6% | 42.9% | 75.4% | 0.57× | 2.33 |
| Maine Black Bears under 49.5 | 38.5% | 38.8% | 14.9% | 2.60× | 2.58 |
| Kentucky Wildcats over 82.5 | 34.5% | 33.6% | 13.8% | 2.44× | 2.98 |
| Maine Black Bears over 55.5 | 33.4% | 33.6% | 70.8% | 0.47× | 2.98 |
| Kentucky Wildcats under 74.5 | 32.6% | 33.6% | 70.7% | 0.48× | 2.98 |
| Maine Black Bears under 47.5 | 29.0% | 29.3% | 11.6% | 2.52× | 3.42 |
| Kentucky Wildcats over 84.5 | 27.0% | 29.3% | 11.1% | 2.64× | 3.42 |
| Maine Black Bears over 57.5 | 25.5% | 29.3% | 65.1% | 0.45× | 3.42 |
| Kentucky Wildcats under 72.5 | 25.3% | 29.3% | 65.7% | 0.45× | 3.42 |
| Kentucky Wildcats over 86.5 | 20.5% | 24.9% | 8.8% | 2.83× | 4.02 |
| Maine Black Bears under 45.5 | 20.1% | 24.9% | 8.7% | 2.87× | 4.02 |
| Maine Black Bears over 59.5 | 18.8% | 19.3% | 58.8% | 0.33× | 5.18 |
| Kentucky Wildcats under 69.5 | 16.2% | 19.3% | 57.4% | 0.34× | 5.18 |
| Kentucky Wildcats over 89.5 | 12.7% | 16.1% | 6.1% | 2.62× | 6.21 |
| Maine Black Bears over 62.5 | 11.0% | 16.1% | 49.0% | 0.33× | 6.21 |
| Maine Black Bears under 42.5 | 8.7% | 13.6% | 5.2% | 2.62× | 7.37 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 111.5 points | 93.6% | 88.8% | 85.1% | 1.04× | 1.13 |
| Under 151.5 points | 92.6% | 88.8% | 87.3% | 1.02× | 1.13 |
| Over 116.5 points | 86.5% | 85.0% | 77.2% | 1.10× | 1.18 |
| Under 146.5 points | 86.6% | 85.0% | 80.9% | 1.05× | 1.18 |
| Under 141.5 points | 77.7% | 75.6% | 73.4% | 1.03× | 1.32 |
| Over 121.5 points | 75.9% | 75.6% | 67.7% | 1.12× | 1.32 |
| Under 138.5 points | 70.9% | 70.8% | 67.9% | 1.04× | 1.41 |
| Over 124.5 points | 68.1% | 65.9% | 61.5% | 1.07× | 1.52 |
| Under 136.5 points | 65.9% | 65.9% | 64.2% | 1.03× | 1.52 |
| Over 126.5 points | 62.5% | 61.5% | 57.4% | 1.07× | 1.63 |
| Under 134.5 points | 60.5% | 61.5% | 60.2% | 1.02× | 1.63 |
| Over 128.5 points | 56.8% | 56.5% | 52.8% | 1.07× | 1.77 |
| Under 132.5 points | 54.9% | 52.3% | 56.0% | 0.94× | 1.91 |
| Under 131.5 points | 52.0% | 52.3% | 53.9% | 0.97× | 1.91 |
| Over 130.5 points | 50.9% | 52.3% | 48.3% | 1.08× | 1.91 |
| Under 130.5 points | 49.1% | 47.7% | 51.7% | 0.92× | 2.10 |
| Over 131.5 points | 48.0% | 47.7% | 46.1% | 1.03× | 2.10 |
| Over 132.5 points | 45.1% | 47.7% | 44.0% | 1.08× | 2.10 |
| Under 128.5 points | 43.2% | 43.5% | 47.2% | 0.92× | 2.30 |
| Over 134.5 points | 39.5% | 38.5% | 39.8% | 0.97× | 2.60 |
| Under 126.5 points | 37.5% | 38.5% | 42.6% | 0.90× | 2.60 |
| Over 136.5 points | 34.1% | 34.1% | 35.8% | 0.95× | 2.93 |
| Under 124.5 points | 31.9% | 34.1% | 38.5% | 0.89× | 2.93 |
| Over 138.5 points | 29.1% | 29.2% | 32.1% | 0.91× | 3.43 |
| Under 121.5 points | 24.1% | 24.4% | 32.3% | 0.75× | 4.10 |
| Over 141.5 points | 22.3% | 24.4% | 26.6% | 0.92× | 4.10 |
| Under 116.5 points | 13.5% | 15.0% | 22.8% | 0.66× | 6.68 |
| Over 146.5 points | 13.4% | 15.0% | 19.1% | 0.78× | 6.69 |
| Over 151.5 points | 7.4% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 0.87× | 8.97 |
| Under 111.5 points | 6.4% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 0.75× | 8.97 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky Wildcats to win both halves | 85.0% | 85.8% | 36.0% | 2.38× | 1.17 |
| Maine Black Bears to win both halves | 0.1% | 3.0% | 20.4% | 0.15× | 33.84 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky Wildcats by 26+ | 53.0% | 49.5% | 12.6% | 3.92× | 2.02 |
| Kentucky Wildcats by 21-25 | 17.6% | 16.8% | 5.4% | 3.11× | 5.97 |
| Kentucky Wildcats by 16-20 | 13.7% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 1.53× | 8.11 |
| Kentucky Wildcats by 11-15 | 8.6% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 0.69× | 13.40 |
| Kentucky Wildcats by 6-10 | 4.5% | 2.0% | 12.9% | 0.16× | 49.29 |
| Kentucky Wildcats by 1-5 | 1.9% | 2.0% | 10.2% | 0.20× | 49.31 |
| Maine Black Bears by 1-5 | 0.5% | 2.0% | 10.2% | 0.20× | 49.32 |
| Maine Black Bears by 6-10 | 0.1% | 2.0% | 10.3% | 0.20× | 49.33 |
| Maine Black Bears by 11-15 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 7.6% | 0.27× | 49.33 |
| Maine Black Bears by 16-20 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 0.43× | 49.33 |
| Maine Black Bears by 21-25 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 0.76× | 49.33 |
| Maine Black Bears by 26+ | 0.0% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 0.44× | 49.33 |