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Lehigh Mountain Hawks v Liberty Flames — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 28 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Lehigh Mountain Hawks win
46.9%
Draw
0.0%
Liberty Flames win
53.1%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 62.75–63.64 63-64 0% 50% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Liberty Flames to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.72× 283.35
Liberty Flames to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Liberty Flames to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Liberty Flames to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
Lehigh Mountain Hawks to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.35
Lehigh Mountain Hawks to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Lehigh Mountain Hawks to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Lehigh Mountain Hawks to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Liberty Flames to win H1 49.6% 47.3% 39.9% 1.19× 2.11
Lehigh Mountain Hawks to win H1 45.9% 47.3% 56.4% 0.84× 2.11
H1 tied 4.5% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.85
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 48.5 88.4% 87.7% 88.8% 0.99× 1.14
H1 under 72.5 88.2% 87.7% 83.6% 1.05× 1.14
H1 over 52.5 78.6% 77.4% 79.6% 0.97× 1.29
H1 under 68.5 78.6% 77.4% 73.5% 1.05× 1.29
H1 over 55.5 68.9% 67.4% 71.0% 0.95× 1.48
H1 under 65.5 69.0% 67.4% 63.9% 1.06× 1.48
H1 over 57.5 61.6% 62.7% 64.8% 0.97× 1.59
H1 under 63.5 61.8% 62.7% 57.1% 1.10× 1.59
H1 over 59.5 53.8% 52.6% 57.8% 0.91× 1.90
H1 under 61.5 54.0% 52.6% 49.8% 1.06× 1.90
H1 under 60.5 50.1% 52.6% 46.1% 1.14× 1.90
H1 over 60.5 49.9% 47.4% 53.9% 0.88× 2.11
H1 under 59.5 46.2% 47.4% 42.2% 1.12× 2.11
H1 over 61.5 46.0% 47.4% 50.2% 0.94× 2.11
H1 under 57.5 38.4% 37.3% 35.2% 1.06× 2.68
H1 over 63.5 38.2% 37.3% 42.9% 0.87× 2.68
H1 under 55.5 31.1% 32.6% 29.0% 1.12× 3.07
H1 over 65.5 31.0% 32.6% 36.1% 0.90× 3.07
H1 under 52.5 21.4% 22.6% 20.4% 1.11× 4.43
H1 over 68.5 21.4% 22.6% 26.5% 0.85× 4.43
H1 under 48.5 11.6% 12.3% 11.2% 1.10× 8.14
H1 over 72.5 11.8% 12.3% 16.4% 0.75× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Liberty Flames to win H2 49.8% 47.1% 40.6% 1.16× 2.12
Lehigh Mountain Hawks to win H2 45.8% 47.1% 56.0% 0.84× 2.12
H2 tied 4.3% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.35
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 78.5 87.6% 85.2% 80.1% 1.06× 1.17
H2 over 54.5 86.8% 85.2% 88.0% 0.97× 1.17
H2 under 74.5 78.2% 75.8% 69.9% 1.08× 1.32
H2 over 58.5 76.8% 75.8% 79.6% 0.95× 1.32
H2 under 71.5 69.1% 66.4% 61.1% 1.09× 1.51
H2 over 61.5 67.3% 66.4% 71.3% 0.93× 1.51
H2 under 69.5 62.1% 61.6% 54.8% 1.12× 1.62
H2 over 63.5 60.1% 61.6% 65.3% 0.94× 1.62
H2 under 67.5 54.8% 52.4% 47.9% 1.09× 1.91
H2 over 65.5 52.7% 52.4% 58.8% 0.89× 1.91
H2 under 66.5 51.1% 52.4% 44.6% 1.17× 1.91
H2 over 66.5 48.9% 47.6% 55.4% 0.86× 2.10
H2 under 65.5 47.3% 47.6% 41.2% 1.16× 2.10
H2 over 67.5 45.2% 47.6% 52.1% 0.91× 2.10
H2 under 63.5 39.9% 38.4% 34.7% 1.11× 2.61
H2 over 69.5 37.9% 38.4% 45.2% 0.85× 2.61
H2 under 61.5 32.8% 33.6% 28.7% 1.17× 2.97
H2 over 71.5 30.9% 33.6% 38.9% 0.87× 2.97
H2 under 58.5 23.2% 24.2% 20.4% 1.19× 4.13
H2 over 74.5 21.8% 24.2% 30.1% 0.81× 4.13
H2 under 54.5 13.2% 14.8% 12.0% 1.23× 6.76
H2 over 78.5 12.4% 14.8% 19.9% 0.74× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Liberty Flames leading at half time 49.6% 47.3% 39.9% 1.18× 2.12
Lehigh Mountain Hawks leading at half time 45.9% 47.2% 56.4% 0.84× 2.12
Level at half time 4.5% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Liberty Flames +18.5 95.8% 97.4% 79.3% 1.23× 1.03
Liberty Flames +20.5 97.2% 97.4% 82.0% 1.19× 1.03
Lehigh Mountain Hawks +20.5 96.1% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
Lehigh Mountain Hawks +18.5 94.3% 91.1% 91.1% 1.00× 1.10
Liberty Flames +16.5 93.9% 91.1% 75.7% 1.20× 1.10
Liberty Flames +14.5 91.3% 91.1% 72.1% 1.26× 1.10
Lehigh Mountain Hawks +16.5 91.8% 91.1% 89.1% 1.02× 1.10
Lehigh Mountain Hawks +14.5 88.7% 85.9% 86.7% 0.99× 1.16
Liberty Flames +12.5 88.1% 85.9% 67.9% 1.27× 1.16
Liberty Flames +10.5 84.0% 81.1% 63.2% 1.28× 1.23
Lehigh Mountain Hawks +12.5 84.8% 81.1% 83.8% 0.97× 1.23
Liberty Flames +9.5 81.7% 81.1% 60.7% 1.34× 1.23
Lehigh Mountain Hawks +10.5 80.1% 81.1% 80.4% 1.01× 1.23
Liberty Flames +8.5 79.2% 76.5% 58.0% 1.32× 1.31
Lehigh Mountain Hawks +9.5 77.4% 76.5% 78.7% 0.97× 1.31
Liberty Flames +7.5 76.5% 76.5% 55.2% 1.38× 1.31
Lehigh Mountain Hawks +8.5 74.5% 71.6% 76.5% 0.94× 1.40
Liberty Flames +6.5 73.6% 71.6% 52.4% 1.37× 1.40
Lehigh Mountain Hawks +7.5 71.5% 71.6% 74.5% 0.96× 1.40
Liberty Flames +5.5 70.5% 71.6% 50.3% 1.42× 1.40
Lehigh Mountain Hawks +6.5 68.3% 66.7% 72.3% 0.92× 1.50
Liberty Flames +4.5 67.3% 66.7% 47.8% 1.39× 1.50
Liberty Flames +3.5 63.9% 61.9% 45.8% 1.35× 1.62
Lehigh Mountain Hawks +5.5 65.0% 61.9% 70.1% 0.88× 1.62
Lehigh Mountain Hawks +4.5 61.5% 61.9% 67.8% 0.91× 1.62
Liberty Flames +2.5 60.4% 61.9% 43.3% 1.43× 1.62
Lehigh Mountain Hawks +3.5 57.9% 57.1% 65.7% 0.87× 1.75
Liberty Flames +1.5 56.8% 57.1% 41.3% 1.38× 1.75
Lehigh Mountain Hawks +2.5 54.3% 52.4% 63.3% 0.83× 1.91
Lehigh Mountain Hawks +1.5 50.6% 52.4% 61.2% 0.86× 1.91
Liberty Flames −1.5 49.4% 47.6% 38.8% 1.23× 2.10
Liberty Flames −2.5 45.7% 47.6% 36.7% 1.30× 2.10
Lehigh Mountain Hawks −1.5 43.2% 42.9% 58.7% 0.73× 2.33
Liberty Flames −3.5 42.1% 42.9% 34.3% 1.25× 2.33
Lehigh Mountain Hawks −2.5 39.6% 38.1% 56.7% 0.67× 2.63
Liberty Flames −4.5 38.5% 38.1% 32.2% 1.18× 2.63
Lehigh Mountain Hawks −3.5 36.1% 38.1% 54.2% 0.70× 2.63
Liberty Flames −5.5 35.0% 38.1% 29.9% 1.27× 2.63
Lehigh Mountain Hawks −4.5 32.7% 33.3% 52.2% 0.64× 3.01
Liberty Flames −6.5 31.7% 33.3% 27.7% 1.20× 3.01
Lehigh Mountain Hawks −5.5 29.5% 28.4% 49.7% 0.57× 3.53
Liberty Flames −7.5 28.5% 28.4% 25.5% 1.11× 3.53
Lehigh Mountain Hawks −6.5 26.4% 28.4% 47.6% 0.60× 3.53
Liberty Flames −8.5 25.5% 28.4% 23.5% 1.20× 3.53
Lehigh Mountain Hawks −7.5 23.5% 23.5% 44.8% 0.53× 4.25
Liberty Flames −9.5 22.6% 23.5% 21.3% 1.10× 4.25
Lehigh Mountain Hawks −8.5 20.8% 23.5% 42.0% 0.56× 4.25
Liberty Flames −10.5 19.9% 18.9% 19.6% 0.96× 5.29
Lehigh Mountain Hawks −9.5 18.3% 18.9% 39.3% 0.48× 5.29
Lehigh Mountain Hawks −10.5 16.0% 18.9% 36.8% 0.51× 5.30
Liberty Flames −12.5 15.2% 18.9% 16.2% 1.16× 5.30
Lehigh Mountain Hawks −12.5 11.9% 14.1% 32.1% 0.44× 7.09
Liberty Flames −14.5 11.3% 14.1% 13.3% 1.06× 7.09
Lehigh Mountain Hawks −14.5 8.7% 8.9% 27.9% 0.32× 11.25
Liberty Flames −16.5 8.2% 8.9% 10.9% 0.82× 11.25
Lehigh Mountain Hawks −16.5 6.1% 8.9% 24.3% 0.37× 11.25
Liberty Flames −18.5 5.7% 8.9% 8.9% 1.00× 11.25
Lehigh Mountain Hawks −18.5 4.2% 2.6% 20.7% 0.12× 38.72
Lehigh Mountain Hawks −20.5 2.8% 2.6% 18.0% 0.14× 38.73
Liberty Flames −20.5 3.9% 2.6% 7.3% 0.36× 38.73
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 71.5% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 28.5% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 34.2% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.4% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.4% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 15.9% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Liberty Flames at HT / Liberty Flames at FT 37.0% 37.7% 30.1% 1.25× 2.65
Lehigh Mountain Hawks at HT / Lehigh Mountain Hawks at FT 32.1% 33.2% 48.3% 0.69× 3.01
Lehigh Mountain Hawks at HT / Liberty Flames at FT 13.7% 12.2% 8.2% 1.49× 8.17
Liberty Flames at HT / Lehigh Mountain Hawks at FT 12.6% 12.2% 9.8% 1.25× 8.17
Level at HT / Lehigh Mountain Hawks at FT 2.1% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.76
Level at HT / Liberty Flames at FT 2.4% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.75
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Liberty Flames to win 53.1% 51.0% 40.1% 1.27× 1.96
Lehigh Mountain Hawks to win 46.9% 49.0% 59.9% 0.82× 2.04
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.9% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Lehigh Mountain Hawks even 50.1% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Liberty Flames even 50.0% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Lehigh Mountain Hawks odd 49.9% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Liberty Flames odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 48.1% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 93.9% 94.0% 95.6% 0.98× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 6.1% 6.0% 4.4% 1.35× 16.66
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Liberty Flames to win Q1 48.2% 47.6% 40.4% 1.18× 2.10
Lehigh Mountain Hawks to win Q1 45.7% 47.6% 54.7% 0.87× 2.10
Q1 tied 6.1% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.31
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 38.5 88.4% 87.4% 84.8% 1.03× 1.14
Q1 over 22.5 88.0% 87.4% 88.8% 0.98× 1.14
Q1 under 35.5 77.4% 76.9% 73.2% 1.05× 1.30
Q1 over 25.5 76.7% 76.9% 77.6% 0.99× 1.30
Q1 under 33.5 67.6% 67.6% 64.0% 1.06× 1.48
Q1 over 27.5 66.7% 67.6% 67.7% 1.00× 1.48
Q1 under 31.5 56.4% 58.6% 54.0% 1.09× 1.71
Q1 over 29.5 55.3% 58.6% 56.9% 1.03× 1.71
Q1 under 30.5 50.6% 52.7% 48.8% 1.08× 1.90
Q1 over 30.5 49.4% 47.3% 51.2% 0.92× 2.11
Q1 under 29.5 44.7% 41.4% 43.1% 0.96× 2.42
Q1 over 31.5 43.6% 41.4% 46.0% 0.90× 2.42
Q1 under 27.5 33.3% 32.4% 32.3% 1.00× 3.08
Q1 over 33.5 32.4% 32.4% 36.0% 0.90× 3.08
Q1 under 25.5 23.3% 23.1% 22.4% 1.03× 4.33
Q1 over 35.5 22.6% 23.1% 26.8% 0.86× 4.33
Q1 under 22.5 12.0% 12.6% 11.2% 1.12× 7.95
Q1 over 38.5 11.6% 12.6% 15.2% 0.83× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Liberty Flames to win Q2 48.2% 47.0% 41.5% 1.13× 2.13
Lehigh Mountain Hawks to win Q2 45.8% 47.0% 52.9% 0.89× 2.13
Q2 tied 6.0% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.49
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 38.5 89.3% 87.3% 85.6% 1.02× 1.15
Q2 over 22.5 87.0% 87.3% 87.4% 1.00× 1.15
Q2 under 35.5 78.8% 76.8% 74.6% 1.03× 1.30
Q2 over 25.5 75.2% 76.8% 76.2% 1.01× 1.30
Q2 under 33.5 69.3% 67.4% 65.6% 1.03× 1.48
Q2 over 27.5 64.9% 60.7% 66.7% 0.91× 1.65
Q2 under 31.5 58.3% 58.2% 55.7% 1.04× 1.72
Q2 over 29.5 53.5% 52.7% 55.8% 0.94× 1.90
Q2 under 30.5 52.4% 52.7% 50.1% 1.05× 1.90
Q2 over 30.5 47.6% 47.3% 49.9% 0.95× 2.11
Q2 under 29.5 46.5% 47.3% 44.2% 1.07× 2.11
Q2 over 31.5 41.7% 41.8% 44.3% 0.94× 2.39
Q2 under 27.5 35.1% 39.3% 33.3% 1.18× 2.55
Q2 over 33.5 30.7% 32.6% 34.4% 0.95× 3.06
Q2 under 25.5 24.8% 23.2% 23.8% 0.98× 4.31
Q2 over 35.5 21.2% 23.2% 25.4% 0.91× 4.31
Q2 under 22.5 13.0% 12.7% 12.6% 1.01× 7.89
Q2 over 38.5 10.7% 12.7% 14.4% 0.88× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Liberty Flames to win Q3 48.4% 47.6% 41.8% 1.14× 2.10
Lehigh Mountain Hawks to win Q3 45.7% 47.5% 53.3% 0.89× 2.10
Q3 tied 5.9% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.96
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 41.5 88.7% 87.2% 85.1% 1.03× 1.15
Q3 over 25.5 86.4% 87.2% 86.9% 1.00× 1.15
Q3 under 38.5 78.2% 77.3% 73.9% 1.05× 1.29
Q3 over 28.5 74.6% 71.8% 76.4% 0.94× 1.39
Q3 under 36.5 68.8% 67.8% 64.6% 1.05× 1.48
Q3 over 30.5 64.6% 62.0% 66.8% 0.93× 1.61
Q3 under 34.5 58.0% 58.4% 54.6% 1.07× 1.71
Q3 over 32.5 53.4% 52.3% 56.1% 0.93× 1.91
Q3 under 33.5 52.4% 52.3% 49.1% 1.07× 1.91
Q3 over 33.5 47.6% 47.7% 50.9% 0.94× 2.10
Q3 under 32.5 46.6% 47.7% 43.9% 1.09× 2.10
Q3 over 34.5 42.0% 41.6% 45.4% 0.92× 2.40
Q3 under 30.5 35.4% 38.0% 33.2% 1.15× 2.63
Q3 over 36.5 31.2% 32.2% 35.4% 0.91× 3.11
Q3 under 28.5 25.4% 28.2% 23.6% 1.19× 3.55
Q3 over 38.5 21.8% 22.7% 26.1% 0.87× 4.40
Q3 under 25.5 13.6% 12.8% 13.1% 0.98× 7.83
Q3 over 41.5 11.3% 12.8% 14.9% 0.86× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Liberty Flames to win Q4 48.4% 47.6% 41.5% 1.15× 2.10
Lehigh Mountain Hawks to win Q4 45.8% 47.6% 52.8% 0.90× 2.10
Q4 tied 5.8% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.25
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 41.5 87.2% 85.6% 83.6% 1.02× 1.17
Q4 over 25.5 85.2% 85.6% 86.1% 0.99× 1.17
Q4 under 38.5 76.6% 76.9% 73.1% 1.05× 1.30
Q4 over 28.5 73.7% 71.5% 75.1% 0.95× 1.40
Q4 under 36.5 67.5% 67.4% 64.3% 1.05× 1.48
Q4 over 30.5 64.1% 61.4% 66.3% 0.93× 1.63
Q4 under 34.5 57.3% 58.4% 54.4% 1.07× 1.71
Q4 over 32.5 53.6% 52.5% 55.4% 0.95× 1.91
Q4 under 33.5 51.9% 52.5% 49.6% 1.06× 1.91
Q4 over 33.5 48.1% 47.5% 50.4% 0.94× 2.11
Q4 under 32.5 46.4% 47.5% 44.6% 1.07× 2.11
Q4 over 34.5 42.7% 41.6% 45.6% 0.91× 2.40
Q4 under 30.5 35.9% 38.6% 33.7% 1.14× 2.59
Q4 over 36.5 32.5% 32.6% 35.7% 0.91× 3.07
Q4 under 28.5 26.3% 28.5% 24.9% 1.14× 3.51
Q4 over 38.5 23.4% 23.1% 26.9% 0.86× 4.33
Q4 under 25.5 14.8% 14.4% 13.9% 1.04× 6.95
Q4 over 41.5 12.8% 14.4% 16.4% 0.88× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Liberty Flames under 74.5 87.6% 83.9% 82.3% 1.02× 1.19
Lehigh Mountain Hawks under 73.5 86.7% 83.9% 68.5% 1.23× 1.19
Liberty Flames over 54.5 84.2% 80.7% 73.5% 1.10× 1.24
Lehigh Mountain Hawks over 53.5 83.9% 80.7% 85.8% 0.94× 1.24
Liberty Flames under 71.5 79.7% 75.1% 76.1% 0.99× 1.33
Lehigh Mountain Hawks under 70.5 78.8% 75.1% 60.3% 1.25× 1.33
Liberty Flames over 57.5 75.0% 75.1% 65.1% 1.15× 1.33
Lehigh Mountain Hawks over 56.5 74.9% 70.7% 79.5% 0.89× 1.41
Liberty Flames under 69.5 73.1% 70.7% 71.2% 0.99× 1.41
Lehigh Mountain Hawks under 68.5 72.2% 70.7% 54.4% 1.30× 1.41
Liberty Flames over 59.5 67.7% 66.4% 58.8% 1.13× 1.51
Lehigh Mountain Hawks over 58.5 67.7% 66.4% 74.7% 0.89× 1.51
Liberty Flames under 67.5 65.6% 66.4% 65.6% 1.01× 1.51
Lehigh Mountain Hawks under 66.5 64.8% 61.2% 48.2% 1.27× 1.63
Lehigh Mountain Hawks over 60.5 59.8% 57.1% 69.5% 0.82× 1.75
Liberty Flames over 61.5 59.6% 57.1% 52.1% 1.10× 1.75
Liberty Flames under 65.5 57.4% 57.1% 59.8% 0.96× 1.75
Lehigh Mountain Hawks under 64.5 56.8% 57.1% 41.6% 1.37× 1.75
Liberty Flames over 63.5 51.1% 52.3% 46.1% 1.13× 1.91
Liberty Flames under 64.5 53.2% 52.3% 56.9% 0.92× 1.91
Lehigh Mountain Hawks over 62.5 51.5% 52.3% 64.3% 0.81× 1.91
Lehigh Mountain Hawks under 63.5 52.7% 52.3% 38.5% 1.36× 1.91
Liberty Flames under 63.5 48.9% 47.7% 53.9% 0.89× 2.09
Liberty Flames over 64.5 46.8% 47.7% 43.2% 1.11× 2.09
Lehigh Mountain Hawks under 62.5 48.5% 47.7% 35.7% 1.34× 2.09
Lehigh Mountain Hawks over 63.5 47.3% 47.7% 61.5% 0.78× 2.09
Liberty Flames over 65.5 42.6% 42.9% 40.2% 1.07× 2.33
Lehigh Mountain Hawks over 64.5 43.2% 42.9% 58.4% 0.73× 2.33
Liberty Flames under 61.5 40.4% 42.9% 47.9% 0.90× 2.33
Lehigh Mountain Hawks under 60.5 40.2% 42.9% 30.5% 1.40× 2.33
Lehigh Mountain Hawks over 66.5 35.2% 38.8% 51.8% 0.75× 2.58
Liberty Flames over 67.5 34.4% 33.6% 34.4% 0.98× 2.98
Liberty Flames under 59.5 32.3% 33.6% 41.2% 0.82× 2.98
Lehigh Mountain Hawks under 58.5 32.3% 33.6% 25.3% 1.33× 2.98
Lehigh Mountain Hawks over 68.5 27.8% 29.3% 45.6% 0.64× 3.42
Liberty Flames over 69.5 26.9% 29.3% 28.8% 1.02× 3.42
Lehigh Mountain Hawks under 56.5 25.1% 29.3% 20.5% 1.43× 3.42
Liberty Flames under 57.5 25.0% 24.9% 34.9% 0.71× 4.02
Lehigh Mountain Hawks over 70.5 21.2% 24.9% 39.7% 0.63× 4.02
Liberty Flames over 71.5 20.3% 24.9% 23.9% 1.04× 4.02
Liberty Flames under 54.5 15.8% 19.3% 26.5% 0.73× 5.18
Lehigh Mountain Hawks under 53.5 16.1% 19.3% 14.2% 1.36× 5.18
Lehigh Mountain Hawks over 73.5 13.3% 16.1% 31.5% 0.51× 6.21
Liberty Flames over 74.5 12.4% 16.1% 17.7% 0.91× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 147.5 points 91.8% 88.8% 82.3% 1.08× 1.13
Over 107.5 points 90.5% 88.8% 90.2% 0.99× 1.13
Under 142.5 points 85.5% 85.0% 75.1% 1.13× 1.18
Over 112.5 points 83.1% 80.6% 83.6% 0.96× 1.24
Under 137.5 points 76.7% 75.6% 66.2% 1.14× 1.32
Over 117.5 points 73.0% 70.8% 75.3% 0.94× 1.41
Under 134.5 points 70.0% 70.8% 60.2% 1.18× 1.41
Over 120.5 points 66.0% 65.9% 69.8% 0.94× 1.52
Under 132.5 points 65.2% 65.9% 56.0% 1.18× 1.52
Over 122.5 points 61.0% 61.5% 65.6% 0.94× 1.63
Under 130.5 points 60.2% 61.5% 51.7% 1.19× 1.63
Over 124.5 points 55.7% 56.5% 61.5% 0.92× 1.77
Under 128.5 points 55.0% 52.3% 47.2% 1.11× 1.91
Under 127.5 points 52.4% 52.3% 44.9% 1.17× 1.91
Over 126.5 points 50.4% 52.3% 57.4% 0.91× 1.91
Under 126.5 points 49.6% 47.7% 42.6% 1.12× 2.10
Over 127.5 points 47.6% 47.7% 55.1% 0.86× 2.10
Over 128.5 points 45.0% 47.7% 52.8% 0.90× 2.10
Under 124.5 points 44.3% 43.5% 38.5% 1.13× 2.30
Over 130.5 points 39.8% 38.5% 48.3% 0.80× 2.60
Under 122.5 points 39.1% 38.5% 34.4% 1.12× 2.60
Over 132.5 points 34.8% 34.1% 44.0% 0.77× 2.93
Under 120.5 points 34.0% 34.1% 30.2% 1.13× 2.93
Over 134.5 points 30.0% 29.2% 39.8% 0.73× 3.43
Under 117.5 points 27.0% 29.2% 24.7% 1.18× 3.43
Over 137.5 points 23.3% 24.4% 33.8% 0.72× 4.10
Under 112.5 points 16.9% 19.4% 16.4% 1.19× 5.15
Over 142.5 points 14.5% 15.0% 24.9% 0.60× 6.68
Under 107.5 points 9.5% 11.2% 9.8% 1.14× 8.96
Over 147.5 points 8.2% 11.2% 17.7% 0.63× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Liberty Flames to win both halves 21.8% 23.0% 20.4% 1.13× 4.34
Lehigh Mountain Hawks to win both halves 18.1% 18.9% 36.0% 0.52× 5.30
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Liberty Flames by 1-5 18.1% 16.8% 10.2% 1.65× 5.97
Lehigh Mountain Hawks by 1-5 17.4% 16.8% 10.2% 1.64× 5.97
Liberty Flames by 6-10 15.1% 16.8% 10.3% 1.63× 5.97
Lehigh Mountain Hawks by 6-10 13.5% 12.3% 12.9% 0.95× 8.11
Liberty Flames by 11-15 10.3% 12.3% 7.6% 1.62× 8.11
Lehigh Mountain Hawks by 11-15 8.6% 7.5% 10.8% 0.69× 13.40
Liberty Flames by 16-20 5.7% 7.5% 4.8% 1.57× 13.40
Lehigh Mountain Hawks by 16-20 4.5% 2.0% 8.0% 0.25× 49.29
Lehigh Mountain Hawks by 21-25 1.9% 2.0% 5.4% 0.38× 49.31
Liberty Flames by 21-25 2.6% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.31
Lehigh Mountain Hawks by 26+ 0.9% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.32
Liberty Flames by 26+ 1.3% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.32
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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