Los Angeles Lakers v Toronto Raptors — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 2 November 2026 · NBA · 2027

NBA results-only Prediction generated 4 Sep 2026, 03:45 UTC

Los Angeles Lakers

02:00 UTC

Toronto Raptors

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Los Angeles Lakers win

52.6%

Draw

0.0%

Toronto Raptors win

47.4%

53047

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	53047	111.88–110.97	112-111 0%	49%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Angeles Lakers to score 100+	85.2%	85.0%	89.3%	0.95×	1.18
Toronto Raptors to score 100+	83.6%	79.3%	85.9%	0.92×	1.26
Both sides to score 100+	72.5%	72.3%	77.5%	0.93×	1.38
Los Angeles Lakers to score 110+	58.0%	56.4%	67.0%	0.84×	1.77
Toronto Raptors to score 110+	54.9%	52.4%	60.9%	0.86×	1.91
Los Angeles Lakers to score 120+	26.1%	27.5%	36.5%	0.75×	3.64
Toronto Raptors to score 120+	23.3%	22.0%	29.7%	0.74×	4.54
Los Angeles Lakers to score 130+	6.8%	8.8%	12.8%	0.69×	11.38
Toronto Raptors to score 130+	5.7%	8.8%	10.0%	0.88×	11.39

H1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Angeles Lakers to win H1	49.9%	47.3%	52.8%	0.90×	2.11
Toronto Raptors to win H1	46.6%	47.3%	44.1%	1.07×	2.11
H1 tied	3.5%	3.9%	3.1%	1.25×	25.86

H1 total 34

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 under 126.5	83.3%	83.2%	82.8%	1.01×	1.20
H1 over 102.5	80.5%	83.2%	83.0%	1.00×	1.20
H1 over 100.5	82.1%	82.5%	86.8%	0.95×	1.21
H1 under 124.5	82.3%	82.5%	78.4%	1.05×	1.21
H1 under 122.5	74.6%	74.0%	74.0%	1.00×	1.35
H1 over 106.5	71.1%	73.9%	73.3%	1.01×	1.35
H1 over 104.5	73.0%	73.5%	78.3%	0.94×	1.36
H1 under 120.5	73.2%	73.5%	68.4%	1.07×	1.36
H1 under 119.5	66.8%	68.1%	65.9%	1.03×	1.47
H1 under 117.5	65.1%	67.4%	59.6%	1.13×	1.48
H1 over 107.5	64.9%	62.7%	70.4%	0.89×	1.59
H1 over 109.5	59.0%	58.2%	65.0%	0.90×	1.72
H1 under 115.5	59.2%	58.2%	53.6%	1.09×	1.72
H1 over 111.5	53.0%	52.6%	59.0%	0.89×	1.90
H1 under 113.5	53.2%	52.6%	47.6%	1.11×	1.90
H1 under 112.5	50.1%	52.6%	44.2%	1.19×	1.90
H1 under 114.5	52.1%	52.5%	50.4%	1.04×	1.90
H1 over 114.5	47.9%	47.5%	49.6%	0.96×	2.11
H1 over 112.5	49.9%	47.4%	55.8%	0.85×	2.11
H1 under 111.5	47.0%	47.4%	41.0%	1.15×	2.11
H1 over 113.5	46.8%	47.4%	52.4%	0.90×	2.11
H1 under 109.5	41.0%	41.8%	35.0%	1.19×	2.39
H1 over 115.5	40.8%	41.8%	46.4%	0.90×	2.39
H1 under 107.5	35.1%	37.3%	29.6%	1.26×	2.68
H1 over 117.5	34.9%	32.6%	40.4%	0.81×	3.07
H1 over 119.5	33.2%	31.9%	34.1%	0.94×	3.13
H1 under 104.5	27.0%	26.5%	21.7%	1.22×	3.77
H1 over 120.5	26.8%	26.5%	31.6%	0.84×	3.77
H1 under 106.5	28.9%	26.1%	26.7%	0.98×	3.84
H1 over 122.5	25.4%	26.0%	26.0%	1.00×	3.84
H1 under 100.5	17.9%	17.5%	13.2%	1.33×	5.73
H1 over 124.5	17.7%	17.5%	21.7%	0.81×	5.73
H1 under 102.5	19.5%	16.8%	17.0%	0.99×	5.96
H1 over 126.5	16.7%	16.8%	17.2%	0.97×	5.96

H2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Angeles Lakers to win H2	49.9%	47.1%	51.6%	0.91×	2.12
Toronto Raptors to win H2	46.6%	47.1%	44.7%	1.05×	2.12
H2 tied	3.5%	3.9%	3.7%	1.06×	25.36

H2 total 40

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 under 122.5	82.7%	81.8%	74.4%	1.10×	1.22
H2 over 98.5	82.2%	81.8%	86.2%	0.95×	1.22
H2 over 99.5	82.5%	81.5%	84.4%	0.97×	1.23
H2 under 123.5	81.8%	81.5%	76.9%	1.06×	1.23
H2 over 103.5	73.5%	72.5%	76.2%	0.95×	1.38
H2 under 119.5	72.6%	72.5%	66.4%	1.09×	1.38
H2 under 118.5	73.6%	72.2%	63.6%	1.14×	1.39
H2 over 102.5	73.0%	72.2%	78.5%	0.92×	1.39
H2 under 115.5	65.5%	66.4%	55.4%	1.20×	1.51
H2 over 106.5	65.5%	64.4%	68.8%	0.94×	1.55
H2 under 116.5	64.4%	62.6%	58.1%	1.08×	1.60
H2 over 105.5	64.8%	61.6%	71.3%	0.86×	1.62
H2 over 108.5	59.7%	58.0%	63.8%	0.91×	1.72
H2 under 114.5	58.6%	58.0%	52.5%	1.10×	1.72
H2 under 113.5	59.6%	57.3%	50.1%	1.14×	1.74
H2 over 107.5	58.8%	57.3%	66.2%	0.87×	1.74
H2 under 111.5	53.5%	52.4%	44.7%	1.17×	1.91
H2 over 109.5	52.7%	52.4%	60.9%	0.86×	1.91
H2 under 110.5	50.4%	52.4%	41.9%	1.25×	1.91
H2 under 112.5	52.5%	52.0%	47.4%	1.10×	1.92
H2 over 112.5	47.5%	48.0%	52.6%	0.91×	2.09
H2 over 110.5	49.6%	47.6%	58.1%	0.82×	2.10
H2 under 109.5	47.3%	47.6%	39.1%	1.22×	2.10
H2 over 111.5	46.5%	47.6%	55.3%	0.86×	2.10
H2 under 107.5	41.2%	42.7%	33.8%	1.26×	2.34
H2 over 113.5	40.4%	42.7%	49.9%	0.85×	2.35
H2 over 114.5	41.4%	42.0%	47.5%	0.88×	2.38
H2 under 108.5	40.3%	42.0%	36.2%	1.16×	2.38
H2 under 105.5	35.3%	38.4%	28.7%	1.34×	2.61
H2 over 116.5	35.6%	37.4%	41.9%	0.89×	2.67
H2 under 106.5	34.5%	35.6%	31.2%	1.14×	2.81
H2 over 115.5	34.5%	33.6%	44.6%	0.75×	2.97
H2 under 102.5	27.0%	27.8%	21.5%	1.29×	3.59
H2 over 118.5	26.4%	27.8%	36.4%	0.76×	3.59
H2 over 119.5	27.4%	27.5%	33.6%	0.82×	3.63
H2 under 103.5	26.5%	27.5%	23.8%	1.16×	3.64
H2 over 123.5	18.2%	18.5%	23.1%	0.80×	5.41
H2 under 99.5	17.5%	18.5%	15.6%	1.19×	5.41
H2 under 98.5	17.8%	18.2%	13.8%	1.31×	5.50
H2 over 122.5	17.3%	18.2%	25.6%	0.71×	5.50

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Angeles Lakers leading at half time	49.9%	47.3%	52.8%	0.90×	2.12
Toronto Raptors leading at half time	46.6%	47.2%	44.1%	1.07×	2.12
Level at half time	3.5%	3.8%	3.1%	1.22×	26.41

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Angeles Lakers +20.5	92.8%	91.1%	93.1%	0.98×	1.10
Los Angeles Lakers +18.5	90.7%	91.1%	91.5%	1.00×	1.10
Toronto Raptors +20.5	90.9%	91.1%	89.1%	1.02×	1.10
Toronto Raptors +18.5	88.4%	85.9%	86.4%	0.99×	1.16
Los Angeles Lakers +16.5	88.2%	85.9%	89.7%	0.96×	1.16
Los Angeles Lakers +14.5	85.2%	85.9%	87.0%	0.99×	1.16
Toronto Raptors +16.5	85.5%	85.9%	83.5%	1.03×	1.16
Toronto Raptors +14.5	82.1%	81.1%	80.1%	1.01×	1.23
Los Angeles Lakers +12.5	81.8%	81.1%	83.9%	0.97×	1.23
Los Angeles Lakers +10.5	77.8%	76.5%	80.3%	0.95×	1.31
Toronto Raptors +12.5	78.2%	76.5%	76.0%	1.01×	1.31
Los Angeles Lakers +9.5	75.7%	76.5%	78.1%	0.98×	1.31
Toronto Raptors +10.5	73.9%	71.6%	71.0%	1.01×	1.40
Los Angeles Lakers +8.5	73.5%	71.6%	75.7%	0.95×	1.40
Los Angeles Lakers +7.5	71.1%	71.6%	73.0%	0.98×	1.40
Toronto Raptors +9.5	71.5%	71.6%	68.7%	1.04×	1.40
Los Angeles Lakers +6.5	68.7%	66.7%	70.6%	0.95×	1.50
Toronto Raptors +8.5	69.1%	66.7%	65.9%	1.01×	1.50
Los Angeles Lakers +5.5	66.2%	66.7%	68.0%	0.98×	1.50
Toronto Raptors +7.5	66.6%	66.7%	63.0%	1.06×	1.50
Toronto Raptors +6.5	64.0%	61.9%	60.0%	1.03×	1.62
Los Angeles Lakers +4.5	63.6%	61.9%	65.7%	0.94×	1.62
Toronto Raptors +5.5	61.4%	61.9%	57.1%	1.08×	1.62
Los Angeles Lakers +3.5	60.9%	61.9%	63.1%	0.98×	1.62
Los Angeles Lakers +2.5	58.2%	57.1%	60.5%	0.94×	1.75
Toronto Raptors +4.5	58.6%	57.1%	54.1%	1.06×	1.75
Los Angeles Lakers +1.5	55.4%	57.1%	57.9%	0.99×	1.75
Toronto Raptors +3.5	55.9%	57.1%	51.6%	1.11×	1.75
Toronto Raptors +2.5	53.1%	52.4%	49.1%	1.07×	1.91
Toronto Raptors +1.5	50.2%	52.4%	46.3%	1.13×	1.91
Los Angeles Lakers −1.5	49.8%	47.6%	53.7%	0.89×	2.10
Los Angeles Lakers −2.5	46.9%	47.6%	50.9%	0.93×	2.10
Toronto Raptors −1.5	44.6%	42.9%	42.1%	1.02×	2.33
Los Angeles Lakers −3.5	44.1%	42.9%	48.4%	0.89×	2.33
Toronto Raptors −2.5	41.8%	42.9%	39.5%	1.09×	2.33
Los Angeles Lakers −4.5	41.4%	42.9%	46.0%	0.93×	2.33
Toronto Raptors −3.5	39.1%	38.1%	36.9%	1.03×	2.63
Los Angeles Lakers −5.5	38.6%	38.1%	42.9%	0.89×	2.63
Toronto Raptors −4.5	36.4%	38.1%	34.3%	1.11×	2.63
Los Angeles Lakers −6.5	36.0%	38.1%	40.0%	0.95×	2.63
Toronto Raptors −5.5	33.8%	33.3%	32.0%	1.04×	3.01
Los Angeles Lakers −7.5	33.4%	33.3%	37.0%	0.90×	3.01
Toronto Raptors −6.5	31.3%	33.3%	29.4%	1.13×	3.01
Los Angeles Lakers −8.5	30.9%	33.3%	34.1%	0.98×	3.01
Toronto Raptors −7.5	28.9%	28.4%	27.0%	1.05×	3.53
Los Angeles Lakers −9.5	28.5%	28.4%	31.3%	0.91×	3.53
Toronto Raptors −8.5	26.5%	28.4%	24.3%	1.17×	3.53
Los Angeles Lakers −10.5	26.1%	28.4%	29.0%	0.98×	3.53
Toronto Raptors −9.5	24.3%	23.5%	21.9%	1.08×	4.25
Toronto Raptors −10.5	22.2%	23.5%	19.7%	1.19×	4.25
Los Angeles Lakers −12.5	21.8%	23.5%	24.0%	0.98×	4.25
Toronto Raptors −12.5	18.2%	18.9%	16.1%	1.17×	5.29
Los Angeles Lakers −14.5	17.9%	18.9%	19.9%	0.95×	5.29
Toronto Raptors −14.5	14.8%	14.1%	13.0%	1.09×	7.09
Los Angeles Lakers −16.5	14.5%	14.1%	16.5%	0.86×	7.09
Toronto Raptors −16.5	11.8%	14.1%	10.3%	1.37×	7.09
Los Angeles Lakers −18.5	11.6%	14.1%	13.6%	1.04×	7.09
Toronto Raptors −18.5	9.3%	8.9%	8.5%	1.04×	11.25
Los Angeles Lakers −20.5	9.1%	8.9%	10.9%	0.82×	11.25
Toronto Raptors −20.5	7.2%	8.9%	6.9%	1.29×	11.25

Highest scoring half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1st half highest scoring	56.5%	52.6%	53.5%	0.98×	1.90
2nd half highest scoring	43.5%	47.4%	46.5%	1.02×	2.11

Highest scoring quarter 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 highest scoring	28.2%	27.4%	29.2%	0.94×	3.65
Q3 highest scoring	27.8%	27.4%	27.5%	1.00×	3.65
Q2 highest scoring	26.5%	27.4%	26.3%	1.04×	3.65
Q4 highest scoring	17.4%	18.3%	17.0%	1.08×	5.46

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Angeles Lakers at HT / Los Angeles Lakers at FT	37.7%	37.8%	40.8%	0.93×	2.65
Toronto Raptors at HT / Toronto Raptors at FT	33.6%	33.2%	30.9%	1.08×	3.01
Toronto Raptors at HT / Los Angeles Lakers at FT	13.0%	12.2%	13.3%	0.92×	8.17
Los Angeles Lakers at HT / Toronto Raptors at FT	12.2%	12.2%	12.0%	1.02×	8.18
Level at HT / Los Angeles Lakers at FT	1.8%	2.1%	1.7%	1.22×	47.76
Level at HT / Toronto Raptors at FT	1.7%	2.1%	1.4%	1.50×	47.76

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Angeles Lakers to win	52.6%	51.0%	55.7%	0.91×	1.96
Toronto Raptors to win	47.4%	49.0%	44.3%	1.11×	2.04

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Total points odd	51.4%	50.5%	51.0%	0.99×	1.98
Los Angeles Lakers even	50.0%	50.5%	49.7%	1.02×	1.98
Toronto Raptors even	50.0%	50.5%	50.3%	1.00×	1.98
Los Angeles Lakers odd	50.0%	49.5%	50.3%	0.98×	2.02
Toronto Raptors odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.7%	1.00×	2.02
Total points even	48.6%	49.5%	49.0%	1.01×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	92.8%	94.0%	94.8%	0.99×	1.06
Match to go to overtime	7.2%	6.0%	5.2%	1.16×	16.65

Q1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Angeles Lakers to win Q1	48.7%	47.6%	51.3%	0.93×	2.10
Toronto Raptors to win Q1	46.5%	47.6%	44.1%	1.08×	2.10
Q1 tied	4.8%	4.2%	4.6%	0.90×	23.94

Q1 total 32

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 under 65.5	83.9%	83.2%	83.2%	1.00×	1.20
Q1 over 49.5	81.1%	83.2%	82.7%	1.01×	1.20
Q1 under 64.5	83.0%	82.8%	80.1%	1.03×	1.21
Q1 over 48.5	82.3%	82.8%	85.6%	0.97×	1.21
Q1 under 62.5	73.8%	73.1%	72.9%	1.00×	1.37
Q1 over 52.5	70.3%	73.1%	72.4%	1.01×	1.37
Q1 under 61.5	72.7%	72.7%	68.5%	1.06×	1.38
Q1 over 51.5	71.7%	72.7%	76.0%	0.96×	1.38
Q1 under 60.5	65.7%	69.2%	64.5%	1.07×	1.45
Q1 over 54.5	61.7%	62.3%	63.3%	0.98×	1.61
Q1 under 59.5	64.3%	61.7%	60.0%	1.03×	1.62
Q1 over 53.5	63.3%	61.7%	68.2%	0.90×	1.62
Q1 under 58.5	56.8%	59.2%	55.7%	1.06×	1.69
Q1 under 57.5	55.2%	58.6%	50.4%	1.16×	1.71
Q1 over 55.5	54.1%	52.7%	59.2%	0.89×	1.90
Q1 under 56.5	50.6%	52.7%	45.4%	1.16×	1.90
Q1 over 56.5	49.4%	47.3%	54.6%	0.87×	2.11
Q1 under 55.5	45.9%	47.3%	40.8%	1.16×	2.11
Q1 over 57.5	44.8%	41.4%	49.6%	0.83×	2.42
Q1 over 58.5	43.3%	40.8%	44.3%	0.92×	2.45
Q1 under 53.5	36.7%	38.3%	31.8%	1.21×	2.61
Q1 over 59.5	35.7%	38.3%	40.0%	0.96×	2.61
Q1 under 54.5	38.3%	37.7%	36.7%	1.03×	2.65
Q1 over 60.5	34.3%	30.8%	35.5%	0.87×	3.25
Q1 under 51.5	28.3%	27.3%	24.0%	1.14×	3.66
Q1 over 61.5	27.3%	27.3%	31.5%	0.87×	3.66
Q1 under 52.5	29.7%	26.9%	27.6%	0.97×	3.72
Q1 over 62.5	26.2%	26.9%	27.1%	0.99×	3.72
Q1 under 48.5	17.7%	17.2%	14.4%	1.19×	5.83
Q1 over 64.5	17.0%	17.2%	19.9%	0.86×	5.83
Q1 under 49.5	18.9%	16.8%	17.3%	0.97×	5.95
Q1 over 65.5	16.1%	16.8%	16.8%	1.00×	5.96

Q2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Angeles Lakers to win Q2	48.8%	47.0%	49.3%	0.95×	2.13
Toronto Raptors to win Q2	46.5%	47.0%	46.2%	1.02×	2.13
Q2 tied	4.7%	4.4%	4.5%	0.98×	22.88

Q2 total 32

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q2 under 65.5	84.5%	83.1%	83.6%	0.99×	1.20
Q2 over 49.5	80.1%	83.1%	81.8%	1.02×	1.20
Q2 under 64.5	83.7%	83.0%	80.9%	1.03×	1.21
Q2 over 48.5	81.3%	83.0%	84.7%	0.98×	1.21
Q2 under 62.5	74.8%	73.1%	74.4%	0.98×	1.37
Q2 under 61.5	73.7%	72.0%	70.4%	1.02×	1.39
Q2 over 51.5	70.4%	72.0%	74.2%	0.97×	1.39
Q2 over 52.5	69.0%	67.7%	70.3%	0.96×	1.48
Q2 under 60.5	66.8%	67.7%	65.7%	1.03×	1.48
Q2 under 59.5	65.5%	67.4%	61.9%	1.09×	1.49
Q2 over 54.5	60.3%	62.0%	61.1%	1.01×	1.61
Q2 over 53.5	61.9%	60.7%	65.8%	0.92×	1.65
Q2 under 57.5	56.5%	58.2%	52.7%	1.10×	1.72
Q2 under 58.5	58.0%	57.8%	57.3%	1.01×	1.73
Q2 over 55.5	52.8%	52.7%	56.3%	0.94×	1.90
Q2 under 56.5	51.9%	52.7%	48.3%	1.09×	1.90
Q2 over 56.5	48.1%	47.3%	51.7%	0.92×	2.11
Q2 under 55.5	47.2%	47.3%	43.7%	1.08×	2.11
Q2 over 58.5	42.0%	42.2%	42.7%	0.99×	2.37
Q2 over 57.5	43.5%	41.8%	47.3%	0.89×	2.39
Q2 under 53.5	38.1%	39.3%	34.2%	1.15×	2.55
Q2 under 54.5	39.7%	38.0%	38.9%	0.98×	2.63
Q2 over 59.5	34.5%	32.6%	38.1%	0.86×	3.06
Q2 over 60.5	33.2%	32.3%	34.3%	0.94×	3.09
Q2 under 52.5	31.0%	32.3%	29.7%	1.09×	3.10
Q2 under 51.5	29.6%	28.0%	25.8%	1.09×	3.57
Q2 over 61.5	26.3%	28.0%	29.6%	0.95×	3.57
Q2 over 62.5	25.2%	27.0%	25.6%	1.05×	3.71
Q2 under 48.5	18.7%	17.0%	15.3%	1.11×	5.88
Q2 over 64.5	16.3%	17.0%	19.1%	0.89×	5.88
Q2 under 49.5	20.0%	16.9%	18.2%	0.92×	5.93
Q2 over 65.5	15.5%	16.9%	16.4%	1.03×	5.93

Q3 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Angeles Lakers to win Q3	48.8%	47.6%	50.9%	0.94×	2.10
Toronto Raptors to win Q3	46.5%	47.5%	44.3%	1.07×	2.10
Q3 tied	4.7%	4.3%	4.9%	0.88×	23.43

Q3 total 32

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 over 48.5	83.0%	82.3%	85.6%	0.96×	1.22
Q3 under 64.5	82.8%	82.3%	79.2%	1.04×	1.22
Q3 under 65.5	83.6%	82.2%	82.2%	1.00×	1.22
Q3 over 49.5	81.9%	82.2%	82.7%	0.99×	1.22
Q3 under 62.5	73.4%	72.5%	71.9%	1.01×	1.38
Q3 over 52.5	71.1%	72.5%	72.2%	1.00×	1.38
Q3 over 51.5	72.5%	71.8%	76.1%	0.94×	1.39
Q3 under 61.5	72.2%	71.8%	67.7%	1.06×	1.39
Q3 under 60.5	65.1%	66.8%	63.5%	1.05×	1.50
Q3 over 54.5	62.5%	62.6%	63.9%	0.98×	1.60
Q3 over 53.5	64.1%	62.0%	68.3%	0.91×	1.61
Q3 under 59.5	63.8%	62.0%	59.0%	1.05×	1.61
Q3 under 58.5	56.1%	57.8%	54.8%	1.06×	1.73
Q3 under 57.5	54.6%	52.3%	49.8%	1.05×	1.91
Q3 over 55.5	54.9%	52.3%	59.9%	0.87×	1.91
Q3 over 56.5	50.2%	52.3%	55.0%	0.95×	1.91
Q3 under 56.5	49.8%	47.7%	45.0%	1.06×	2.10
Q3 over 57.5	45.4%	47.7%	50.2%	0.95×	2.10
Q3 under 55.5	45.1%	47.7%	40.1%	1.19×	2.10
Q3 over 58.5	43.9%	42.2%	45.2%	0.93×	2.37
Q3 over 59.5	36.2%	38.0%	41.0%	0.93×	2.63
Q3 under 53.5	35.9%	38.0%	31.7%	1.20×	2.63
Q3 under 54.5	37.5%	37.4%	36.1%	1.04×	2.67
Q3 over 60.5	34.9%	33.2%	36.5%	0.91×	3.01
Q3 over 61.5	27.8%	28.2%	32.3%	0.87×	3.55
Q3 under 51.5	27.5%	28.2%	23.9%	1.18×	3.55
Q3 under 52.5	28.9%	27.5%	27.8%	0.99×	3.63
Q3 over 62.5	26.6%	27.5%	28.1%	0.98×	3.64
Q3 under 49.5	18.1%	17.8%	17.3%	1.03×	5.62
Q3 over 65.5	16.4%	17.8%	17.8%	1.00×	5.63
Q3 over 64.5	17.2%	17.7%	20.8%	0.85×	5.66
Q3 under 48.5	17.0%	17.7%	14.4%	1.23×	5.66

Q4 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Angeles Lakers to win Q4	48.7%	47.6%	48.3%	0.99×	2.10
Toronto Raptors to win Q4	46.4%	47.6%	46.4%	1.03×	2.10
Q4 tied	4.9%	5.2%	5.3%	0.98×	19.28

Q4 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 under 62.5	84.1%	82.0%	80.4%	1.02×	1.22
Q4 over 46.5	80.1%	82.0%	81.7%	1.00×	1.22
Q4 under 59.5	74.3%	71.5%	70.2%	1.02×	1.40
Q4 over 49.5	69.2%	67.4%	72.3%	0.93×	1.48
Q4 under 57.5	66.3%	67.4%	61.9%	1.09×	1.48
Q4 over 51.5	60.6%	61.4%	64.7%	0.95×	1.63
Q4 under 55.5	57.6%	58.4%	52.9%	1.10×	1.71
Q4 under 54.5	53.0%	52.5%	48.6%	1.08×	1.91
Q4 over 53.5	51.6%	52.5%	55.7%	0.94×	1.91
Q4 under 53.5	48.4%	47.5%	44.3%	1.07×	2.11
Q4 over 54.5	47.0%	47.5%	51.4%	0.92×	2.11
Q4 over 55.5	42.4%	41.6%	47.1%	0.88×	2.40
Q4 under 51.5	39.4%	38.6%	35.3%	1.09×	2.59
Q4 over 57.5	33.7%	32.6%	38.1%	0.86×	3.07
Q4 under 49.5	30.8%	32.6%	27.7%	1.18×	3.07
Q4 over 59.5	25.7%	28.5%	29.8%	0.96×	3.51
Q4 under 46.5	19.9%	18.0%	18.3%	0.98×	5.56
Q4 over 62.5	15.9%	18.0%	19.6%	0.92×	5.56

Team total 80

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Angeles Lakers under 122.5	81.5%	80.7%	71.8%	1.12×	1.24
Toronto Raptors under 121.5	81.6%	80.7%	74.7%	1.08×	1.24
Toronto Raptors under 122.5	80.5%	80.3%	77.4%	1.04×	1.25
Los Angeles Lakers under 123.5	79.9%	78.3%	74.4%	1.05×	1.28
Los Angeles Lakers over 103.5	79.2%	78.3%	82.1%	0.95×	1.28
Toronto Raptors over 102.5	78.7%	78.3%	79.7%	0.98×	1.28
Los Angeles Lakers over 102.5	78.6%	75.1%	84.2%	0.89×	1.33
Toronto Raptors over 101.5	79.0%	75.1%	82.0%	0.92×	1.33
Toronto Raptors under 119.5	72.9%	71.9%	70.3%	1.02×	1.39
Los Angeles Lakers under 120.5	72.2%	71.8%	66.3%	1.08×	1.39
Los Angeles Lakers over 106.5	71.4%	71.8%	75.1%	0.96×	1.39
Toronto Raptors over 105.5	70.8%	71.8%	71.9%	1.00×	1.39
Los Angeles Lakers under 119.5	73.9%	70.7%	63.5%	1.11×	1.41
Toronto Raptors under 118.5	74.0%	70.7%	67.4%	1.05×	1.41
Los Angeles Lakers over 105.5	70.5%	70.7%	77.4%	0.91×	1.41
Toronto Raptors over 104.5	70.9%	70.7%	75.0%	0.94×	1.41
Toronto Raptors under 117.5	67.2%	66.6%	64.4%	1.03×	1.50
Los Angeles Lakers under 118.5	66.4%	66.6%	60.3%	1.11×	1.50
Los Angeles Lakers over 108.5	65.6%	66.6%	69.9%	0.95×	1.50
Los Angeles Lakers under 117.5	68.2%	66.4%	57.8%	1.15×	1.51
Toronto Raptors under 116.5	68.2%	66.4%	61.5%	1.08×	1.51
Los Angeles Lakers over 107.5	64.5%	61.2%	72.7%	0.84×	1.63
Toronto Raptors over 106.5	64.8%	61.2%	68.9%	0.89×	1.63
Los Angeles Lakers under 115.5	61.9%	61.2%	51.6%	1.19×	1.63
Toronto Raptors under 114.5	61.9%	61.2%	55.5%	1.10×	1.63
Toronto Raptors over 107.5	64.9%	61.2%	66.6%	0.92×	1.63
Toronto Raptors under 115.5	61.0%	61.2%	58.6%	1.04×	1.64
Los Angeles Lakers under 116.5	60.2%	61.2%	54.7%	1.12×	1.64
Los Angeles Lakers over 110.5	59.3%	57.9%	64.1%	0.90×	1.73
Toronto Raptors over 109.5	58.6%	57.9%	60.9%	0.95×	1.73
Los Angeles Lakers over 109.5	58.0%	57.1%	67.0%	0.85×	1.75
Toronto Raptors over 108.5	58.3%	57.1%	64.0%	0.89×	1.75
Los Angeles Lakers under 113.5	55.4%	57.1%	45.7%	1.25×	1.75
Toronto Raptors under 112.5	55.2%	57.1%	48.5%	1.18×	1.75
Los Angeles Lakers over 111.5	51.3%	52.3%	61.1%	0.86×	1.91
Toronto Raptors over 110.5	51.5%	52.3%	57.9%	0.90×	1.91
Los Angeles Lakers under 112.5	52.0%	52.3%	42.3%	1.24×	1.91
Toronto Raptors under 111.5	51.9%	52.3%	45.4%	1.15×	1.91
Toronto Raptors under 113.5	54.5%	52.2%	52.0%	1.00×	1.91
Los Angeles Lakers under 114.5	53.7%	52.2%	48.6%	1.07×	1.91
Los Angeles Lakers over 114.5	46.3%	47.8%	51.4%	0.93×	2.09
Toronto Raptors over 113.5	45.5%	47.8%	48.0%	1.00×	2.09
Los Angeles Lakers under 111.5	48.7%	47.7%	38.9%	1.23×	2.09
Toronto Raptors under 110.5	48.5%	47.7%	42.1%	1.13×	2.09
Los Angeles Lakers over 112.5	48.0%	47.7%	57.7%	0.83×	2.09
Toronto Raptors over 111.5	48.1%	47.7%	54.6%	0.88×	2.09
Los Angeles Lakers over 113.5	44.6%	42.9%	54.3%	0.79×	2.33
Toronto Raptors over 112.5	44.8%	42.9%	51.5%	0.83×	2.33
Los Angeles Lakers under 109.5	42.0%	42.9%	33.0%	1.30×	2.33
Toronto Raptors under 108.5	41.7%	42.9%	36.0%	1.19×	2.33
Toronto Raptors under 109.5	41.4%	42.1%	39.1%	1.08×	2.38
Los Angeles Lakers under 110.5	40.7%	42.1%	35.9%	1.17×	2.38
Los Angeles Lakers over 116.5	39.8%	38.8%	45.3%	0.86×	2.58
Toronto Raptors over 115.5	39.0%	38.8%	41.4%	0.94×	2.58
Toronto Raptors under 107.5	35.1%	38.8%	33.4%	1.16×	2.58
Los Angeles Lakers over 115.5	38.1%	38.8%	48.4%	0.80×	2.58
Toronto Raptors over 114.5	38.1%	38.8%	44.5%	0.87×	2.58
Los Angeles Lakers under 107.5	35.5%	38.8%	27.3%	1.42×	2.58
Toronto Raptors under 106.5	35.2%	38.8%	31.1%	1.25×	2.58
Los Angeles Lakers over 117.5	31.8%	33.6%	42.2%	0.80×	2.98
Toronto Raptors over 116.5	31.8%	33.6%	38.5%	0.87×	2.98
Los Angeles Lakers under 108.5	34.4%	33.4%	30.1%	1.11×	2.99
Los Angeles Lakers over 118.5	33.6%	33.4%	39.7%	0.84×	2.99
Toronto Raptors over 117.5	32.8%	33.4%	35.6%	0.94×	3.00
Los Angeles Lakers under 105.5	29.5%	29.3%	22.6%	1.30×	3.42
Toronto Raptors under 104.5	29.1%	29.3%	25.0%	1.17×	3.42
Los Angeles Lakers over 119.5	26.1%	29.3%	36.5%	0.80×	3.42
Toronto Raptors over 118.5	26.0%	29.3%	32.6%	0.90×	3.42
Toronto Raptors under 105.5	29.2%	28.2%	28.1%	1.00×	3.55
Los Angeles Lakers under 106.5	28.6%	28.2%	24.9%	1.13×	3.55
Los Angeles Lakers over 120.5	27.8%	28.2%	33.7%	0.84×	3.55
Toronto Raptors over 119.5	27.1%	28.1%	29.7%	0.95×	3.55
Los Angeles Lakers under 102.5	21.4%	24.9%	15.8%	1.57×	4.02
Toronto Raptors under 101.5	21.0%	24.9%	18.0%	1.38×	4.02
Toronto Raptors under 102.5	21.3%	21.7%	20.3%	1.07×	4.60
Los Angeles Lakers under 103.5	20.8%	21.7%	17.9%	1.22×	4.60
Los Angeles Lakers over 123.5	20.1%	21.7%	25.6%	0.85×	4.61
Toronto Raptors over 122.5	19.5%	19.7%	22.6%	0.87×	5.07
Los Angeles Lakers over 122.5	18.5%	19.3%	28.2%	0.69×	5.18
Toronto Raptors over 121.5	18.4%	19.3%	25.3%	0.76×	5.18

Total points 46

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 205.5 points	85.6%	85.5%	87.8%	0.97×	1.17
Under 245.5 points	85.7%	85.5%	80.9%	1.06×	1.17
Under 243.5 points	86.9%	85.0%	78.2%	1.09×	1.18
Over 203.5 points	85.3%	85.0%	89.8%	0.95×	1.18
Under 238.5 points	80.2%	80.6%	70.9%	1.14×	1.24
Over 210.5 points	78.8%	78.1%	81.4%	0.96×	1.28
Under 240.5 points	78.8%	78.1%	74.0%	1.06×	1.28
Over 208.5 points	78.3%	75.6%	84.1%	0.90×	1.32
Over 215.5 points	70.2%	71.0%	73.4%	0.97×	1.41
Under 235.5 points	70.3%	71.0%	65.3%	1.09×	1.41
Under 233.5 points	71.9%	70.8%	61.4%	1.15×	1.41
Over 213.5 points	69.4%	65.9%	76.4%	0.86×	1.52
Under 230.5 points	66.1%	65.9%	55.4%	1.19×	1.52
Under 232.5 points	64.5%	61.8%	59.4%	1.04×	1.62
Over 216.5 points	63.5%	61.5%	71.6%	0.86×	1.63
Under 228.5 points	62.0%	61.5%	51.3%	1.20×	1.63
Over 218.5 points	59.4%	56.5%	67.8%	0.83×	1.77
Under 226.5 points	57.8%	56.5%	47.3%	1.20×	1.77
Over 220.5 points	55.1%	56.5%	64.2%	0.88×	1.77
Under 224.5 points	53.5%	52.3%	43.5%	1.20×	1.91
Under 223.5 points	51.4%	52.3%	41.7%	1.25×	1.91
Over 222.5 points	50.8%	52.3%	60.4%	0.87×	1.91
Under 225.5 points	50.1%	52.2%	45.3%	1.15×	1.92
Over 225.5 points	49.9%	47.8%	54.7%	0.87×	2.09
Over 223.5 points	48.6%	47.7%	58.3%	0.82×	2.10
Under 222.5 points	49.2%	47.7%	39.6%	1.20×	2.10
Over 224.5 points	46.5%	47.7%	56.5%	0.84×	2.10
Under 220.5 points	44.9%	43.5%	35.8%	1.21×	2.30
Over 226.5 points	42.2%	43.5%	52.7%	0.82×	2.30
Under 218.5 points	40.6%	43.5%	32.2%	1.35×	2.30
Over 228.5 points	38.0%	38.5%	48.7%	0.79×	2.60
Under 216.5 points	36.5%	38.5%	28.4%	1.36×	2.60
Over 232.5 points	35.5%	38.2%	40.6%	0.94×	2.62
Over 230.5 points	33.9%	34.1%	44.6%	0.76×	2.93
Under 213.5 points	30.6%	34.1%	23.6%	1.45×	2.93
Over 233.5 points	28.1%	29.2%	38.6%	0.75×	3.43
Under 215.5 points	29.8%	29.0%	26.6%	1.09×	3.45
Over 235.5 points	29.7%	29.0%	34.7%	0.83×	3.45
Under 208.5 points	21.8%	24.4%	15.9%	1.53×	4.10
Under 210.5 points	21.2%	21.9%	18.6%	1.18×	4.57
Over 240.5 points	21.2%	21.9%	26.0%	0.84×	4.57
Over 238.5 points	19.8%	19.4%	29.1%	0.67×	5.15
Under 203.5 points	14.7%	15.0%	10.2%	1.47×	6.68
Over 243.5 points	13.1%	15.0%	21.8%	0.69×	6.69
Under 205.5 points	14.4%	14.5%	12.2%	1.19×	6.88
Over 245.5 points	14.3%	14.5%	19.1%	0.76×	6.88

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Angeles Lakers to win both halves	22.7%	23.1%	25.2%	0.92×	4.34
Toronto Raptors to win both halves	19.5%	18.9%	17.8%	1.06×	5.30

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Angeles Lakers by 1-5	13.9%	12.3%	12.8%	0.96×	8.11
Toronto Raptors by 1-5	13.6%	12.3%	12.3%	1.01×	8.11
Los Angeles Lakers by 6-10	12.5%	12.3%	13.9%	0.88×	8.11
Toronto Raptors by 6-10	11.7%	12.3%	12.3%	1.00×	8.11
Los Angeles Lakers by 11-15	10.0%	7.5%	10.8%	0.69×	13.40
Toronto Raptors by 11-15	8.9%	7.5%	8.0%	0.93×	13.40
Los Angeles Lakers by 16-20	7.1%	7.5%	7.3%	1.02×	13.40
Toronto Raptors by 16-20	6.1%	7.5%	4.9%	1.53×	13.40
Los Angeles Lakers by 21-25	4.5%	2.0%	4.7%	0.43×	49.29
Toronto Raptors by 21-25	3.7%	2.0%	3.0%	0.67×	49.30
Los Angeles Lakers by 26+	4.6%	2.0%	6.2%	0.33×	49.29
Toronto Raptors by 26+	3.5%	2.0%	3.9%	0.53×	49.30

Los Angeles Lakers v Toronto Raptors — Prediction, Odds & Stats

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