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Lafayette Leopards v NJIT Highlanders — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 11 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Lafayette Leopards win
34.4%
Draw
0.0%
NJIT Highlanders win
65.6%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 62.16–66.59 62-67 0% 51% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lafayette Leopards to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.36
Lafayette Leopards to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Lafayette Leopards to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Lafayette Leopards to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
NJIT Highlanders to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.72× 283.35
NJIT Highlanders to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
NJIT Highlanders to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
NJIT Highlanders to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NJIT Highlanders to win H1 57.4% 57.3% 39.9% 1.44× 1.75
Lafayette Leopards to win H1 38.2% 37.8% 56.4% 0.67× 2.64
H1 tied 4.4% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 49.5 88.5% 87.7% 86.7% 1.01× 1.14
H1 under 73.5 88.0% 87.7% 85.6% 1.02× 1.14
H1 over 53.5 78.9% 77.4% 76.8% 1.01× 1.29
H1 under 69.5 78.3% 77.4% 76.2% 1.02× 1.29
H1 over 56.5 69.3% 67.4% 68.2% 0.99× 1.48
H1 under 66.5 68.6% 67.4% 67.1% 1.00× 1.48
H1 over 58.5 62.0% 62.7% 61.4% 1.02× 1.59
H1 under 64.5 61.4% 62.7% 60.7% 1.03× 1.59
H1 over 60.5 54.2% 52.6% 53.9% 0.98× 1.90
H1 under 62.5 53.6% 52.6% 53.7% 0.98× 1.90
H1 over 61.5 50.3% 52.6% 50.2% 1.05× 1.90
H1 under 61.5 49.7% 47.4% 49.8% 0.95× 2.11
H1 over 62.5 46.4% 47.4% 46.3% 1.02× 2.11
H1 under 60.5 45.8% 47.4% 46.1% 1.03× 2.11
H1 under 58.5 38.0% 37.3% 38.6% 0.97× 2.68
H1 over 64.5 38.6% 37.3% 39.3% 0.95× 2.68
H1 over 66.5 31.4% 32.6% 32.9% 0.99× 3.07
H1 under 56.5 30.8% 32.6% 31.8% 1.02× 3.07
H1 under 53.5 21.1% 22.6% 23.2% 0.97× 4.43
H1 over 69.5 21.7% 22.6% 23.8% 0.95× 4.43
H1 over 73.5 12.0% 12.3% 14.4% 0.85× 8.14
H1 under 49.5 11.5% 12.3% 13.3% 0.93× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NJIT Highlanders to win H2 58.0% 55.0% 40.6% 1.36× 1.82
Lafayette Leopards to win H2 37.8% 41.2% 56.0% 0.74× 2.43
H2 tied 4.2% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.35
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 55.5 87.1% 85.2% 86.1% 0.99× 1.17
H2 under 79.5 87.2% 85.2% 82.0% 1.04× 1.17
H2 over 59.5 77.4% 75.8% 77.0% 0.98× 1.32
H2 under 75.5 77.6% 75.8% 73.0% 1.04× 1.32
H2 over 62.5 67.9% 66.4% 68.3% 0.97× 1.51
H2 under 72.5 68.3% 66.4% 64.1% 1.04× 1.51
H2 under 70.5 61.4% 61.6% 57.8% 1.07× 1.62
H2 over 64.5 60.9% 61.6% 62.1% 0.99× 1.62
H2 over 66.5 53.5% 52.4% 55.4% 0.95× 1.91
H2 under 68.5 54.0% 52.4% 51.3% 1.02× 1.91
H2 under 67.5 50.3% 52.4% 47.9% 1.09× 1.91
H2 over 67.5 49.7% 47.6% 52.1% 0.91× 2.10
H2 under 66.5 46.5% 47.6% 44.6% 1.07× 2.10
H2 over 68.5 46.0% 47.6% 48.7% 0.98× 2.10
H2 under 64.5 39.1% 38.4% 37.9% 1.01× 2.61
H2 over 70.5 38.6% 38.4% 42.2% 0.91× 2.61
H2 under 62.5 32.1% 33.6% 31.7% 1.06× 2.97
H2 over 72.5 31.7% 33.6% 36.0% 0.94× 2.97
H2 under 59.5 22.6% 24.2% 23.0% 1.05× 4.13
H2 over 75.5 22.4% 24.2% 27.0% 0.90× 4.13
H2 under 55.5 12.9% 14.8% 13.9% 1.06× 6.76
H2 over 79.5 12.8% 14.8% 18.0% 0.82× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NJIT Highlanders leading at half time 57.4% 56.9% 39.9% 1.43× 1.76
Lafayette Leopards leading at half time 38.2% 37.9% 56.4% 0.67× 2.64
Level at half time 4.4% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NJIT Highlanders +16.5 96.8% 97.4% 75.7% 1.29× 1.03
NJIT Highlanders +18.5 97.9% 97.4% 79.3% 1.23× 1.03
NJIT Highlanders +20.5 98.7% 97.4% 82.0% 1.19× 1.03
NJIT Highlanders +14.5 95.3% 97.4% 72.1% 1.35× 1.03
NJIT Highlanders +12.5 93.2% 91.1% 67.9% 1.34× 1.10
Lafayette Leopards +20.5 92.6% 91.1% 92.7% 0.98× 1.10
NJIT Highlanders +10.5 90.5% 91.1% 63.2% 1.44× 1.10
NJIT Highlanders +9.5 88.9% 85.9% 60.7% 1.42× 1.16
Lafayette Leopards +18.5 89.6% 85.9% 91.1% 0.94× 1.16
NJIT Highlanders +8.5 87.0% 85.9% 58.0% 1.48× 1.16
Lafayette Leopards +16.5 85.9% 85.9% 89.1% 0.96× 1.16
NJIT Highlanders +7.5 85.0% 85.9% 55.2% 1.55× 1.16
NJIT Highlanders +6.5 82.8% 81.1% 52.4% 1.55× 1.23
NJIT Highlanders +5.5 80.4% 81.1% 50.3% 1.61× 1.23
Lafayette Leopards +14.5 81.4% 81.1% 86.7% 0.94× 1.23
NJIT Highlanders +4.5 77.8% 76.5% 47.8% 1.60× 1.31
Lafayette Leopards +12.5 76.1% 76.5% 83.8% 0.91× 1.31
NJIT Highlanders +3.5 75.0% 76.5% 45.8% 1.67× 1.31
NJIT Highlanders +2.5 72.0% 71.6% 43.3% 1.66× 1.40
Lafayette Leopards +10.5 70.1% 71.6% 80.4% 0.89× 1.40
NJIT Highlanders +1.5 68.9% 66.7% 41.3% 1.62× 1.50
Lafayette Leopards +9.5 66.8% 66.7% 78.7% 0.85× 1.50
Lafayette Leopards +8.5 63.4% 61.9% 76.5% 0.81× 1.62
NJIT Highlanders −1.5 62.1% 61.9% 38.8% 1.60× 1.62
Lafayette Leopards +7.5 59.9% 57.1% 74.5% 0.77× 1.75
NJIT Highlanders −2.5 58.4% 57.1% 36.7% 1.56× 1.75
Lafayette Leopards +6.5 56.3% 57.1% 72.3% 0.79× 1.75
NJIT Highlanders −3.5 54.8% 52.4% 34.3% 1.53× 1.91
Lafayette Leopards +5.5 52.6% 52.4% 70.1% 0.75× 1.91
NJIT Highlanders −4.5 51.1% 52.4% 32.2% 1.63× 1.91
Lafayette Leopards +4.5 48.9% 47.6% 67.8% 0.70× 2.10
NJIT Highlanders −5.5 47.4% 47.6% 29.9% 1.59× 2.10
Lafayette Leopards +3.5 45.2% 47.6% 65.7% 0.72× 2.10
NJIT Highlanders −6.5 43.7% 42.9% 27.7% 1.55× 2.33
Lafayette Leopards +2.5 41.6% 42.9% 63.3% 0.68× 2.33
NJIT Highlanders −7.5 40.1% 42.9% 25.5% 1.69× 2.33
Lafayette Leopards +1.5 37.9% 38.1% 61.2% 0.62× 2.63
NJIT Highlanders −8.5 36.6% 38.1% 23.5% 1.62× 2.63
NJIT Highlanders −9.5 33.2% 33.3% 21.3% 1.56× 3.01
Lafayette Leopards −1.5 31.1% 33.3% 58.7% 0.57× 3.01
NJIT Highlanders −10.5 29.9% 28.4% 19.6% 1.45× 3.53
Lafayette Leopards −2.5 28.0% 28.4% 56.7% 0.50× 3.53
Lafayette Leopards −3.5 25.0% 23.5% 54.2% 0.43× 4.25
NJIT Highlanders −12.5 23.9% 23.5% 16.2% 1.45× 4.25
Lafayette Leopards −4.5 22.2% 23.5% 52.2% 0.45× 4.25
Lafayette Leopards −5.5 19.6% 18.9% 49.7% 0.38× 5.29
NJIT Highlanders −14.5 18.6% 18.9% 13.3% 1.42× 5.29
Lafayette Leopards −6.5 17.2% 18.9% 47.6% 0.40× 5.29
Lafayette Leopards −7.5 15.0% 14.1% 44.8% 0.32× 7.09
NJIT Highlanders −16.5 14.1% 14.1% 10.9% 1.30× 7.09
Lafayette Leopards −8.5 13.0% 14.1% 42.0% 0.34× 7.09
Lafayette Leopards −9.5 11.1% 14.1% 39.3% 0.36× 7.09
NJIT Highlanders −18.5 10.4% 14.1% 8.9% 1.58× 7.09
Lafayette Leopards −10.5 9.5% 8.9% 36.8% 0.24× 11.25
Lafayette Leopards −12.5 6.8% 8.9% 32.1% 0.28× 11.25
NJIT Highlanders −20.5 7.4% 8.9% 7.3% 1.22× 11.25
Lafayette Leopards −14.5 4.7% 2.6% 27.9% 0.09× 38.72
Lafayette Leopards −16.5 3.2% 2.6% 24.3% 0.11× 38.73
Lafayette Leopards −18.5 2.1% 2.6% 20.7% 0.12× 38.73
Lafayette Leopards −20.5 1.3% 2.6% 18.0% 0.14× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 71.9% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 28.1% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 34.4% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.6% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.3% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 15.8% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NJIT Highlanders at HT / NJIT Highlanders at FT 47.5% 46.6% 30.1% 1.55× 2.15
Lafayette Leopards at HT / Lafayette Leopards at FT 22.9% 24.4% 48.3% 0.51× 4.10
Lafayette Leopards at HT / NJIT Highlanders at FT 15.4% 15.4% 8.2% 1.88× 6.47
NJIT Highlanders at HT / Lafayette Leopards at FT 9.9% 8.3% 9.8% 0.85× 12.08
Level at HT / Lafayette Leopards at FT 1.6% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.76
Level at HT / NJIT Highlanders at FT 2.7% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.75
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NJIT Highlanders to win 65.6% 64.5% 40.1% 1.61× 1.55
Lafayette Leopards to win 34.4% 35.5% 59.9% 0.59× 2.81
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.7% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Lafayette Leopards even 50.1% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
NJIT Highlanders even 50.0% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Lafayette Leopards odd 49.9% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
NJIT Highlanders odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 48.3% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 94.2% 94.0% 95.6% 0.98× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 5.8% 6.0% 4.4% 1.35× 16.66
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NJIT Highlanders to win Q1 53.5% 52.6% 40.4% 1.30× 1.90
Lafayette Leopards to win Q1 40.5% 42.9% 54.7% 0.78× 2.33
Q1 tied 6.0% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.32
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 39.5 89.6% 87.4% 87.5% 1.00× 1.14
Q1 over 23.5 86.6% 87.4% 85.4% 1.02× 1.14
Q1 under 36.5 79.4% 76.9% 77.4% 0.99× 1.30
Q1 over 26.5 74.6% 72.7% 72.9% 1.00× 1.38
Q1 under 34.5 70.0% 67.6% 68.5% 0.99× 1.48
Q1 over 28.5 64.2% 61.7% 62.7% 0.99× 1.62
Q1 under 32.5 59.0% 58.6% 59.1% 0.99× 1.71
Q1 under 31.5 53.2% 52.7% 54.0% 0.98× 1.90
Q1 over 30.5 52.7% 52.7% 51.2% 1.03× 1.90
Q1 under 30.5 47.3% 47.3% 48.8% 0.97× 2.11
Q1 over 31.5 46.8% 47.3% 46.0% 1.03× 2.11
Q1 over 32.5 41.0% 41.4% 40.9% 1.01× 2.42
Q1 under 28.5 35.8% 38.3% 37.3% 1.02× 2.61
Q1 over 34.5 30.0% 32.4% 31.5% 1.03× 3.08
Q1 under 26.5 25.4% 27.3% 27.1% 1.01× 3.66
Q1 over 36.5 20.6% 23.1% 22.6% 1.02× 4.33
Q1 under 23.5 13.4% 12.6% 14.6% 0.86× 7.95
Q1 over 39.5 10.4% 12.6% 12.5% 1.00× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NJIT Highlanders to win Q2 53.4% 51.4% 41.5% 1.24× 1.95
Lafayette Leopards to win Q2 40.7% 43.9% 52.9% 0.83× 2.28
Q2 tied 5.9% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.49
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 over 22.5 88.6% 87.3% 87.4% 1.00× 1.15
Q2 under 38.5 87.7% 87.3% 85.6% 1.02× 1.15
Q2 over 25.5 77.7% 76.8% 76.2% 1.01× 1.30
Q2 under 35.5 76.4% 76.8% 74.6% 1.03× 1.30
Q2 over 27.5 67.9% 67.4% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
Q2 under 33.5 66.4% 67.4% 65.6% 1.03× 1.49
Q2 over 29.5 56.7% 58.2% 55.8% 1.04× 1.72
Q2 under 31.5 55.1% 58.2% 55.7% 1.04× 1.72
Q2 over 30.5 50.8% 52.7% 49.9% 1.06× 1.90
Q2 under 30.5 49.2% 47.3% 50.1% 0.95× 2.11
Q2 over 31.5 44.9% 41.8% 44.3% 0.94× 2.39
Q2 under 29.5 43.3% 41.8% 44.2% 0.95× 2.39
Q2 over 33.5 33.6% 32.6% 34.4% 0.95× 3.06
Q2 under 27.5 32.1% 32.6% 33.3% 0.98× 3.06
Q2 over 35.5 23.6% 23.2% 25.4% 0.91× 4.31
Q2 under 25.5 22.3% 23.2% 23.8% 0.97× 4.31
Q2 over 38.5 12.3% 12.7% 14.4% 0.88× 7.89
Q2 under 22.5 11.4% 12.7% 12.6% 1.01× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NJIT Highlanders to win Q3 54.0% 52.7% 41.8% 1.26× 1.90
Lafayette Leopards to win Q3 40.2% 42.2% 53.3% 0.79× 2.37
Q3 tied 5.9% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.96
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 over 25.5 88.2% 87.2% 86.9% 1.00× 1.15
Q3 under 41.5 86.9% 87.2% 85.1% 1.02× 1.15
Q3 over 28.5 77.3% 77.3% 76.4% 1.01× 1.29
Q3 under 38.5 75.5% 77.3% 73.9% 1.05× 1.29
Q3 over 30.5 67.7% 67.8% 66.8% 1.01× 1.48
Q3 under 36.5 65.7% 67.8% 64.6% 1.05× 1.48
Q3 over 32.5 56.8% 58.4% 56.1% 1.04× 1.71
Q3 under 34.5 54.6% 52.3% 54.6% 0.96× 1.91
Q3 over 33.5 51.1% 52.3% 50.9% 1.03× 1.91
Q3 under 33.5 48.9% 47.7% 49.1% 0.97× 2.10
Q3 over 34.5 45.4% 47.7% 45.4% 1.05× 2.10
Q3 under 32.5 43.2% 41.6% 43.9% 0.95× 2.40
Q3 over 36.5 34.3% 32.2% 35.4% 0.91× 3.10
Q3 under 30.5 32.3% 32.2% 33.2% 0.97× 3.10
Q3 over 38.5 24.5% 22.7% 26.1% 0.87× 4.40
Q3 under 28.5 22.7% 22.7% 23.6% 0.96× 4.40
Q3 over 41.5 13.1% 12.8% 14.9% 0.86× 7.83
Q3 under 25.5 11.8% 12.8% 13.1% 0.98× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NJIT Highlanders to win Q4 53.9% 51.4% 41.5% 1.24× 1.94
Lafayette Leopards to win Q4 40.4% 43.0% 52.8% 0.82× 2.32
Q4 tied 5.7% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.25
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 42.5 88.2% 85.6% 86.2% 0.99× 1.17
Q4 over 26.5 83.9% 82.0% 82.6% 0.99× 1.22
Q4 under 39.5 78.2% 76.9% 77.0% 1.00× 1.30
Q4 over 29.5 71.9% 71.5% 70.8% 1.01× 1.40
Q4 under 37.5 69.4% 67.4% 68.8% 0.98× 1.48
Q4 over 31.5 62.1% 61.4% 61.1% 1.01× 1.63
Q4 under 35.5 59.4% 58.4% 59.4% 0.98× 1.71
Q4 under 34.5 54.0% 52.5% 54.4% 0.96× 1.91
Q4 over 33.5 51.4% 52.5% 50.4% 1.04× 1.91
Q4 under 33.5 48.6% 47.5% 49.6% 0.96× 2.11
Q4 over 34.5 46.0% 47.5% 45.6% 1.04× 2.11
Q4 over 35.5 40.6% 41.6% 40.6% 1.02× 2.40
Q4 under 31.5 37.9% 38.6% 38.9% 0.99× 2.59
Q4 over 37.5 30.6% 32.6% 31.2% 1.04× 3.07
Q4 under 29.5 28.1% 28.5% 29.2% 0.98× 3.51
Q4 over 39.5 21.8% 23.1% 23.0% 1.00× 4.33
Q4 under 26.5 16.1% 18.0% 17.4% 1.04× 5.56
Q4 over 42.5 11.8% 14.4% 13.8% 1.04× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NJIT Highlanders under 77.5 87.6% 83.9% 87.2% 0.96× 1.19
Lafayette Leopards under 72.5 85.9% 83.9% 65.7% 1.28× 1.19
Lafayette Leopards over 52.5 84.9% 80.7% 87.7% 0.92× 1.24
NJIT Highlanders over 57.5 84.0% 80.7% 65.1% 1.24× 1.24
NJIT Highlanders under 74.5 79.8% 75.1% 82.3% 0.91× 1.33
Lafayette Leopards under 69.5 77.8% 75.1% 57.4% 1.31× 1.33
Lafayette Leopards over 55.5 76.1% 75.1% 81.6% 0.92× 1.33
NJIT Highlanders over 60.5 74.9% 70.7% 55.6% 1.27× 1.41
NJIT Highlanders under 72.5 73.2% 70.7% 78.2% 0.90× 1.41
Lafayette Leopards under 67.5 71.1% 70.7% 51.3% 1.38× 1.41
Lafayette Leopards over 57.5 69.0% 66.4% 77.2% 0.86× 1.51
NJIT Highlanders over 62.5 67.6% 66.4% 49.0% 1.35× 1.51
NJIT Highlanders under 70.5 65.6% 66.4% 73.7% 0.90× 1.51
Lafayette Leopards under 65.5 63.6% 61.2% 44.7% 1.37× 1.63
Lafayette Leopards over 59.5 61.1% 61.2% 72.2% 0.85× 1.63
NJIT Highlanders over 64.5 59.6% 57.1% 43.2% 1.32× 1.75
NJIT Highlanders under 68.5 57.4% 57.1% 68.6% 0.83× 1.75
Lafayette Leopards under 63.5 55.5% 57.1% 38.5% 1.48× 1.75
Lafayette Leopards over 61.5 52.9% 52.3% 66.9% 0.78× 1.91
Lafayette Leopards under 62.5 51.3% 52.3% 35.7% 1.46× 1.91
NJIT Highlanders over 66.5 51.1% 52.3% 37.3% 1.40× 1.91
NJIT Highlanders under 67.5 53.2% 52.3% 65.6% 0.80× 1.91
Lafayette Leopards under 61.5 47.1% 47.7% 33.1% 1.44× 2.09
Lafayette Leopards over 62.5 48.7% 47.7% 64.3% 0.74× 2.09
NJIT Highlanders under 66.5 48.9% 47.7% 62.7% 0.76× 2.09
NJIT Highlanders over 67.5 46.8% 47.7% 34.4% 1.39× 2.09
Lafayette Leopards over 63.5 44.5% 42.9% 61.5% 0.70× 2.33
NJIT Highlanders over 68.5 42.6% 42.9% 31.4% 1.37× 2.33
NJIT Highlanders under 64.5 40.4% 42.9% 56.9% 0.75× 2.33
Lafayette Leopards under 59.5 38.9% 38.8% 27.8% 1.39× 2.58
Lafayette Leopards over 65.5 36.4% 38.8% 55.3% 0.70× 2.58
NJIT Highlanders over 70.5 34.4% 33.6% 26.3% 1.28× 2.98
NJIT Highlanders under 62.5 32.4% 33.6% 51.0% 0.66× 2.98
Lafayette Leopards under 57.5 31.0% 33.6% 22.8% 1.47× 2.98
Lafayette Leopards over 67.5 28.9% 29.3% 48.7% 0.60× 3.42
NJIT Highlanders over 72.5 26.8% 29.3% 21.8% 1.34× 3.42
NJIT Highlanders under 60.5 25.1% 29.3% 44.4% 0.66× 3.42
Lafayette Leopards under 55.5 23.9% 24.9% 18.5% 1.35× 4.02
Lafayette Leopards over 69.5 22.2% 24.9% 42.6% 0.58× 4.02
NJIT Highlanders over 74.5 20.2% 24.9% 17.7% 1.40× 4.02
NJIT Highlanders under 57.5 16.0% 19.3% 34.9% 0.55× 5.18
Lafayette Leopards under 52.5 15.1% 19.3% 12.3% 1.56× 5.18
Lafayette Leopards over 72.5 14.1% 16.1% 34.3% 0.47× 6.21
NJIT Highlanders over 77.5 12.4% 16.1% 12.8% 1.26× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 149.5 points 91.5% 88.8% 84.9% 1.05× 1.13
Over 109.5 points 90.8% 88.8% 87.6% 1.01× 1.13
Under 144.5 points 85.0% 80.6% 78.1% 1.03× 1.24
Over 114.5 points 83.6% 80.6% 80.4% 1.00× 1.24
Under 139.5 points 76.0% 75.6% 69.9% 1.08× 1.32
Over 119.5 points 73.7% 70.8% 71.6% 0.99× 1.41
Under 136.5 points 69.3% 65.9% 64.2% 1.03× 1.52
Over 122.5 points 66.8% 65.9% 65.6% 1.00× 1.52
Under 134.5 points 64.4% 61.5% 60.2% 1.02× 1.63
Over 124.5 points 61.8% 61.5% 61.5% 1.00× 1.63
Under 132.5 points 59.3% 56.5% 56.0% 1.01× 1.77
Over 126.5 points 56.6% 56.5% 57.4% 0.99× 1.77
Under 130.5 points 54.1% 52.3% 51.7% 1.01× 1.91
Under 129.5 points 51.5% 52.3% 49.5% 1.06× 1.91
Over 128.5 points 51.2% 52.3% 52.8% 0.99× 1.91
Under 128.5 points 48.8% 47.7% 47.2% 1.01× 2.10
Over 129.5 points 48.5% 47.7% 50.5% 0.94× 2.10
Over 130.5 points 45.9% 47.7% 48.3% 0.99× 2.10
Under 126.5 points 43.4% 43.5% 42.6% 1.02× 2.30
Over 132.5 points 40.7% 43.5% 44.0% 0.99× 2.30
Under 124.5 points 38.2% 38.5% 38.5% 1.00× 2.60
Over 134.5 points 35.6% 38.5% 39.8% 0.97× 2.60
Under 122.5 points 33.2% 34.1% 34.4% 0.99× 2.93
Over 136.5 points 30.7% 34.1% 35.8% 0.95× 2.93
Under 119.5 points 26.3% 29.2% 28.4% 1.03× 3.43
Over 139.5 points 24.0% 24.4% 30.1% 0.81× 4.10
Under 114.5 points 16.4% 19.4% 19.6% 0.99× 5.15
Over 144.5 points 15.0% 19.4% 21.9% 0.89× 5.15
Under 109.5 points 9.2% 11.2% 12.4% 0.90× 8.96
Over 149.5 points 8.5% 11.2% 15.1% 0.74× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NJIT Highlanders to win both halves 30.4% 31.2% 20.4% 1.53× 3.20
Lafayette Leopards to win both halves 11.8% 14.0% 36.0% 0.39× 7.12
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NJIT Highlanders by 1-5 18.2% 16.8% 10.2% 1.65× 5.97
NJIT Highlanders by 6-10 17.4% 16.8% 10.3% 1.63× 5.97
Lafayette Leopards by 1-5 14.8% 12.3% 10.2% 1.21× 8.11
NJIT Highlanders by 11-15 13.7% 12.3% 7.6% 1.62× 8.11
Lafayette Leopards by 6-10 10.1% 12.3% 12.9% 0.95× 8.11
NJIT Highlanders by 16-20 8.8% 7.5% 4.8% 1.57× 13.40
Lafayette Leopards by 11-15 5.6% 7.5% 10.8% 0.69× 13.40
NJIT Highlanders by 21-25 4.6% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.29
Lafayette Leopards by 16-20 2.6% 2.0% 8.0% 0.25× 49.31
Lafayette Leopards by 21-25 1.0% 2.0% 5.4% 0.38× 49.32
NJIT Highlanders by 26+ 2.8% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.30
Lafayette Leopards by 26+ 0.4% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.32
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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