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Long Island University Sharks v Manhattan Jaspers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 19 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Long Island University Sharks win
58.9%
Draw
0.0%
Manhattan Jaspers win
41.1%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 67.82–65.36 68-65 0% 49% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Long Island University Sharks to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.35
Long Island University Sharks to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Long Island University Sharks to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Long Island University Sharks to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Manhattan Jaspers to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.72× 283.35
Manhattan Jaspers to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Manhattan Jaspers to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Manhattan Jaspers to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Long Island University Sharks to win H1 53.2% 51.9% 56.4% 0.92× 1.93
Manhattan Jaspers to win H1 42.3% 42.7% 39.9% 1.07× 2.34
H1 tied 4.5% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 51.5 88.4% 87.7% 82.0% 1.07× 1.14
H1 under 75.5 87.8% 87.7% 88.8% 0.99× 1.14
H1 over 55.5 78.8% 77.4% 71.0% 1.09× 1.29
H1 under 71.5 78.1% 77.4% 81.4% 0.95× 1.29
H1 over 58.5 69.3% 67.4% 61.4% 1.10× 1.48
H1 under 68.5 68.4% 67.4% 73.5% 0.92× 1.48
H1 over 60.5 62.1% 62.7% 53.9% 1.16× 1.59
H1 under 66.5 61.1% 62.7% 67.1% 0.93× 1.59
H1 over 62.5 54.4% 52.6% 46.3% 1.14× 1.90
H1 under 64.5 53.5% 52.6% 60.7% 0.87× 1.90
H1 over 63.5 50.5% 52.6% 42.9% 1.23× 1.90
H1 under 63.5 49.5% 47.4% 57.1% 0.83× 2.11
H1 over 64.5 46.5% 47.4% 39.3% 1.21× 2.11
H1 under 62.5 45.6% 47.4% 53.7% 0.88× 2.11
H1 under 60.5 37.9% 37.3% 46.1% 0.81× 2.68
H1 over 66.5 38.9% 37.3% 32.9% 1.13× 2.68
H1 over 68.5 31.6% 32.6% 26.5% 1.23× 3.07
H1 under 58.5 30.7% 32.6% 38.6% 0.84× 3.07
H1 under 55.5 21.2% 22.6% 29.0% 0.78× 4.43
H1 over 71.5 21.9% 22.6% 18.6% 1.22× 4.43
H1 over 75.5 12.2% 12.3% 11.2% 1.10× 8.14
H1 under 51.5 11.6% 12.3% 18.0% 0.68× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Long Island University Sharks to win H2 53.6% 51.2% 56.0% 0.91× 1.95
Manhattan Jaspers to win H2 42.1% 43.5% 40.6% 1.07× 2.30
H2 tied 4.3% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.35
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 57.5 87.4% 85.2% 82.2% 1.04× 1.17
H2 under 81.5 86.6% 85.2% 85.8% 0.99× 1.17
H2 over 61.5 77.9% 75.8% 71.3% 1.06× 1.32
H2 under 77.5 76.8% 75.8% 77.9% 0.97× 1.32
H2 over 64.5 68.6% 66.4% 62.1% 1.07× 1.51
H2 under 74.5 67.5% 66.4% 69.9% 0.95× 1.51
H2 over 66.5 61.7% 61.6% 55.4% 1.11× 1.62
H2 under 72.5 60.5% 61.6% 64.1% 0.96× 1.62
H2 over 68.5 54.4% 52.4% 48.7% 1.08× 1.91
H2 under 70.5 53.1% 52.4% 57.8% 0.91× 1.91
H2 over 69.5 50.6% 52.4% 45.2% 1.16× 1.91
H2 under 69.5 49.4% 47.6% 54.8% 0.87× 2.10
H2 over 70.5 46.9% 47.6% 42.2% 1.13× 2.10
H2 under 68.5 45.6% 47.6% 51.3% 0.93× 2.10
H2 over 72.5 39.5% 38.4% 36.0% 1.07× 2.61
H2 under 66.5 38.3% 38.4% 44.6% 0.86× 2.61
H2 over 74.5 32.5% 33.6% 30.1% 1.12× 2.97
H2 under 64.5 31.4% 33.6% 37.9% 0.89× 2.97
H2 over 77.5 23.2% 24.2% 22.1% 1.10× 4.13
H2 under 61.5 22.1% 24.2% 28.7% 0.84× 4.13
H2 over 81.5 13.4% 14.8% 14.2% 1.04× 6.76
H2 under 57.5 12.6% 14.8% 17.8% 0.83× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Long Island University Sharks leading at half time 53.2% 51.9% 56.4% 0.92× 1.93
Manhattan Jaspers leading at half time 42.3% 42.8% 39.9% 1.07× 2.33
Level at half time 4.5% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Long Island University Sharks +18.5 96.8% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
Long Island University Sharks +20.5 97.9% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
Long Island University Sharks +16.5 95.3% 97.4% 89.1% 1.09× 1.03
Manhattan Jaspers +20.5 94.5% 91.1% 82.0% 1.11× 1.10
Long Island University Sharks +14.5 93.3% 91.1% 86.7% 1.05× 1.10
Manhattan Jaspers +18.5 92.2% 91.1% 79.3% 1.15× 1.10
Long Island University Sharks +12.5 90.6% 91.1% 83.8% 1.09× 1.10
Manhattan Jaspers +16.5 89.2% 85.9% 75.7% 1.13× 1.16
Long Island University Sharks +10.5 87.2% 85.9% 80.4% 1.07× 1.16
Long Island University Sharks +9.5 85.2% 85.9% 78.7% 1.09× 1.16
Manhattan Jaspers +14.5 85.4% 85.9% 72.1% 1.19× 1.16
Long Island University Sharks +8.5 83.0% 81.1% 76.5% 1.06× 1.23
Long Island University Sharks +7.5 80.6% 81.1% 74.5% 1.09× 1.23
Manhattan Jaspers +12.5 80.9% 81.1% 67.9% 1.20× 1.23
Long Island University Sharks +6.5 78.0% 76.5% 72.3% 1.06× 1.31
Long Island University Sharks +5.5 75.2% 76.5% 70.1% 1.09× 1.31
Manhattan Jaspers +10.5 75.6% 76.5% 63.2% 1.21× 1.31
Manhattan Jaspers +9.5 72.6% 71.6% 60.7% 1.18× 1.40
Long Island University Sharks +4.5 72.3% 71.6% 67.8% 1.06× 1.40
Long Island University Sharks +3.5 69.1% 66.7% 65.7% 1.02× 1.50
Manhattan Jaspers +8.5 69.5% 66.7% 58.0% 1.15× 1.50
Manhattan Jaspers +7.5 66.2% 66.7% 55.2% 1.21× 1.50
Long Island University Sharks +2.5 65.8% 66.7% 63.3% 1.05× 1.50
Manhattan Jaspers +6.5 62.9% 61.9% 52.4% 1.18× 1.62
Long Island University Sharks +1.5 62.4% 61.9% 61.2% 1.01× 1.62
Manhattan Jaspers +5.5 59.3% 57.1% 50.3% 1.13× 1.75
Manhattan Jaspers +4.5 55.8% 57.1% 47.8% 1.19× 1.75
Long Island University Sharks −1.5 55.3% 57.1% 58.7% 0.97× 1.75
Manhattan Jaspers +3.5 52.1% 52.4% 45.8% 1.14× 1.91
Long Island University Sharks −2.5 51.6% 52.4% 56.7% 0.92× 1.91
Manhattan Jaspers +2.5 48.4% 47.6% 43.3% 1.10× 2.10
Long Island University Sharks −3.5 47.9% 47.6% 54.2% 0.88× 2.10
Long Island University Sharks −4.5 44.2% 42.9% 52.2% 0.82× 2.33
Manhattan Jaspers +1.5 44.7% 42.9% 41.3% 1.04× 2.33
Long Island University Sharks −5.5 40.7% 42.9% 49.7% 0.86× 2.33
Manhattan Jaspers −1.5 37.6% 38.1% 38.8% 0.98× 2.63
Long Island University Sharks −6.5 37.1% 38.1% 47.6% 0.80× 2.63
Manhattan Jaspers −2.5 34.2% 33.3% 36.7% 0.91× 3.01
Long Island University Sharks −7.5 33.8% 33.3% 44.8% 0.74× 3.01
Manhattan Jaspers −3.5 30.9% 33.3% 34.3% 0.97× 3.01
Long Island University Sharks −8.5 30.5% 33.3% 42.0% 0.79× 3.01
Manhattan Jaspers −4.5 27.8% 28.4% 32.2% 0.88× 3.53
Long Island University Sharks −9.5 27.4% 28.4% 39.3% 0.72× 3.53
Manhattan Jaspers −5.5 24.8% 23.5% 29.9% 0.79× 4.25
Long Island University Sharks −10.5 24.4% 23.5% 36.8% 0.64× 4.25
Manhattan Jaspers −6.5 22.0% 23.5% 27.7% 0.85× 4.25
Manhattan Jaspers −7.5 19.4% 18.9% 25.5% 0.74× 5.29
Long Island University Sharks −12.5 19.1% 18.9% 32.1% 0.59× 5.29
Manhattan Jaspers −8.5 17.0% 18.9% 23.5% 0.80× 5.29
Manhattan Jaspers −9.5 14.8% 14.1% 21.3% 0.66× 7.09
Long Island University Sharks −14.5 14.6% 14.1% 27.9% 0.51× 7.09
Manhattan Jaspers −10.5 12.8% 14.1% 19.6% 0.72× 7.09
Long Island University Sharks −16.5 10.8% 14.1% 24.3% 0.58× 7.09
Manhattan Jaspers −12.5 9.4% 8.9% 16.2% 0.55× 11.25
Manhattan Jaspers −14.5 6.7% 8.9% 13.3% 0.67× 11.25
Long Island University Sharks −18.5 7.8% 8.9% 20.7% 0.43× 11.25
Long Island University Sharks −20.5 5.5% 8.9% 18.0% 0.49× 11.25
Manhattan Jaspers −16.5 4.7% 2.6% 10.9% 0.24× 38.72
Manhattan Jaspers −18.5 3.2% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.73
Manhattan Jaspers −20.5 2.1% 2.6% 7.3% 0.35× 38.73
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 72.4% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 27.6% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 34.6% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.8% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.1% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 15.5% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Long Island University Sharks at HT / Long Island University Sharks at FT 41.8% 41.0% 48.3% 0.85× 2.44
Manhattan Jaspers at HT / Manhattan Jaspers at FT 27.8% 29.6% 30.1% 0.98× 3.38
Manhattan Jaspers at HT / Long Island University Sharks at FT 14.5% 12.2% 9.8% 1.25× 8.17
Long Island University Sharks at HT / Manhattan Jaspers at FT 11.4% 12.2% 8.2% 1.49× 8.18
Level at HT / Long Island University Sharks at FT 2.5% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.75
Level at HT / Manhattan Jaspers at FT 1.9% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.76
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Long Island University Sharks to win 58.9% 55.2% 59.9% 0.92× 1.81
Manhattan Jaspers to win 41.1% 44.8% 40.1% 1.12× 2.23
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.8% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Long Island University Sharks even 50.0% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Manhattan Jaspers even 50.0% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Long Island University Sharks odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Manhattan Jaspers odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 48.2% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 94.0% 94.0% 95.6% 0.98× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 6.0% 6.0% 4.4% 1.35× 16.66
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Long Island University Sharks to win Q1 50.7% 52.6% 54.7% 0.96× 1.90
Manhattan Jaspers to win Q1 43.3% 42.9% 40.4% 1.06× 2.33
Q1 tied 6.1% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.31
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 40.5 89.5% 87.4% 89.9% 0.97× 1.14
Q1 over 24.5 86.5% 87.4% 81.8% 1.07× 1.14
Q1 under 37.5 79.2% 76.9% 81.6% 0.94× 1.30
Q1 over 27.5 74.6% 72.7% 67.7% 1.07× 1.38
Q1 under 35.5 69.8% 67.6% 73.2% 0.92× 1.48
Q1 over 29.5 64.3% 61.7% 56.9% 1.09× 1.62
Q1 under 33.5 58.9% 58.6% 64.0% 0.92× 1.71
Q1 under 32.5 53.1% 52.7% 59.1% 0.89× 1.90
Q1 over 31.5 52.8% 52.7% 46.0% 1.14× 1.90
Q1 under 31.5 47.2% 47.3% 54.0% 0.88× 2.11
Q1 over 32.5 46.9% 47.3% 40.9% 1.16× 2.11
Q1 over 33.5 41.1% 41.4% 36.0% 1.15× 2.42
Q1 under 29.5 35.7% 38.3% 43.1% 0.89× 2.61
Q1 over 35.5 30.2% 32.4% 26.8% 1.21× 3.08
Q1 under 27.5 25.4% 27.3% 32.3% 0.84× 3.66
Q1 over 37.5 20.8% 23.1% 18.4% 1.25× 4.33
Q1 under 24.5 13.5% 12.6% 18.2% 0.69× 7.95
Q1 over 40.5 10.5% 12.6% 10.1% 1.24× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Long Island University Sharks to win Q2 50.6% 51.3% 52.9% 0.97× 1.95
Manhattan Jaspers to win Q2 43.4% 43.9% 41.5% 1.06× 2.28
Q2 tied 6.0% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.49
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 over 23.5 88.6% 87.3% 84.6% 1.03× 1.15
Q2 under 39.5 87.6% 87.3% 88.4% 0.99× 1.15
Q2 over 26.5 77.6% 76.8% 71.6% 1.07× 1.30
Q2 under 36.5 76.3% 76.8% 78.7% 0.98× 1.30
Q2 over 28.5 67.9% 67.4% 61.2% 1.10× 1.49
Q2 under 34.5 66.3% 67.4% 70.1% 0.96× 1.49
Q2 over 30.5 56.7% 58.2% 49.9% 1.17× 1.72
Q2 under 32.5 55.0% 58.2% 60.8% 0.96× 1.72
Q2 over 31.5 50.9% 52.7% 44.3% 1.19× 1.90
Q2 under 31.5 49.1% 47.3% 55.7% 0.85× 2.11
Q2 over 32.5 45.0% 41.8% 39.2% 1.07× 2.39
Q2 under 30.5 43.3% 41.8% 50.1% 0.84× 2.39
Q2 over 34.5 33.7% 32.6% 29.9% 1.09× 3.06
Q2 under 28.5 32.1% 32.6% 38.8% 0.84× 3.06
Q2 over 36.5 23.7% 23.2% 21.3% 1.09× 4.31
Q2 under 26.5 22.4% 23.2% 28.4% 0.82× 4.31
Q2 over 39.5 12.4% 12.7% 11.6% 1.09× 7.89
Q2 under 23.5 11.4% 12.7% 15.4% 0.82× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Long Island University Sharks to win Q3 51.0% 52.7% 53.3% 0.99× 1.90
Manhattan Jaspers to win Q3 43.1% 42.3% 41.8% 1.01× 2.37
Q3 tied 5.9% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.96
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 43.5 89.4% 87.2% 90.2% 0.97× 1.15
Q3 over 27.5 85.3% 87.2% 80.0% 1.09× 1.15
Q3 under 40.5 79.3% 77.3% 81.9% 0.94× 1.29
Q3 over 30.5 73.2% 71.8% 66.8% 1.07× 1.39
Q3 under 38.5 70.2% 71.8% 73.9% 0.97× 1.39
Q3 over 32.5 63.0% 61.9% 56.1% 1.10× 1.61
Q3 under 36.5 59.6% 58.4% 64.6% 0.90× 1.71
Q3 under 35.5 54.0% 52.3% 59.7% 0.88× 1.91
Q3 over 34.5 51.8% 52.3% 45.4% 1.15× 1.91
Q3 under 34.5 48.2% 47.7% 54.6% 0.87× 2.10
Q3 over 35.5 46.0% 47.7% 40.3% 1.18× 2.10
Q3 over 36.5 40.4% 41.6% 35.4% 1.17× 2.40
Q3 under 32.5 37.0% 38.1% 43.9% 0.87× 2.63
Q3 over 38.5 29.8% 28.2% 26.1% 1.08× 3.55
Q3 under 30.5 26.8% 28.2% 33.2% 0.85× 3.55
Q3 over 40.5 20.7% 22.7% 18.1% 1.25× 4.40
Q3 under 27.5 14.7% 12.8% 20.0% 0.64× 7.83
Q3 over 43.5 10.6% 12.8% 9.8% 1.30× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Long Island University Sharks to win Q4 50.9% 51.4% 52.8% 0.97× 1.95
Manhattan Jaspers to win Q4 43.3% 43.1% 41.5% 1.04× 2.32
Q4 tied 5.8% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.25
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 43.5 87.9% 85.6% 88.6% 0.97× 1.17
Q4 over 27.5 84.2% 82.0% 78.9% 1.04× 1.22
Q4 under 40.5 77.7% 76.9% 80.6% 0.95× 1.30
Q4 over 30.5 72.4% 71.5% 66.3% 1.08× 1.40
Q4 under 38.5 68.8% 67.4% 73.1% 0.92× 1.48
Q4 over 32.5 62.6% 61.4% 55.4% 1.11× 1.63
Q4 under 36.5 58.7% 58.4% 64.3% 0.91× 1.71
Q4 under 35.5 53.4% 52.5% 59.4% 0.88× 1.91
Q4 over 34.5 52.0% 52.5% 45.6% 1.15× 1.91
Q4 under 34.5 48.0% 47.5% 54.4% 0.87× 2.11
Q4 over 35.5 46.6% 47.5% 40.6% 1.17× 2.11
Q4 over 36.5 41.3% 41.6% 35.7% 1.17× 2.40
Q4 under 32.5 37.4% 38.6% 44.6% 0.87× 2.59
Q4 over 38.5 31.2% 32.6% 26.9% 1.21× 3.07
Q4 under 30.5 27.6% 28.5% 33.7% 0.84× 3.51
Q4 over 40.5 22.3% 23.1% 19.4% 1.19× 4.33
Q4 under 27.5 15.8% 18.0% 21.1% 0.85× 5.56
Q4 over 43.5 12.1% 14.4% 11.4% 1.26× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Long Island University Sharks under 78.5 86.5% 83.9% 79.4% 1.06× 1.19
Manhattan Jaspers under 75.5 86.1% 83.9% 84.1% 1.00× 1.19
Manhattan Jaspers over 55.5 85.6% 83.9% 70.8% 1.19× 1.19
Long Island University Sharks over 58.5 83.7% 80.7% 74.7% 1.08× 1.24
Long Island University Sharks under 75.5 78.6% 75.1% 73.2% 1.03× 1.33
Manhattan Jaspers under 72.5 77.8% 75.1% 78.2% 0.96× 1.33
Manhattan Jaspers over 58.5 76.9% 75.1% 62.1% 1.21× 1.33
Long Island University Sharks over 61.5 74.8% 70.7% 66.9% 1.06× 1.41
Long Island University Sharks under 73.5 72.0% 70.7% 68.5% 1.03× 1.41
Manhattan Jaspers under 70.5 70.9% 70.7% 73.7% 0.96× 1.41
Manhattan Jaspers over 60.5 69.9% 66.4% 55.6% 1.19× 1.51
Long Island University Sharks over 63.5 67.7% 66.4% 61.5% 1.08× 1.51
Long Island University Sharks under 71.5 64.6% 61.2% 63.0% 0.97× 1.63
Manhattan Jaspers under 68.5 63.2% 61.2% 68.6% 0.89× 1.63
Manhattan Jaspers over 62.5 62.0% 61.2% 49.0% 1.25× 1.63
Long Island University Sharks over 65.5 59.9% 57.1% 55.3% 1.03× 1.75
Long Island University Sharks under 69.5 56.6% 57.1% 57.4% 0.99× 1.75
Manhattan Jaspers over 64.5 53.6% 52.3% 43.2% 1.21× 1.91
Manhattan Jaspers under 66.5 54.9% 52.3% 62.7% 0.83× 1.91
Long Island University Sharks over 67.5 51.7% 52.3% 48.7% 1.07× 1.91
Long Island University Sharks under 68.5 52.4% 52.3% 54.4% 0.96× 1.91
Manhattan Jaspers under 65.5 50.6% 52.3% 59.8% 0.87× 1.91
Manhattan Jaspers over 65.5 49.4% 47.7% 40.2% 1.19× 2.09
Long Island University Sharks under 67.5 48.3% 47.7% 51.3% 0.93× 2.09
Long Island University Sharks over 68.5 47.6% 47.7% 45.6% 1.05× 2.09
Manhattan Jaspers under 64.5 46.4% 47.7% 56.9% 0.84× 2.09
Manhattan Jaspers over 66.5 45.1% 47.7% 37.3% 1.28× 2.09
Long Island University Sharks over 69.5 43.4% 42.9% 42.6% 1.01× 2.33
Long Island University Sharks under 65.5 40.1% 42.9% 44.7% 0.96× 2.33
Manhattan Jaspers under 62.5 38.0% 38.8% 51.0% 0.76× 2.58
Manhattan Jaspers over 68.5 36.8% 38.8% 31.4% 1.24× 2.58
Long Island University Sharks over 71.5 35.4% 38.8% 37.0% 1.05× 2.58
Long Island University Sharks under 63.5 32.3% 33.6% 38.5% 0.87× 2.98
Manhattan Jaspers under 60.5 30.1% 33.6% 44.4% 0.76× 2.98
Manhattan Jaspers over 70.5 29.1% 29.3% 26.3% 1.11× 3.42
Long Island University Sharks over 73.5 28.0% 29.3% 31.5% 0.93× 3.42
Long Island University Sharks under 61.5 25.2% 29.3% 33.1% 0.89× 3.42
Manhattan Jaspers under 58.5 23.1% 24.9% 37.9% 0.66× 4.02
Long Island University Sharks over 75.5 21.4% 24.9% 26.8% 0.93× 4.02
Manhattan Jaspers over 72.5 22.2% 24.9% 21.8% 1.14× 4.02
Long Island University Sharks under 58.5 16.3% 19.3% 25.3% 0.76× 5.18
Manhattan Jaspers under 55.5 14.4% 16.1% 29.2% 0.55× 6.21
Long Island University Sharks over 78.5 13.5% 16.1% 20.6% 0.78× 6.21
Manhattan Jaspers over 75.5 13.9% 16.1% 15.9% 1.01× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 113.5 points 90.7% 88.8% 81.9% 1.08× 1.13
Under 153.5 points 91.1% 88.8% 89.0% 1.00× 1.13
Under 148.5 points 84.4% 80.6% 83.7% 0.96× 1.24
Over 118.5 points 83.8% 80.6% 73.6% 1.10× 1.24
Under 143.5 points 75.2% 75.6% 76.7% 0.99× 1.32
Over 123.5 points 74.2% 70.8% 63.3% 1.12× 1.41
Under 140.5 points 68.4% 65.9% 71.8% 0.92× 1.52
Over 126.5 points 67.4% 65.9% 57.4% 1.15× 1.52
Under 138.5 points 63.6% 61.5% 67.9% 0.91× 1.63
Over 128.5 points 62.5% 61.5% 52.8% 1.16× 1.63
Under 136.5 points 58.5% 56.5% 64.2% 0.88× 1.77
Over 130.5 points 57.3% 56.5% 48.3% 1.17× 1.77
Under 134.5 points 53.2% 52.3% 60.2% 0.87× 1.91
Over 132.5 points 52.1% 52.3% 44.0% 1.19× 1.91
Under 133.5 points 50.7% 52.3% 58.0% 0.90× 1.91
Over 133.5 points 49.3% 47.7% 42.0% 1.14× 2.10
Under 132.5 points 47.9% 47.7% 56.0% 0.85× 2.10
Over 134.5 points 46.8% 47.7% 39.8% 1.20× 2.10
Under 130.5 points 42.7% 43.5% 51.7% 0.84× 2.30
Over 136.5 points 41.5% 43.5% 35.8% 1.22× 2.30
Under 128.5 points 37.5% 38.5% 47.2% 0.82× 2.60
Over 138.5 points 36.4% 38.5% 32.1% 1.20× 2.60
Under 126.5 points 32.6% 34.1% 42.6% 0.80× 2.93
Over 140.5 points 31.6% 34.1% 28.2% 1.21× 2.93
Under 123.5 points 25.8% 29.2% 36.7% 0.79× 3.43
Over 143.5 points 24.8% 24.4% 23.3% 1.05× 4.10
Under 118.5 points 16.2% 19.4% 26.4% 0.73× 5.15
Over 148.5 points 15.6% 19.4% 16.3% 1.19× 5.15
Under 113.5 points 9.3% 11.2% 18.1% 0.62× 8.96
Over 153.5 points 8.9% 11.2% 11.0% 1.02× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Long Island University Sharks to win both halves 25.7% 27.2% 36.0% 0.75× 3.68
Manhattan Jaspers to win both halves 15.1% 18.8% 20.4% 0.93× 5.31
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Long Island University Sharks by 1-5 18.3% 16.8% 10.2% 1.64× 5.97
Manhattan Jaspers by 1-5 16.3% 16.8% 10.2% 1.65× 5.97
Long Island University Sharks by 6-10 16.2% 16.8% 12.9% 1.30× 5.97
Manhattan Jaspers by 6-10 11.9% 12.3% 10.3% 1.20× 8.11
Long Island University Sharks by 11-15 11.8% 12.3% 10.8% 1.14× 8.11
Manhattan Jaspers by 11-15 7.2% 7.5% 7.6% 0.98× 13.40
Long Island University Sharks by 16-20 7.1% 7.5% 8.0% 0.93× 13.40
Manhattan Jaspers by 16-20 3.6% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.30
Long Island University Sharks by 21-25 3.5% 2.0% 5.4% 0.38× 49.30
Manhattan Jaspers by 21-25 1.4% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.32
Long Island University Sharks by 26+ 2.0% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.31
Manhattan Jaspers by 26+ 0.6% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.32
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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