LA Clippers v Miami Heat — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Thursday 5 November 2026 · NBA · 2027
NBA results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 119.43–117.45 | 119-117 0% | 49% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LA Clippers to score 100+ | 95.4% | 94.8% | 89.3% | 1.06× | 1.05 |
| Miami Heat to score 100+ | 93.7% | 90.3% | 85.9% | 1.05× | 1.11 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 89.7% | 85.1% | 77.5% | 1.10× | 1.18 |
| LA Clippers to score 110+ | 80.0% | 77.0% | 67.0% | 1.15× | 1.30 |
| Miami Heat to score 110+ | 75.0% | 76.9% | 60.9% | 1.26× | 1.30 |
| LA Clippers to score 120+ | 49.9% | 47.0% | 36.5% | 1.29× | 2.13 |
| Miami Heat to score 120+ | 43.0% | 41.9% | 29.7% | 1.41× | 2.39 |
| LA Clippers to score 130+ | 19.8% | 17.6% | 12.8% | 1.37× | 5.68 |
| Miami Heat to score 130+ | 15.2% | 17.5% | 10.0% | 1.76× | 5.71 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LA Clippers to win H1 | 51.9% | 51.8% | 52.8% | 0.98× | 1.93 |
| Miami Heat to win H1 | 44.6% | 42.7% | 44.1% | 0.97× | 2.34 |
| H1 tied | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.25× | 25.86 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 over 107.5 | 82.3% | 82.5% | 70.4% | 1.17× | 1.21 |
| H1 under 131.5 | 82.1% | 82.5% | 91.0% | 0.91× | 1.21 |
| H1 over 111.5 | 73.2% | 73.5% | 59.0% | 1.25× | 1.36 |
| H1 under 127.5 | 72.9% | 73.5% | 84.8% | 0.87× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 114.5 | 65.1% | 67.4% | 49.6% | 1.36× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 124.5 | 64.8% | 62.7% | 78.4% | 0.80× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 116.5 | 59.3% | 58.2% | 43.4% | 1.34× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 122.5 | 59.0% | 58.2% | 74.0% | 0.79× | 1.72 |
| H1 over 118.5 | 53.2% | 52.6% | 37.1% | 1.42× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 120.5 | 52.9% | 52.6% | 68.4% | 0.77× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 119.5 | 50.2% | 52.6% | 34.1% | 1.55× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 119.5 | 49.8% | 47.4% | 65.9% | 0.72× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 118.5 | 46.8% | 47.4% | 62.9% | 0.75× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 120.5 | 47.1% | 47.4% | 31.6% | 1.50× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 116.5 | 40.7% | 41.8% | 56.6% | 0.74× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 122.5 | 41.0% | 41.8% | 26.0% | 1.60× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 124.5 | 35.2% | 37.3% | 21.7% | 1.72× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 114.5 | 34.9% | 32.6% | 50.4% | 0.65× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 127.5 | 27.1% | 26.5% | 15.2% | 1.75× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 111.5 | 26.8% | 26.5% | 41.0% | 0.65× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 107.5 | 17.7% | 17.5% | 29.6% | 0.59× | 5.73 |
| H1 over 131.5 | 17.9% | 17.5% | 9.0% | 1.94× | 5.73 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LA Clippers to win H2 | 51.8% | 51.2% | 51.6% | 0.99× | 1.95 |
| Miami Heat to win H2 | 44.7% | 43.6% | 44.7% | 0.97× | 2.30 |
| H2 tied | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.06× | 25.36 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 129.5 | 82.8% | 81.8% | 87.6% | 0.93× | 1.22 |
| H2 over 105.5 | 82.1% | 81.8% | 71.3% | 1.15× | 1.22 |
| H2 under 125.5 | 73.7% | 72.2% | 81.3% | 0.89× | 1.39 |
| H2 over 109.5 | 72.8% | 72.2% | 60.9% | 1.19× | 1.39 |
| H2 under 122.5 | 65.6% | 66.4% | 74.4% | 0.89× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 112.5 | 64.6% | 61.6% | 52.6% | 1.17× | 1.62 |
| H2 under 120.5 | 59.7% | 57.3% | 69.3% | 0.83× | 1.74 |
| H2 over 114.5 | 58.7% | 57.3% | 47.5% | 1.21× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 118.5 | 53.6% | 52.4% | 63.6% | 0.82× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 116.5 | 52.6% | 52.4% | 41.9% | 1.25× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 117.5 | 50.5% | 52.4% | 61.1% | 0.86× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 117.5 | 49.5% | 47.6% | 38.9% | 1.22× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 116.5 | 47.4% | 47.6% | 58.1% | 0.82× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 118.5 | 46.4% | 47.6% | 36.4% | 1.31× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 114.5 | 41.3% | 42.7% | 52.5% | 0.81× | 2.34 |
| H2 over 120.5 | 40.3% | 42.7% | 30.7% | 1.39× | 2.35 |
| H2 under 112.5 | 35.4% | 38.4% | 47.4% | 0.81× | 2.61 |
| H2 over 122.5 | 34.4% | 33.6% | 25.6% | 1.31× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 109.5 | 27.2% | 27.8% | 39.1% | 0.71× | 3.59 |
| H2 over 125.5 | 26.3% | 27.8% | 18.7% | 1.49× | 3.59 |
| H2 under 105.5 | 17.9% | 18.2% | 28.7% | 0.63× | 5.50 |
| H2 over 129.5 | 17.2% | 18.2% | 12.4% | 1.46× | 5.50 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LA Clippers leading at half time | 51.9% | 51.9% | 52.8% | 0.98× | 1.93 |
| Miami Heat leading at half time | 44.6% | 42.9% | 44.1% | 0.97× | 2.33 |
| Level at half time | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.22× | 26.41 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LA Clippers +20.5 | 93.8% | 91.1% | 93.1% | 0.98× | 1.10 |
| LA Clippers +18.5 | 91.9% | 91.1% | 91.5% | 1.00× | 1.10 |
| LA Clippers +16.5 | 89.6% | 85.9% | 89.7% | 0.96× | 1.16 |
| Miami Heat +20.5 | 89.6% | 85.9% | 89.1% | 0.96× | 1.16 |
| LA Clippers +14.5 | 86.9% | 85.9% | 87.0% | 0.99× | 1.16 |
| Miami Heat +18.5 | 86.9% | 85.9% | 86.4% | 0.99× | 1.16 |
| LA Clippers +12.5 | 83.7% | 81.1% | 83.9% | 0.97× | 1.23 |
| Miami Heat +16.5 | 83.7% | 81.1% | 83.5% | 0.97× | 1.23 |
| Miami Heat +14.5 | 80.1% | 81.1% | 80.1% | 1.01× | 1.23 |
| LA Clippers +10.5 | 80.0% | 76.5% | 80.3% | 0.95× | 1.31 |
| LA Clippers +9.5 | 78.0% | 76.5% | 78.1% | 0.98× | 1.31 |
| LA Clippers +8.5 | 75.8% | 76.5% | 75.7% | 1.01× | 1.31 |
| Miami Heat +12.5 | 75.9% | 76.5% | 76.0% | 1.01× | 1.31 |
| LA Clippers +7.5 | 73.6% | 71.6% | 73.0% | 0.98× | 1.40 |
| LA Clippers +6.5 | 71.3% | 71.6% | 70.6% | 1.01× | 1.40 |
| Miami Heat +10.5 | 71.4% | 71.6% | 71.0% | 1.01× | 1.40 |
| LA Clippers +5.5 | 68.8% | 66.7% | 68.0% | 0.98× | 1.50 |
| Miami Heat +9.5 | 69.0% | 66.7% | 68.7% | 0.97× | 1.50 |
| LA Clippers +4.5 | 66.3% | 66.7% | 65.7% | 1.02× | 1.50 |
| Miami Heat +8.5 | 66.4% | 66.7% | 65.9% | 1.01× | 1.50 |
| Miami Heat +7.5 | 63.8% | 61.9% | 63.0% | 0.98× | 1.62 |
| LA Clippers +3.5 | 63.7% | 61.9% | 63.1% | 0.98× | 1.62 |
| LA Clippers +2.5 | 61.1% | 61.9% | 60.5% | 1.02× | 1.62 |
| Miami Heat +6.5 | 61.2% | 61.9% | 60.0% | 1.03× | 1.62 |
| LA Clippers +1.5 | 58.3% | 57.1% | 57.9% | 0.99× | 1.75 |
| Miami Heat +5.5 | 58.5% | 57.1% | 57.1% | 1.00× | 1.75 |
| Miami Heat +4.5 | 55.7% | 57.1% | 54.1% | 1.06× | 1.75 |
| LA Clippers −1.5 | 52.8% | 52.4% | 53.7% | 0.98× | 1.91 |
| Miami Heat +3.5 | 52.9% | 52.4% | 51.6% | 1.02× | 1.91 |
| Miami Heat +2.5 | 50.1% | 52.4% | 49.1% | 1.07× | 1.91 |
| LA Clippers −2.5 | 49.9% | 47.6% | 50.9% | 0.93× | 2.10 |
| Miami Heat +1.5 | 47.2% | 47.6% | 46.3% | 1.03× | 2.10 |
| LA Clippers −3.5 | 47.1% | 47.6% | 48.4% | 0.98× | 2.10 |
| LA Clippers −4.5 | 44.3% | 42.9% | 46.0% | 0.93× | 2.33 |
| Miami Heat −1.5 | 41.7% | 42.9% | 42.1% | 1.02× | 2.33 |
| LA Clippers −5.5 | 41.5% | 42.9% | 42.9% | 1.00× | 2.33 |
| Miami Heat −2.5 | 38.9% | 38.1% | 39.5% | 0.96× | 2.63 |
| LA Clippers −6.5 | 38.8% | 38.1% | 40.0% | 0.95× | 2.63 |
| Miami Heat −3.5 | 36.3% | 38.1% | 36.9% | 1.03× | 2.63 |
| LA Clippers −7.5 | 36.2% | 38.1% | 37.0% | 1.03× | 2.63 |
| Miami Heat −4.5 | 33.7% | 33.3% | 34.3% | 0.97× | 3.01 |
| LA Clippers −8.5 | 33.6% | 33.3% | 34.1% | 0.98× | 3.01 |
| Miami Heat −5.5 | 31.2% | 33.3% | 32.0% | 1.04× | 3.01 |
| LA Clippers −9.5 | 31.0% | 33.3% | 31.3% | 1.06× | 3.01 |
| Miami Heat −6.5 | 28.7% | 28.4% | 29.4% | 0.96× | 3.53 |
| LA Clippers −10.5 | 28.6% | 28.4% | 29.0% | 0.98× | 3.53 |
| Miami Heat −7.5 | 26.4% | 28.4% | 27.0% | 1.05× | 3.53 |
| Miami Heat −8.5 | 24.2% | 23.5% | 24.3% | 0.97× | 4.25 |
| LA Clippers −12.5 | 24.1% | 23.5% | 24.0% | 0.98× | 4.25 |
| Miami Heat −9.5 | 22.0% | 23.5% | 21.9% | 1.08× | 4.25 |
| Miami Heat −10.5 | 20.0% | 23.5% | 19.7% | 1.19× | 4.25 |
| LA Clippers −14.5 | 19.9% | 18.9% | 19.9% | 0.95× | 5.29 |
| Miami Heat −12.5 | 16.3% | 18.9% | 16.1% | 1.17× | 5.30 |
| LA Clippers −16.5 | 16.3% | 18.9% | 16.5% | 1.15× | 5.30 |
| Miami Heat −14.5 | 13.1% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 1.09× | 7.09 |
| LA Clippers −18.5 | 13.1% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 1.04× | 7.09 |
| Miami Heat −16.5 | 10.4% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 1.37× | 7.09 |
| LA Clippers −20.5 | 10.4% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 1.30× | 7.09 |
| Miami Heat −18.5 | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 1.04× | 11.25 |
| Miami Heat −20.5 | 6.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 1.29× | 11.25 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half highest scoring | 56.9% | 52.6% | 53.5% | 0.98× | 1.90 |
| 2nd half highest scoring | 43.1% | 47.4% | 46.5% | 1.02× | 2.11 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 highest scoring | 28.4% | 27.4% | 29.2% | 0.94× | 3.65 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 28.1% | 27.4% | 27.5% | 1.00× | 3.65 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 26.6% | 27.4% | 26.3% | 1.04× | 3.65 |
| Q4 highest scoring | 16.9% | 18.3% | 17.0% | 1.08× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LA Clippers at HT / LA Clippers at FT | 40.2% | 41.0% | 40.8% | 1.01× | 2.44 |
| Miami Heat at HT / Miami Heat at FT | 31.2% | 33.2% | 30.9% | 1.08× | 3.01 |
| Miami Heat at HT / LA Clippers at FT | 13.5% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 0.92× | 8.17 |
| LA Clippers at HT / Miami Heat at FT | 11.6% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 1.02× | 8.18 |
| Level at HT / LA Clippers at FT | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.22× | 47.76 |
| Level at HT / Miami Heat at FT | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.50× | 47.76 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LA Clippers to win | 55.6% | 55.2% | 55.7% | 0.99× | 1.81 |
| Miami Heat to win | 44.4% | 44.8% | 44.3% | 1.01× | 2.23 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total points odd | 51.4% | 50.5% | 51.0% | 0.99× | 1.98 |
| LA Clippers even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.7% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Miami Heat even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.3% | 1.00× | 1.98 |
| LA Clippers odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.3% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| Miami Heat odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.7% | 1.00× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 48.6% | 49.5% | 49.0% | 1.01× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 92.9% | 94.0% | 94.8% | 0.99× | 1.06 |
| Match to go to overtime | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 1.16× | 16.65 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LA Clippers to win Q1 | 50.1% | 52.6% | 51.3% | 1.02× | 1.90 |
| Miami Heat to win Q1 | 45.1% | 47.6% | 44.1% | 1.08× | 2.10 |
| Q1 tied | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 0.90× | 23.94 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 under 68.5 | 84.3% | 82.8% | 90.7% | 0.91× | 1.21 |
| Q1 over 52.5 | 80.9% | 82.8% | 72.4% | 1.14× | 1.21 |
| Q1 under 65.5 | 74.4% | 72.7% | 83.2% | 0.87× | 1.38 |
| Q1 over 55.5 | 69.9% | 67.6% | 59.2% | 1.14× | 1.48 |
| Q1 under 63.5 | 66.3% | 67.6% | 76.8% | 0.88× | 1.48 |
| Q1 over 57.5 | 61.3% | 61.7% | 49.6% | 1.25× | 1.62 |
| Q1 under 61.5 | 57.3% | 58.6% | 68.5% | 0.86× | 1.71 |
| Q1 under 60.5 | 52.7% | 52.7% | 64.5% | 0.82× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 59.5 | 52.0% | 52.7% | 40.0% | 1.32× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 59.5 | 48.0% | 47.3% | 60.0% | 0.79× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 60.5 | 47.3% | 47.3% | 35.5% | 1.33× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 61.5 | 42.7% | 41.4% | 31.5% | 1.31× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 57.5 | 38.7% | 38.3% | 50.4% | 0.76× | 2.61 |
| Q1 over 63.5 | 33.7% | 32.4% | 23.2% | 1.40× | 3.08 |
| Q1 under 55.5 | 30.1% | 32.4% | 40.8% | 0.79× | 3.08 |
| Q1 over 65.5 | 25.6% | 27.3% | 16.8% | 1.62× | 3.66 |
| Q1 under 52.5 | 19.1% | 17.2% | 27.6% | 0.62× | 5.83 |
| Q1 over 68.5 | 15.7% | 17.2% | 9.3% | 1.83× | 5.83 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LA Clippers to win Q2 | 50.1% | 51.3% | 49.3% | 1.04× | 1.95 |
| Miami Heat to win Q2 | 45.2% | 47.0% | 46.2% | 1.02× | 2.13 |
| Q2 tied | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 0.98× | 22.88 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 over 51.5 | 82.9% | 83.0% | 74.2% | 1.12× | 1.21 |
| Q2 under 67.5 | 82.2% | 83.0% | 88.7% | 0.94× | 1.21 |
| Q2 over 54.5 | 72.6% | 72.0% | 61.1% | 1.18× | 1.39 |
| Q2 under 64.5 | 71.6% | 72.0% | 80.9% | 0.89× | 1.39 |
| Q2 over 56.5 | 64.3% | 60.7% | 51.7% | 1.17× | 1.65 |
| Q2 under 62.5 | 63.2% | 60.7% | 74.4% | 0.82× | 1.65 |
| Q2 over 58.5 | 55.2% | 58.2% | 42.7% | 1.36× | 1.72 |
| Q2 under 60.5 | 54.1% | 52.7% | 65.7% | 0.80× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 59.5 | 50.6% | 52.7% | 38.1% | 1.38× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 59.5 | 49.4% | 47.3% | 61.9% | 0.76× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 60.5 | 45.9% | 47.3% | 34.3% | 1.38× | 2.11 |
| Q2 under 58.5 | 44.8% | 41.8% | 57.3% | 0.73× | 2.39 |
| Q2 over 62.5 | 36.8% | 39.3% | 25.6% | 1.53× | 2.55 |
| Q2 under 56.5 | 35.7% | 39.3% | 48.3% | 0.81× | 2.55 |
| Q2 over 64.5 | 28.4% | 28.0% | 19.1% | 1.46× | 3.57 |
| Q2 under 54.5 | 27.4% | 28.0% | 38.9% | 0.72× | 3.57 |
| Q2 over 67.5 | 17.8% | 17.0% | 11.3% | 1.50× | 5.88 |
| Q2 under 51.5 | 17.1% | 17.0% | 25.8% | 0.66× | 5.88 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LA Clippers to win Q3 | 50.1% | 52.6% | 50.9% | 1.04× | 1.90 |
| Miami Heat to win Q3 | 45.2% | 47.5% | 44.3% | 1.07× | 2.10 |
| Q3 tied | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 0.88× | 23.43 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 under 68.5 | 84.1% | 82.3% | 89.3% | 0.92× | 1.22 |
| Q3 over 52.5 | 81.7% | 82.3% | 72.2% | 1.14× | 1.22 |
| Q3 under 65.5 | 74.0% | 71.8% | 82.2% | 0.87× | 1.39 |
| Q3 over 55.5 | 70.8% | 71.8% | 59.9% | 1.20× | 1.39 |
| Q3 under 63.5 | 65.7% | 67.8% | 75.9% | 0.89× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 57.5 | 62.1% | 61.9% | 50.2% | 1.23× | 1.61 |
| Q3 under 61.5 | 56.6% | 58.4% | 67.7% | 0.86× | 1.71 |
| Q3 over 59.5 | 52.8% | 52.3% | 41.0% | 1.28× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 60.5 | 51.9% | 52.3% | 63.5% | 0.82× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 60.5 | 48.1% | 47.7% | 36.5% | 1.31× | 2.10 |
| Q3 under 59.5 | 47.2% | 47.7% | 59.0% | 0.81× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 61.5 | 43.4% | 41.6% | 32.3% | 1.29× | 2.40 |
| Q3 under 57.5 | 37.9% | 38.1% | 49.8% | 0.76× | 2.63 |
| Q3 over 63.5 | 34.3% | 32.2% | 24.1% | 1.34× | 3.10 |
| Q3 under 55.5 | 29.2% | 28.2% | 40.1% | 0.70× | 3.55 |
| Q3 over 65.5 | 26.0% | 28.2% | 17.8% | 1.58× | 3.55 |
| Q3 under 52.5 | 18.3% | 17.7% | 27.8% | 0.64× | 5.66 |
| Q3 over 68.5 | 15.9% | 17.7% | 10.7% | 1.65× | 5.66 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LA Clippers to win Q4 | 50.0% | 47.6% | 48.3% | 0.99× | 2.10 |
| Miami Heat to win Q4 | 45.2% | 47.6% | 46.4% | 1.03× | 2.10 |
| Q4 tied | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 0.98× | 19.28 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 under 65.5 | 83.0% | 82.0% | 88.4% | 0.93× | 1.22 |
| Q4 over 49.5 | 81.4% | 82.0% | 72.3% | 1.13× | 1.22 |
| Q4 under 62.5 | 72.8% | 71.5% | 80.4% | 0.89× | 1.40 |
| Q4 over 52.5 | 70.7% | 71.5% | 60.4% | 1.18× | 1.40 |
| Q4 under 60.5 | 64.7% | 61.4% | 74.2% | 0.83× | 1.63 |
| Q4 over 54.5 | 62.4% | 61.4% | 51.4% | 1.20× | 1.63 |
| Q4 under 58.5 | 55.8% | 58.4% | 66.2% | 0.88× | 1.71 |
| Q4 over 56.5 | 53.4% | 52.5% | 42.8% | 1.23× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 57.5 | 51.2% | 52.5% | 61.9% | 0.85× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 57.5 | 48.8% | 47.5% | 38.1% | 1.25× | 2.11 |
| Q4 under 56.5 | 46.6% | 47.5% | 57.2% | 0.83× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 58.5 | 44.2% | 41.6% | 33.8% | 1.23× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 54.5 | 37.6% | 38.6% | 48.6% | 0.79× | 2.59 |
| Q4 over 60.5 | 35.3% | 38.6% | 25.8% | 1.50× | 2.59 |
| Q4 under 52.5 | 29.3% | 28.5% | 39.6% | 0.72× | 3.51 |
| Q4 over 62.5 | 27.2% | 28.5% | 19.6% | 1.45× | 3.51 |
| Q4 under 49.5 | 18.6% | 18.0% | 27.7% | 0.65× | 5.56 |
| Q4 over 65.5 | 17.0% | 18.0% | 11.6% | 1.55× | 5.56 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Heat under 127.5 | 80.5% | 80.7% | 86.9% | 0.93× | 1.24 |
| LA Clippers under 129.5 | 80.2% | 80.7% | 87.2% | 0.93× | 1.24 |
| Miami Heat over 107.5 | 80.1% | 80.7% | 66.6% | 1.21× | 1.24 |
| LA Clippers over 109.5 | 80.0% | 75.1% | 67.0% | 1.12× | 1.33 |
| LA Clippers over 112.5 | 72.2% | 70.7% | 57.7% | 1.23× | 1.41 |
| LA Clippers under 126.5 | 72.4% | 70.7% | 81.5% | 0.87× | 1.41 |
| Miami Heat over 110.5 | 72.2% | 70.7% | 57.9% | 1.22× | 1.41 |
| Miami Heat under 124.5 | 72.7% | 70.7% | 81.4% | 0.87× | 1.41 |
| LA Clippers over 114.5 | 66.2% | 66.4% | 51.4% | 1.29× | 1.51 |
| LA Clippers under 124.5 | 66.5% | 66.4% | 76.8% | 0.86× | 1.51 |
| Miami Heat over 112.5 | 66.2% | 66.4% | 51.5% | 1.29× | 1.51 |
| Miami Heat under 122.5 | 66.7% | 66.4% | 77.4% | 0.86× | 1.51 |
| Miami Heat under 120.5 | 60.4% | 61.2% | 72.7% | 0.84× | 1.63 |
| LA Clippers under 122.5 | 60.1% | 61.2% | 71.8% | 0.85× | 1.63 |
| LA Clippers over 116.5 | 59.9% | 57.1% | 45.3% | 1.26× | 1.75 |
| Miami Heat over 114.5 | 59.8% | 57.1% | 44.5% | 1.28× | 1.75 |
| Miami Heat under 118.5 | 53.7% | 52.3% | 67.4% | 0.78× | 1.91 |
| LA Clippers over 118.5 | 53.3% | 52.3% | 39.7% | 1.32× | 1.91 |
| LA Clippers under 120.5 | 53.5% | 52.3% | 66.3% | 0.79× | 1.91 |
| Miami Heat over 116.5 | 53.1% | 52.3% | 38.5% | 1.36× | 1.91 |
| LA Clippers under 119.5 | 50.1% | 52.3% | 63.5% | 0.82× | 1.91 |
| Miami Heat under 117.5 | 50.3% | 52.3% | 64.4% | 0.81× | 1.91 |
| LA Clippers over 119.5 | 49.9% | 47.7% | 36.5% | 1.31× | 2.09 |
| Miami Heat over 117.5 | 49.7% | 47.7% | 35.6% | 1.34× | 2.09 |
| LA Clippers under 118.5 | 46.7% | 47.7% | 60.3% | 0.79× | 2.09 |
| LA Clippers over 120.5 | 46.5% | 47.7% | 33.7% | 1.42× | 2.09 |
| Miami Heat under 116.5 | 46.9% | 47.7% | 61.5% | 0.78× | 2.09 |
| Miami Heat over 118.5 | 46.3% | 47.7% | 32.6% | 1.46× | 2.09 |
| LA Clippers under 116.5 | 40.1% | 42.9% | 54.7% | 0.78× | 2.33 |
| Miami Heat under 114.5 | 40.2% | 42.9% | 55.5% | 0.77× | 2.33 |
| LA Clippers over 122.5 | 39.9% | 38.8% | 28.2% | 1.38× | 2.58 |
| Miami Heat over 120.5 | 39.6% | 38.8% | 27.3% | 1.42× | 2.58 |
| LA Clippers under 114.5 | 33.8% | 33.6% | 48.6% | 0.69× | 2.98 |
| LA Clippers over 124.5 | 33.5% | 33.6% | 23.2% | 1.45× | 2.98 |
| Miami Heat under 112.5 | 33.8% | 33.6% | 48.5% | 0.69× | 2.98 |
| Miami Heat over 122.5 | 33.3% | 33.6% | 22.6% | 1.48× | 2.98 |
| LA Clippers under 112.5 | 27.8% | 29.3% | 42.3% | 0.69× | 3.42 |
| LA Clippers over 126.5 | 27.6% | 29.3% | 18.5% | 1.59× | 3.42 |
| Miami Heat under 110.5 | 27.8% | 29.3% | 42.1% | 0.69× | 3.42 |
| Miami Heat over 124.5 | 27.3% | 29.3% | 18.6% | 1.58× | 3.42 |
| LA Clippers under 109.5 | 20.0% | 24.9% | 33.0% | 0.75× | 4.02 |
| LA Clippers over 129.5 | 19.8% | 19.3% | 12.8% | 1.50× | 5.18 |
| Miami Heat under 107.5 | 19.9% | 19.3% | 33.4% | 0.58× | 5.18 |
| Miami Heat over 127.5 | 19.5% | 19.3% | 13.1% | 1.47× | 5.18 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 257.5 points | 86.9% | 85.0% | 92.3% | 0.92× | 1.18 |
| Over 217.5 points | 85.4% | 85.0% | 69.6% | 1.22× | 1.18 |
| Under 252.5 points | 80.2% | 80.6% | 88.1% | 0.91× | 1.24 |
| Over 222.5 points | 78.3% | 75.6% | 60.4% | 1.25× | 1.32 |
| Under 247.5 points | 71.8% | 70.8% | 83.3% | 0.85× | 1.41 |
| Over 227.5 points | 69.5% | 65.9% | 50.6% | 1.30× | 1.52 |
| Under 244.5 points | 66.0% | 65.9% | 79.5% | 0.83× | 1.52 |
| Over 230.5 points | 63.6% | 61.5% | 44.6% | 1.38× | 1.63 |
| Under 242.5 points | 62.0% | 61.5% | 76.8% | 0.80× | 1.63 |
| Over 232.5 points | 59.4% | 56.5% | 40.6% | 1.39× | 1.77 |
| Under 240.5 points | 57.8% | 56.5% | 74.0% | 0.76× | 1.77 |
| Over 234.5 points | 55.2% | 56.5% | 36.7% | 1.54× | 1.77 |
| Under 238.5 points | 53.5% | 52.3% | 70.9% | 0.74× | 1.91 |
| Over 236.5 points | 50.9% | 52.3% | 32.7% | 1.60× | 1.91 |
| Under 237.5 points | 51.4% | 52.3% | 69.3% | 0.76× | 1.91 |
| Under 236.5 points | 49.1% | 47.7% | 67.3% | 0.71× | 2.10 |
| Over 237.5 points | 48.6% | 47.7% | 30.7% | 1.55× | 2.10 |
| Over 238.5 points | 46.5% | 47.7% | 29.1% | 1.64× | 2.10 |
| Under 234.5 points | 44.8% | 43.5% | 63.3% | 0.69× | 2.30 |
| Over 240.5 points | 42.2% | 43.5% | 26.0% | 1.67× | 2.30 |
| Under 232.5 points | 40.6% | 43.5% | 59.4% | 0.73× | 2.30 |
| Over 242.5 points | 38.0% | 38.5% | 23.2% | 1.66× | 2.60 |
| Under 230.5 points | 36.4% | 38.5% | 55.4% | 0.70× | 2.60 |
| Over 244.5 points | 34.0% | 34.1% | 20.5% | 1.66× | 2.93 |
| Under 227.5 points | 30.5% | 34.1% | 49.4% | 0.69× | 2.93 |
| Over 247.5 points | 28.2% | 29.2% | 16.7% | 1.75× | 3.43 |
| Under 222.5 points | 21.7% | 24.4% | 39.6% | 0.62× | 4.10 |
| Over 252.5 points | 19.8% | 19.4% | 11.9% | 1.63× | 5.15 |
| Under 217.5 points | 14.6% | 15.0% | 30.4% | 0.49× | 6.68 |
| Over 257.5 points | 13.1% | 15.0% | 7.7% | 1.93× | 6.69 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LA Clippers to win both halves | 24.7% | 23.1% | 25.2% | 0.92× | 4.33 |
| Miami Heat to win both halves | 17.8% | 18.9% | 17.8% | 1.06× | 5.30 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LA Clippers by 1-5 | 14.0% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 0.96× | 8.11 |
| Miami Heat by 1-5 | 13.3% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 1.01× | 8.11 |
| LA Clippers by 6-10 | 12.9% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 0.88× | 8.11 |
| Miami Heat by 6-10 | 11.1% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 1.00× | 8.11 |
| LA Clippers by 11-15 | 10.6% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 1.14× | 8.11 |
| Miami Heat by 11-15 | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 0.93× | 13.40 |
| LA Clippers by 16-20 | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 1.02× | 13.40 |
| Miami Heat by 16-20 | 5.5% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 1.53× | 13.40 |
| LA Clippers by 26+ | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 1.21× | 13.40 |
| LA Clippers by 21-25 | 5.0% | 2.0% | 4.7% | 0.43× | 49.28 |
| Miami Heat by 21-25 | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 0.67× | 49.30 |
| Miami Heat by 26+ | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 0.53× | 49.30 |